🕰️ Time Machine

ADA-USD — Cardano

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 30/07/2026

Last price (Close)
0.17 +3.32%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 4 days
03/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 26/07/2026
since +1.02%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 26/06/2026
0.14
Days: 34 trading / 34 calendar · return since: +20.70%
Last major high · 04/07/2026
0.20
Days: 26 trading / 26 calendar · return since: -16.01%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 04/07/2026 @ 0.20Fib 21Trading📅 25/07/2026-5 (±1)Passed
High 04/07/2026 @ 0.20Fib 21Calendar📅 25/07/2026-5 (±1)Passed
Low 26/06/2026 @ 0.14Cycle 30Trading📅 26/07/2026-4 (±2)Passed
Low 26/06/2026 @ 0.14Cycle 30Calendar📅 26/07/2026-4 (±2)Passed
High 04/07/2026 @ 0.20Cycle 30Trading📅 03/08/2026+4 (±2)Upcoming
High 04/07/2026 @ 0.20Cycle 30Calendar📅 03/08/2026+4 (±2)Upcoming
Low 26/06/2026 @ 0.14Cycle 45Trading📅 10/08/2026+11 (±2)Upcoming
Low 26/06/2026 @ 0.14Cycle 45Calendar📅 10/08/2026+11 (±2)Upcoming
High 04/07/2026 @ 0.20Cycle 45Trading📅 18/08/2026+19 (±2)Upcoming
High 04/07/2026 @ 0.20Cycle 45Calendar📅 18/08/2026+19 (±2)Upcoming
Low 26/06/2026 @ 0.14Cycle 60Trading📅 25/08/2026+26 (±2)Upcoming
Low 26/06/2026 @ 0.14Cycle 60Calendar📅 25/08/2026+26 (±2)Upcoming
High 04/07/2026 @ 0.20Cycle 60Trading📅 02/09/2026+34 (±2)Upcoming
High 04/07/2026 @ 0.20Cycle 60Calendar📅 02/09/2026+34 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Failed Breakdown 28/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 26/07/2026
Bearish Engulfing 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 26/07/2026
NR7 Compression 26/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 26/07/2026
Doji After Run 22/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 25/07/2026
Bullish Engulfing 14/07/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 25/07/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -4.69% · Win 25% · DD -8.77%20 days: Avg +2.93% · Win 38% · DD -14.23%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/07/20250.82far above SMA50-6.45%-7.51%+13.39%-14.51%+13.39%
202425/07/20240.39neutral+1.78%-12.85%-15.00%-20.65%+5.96%
202325/07/20230.30neutral+3.82%-3.50%-4.41%-4.76%+3.82%
202225/07/20220.48neutral+10.36%+4.92%+19.76%-1.81%+19.76%
202125/07/20211.23neutral+6.55%+12.05%+78.40%+0.00%+78.40%
202025/07/20200.14near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6-2.08%-0.39%-3.65%-7.02%+3.50%
201925/07/20190.06far below SMA50+2.18%-4.08%-19.88%-19.88%+7.19%
201825/07/20180.17far above SMA50-10.79%-26.16%-45.20%-45.20%+0.00%
Passed 26/07/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -6.69% · Win 25% · DD -10.94%20 days: Avg +0.22% · Win 38% · DD -15.71%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/07/20250.82far above SMA50-9.73%-11.44%+15.13%-14.90%+15.13%
202426/07/20240.42neutral-6.94%-25.04%-22.12%-25.04%+0.11%
202326/07/20230.31neutral+0.28%-4.24%-8.10%-8.10%+2.93%
202226/07/20220.47neutral+10.57%+10.67%+17.87%+0.00%+21.97%
202126/07/20211.26volume x2.0+5.07%+10.14%+72.36%+0.00%+74.15%
202026/07/20200.15near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.8-6.29%-3.65%-6.62%-9.86%+0.33%
201926/07/20190.06far below SMA50-4.34%-9.87%-24.43%-25.26%+0.00%
201826/07/20180.16neutral-13.03%-20.06%-42.32%-42.55%+0.47%
Upcoming 03/08/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +7.26% · Win 50% · DD -6.74%20 days: Avg +9.63% · Win 38% · DD -12.22%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/08/20250.73neutral+8.83%+24.62%+25.61%-0.13%+32.31%
202403/08/20240.36neutral-3.37%-6.58%+7.54%-13.99%+7.54%
202303/08/20230.29neutral+1.77%-1.04%-8.41%-12.52%+2.93%
202203/08/20220.50neutral+7.11%+11.74%-7.14%-9.98%+13.84%
202103/08/20211.37neutral+4.60%+56.49%+113.72%+0.00%+113.72%
202003/08/20200.14far above SMA50+6.15%+2.85%-11.46%-11.46%+6.15%
201903/08/20190.06far below SMA50-10.03%-9.01%-13.80%-18.91%+0.00%
201803/08/20180.13far below SMA50-12.67%-20.99%-29.02%-30.79%+1.13%
Upcoming 10/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.05% · Win 25% · DD -9.83%20 days: Avg -0.71% · Win 38% · DD -13.17%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/08/20250.80far above SMA50+17.64%+9.79%+2.51%-3.53%+19.89%
202410/08/20240.35far below SMA50-6.05%-0.75%+0.25%-6.05%+13.78%
202310/08/20230.30neutral-4.83%-8.58%-10.29%-13.57%+0.00%
202210/08/20220.54far above SMA50+2.62%-15.96%-15.81%-19.93%+6.19%
202110/08/20211.67far above SMA50 · volume x1.9+29.69%+46.94%+63.41%+0.00%+76.03%
202010/08/20200.14far above SMA50-3.86%-7.10%-18.36%-25.74%+0.00%
201910/08/20190.05far below SMA50-8.58%-5.36%-13.77%-14.01%+5.77%
201810/08/20180.12far below SMA50-18.32%-19.42%-13.57%-22.52%+0.00%
Upcoming 18/08/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.82% · Win 50% · DD -8.63%20 days: Avg -7.44% · Win 12% · DD -12.70%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/08/20250.92far above SMA50-1.10%-7.10%-9.55%-13.33%+0.72%
202418/08/20240.33far below SMA50+16.94%+4.59%-2.91%-6.01%+17.67%
202318/08/20230.26far below SMA50+1.54%+1.34%-2.34%-3.30%+3.24%
202218/08/20220.51neutral-9.25%-16.11%-6.51%-16.11%+0.00%
202118/08/20212.11far above SMA50+38.36%+35.04%+18.68%+0.00%+40.77%
202018/08/20200.14neutral-11.52%-20.36%-32.09%-34.57%+0.00%
201918/08/20190.05far below SMA50-1.85%-9.67%-8.94%-12.45%+0.00%
201818/08/20180.10far below SMA50-7.35%+5.71%-15.84%-15.84%+7.06%
Upcoming 25/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.92% · Win 38% · DD -8.12%20 days: Avg -7.83% · Win 25% · DD -13.81%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/08/20250.84neutral-1.82%-3.31%+6.13%-4.47%+11.01%
202425/08/20240.38neutral-9.83%-15.96%-7.92%-18.25%+0.00%
202325/08/20230.26far below SMA50+1.75%-1.89%-3.79%-7.36%+4.35%
202225/08/20220.46neutral-2.76%+8.19%+3.52%-7.52%+10.20%
202125/08/20212.74far above SMA50-0.18%+3.46%-12.51%-12.86%+8.40%
202025/08/20200.11far below SMA50+3.66%-9.57%-14.58%-20.63%+10.70%
201925/08/20190.05far below SMA50 · volume x2.0-9.33%-7.93%-5.90%-10.16%+0.81%
201825/08/20180.09far below SMA50+6.66%+11.65%-27.61%-29.21%+13.31%
Upcoming 02/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -5.27% · Win 50% · DD -11.85%20 days: Avg -8.09% · Win 38% · DD -15.26%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/09/20250.83neutral+0.06%+9.89%-1.06%-2.96%+11.41%
202402/09/20240.34far below SMA50-3.24%+6.05%+4.70%-6.33%+7.42%
202302/09/20230.26far below SMA50+0.58%-4.04%-4.41%-5.60%+0.58%
202202/09/20220.45neutral+5.44%+10.34%+0.97%-2.95%+12.73%
202102/09/20212.96near 52w high · far above SMA50-15.55%-12.88%-23.53%-32.95%+0.16%
202002/09/20200.12far below SMA50-19.27%-15.58%-29.29%-30.43%+0.00%
201902/09/20190.05far below SMA50+1.84%+0.20%+8.26%-2.09%+17.48%
201802/09/20180.10far below SMA50-19.58%-36.09%-20.34%-38.81%+0.80%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+1.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -65.3% · from 52w low: +20.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+1.68% · -1.40% · +0.53% · -28.85%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+1.40% · +1.81% · -30.99%
Distance from 52w high / low-65.33% · +20.70%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.01 · 1.16x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+6.59%
vs SPY (20d)+1.57%
vs SMH (20d)+13.64%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 2000.17 · 0.16 · 0.24
52w high / low0.48 · 0.14