🕰️ Time Machine
AGO — Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
69.46 -1.21%
Next window · Cycle 144 · in window · in 2 days
25/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 21/10/2026
since +0.27%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 03/06/2026
72.76
Days: 99 trading / 142 calendar · return since: -4.54%
Last major high · 28/07/2026
86.94
Days: 62 trading / 87 calendar · return since: -20.11%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 72.76 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 12/10/2026 | -9 (±3) | Passed |
| High 28/07/2026 @ 86.94 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 21/10/2026 | -2 (±2) | In window |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 72.76 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 25/10/2026 | +2 (±3) | In window |
| High 28/07/2026 @ 86.94 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 26/10/2026 | +3 (±3) | In window |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 72.76 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 23/11/2026 | +21 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 28/07/2026 @ 86.94 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 25/11/2026 | +33 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 72.76 | Cycle 180 | Calendar | 📅 30/11/2026 | +38 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 28/07/2026 @ 86.94 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 03/12/2026 | +28 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 72.76 | Cycle 144 | Trading | 📅 29/12/2026 | +45 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bearish Engulfing 21/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 21/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 16/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 12/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 07/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 12/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 01/10/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 12/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.44% · Win 44% · DD -2.15%20 days: Avg +5.95% · Win 100% · DD -3.08%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/10/2025 | 81.11 | neutral | -0.14% | +1.42% | +6.50% | -2.43% | +7.11% |
| 2024 | 11/10/2024 | 83.95 | neutral | +3.36% | -1.08% | +4.26% | -2.89% | +5.11% |
| 2023 | 12/10/2023 | 61.48 | neutral | -0.29% | -0.93% | +5.35% | -3.68% | +7.14% |
| 2022 | 12/10/2022 | 52.27 | neutral | +5.97% | +8.46% | +12.72% | +0.00% | +13.97% |
| 2021 | 12/10/2021 | 50.71 | near 52w high | +5.46% | +7.55% | +6.98% | +0.00% | +11.79% |
| 2020 | 12/10/2020 | 28.43 | far above SMA50 | -7.56% | -2.11% | +7.28% | -14.10% | +7.28% |
| 2019 | 11/10/2019 | 45.54 | neutral | +2.83% | +2.42% | +5.91% | +0.00% | +6.72% |
| 2018 | 12/10/2018 | 39.95 | neutral | +2.33% | -2.68% | +4.03% | -2.70% | +4.03% |
| 2017 | 12/10/2017 | 36.77 | far below SMA50 | +2.64% | -0.05% | +0.49% | -1.93% | +3.02% |
In window 21/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.80% · Win 50% · DD -2.98%20 days: Avg +6.83% · Win 70% · DD -3.23%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/10/2025 | 82.51 | neutral | -1.50% | -0.58% | +7.82% | -2.34% | +7.82% |
| 2024 | 21/10/2024 | 85.02 | neutral | -0.31% | -4.12% | +8.16% | -4.12% | +8.16% |
| 2023 | 20/10/2023 | 59.97 | neutral | +0.62% | +9.20% | +10.48% | -1.25% | +11.25% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 54.90 | neutral | +6.96% | +6.89% | +10.86% | +0.00% | +11.60% |
| 2021 | 21/10/2021 | 54.86 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.11% | +2.81% | -2.44% | -3.14% | +3.34% |
| 2020 | 21/10/2020 | 26.94 | far above SMA50 | -9.35% | -2.30% | +17.92% | -9.35% | +19.82% |
| 2019 | 21/10/2019 | 46.93 | near 52w high | -0.45% | +0.87% | +3.75% | -0.92% | +3.75% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 40.75 | volume x1.8 | -4.61% | -0.34% | -1.47% | -4.61% | +1.99% |
| 2017 | 20/10/2017 | 37.88 | neutral | -3.56% | -1.56% | -3.03% | -4.80% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 29.96 | near 52w high | -0.23% | +7.14% | +16.23% | -1.80% | +17.03% |
In window 25/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.62% · Win 100% · DD -2.11%20 days: Avg +8.22% · Win 90% · DD -2.36%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/10/2025 | 82.38 | neutral | -2.19% | +5.46% | +8.99% | -2.19% | +8.99% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 83.04 | neutral | -0.58% | +5.41% | +12.48% | -1.83% | +12.48% |
| 2023 | 25/10/2023 | 60.31 | neutral | +5.64% | +9.22% | +11.77% | +0.00% | +11.77% |
| 2022 | 25/10/2022 | 56.64 | neutral | +4.63% | +5.17% | +10.05% | +0.00% | +10.05% |
| 2021 | 25/10/2021 | 55.25 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.61% | +0.25% | -2.55% | -3.82% | +2.61% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 27.83 | far above SMA50 | -4.24% | +9.59% | +17.11% | -12.25% | +17.11% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 46.64 | near 52w high | +1.35% | +3.41% | +4.76% | +0.00% | +5.00% |
| 2018 | 25/10/2018 | 39.38 | neutral | +2.03% | +5.21% | +2.36% | -1.30% | +5.54% |
| 2017 | 25/10/2017 | 36.06 | neutral | +3.16% | +4.10% | +0.97% | +0.00% | +4.10% |
| 2016 | 25/10/2016 | 30.09 | near 52w high | -1.03% | +8.41% | +16.23% | -2.23% | +16.53% |
In window 26/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.97% · Win 90% · DD -2.13%20 days: Avg +8.60% · Win 80% · DD -2.35%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 82.26 | neutral | -1.11% | +5.01% | +9.14% | -2.04% | +9.15% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 83.04 | neutral | -0.58% | +5.41% | +12.48% | -1.83% | +12.48% |
| 2023 | 26/10/2023 | 60.91 | neutral | +6.67% | +6.34% | +12.17% | -0.94% | +12.17% |
| 2022 | 26/10/2022 | 56.69 | neutral | +2.70% | +3.93% | +9.24% | +0.00% | +9.95% |
| 2021 | 26/10/2021 | 54.54 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.75% | -0.53% | -0.75% | -2.57% | +3.94% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 27.83 | far above SMA50 | -4.24% | +9.59% | +17.11% | -12.25% | +17.11% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 46.64 | near 52w high | +1.35% | +3.41% | +4.76% | +0.00% | +5.00% |
| 2018 | 26/10/2018 | 38.88 | neutral | +3.11% | +6.89% | +4.97% | -0.03% | +6.89% |
| 2017 | 26/10/2017 | 36.75 | neutral | +0.27% | +0.54% | -0.71% | -1.61% | +2.15% |
| 2016 | 26/10/2016 | 30.08 | near 52w high | -1.40% | +9.14% | +17.60% | -2.19% | +17.60% |
Upcoming 23/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.61% · Win 40% · DD -3.36%20 days: Avg -1.40% · Win 50% · DD -5.03%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/11/2025 | 89.78 | neutral | -0.48% | -1.43% | +1.26% | -2.43% | +2.67% |
| 2024 | 22/11/2024 | 93.09 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.07% | -3.66% | -5.46% | -7.86% | +1.72% |
| 2023 | 22/11/2023 | 67.12 | near 52w high | +1.18% | +1.70% | +9.52% | +0.00% | +9.52% |
| 2022 | 23/11/2022 | 61.67 | far above SMA50 | +7.04% | +2.81% | +1.57% | -1.10% | +7.95% |
| 2021 | 23/11/2021 | 53.91 | neutral | -10.74% | -8.50% | -10.46% | -15.12% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 23/11/2020 | 32.39 | far above SMA50 | -4.26% | -7.29% | -6.17% | -7.29% | +2.93% |
| 2019 | 22/11/2019 | 48.68 | near 52w high | +1.17% | +1.44% | +0.39% | +0.00% | +3.76% |
| 2018 | 23/11/2018 | 40.15 | neutral | +1.67% | -3.84% | -9.61% | -9.61% | +3.09% |
| 2017 | 22/11/2017 | 36.27 | near 52w low | +0.11% | -4.49% | -4.55% | -6.87% | +1.32% |
| 2016 | 23/11/2016 | 35.24 | near 52w high | +3.69% | +7.12% | +9.51% | +0.00% | +10.27% |
Upcoming 25/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.41% · Win 40% · DD -3.93%20 days: Avg -0.84% · Win 40% · DD -5.63%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/11/2025 | 90.05 | neutral | -1.35% | -1.44% | +0.90% | -2.72% | +2.37% |
| 2024 | 25/11/2024 | 94.69 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.56% | -6.68% | -6.08% | -9.42% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 24/11/2023 | 68.03 | near 52w high | -0.13% | +4.07% | +9.04% | -1.00% | +9.04% |
| 2022 | 25/11/2022 | 62.63 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.86% | +0.62% | +0.94% | -2.62% | +6.29% |
| 2021 | 24/11/2021 | 53.46 | neutral | -7.65% | -9.32% | -8.57% | -14.40% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 25/11/2020 | 32.35 | far above SMA50 | -5.22% | -0.06% | -1.92% | -7.17% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 25/11/2019 | 49.22 | near 52w high | -0.06% | +0.67% | -0.10% | -0.71% | +2.62% |
| 2018 | 26/11/2018 | 40.65 | neutral | +1.82% | -5.31% | -7.11% | -10.73% | +1.82% |
| 2017 | 24/11/2017 | 36.35 | near 52w low | -0.41% | -3.38% | -5.06% | -7.07% | +1.10% |
| 2016 | 25/11/2016 | 35.43 | near 52w high | +3.16% | +6.77% | +9.54% | -0.48% | +9.68% |
Upcoming 30/11/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.99% · Win 50% · DD -3.56%20 days: Avg -0.27% · Win 50% · DD -4.66%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/12/2025 | 90.21 | neutral | -2.89% | +1.64% | +0.51% | -2.89% | +2.18% |
| 2024 | 29/11/2024 | 93.28 | near 52w high | -2.76% | -3.46% | -4.19% | -8.05% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 30/11/2023 | 67.91 | near 52w high | +0.52% | +6.86% | +10.19% | -0.43% | +10.19% |
| 2022 | 30/11/2022 | 66.57 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.7 | -5.00% | -8.11% | -6.47% | -8.38% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 30/11/2021 | 48.97 | neutral | +0.57% | -2.31% | +2.35% | -6.56% | +2.35% |
| 2020 | 30/11/2020 | 30.13 | far above SMA50 | +0.07% | +2.66% | +2.42% | -0.33% | +7.30% |
| 2019 | 29/11/2019 | 49.65 | near 52w high | -0.36% | +1.07% | -1.01% | -1.57% | +1.73% |
| 2018 | 30/11/2018 | 40.82 | neutral | -5.41% | -8.77% | -5.90% | -11.10% | +1.40% |
| 2017 | 30/11/2017 | 36.31 | near 52w low | -4.60% | -5.84% | -6.72% | -7.33% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 30/11/2016 | 35.76 | near 52w high | +5.51% | +6.38% | +6.10% | +0.00% | +8.67% |
Upcoming 03/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.05% · Win 50% · DD -3.49%20 days: Avg -0.62% · Win 40% · DD -4.44%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/12/2025 | 88.83 | neutral | -0.09% | +3.64% | -0.10% | -1.38% | +3.77% |
| 2024 | 03/12/2024 | 92.27 | near 52w high | -4.24% | -3.64% | -2.99% | -7.04% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 04/12/2023 | 68.60 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | +4.29% | +4.97% | +8.16% | -1.43% | +9.08% |
| 2022 | 02/12/2022 | 66.30 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -4.95% | -8.01% | -7.57% | -8.01% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 03/12/2021 | 47.50 | neutral | +2.40% | -1.39% | +6.11% | -3.66% | +6.11% |
| 2020 | 03/12/2020 | 30.66 | far above SMA50 | +5.45% | +1.83% | +0.23% | -2.05% | +5.45% |
| 2019 | 03/12/2019 | 49.19 | near 52w high | +0.73% | +2.24% | -0.22% | -0.65% | +2.68% |
| 2018 | 03/12/2018 | 41.39 | near 52w high | -7.01% | -10.44% | -8.48% | -12.32% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 04/12/2017 | 36.12 | near 52w low | -2.02% | -5.98% | -7.89% | -7.89% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 02/12/2016 | 36.55 | near 52w high | +3.50% | +6.32% | +6.57% | +0.00% | +6.57% |
Upcoming 29/12/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.43% · Win 80% · DD -1.97%20 days: Avg +4.14% · Win 70% · DD -2.50%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/12/2025 | 90.59 | neutral | -0.85% | -5.74% | -7.72% | -8.36% | +0.09% |
| 2024 | 30/12/2024 | 89.37 | neutral | +0.29% | +1.37% | +6.83% | -3.68% | +6.83% |
| 2023 | 29/12/2023 | 74.83 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.52% | +1.14% | +10.68% | -0.84% | +10.68% |
| 2022 | 29/12/2022 | 62.26 | neutral | -0.11% | +0.21% | -1.35% | -3.13% | +1.43% |
| 2021 | 29/12/2021 | 50.12 | neutral | +3.47% | +9.32% | +1.70% | -0.44% | +11.11% |
| 2020 | 29/12/2020 | 30.86 | neutral | +12.38% | +23.30% | +21.19% | -0.42% | +27.03% |
| 2019 | 30/12/2019 | 49.15 | near 52w high | -1.14% | -2.46% | -4.68% | -4.68% | +0.28% |
| 2018 | 28/12/2018 | 38.04 | neutral | +1.66% | +3.50% | +5.21% | -0.42% | +6.47% |
| 2017 | 29/12/2017 | 33.87 | near 52w low | -1.56% | +0.38% | +5.96% | -2.54% | +8.50% |
| 2016 | 29/12/2016 | 37.94 | near 52w high | +2.08% | +3.32% | +3.58% | -0.45% | +6.01% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-3.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -24.8% · from 52w low: +3.3%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -1.96% · -0.81% · -0.04% · -17.04% |
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +0.01% · -3.28% · -12.57% |
| Distance from 52w high / low | -24.83% · +3.30% |
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 1.34 · 0.88x |
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +5.34% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +1.43% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +13.04% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 69.45 · 71.82 · 79.44 |
| 52w high / low | 92.40 · 67.24 |