🕰️ Time Machine

AAVE-USD — Aave

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 28/10/2026

Last price (Close)
135.04 +0.93%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in 3 days
31/10/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 27/10/2026
since +0.93%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 16/09/2026
113.57
Days: 42 trading / 42 calendar · return since: +18.90%
Last major high · 06/10/2026
187.29
Days: 22 trading / 22 calendar · return since: -27.90%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 06/10/2026 @ 187.29Fib 13Trading📅 19/10/2026-9 (±1)Passed
High 06/10/2026 @ 187.29Fib 13Calendar📅 19/10/2026-9 (±1)Passed
High 06/10/2026 @ 187.29Fib 21Trading📅 27/10/2026-1 (±1)In window
High 06/10/2026 @ 187.29Fib 21Calendar📅 27/10/2026-1 (±1)In window
Low 16/09/2026 @ 113.57Cycle 45Trading📅 31/10/2026+3 (±2)Upcoming
Low 16/09/2026 @ 113.57Cycle 45Calendar📅 31/10/2026+3 (±2)Upcoming
High 06/10/2026 @ 187.29Cycle 30Trading📅 05/11/2026+8 (±2)Upcoming
High 06/10/2026 @ 187.29Cycle 30Calendar📅 05/11/2026+8 (±2)Upcoming
Low 16/09/2026 @ 113.57Cycle 60Trading📅 15/11/2026+18 (±2)Upcoming
Low 16/09/2026 @ 113.57Cycle 60Calendar📅 15/11/2026+18 (±2)Upcoming
High 06/10/2026 @ 187.29Cycle 45Trading📅 20/11/2026+23 (±2)Upcoming
High 06/10/2026 @ 187.29Cycle 45Calendar📅 20/11/2026+23 (±2)Upcoming
High 06/10/2026 @ 187.29Cycle 60Trading📅 05/12/2026+38 (±2)Upcoming
High 06/10/2026 @ 187.29Cycle 60Calendar📅 05/12/2026+38 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Hammer Reversal 27/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 27/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 22/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 19/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 21/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 19/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 20/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 19/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 19/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 19/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 12/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 19/10/2026 · High Fib 13/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.66% · Win 67% · DD -6.19%20 days: Avg +18.02% · Win 67% · DD -11.69%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202519/10/2025222.45far below SMA50+3.00%+2.30%-8.98%-15.24%+8.20%
202419/10/2024158.15neutral-6.79%-4.30%+15.11%-18.93%+16.07%
202319/10/202363.95neutral+30.29%+32.34%+56.22%+0.00%+56.22%
202219/10/202282.93volume x1.8+2.61%+2.86%-12.90%-12.90%+16.01%
202119/10/2021303.55neutral+1.56%+7.97%+9.44%+0.00%+11.79%
202019/10/202036.01neutral+9.56%-19.20%+49.25%-23.04%+49.25%
In window 27/10/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +7.10% · Win 67% · DD -9.72%20 days: Avg +11.21% · Win 50% · DD -17.47%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/2025235.23far below SMA50-5.28%-16.26%-26.43%-26.43%+0.00%
202427/10/2024147.67neutral-4.21%+17.55%+14.24%-13.18%+32.27%
202327/10/202378.43far above SMA50+13.45%+26.68%+16.24%+0.00%+28.39%
202227/10/202281.58neutral+3.38%+6.26%-28.45%-30.50%+17.93%
202127/10/2021324.77volume x7.7-0.22%-1.92%-14.15%-14.15%+4.48%
202027/10/202034.87volume x1.8-12.09%+10.28%+105.80%-20.52%+105.80%
Upcoming 31/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +26.96% · Win 50% · DD -10.98%20 days: Avg +16.50% · Win 50% · DD -15.81%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202531/10/2025228.49far below SMA50-11.59%-0.14%-27.99%-27.99%+1.24%
202431/10/2024143.45neutral-5.32%+32.71%+9.35%-10.63%+36.16%
202331/10/202381.45far above SMA50+9.56%+23.05%+10.79%+0.00%+23.64%
202231/10/202283.95neutral+14.61%-18.94%-33.09%-33.09%+14.61%
202131/10/2021314.17neutral+4.31%-0.45%-12.74%-16.48%+7.05%
202031/10/202029.71neutral+4.20%+125.54%+152.68%-6.71%+164.05%
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +13.19% · Win 50% · DD -10.52%20 days: Avg +11.99% · Win 50% · DD -15.21%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/11/2025202.00far below SMA50+12.96%-11.64%-11.46%-22.01%+12.96%
202405/11/2024135.82neutral+40.17%+20.94%+33.47%+0.00%+43.81%
202305/11/202389.24far above SMA50+12.31%+6.94%+11.51%-4.80%+12.85%
202205/11/202296.22far above SMA50-29.27%-36.53%-38.66%-41.87%+0.00%
202105/11/2021327.72neutral-4.57%-8.09%-22.60%-22.60%+2.62%
202005/11/202030.96neutral+116.44%+107.51%+99.66%+0.00%+153.41%
Upcoming 15/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.35% · Win 50% · DD -9.20%20 days: Avg +11.73% · Win 83% · DD -12.90%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/11/2025178.49far below SMA50-7.82%+0.20%+2.97%-11.74%+11.19%
202415/11/2024164.26volume x1.6-4.50%+10.36%+51.96%-4.50%+55.89%
202315/11/202395.43far above SMA50-5.44%+4.27%+3.44%-10.98%+9.42%
202215/11/202261.07far below SMA50-8.02%-3.37%+5.29%-8.42%+7.50%
202115/11/2021301.22neutral-8.99%-15.79%-36.34%-36.34%+0.00%
202015/11/202064.24volume x1.5+16.86%-3.79%+43.10%-5.45%+43.10%
Upcoming 20/11/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +10.66% · Win 83% · DD -7.52%20 days: Avg +12.61% · Win 83% · DD -11.43%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/11/2025164.54far below SMA50+8.69%+8.06%+19.75%-4.26%+23.20%
202420/11/2024156.86neutral+15.57%+35.08%+75.17%+0.00%+80.16%
202320/11/202390.24far above SMA50+10.27%+8.87%+8.39%-5.85%+15.72%
202220/11/202256.17far below SMA50+5.06%+16.34%+9.21%-0.44%+16.87%
202120/11/2021274.15far below SMA50-7.47%-6.22%-38.95%-38.95%+0.00%
202020/11/202075.07far above SMA50-17.66%+1.80%+2.11%-19.09%+22.45%
Upcoming 05/12/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +7.17% · Win 50% · DD -8.05%20 days: Avg +7.04% · Win 50% · DD -12.82%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/12/2025183.79neutral+7.21%+5.42%-18.91%-19.22%+10.30%
202405/12/2024249.61far above SMA50+10.08%+47.89%+47.79%+0.00%+53.86%
202305/12/202398.71far above SMA50-0.92%+9.75%+4.31%-7.24%+9.75%
202205/12/202264.30neutral-4.59%-5.34%-15.31%-16.44%+0.00%
202105/12/2021191.75far below SMA50-12.71%-9.63%+37.57%-15.30%+41.03%
202005/12/202091.92near 52w high · far above SMA50-16.62%-5.07%-13.19%-18.70%+0.00%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-9.9%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -27.9% · from 52w low: +132.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-6.33% · -11.11% · -18.70% · +6.49%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-10.63% · -9.90% · +25.53%
Distance from 52w high / low-27.90% · +132.64%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg8.03 · 1.04x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-16.61%
vs SPY (20d)-19.89%
vs SMH (20d)-11.81%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200151.10 · 149.88 · 107.57
52w high / low187.29 · 58.05