🕰️ Time Machine
ABR — Arbor Realty Trust
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
4.82 -2.03%
Next window · Fib 21 · in window
10/09/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 31/08/2026
since -3.79%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 31/07/2026
4.73
Days: 28 trading / 41 calendar · return since: +1.90%
Last major high · 11/08/2026
5.48
Days: 21 trading / 30 calendar · return since: -12.04%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 11/08/2026 @ 5.48 | Fib 13 | Trading | 📅 28/08/2026 | -8 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 31/07/2026 @ 4.73 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 31/08/2026 | -7 (±1) | Passed |
| High 11/08/2026 @ 5.48 | Fib 21 | Calendar | 📅 01/09/2026 | -9 (±1) | Passed |
| High 11/08/2026 @ 5.48 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 10/09/2026 | +0 (±1) | In window |
| High 11/08/2026 @ 5.48 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 10/09/2026 | +0 (±2) | In window |
| Low 31/07/2026 @ 4.73 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 14/09/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| Low 31/07/2026 @ 4.73 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 14/09/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 11/08/2026 @ 5.48 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 23/09/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 11/08/2026 @ 5.48 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 25/09/2026 | +15 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 31/07/2026 @ 4.73 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 29/09/2026 | +19 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 31/07/2026 @ 4.73 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 05/10/2026 | +17 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 11/08/2026 @ 5.48 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 10/10/2026 | +30 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 11/08/2026 @ 5.48 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 14/10/2026 | +24 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 31/07/2026 @ 4.73 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 26/10/2026 | +32 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 11/08/2026 @ 5.48 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 04/11/2026 | +39 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 10/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 10/09/2026
● Gap Day 10/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 10/09/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 04/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 01/09/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 28/08/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 28/08/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 25/08/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 28/08/2026
● NR7 Compression 25/08/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 28/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 28/08/2026 · High Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.19% · Win 44% · DD -1.95%20 days: Avg -1.05% · Win 56% · DD -5.53%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/08/2025 | 11.82 | neutral | +2.96% | -1.02% | +1.95% | -2.37% | +2.96% |
| 2024 | 28/08/2024 | 13.55 | neutral | -3.39% | +3.32% | +14.46% | -3.76% | +14.46% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 15.80 | neutral | +1.01% | -0.38% | -6.77% | -6.77% | +2.28% |
| 2022 | 29/08/2022 | 15.26 | neutral | -4.39% | -3.08% | -20.58% | -20.58% | +0.59% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 18.34 | neutral | -0.27% | -1.20% | +1.20% | -2.73% | +1.20% |
| 2020 | 28/08/2020 | 11.62 | far above SMA50 | -2.58% | +1.72% | +2.24% | -4.82% | +5.08% |
| 2019 | 28/08/2019 | 12.49 | neutral | +0.56% | +2.24% | +5.04% | -1.12% | +5.60% |
| 2018 | 28/08/2018 | 12.07 | near 52w high | +0.17% | -0.25% | -6.96% | -6.96% | +1.57% |
| 2017 | 28/08/2017 | 8.03 | neutral | +0.87% | +0.37% | +0.00% | -0.62% | +2.62% |
Passed 31/08/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.64% · Win 44% · DD -2.23%20 days: Avg -1.37% · Win 56% · DD -6.21%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/08/2025 | 11.94 | neutral | +0.42% | -2.26% | +0.67% | -3.35% | +1.93% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 13.60 | neutral | -0.96% | +7.06% | +14.41% | -4.12% | +15.15% |
| 2023 | 31/08/2023 | 15.96 | volume x2.7 | -0.31% | +0.44% | -4.89% | -7.71% | +1.25% |
| 2022 | 31/08/2022 | 14.98 | neutral | -0.87% | -1.47% | -22.70% | -22.70% | +2.47% |
| 2021 | 31/08/2021 | 18.28 | neutral | -1.09% | -0.60% | +1.04% | -2.41% | +1.53% |
| 2020 | 31/08/2020 | 11.32 | far above SMA50 | +0.00% | +4.24% | +1.68% | -2.30% | +7.86% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 12.55 | neutral | -0.72% | +2.23% | +4.46% | -1.59% | +5.10% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 12.26 | near 52w high | -1.22% | -1.96% | -7.01% | -8.40% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 31/08/2017 | 8.20 | neutral | -2.44% | -1.95% | +0.00% | -3.29% | +0.49% |
Passed 01/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.78% · Win 44% · DD -2.07%20 days: Avg -1.37% · Win 67% · DD -6.26%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 11.68 | neutral | +1.37% | -1.20% | +4.54% | -1.20% | +4.54% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 13.60 | neutral | -0.96% | +7.06% | +14.41% | -4.12% | +15.15% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 16.16 | neutral | -1.05% | -2.48% | -10.83% | -10.83% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 01/09/2022 | 14.56 | volume x1.5 | +4.40% | +0.76% | -21.02% | -21.02% | +5.43% |
| 2021 | 01/09/2021 | 18.31 | neutral | -0.44% | -0.93% | +1.20% | -2.57% | +1.37% |
| 2020 | 01/09/2020 | 11.39 | far above SMA50 | +2.28% | +6.32% | +0.70% | -2.90% | +7.20% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 12.55 | neutral | -0.72% | +2.23% | +4.46% | -1.59% | +5.10% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 12.26 | near 52w high | -1.22% | -1.96% | -7.01% | -8.40% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 8.24 | neutral | -1.70% | -2.79% | +1.21% | -3.76% | +1.21% |
In window 10/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.26% · Win 40% · DD -4.00%20 days: Avg -1.02% · Win 60% · DD -6.22%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/09/2025 | 11.74 | neutral | +0.34% | +2.04% | +2.98% | -1.70% | +6.13% |
| 2024 | 10/09/2024 | 13.55 | neutral | +8.34% | +14.39% | +9.96% | -0.81% | +15.57% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 15.99 | neutral | -1.44% | -7.50% | -11.26% | -15.26% | +0.25% |
| 2022 | 09/09/2022 | 15.20 | neutral | -3.49% | -15.07% | -22.04% | -24.34% | +0.99% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 17.98 | neutral | +0.56% | +2.17% | +6.51% | -0.78% | +6.51% |
| 2020 | 10/09/2020 | 11.51 | far above SMA50 | +5.73% | -2.95% | +3.30% | -3.91% | +6.08% |
| 2019 | 10/09/2019 | 12.60 | neutral | +2.06% | +3.17% | +3.97% | +0.00% | +4.68% |
| 2018 | 10/09/2018 | 12.11 | near 52w high | -0.74% | -5.45% | -4.54% | -7.27% | +0.58% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 8.10 | neutral | -1.11% | -1.48% | +3.83% | -2.10% | +4.32% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 7.61 | near 52w high | -1.18% | -1.97% | -2.89% | -6.04% | +0.66% |
In window 14/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.90% · Win 70% · DD -4.57%20 days: Avg -1.83% · Win 50% · DD -6.15%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/09/2025 | 11.67 | neutral | +0.60% | +3.00% | -0.43% | -2.40% | +6.77% |
| 2024 | 13/09/2024 | 14.46 | volume x1.5 | +3.73% | +8.30% | +4.08% | +0.00% | +8.30% |
| 2023 | 14/09/2023 | 15.87 | neutral | -6.30% | -4.03% | -9.83% | -14.62% | +1.01% |
| 2022 | 14/09/2022 | 15.11 | neutral | -6.75% | -17.94% | -18.99% | -23.89% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 14/09/2021 | 17.95 | neutral | -0.61% | +2.17% | +6.57% | -0.61% | +6.69% |
| 2020 | 14/09/2020 | 11.82 | far above SMA50 | -3.89% | +0.51% | +0.42% | -6.43% | +3.30% |
| 2019 | 13/09/2019 | 12.84 | neutral | +2.73% | +1.32% | +2.57% | -0.08% | +2.73% |
| 2018 | 14/09/2018 | 12.02 | near 52w high | -3.33% | -4.49% | -3.16% | -6.57% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 14/09/2017 | 8.03 | neutral | -0.12% | +1.12% | +3.61% | -1.25% | +5.23% |
| 2016 | 14/09/2016 | 7.58 | near 52w high | -0.53% | +1.06% | -3.17% | -5.67% | +1.06% |
Upcoming 23/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.46% · Win 60% · DD -3.26%20 days: Avg +1.19% · Win 50% · DD -3.67%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/09/2025 | 11.88 | neutral | +2.78% | +1.77% | -0.67% | -4.12% | +4.88% |
| 2024 | 23/09/2024 | 15.19 | far above SMA50 | +2.44% | -2.83% | -0.99% | -2.83% | +3.09% |
| 2023 | 22/09/2023 | 14.89 | neutral | +1.95% | -8.13% | -5.98% | -9.00% | +2.28% |
| 2022 | 23/09/2022 | 12.91 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.8 | -10.92% | -8.21% | -4.73% | -10.92% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 23/09/2021 | 18.36 | neutral | +0.93% | +3.59% | +7.52% | -0.11% | +7.52% |
| 2020 | 23/09/2020 | 11.06 | neutral | +3.71% | +6.06% | +4.88% | +0.00% | +7.50% |
| 2019 | 23/09/2019 | 13.04 | neutral | +0.54% | +0.46% | +4.60% | -0.92% | +4.60% |
| 2018 | 24/09/2018 | 11.45 | neutral | -0.44% | +0.96% | +3.58% | -1.92% | +4.10% |
| 2017 | 22/09/2017 | 8.00 | neutral | +2.50% | +5.12% | +4.87% | -0.87% | +5.62% |
| 2016 | 23/09/2016 | 7.61 | near 52w high | -2.50% | -3.42% | -1.18% | -6.04% | +0.66% |
Upcoming 25/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.15% · Win 40% · DD -3.17%20 days: Avg +0.97% · Win 70% · DD -3.38%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/09/2025 | 11.95 | neutral | +4.02% | -3.60% | -2.43% | -4.69% | +4.27% |
| 2024 | 25/09/2024 | 15.23 | far above SMA50 | -1.25% | -0.59% | +0.33% | -3.09% | +2.82% |
| 2023 | 25/09/2023 | 14.79 | neutral | -2.57% | -4.06% | -7.84% | -8.38% | +2.97% |
| 2022 | 26/09/2022 | 12.35 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.5 | -3.48% | -5.75% | +0.89% | -6.88% | +4.13% |
| 2021 | 24/09/2021 | 18.37 | neutral | +2.50% | +4.25% | +7.62% | -0.16% | +7.62% |
| 2020 | 25/09/2020 | 11.62 | neutral | +1.98% | +1.03% | +2.32% | -2.24% | +2.32% |
| 2019 | 25/09/2019 | 13.12 | neutral | -1.14% | -0.15% | +2.13% | -1.52% | +3.96% |
| 2018 | 25/09/2018 | 11.46 | neutral | -0.26% | +2.88% | +2.62% | -2.01% | +4.01% |
| 2017 | 25/09/2017 | 7.98 | volume x4.2 | +4.51% | +5.39% | +4.76% | -0.63% | +5.89% |
| 2016 | 26/09/2016 | 7.46 | near 52w high | -1.88% | -0.94% | -0.67% | -4.16% | +2.68% |
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.18% · Win 60% · DD -3.05%20 days: Avg +0.77% · Win 60% · DD -3.77%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/09/2025 | 12.02 | neutral | +2.16% | -3.33% | -0.75% | -5.24% | +3.66% |
| 2024 | 30/09/2024 | 15.56 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.8 | -5.14% | -2.06% | -2.38% | -5.14% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 29/09/2023 | 15.18 | neutral | -9.88% | -6.26% | -17.00% | -17.00% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 29/09/2022 | 11.58 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.0 | +4.06% | +7.60% | +16.06% | -0.69% | +16.06% |
| 2021 | 29/09/2021 | 18.47 | neutral | +2.82% | +3.19% | +7.31% | +0.00% | +8.39% |
| 2020 | 29/09/2020 | 11.51 | neutral | +0.35% | +2.26% | +1.48% | -1.30% | +3.30% |
| 2019 | 30/09/2019 | 13.11 | neutral | -0.08% | +0.69% | +3.28% | -1.45% | +4.04% |
| 2018 | 28/09/2018 | 11.48 | neutral | -0.52% | +1.39% | +2.35% | -0.70% | +3.83% |
| 2017 | 29/09/2017 | 8.20 | neutral | +2.56% | +1.46% | +0.98% | +0.00% | +3.05% |
| 2016 | 29/09/2016 | 7.62 | near 52w high | -5.38% | -3.15% | -3.67% | -6.17% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 05/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.74% · Win 60% · DD -2.19%20 days: Avg +0.79% · Win 60% · DD -4.65%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/10/2025 | 12.28 | neutral | -5.37% | -3.26% | -20.11% | -20.11% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 04/10/2024 | 14.98 | neutral | +0.47% | +2.80% | -0.93% | -1.60% | +2.87% |
| 2023 | 05/10/2023 | 13.87 | far below SMA50 | +3.17% | +0.50% | -3.97% | -10.60% | +5.48% |
| 2022 | 05/10/2022 | 12.42 | far below SMA50 | -1.45% | -0.16% | +7.41% | -6.28% | +11.35% |
| 2021 | 05/10/2021 | 18.96 | near 52w high | +0.90% | +3.64% | +3.16% | +0.00% | +9.34% |
| 2020 | 05/10/2020 | 11.83 | neutral | +0.34% | -3.97% | +7.86% | -4.82% | +7.86% |
| 2019 | 04/10/2019 | 13.03 | neutral | +1.07% | +2.84% | +8.14% | +0.00% | +8.14% |
| 2018 | 05/10/2018 | 11.42 | neutral | +1.93% | +3.15% | +7.18% | +0.00% | +7.18% |
| 2017 | 05/10/2017 | 8.45 | neutral | -1.54% | -0.36% | -2.37% | -3.08% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 05/10/2016 | 7.15 | near 52w low | +2.66% | +2.24% | +1.54% | +0.00% | +5.17% |
Upcoming 10/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.44% · Win 80% · DD -1.48%20 days: Avg +2.59% · Win 60% · DD -4.76%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/10/2025 | 11.39 | neutral | +2.19% | +3.78% | -18.96% | -18.96% | +4.74% |
| 2024 | 10/10/2024 | 15.35 | neutral | -1.04% | +0.39% | -1.37% | -4.23% | +0.39% |
| 2023 | 10/10/2023 | 14.47 | neutral | +0.76% | -4.98% | -12.79% | -14.31% | +1.11% |
| 2022 | 10/10/2022 | 11.64 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +5.93% | +7.04% | +24.40% | +0.00% | +24.40% |
| 2021 | 11/10/2021 | 19.00 | near 52w high | +3.05% | +5.37% | +3.95% | +0.00% | +9.11% |
| 2020 | 09/10/2020 | 11.74 | neutral | -1.53% | +1.28% | +10.14% | -4.09% | +10.82% |
| 2019 | 10/10/2019 | 13.18 | volume x1.8 | +0.99% | +1.37% | +17.83% | -0.08% | +17.83% |
| 2018 | 10/10/2018 | 11.65 | neutral | +2.32% | +0.86% | +4.12% | -0.94% | +5.06% |
| 2017 | 10/10/2017 | 8.42 | neutral | +0.36% | -0.95% | +0.24% | -2.73% | +1.54% |
| 2016 | 10/10/2016 | 7.39 | near 52w high | -0.41% | +0.27% | -1.62% | -2.30% | +1.76% |
Upcoming 14/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.40% · Win 40% · DD -2.01%20 days: Avg +3.54% · Win 70% · DD -4.58%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/10/2025 | 11.80 | neutral | +0.00% | -0.42% | -21.53% | -21.78% | +1.10% |
| 2024 | 14/10/2024 | 15.24 | neutral | -1.31% | -0.33% | +2.62% | -3.54% | +2.62% |
| 2023 | 13/10/2023 | 14.23 | neutral | -1.62% | -11.45% | -8.22% | -12.86% | +2.60% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 12.09 | far below SMA50 | +1.74% | +14.39% | +24.07% | +0.00% | +24.07% |
| 2021 | 14/10/2021 | 19.21 | near 52w high | +2.76% | +3.85% | +3.70% | -0.10% | +7.91% |
| 2020 | 14/10/2020 | 11.74 | neutral | -1.19% | -4.09% | +13.63% | -4.09% | +20.44% |
| 2019 | 14/10/2019 | 13.20 | neutral | +3.33% | +2.58% | +13.64% | +0.00% | +17.65% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 11.70 | neutral | +1.37% | +0.68% | +6.58% | +0.00% | +6.58% |
| 2017 | 13/10/2017 | 8.32 | neutral | +0.84% | -0.48% | +2.04% | -1.56% | +2.76% |
| 2016 | 14/10/2016 | 7.36 | near 52w high | +2.17% | -0.68% | -1.09% | -1.90% | +2.17% |
Upcoming 26/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.45% · Win 70% · DD -3.51%20 days: Avg +2.68% · Win 60% · DD -4.67%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 11.93 | neutral | -17.77% | -22.46% | -26.40% | -28.48% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 15.12 | neutral | -1.85% | +2.71% | -0.74% | -2.78% | +3.44% |
| 2023 | 26/10/2023 | 12.81 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.1 | +3.98% | +0.39% | -2.19% | -3.20% | +8.04% |
| 2022 | 26/10/2022 | 13.21 | neutral | +0.98% | +6.96% | +12.41% | -0.38% | +13.96% |
| 2021 | 26/10/2021 | 19.87 | near 52w high · volume x2.1 | -1.56% | -0.50% | -5.75% | -7.23% | +4.33% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 11.44 | neutral | +11.54% | +16.17% | +20.74% | -1.57% | +23.60% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 13.40 | near 52w high | +5.15% | +15.07% | +13.60% | +0.00% | +15.90% |
| 2018 | 26/10/2018 | 11.75 | near 52w high | +4.17% | +4.85% | +5.66% | +0.00% | +7.74% |
| 2017 | 26/10/2017 | 8.26 | neutral | -0.12% | +2.54% | +8.34% | -0.85% | +8.34% |
| 2016 | 26/10/2016 | 7.38 | near 52w high | -1.63% | -1.22% | +1.18% | -2.17% | +3.66% |
Upcoming 04/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.57% · Win 80% · DD -2.39%20 days: Avg +2.68% · Win 60% · DD -3.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/11/2025 | 9.52 | far below SMA50 | -2.73% | -7.34% | -1.25% | -10.38% | +0.53% |
| 2024 | 04/11/2024 | 14.70 | neutral | +6.39% | +3.49% | -0.99% | -0.99% | +6.39% |
| 2023 | 03/11/2023 | 12.89 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.5 | +1.32% | +0.08% | +10.97% | -3.68% | +10.97% |
| 2022 | 04/11/2022 | 14.47 | volume x1.7 | +3.66% | +1.69% | +2.33% | -2.35% | +5.74% |
| 2021 | 04/11/2021 | 19.64 | neutral | +1.43% | -4.64% | -9.67% | -10.03% | +1.43% |
| 2020 | 04/11/2020 | 12.67 | neutral | +5.29% | +6.43% | +10.07% | +0.00% | +11.60% |
| 2019 | 04/11/2019 | 14.16 | near 52w high | +5.93% | +8.51% | +7.28% | +0.00% | +9.68% |
| 2018 | 05/11/2018 | 12.14 | near 52w high | +2.72% | +0.92% | -1.52% | -1.52% | +4.28% |
| 2017 | 03/11/2017 | 8.55 | near 52w high · volume x2.1 | -0.70% | +1.67% | +3.47% | -2.46% | +4.66% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 7.22 | near 52w low | +0.83% | +4.84% | +6.11% | +0.00% | +6.11% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-5.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -61.7% · from 52w low: +1.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -6.59% · -4.74% · -4.58% · -3.47% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -5.16% · -5.35% · -29.24% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -61.69% · +1.90% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.15 · 0.07x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -2.56% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -2.66% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -0.71% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 5.08 · 5.09 · 6.81 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 12.58 · 4.73 |
|---|
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