🕰️ Time Machine
AAVE-USD — Aave
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 30/07/2026
Last price (Close)
98.40 +2.44%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 6 days
05/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 21/07/2026
since +2.96%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 06/06/2026
58.05
Days: 54 trading / 54 calendar · return since: +69.52%
Last major high · 10/05/2026
103.26
Days: 81 trading / 81 calendar · return since: -4.71%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 06/06/2026 @ 58.05 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 21/07/2026 | -9 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 06/06/2026 @ 58.05 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 21/07/2026 | -9 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 06/06/2026 @ 58.05 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 05/08/2026 | +6 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 06/06/2026 @ 58.05 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 05/08/2026 | +6 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 10/05/2026 @ 103.26 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 08/08/2026 | +9 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 10/05/2026 @ 103.26 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 08/08/2026 | +9 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 06/06/2026 @ 58.05 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 04/09/2026 | +36 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 06/06/2026 @ 58.05 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 04/09/2026 | +36 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 10/05/2026 @ 103.26 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 07/09/2026 | +39 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 10/05/2026 @ 103.26 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 07/09/2026 | +39 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakout 27/07/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 26/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 21/07/2026
● Hammer Reversal 18/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 21/07/2026
● Doji After Run 18/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 21/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 17/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 21/07/2026
● Failed Breakout 11/07/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 21/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +1.71% · Win 60% · DD -11.08%20 days: Avg +8.89% · Win 40% · DD -12.41%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/07/2025 | 322.47 | far above SMA50 | -8.54% | -19.05% | -4.90% | -22.60% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 21/07/2024 | 98.60 | neutral | -0.79% | +9.11% | -5.29% | -8.79% | +18.38% |
| 2023 | 21/07/2023 | 74.34 | far above SMA50 | -3.14% | -12.13% | -9.86% | -15.22% | +0.12% |
| 2022 | 21/07/2022 | 95.53 | far above SMA50 | -15.42% | +2.54% | +16.01% | -15.42% | +16.01% |
| 2021 | 21/07/2021 | 258.48 | neutral | +17.35% | +28.06% | +48.49% | +0.00% | +48.64% |
Upcoming 05/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +8.68% · Win 80% · DD -2.82%20 days: Avg +9.58% · Win 60% · DD -8.47%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/08/2025 | 255.24 | neutral | +20.15% | +17.49% | +24.69% | +0.00% | +39.96% |
| 2024 | 05/08/2024 | 96.08 | volume x2.6 | -2.80% | +12.67% | +41.11% | -4.95% | +49.62% |
| 2023 | 05/08/2023 | 64.37 | neutral | +4.11% | -1.30% | -11.62% | -14.75% | +4.61% |
| 2022 | 05/08/2022 | 102.82 | far above SMA50 | +7.79% | +4.42% | -9.13% | -19.42% | +11.89% |
| 2021 | 05/08/2021 | 373.05 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.0 | +2.89% | +10.12% | +2.83% | -3.22% | +14.58% |
Upcoming 08/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -1.67% · Win 40% · DD -6.82%20 days: Avg -0.29% · Win 60% · DD -11.65%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/08/2025 | 290.92 | neutral | +14.30% | -0.69% | +9.01% | -4.76% | +22.80% |
| 2024 | 08/08/2024 | 101.68 | neutral | -3.84% | +9.62% | +23.39% | -10.19% | +41.37% |
| 2023 | 08/08/2023 | 66.29 | neutral | -0.93% | -15.79% | -12.11% | -17.23% | +1.58% |
| 2022 | 08/08/2022 | 102.47 | far above SMA50 | +7.68% | -7.02% | -23.36% | -23.36% | +12.27% |
| 2021 | 08/08/2021 | 361.04 | far above SMA50 | +18.39% | +5.53% | +1.64% | -2.70% | +18.39% |
Upcoming 04/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -1.34% · Win 20% · DD -8.51%20 days: Avg -3.65% · Win 40% · DD -14.97%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/09/2025 | 306.98 | neutral | -2.90% | -0.14% | -9.33% | -11.90% | +4.80% |
| 2024 | 04/09/2024 | 135.27 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.4 | +3.67% | +3.58% | +23.03% | -7.45% | +27.20% |
| 2023 | 04/09/2023 | 54.65 | far below SMA50 | +2.85% | -0.61% | +13.03% | -4.64% | +19.86% |
| 2022 | 04/09/2022 | 88.86 | neutral | +2.57% | -5.94% | -15.54% | -18.93% | +4.47% |
| 2021 | 04/09/2021 | 398.21 | far above SMA50 | -17.07% | -3.61% | -29.45% | -31.90% | +4.70% |
Upcoming 07/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +3.10% · Win 80% · DD -5.67%20 days: Avg -0.06% · Win 40% · DD -12.05%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/09/2025 | 301.76 | neutral | +6.61% | +1.48% | -11.62% | -13.91% | +6.61% |
| 2024 | 07/09/2024 | 125.19 | far above SMA50 | +15.99% | +12.33% | +36.39% | +0.00% | +37.45% |
| 2023 | 07/09/2023 | 56.21 | far below SMA50 | -5.62% | +5.72% | +7.85% | -7.29% | +16.53% |
| 2022 | 07/09/2022 | 87.44 | neutral | +3.86% | -6.74% | -12.28% | -17.62% | +6.16% |
| 2021 | 07/09/2021 | 345.18 | volume x2.0 | -3.47% | +2.71% | -20.61% | -21.44% | +20.11% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+13.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -52.4% · from 52w low: +69.5%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +7.00% · +9.61% · +2.77% · +19.93% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +3.47% · +13.20% · -4.53% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -52.40% · +69.52% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 4.42 · 1.55x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +8.83% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +3.82% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +15.89% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 95.10 · 86.92 · 103.07 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 206.73 · 58.05 |
|---|
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