🕰️ Time Machine
ACGL — Arch Capital Group
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026
Last price (Close)
103.88 +3.78%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 6 days
02/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 17/07/2026
since +2.50%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 03/06/2026
87.05
Days: 35 trading / 54 calendar · return since: +19.33%
Last major high · 09/04/2026
99.68
Days: 73 trading / 109 calendar · return since: +4.21%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 87.05 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 17/07/2026 | -5 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 87.05 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 18/07/2026 | -9 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 87.05 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 02/08/2026 | +6 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 09/04/2026 @ 99.68 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 07/08/2026 | +11 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 87.05 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 10/08/2026 | +10 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 09/04/2026 @ 99.68 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 19/08/2026 | +17 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 87.05 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 31/08/2026 | +25 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 09/04/2026 @ 99.68 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 31/08/2026 | +35 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 87.05 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 01/09/2026 | +36 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Doji After Run 21/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 18/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 21/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 18/07/2026
● Shooting Star 07/07/2026
● Failed Breakout 30/06/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 25/06/2026
● Failed Breakout 25/06/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 17/07/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.54% · Win 67% · DD -2.26%20 days: Avg +3.72% · Win 89% · DD -2.38%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/07/2025 | 88.66 | neutral | -0.74% | -2.93% | +3.16% | -3.44% | +3.16% |
| 2024 | 17/07/2024 | 97.87 | neutral | -1.50% | -2.14% | +3.10% | -3.47% | +3.10% |
| 2023 | 17/07/2023 | 80.61 | near 52w high · volume x1.9 | +0.72% | -3.62% | -4.04% | -5.28% | +2.06% |
| 2022 | 18/07/2022 | 43.09 | neutral | +2.30% | +0.93% | +9.05% | +0.00% | +9.17% |
| 2021 | 16/07/2021 | 38.08 | neutral | +1.18% | +2.42% | +9.72% | -3.31% | +9.72% |
| 2020 | 17/07/2020 | 30.69 | neutral | +0.52% | +0.20% | +5.08% | -2.12% | +7.04% |
| 2019 | 17/07/2019 | 38.12 | near 52w high | -0.87% | +1.50% | +0.55% | -1.84% | +3.75% |
| 2018 | 17/07/2018 | 28.36 | neutral | +2.72% | +7.76% | +6.73% | +0.00% | +7.76% |
| 2017 | 17/07/2017 | 32.18 | near 52w high | +2.02% | +0.75% | +0.12% | -2.00% | +2.67% |
Passed 18/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.77% · Win 67% · DD -2.01%20 days: Avg +3.99% · Win 89% · DD -2.11%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/07/2025 | 88.35 | volume x2.5 | +0.61% | -0.40% | +2.68% | -3.10% | +3.52% |
| 2024 | 18/07/2024 | 98.24 | neutral | -3.84% | -1.16% | +3.47% | -3.84% | +3.47% |
| 2023 | 18/07/2023 | 80.84 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +0.64% | -4.63% | -4.30% | -5.55% | +1.77% |
| 2022 | 18/07/2022 | 43.09 | neutral | +2.30% | +0.93% | +9.05% | +0.00% | +9.17% |
| 2021 | 19/07/2021 | 36.82 | neutral | +5.13% | +6.49% | +13.55% | +0.00% | +13.55% |
| 2020 | 17/07/2020 | 30.69 | neutral | +0.52% | +0.20% | +5.08% | -2.12% | +7.04% |
| 2019 | 18/07/2019 | 38.24 | near 52w high | -0.60% | +0.81% | +1.75% | -2.14% | +3.43% |
| 2018 | 18/07/2018 | 28.95 | neutral | +1.90% | +3.83% | +4.53% | +0.00% | +5.56% |
| 2017 | 18/07/2017 | 32.26 | near 52w high | +2.41% | +0.83% | +0.13% | -2.25% | +2.41% |
Upcoming 02/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.67% · Win 80% · DD -1.06%20 days: Avg +4.22% · Win 80% · DD -1.34%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/08/2025 | 88.00 | neutral | +0.94% | +3.09% | +4.01% | -0.25% | +6.30% |
| 2024 | 02/08/2024 | 98.67 | near 52w high · volume x2.5 | +0.12% | +3.93% | +14.61% | -2.65% | +14.61% |
| 2023 | 02/08/2023 | 77.36 | neutral | -0.40% | -0.53% | -0.35% | -4.10% | +1.12% |
| 2022 | 02/08/2022 | 43.43 | neutral | +2.81% | +9.39% | +5.32% | +0.00% | +10.13% |
| 2021 | 02/08/2021 | 39.21 | volume x1.8 | +3.39% | +6.63% | +5.20% | +0.00% | +7.37% |
| 2020 | 03/08/2020 | 30.95 | neutral | +5.75% | +2.62% | +1.91% | -1.87% | +6.14% |
| 2019 | 02/08/2019 | 38.72 | near 52w high | +1.73% | +2.66% | +2.01% | -2.48% | +3.49% |
| 2018 | 02/08/2018 | 30.04 | neutral | +1.00% | +1.36% | +1.86% | -0.27% | +3.66% |
| 2017 | 02/08/2017 | 32.63 | near 52w high | -0.96% | -1.25% | -1.26% | -1.78% | +0.17% |
| 2016 | 02/08/2016 | 24.60 | near 52w high | +1.44% | +8.77% | +8.89% | +0.00% | +8.89% |
Upcoming 07/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.23% · Win 70% · DD -1.51%20 days: Avg +2.80% · Win 60% · DD -1.90%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/08/2025 | 88.86 | neutral | +2.93% | +5.27% | +2.73% | -1.22% | +5.27% |
| 2024 | 07/08/2024 | 96.80 | neutral | +4.24% | +8.06% | +15.90% | +0.00% | +17.07% |
| 2023 | 07/08/2023 | 78.23 | neutral | -1.12% | -4.19% | -3.03% | -5.16% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 08/08/2022 | 44.15 | neutral | +6.43% | +5.16% | +2.02% | +0.00% | +8.34% |
| 2021 | 06/08/2021 | 40.58 | near 52w high | +2.96% | +3.75% | -2.83% | -2.83% | +3.75% |
| 2020 | 07/08/2020 | 32.49 | neutral | -0.74% | -4.89% | -1.91% | -4.89% | +1.11% |
| 2019 | 07/08/2019 | 39.26 | near 52w high · volume x1.5 | -2.37% | +1.45% | +4.76% | -2.37% | +4.76% |
| 2018 | 07/08/2018 | 30.21 | neutral | +0.20% | +1.72% | +1.26% | -0.36% | +3.08% |
| 2017 | 07/08/2017 | 32.42 | near 52w high | -0.63% | -0.86% | -2.19% | -2.19% | +0.38% |
| 2016 | 08/08/2016 | 24.80 | near 52w high | +3.63% | +6.82% | +11.25% | +0.00% | +11.25% |
Upcoming 10/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.09% · Win 70% · DD -1.60%20 days: Avg +2.09% · Win 50% · DD -2.57%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/08/2025 | 89.88 | neutral | +0.52% | +2.23% | -0.30% | -2.34% | +4.07% |
| 2024 | 09/08/2024 | 98.79 | near 52w high | +3.81% | +10.36% | +13.10% | -1.07% | +14.71% |
| 2023 | 10/08/2023 | 76.58 | neutral | -2.99% | -1.53% | +0.89% | -3.12% | +1.68% |
| 2022 | 10/08/2022 | 45.23 | neutral | +5.06% | +3.21% | +2.74% | -0.42% | +5.75% |
| 2021 | 10/08/2021 | 40.78 | near 52w high | +2.75% | +3.09% | -1.99% | -4.36% | +3.24% |
| 2020 | 10/08/2020 | 32.73 | neutral | -2.96% | -2.38% | -5.29% | -5.59% | +0.37% |
| 2019 | 09/08/2019 | 39.39 | near 52w high | +0.91% | -1.98% | +4.95% | -2.69% | +4.95% |
| 2018 | 10/08/2018 | 30.22 | neutral | +1.36% | +2.15% | -0.46% | -0.46% | +3.04% |
| 2017 | 10/08/2017 | 32.18 | near 52w high | -0.16% | +0.18% | -2.29% | -5.18% | +1.15% |
| 2016 | 10/08/2016 | 25.05 | near 52w high | +6.23% | +5.59% | +9.51% | -0.49% | +10.63% |
Upcoming 19/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.17% · Win 80% · DD -1.77%20 days: Avg +0.76% · Win 60% · DD -3.20%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/08/2025 | 91.84 | neutral | -1.02% | +1.15% | -4.89% | -4.89% | +1.85% |
| 2024 | 19/08/2024 | 103.00 | near 52w high | +6.30% | +9.95% | +10.64% | -0.19% | +10.89% |
| 2023 | 18/08/2023 | 75.24 | neutral | -0.82% | +2.35% | +7.08% | -1.40% | +7.08% |
| 2022 | 19/08/2022 | 47.28 | neutral | -1.65% | -3.76% | +0.42% | -4.74% | +0.42% |
| 2021 | 19/08/2021 | 41.66 | near 52w high | -0.65% | -4.92% | -5.66% | -6.53% | +1.06% |
| 2020 | 19/08/2020 | 31.40 | neutral | -0.03% | +2.32% | -3.12% | -3.54% | +2.90% |
| 2019 | 19/08/2019 | 40.07 | near 52w high | -2.62% | +0.12% | +2.22% | -3.64% | +3.17% |
| 2018 | 20/08/2018 | 30.54 | neutral | +1.96% | +0.16% | -0.98% | -1.77% | +1.96% |
| 2017 | 18/08/2017 | 32.06 | near 52w high | +1.29% | +1.53% | +0.73% | -4.82% | +1.89% |
| 2016 | 19/08/2016 | 26.52 | near 52w high | -0.36% | +2.77% | +1.16% | -0.52% | +4.53% |
Upcoming 31/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.27% · Win 40% · DD -2.53%20 days: Avg -1.10% · Win 40% · DD -4.76%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/08/2025 | 91.53 | neutral | -0.69% | -1.82% | -1.86% | -4.57% | +1.50% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 113.09 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.2 | -1.20% | +1.00% | -1.07% | -2.95% | +1.00% |
| 2023 | 31/08/2023 | 76.86 | neutral | +0.52% | +2.78% | +3.71% | -1.30% | +6.22% |
| 2022 | 31/08/2022 | 45.72 | volume x2.0 | +1.64% | +3.41% | +0.24% | -8.86% | +3.85% |
| 2021 | 31/08/2021 | 41.10 | near 52w high | -2.75% | -4.28% | -5.50% | -6.59% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 31/08/2020 | 31.54 | neutral | -1.71% | -3.96% | -8.47% | -11.45% | +1.87% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 39.50 | near 52w high | +4.66% | +2.68% | +6.28% | +0.00% | +7.24% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 30.57 | volume x1.7 | -1.60% | -1.28% | -4.12% | -4.12% | +0.07% |
| 2017 | 31/08/2017 | 32.45 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | -3.10% | -0.96% | +1.19% | -5.97% | +1.66% |
| 2016 | 31/08/2016 | 26.98 | near 52w high | +1.69% | -0.25% | -1.43% | -1.83% | +2.73% |
Upcoming 01/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.45% · Win 40% · DD -2.81%20 days: Avg -1.02% · Win 30% · DD -4.79%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 91.32 | neutral | -1.87% | -4.31% | -0.65% | -4.35% | +1.73% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 113.09 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.2 | -1.20% | +1.00% | -1.07% | -2.95% | +1.00% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 77.01 | neutral | +2.32% | +4.62% | +3.06% | -1.49% | +6.01% |
| 2022 | 01/09/2022 | 45.72 | neutral | +1.75% | +1.75% | -0.39% | -8.86% | +3.85% |
| 2021 | 01/09/2021 | 40.47 | near 52w high | -2.35% | -3.24% | -5.66% | -5.66% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 01/09/2020 | 31.60 | neutral | -0.16% | -3.13% | -7.44% | -11.61% | +1.68% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 39.50 | near 52w high | +4.66% | +2.68% | +6.28% | +0.00% | +7.24% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 30.57 | volume x1.7 | -1.60% | -1.28% | -4.12% | -4.12% | +0.07% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 32.55 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | -0.75% | -0.79% | +2.40% | -6.26% | +2.40% |
| 2016 | 01/09/2016 | 27.14 | near 52w high | -1.02% | -1.79% | -2.64% | -2.64% | +2.14% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+8.6%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -1.2% · from 52w low: +26.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +2.50% · +2.79% · +10.12% · +7.03% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +3.24% · +8.62% · +9.91% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -1.15% · +25.99% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 2.45 · 1.02x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +14.91% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +9.47% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +23.99% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 100.62 · 95.64 · 94.51 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 105.09 · 82.45 |
|---|
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