🕰️ Time Machine
AA — Alcoa
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
49.78 -1.87%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in window
10/09/2026
Last window · Fib 13 · 31/08/2026
since -0.34%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 29/07/2026
42.48
Days: 30 trading / 43 calendar · return since: +17.18%
Last major high · 12/08/2026
55.05
Days: 20 trading / 29 calendar · return since: -9.57%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 42.48 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 27/08/2026 | -9 (±1) | Passed |
| High 12/08/2026 @ 55.05 | Fib 13 | Trading | 📅 31/08/2026 | -7 (±1) | Passed |
| High 12/08/2026 @ 55.05 | Fib 21 | Calendar | 📅 02/09/2026 | -8 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 42.48 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 10/09/2026 | +0 (±2) | In window |
| High 12/08/2026 @ 55.05 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 11/09/2026 | +1 (±1) | In window |
| High 12/08/2026 @ 55.05 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 11/09/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 42.48 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 12/09/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| High 12/08/2026 @ 55.05 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 24/09/2026 | +10 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 12/08/2026 @ 55.05 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 26/09/2026 | +16 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 42.48 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 27/09/2026 | +17 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 42.48 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 01/10/2026 | +15 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 12/08/2026 @ 55.05 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 11/10/2026 | +31 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 12/08/2026 @ 55.05 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 15/10/2026 | +25 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 42.48 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 22/10/2026 | +30 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 12/08/2026 @ 55.05 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 05/11/2026 | +40 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bearish Engulfing 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/09/2026
● Gap Day 08/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/09/2026
● Gap Day 03/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 02/09/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 01/09/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 31/08/2026
● NR7 Compression 31/08/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 31/08/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 27/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
● NR7 Compression 26/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
● Hammer Reversal 19/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 27/08/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.17% · Win 44% · DD -5.77%20 days: Avg -2.26% · Win 44% · DD -10.94%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/08/2025 | 31.80 | neutral | -1.60% | +1.54% | -1.10% | -2.74% | +5.66% |
| 2024 | 27/08/2024 | 34.30 | neutral | -11.14% | -12.94% | +4.99% | -17.87% | +7.23% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 28.48 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +6.36% | -0.98% | -9.20% | -9.20% | +9.20% |
| 2022 | 26/08/2022 | 55.84 | far above SMA50 | -11.80% | -6.27% | -38.27% | -38.27% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 44.13 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +6.98% | +11.53% | +16.84% | -0.18% | +17.11% |
| 2020 | 27/08/2020 | 14.84 | far above SMA50 | -4.11% | -5.80% | -22.17% | -22.17% | +1.89% |
| 2019 | 27/08/2019 | 16.73 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +9.26% | +32.58% | +28.51% | +0.00% | +36.82% |
| 2018 | 27/08/2018 | 43.87 | neutral | -1.16% | -6.84% | -5.99% | -8.00% | +2.87% |
| 2017 | 28/08/2017 | 42.17 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.34% | +6.71% | +6.09% | +0.00% | +12.64% |
Passed 31/08/2026 · High Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.24% · Win 56% · DD -6.18%20 days: Avg -0.33% · Win 56% · DD -10.65%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/08/2025 | 32.19 | neutral | -0.47% | +4.38% | +5.16% | -3.91% | +5.16% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 32.10 | neutral | -9.75% | +7.48% | +20.19% | -12.24% | +22.37% |
| 2023 | 31/08/2023 | 30.08 | volume x3.2 | -6.58% | -4.09% | -3.39% | -14.03% | +3.39% |
| 2022 | 31/08/2022 | 49.48 | neutral | -1.25% | -12.81% | -28.40% | -30.34% | +6.35% |
| 2021 | 31/08/2021 | 44.37 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.07% | +16.48% | +14.00% | +0.00% | +16.48% |
| 2020 | 31/08/2020 | 14.62 | far above SMA50 | -2.67% | -5.75% | -20.18% | -21.00% | +3.21% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 17.93 | far below SMA50 | +13.22% | +25.82% | +11.94% | -1.78% | +27.66% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 44.67 | neutral | -5.95% | -4.12% | -8.53% | -9.65% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 31/08/2017 | 43.88 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.89% | +1.75% | +6.24% | -2.89% | +8.25% |
Passed 02/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.27% · Win 44% · DD -6.24%20 days: Avg -0.18% · Win 56% · DD -10.61%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 30.94 | volume x1.6 | +1.07% | +8.21% | +6.30% | -0.03% | +9.41% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 30.22 | far below SMA50 | -6.78% | +12.41% | +29.65% | -6.78% | +29.98% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 31.10 | neutral | -7.78% | -7.23% | -7.27% | -16.85% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 49.25 | neutral | +6.27% | -9.38% | -24.08% | -31.65% | +6.84% |
| 2021 | 02/09/2021 | 46.91 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.52% | +4.09% | +6.10% | -2.79% | +10.17% |
| 2020 | 02/09/2020 | 14.67 | neutral | -6.07% | -8.32% | -22.36% | -22.36% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 17.61 | far below SMA50 | +18.29% | +25.10% | +12.78% | +0.00% | +29.98% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 44.67 | neutral | -5.95% | -4.12% | -8.53% | -9.65% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 45.04 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -3.20% | -0.29% | +5.79% | -5.40% | +5.79% |
In window 10/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.35% · Win 30% · DD -7.11%20 days: Avg +0.46% · Win 40% · DD -9.44%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/09/2025 | 30.93 | neutral | +6.24% | +0.97% | +19.82% | +0.00% | +19.82% |
| 2024 | 10/09/2024 | 28.17 | far below SMA50 | +20.59% | +30.56% | +33.94% | +0.00% | +40.11% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 28.68 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +0.59% | -7.15% | -4.99% | -9.83% | +5.26% |
| 2022 | 09/09/2022 | 52.62 | neutral | -19.31% | -32.52% | -25.86% | -36.03% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 49.50 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.35% | -2.04% | -7.01% | -7.88% | +4.40% |
| 2020 | 10/09/2020 | 13.78 | neutral | -2.39% | -15.09% | -7.62% | -17.34% | +1.96% |
| 2019 | 10/09/2019 | 20.83 | neutral | +5.76% | -1.01% | -11.23% | -11.23% | +9.89% |
| 2018 | 10/09/2018 | 42.01 | near 52w low | +1.95% | -0.12% | -7.78% | -7.78% | +4.24% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 43.60 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.00% | +3.88% | +7.96% | +0.00% | +10.80% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 23.50 | near 52w high | -4.29% | -1.02% | +7.40% | -4.29% | +8.32% |
In window 11/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -4.20% · Win 30% · DD -8.12%20 days: Avg -1.45% · Win 40% · DD -10.44%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/09/2025 | 32.29 | neutral | +1.33% | -2.60% | +14.59% | -3.28% | +14.77% |
| 2024 | 11/09/2024 | 29.86 | far below SMA50 | +15.00% | +20.60% | +28.73% | +0.00% | +32.18% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 28.68 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +0.59% | -7.15% | -4.99% | -9.83% | +5.26% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 52.34 | neutral | -14.73% | -34.14% | -25.79% | -35.69% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 49.50 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.35% | -2.04% | -7.01% | -7.88% | +4.40% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 13.98 | neutral | -4.72% | -17.38% | -10.44% | -18.53% | +0.50% |
| 2019 | 11/09/2019 | 22.18 | volume x1.8 | -2.30% | -3.07% | -17.00% | -17.00% | +3.20% |
| 2018 | 11/09/2018 | 40.87 | near 52w low | +5.51% | +0.91% | -7.90% | -7.90% | +7.14% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 43.60 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.00% | +3.88% | +7.96% | +0.00% | +10.80% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 23.50 | near 52w high | -4.29% | -1.02% | +7.40% | -4.29% | +8.32% |
In window 12/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -4.36% · Win 20% · DD -9.06%20 days: Avg -2.93% · Win 40% · DD -11.36%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/09/2025 | 33.24 | neutral | -2.35% | -1.59% | +5.36% | -6.05% | +11.49% |
| 2024 | 12/09/2024 | 31.35 | neutral | +11.39% | +25.30% | +25.20% | +0.00% | +25.90% |
| 2023 | 12/09/2023 | 28.20 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +0.50% | -8.30% | +0.00% | -8.30% | +7.06% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 52.34 | neutral | -14.73% | -34.14% | -25.79% | -35.69% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 13/09/2021 | 49.22 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.54% | +4.75% | -3.92% | -7.35% | +5.00% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 13.98 | neutral | -4.72% | -17.38% | -10.44% | -18.53% | +0.50% |
| 2019 | 12/09/2019 | 22.56 | neutral | -2.75% | -6.96% | -17.15% | -18.40% | +1.46% |
| 2018 | 12/09/2018 | 42.02 | near 52w low | +1.45% | -3.66% | -14.18% | -14.18% | +4.21% |
| 2017 | 12/09/2017 | 45.00 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.67% | -0.58% | +4.20% | -0.78% | +7.36% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 23.50 | near 52w high | -4.29% | -1.02% | +7.40% | -4.29% | +8.32% |
Upcoming 24/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.02% · Win 70% · DD -3.83%20 days: Avg +4.25% · Win 70% · DD -6.48%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/09/2025 | 31.23 | neutral | +8.39% | +18.67% | +14.15% | +0.00% | +24.75% |
| 2024 | 24/09/2024 | 36.78 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +6.53% | +2.58% | +14.25% | -2.09% | +14.38% |
| 2023 | 25/09/2023 | 26.63 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +8.30% | +2.33% | -12.09% | -12.09% | +9.13% |
| 2022 | 23/09/2022 | 35.51 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -5.21% | +9.86% | +15.63% | -5.21% | +15.63% |
| 2021 | 24/09/2021 | 48.49 | far above SMA50 | +2.64% | -5.07% | +1.57% | -5.07% | +18.04% |
| 2020 | 24/09/2020 | 11.70 | far below SMA50 | -2.65% | +8.80% | +16.75% | -2.65% | +16.75% |
| 2019 | 24/09/2019 | 20.62 | neutral | -3.69% | -10.33% | +0.53% | -10.72% | +4.46% |
| 2018 | 24/09/2018 | 41.96 | near 52w low | -2.62% | -7.67% | -5.96% | -15.78% | +2.74% |
| 2017 | 25/09/2017 | 45.29 | far above SMA50 | +5.21% | +3.93% | +5.83% | -1.21% | +6.67% |
| 2016 | 23/09/2016 | 23.45 | near 52w high | +3.89% | +7.14% | -8.20% | -10.01% | +8.54% |
Upcoming 26/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.03% · Win 60% · DD -4.19%20 days: Avg +3.54% · Win 50% · DD -6.49%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/09/2025 | 32.71 | neutral | +5.47% | +7.06% | +20.51% | +0.00% | +22.71% |
| 2024 | 26/09/2024 | 39.28 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -2.83% | -0.08% | +6.98% | -3.95% | +7.10% |
| 2023 | 26/09/2023 | 25.86 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +6.92% | +9.05% | -9.36% | -9.47% | +12.37% |
| 2022 | 26/09/2022 | 34.47 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +8.47% | +12.68% | +13.64% | -2.35% | +19.12% |
| 2021 | 27/09/2021 | 51.56 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -4.62% | -8.28% | -0.76% | -10.73% | +11.02% |
| 2020 | 25/09/2020 | 11.55 | far below SMA50 | +2.34% | +8.40% | +16.62% | -1.39% | +18.27% |
| 2019 | 26/09/2019 | 20.99 | neutral | -9.24% | -10.96% | -1.19% | -12.29% | +2.62% |
| 2018 | 26/09/2018 | 40.48 | near 52w low · volume x2.1 | +5.95% | -10.92% | -15.51% | -15.51% | +6.50% |
| 2017 | 26/09/2017 | 44.74 | far above SMA50 | +7.98% | +4.81% | +11.94% | +0.00% | +11.94% |
| 2016 | 26/09/2016 | 23.26 | near 52w high | +4.55% | +8.51% | -7.51% | -9.26% | +9.44% |
Upcoming 27/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.44% · Win 60% · DD -5.08%20 days: Avg +3.26% · Win 60% · DD -7.04%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/09/2025 | 32.71 | neutral | +5.47% | +7.06% | +20.51% | +0.00% | +22.71% |
| 2024 | 27/09/2024 | 39.27 | far above SMA50 | -0.38% | +4.46% | +4.66% | -3.92% | +7.13% |
| 2023 | 27/09/2023 | 26.20 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +3.66% | +7.02% | -9.01% | -10.65% | +10.92% |
| 2022 | 27/09/2022 | 34.70 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +15.94% | +9.08% | +19.57% | -3.00% | +19.57% |
| 2021 | 27/09/2021 | 51.56 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -4.62% | -8.28% | -0.76% | -10.73% | +11.02% |
| 2020 | 28/09/2020 | 12.24 | far below SMA50 | -2.53% | +2.86% | +6.21% | -6.94% | +11.60% |
| 2019 | 27/09/2019 | 20.61 | neutral | -5.63% | -6.45% | +1.99% | -10.67% | +4.51% |
| 2018 | 27/09/2018 | 40.50 | near 52w low | +6.44% | -11.93% | -14.67% | -15.56% | +6.44% |
| 2017 | 27/09/2017 | 45.07 | far above SMA50 | +6.30% | +4.15% | +9.87% | +0.00% | +11.12% |
| 2016 | 27/09/2016 | 23.19 | near 52w high | +5.70% | -3.59% | -5.73% | -8.98% | +9.78% |
Upcoming 01/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.32% · Win 60% · DD -5.49%20 days: Avg +1.40% · Win 50% · DD -7.07%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/10/2025 | 33.85 | neutral | +9.48% | +7.71% | +14.95% | -0.18% | +18.58% |
| 2024 | 01/10/2024 | 39.18 | far above SMA50 | -3.70% | +5.41% | +4.80% | -3.70% | +7.38% |
| 2023 | 02/10/2023 | 28.84 | neutral | -5.51% | -7.04% | -11.83% | -18.83% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 30/09/2022 | 33.66 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +15.89% | +13.93% | +17.32% | +0.00% | +26.71% |
| 2021 | 01/10/2021 | 49.77 | far above SMA50 | -7.51% | +12.52% | -7.47% | -7.80% | +15.01% |
| 2020 | 01/10/2020 | 11.39 | far below SMA50 | +11.76% | +7.99% | +11.94% | +0.00% | +19.93% |
| 2019 | 01/10/2019 | 19.86 | neutral | -6.90% | -2.01% | +8.76% | -7.30% | +8.76% |
| 2018 | 01/10/2018 | 40.86 | near 52w low | -5.19% | -13.51% | -17.23% | -17.23% | +5.51% |
| 2017 | 02/10/2017 | 47.65 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.22% | +1.24% | -0.48% | -2.33% | +5.10% |
| 2016 | 30/09/2016 | 24.37 | near 52w high | +3.12% | -13.08% | -6.74% | -13.38% | +4.47% |
Upcoming 11/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.80% · Win 70% · DD -3.22%20 days: Avg +8.59% · Win 80% · DD -3.80%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/10/2025 | 35.02 | neutral | +2.71% | +12.56% | +6.85% | +0.00% | +14.62% |
| 2024 | 11/10/2024 | 41.02 | far above SMA50 | +1.68% | +0.20% | +9.43% | -2.03% | +11.65% |
| 2023 | 11/10/2023 | 28.04 | neutral | -5.42% | -14.98% | -8.56% | -16.51% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 11/10/2022 | 37.85 | far below SMA50 | +4.91% | +9.62% | +14.50% | -0.61% | +14.50% |
| 2021 | 11/10/2021 | 47.29 | neutral | +21.04% | +8.20% | +3.55% | -2.96% | +21.04% |
| 2020 | 12/10/2020 | 12.59 | neutral | +0.32% | +3.26% | +24.94% | -2.30% | +24.94% |
| 2019 | 11/10/2019 | 19.28 | volume x1.7 | +11.72% | +9.02% | +16.86% | -0.62% | +18.83% |
| 2018 | 11/10/2018 | 35.67 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +8.92% | -3.11% | +1.99% | -5.19% | +10.63% |
| 2017 | 11/10/2017 | 46.94 | near 52w high | +1.73% | +5.50% | -2.24% | -2.24% | +6.69% |
| 2016 | 11/10/2016 | 22.36 | near 52w low · volume x4.1 | -5.02% | -2.22% | +18.55% | -5.59% | +18.55% |
Upcoming 15/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.21% · Win 50% · DD -4.69%20 days: Avg +8.38% · Win 50% · DD -5.56%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/10/2025 | 36.46 | far above SMA50 | -2.22% | +6.72% | +10.09% | -3.03% | +10.09% |
| 2024 | 15/10/2024 | 41.30 | far above SMA50 | +1.74% | -0.58% | -0.61% | -2.69% | +10.90% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 26.81 | near 52w low | -12.68% | -5.15% | -7.85% | -12.68% | +3.58% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 38.35 | far below SMA50 | +7.07% | +2.97% | +24.59% | -1.90% | +24.59% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 56.00 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x4.0 | -12.05% | -17.77% | -7.08% | -18.05% | +2.21% |
| 2020 | 15/10/2020 | 12.30 | volume x2.2 | +11.06% | +3.66% | +26.99% | +0.00% | +30.00% |
| 2019 | 15/10/2019 | 19.46 | volume x2.0 | +6.53% | +11.00% | +13.98% | -1.54% | +17.73% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 35.34 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +11.66% | -4.30% | -4.56% | -4.56% | +11.66% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 48.24 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.64% | -1.70% | -10.59% | -10.84% | +3.81% |
| 2016 | 14/10/2016 | 21.18 | near 52w low | +1.66% | +7.30% | +38.89% | -0.34% | +38.89% |
Upcoming 22/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.56% · Win 70% · DD -4.55%20 days: Avg +9.06% · Win 60% · DD -5.81%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/10/2025 | 35.65 | neutral | +9.14% | +0.52% | +3.28% | -0.83% | +12.59% |
| 2024 | 22/10/2024 | 42.02 | far above SMA50 | -2.29% | +2.06% | +8.78% | -4.36% | +9.00% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 23.41 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +8.62% | +11.41% | +13.55% | +0.00% | +15.61% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 41.06 | neutral | -3.82% | +3.53% | +15.51% | -7.95% | +20.15% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 49.25 | neutral | -6.50% | -2.61% | -3.14% | -6.82% | +5.65% |
| 2020 | 22/10/2020 | 13.66 | neutral | -6.66% | +2.86% | +38.58% | -9.52% | +38.58% |
| 2019 | 22/10/2019 | 20.73 | neutral | +4.20% | +8.97% | -0.77% | -0.77% | +10.52% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 39.46 | neutral | -14.29% | -7.25% | -15.13% | -15.13% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 47.93 | near 52w high | -1.06% | -1.34% | -11.93% | -12.64% | +4.49% |
| 2016 | 21/10/2016 | 21.53 | near 52w low | +5.54% | +17.50% | +41.84% | -0.07% | +48.51% |
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.96% · Win 60% · DD -4.74%20 days: Avg +8.29% · Win 50% · DD -6.59%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/11/2025 | 35.74 | neutral | +12.00% | +2.74% | +23.14% | +0.00% | +23.39% |
| 2024 | 05/11/2024 | 42.78 | far above SMA50 | -4.28% | +6.59% | +7.22% | -5.12% | +10.85% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 25.97 | neutral | -5.28% | +1.93% | -2.81% | -5.35% | +6.82% |
| 2022 | 04/11/2022 | 42.40 | neutral | +12.41% | +11.58% | +9.72% | -4.06% | +18.84% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 47.86 | neutral | +8.48% | -0.54% | -4.81% | -8.52% | +8.48% |
| 2020 | 05/11/2020 | 14.05 | neutral | +11.17% | +34.73% | +68.90% | +0.00% | +68.90% |
| 2019 | 05/11/2019 | 22.59 | far above SMA50 | -1.81% | -8.94% | -12.53% | -12.53% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 05/11/2018 | 36.60 | neutral | -7.84% | -8.50% | -16.94% | -16.94% | +0.63% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 47.29 | neutral | -8.80% | -10.74% | -12.92% | -12.92% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 25.20 | near 52w high | +16.27% | +20.71% | +23.89% | -0.48% | +26.39% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+2.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -41.0% · from 52w low: +62.1%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -2.49% · +0.12% · -2.81% · -22.26% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -1.65% · +2.45% · -14.00% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -41.00% · +62.10% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 2.16 · 0.08x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -0.84% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -0.92% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +1.12% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 50.62 · 48.59 · 57.89 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 84.38 · 30.71 |
|---|
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