🕰️ Time Machine
AEO — American Eagle Outfitters
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
17.91 +0.11%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 2 days
25/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 22/10/2026
since +0.11%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 10/09/2026
14.10
Days: 31 trading / 43 calendar · return since: +27.02%
Last major high · 10/08/2026
18.46
Days: 53 trading / 74 calendar · return since: -2.98%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 10/09/2026 @ 14.10 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 09/10/2026 | -10 (±1) | Passed |
| High 10/08/2026 @ 18.46 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 13/10/2026 | -8 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 10/09/2026 @ 14.10 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 22/10/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| Low 10/09/2026 @ 14.10 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 25/10/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| High 10/08/2026 @ 18.46 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 03/11/2026 | +7 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 10/08/2026 @ 18.46 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 08/11/2026 | +16 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 10/09/2026 @ 14.10 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 09/11/2026 | +17 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 10/09/2026 @ 14.10 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 12/11/2026 | +14 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 10/09/2026 @ 14.10 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 04/12/2026 | +29 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 10/08/2026 @ 18.46 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 16/12/2026 | +37 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bullish Engulfing 22/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 22/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 20/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 22/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 20/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 22/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 14/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 13/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 02/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 28/09/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 09/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.15% · Win 67% · DD -3.69%20 days: Avg +5.10% · Win 67% · DD -4.22%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 09/10/2025 | 15.15 | neutral | -0.83% | +10.22% | +10.48% | -4.76% | +13.01% |
| 2024 | 09/10/2024 | 20.59 | neutral | +4.82% | -4.32% | -6.86% | -6.86% | +5.06% |
| 2023 | 09/10/2023 | 16.69 | near 52w high | +6.85% | +3.17% | +10.83% | +0.00% | +11.67% |
| 2022 | 10/10/2022 | 10.15 | far below SMA50 | -0.89% | +5.81% | +13.60% | -2.76% | +13.60% |
| 2021 | 08/10/2021 | 24.89 | far below SMA50 | -1.65% | -2.01% | +6.79% | -4.62% | +6.79% |
| 2020 | 09/10/2020 | 15.31 | far above SMA50 | -2.02% | -4.11% | -5.16% | -11.10% | +0.39% |
| 2019 | 09/10/2019 | 14.48 | far below SMA50 | +4.66% | +14.00% | +14.14% | +0.00% | +16.16% |
| 2018 | 09/10/2018 | 21.67 | far below SMA50 | +0.47% | +2.51% | +4.83% | -3.53% | +10.78% |
| 2017 | 09/10/2017 | 13.39 | neutral | -3.44% | +3.06% | -2.76% | -4.33% | +4.63% |
Passed 13/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.64% · Win 67% · DD -2.25%20 days: Avg +7.37% · Win 89% · DD -3.31%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/10/2025 | 15.29 | neutral | +1.24% | +10.40% | +16.29% | -2.55% | +16.29% |
| 2024 | 14/10/2024 | 20.71 | neutral | -0.53% | -1.83% | -12.07% | -12.07% | +3.81% |
| 2023 | 13/10/2023 | 16.82 | near 52w high | +3.75% | +3.39% | +10.46% | +0.00% | +10.82% |
| 2022 | 13/10/2022 | 10.10 | far below SMA50 | -1.58% | +10.79% | +16.53% | -2.28% | +16.53% |
| 2021 | 13/10/2021 | 24.14 | far below SMA50 | +3.60% | -0.37% | +7.58% | -1.66% | +11.23% |
| 2020 | 13/10/2020 | 14.79 | far above SMA50 | -4.94% | -5.88% | +7.51% | -7.98% | +10.01% |
| 2019 | 14/10/2019 | 14.66 | neutral | +7.64% | +10.85% | +10.10% | +0.00% | +13.64% |
| 2018 | 12/10/2018 | 21.27 | far below SMA50 | -1.27% | +8.46% | +2.35% | -1.55% | +12.13% |
| 2017 | 13/10/2017 | 12.99 | neutral | +3.93% | +5.93% | +7.62% | -1.69% | +7.85% |
In window 22/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.62% · Win 70% · DD -2.80%20 days: Avg +6.71% · Win 70% · DD -4.94%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/10/2025 | 15.73 | neutral | +7.95% | +7.88% | +11.19% | +0.00% | +13.22% |
| 2024 | 22/10/2024 | 19.74 | neutral | +1.57% | -3.34% | -11.70% | -11.70% | +2.99% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 17.12 | neutral | +1.17% | +7.42% | +15.36% | +0.00% | +15.36% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 10.37 | neutral | +8.49% | +9.26% | +24.59% | +0.00% | +25.55% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 24.39 | far below SMA50 | -2.67% | +8.98% | +10.41% | -2.67% | +15.66% |
| 2020 | 22/10/2020 | 14.47 | neutral | -5.18% | +1.38% | +17.90% | -5.94% | +17.90% |
| 2019 | 22/10/2019 | 16.47 | neutral | -1.76% | +0.43% | -7.47% | -7.47% | +1.15% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 21.98 | far below SMA50 | +5.82% | +2.18% | -10.96% | -10.96% | +8.51% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 13.80 | neutral | -5.00% | -5.65% | +10.43% | -7.46% | +10.43% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 16.80 | near 52w low | +1.43% | -2.38% | +7.38% | -3.21% | +9.29% |
In window 25/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.59% · Win 60% · DD -4.70%20 days: Avg +6.44% · Win 60% · DD -7.66%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/10/2025 | 16.57 | neutral | +0.84% | +3.20% | +11.95% | -2.35% | +11.95% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 19.86 | volume x1.7 | -2.01% | -5.69% | -11.33% | -13.29% | +2.37% |
| 2023 | 25/10/2023 | 18.07 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.43% | +3.15% | -7.08% | -7.97% | +9.30% |
| 2022 | 25/10/2022 | 11.07 | neutral | +1.72% | +4.16% | +38.75% | -6.14% | +38.75% |
| 2021 | 25/10/2021 | 24.63 | far below SMA50 | +2.80% | +6.66% | +11.49% | -3.61% | +14.54% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 14.09 | neutral | +2.34% | +15.47% | +29.03% | -3.41% | +29.03% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 16.66 | neutral | -5.76% | -2.22% | -12.12% | -13.81% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 25/10/2018 | 22.57 | neutral | -2.44% | +1.11% | -13.42% | -14.53% | +5.67% |
| 2017 | 25/10/2017 | 13.86 | neutral | -6.64% | -7.72% | +5.63% | -7.86% | +9.96% |
| 2016 | 25/10/2016 | 16.87 | near 52w low | -0.71% | -2.25% | +11.56% | -3.62% | +11.56% |
Upcoming 03/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.91% · Win 70% · DD -3.20%20 days: Avg +11.81% · Win 60% · DD -5.70%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/11/2025 | 16.53 | neutral | +7.56% | +6.84% | +26.01% | -2.12% | +28.55% |
| 2024 | 04/11/2024 | 19.14 | neutral | -4.86% | -6.74% | +4.13% | -10.03% | +4.13% |
| 2023 | 03/11/2023 | 18.53 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.27% | +5.83% | +5.94% | -10.25% | +6.58% |
| 2022 | 03/11/2022 | 10.84 | neutral | +8.58% | +15.87% | +47.51% | +0.00% | +47.51% |
| 2021 | 03/11/2021 | 26.52 | neutral | -2.07% | +0.75% | -0.98% | -2.60% | +8.56% |
| 2020 | 03/11/2020 | 14.86 | neutral | +7.00% | +11.37% | +23.49% | -4.31% | +24.50% |
| 2019 | 04/11/2019 | 16.21 | neutral | -0.43% | -2.78% | -8.14% | -11.41% | +2.41% |
| 2018 | 02/11/2018 | 22.25 | neutral | -2.16% | -8.99% | -4.09% | -13.30% | +2.56% |
| 2017 | 03/11/2017 | 12.99 | neutral | +7.62% | +14.93% | +25.48% | -1.69% | +26.56% |
| 2016 | 03/11/2016 | 16.38 | near 52w low | +8.18% | +11.97% | -1.28% | -1.28% | +15.45% |
Upcoming 08/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.62% · Win 60% · DD -6.17%20 days: Avg +11.63% · Win 70% · DD -6.56%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/11/2025 | 17.10 | neutral | +2.69% | +8.48% | +31.11% | +0.00% | +41.40% |
| 2024 | 08/11/2024 | 18.73 | neutral | -1.55% | -5.98% | -5.50% | -8.06% | +9.66% |
| 2023 | 08/11/2023 | 18.64 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.04% | -9.92% | +8.15% | -10.78% | +8.15% |
| 2022 | 08/11/2022 | 11.53 | neutral | +12.92% | +33.22% | +38.59% | -5.90% | +39.46% |
| 2021 | 08/11/2021 | 26.27 | neutral | +3.43% | +4.53% | +6.01% | -1.67% | +9.59% |
| 2020 | 09/11/2020 | 16.27 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -1.23% | +11.74% | +19.91% | -8.48% | +19.91% |
| 2019 | 08/11/2019 | 16.29 | neutral | +1.66% | -10.13% | -5.83% | -11.85% | +1.66% |
| 2018 | 08/11/2018 | 22.82 | neutral | -8.28% | -14.37% | -14.46% | -16.92% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 08/11/2017 | 12.79 | neutral | +8.44% | +14.46% | +30.88% | +0.00% | +30.88% |
| 2016 | 08/11/2016 | 16.49 | near 52w low | +10.01% | +14.13% | +7.46% | -1.94% | +14.68% |
Upcoming 09/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.09% · Win 60% · DD -5.44%20 days: Avg +12.88% · Win 70% · DD -6.09%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/11/2025 | 17.78 | neutral | -0.67% | +7.42% | +34.48% | -1.69% | +36.00% |
| 2024 | 08/11/2024 | 18.73 | neutral | -1.55% | -5.98% | -5.50% | -8.06% | +9.66% |
| 2023 | 09/11/2023 | 18.41 | near 52w high | +4.13% | -9.56% | +9.56% | -9.67% | +9.56% |
| 2022 | 09/11/2022 | 10.85 | neutral | +12.17% | +45.62% | +49.86% | +0.00% | +49.86% |
| 2021 | 09/11/2021 | 26.85 | neutral | +3.20% | +7.23% | +3.17% | -3.80% | +7.23% |
| 2020 | 09/11/2020 | 16.27 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -1.23% | +11.74% | +19.91% | -8.48% | +19.91% |
| 2019 | 08/11/2019 | 16.29 | neutral | +1.66% | -10.13% | -5.83% | -11.85% | +1.66% |
| 2018 | 09/11/2018 | 21.77 | neutral | -6.98% | -5.28% | -12.59% | -12.91% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 09/11/2017 | 13.39 | neutral | +4.33% | +10.75% | +28.68% | +0.00% | +28.68% |
| 2016 | 09/11/2016 | 16.93 | neutral | +6.20% | +9.10% | +7.09% | -4.49% | +11.70% |
Upcoming 12/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +7.13% · Win 60% · DD -3.86%20 days: Avg +10.10% · Win 50% · DD -6.27%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/11/2025 | 17.81 | neutral | -1.80% | +13.76% | +40.76% | -1.80% | +40.76% |
| 2024 | 12/11/2024 | 17.94 | far below SMA50 | -2.84% | -0.28% | -1.62% | -4.01% | +14.49% |
| 2023 | 13/11/2023 | 18.06 | near 52w high | +9.36% | -0.44% | +14.17% | -7.92% | +14.95% |
| 2022 | 11/11/2022 | 12.38 | far above SMA50 | +4.36% | +27.71% | +27.87% | -1.70% | +31.34% |
| 2021 | 12/11/2021 | 26.89 | neutral | +0.15% | +0.15% | -11.81% | -11.81% | +7.07% |
| 2020 | 12/11/2020 | 14.89 | neutral | +14.57% | +24.24% | +31.03% | +0.00% | +33.24% |
| 2019 | 12/11/2019 | 16.00 | neutral | -4.75% | -7.38% | -11.69% | -11.69% | +3.50% |
| 2018 | 12/11/2018 | 21.19 | neutral | -7.65% | -2.17% | -7.55% | -10.52% | +0.71% |
| 2017 | 13/11/2017 | 13.85 | neutral | +10.04% | +15.09% | +24.12% | -1.66% | +27.29% |
| 2016 | 11/11/2016 | 18.29 | near 52w high | -1.15% | +0.60% | -4.32% | -11.59% | +3.39% |
Upcoming 04/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.53% · Win 40% · DD -7.24%20 days: Avg -0.22% · Win 40% · DD -8.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/12/2025 | 24.18 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +3.68% | +13.90% | +11.04% | -7.28% | +15.14% |
| 2024 | 04/12/2024 | 20.54 | volume x1.9 | -14.07% | -20.16% | -16.36% | -20.35% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 04/12/2023 | 19.63 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.76% | +2.45% | +2.70% | -1.38% | +8.66% |
| 2022 | 05/12/2022 | 16.08 | far above SMA50 | -1.55% | -9.76% | -4.79% | -13.18% | +1.12% |
| 2021 | 03/12/2021 | 26.32 | volume x4.3 | -0.23% | -11.85% | -3.36% | -15.41% | +5.81% |
| 2020 | 04/12/2020 | 19.15 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.88% | +0.83% | +8.83% | -0.05% | +8.83% |
| 2019 | 04/12/2019 | 15.07 | neutral | -6.24% | -1.92% | -3.61% | -6.24% | +1.79% |
| 2018 | 04/12/2018 | 19.89 | neutral | -1.51% | -8.30% | -2.94% | -13.32% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 04/12/2017 | 16.30 | far above SMA50 | +8.16% | +12.89% | +13.20% | -1.17% | +19.68% |
| 2016 | 05/12/2016 | 16.92 | neutral | +3.43% | -3.32% | -6.89% | -10.52% | +7.15% |
Upcoming 16/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.00% · Win 60% · DD -2.95%20 days: Avg +2.37% · Win 60% · DD -4.02%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/12/2025 | 27.36 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.78% | -3.62% | -5.24% | -5.72% | +3.03% |
| 2024 | 16/12/2024 | 17.09 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -1.87% | -2.46% | -8.14% | -8.67% | +0.76% |
| 2023 | 15/12/2023 | 20.03 | volume x1.7 | +5.74% | +5.79% | +3.54% | -0.33% | +7.91% |
| 2022 | 16/12/2022 | 14.58 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.9 | +0.07% | -0.89% | +3.70% | -4.25% | +9.47% |
| 2021 | 16/12/2021 | 22.72 | far below SMA50 | +2.33% | +11.44% | +4.53% | -2.64% | +13.60% |
| 2020 | 16/12/2020 | 19.05 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +6.09% | +5.35% | +19.63% | +0.00% | +22.36% |
| 2019 | 16/12/2019 | 14.63 | neutral | -2.87% | +0.48% | -1.54% | -2.87% | +1.64% |
| 2018 | 17/12/2018 | 17.79 | far below SMA50 | -1.63% | +9.33% | +11.86% | -3.77% | +11.86% |
| 2017 | 15/12/2017 | 17.43 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +8.15% | +9.98% | +1.78% | -0.29% | +11.13% |
| 2016 | 16/12/2016 | 16.35 | near 52w low | -8.07% | -5.44% | -6.42% | -11.62% | +0.00% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+6.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -37.1% · from 52w low: +27.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -0.39% · -1.43% · +8.78% · +4.19% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +0.31% · +6.29% · -3.46% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -37.07% · +27.02% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.59 · 0.68x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +14.16% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +10.25% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +21.86% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 17.86 · 16.85 · 18.55 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 28.46 · 14.10 |
|---|
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