🕰️ Time Machine
AGO — Assured Guaranty Ltd.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
73.07 +1.19%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 1 days
11/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 09/09/2026
since +1.19%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 03/06/2026
72.76
Days: 68 trading / 99 calendar · return since: +0.43%
Last major high · 28/07/2026
86.94
Days: 31 trading / 44 calendar · return since: -15.95%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 28/07/2026 @ 86.94 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 26/08/2026 | -10 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 72.76 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 28/08/2026 | -8 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 72.76 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 01/09/2026 | -9 (±3) | Passed |
| High 28/07/2026 @ 86.94 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 09/09/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| High 28/07/2026 @ 86.94 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 11/09/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| High 28/07/2026 @ 86.94 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 26/09/2026 | +16 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 28/07/2026 @ 86.94 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 30/09/2026 | +14 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 72.76 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 01/10/2026 | +21 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 72.76 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 12/10/2026 | +22 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 28/07/2026 @ 86.94 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 21/10/2026 | +29 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 72.76 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 25/10/2026 | +45 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 03/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 01/09/2026
● Failed Breakdown 21/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 26/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 26/08/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.35% · Win 44% · DD -3.14%20 days: Avg -1.04% · Win 56% · DD -5.00%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/08/2025 | 81.42 | neutral | +0.41% | +0.41% | +4.25% | -0.96% | +4.25% |
| 2024 | 26/08/2024 | 77.75 | neutral | +3.19% | -1.30% | +2.26% | -1.90% | +4.50% |
| 2023 | 25/08/2023 | 57.80 | neutral | +4.91% | +4.36% | +6.25% | +0.00% | +6.30% |
| 2022 | 26/08/2022 | 53.48 | neutral | -3.38% | +3.29% | -13.61% | -13.61% | +3.29% |
| 2021 | 26/08/2021 | 49.80 | near 52w high | -3.27% | -6.06% | -5.34% | -7.25% | +1.85% |
| 2020 | 26/08/2020 | 21.40 | neutral | +0.00% | -4.86% | -8.04% | -10.89% | +3.41% |
| 2019 | 26/08/2019 | 42.65 | neutral | -0.33% | +5.49% | +6.21% | -0.77% | +6.85% |
| 2018 | 27/08/2018 | 41.51 | near 52w high | -2.17% | -2.89% | +1.98% | -3.18% | +2.34% |
| 2017 | 25/08/2017 | 42.60 | neutral | -0.23% | -1.62% | -3.33% | -6.48% | +0.31% |
Passed 28/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.37% · Win 56% · DD -3.49%20 days: Avg -1.16% · Win 56% · DD -5.23%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/08/2025 | 81.90 | neutral | +0.34% | +0.72% | +3.36% | -1.54% | +3.64% |
| 2024 | 28/08/2024 | 78.86 | neutral | +0.00% | -2.30% | +1.71% | -3.28% | +3.03% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 58.08 | neutral | +2.34% | +5.30% | +4.20% | +0.00% | +5.79% |
| 2022 | 29/08/2022 | 52.09 | neutral | -1.34% | +2.63% | -10.64% | -11.31% | +6.05% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 50.72 | near 52w high | -6.19% | -6.31% | -6.94% | -8.93% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 28/08/2020 | 22.11 | neutral | -1.36% | -9.81% | -4.93% | -13.75% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 28/08/2019 | 42.35 | neutral | +2.74% | +6.99% | +6.73% | -0.07% | +7.60% |
| 2018 | 28/08/2018 | 41.22 | near 52w high | -0.27% | -2.50% | +1.67% | -2.50% | +3.06% |
| 2017 | 28/08/2017 | 41.76 | neutral | -3.76% | +1.92% | -5.65% | -5.65% | +2.32% |
Passed 01/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.74% · Win 33% · DD -3.40%20 days: Avg -1.07% · Win 33% · DD -5.28%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 81.21 | neutral | +1.03% | -0.70% | +4.24% | -0.70% | +4.52% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 80.08 | neutral | -4.76% | +0.80% | -0.70% | -4.76% | +1.46% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 60.64 | neutral | -0.53% | -1.09% | -2.16% | -2.41% | +2.01% |
| 2022 | 01/09/2022 | 50.79 | neutral | +6.95% | +5.45% | -4.61% | -9.04% | +8.76% |
| 2021 | 01/09/2021 | 49.04 | neutral | -3.12% | -4.38% | -4.55% | -6.44% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 01/09/2020 | 21.48 | neutral | -4.00% | -9.12% | +0.00% | -11.22% | +1.54% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 42.55 | neutral | +5.29% | +5.92% | +4.49% | -0.09% | +7.10% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 40.74 | near 52w high | -0.59% | -1.01% | +3.12% | -1.35% | +4.27% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 42.50 | neutral | -1.39% | -2.54% | -9.44% | -11.53% | +0.54% |
In window 09/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.41% · Win 70% · DD -2.88%20 days: Avg +4.12% · Win 70% · DD -4.64%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 09/09/2025 | 82.05 | neutral | -1.72% | +2.00% | +0.68% | -1.72% | +3.45% |
| 2024 | 09/09/2024 | 76.27 | neutral | +5.83% | +6.28% | +5.26% | +0.00% | +8.59% |
| 2023 | 08/09/2023 | 59.67 | neutral | +1.81% | +1.54% | +1.24% | -1.88% | +3.67% |
| 2022 | 09/09/2022 | 54.32 | neutral | -1.40% | -11.27% | -7.49% | -14.95% | +1.69% |
| 2021 | 09/09/2021 | 47.51 | neutral | -1.31% | +0.29% | +3.91% | -3.43% | +3.91% |
| 2020 | 09/09/2020 | 20.62 | neutral | -5.33% | -6.89% | +39.91% | -7.52% | +39.91% |
| 2019 | 09/09/2019 | 44.80 | neutral | +0.60% | +1.72% | -1.47% | -3.55% | +1.72% |
| 2018 | 10/09/2018 | 40.50 | neutral | -0.42% | +4.89% | +4.25% | -0.77% | +5.41% |
| 2017 | 08/09/2017 | 40.72 | neutral | +4.94% | +2.04% | -7.81% | -7.81% | +4.94% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 27.77 | near 52w high | -1.73% | -4.75% | +2.74% | -4.75% | +2.74% |
In window 11/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.22% · Win 60% · DD -3.57%20 days: Avg +4.20% · Win 60% · DD -5.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/09/2025 | 83.16 | neutral | -0.16% | +0.82% | -1.53% | -3.03% | +2.07% |
| 2024 | 11/09/2024 | 76.40 | volume x1.7 | +6.35% | +3.97% | +8.44% | +0.00% | +8.44% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 60.32 | neutral | -0.56% | +1.81% | +1.23% | -2.93% | +2.55% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 55.24 | neutral | -2.08% | -16.36% | -7.35% | -16.36% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 46.78 | neutral | -0.30% | +0.77% | +7.61% | -1.92% | +7.61% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 20.66 | neutral | -7.70% | -1.89% | +35.77% | -7.70% | +39.64% |
| 2019 | 11/09/2019 | 44.97 | neutral | +0.73% | +0.18% | -0.40% | -3.91% | +1.33% |
| 2018 | 11/09/2018 | 40.31 | neutral | +0.47% | +5.01% | +5.98% | -0.30% | +5.98% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 41.91 | volume x1.7 | -1.17% | -1.74% | -10.50% | -10.50% | +1.96% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 27.77 | near 52w high | -1.73% | -4.75% | +2.74% | -4.75% | +2.74% |
Upcoming 26/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.65% · Win 50% · DD -2.24%20 days: Avg +8.42% · Win 60% · DD -3.26%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/09/2025 | 84.65 | neutral | -0.44% | -4.89% | -2.68% | -6.51% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 26/09/2024 | 80.21 | neutral | +0.41% | +4.68% | +6.18% | -1.51% | +9.19% |
| 2023 | 26/09/2023 | 60.52 | neutral | -3.26% | -0.43% | -1.40% | -3.26% | +4.33% |
| 2022 | 26/09/2022 | 46.20 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +6.99% | +10.78% | +21.47% | +0.00% | +21.47% |
| 2021 | 27/09/2021 | 47.20 | volume x1.8 | +0.95% | +6.08% | +17.06% | -2.80% | +17.06% |
| 2020 | 25/09/2020 | 20.27 | neutral | +26.00% | +38.38% | +39.91% | +0.00% | +42.33% |
| 2019 | 26/09/2019 | 45.20 | neutral | -3.61% | -0.80% | +3.81% | -4.40% | +3.83% |
| 2018 | 26/09/2018 | 41.91 | near 52w high | +1.86% | -0.79% | -7.06% | -7.06% | +1.93% |
| 2017 | 26/09/2017 | 39.40 | volume x2.1 | -1.80% | -4.39% | -6.35% | -7.08% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 26/09/2016 | 26.45 | near 52w low | +4.39% | +7.86% | +13.27% | +0.00% | +13.42% |
Upcoming 30/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.08% · Win 70% · DD -1.96%20 days: Avg +5.85% · Win 60% · DD -2.57%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/09/2025 | 84.65 | neutral | -2.41% | -2.80% | -3.99% | -6.51% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 30/09/2024 | 79.52 | neutral | +0.96% | +6.04% | +6.59% | -0.65% | +10.14% |
| 2023 | 29/09/2023 | 60.52 | neutral | -0.18% | +0.86% | -0.30% | -3.26% | +4.33% |
| 2022 | 30/09/2022 | 48.45 | neutral | +3.72% | +10.55% | +21.20% | +0.00% | +21.20% |
| 2021 | 30/09/2021 | 46.81 | neutral | +5.47% | +11.11% | +19.68% | +0.00% | +19.68% |
| 2020 | 30/09/2020 | 21.48 | neutral | +34.31% | +25.74% | +13.69% | +0.00% | +34.31% |
| 2019 | 30/09/2019 | 44.46 | neutral | -0.72% | +2.47% | +5.08% | -2.81% | +5.56% |
| 2018 | 01/10/2018 | 42.01 | near 52w high | +0.50% | -4.24% | -7.47% | -7.47% | +1.69% |
| 2017 | 29/09/2017 | 37.75 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | -0.56% | -2.28% | -3.23% | -4.48% | +2.49% |
| 2016 | 30/09/2016 | 27.75 | near 52w high | +2.77% | +3.32% | +7.24% | -0.50% | +8.43% |
Upcoming 01/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.31% · Win 70% · DD -1.68%20 days: Avg +6.58% · Win 70% · DD -2.29%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/10/2025 | 83.79 | neutral | -1.55% | -3.35% | -3.43% | -5.55% | +0.91% |
| 2024 | 01/10/2024 | 79.00 | neutral | +3.29% | +5.67% | +7.58% | +0.00% | +10.86% |
| 2023 | 02/10/2023 | 59.33 | neutral | +2.92% | +4.92% | +3.83% | -1.31% | +6.42% |
| 2022 | 30/09/2022 | 48.45 | neutral | +3.72% | +10.55% | +21.20% | +0.00% | +21.20% |
| 2021 | 01/10/2021 | 47.53 | neutral | +5.91% | +11.21% | +16.94% | +0.00% | +17.86% |
| 2020 | 01/10/2020 | 21.94 | neutral | +29.85% | +23.66% | +17.27% | +0.00% | +31.49% |
| 2019 | 01/10/2019 | 43.96 | neutral | -0.14% | +5.05% | +7.12% | -1.71% | +7.12% |
| 2018 | 01/10/2018 | 42.01 | near 52w high | +0.50% | -4.24% | -7.47% | -7.47% | +1.69% |
| 2017 | 02/10/2017 | 38.49 | volume x1.9 | -2.55% | -3.69% | -4.52% | -6.31% | +0.52% |
| 2016 | 30/09/2016 | 27.75 | near 52w high | +2.77% | +3.32% | +7.24% | -0.50% | +8.43% |
Upcoming 12/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.73% · Win 50% · DD -2.03%20 days: Avg +6.73% · Win 100% · DD -2.87%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/10/2025 | 81.11 | neutral | -0.14% | +1.42% | +6.50% | -2.43% | +7.11% |
| 2024 | 11/10/2024 | 83.95 | neutral | +3.36% | -1.08% | +4.26% | -2.89% | +5.11% |
| 2023 | 12/10/2023 | 61.48 | neutral | -0.29% | -0.93% | +5.35% | -3.68% | +7.14% |
| 2022 | 12/10/2022 | 52.27 | neutral | +5.97% | +8.46% | +12.72% | +0.00% | +13.97% |
| 2021 | 12/10/2021 | 50.71 | near 52w high | +5.46% | +7.55% | +6.98% | +0.00% | +11.79% |
| 2020 | 12/10/2020 | 28.43 | far above SMA50 | -7.56% | -2.11% | +7.28% | -14.10% | +7.28% |
| 2019 | 11/10/2019 | 45.54 | neutral | +2.83% | +2.42% | +5.91% | +0.00% | +6.72% |
| 2018 | 12/10/2018 | 39.95 | neutral | +2.33% | -2.68% | +4.03% | -2.70% | +4.03% |
| 2017 | 12/10/2017 | 36.77 | far below SMA50 | +2.64% | -0.05% | +0.49% | -1.93% | +3.02% |
| 2016 | 12/10/2016 | 28.85 | near 52w high | +3.29% | +4.26% | +13.80% | -0.97% | +13.80% |
Upcoming 21/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.70% · Win 50% · DD -2.98%20 days: Avg +6.84% · Win 70% · DD -3.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/10/2025 | 82.51 | neutral | -1.50% | -0.58% | +7.82% | -2.34% | +7.82% |
| 2024 | 21/10/2024 | 85.02 | neutral | -0.31% | -4.12% | +8.16% | -4.12% | +8.16% |
| 2023 | 20/10/2023 | 59.97 | neutral | +0.62% | +9.20% | +10.48% | -1.25% | +11.25% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 54.90 | neutral | +6.96% | +6.89% | +10.86% | +0.00% | +11.60% |
| 2021 | 21/10/2021 | 54.86 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.11% | +2.81% | -2.44% | -3.14% | +3.34% |
| 2020 | 21/10/2020 | 26.94 | far above SMA50 | -9.35% | -2.30% | +17.92% | -9.35% | +19.82% |
| 2019 | 21/10/2019 | 46.93 | near 52w high | -0.45% | +0.87% | +3.75% | -0.92% | +3.75% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 40.75 | volume x1.8 | -4.61% | -0.34% | -1.47% | -4.61% | +1.99% |
| 2017 | 20/10/2017 | 37.88 | neutral | -3.56% | -1.56% | -3.03% | -4.80% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 21/10/2016 | 29.97 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | -0.70% | +6.11% | +16.36% | -1.84% | +16.99% |
Upcoming 25/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.62% · Win 100% · DD -2.11%20 days: Avg +8.22% · Win 90% · DD -2.36%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/10/2025 | 82.38 | neutral | -2.19% | +5.46% | +8.99% | -2.19% | +8.99% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 83.04 | neutral | -0.58% | +5.41% | +12.48% | -1.83% | +12.48% |
| 2023 | 25/10/2023 | 60.31 | neutral | +5.64% | +9.22% | +11.77% | +0.00% | +11.77% |
| 2022 | 25/10/2022 | 56.64 | neutral | +4.63% | +5.17% | +10.05% | +0.00% | +10.05% |
| 2021 | 25/10/2021 | 55.25 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.61% | +0.25% | -2.55% | -3.82% | +2.61% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 27.83 | far above SMA50 | -4.24% | +9.59% | +17.11% | -12.25% | +17.11% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 46.64 | near 52w high | +1.35% | +3.41% | +4.76% | +0.00% | +5.00% |
| 2018 | 25/10/2018 | 39.38 | neutral | +2.03% | +5.21% | +2.36% | -1.30% | +5.54% |
| 2017 | 25/10/2017 | 36.06 | neutral | +3.16% | +4.10% | +0.97% | +0.00% | +4.10% |
| 2016 | 25/10/2016 | 30.09 | near 52w high | -1.03% | +8.41% | +16.23% | -2.23% | +16.53% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-8.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -20.9% · from 52w low: +1.3%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -2.61% · -3.74% · -1.76% · -3.29% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -2.52% · -8.14% · -11.49% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -20.92% · +1.30% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 1.46 · 1.26x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +0.31% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +0.13% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +2.43% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 74.96 · 79.54 · 82.56 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 92.40 · 72.13 |
|---|
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