📡 ABR — Arbor Realty Trust

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 09/06/2026

Last price (Close)
5.31 +0.38%
Next window · Gann 30 · in 8 days
19/06/2026
Last window · Short 21 · 08/06/2026
since +0.38%
Trend
Strong downtrend

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 25/02/2026
7.11
Days: 72 trading / 104 calendar · return since: -25.32%
Last major high · 07/05/2026
8.54
Days: 22 trading / 33 calendar · return since: -37.82%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 07/05/2026 @ 8.54Short 13Trading27/05/2026-9 (±1)Passed
High 07/05/2026 @ 8.54Gann 30Calendar06/06/2026-3 (±2)Passed
High 07/05/2026 @ 8.54Short 21Trading08/06/2026-1 (±1)Active now
High 07/05/2026 @ 8.54Gann 30Trading19/06/2026+8 (±2)Upcoming
High 07/05/2026 @ 8.54Gann 45Calendar21/06/2026+12 (±2)Upcoming
Low 25/02/2026 @ 7.11Gann 120Calendar25/06/2026+16 (±3)Upcoming
Low 25/02/2026 @ 7.11Gann 90Trading03/07/2026+18 (±3)Upcoming
High 07/05/2026 @ 8.54Gann 60Calendar06/07/2026+27 (±2)Upcoming
High 07/05/2026 @ 8.54Gann 45Trading10/07/2026+23 (±2)Upcoming
Low 25/02/2026 @ 7.11Gann 144Calendar19/07/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming
High 07/05/2026 @ 8.54Gann 60Trading31/07/2026+38 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 27/05/2026 · High Short 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.70% · Win 78% · DD -3.47%20 days: Avg +2.51% · Win 78% · DD -5.05%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/05/20259.86far below SMA50-1.42%+5.88%+5.98%-4.16%+7.00%
202428/05/202413.26neutral+3.77%+1.21%+7.39%-1.51%+7.39%
202326/05/202312.64far above SMA50+7.36%+11.00%+13.13%-0.24%+14.16%
202227/05/202216.62neutral-2.89%-16.00%-19.61%-25.93%+0.00%
202127/05/202118.16near 52w high+2.20%+5.18%+1.27%-4.18%+6.99%
202027/05/20208.51far above SMA50+8.58%+17.04%+11.75%-1.06%+29.26%
201928/05/201912.90neutral-2.40%-6.59%-6.74%-6.74%+0.00%
201825/05/20189.44near 52w high-0.32%+3.39%+6.99%-1.17%+8.16%
201726/05/20178.19neutral+0.12%+3.17%+2.44%-0.49%+3.66%
Passed 06/06/2026 · High Gann 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.20% · Win 44% · DD -5.78%20 days: Avg +0.07% · Win 56% · DD -6.11%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/06/202510.26neutral+0.97%+1.75%+7.02%-1.36%+7.80%
202406/06/202414.12neutral-2.05%+0.00%+5.45%-4.96%+5.45%
202306/06/202313.91far above SMA50+1.94%+3.74%+5.10%-3.38%+8.20%
202206/06/202216.14near 52w low-13.51%-19.89%-16.85%-23.73%+0.37%
202107/06/202119.02near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.16%-5.57%-6.83%-8.52%+2.16%
202005/06/20209.73far above SMA50+1.34%-0.62%-8.02%-8.02%+13.05%
201906/06/201912.43neutral-2.09%+0.00%-0.80%-4.99%+0.64%
201806/06/20189.49near 52w high+4.74%+6.74%+12.33%+0.00%+12.33%
201706/06/20178.15neutral+3.07%+3.07%+3.19%+0.00%+4.17%
Active now 08/06/2026 · High Short 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.44% · Win 33% · DD -7.00%20 days: Avg -1.21% · Win 44% · DD -8.01%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/06/202510.42neutral-0.38%+1.25%+5.47%-2.88%+6.14%
202407/06/202413.52neutral+1.26%+5.03%+9.84%-0.74%+10.13%
202308/06/202314.13far above SMA50+0.42%-3.40%+8.21%-4.88%+8.21%
202208/06/202215.88near 52w low-17.00%-17.57%-12.91%-22.48%+0.00%
202108/06/202119.18near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.65%-5.42%-8.13%-9.28%+1.30%
202008/06/202011.00far above SMA50 · volume x1.5-12.36%-12.64%-23.52%-23.52%+0.00%
201907/06/201912.51neutral-1.68%-1.92%-0.88%-5.60%+0.00%
201808/06/20189.54near 52w high+4.19%+5.03%+13.73%+0.00%+13.73%
201708/06/20178.41neutral-0.59%-1.31%-2.73%-2.73%+0.95%
Upcoming 19/06/2026 · High Gann 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.22% · Win 70% · DD -1.71%20 days: Avg +4.57% · Win 50% · DD -3.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/06/202510.23neutral+4.99%+6.55%+9.58%-1.08%+10.95%
202418/06/202413.96neutral+2.01%+5.30%-6.52%-7.66%+11.25%
202320/06/202313.44far above SMA50+6.40%+11.98%+25.30%+0.00%+25.30%
202217/06/202212.86far below SMA50 · volume x1.8+5.05%+6.45%+14.93%+0.00%+14.93%
202118/06/202117.40volume x2.1+5.69%+2.13%-0.63%-0.63%+6.55%
202019/06/20209.67far above SMA50-4.24%-7.45%-8.51%-19.31%+4.24%
201919/06/201912.41neutral-4.67%-1.85%-2.26%-4.83%+0.16%
201819/06/201810.07near 52w high+0.70%+5.16%+11.42%-0.50%+15.99%
201719/06/20178.41neutral-0.24%+0.00%-2.62%-3.57%+0.59%
201620/06/20166.84near 52w high-1.90%+3.95%+4.97%-1.90%+6.58%
Upcoming 21/06/2026 · High Gann 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.63% · Win 80% · DD -2.50%20 days: Avg +4.40% · Win 50% · DD -4.47%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/06/202510.12neutral+4.35%+5.73%+11.56%+0.00%+12.15%
202421/06/202414.12neutral+1.63%+5.45%-5.17%-8.71%+9.99%
202321/06/202314.43far above SMA50 · volume x4.8-0.28%+1.32%+15.45%-5.41%+16.70%
202221/06/202212.93far below SMA50+3.33%+3.79%+15.16%-0.23%+15.16%
202121/06/202117.96neutral+0.84%-1.34%-1.11%-3.73%+3.23%
202022/06/20209.61far above SMA50-1.71%-12.46%-6.98%-18.81%+4.89%
201921/06/201912.27neutral-1.22%+1.06%-1.63%-3.75%+1.22%
201821/06/201810.08near 52w high+3.67%+7.64%+11.41%-0.60%+15.87%
201721/06/20178.30neutral+1.93%+0.24%-0.24%-2.29%+1.93%
201621/06/20166.79near 52w high+1.47%+4.86%+5.60%-1.18%+7.36%
Upcoming 25/06/2026 · Low Gann 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.94% · Win 70% · DD -3.97%20 days: Avg +3.70% · Win 60% · DD -4.94%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/06/202510.45neutral+5.84%+7.66%+15.02%+0.00%+15.22%
202425/06/202414.14neutral+2.90%+6.72%-7.85%-8.84%+9.83%
202326/06/202313.94far above SMA50+7.96%+12.55%+15.06%+0.00%+20.80%
202224/06/202213.66far below SMA50-1.39%+0.66%+13.62%-4.03%+13.62%
202125/06/202118.39volume x2.2-3.37%-0.60%-2.28%-5.98%+0.00%
202025/06/202010.08far above SMA50-9.16%-18.59%-9.16%-22.59%+0.00%
201925/06/201912.03neutral+0.66%+2.49%+0.83%-1.83%+3.24%
201825/06/201810.10near 52w high+4.46%+6.93%+9.70%-0.30%+15.64%
201726/06/20178.39neutral+0.24%-2.50%-1.91%-3.34%+0.83%
201624/06/20166.88near 52w high+3.05%+4.07%+3.92%-2.47%+5.96%
Upcoming 03/07/2026 · Low Gann 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.37% · Win 50% · DD -3.95%20 days: Avg +4.91% · Win 80% · DD -4.04%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/07/202510.90neutral+3.21%+2.84%+2.75%-1.83%+10.83%
202403/07/202414.70neutral+5.65%-11.22%-10.20%-12.31%+5.65%
202303/07/202315.05far above SMA50+4.25%+8.44%+8.70%-2.86%+17.08%
202201/07/202213.47far below SMA50+2.08%+5.05%+22.87%-0.37%+23.39%
202102/07/202117.77neutral+2.87%-2.70%+2.03%-2.70%+2.87%
202002/07/20208.86neutral-10.38%-2.48%+15.01%-14.79%+15.01%
201903/07/201912.18neutral+1.31%-0.41%+0.57%-1.31%+1.97%
201803/07/201810.59near 52w high · far above SMA50+3.31%+5.95%+7.46%+0.00%+10.29%
201703/07/20178.41neutral-2.73%-2.62%-1.19%-3.57%+0.00%
201601/07/20167.09near 52w high+0.99%+0.85%+1.13%-0.71%+2.82%
Upcoming 06/07/2026 · High Gann 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.04% · Win 60% · DD -3.37%20 days: Avg +6.23% · Win 80% · DD -3.44%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/07/202510.70neutral+5.42%+5.51%+6.45%+0.00%+12.90%
202405/07/202414.74neutral-12.55%-11.06%-9.50%-12.55%+5.36%
202306/07/202314.62far above SMA50+8.76%+13.95%+12.72%+0.00%+20.52%
202206/07/202213.42far below SMA50+4.02%+10.95%+15.13%+0.00%+23.85%
202106/07/202117.72neutral+1.52%+0.23%+0.85%-2.43%+3.16%
202006/07/20208.66neutral-7.97%-1.15%+24.13%-12.82%+24.13%
201905/07/201912.33neutral+0.73%-1.78%+3.65%-2.51%+3.65%
201806/07/201810.85near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.37%+3.50%+8.20%-0.46%+8.20%
201706/07/20178.32neutral-1.32%-0.48%-1.20%-2.52%+0.60%
201606/07/20167.12near 52w high+1.83%+0.70%+1.83%-1.12%+2.39%
Upcoming 10/07/2026 · High Gann 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.51% · Win 60% · DD -2.51%20 days: Avg +7.49% · Win 90% · DD -2.62%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/07/202511.25neutral+0.89%+6.84%+4.53%-1.69%+7.38%
202410/07/202415.09neutral-10.60%-13.65%-12.06%-14.58%+2.92%
202310/07/202315.29far above SMA50+5.17%+6.54%+9.48%+0.00%+15.24%
202211/07/202213.75far below SMA50+2.91%+12.87%+16.58%-1.60%+20.87%
202109/07/202118.11neutral-2.15%-2.26%+1.38%-4.53%+1.38%
202010/07/20207.94neutral+8.82%+11.59%+43.58%+0.00%+43.58%
201910/07/201912.33neutral-1.46%-1.62%+1.78%-2.51%+3.65%
201810/07/201810.80near 52w high · far above SMA50+8.15%+2.59%+5.83%+0.00%+8.70%
201710/07/20178.11neutral+1.48%+2.34%+1.85%+0.00%+3.21%
201611/07/20167.16near 52w high-0.14%-0.14%+1.96%-1.26%+2.65%
Upcoming 19/07/2026 · Low Gann 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.88% · Win 70% · DD -1.02%20 days: Avg +6.80% · Win 80% · DD -1.17%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/07/202511.21neutral+7.76%-0.09%+6.15%-0.45%+7.76%
202419/07/202413.11neutral+3.89%+1.75%+5.33%-0.61%+5.57%
202319/07/202316.84near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.78%-3.38%-5.69%-5.69%+4.63%
202219/07/202214.78neutral+5.62%+2.77%+9.72%+0.00%+12.45%
202119/07/202117.29volume x1.7+3.93%+4.86%+7.51%+0.00%+8.63%
202020/07/20208.56neutral+3.62%+25.58%+33.16%+0.00%+38.20%
201919/07/201912.11neutral+0.00%+5.53%+3.19%-0.74%+5.53%
201819/07/201811.21near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.27%+1.52%+5.14%-1.16%+5.14%
201719/07/20178.31neutral-0.84%+0.00%-0.33%-1.56%+0.72%
201619/07/20167.18near 52w high-1.53%+0.28%+3.81%-1.53%+4.38%
Upcoming 31/07/2026 · High Gann 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.73% · Win 80% · DD -1.78%20 days: Avg +4.50% · Win 70% · DD -2.38%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202531/07/202511.16volume x1.8+5.38%+6.81%+8.65%+0.00%+8.74%
202431/07/202413.50neutral-1.70%+0.74%+3.59%-2.22%+4.05%
202331/07/202316.91near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.0-1.01%-2.38%-4.08%-8.75%+0.00%
202201/08/202216.55far above SMA50-3.14%-2.82%-5.48%-8.22%+0.00%
202130/07/202118.28neutral+0.44%+2.74%+2.24%-3.17%+2.74%
202031/07/202010.19far above SMA50 · volume x1.9+11.87%+14.28%+17.20%+0.00%+17.20%
201931/07/201912.19neutral+2.95%+0.42%+4.87%+0.00%+5.96%
201831/07/201811.37near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.53%+2.86%+8.52%-0.44%+8.70%
201731/07/20178.25volume x1.8+0.12%+0.14%-0.48%-0.97%+0.73%
201601/08/20167.17near 52w high+1.81%+4.52%+9.94%+0.00%+10.08%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-23.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -57.8% · from 52w low: +2.1%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-2.03% · -2.21% · -17.91% · -28.72%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-5.52% · -23.12% · -39.43%
Distance from 52w high / low-57.79% · +2.12%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.27 · 0.59x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)
vs SPY (20d)
vs SMH (20d)

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 2005.62 · 6.91 · 8.77
52w high / low12.58 · 5.20