🕰️ Time Machine
AAP — Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
42.97 -0.95%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 5 days
17/09/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 03/09/2026
since +0.58%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 20/07/2026
50.94
Days: 37 trading / 52 calendar · return since: -15.65%
Last major high · 05/08/2026
60.28
Days: 25 trading / 36 calendar · return since: -28.72%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 20/07/2026 @ 50.94 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 31/08/2026 | -7 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 20/07/2026 @ 50.94 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 03/09/2026 | -7 (±2) | Passed |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 60.28 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 03/09/2026 | -4 (±1) | Passed |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 60.28 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 04/09/2026 | -6 (±2) | Passed |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 60.28 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 17/09/2026 | +5 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/07/2026 @ 50.94 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 18/09/2026 | +8 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 60.28 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 19/09/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/07/2026 @ 50.94 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 22/09/2026 | +8 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 60.28 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 04/10/2026 | +24 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 60.28 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 08/10/2026 | +20 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/07/2026 @ 50.94 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 13/10/2026 | +23 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/07/2026 @ 50.94 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 18/10/2026 | +38 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 60.28 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 29/10/2026 | +35 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bullish Engulfing 04/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 04/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 28/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 31/08/2026
● Hammer Reversal 26/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 31/08/2026
● Shooting Star 18/08/2026
● Hammer Reversal 12/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 31/08/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.03% · Win 67% · DD -4.90%20 days: Avg -0.51% · Win 56% · DD -6.38%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/08/2025 | 60.99 | neutral | +0.02% | +5.21% | +3.21% | -3.75% | +5.21% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 45.31 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -14.54% | -9.20% | -13.95% | -14.96% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 31/08/2023 | 68.82 | volume x1.8 | -6.12% | -13.08% | -18.73% | -20.34% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 31/08/2022 | 168.64 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +6.91% | +0.28% | -4.48% | -5.67% | +7.62% |
| 2021 | 31/08/2021 | 202.85 | neutral | -1.32% | +1.66% | +7.38% | -1.77% | +8.22% |
| 2020 | 31/08/2020 | 156.31 | neutral | -2.93% | +0.36% | -2.79% | -6.16% | +1.15% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 137.95 | neutral | +6.87% | +13.14% | +19.95% | +0.00% | +19.95% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 164.03 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.77% | -0.32% | +3.43% | -0.32% | +3.55% |
| 2017 | 31/08/2017 | 97.90 | neutral | -3.95% | +1.64% | +1.39% | -4.46% | +2.25% |
Passed 03/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.22% · Win 44% · DD -4.38%20 days: Avg -0.93% · Win 56% · DD -6.26%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/09/2025 | 59.08 | neutral | +0.08% | +6.09% | +4.77% | -0.64% | +8.62% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 43.72 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -11.87% | -5.47% | -13.59% | -13.59% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 67.65 | neutral | -7.55% | -14.03% | -20.27% | -20.27% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 171.73 | near 52w low | +5.68% | -1.20% | -4.02% | -8.15% | +5.68% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 199.44 | neutral | -0.09% | +2.64% | +4.38% | -0.09% | +10.07% |
| 2020 | 03/09/2020 | 155.18 | neutral | -0.38% | -0.68% | +0.37% | -5.47% | +1.37% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 140.36 | neutral | +10.22% | +11.19% | +19.23% | +0.00% | +19.23% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 169.48 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.32% | -1.08% | -0.60% | -3.53% | +0.22% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 98.06 | neutral | -3.73% | +0.53% | +1.39% | -4.62% | +2.08% |
Passed 04/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.99% · Win 33% · DD -4.21%20 days: Avg -1.25% · Win 56% · DD -6.14%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/09/2025 | 60.06 | neutral | +3.56% | +0.10% | +3.46% | -2.26% | +6.84% |
| 2024 | 04/09/2024 | 42.42 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -8.60% | -0.83% | -12.38% | -12.38% | +0.02% |
| 2023 | 05/09/2023 | 67.56 | neutral | -14.95% | -11.69% | -20.96% | -20.96% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 171.73 | near 52w low | +5.68% | -1.20% | -4.02% | -8.15% | +5.68% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 199.44 | neutral | -0.09% | +2.64% | +4.38% | -0.09% | +10.07% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 153.75 | neutral | +2.32% | -3.30% | +1.54% | -4.59% | +2.32% |
| 2019 | 04/09/2019 | 141.89 | neutral | +11.96% | +8.39% | +14.89% | +0.00% | +17.95% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 169.48 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.32% | -1.08% | -0.60% | -3.53% | +0.22% |
| 2017 | 05/09/2017 | 96.73 | neutral | +0.55% | -1.94% | +2.39% | -3.31% | +3.48% |
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.97% · Win 60% · DD -4.33%20 days: Avg -2.69% · Win 50% · DD -7.53%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/09/2025 | 62.68 | neutral | -2.60% | -1.24% | -14.06% | -20.67% | +0.43% |
| 2024 | 17/09/2024 | 41.33 | far below SMA50 | -1.02% | -8.59% | -3.86% | -10.07% | +2.66% |
| 2023 | 18/09/2023 | 58.16 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -2.13% | -7.26% | -7.41% | -13.66% | +3.37% |
| 2022 | 16/09/2022 | 166.80 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -3.78% | -6.27% | +1.06% | -6.27% | +2.87% |
| 2021 | 17/09/2021 | 205.80 | neutral | +4.79% | +1.07% | +4.68% | -1.02% | +6.15% |
| 2020 | 17/09/2020 | 154.76 | neutral | -5.20% | +0.06% | +1.78% | -5.37% | +1.87% |
| 2019 | 17/09/2019 | 156.07 | neutral | +2.06% | +7.23% | +2.39% | -2.06% | +7.23% |
| 2018 | 17/09/2018 | 163.50 | near 52w high | +2.57% | +3.77% | +2.13% | -1.47% | +3.88% |
| 2017 | 18/09/2017 | 98.58 | neutral | -0.59% | +0.86% | -12.70% | -13.20% | +1.00% |
| 2016 | 16/09/2016 | 148.11 | near 52w high | +0.80% | +0.72% | -0.95% | -1.50% | +2.00% |
Upcoming 18/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.99% · Win 60% · DD -4.15%20 days: Avg -2.88% · Win 50% · DD -7.66%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/09/2025 | 60.12 | neutral | -0.48% | +3.36% | -10.45% | -17.29% | +4.71% |
| 2024 | 18/09/2024 | 42.07 | far below SMA50 | -5.87% | -11.65% | -7.58% | -11.65% | +0.86% |
| 2023 | 18/09/2023 | 58.16 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -2.13% | -7.26% | -7.41% | -13.66% | +3.37% |
| 2022 | 19/09/2022 | 168.18 | near 52w low | -6.24% | -2.86% | +1.00% | -7.04% | +2.02% |
| 2021 | 17/09/2021 | 205.80 | neutral | +4.79% | +1.07% | +4.68% | -1.02% | +6.15% |
| 2020 | 18/09/2020 | 153.88 | neutral | -2.90% | +1.05% | +0.72% | -4.83% | +2.46% |
| 2019 | 18/09/2019 | 153.79 | neutral | +5.56% | +6.00% | +5.87% | -0.60% | +8.82% |
| 2018 | 18/09/2018 | 167.65 | near 52w high | -0.16% | +0.48% | +0.47% | -3.91% | +1.31% |
| 2017 | 18/09/2017 | 98.58 | neutral | -0.59% | +0.86% | -12.70% | -13.20% | +1.00% |
| 2016 | 19/09/2016 | 148.44 | near 52w high | +1.16% | -0.97% | -3.44% | -3.44% | +1.77% |
Upcoming 19/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.75% · Win 50% · DD -3.90%20 days: Avg -2.08% · Win 40% · DD -7.45%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/09/2025 | 58.70 | volume x1.7 | +3.92% | +4.50% | -8.03% | -15.29% | +7.24% |
| 2024 | 19/09/2024 | 42.43 | far below SMA50 | -5.19% | -8.34% | -6.56% | -12.40% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 19/09/2023 | 59.66 | far below SMA50 | -7.89% | -10.49% | -7.90% | -15.83% | +0.77% |
| 2022 | 19/09/2022 | 168.18 | near 52w low | -6.24% | -2.86% | +1.00% | -7.04% | +2.02% |
| 2021 | 20/09/2021 | 203.71 | neutral | +7.24% | +1.70% | +9.23% | +0.00% | +9.23% |
| 2020 | 18/09/2020 | 153.88 | neutral | -2.90% | +1.05% | +0.72% | -4.83% | +2.46% |
| 2019 | 19/09/2019 | 152.80 | neutral | +4.96% | +4.62% | +7.17% | +0.00% | +9.48% |
| 2018 | 19/09/2018 | 169.60 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.12% | -1.14% | -5.87% | -5.87% | +0.15% |
| 2017 | 19/09/2017 | 94.85 | volume x1.7 | +2.95% | +4.42% | -7.07% | -9.79% | +4.97% |
| 2016 | 19/09/2016 | 148.44 | near 52w high | +1.16% | -0.97% | -3.44% | -3.44% | +1.77% |
Upcoming 22/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.75% · Win 30% · DD -3.68%20 days: Avg -2.15% · Win 50% · DD -7.30%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/09/2025 | 60.16 | neutral | +4.64% | -3.08% | -11.63% | -17.34% | +4.64% |
| 2024 | 23/09/2024 | 40.57 | far below SMA50 | -3.89% | -3.65% | +1.69% | -8.38% | +2.00% |
| 2023 | 22/09/2023 | 57.60 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -2.90% | -9.74% | -10.68% | -12.82% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 22/09/2022 | 164.11 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -2.71% | +0.63% | +3.76% | -4.73% | +6.47% |
| 2021 | 22/09/2021 | 211.21 | near 52w high | +2.63% | +0.04% | +7.31% | -1.91% | +7.31% |
| 2020 | 22/09/2020 | 150.11 | volume x1.8 | +1.07% | +3.36% | +1.94% | -2.44% | +5.03% |
| 2019 | 23/09/2019 | 161.22 | neutral | +2.59% | -1.83% | +2.98% | -4.27% | +3.77% |
| 2018 | 21/09/2018 | 168.44 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | -0.07% | -1.55% | -2.44% | -5.26% | +0.80% |
| 2017 | 22/09/2017 | 95.59 | neutral | +3.78% | -1.36% | -9.22% | -10.55% | +4.09% |
| 2016 | 22/09/2016 | 149.15 | near 52w high | -1.62% | -0.30% | -5.26% | -5.26% | +1.25% |
Upcoming 04/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.62% · Win 50% · DD -5.15%20 days: Avg -2.88% · Win 30% · DD -7.49%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/10/2025 | 61.34 | neutral | -18.93% | -11.99% | -22.78% | -22.78% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 04/10/2024 | 38.69 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | -2.35% | +3.61% | -5.68% | -7.13% | +6.63% |
| 2023 | 04/10/2023 | 52.38 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -2.14% | +2.14% | -1.10% | -7.43% | +4.90% |
| 2022 | 04/10/2022 | 167.83 | neutral | +0.61% | +4.11% | +12.78% | -3.88% | +13.61% |
| 2021 | 04/10/2021 | 207.17 | neutral | +2.39% | +7.41% | +8.66% | +0.00% | +12.81% |
| 2020 | 05/10/2020 | 155.86 | neutral | +0.25% | -1.67% | -2.87% | -6.33% | +1.15% |
| 2019 | 04/10/2019 | 159.94 | neutral | -0.86% | +2.23% | +3.05% | -3.51% | +4.30% |
| 2018 | 04/10/2018 | 165.71 | near 52w high | -2.82% | -2.12% | -1.33% | -3.94% | +1.92% |
| 2017 | 04/10/2017 | 94.93 | neutral | -5.83% | -7.50% | -14.94% | -14.94% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 04/10/2016 | 146.54 | near 52w high | +0.15% | -2.42% | -4.61% | -5.00% | +1.63% |
Upcoming 08/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.95% · Win 50% · DD -3.52%20 days: Avg +0.90% · Win 40% · DD -5.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/10/2025 | 52.59 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +2.43% | +7.23% | -7.01% | -9.93% | +8.93% |
| 2024 | 08/10/2024 | 38.85 | far below SMA50 | +2.28% | +0.41% | -1.12% | -7.52% | +6.19% |
| 2023 | 09/10/2023 | 51.36 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +4.85% | -5.20% | +10.86% | -5.59% | +11.80% |
| 2022 | 07/10/2022 | 161.32 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +4.49% | +6.21% | +12.24% | +0.00% | +18.19% |
| 2021 | 08/10/2021 | 214.15 | near 52w high | +0.60% | +8.32% | +7.28% | -1.79% | +9.13% |
| 2020 | 08/10/2020 | 157.66 | neutral | -0.09% | -3.00% | -0.78% | -7.40% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 08/10/2019 | 154.33 | neutral | +3.50% | +7.55% | +8.95% | +0.00% | +8.95% |
| 2018 | 08/10/2018 | 168.36 | near 52w high | -0.85% | -2.13% | -1.93% | -5.45% | +0.31% |
| 2017 | 09/10/2017 | 91.12 | neutral | -5.61% | -5.72% | -11.42% | -11.42% | +0.79% |
| 2016 | 07/10/2016 | 148.13 | near 52w high | -1.01% | -4.19% | -8.06% | -8.06% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 13/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.73% · Win 40% · DD -3.31%20 days: Avg +2.39% · Win 60% · DD -5.43%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/10/2025 | 54.05 | neutral | -2.13% | +4.20% | -12.03% | -12.80% | +5.46% |
| 2024 | 14/10/2024 | 39.47 | far below SMA50 | +3.83% | -6.03% | +2.71% | -9.58% | +3.83% |
| 2023 | 13/10/2023 | 50.75 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +0.89% | -1.67% | +10.60% | -4.93% | +15.03% |
| 2022 | 13/10/2022 | 171.58 | neutral | -0.76% | +9.62% | +6.96% | -1.75% | +11.13% |
| 2021 | 13/10/2021 | 210.32 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | +7.77% | +9.52% | +11.63% | +0.00% | +11.63% |
| 2020 | 13/10/2020 | 157.38 | neutral | -2.77% | -4.43% | -1.25% | -7.23% | +0.09% |
| 2019 | 14/10/2019 | 157.32 | neutral | +5.54% | +5.78% | +7.31% | +0.00% | +7.87% |
| 2018 | 12/10/2018 | 165.12 | near 52w high | -0.48% | -0.35% | +3.67% | -3.60% | +4.44% |
| 2017 | 13/10/2017 | 85.51 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +1.49% | -4.19% | -5.02% | -7.17% | +3.02% |
| 2016 | 13/10/2016 | 146.78 | near 52w high | -3.73% | -5.15% | -0.65% | -7.21% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 18/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.48% · Win 40% · DD -5.24%20 days: Avg +3.40% · Win 60% · DD -6.00%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/10/2025 | 53.72 | neutral | +1.56% | -12.27% | -6.87% | -12.27% | +6.11% |
| 2024 | 18/10/2024 | 39.82 | far below SMA50 | -7.73% | -8.97% | -5.35% | -10.37% | +3.47% |
| 2023 | 18/10/2023 | 53.24 | far below SMA50 | -6.39% | -3.17% | +4.56% | -9.37% | +9.69% |
| 2022 | 18/10/2022 | 174.73 | neutral | +3.82% | +8.33% | +5.27% | -2.55% | +9.12% |
| 2021 | 18/10/2021 | 222.52 | near 52w high | +3.42% | +1.16% | +8.71% | +0.00% | +8.71% |
| 2020 | 19/10/2020 | 153.25 | neutral | -1.33% | -1.22% | -1.43% | -4.73% | +2.73% |
| 2019 | 18/10/2019 | 163.50 | neutral | +1.26% | +0.81% | -0.51% | -4.50% | +3.79% |
| 2018 | 18/10/2018 | 162.19 | neutral | +0.60% | +0.81% | +10.40% | -1.86% | +13.89% |
| 2017 | 18/10/2017 | 87.81 | neutral | -5.12% | -8.04% | +4.29% | -9.60% | +9.01% |
| 2016 | 18/10/2016 | 142.99 | near 52w low · volume x1.7 | +0.57% | -2.24% | +14.92% | -4.76% | +14.92% |
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.15% · Win 70% · DD -3.73%20 days: Avg +3.81% · Win 70% · DD -5.50%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/10/2025 | 55.13 | neutral | -11.74% | -7.46% | -6.60% | -14.51% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 29/10/2024 | 35.85 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +6.44% | +11.32% | +22.29% | -0.45% | +22.29% |
| 2023 | 30/10/2023 | 51.33 | far below SMA50 | +10.38% | +8.98% | +0.60% | -1.95% | +13.77% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 190.67 | far above SMA50 | -5.03% | -2.24% | -21.00% | -22.64% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 29/10/2021 | 225.52 | near 52w high | +1.87% | +6.00% | +0.78% | -0.18% | +7.27% |
| 2020 | 29/10/2020 | 146.00 | neutral | +7.14% | +4.84% | +2.69% | -1.14% | +7.83% |
| 2019 | 29/10/2019 | 164.35 | neutral | +2.31% | -5.00% | -4.42% | -5.00% | +3.26% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 164.87 | near 52w high | +0.15% | +1.33% | +8.73% | -3.10% | +12.04% |
| 2017 | 30/10/2017 | 82.00 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -1.57% | +0.34% | +13.22% | -3.20% | +16.73% |
| 2016 | 28/10/2016 | 140.20 | near 52w low | -2.86% | +3.44% | +21.80% | -2.86% | +22.00% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-17.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -34.1% · from 52w low: +13.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +0.39% · -2.46% · -19.72% · -29.29% |
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| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -7.62% · -17.85% · -17.71% |
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| Distance from 52w high / low | -34.11% · +13.40% |
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| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 1.55 · 0.01x |
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Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -17.97% |
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| vs SPY (20d) | -17.99% |
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| vs SMH (20d) | -16.11% |
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Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 46.51 · 52.30 · 52.21 |
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| 52w high / low | 65.21 · 37.89 |
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