📡 AAP — Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/06/2026
Last price (Close)
59.36 -1.13%
Next window · Gann 60 · in 4 days
16/06/2026
Last window · Gann 30 · 04/06/2026
since +6.21%
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 20/03/2026
46.54
Days: 56 trading / 82 calendar · return since: +27.55%
Last major high · 22/04/2026
60.94
Days: 34 trading / 49 calendar · return since: -2.59%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 22/04/2026 @ 60.94 | Gann 30 | Trading | 04/06/2026 | -4 (±2) | Passed |
| High 22/04/2026 @ 60.94 | Gann 45 | Calendar | 06/06/2026 | -4 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 20/03/2026 @ 46.54 | Gann 60 | Trading | 16/06/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/03/2026 @ 46.54 | Gann 90 | Calendar | 18/06/2026 | +8 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 22/04/2026 @ 60.94 | Gann 60 | Calendar | 21/06/2026 | +11 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 22/04/2026 @ 60.94 | Gann 45 | Trading | 25/06/2026 | +11 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 22/04/2026 @ 60.94 | Gann 60 | Trading | 16/07/2026 | +26 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/03/2026 @ 46.54 | Gann 120 | Calendar | 18/07/2026 | +38 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 22/04/2026 @ 60.94 | Gann 90 | Calendar | 21/07/2026 | +41 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/03/2026 @ 46.54 | Gann 90 | Trading | 28/07/2026 | +34 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 04/06/2026 · High Gann 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.90% · Win 56% · DD -4.61%20 days: Avg +0.12% · Win 44% · DD -6.46%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/06/2025 | 51.68 | far above SMA50 | -0.31% | -6.06% | -0.12% | -10.45% | +3.04% |
| 2024 | 04/06/2024 | 65.21 | far below SMA50 | -2.25% | -1.43% | -8.20% | -8.43% | +1.43% |
| 2023 | 05/06/2023 | 65.59 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.5 | +1.98% | +3.64% | +8.49% | -3.06% | +8.49% |
| 2022 | 03/06/2022 | 190.73 | neutral | -5.92% | -11.24% | -3.58% | -12.49% | +0.01% |
| 2021 | 04/06/2021 | 192.76 | neutral | +3.47% | +0.81% | +10.05% | +0.00% | +10.05% |
| 2020 | 04/06/2020 | 142.20 | far above SMA50 | -6.38% | +4.05% | -0.09% | -6.38% | +6.79% |
| 2019 | 04/06/2019 | 154.61 | neutral | -1.58% | +0.14% | +3.39% | -2.99% | +3.39% |
| 2018 | 04/06/2018 | 129.91 | far above SMA50 | +2.17% | +6.41% | +3.73% | +0.00% | +7.43% |
| 2017 | 05/06/2017 | 135.57 | near 52w low | -3.41% | -4.40% | -12.62% | -14.36% | +0.00% |
Passed 06/06/2026 · High Gann 45/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.22% · Win 44% · DD -4.95%20 days: Avg -0.90% · Win 56% · DD -7.72%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/06/2025 | 52.50 | far above SMA50 | -7.68% | -1.09% | +6.11% | -11.85% | +6.11% |
| 2024 | 06/06/2024 | 64.56 | far below SMA50 | -0.98% | +1.86% | -8.15% | -9.05% | +2.45% |
| 2023 | 06/06/2023 | 66.07 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +3.92% | +4.01% | +5.89% | -3.77% | +7.70% |
| 2022 | 06/06/2022 | 190.74 | neutral | -9.73% | -9.18% | -3.87% | -12.50% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 07/06/2021 | 193.01 | neutral | +2.89% | +3.35% | +8.68% | +0.00% | +9.90% |
| 2020 | 05/06/2020 | 146.10 | far above SMA50 | -7.10% | -0.65% | -4.73% | -8.88% | +3.94% |
| 2019 | 06/06/2019 | 154.90 | neutral | -2.77% | -1.01% | +3.73% | -3.17% | +3.74% |
| 2018 | 06/06/2018 | 130.59 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.60% | +6.56% | +4.08% | -0.41% | +6.87% |
| 2017 | 06/06/2017 | 131.30 | near 52w low | +0.25% | -5.88% | -19.83% | -19.83% | +0.25% |
Upcoming 16/06/2026 · Low Gann 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.55% · Win 70% · DD -3.40%20 days: Avg +4.37% · Win 90% · DD -5.34%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/06/2025 | 48.46 | far above SMA50 | -0.41% | +2.08% | +29.08% | -4.50% | +29.64% |
| 2024 | 17/06/2024 | 64.17 | far below SMA50 | -0.75% | -5.56% | +0.83% | -9.76% | +3.07% |
| 2023 | 16/06/2023 | 69.22 | far below SMA50 | -2.79% | +2.50% | +0.49% | -5.13% | +2.80% |
| 2022 | 16/06/2022 | 165.45 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +10.67% | +4.95% | +11.98% | +0.00% | +14.06% |
| 2021 | 16/06/2021 | 196.92 | neutral | +2.44% | +4.71% | +6.80% | -1.32% | +8.96% |
| 2020 | 16/06/2020 | 142.66 | far above SMA50 | +5.30% | +0.02% | +0.88% | -6.09% | +6.45% |
| 2019 | 17/06/2019 | 151.74 | neutral | +0.43% | +3.24% | +6.64% | -1.15% | +6.64% |
| 2018 | 15/06/2018 | 137.16 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.28% | -1.02% | +1.87% | -1.98% | +2.81% |
| 2017 | 16/06/2017 | 130.16 | neutral | -7.96% | -10.38% | -21.80% | -22.94% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 16/06/2016 | 153.94 | near 52w high | +0.64% | +5.00% | +6.92% | -0.51% | +7.16% |
Upcoming 18/06/2026 · Low Gann 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.42% · Win 60% · DD -3.93%20 days: Avg +2.79% · Win 70% · DD -5.86%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/06/2025 | 48.55 | far above SMA50 | -4.68% | +6.32% | +26.44% | -4.68% | +29.40% |
| 2024 | 18/06/2024 | 64.28 | far below SMA50 | -3.87% | -6.88% | -4.31% | -9.91% | +2.89% |
| 2023 | 16/06/2023 | 69.22 | far below SMA50 | -2.79% | +2.50% | +0.49% | -5.13% | +2.80% |
| 2022 | 17/06/2022 | 167.81 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +9.43% | +8.64% | +13.61% | +0.00% | +13.61% |
| 2021 | 18/06/2021 | 193.33 | neutral | +5.74% | +9.17% | +6.38% | +0.00% | +10.42% |
| 2020 | 18/06/2020 | 147.71 | far above SMA50 | -3.25% | -3.97% | -1.93% | -9.45% | +2.63% |
| 2019 | 18/06/2019 | 154.83 | neutral | -0.17% | +3.24% | +1.87% | -3.13% | +4.52% |
| 2018 | 18/06/2018 | 138.24 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.66% | -2.52% | +1.52% | -2.75% | +2.00% |
| 2017 | 19/06/2017 | 129.60 | near 52w low | -5.98% | -8.59% | -22.57% | -22.61% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 17/06/2016 | 154.55 | near 52w high | -0.02% | +6.33% | +6.37% | -0.90% | +6.74% |
Upcoming 21/06/2026 · High Gann 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.52% · Win 60% · DD -5.21%20 days: Avg +3.43% · Win 70% · DD -5.77%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/06/2025 | 49.42 | far above SMA50 | -5.91% | +9.71% | +27.61% | -6.35% | +27.61% |
| 2024 | 21/06/2024 | 65.76 | neutral | -3.70% | -9.82% | -8.77% | -11.94% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 21/06/2023 | 68.72 | far below SMA50 | -0.93% | +1.80% | +2.24% | -4.44% | +5.79% |
| 2022 | 21/06/2022 | 171.73 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +4.09% | +5.85% | +12.19% | +0.00% | +12.19% |
| 2021 | 21/06/2021 | 198.47 | neutral | +3.04% | +5.15% | +5.93% | +0.00% | +7.56% |
| 2020 | 22/06/2020 | 151.60 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.9 | -5.84% | -9.84% | -2.78% | -11.77% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 21/06/2019 | 153.24 | neutral | +0.59% | +3.23% | +3.69% | -2.16% | +5.56% |
| 2018 | 21/06/2018 | 139.50 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -3.15% | -1.67% | +2.27% | -3.67% | +2.77% |
| 2017 | 21/06/2017 | 120.11 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -2.83% | -14.11% | -14.05% | -16.53% | +1.54% |
| 2016 | 21/06/2016 | 154.44 | near 52w high | +1.64% | +4.54% | +6.03% | -0.83% | +6.81% |
Upcoming 25/06/2026 · High Gann 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.31% · Win 60% · DD -4.50%20 days: Avg +3.82% · Win 80% · DD -4.50%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/06/2025 | 46.68 | far above SMA50 | +4.99% | +27.68% | +28.32% | -0.86% | +43.06% |
| 2024 | 25/06/2024 | 63.69 | neutral | -4.85% | -7.77% | -7.08% | -9.08% | +1.59% |
| 2023 | 26/06/2023 | 67.29 | far below SMA50 | +5.44% | +4.21% | +6.71% | +0.00% | +8.51% |
| 2022 | 24/06/2022 | 183.10 | neutral | -5.17% | -0.74% | +3.57% | -5.47% | +5.22% |
| 2021 | 25/06/2021 | 204.43 | near 52w high | +3.24% | +3.67% | +4.73% | +0.00% | +5.15% |
| 2020 | 25/06/2020 | 142.91 | neutral | -0.75% | -5.92% | +3.05% | -6.41% | +4.54% |
| 2019 | 25/06/2019 | 154.50 | neutral | +3.42% | +1.25% | +2.59% | -2.96% | +4.70% |
| 2018 | 25/06/2018 | 137.27 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.87% | +2.46% | +1.98% | -2.11% | +5.38% |
| 2017 | 26/06/2017 | 121.79 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -2.78% | -17.69% | -13.55% | -17.69% | +0.14% |
| 2016 | 24/06/2016 | 154.52 | near 52w high | +6.35% | +5.93% | +7.86% | -0.48% | +7.86% |
Upcoming 16/07/2026 · High Gann 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.45% · Win 70% · DD -3.08%20 days: Avg +1.10% · Win 70% · DD -4.26%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/07/2025 | 62.29 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +6.76% | -10.37% | -0.77% | -15.38% | +6.76% |
| 2024 | 16/07/2024 | 63.66 | neutral | -6.31% | -0.90% | -5.45% | -8.80% | +1.23% |
| 2023 | 17/07/2023 | 69.48 | far below SMA50 | +4.72% | +7.07% | +2.35% | -0.24% | +7.07% |
| 2022 | 15/07/2022 | 188.71 | neutral | +1.34% | +2.60% | +7.32% | -3.09% | +7.32% |
| 2021 | 16/07/2021 | 205.85 | near 52w high | +4.42% | +3.02% | +0.28% | -0.65% | +4.64% |
| 2020 | 16/07/2020 | 145.35 | neutral | +2.08% | +5.17% | +7.32% | -0.34% | +7.32% |
| 2019 | 16/07/2019 | 161.76 | neutral | -2.55% | -6.16% | -12.07% | -12.12% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 16/07/2018 | 139.67 | near 52w high | +3.57% | +0.72% | +3.70% | +0.00% | +5.81% |
| 2017 | 17/07/2017 | 101.74 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +1.41% | +10.09% | +7.45% | -1.42% | +12.52% |
| 2016 | 15/07/2016 | 164.59 | near 52w high | +0.87% | +3.20% | +0.86% | -0.54% | +3.58% |
Upcoming 18/07/2026 · Low Gann 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.79% · Win 70% · DD -2.45%20 days: Avg +0.78% · Win 70% · DD -4.82%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/07/2025 | 61.13 | far above SMA50 | -4.01% | -13.77% | -7.02% | -13.77% | +8.78% |
| 2024 | 18/07/2024 | 61.26 | neutral | -1.78% | +1.42% | +1.84% | -5.22% | +3.38% |
| 2023 | 18/07/2023 | 69.31 | far below SMA50 | +3.23% | +6.36% | +0.61% | +0.00% | +7.33% |
| 2022 | 18/07/2022 | 185.27 | neutral | +2.35% | +5.79% | +10.83% | -1.30% | +10.83% |
| 2021 | 19/07/2021 | 205.67 | near 52w high | +4.09% | +3.42% | +3.20% | -0.56% | +4.73% |
| 2020 | 17/07/2020 | 144.86 | neutral | +1.66% | +3.64% | +9.53% | +0.00% | +9.53% |
| 2019 | 18/07/2019 | 157.90 | neutral | -4.98% | -5.03% | -12.92% | -13.56% | +0.63% |
| 2018 | 18/07/2018 | 139.97 | near 52w high | +0.36% | -0.16% | +12.90% | -0.16% | +12.90% |
| 2017 | 18/07/2017 | 100.30 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +4.98% | +13.71% | -13.18% | -13.18% | +14.14% |
| 2016 | 18/07/2016 | 164.40 | near 52w high | +1.38% | +2.49% | +2.04% | -0.43% | +3.70% |
Upcoming 21/07/2026 · High Gann 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.05% · Win 70% · DD -3.75%20 days: Avg -0.80% · Win 40% · DD -6.51%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/07/2025 | 62.80 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -8.44% | -14.76% | -9.87% | -16.07% | +5.89% |
| 2024 | 22/07/2024 | 59.75 | neutral | +2.08% | -1.49% | +1.92% | -2.83% | +5.99% |
| 2023 | 21/07/2023 | 70.73 | far below SMA50 | +3.45% | +0.40% | -1.27% | -1.80% | +5.17% |
| 2022 | 21/07/2022 | 189.83 | neutral | +0.63% | +0.91% | +9.30% | -3.67% | +10.61% |
| 2021 | 21/07/2021 | 209.40 | near 52w high | +1.36% | +0.13% | -0.85% | -2.33% | +2.87% |
| 2020 | 21/07/2020 | 147.38 | neutral | -0.81% | +3.67% | +10.50% | -0.81% | +10.50% |
| 2019 | 22/07/2019 | 158.90 | neutral | -3.69% | -9.91% | -14.19% | -14.19% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 20/07/2018 | 142.67 | near 52w high | -1.98% | +1.41% | +11.95% | -2.05% | +11.95% |
| 2017 | 21/07/2017 | 105.27 | far below SMA50 | +4.69% | +5.45% | -11.41% | -17.28% | +8.75% |
| 2016 | 21/07/2016 | 164.09 | near 52w high | +3.81% | +3.71% | -4.06% | -4.06% | +3.90% |
Upcoming 28/07/2026 · Low Gann 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.32% · Win 40% · DD -3.47%20 days: Avg -4.03% · Win 30% · DD -9.01%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/07/2025 | 57.50 | far above SMA50 | -6.90% | +3.23% | +3.44% | -8.33% | +7.50% |
| 2024 | 29/07/2024 | 60.99 | neutral | -3.49% | -4.80% | -19.48% | -19.48% | +3.84% |
| 2023 | 28/07/2023 | 73.17 | neutral | -2.95% | -1.22% | -12.42% | -12.42% | +1.67% |
| 2022 | 28/07/2022 | 191.03 | neutral | +0.28% | +3.35% | -5.26% | -5.82% | +9.92% |
| 2021 | 28/07/2021 | 212.25 | near 52w high | -1.22% | -0.49% | -0.00% | -3.64% | +1.48% |
| 2020 | 28/07/2020 | 146.19 | neutral | +4.51% | +3.93% | +6.75% | +0.00% | +11.40% |
| 2019 | 29/07/2019 | 153.04 | neutral | -6.46% | -7.11% | -11.79% | -11.79% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 27/07/2018 | 139.85 | near 52w high | +3.45% | +4.65% | +17.53% | -0.07% | +17.53% |
| 2017 | 28/07/2017 | 110.21 | neutral | +0.73% | -2.60% | -13.08% | -20.99% | +3.87% |
| 2016 | 28/07/2016 | 170.34 | near 52w high · volume x2.2 | -0.09% | -2.13% | -5.96% | -7.58% | +0.09% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+6.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -15.2% · from 52w low: +56.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +3.92% · +1.89% · +12.81% · +12.10% |
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +6.75% · +6.13% · +12.18% |
| Distance from 52w high / low | -15.20% · +56.66% |
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 3.38 · 0.43x |
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +14.72% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +14.54% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +11.09% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 55.61 · 55.93 · 52.92 |
| 52w high / low | 70.00 · 37.89 |