🕰️ Time Machine

ADA-USD — Cardano

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 13/09/2026

Last price (Close)
0.21 -0.35%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 8 days
21/09/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 12/09/2026
since -0.35%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 28/07/2026
0.15
Days: 47 trading / 47 calendar · return since: +34.13%
Last major high · 22/08/2026
0.26
Days: 22 trading / 22 calendar · return since: -19.80%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 22/08/2026 @ 0.26Fib 13Trading📅 04/09/2026-9 (±1)Passed
High 22/08/2026 @ 0.26Fib 13Calendar📅 04/09/2026-9 (±1)Passed
Low 28/07/2026 @ 0.15Cycle 45Trading📅 11/09/2026-2 (±2)In window
Low 28/07/2026 @ 0.15Cycle 45Calendar📅 11/09/2026-2 (±2)In window
High 22/08/2026 @ 0.26Fib 21Trading📅 12/09/2026-1 (±1)In window
High 22/08/2026 @ 0.26Fib 21Calendar📅 12/09/2026-1 (±1)In window
High 22/08/2026 @ 0.26Cycle 30Trading📅 21/09/2026+8 (±2)Upcoming
High 22/08/2026 @ 0.26Cycle 30Calendar📅 21/09/2026+8 (±2)Upcoming
Low 28/07/2026 @ 0.15Cycle 60Trading📅 26/09/2026+13 (±2)Upcoming
Low 28/07/2026 @ 0.15Cycle 60Calendar📅 26/09/2026+13 (±2)Upcoming
High 22/08/2026 @ 0.26Cycle 45Trading📅 06/10/2026+23 (±2)Upcoming
High 22/08/2026 @ 0.26Cycle 45Calendar📅 06/10/2026+23 (±2)Upcoming
High 22/08/2026 @ 0.26Cycle 60Trading📅 21/10/2026+38 (±2)Upcoming
High 22/08/2026 @ 0.26Cycle 60Calendar📅 21/10/2026+38 (±2)Upcoming
Low 28/07/2026 @ 0.15Cycle 90Trading📅 26/10/2026+43 (±3)Upcoming
Low 28/07/2026 @ 0.15Cycle 90Calendar📅 26/10/2026+43 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Hammer Reversal 13/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 12/09/2026
NR7 Compression 12/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 12/09/2026
Doji After Run 08/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 11/09/2026
NR7 Compression 06/09/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 04/09/2026
Bullish Engulfing 02/09/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 04/09/2026
Bearish Engulfing 24/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 04/09/2026 · High Fib 13/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -5.11% · Win 38% · DD -10.41%20 days: Avg -9.07% · Win 25% · DD -16.57%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/09/20250.81neutral+6.81%+9.77%+0.41%-0.28%+14.81%
202404/09/20240.32far below SMA50+6.15%+9.57%+19.85%-2.72%+19.85%
202304/09/20230.26far below SMA50-1.04%-1.94%-5.12%-5.57%+0.61%
202204/09/20220.50neutral-0.03%-4.31%-10.23%-12.31%+1.86%
202104/09/20212.83far above SMA50-11.12%-15.43%-19.47%-29.86%+2.75%
202004/09/20200.10far below SMA50-8.88%-5.54%-19.16%-25.07%+0.00%
201904/09/20190.05far below SMA50+3.11%+2.21%-17.45%-17.45%+17.08%
201804/09/20180.11far below SMA50-27.19%-35.17%-21.39%-39.30%+0.00%
In window 11/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.67% · Win 50% · DD -9.29%20 days: Avg -2.34% · Win 38% · DD -13.53%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/09/20250.89neutral-1.51%-1.00%-4.94%-14.70%+3.99%
202411/09/20240.35neutral-6.44%+1.56%-0.17%-6.44%+13.96%
202311/09/20230.24near 52w low · far below SMA50+3.54%+1.48%+9.93%+0.00%+9.93%
202211/09/20220.51neutral-6.99%-13.46%-15.59%-15.59%+0.00%
202111/09/20212.63far above SMA50-8.09%-24.56%-14.27%-24.56%+0.00%
202011/09/20200.10far below SMA50 · volume x1.7-5.50%-17.08%+0.90%-20.85%+4.43%
201911/09/20190.04far below SMA50+4.63%+15.41%-14.41%-16.68%+18.45%
201811/09/20180.07far below SMA50-0.78%+24.24%+19.79%-9.38%+27.29%
In window 12/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.98% · Win 25% · DD -9.32%20 days: Avg -3.31% · Win 25% · DD -13.47%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/09/20250.92far above SMA50-0.44%-9.96%-5.10%-16.82%+1.39%
202412/09/20240.36neutral-6.28%-1.27%-3.45%-7.29%+12.92%
202312/09/20230.25far below SMA50+0.59%-0.39%+5.55%-1.16%+8.14%
202212/09/20220.50neutral-2.87%-8.49%-16.33%-16.33%+0.00%
202112/09/20212.58far above SMA50-9.11%-12.22%-12.79%-23.03%+0.00%
202012/09/20200.10far below SMA50-3.46%-16.23%-4.79%-21.35%+3.78%
201912/09/20190.05far below SMA50+7.82%+8.05%-13.22%-17.53%+17.25%
201812/09/20180.07far below SMA50 · volume x1.6-4.26%+24.64%+23.64%-4.26%+34.47%
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.76% · Win 38% · DD -7.60%20 days: Avg -5.00% · Win 38% · DD -12.24%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/09/20250.89neutral-10.51%-3.98%-28.59%-28.59%+0.00%
202421/09/20240.36neutral+12.08%-1.71%-2.06%-5.49%+12.20%
202321/09/20230.25volume x2.2-0.02%+8.33%+1.04%-0.99%+8.33%
202221/09/20220.44volume x1.6+1.27%-2.46%-11.47%-11.47%+4.68%
202121/09/20211.99far below SMA50+11.15%+13.64%+9.38%+0.00%+17.31%
202021/09/20200.08far below SMA50+18.82%+21.68%+32.46%-4.56%+32.46%
201921/09/20190.05neutral-26.37%-25.84%-21.76%-27.80%+0.00%
201821/09/20180.09volume x3.1-9.28%-3.58%-19.02%-19.02%+2.45%
Upcoming 26/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.66% · Win 62% · DD -4.32%20 days: Avg -5.16% · Win 38% · DD -9.74%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/09/20250.79neutral+7.30%+10.05%-18.59%-20.20%+10.05%
202426/09/20240.40far above SMA50-12.30%-11.11%-12.28%-15.67%+0.11%
202326/09/20230.25neutral+8.35%+7.94%+2.51%-0.25%+8.35%
202226/09/20220.45neutral-3.69%-4.04%-17.12%-18.58%+0.00%
202126/09/20212.21neutral+2.25%+0.17%-1.39%-7.67%+3.10%
202026/09/20200.10far below SMA50+2.41%-2.88%+8.89%-2.88%+15.14%
201926/09/20190.04far below SMA50+0.73%+2.86%+1.34%-1.94%+11.51%
201826/09/20180.08far below SMA50+6.28%+2.30%-4.61%-10.74%+8.97%
Upcoming 06/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -5.46% · Win 12% · DD -9.17%20 days: Avg -3.05% · Win 38% · DD -11.37%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/10/20250.87neutral-27.49%-26.02%-21.88%-28.43%+0.00%
202406/10/20240.36neutral-1.69%-1.32%-6.68%-9.19%+2.13%
202306/10/20230.26neutral-6.37%-5.02%+8.46%-8.09%+8.46%
202206/10/20220.43neutral-8.90%-13.62%-5.88%-20.63%+0.00%
202106/10/20212.21far below SMA50-1.75%-1.56%-3.32%-4.48%+2.93%
202006/10/20200.09neutral+14.79%+12.13%+11.09%+0.00%+19.14%
201906/10/20190.04far below SMA50+3.30%-1.48%+3.11%-7.41%+8.40%
201806/10/20180.08neutral-12.75%-6.75%-9.34%-12.75%+6.52%
Upcoming 21/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.41% · Win 38% · DD -6.87%20 days: Avg +14.99% · Win 50% · DD -9.65%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/10/20250.64far below SMA50+5.93%-5.25%-7.77%-18.89%+5.93%
202421/10/20240.36neutral-7.65%-5.29%+63.54%-10.12%+63.54%
202321/10/20230.26neutral+11.10%+13.35%+49.36%+0.00%+49.36%
202221/10/20220.35far below SMA50+15.59%+16.40%+5.70%-8.95%+22.25%
202121/10/20212.14neutral+0.10%-8.03%-1.63%-10.45%+6.41%
202021/10/20200.11neutral-2.91%-12.37%-0.36%-13.23%+4.13%
201921/10/20190.04neutral+3.23%+6.00%+11.91%-7.31%+14.45%
201821/10/20180.08neutral-2.85%-8.13%-0.86%-8.23%+6.69%
Upcoming 26/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.63% · Win 62% · DD -7.08%20 days: Avg +9.76% · Win 38% · DD -10.65%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/10/20250.68far below SMA50-10.56%-19.81%-26.09%-26.82%+0.00%
202426/10/20240.33neutral+2.55%+0.17%+102.21%-2.20%+102.21%
202326/10/20230.29far above SMA50 · volume x1.9+2.02%+19.35%+32.02%+0.00%+34.43%
202226/10/20220.40neutral+0.70%+5.76%-16.48%-21.23%+5.76%
202126/10/20212.14neutral-8.12%-7.13%-5.76%-10.55%+6.30%
202026/10/20200.10neutral-9.74%-5.92%-2.49%-10.62%+5.83%
201926/10/20190.04volume x2.4+2.69%+9.32%+8.45%+0.00%+10.87%
201826/10/20180.07neutral-5.44%+3.30%-13.80%-13.80%+9.82%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (+5.4%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -52.6% · from 52w low: +49.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-5.75% · -6.57% · -6.54% · +25.19%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-1.08% · +5.35% · -4.56%
Distance from 52w high / low-52.57% · +49.02%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.01 · 0.47x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-4.19%
vs SPY (20d)-4.80%
vs SMH (20d)-3.05%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 2000.21 · 0.20 · 0.22
52w high / low0.44 · 0.14