📡 AA — Alcoa

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/06/2026

Last price (Close)
65.55 -9.47%
Next window · Gann 45 · active
12/06/2026
Last window · Gann 60 · 08/06/2026
since -10.74%
Trend
Neutral

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 24/03/2026
55.06
Days: 54 trading / 78 calendar · return since: +19.05%
Last major high · 09/04/2026
75.70
Days: 43 trading / 62 calendar · return since: -13.41%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 24/03/2026 @ 55.06Gann 45Trading28/05/2026-9 (±2)Passed
High 09/04/2026 @ 75.70Gann 60Calendar08/06/2026-2 (±2)Active now
High 09/04/2026 @ 75.70Gann 45Trading12/06/2026+2 (±2)Active now
Low 24/03/2026 @ 55.06Gann 60Trading18/06/2026+6 (±2)Upcoming
Low 24/03/2026 @ 55.06Gann 90Calendar22/06/2026+12 (±3)Upcoming
High 09/04/2026 @ 75.70Gann 60Trading03/07/2026+17 (±2)Upcoming
High 09/04/2026 @ 75.70Gann 90Calendar08/07/2026+28 (±3)Upcoming
Low 24/03/2026 @ 55.06Gann 120Calendar22/07/2026+42 (±3)Upcoming
Low 24/03/2026 @ 55.06Gann 90Trading30/07/2026+36 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 28/05/2026 · Low Gann 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.65% · Win 44% · DD -6.70%20 days: Avg -1.83% · Win 33% · DD -10.76%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/05/202527.88neutral-1.83%+3.08%+7.35%-4.59%+7.35%
202428/05/202443.20near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.75%-6.92%-8.73%-13.43%+3.10%
202326/05/202333.69near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.7+0.27%+3.86%+2.20%-5.85%+8.93%
202227/05/202264.50far below SMA50-0.74%-22.73%-23.64%-27.72%+1.57%
202128/05/202139.67far above SMA50-4.87%-6.86%-9.02%-19.13%+3.30%
202028/05/20209.48far above SMA50 · volume x1.7+22.78%+9.92%+24.79%-2.85%+36.92%
201928/05/201922.55near 52w low · far below SMA50-2.93%-3.90%+0.00%-6.12%+0.22%
201829/05/201847.30neutral+4.55%+4.21%-3.17%-6.43%+5.98%
201726/05/201733.27neutral+0.15%-4.48%-6.28%-10.76%+0.69%
Active now 08/06/2026 · High Gann 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -7.29% · Win 22% · DD -11.28%20 days: Avg -4.50% · Win 33% · DD -12.23%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/06/202528.56neutral+1.58%+0.84%+7.07%-2.45%+10.36%
202407/06/202440.91neutral-7.36%-0.86%-1.42%-8.58%+3.74%
202308/06/202335.58neutral+1.10%-7.70%-4.05%-8.54%+3.15%
202208/06/202262.28far below SMA50-17.94%-25.14%-28.02%-32.42%+0.00%
202108/06/202138.62neutral-6.03%-12.20%-6.19%-16.93%+0.00%
202008/06/202012.98far above SMA50-12.10%-8.86%-13.48%-19.72%+0.00%
201907/06/201921.44near 52w low · far below SMA50+1.35%+5.41%+4.01%-1.26%+9.19%
201808/06/201848.52neutral-6.55%-6.10%-0.47%-8.78%+2.89%
201708/06/201733.50neutral-8.24%-11.04%+2.06%-11.37%+2.06%
Active now 12/06/2026 · High Gann 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.75% · Win 10% · DD -6.04%20 days: Avg +1.63% · Win 50% · DD -7.39%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/06/202528.86neutral-3.47%-1.35%+3.22%-3.47%+9.39%
202412/06/202439.71neutral-1.84%-2.24%-1.91%-5.82%+6.87%
202312/06/202334.99neutral-2.20%-1.60%+0.17%-7.00%+4.89%
202213/06/202249.84far below SMA50+0.48%-1.18%-13.34%-15.55%+2.55%
202111/06/202137.38neutral-14.18%-4.23%-0.24%-14.18%+1.44%
202012/06/202011.53far above SMA50-0.43%-5.20%-0.17%-8.76%+5.81%
201912/06/201921.17near 52w low · far below SMA50+5.81%+9.64%+6.28%+0.00%+10.58%
201812/06/201849.29neutral-9.78%-7.08%-2.50%-10.20%+0.00%
201712/06/201731.78volume x1.5-2.80%-1.89%+10.13%-6.58%+10.13%
201613/06/201622.40near 52w high+4.72%-2.36%+14.70%-2.36%+14.70%
Upcoming 18/06/2026 · Low Gann 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.03% · Win 60% · DD -4.39%20 days: Avg +4.18% · Win 60% · DD -5.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/06/202528.35neutral+5.57%+9.88%+6.98%-1.73%+11.36%
202418/06/202437.49neutral+5.17%+13.04%-4.91%-4.91%+13.20%
202316/06/202335.62neutral-7.38%-3.79%-1.63%-8.65%+3.00%
202217/06/202249.28far below SMA50+0.57%-14.59%-8.89%-17.19%+1.62%
202118/06/202132.08far below SMA50 · volume x1.6+11.60%+18.20%-1.43%-1.43%+18.20%
202018/06/202011.65far above SMA50+1.55%-5.84%+12.10%-9.70%+15.79%
201918/06/201922.54neutral+0.04%+3.37%+2.71%-1.42%+3.86%
201818/06/201845.78far below SMA50-3.32%+0.22%+4.89%-3.32%+5.48%
201719/06/201730.89neutral+0.94%+10.13%+17.93%-3.88%+17.93%
201617/06/201623.02near 52w high-2.09%-0.31%+13.99%-5.01%+13.99%
Upcoming 22/06/2026 · Low Gann 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.04% · Win 60% · DD -4.25%20 days: Avg +3.20% · Win 60% · DD -7.46%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/06/202528.71neutral+2.79%+6.27%+11.22%-1.88%+11.22%
202421/06/202440.40neutral-1.53%+3.12%-14.53%-14.53%+5.05%
202322/06/202333.41neutral+1.05%+2.04%-0.09%-2.60%+9.82%
202222/06/202248.90far below SMA50-2.62%-6.65%-7.67%-16.54%+1.35%
202122/06/202133.91neutral+10.68%+6.84%+9.38%-6.75%+11.83%
202022/06/202011.83far above SMA50-7.10%-5.07%+11.24%-11.07%+14.03%
201921/06/201922.60neutral+3.58%-1.33%+1.68%-1.68%+3.58%
201822/06/201845.56far below SMA50+2.90%+5.99%-9.28%-11.50%+5.99%
201722/06/201729.80neutral+11.34%+14.73%+22.89%+0.00%+23.22%
201622/06/201623.77near 52w high-7.99%-5.56%+7.18%-7.99%+10.41%
Upcoming 03/07/2026 · High Gann 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.24% · Win 60% · DD -6.57%20 days: Avg +0.06% · Win 60% · DD -9.17%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/07/202531.15far above SMA50-0.19%-2.63%-8.83%-8.83%+3.05%
202403/07/202442.38neutral-7.55%-15.88%-25.74%-25.74%+0.14%
202303/07/202334.27neutral+1.23%+2.25%+2.66%-5.05%+7.06%
202201/07/202244.78far below SMA50-4.58%-3.04%+7.82%-8.87%+13.64%
202102/07/202137.92neutral-1.66%-16.61%+3.90%-16.61%+5.88%
202002/07/202010.97far above SMA50+4.01%+19.05%+18.51%-4.10%+22.97%
201903/07/201922.70neutral-0.88%+3.13%-6.04%-6.04%+3.79%
201803/07/201845.80neutral+4.93%+4.72%-8.21%-11.97%+5.44%
201703/07/201734.02neutral+2.88%+7.08%+6.94%-0.73%+9.64%
201601/07/201622.95neutral+6.18%+14.35%+9.63%-3.77%+14.35%
Upcoming 08/07/2026 · High Gann 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.41% · Win 70% · DD -6.96%20 days: Avg +1.29% · Win 50% · DD -9.38%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/07/202530.51neutral-6.62%+4.65%-2.92%-6.92%+5.21%
202408/07/202441.66neutral-5.66%-17.11%-31.73%-31.73%+0.00%
202307/07/202334.09neutral+1.26%-2.08%-0.41%-4.14%+7.63%
202208/07/202244.83far below SMA50-3.95%+2.16%+10.46%-8.97%+13.52%
202108/07/202135.36neutral-2.32%+5.29%+9.59%-10.58%+14.20%
202008/07/202011.09far above SMA50+14.43%+17.85%+32.37%-5.14%+32.37%
201908/07/201922.30neutral+3.90%+3.05%-9.64%-9.64%+5.65%
201809/07/201848.29neutral-1.82%-14.41%-11.53%-16.50%+0.00%
201707/07/201734.19neutral+6.23%+7.11%+9.45%-0.15%+9.45%
201608/07/201623.60near 52w high+11.20%+7.64%+7.24%+0.00%+11.20%
Upcoming 22/07/2026 · Low Gann 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.58% · Win 60% · DD -4.93%20 days: Avg -1.14% · Win 40% · DD -7.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/07/202531.93far above SMA50-4.67%-7.23%-6.19%-11.06%+0.53%
202422/07/202434.53far below SMA50-4.37%-17.64%-1.21%-17.64%+0.00%
202321/07/202333.38neutral+4.13%+1.71%-12.96%-12.96%+8.42%
202222/07/202245.80far below SMA50 · volume x1.6+11.11%+8.12%+11.60%+0.00%+17.79%
202122/07/202137.23neutral+5.75%+4.08%-0.83%-0.83%+21.54%
202022/07/202013.07far above SMA50+0.84%+12.32%+17.14%-2.75%+19.13%
201922/07/201922.98neutral+0.61%-12.32%-20.67%-26.37%+2.52%
201823/07/201841.33far below SMA50 · volume x2.0+3.02%+3.36%+1.21%-1.09%+8.83%
201721/07/201736.62far above SMA50-2.68%+2.18%+3.11%-2.68%+8.08%
201622/07/201625.40near 52w high+0.47%-0.37%-2.55%-3.50%+1.61%
Upcoming 30/07/2026 · Low Gann 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.54% · Win 60% · DD -6.41%20 days: Avg +1.16% · Win 70% · DD -9.03%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/07/202530.12neutral-1.89%+5.71%+5.94%-5.71%+6.44%
202430/07/202431.77far below SMA50-7.49%-0.21%+8.32%-10.48%+9.14%
202331/07/202336.19neutral-5.61%-12.06%-21.07%-21.76%+0.00%
202229/07/202250.89neutral-2.69%+3.88%+9.95%-5.97%+12.08%
202130/07/202140.15neutral+1.39%+12.70%+9.91%-8.04%+12.70%
202030/07/202013.18far above SMA50+13.05%+9.86%+12.59%-1.37%+18.13%
201930/07/201923.04neutral-13.67%-17.06%-27.39%-27.39%+0.00%
201830/07/201842.58neutral+0.33%+4.39%+3.03%-3.99%+5.64%
201731/07/201736.40neutral+4.37%+2.17%+15.85%-0.05%+15.85%
201629/07/201625.52near 52w high-0.84%-3.96%-5.56%-5.56%+0.00%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-5.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -22.3% · from 52w low: +136.5%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-18.93% · -10.39% · -2.91% · -1.42%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-8.32% · -5.11% · +23.86%
Distance from 52w high / low-22.32% · +136.47%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg4.45 · 1.42x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-0.99%
vs SPY (20d)-1.18%
vs SMH (20d)-4.63%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20071.50 · 69.08 · 52.92
52w high / low84.38 · 27.72