🕰️ Time Machine
AEO — American Eagle Outfitters
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026
Last price (Close)
17.77 +4.04%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in window · in 1 days
28/07/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 16/07/2026
since +1.60%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 29/05/2026
14.54
Days: 38 trading / 59 calendar · return since: +22.21%
Last major high · 15/06/2026
19.28
Days: 27 trading / 42 calendar · return since: -7.83%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 29/05/2026 @ 14.54 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 14/07/2026 | -8 (±2) | Passed |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 19.28 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 16/07/2026 | -6 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 29/05/2026 @ 14.54 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 28/07/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 19.28 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 30/07/2026 | +3 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 19.28 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 30/07/2026 | +3 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/05/2026 @ 14.54 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 05/08/2026 | +7 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 19.28 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 14/08/2026 | +18 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 19.28 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 20/08/2026 | +18 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/05/2026 @ 14.54 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 26/08/2026 | +22 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/05/2026 @ 14.54 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 27/08/2026 | +31 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 19.28 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 11/09/2026 | +33 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 28/07/2026
● Gap Day 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 28/07/2026
● Doji After Run 20/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 16/07/2026
● Gap Day 20/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 16/07/2026
● Shooting Star 16/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 16/07/2026
● Hammer Reversal 14/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 14/07/2026
● Failed Breakdown 14/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 14/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 14/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 14/07/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 14/07/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.69% · Win 78% · DD -3.40%20 days: Avg +8.02% · Win 67% · DD -5.12%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/07/2025 | 10.15 | neutral | -2.27% | +18.52% | +23.94% | -3.15% | +30.84% |
| 2024 | 15/07/2024 | 20.40 | neutral | +1.96% | +9.36% | +2.79% | -3.04% | +9.36% |
| 2023 | 14/07/2023 | 12.40 | neutral | +3.95% | +12.66% | +26.77% | +0.00% | +26.77% |
| 2022 | 14/07/2022 | 11.59 | neutral | +4.57% | +3.45% | +7.51% | -5.18% | +8.97% |
| 2021 | 14/07/2021 | 36.39 | neutral | -3.19% | -5.63% | -2.42% | -10.25% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 14/07/2020 | 10.55 | neutral | -1.90% | -7.11% | +9.57% | -9.19% | +9.57% |
| 2019 | 15/07/2019 | 17.41 | neutral | +1.32% | +1.90% | -10.74% | -10.74% | +5.17% |
| 2018 | 13/07/2018 | 23.01 | neutral | +3.61% | +8.08% | +19.17% | +0.00% | +19.17% |
| 2017 | 14/07/2017 | 11.74 | neutral | +0.85% | +0.94% | -4.43% | -4.51% | +3.32% |
Passed 16/07/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.02% · Win 67% · DD -4.37%20 days: Avg +8.18% · Win 67% · DD -6.28%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/07/2025 | 9.83 | neutral | +10.07% | +14.65% | +37.54% | +0.00% | +37.54% |
| 2024 | 16/07/2024 | 21.38 | neutral | +0.80% | +3.98% | +0.33% | -7.48% | +4.35% |
| 2023 | 17/07/2023 | 12.66 | neutral | +5.29% | +10.98% | +25.75% | +0.00% | +25.75% |
| 2022 | 15/07/2022 | 11.78 | neutral | +3.82% | +2.21% | +9.08% | -6.71% | +9.08% |
| 2021 | 16/07/2021 | 33.56 | neutral | +3.01% | +2.71% | -0.92% | -2.68% | +5.81% |
| 2020 | 16/07/2020 | 11.41 | neutral | -11.31% | -10.52% | +3.24% | -16.04% | +7.01% |
| 2019 | 16/07/2019 | 18.31 | volume x1.9 | -3.93% | -3.28% | -10.54% | -15.13% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 16/07/2018 | 23.25 | neutral | +6.80% | +7.53% | +17.55% | +0.00% | +17.94% |
| 2017 | 17/07/2017 | 11.97 | neutral | -3.84% | -1.09% | -8.44% | -8.44% | +1.34% |
In window 28/07/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.58% · Win 70% · DD -5.00%20 days: Avg +4.39% · Win 80% · DD -6.43%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/07/2025 | 12.03 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.9 | +10.39% | +4.57% | +3.91% | -10.72% | +12.39% |
| 2024 | 29/07/2024 | 22.31 | neutral | -11.34% | -6.01% | +0.76% | -11.34% | +0.76% |
| 2023 | 28/07/2023 | 13.97 | far above SMA50 | +9.02% | +12.53% | +13.17% | +0.00% | +14.24% |
| 2022 | 28/07/2022 | 11.99 | neutral | +1.42% | +3.92% | +2.17% | -4.17% | +15.10% |
| 2021 | 28/07/2021 | 34.34 | neutral | -4.89% | +3.41% | -7.54% | -10.02% | +3.41% |
| 2020 | 28/07/2020 | 9.80 | neutral | +11.53% | +17.96% | +12.76% | +0.00% | +24.59% |
| 2019 | 29/07/2019 | 17.74 | neutral | -10.65% | -12.40% | -8.51% | -16.63% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 27/07/2018 | 24.87 | neutral | +2.73% | +10.25% | +14.23% | -1.05% | +16.57% |
| 2017 | 28/07/2017 | 11.85 | neutral | -0.51% | -5.32% | +7.43% | -10.38% | +7.43% |
| 2016 | 28/07/2016 | 17.59 | near 52w high | +3.70% | +6.88% | +5.57% | +0.00% | +10.12% |
Upcoming 30/07/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.83% · Win 60% · DD -4.91%20 days: Avg +5.58% · Win 70% · DD -6.13%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/07/2025 | 11.27 | neutral | +13.75% | +19.96% | +17.30% | -4.70% | +19.96% |
| 2024 | 30/07/2024 | 22.23 | neutral | -8.41% | -3.51% | +2.11% | -11.02% | +2.11% |
| 2023 | 31/07/2023 | 14.05 | far above SMA50 | +8.40% | +13.31% | +16.73% | +0.00% | +16.73% |
| 2022 | 29/07/2022 | 12.04 | neutral | +0.17% | +6.73% | -1.99% | -4.57% | +14.62% |
| 2021 | 30/07/2021 | 34.47 | neutral | +0.12% | -3.54% | -5.57% | -10.36% | +3.02% |
| 2020 | 30/07/2020 | 10.21 | neutral | +3.82% | +15.38% | +17.53% | -2.06% | +19.59% |
| 2019 | 30/07/2019 | 17.71 | neutral | -7.96% | -7.51% | -8.58% | -16.49% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 30/07/2018 | 25.00 | near 52w high | +4.08% | +9.32% | +8.48% | -1.56% | +15.96% |
| 2017 | 31/07/2017 | 11.84 | neutral | +1.27% | -7.43% | +5.66% | -10.30% | +7.52% |
| 2016 | 29/07/2016 | 17.92 | near 52w high | +2.68% | +5.64% | +4.13% | -0.28% | +8.09% |
Upcoming 05/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.36% · Win 80% · DD -3.28%20 days: Avg +2.69% · Win 60% · DD -5.64%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/08/2025 | 12.02 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.0 | +4.33% | +5.07% | +13.31% | +0.00% | +13.31% |
| 2024 | 05/08/2024 | 19.78 | neutral | +6.02% | +7.94% | -0.96% | -0.96% | +14.76% |
| 2023 | 04/08/2023 | 15.23 | far above SMA50 | +3.22% | +4.27% | +13.99% | +0.00% | +13.99% |
| 2022 | 05/08/2022 | 12.06 | neutral | +6.55% | +8.46% | -7.55% | -7.55% | +14.43% |
| 2021 | 05/08/2021 | 33.56 | neutral | +0.74% | -5.21% | -19.55% | -19.55% | +5.81% |
| 2020 | 05/08/2020 | 10.95 | neutral | +11.51% | +4.66% | +18.81% | -3.20% | +18.81% |
| 2019 | 05/08/2019 | 15.85 | near 52w low | -1.96% | +0.32% | +2.65% | -6.69% | +6.94% |
| 2018 | 06/08/2018 | 26.02 | near 52w high | +5.03% | +10.49% | +1.96% | -5.61% | +11.41% |
| 2017 | 04/08/2017 | 11.79 | neutral | -4.83% | -5.77% | +4.24% | -9.92% | +7.97% |
| 2016 | 05/08/2016 | 18.40 | near 52w high | +2.88% | +3.42% | +0.00% | -2.88% | +5.27% |
Upcoming 14/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.69% · Win 60% · DD -4.60%20 days: Avg +4.58% · Win 40% · DD -8.77%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/08/2025 | 12.64 | far above SMA50 | -3.01% | +4.19% | +45.09% | -3.64% | +55.14% |
| 2024 | 14/08/2024 | 20.63 | neutral | +5.57% | +5.19% | -6.30% | -8.48% | +10.03% |
| 2023 | 14/08/2023 | 15.92 | far above SMA50 | +0.25% | +3.02% | -1.76% | -2.95% | +9.05% |
| 2022 | 15/08/2022 | 12.89 | volume x1.6 | -2.79% | -9.70% | -18.08% | -18.08% | +7.06% |
| 2021 | 13/08/2021 | 33.25 | neutral | -2.65% | -2.11% | -18.77% | -20.39% | +1.71% |
| 2020 | 14/08/2020 | 11.68 | neutral | -8.05% | +5.65% | +26.97% | -8.05% | +26.97% |
| 2019 | 14/08/2019 | 15.05 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +7.57% | +12.43% | +16.94% | -4.45% | +16.94% |
| 2018 | 14/08/2018 | 28.02 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.46% | -2.64% | -11.31% | -12.42% | +3.46% |
| 2017 | 14/08/2017 | 10.96 | near 52w low | -3.10% | +14.14% | +18.07% | -3.10% | +18.07% |
| 2016 | 15/08/2016 | 19.37 | near 52w high | -4.34% | -3.25% | -5.06% | -6.14% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 20/08/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.16% · Win 40% · DD -7.69%20 days: Avg +5.37% · Win 40% · DD -9.70%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/08/2025 | 12.31 | far above SMA50 | +7.39% | +52.64% | +60.19% | -1.06% | +61.49% |
| 2024 | 20/08/2024 | 21.43 | neutral | +5.93% | -5.88% | -7.19% | -11.90% | +5.93% |
| 2023 | 21/08/2023 | 15.96 | far above SMA50 | +2.76% | +7.52% | -9.27% | -9.27% | +8.77% |
| 2022 | 19/08/2022 | 13.08 | neutral | -9.79% | -14.76% | -15.37% | -19.27% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 20/08/2021 | 32.37 | neutral | +0.56% | -16.90% | -19.00% | -19.25% | +4.48% |
| 2020 | 20/08/2020 | 11.20 | neutral | +7.14% | +12.59% | +30.71% | -4.11% | +37.41% |
| 2019 | 20/08/2019 | 15.84 | neutral | +2.21% | -9.22% | +5.37% | -9.22% | +13.07% |
| 2018 | 20/08/2018 | 28.75 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -5.67% | -7.72% | -18.43% | -18.43% | +0.83% |
| 2017 | 21/08/2017 | 10.62 | near 52w low · volume x2.6 | +17.80% | +16.67% | +28.34% | +0.00% | +28.34% |
| 2016 | 19/08/2016 | 19.03 | near 52w high | -1.94% | -3.31% | -1.68% | -4.47% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 26/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.47% · Win 40% · DD -7.09%20 days: Avg +2.50% · Win 30% · DD -9.22%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/08/2025 | 12.18 | far above SMA50 | +11.82% | +58.05% | +46.96% | +0.00% | +63.22% |
| 2024 | 26/08/2024 | 22.48 | neutral | -12.86% | -15.30% | -8.85% | -16.01% | +0.98% |
| 2023 | 25/08/2023 | 15.81 | far above SMA50 | +9.80% | +0.32% | -3.42% | -8.41% | +9.80% |
| 2022 | 26/08/2022 | 11.80 | neutral | -5.51% | -5.76% | -16.44% | -16.44% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 26/08/2021 | 31.10 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.6 | -13.18% | -13.09% | -9.97% | -15.95% | +4.66% |
| 2020 | 26/08/2020 | 11.40 | neutral | +14.12% | +15.61% | +23.16% | +0.00% | +35.00% |
| 2019 | 26/08/2019 | 16.23 | neutral | +0.25% | +6.72% | -0.49% | -11.40% | +10.35% |
| 2018 | 27/08/2018 | 27.12 | neutral | -2.18% | -7.96% | -12.13% | -13.53% | +0.59% |
| 2017 | 25/08/2017 | 12.73 | neutral | -3.46% | -3.61% | +10.45% | -6.13% | +10.45% |
| 2016 | 26/08/2016 | 18.66 | near 52w high | -1.39% | -0.27% | -4.29% | -4.29% | +0.64% |
Upcoming 27/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.34% · Win 40% · DD -8.03%20 days: Avg +0.59% · Win 40% · DD -10.03%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/08/2025 | 13.22 | far above SMA50 | +42.13% | +48.34% | +34.64% | -2.12% | +50.38% |
| 2024 | 27/08/2024 | 22.70 | neutral | -11.15% | -15.81% | -8.85% | -16.83% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 16.40 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +4.63% | -4.63% | -7.01% | -11.71% | +5.85% |
| 2022 | 26/08/2022 | 11.80 | neutral | -5.51% | -5.76% | -16.44% | -16.44% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 32.55 | neutral | -17.36% | -17.02% | -14.56% | -19.69% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 27/08/2020 | 12.00 | neutral | +5.08% | +14.92% | +19.50% | +0.00% | +28.25% |
| 2019 | 27/08/2019 | 16.19 | neutral | -11.18% | +8.15% | +1.05% | -11.18% | +10.62% |
| 2018 | 27/08/2018 | 27.12 | neutral | -2.18% | -7.96% | -12.13% | -13.53% | +0.59% |
| 2017 | 28/08/2017 | 12.51 | neutral | -0.96% | +3.44% | +13.99% | -4.48% | +13.99% |
| 2016 | 26/08/2016 | 18.66 | near 52w high | -1.39% | -0.27% | -4.29% | -4.29% | +0.64% |
Upcoming 11/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.90% · Win 40% · DD -5.04%20 days: Avg -3.80% · Win 40% · DD -9.44%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/09/2025 | 19.61 | far above SMA50 | +0.56% | -9.23% | -22.74% | -22.74% | +1.38% |
| 2024 | 11/09/2024 | 19.11 | neutral | +4.08% | +8.27% | +7.74% | +0.00% | +17.16% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 15.86 | neutral | -8.70% | -3.72% | +5.23% | -8.70% | +5.23% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 11.12 | neutral | -0.45% | -11.33% | -8.72% | -12.50% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 27.03 | far below SMA50 | -1.22% | +3.59% | -7.23% | -10.65% | +3.59% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 13.79 | far above SMA50 | +6.16% | +3.99% | +11.02% | +0.00% | +14.29% |
| 2019 | 11/09/2019 | 17.51 | neutral | -4.68% | -6.57% | -17.30% | -17.76% | +2.28% |
| 2018 | 11/09/2018 | 24.96 | neutral | -6.05% | -4.53% | -13.18% | -13.18% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 12.27 | neutral | +9.62% | +14.59% | +10.14% | +0.00% | +17.85% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 18.61 | near 52w high | +0.54% | -4.03% | -2.99% | -8.81% | +0.91% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+4.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -37.6% · from 52w low: +72.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +4.35% · +5.71% · -0.81% · +3.08% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +4.40% · +4.67% · -9.56% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -37.56% · +72.69% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.76 · 0.71x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +3.97% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -1.46% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +13.06% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 17.02 · 16.98 · 19.65 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 28.46 · 10.29 |
|---|
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