🕰️ Time Machine

AGO — Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
69.46 -1.21%
Next window · Cycle 144 · in window · in 2 days
25/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 21/10/2026
since +0.27%
Trend
Downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 03/06/2026
72.76
Days: 99 trading / 142 calendar · return since: -4.54%
Last major high · 28/07/2026
86.94
Days: 62 trading / 87 calendar · return since: -20.11%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 03/06/2026 @ 72.76Cycle 90Trading📅 12/10/2026-9 (±3)Passed
High 28/07/2026 @ 86.94Cycle 60Trading📅 21/10/2026-2 (±2)In window
Low 03/06/2026 @ 72.76Cycle 144Calendar📅 25/10/2026+2 (±3)In window
High 28/07/2026 @ 86.94Cycle 90Calendar📅 26/10/2026+3 (±3)In window
Low 03/06/2026 @ 72.76Cycle 120Trading📅 23/11/2026+21 (±3)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 86.94Cycle 120Calendar📅 25/11/2026+33 (±3)Upcoming
Low 03/06/2026 @ 72.76Cycle 180Calendar📅 30/11/2026+38 (±3)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 86.94Cycle 90Trading📅 03/12/2026+28 (±3)Upcoming
Low 03/06/2026 @ 72.76Cycle 144Trading📅 29/12/2026+45 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Bearish Engulfing 21/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 21/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 16/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 12/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 07/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 12/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 01/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 12/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.44% · Win 44% · DD -2.15%20 days: Avg +5.95% · Win 100% · DD -3.08%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202513/10/202581.11neutral-0.14%+1.42%+6.50%-2.43%+7.11%
202411/10/202483.95neutral+3.36%-1.08%+4.26%-2.89%+5.11%
202312/10/202361.48neutral-0.29%-0.93%+5.35%-3.68%+7.14%
202212/10/202252.27neutral+5.97%+8.46%+12.72%+0.00%+13.97%
202112/10/202150.71near 52w high+5.46%+7.55%+6.98%+0.00%+11.79%
202012/10/202028.43far above SMA50-7.56%-2.11%+7.28%-14.10%+7.28%
201911/10/201945.54neutral+2.83%+2.42%+5.91%+0.00%+6.72%
201812/10/201839.95neutral+2.33%-2.68%+4.03%-2.70%+4.03%
201712/10/201736.77far below SMA50+2.64%-0.05%+0.49%-1.93%+3.02%
In window 21/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.80% · Win 50% · DD -2.98%20 days: Avg +6.83% · Win 70% · DD -3.23%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/10/202582.51neutral-1.50%-0.58%+7.82%-2.34%+7.82%
202421/10/202485.02neutral-0.31%-4.12%+8.16%-4.12%+8.16%
202320/10/202359.97neutral+0.62%+9.20%+10.48%-1.25%+11.25%
202221/10/202254.90neutral+6.96%+6.89%+10.86%+0.00%+11.60%
202121/10/202154.86near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.11%+2.81%-2.44%-3.14%+3.34%
202021/10/202026.94far above SMA50-9.35%-2.30%+17.92%-9.35%+19.82%
201921/10/201946.93near 52w high-0.45%+0.87%+3.75%-0.92%+3.75%
201822/10/201840.75volume x1.8-4.61%-0.34%-1.47%-4.61%+1.99%
201720/10/201737.88neutral-3.56%-1.56%-3.03%-4.80%+0.00%
201624/10/201629.96near 52w high-0.23%+7.14%+16.23%-1.80%+17.03%
In window 25/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.62% · Win 100% · DD -2.11%20 days: Avg +8.22% · Win 90% · DD -2.36%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/10/202582.38neutral-2.19%+5.46%+8.99%-2.19%+8.99%
202425/10/202483.04neutral-0.58%+5.41%+12.48%-1.83%+12.48%
202325/10/202360.31neutral+5.64%+9.22%+11.77%+0.00%+11.77%
202225/10/202256.64neutral+4.63%+5.17%+10.05%+0.00%+10.05%
202125/10/202155.25near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.61%+0.25%-2.55%-3.82%+2.61%
202026/10/202027.83far above SMA50-4.24%+9.59%+17.11%-12.25%+17.11%
201925/10/201946.64near 52w high+1.35%+3.41%+4.76%+0.00%+5.00%
201825/10/201839.38neutral+2.03%+5.21%+2.36%-1.30%+5.54%
201725/10/201736.06neutral+3.16%+4.10%+0.97%+0.00%+4.10%
201625/10/201630.09near 52w high-1.03%+8.41%+16.23%-2.23%+16.53%
In window 26/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.97% · Win 90% · DD -2.13%20 days: Avg +8.60% · Win 80% · DD -2.35%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/202582.26neutral-1.11%+5.01%+9.14%-2.04%+9.15%
202425/10/202483.04neutral-0.58%+5.41%+12.48%-1.83%+12.48%
202326/10/202360.91neutral+6.67%+6.34%+12.17%-0.94%+12.17%
202226/10/202256.69neutral+2.70%+3.93%+9.24%+0.00%+9.95%
202126/10/202154.54near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.75%-0.53%-0.75%-2.57%+3.94%
202026/10/202027.83far above SMA50-4.24%+9.59%+17.11%-12.25%+17.11%
201925/10/201946.64near 52w high+1.35%+3.41%+4.76%+0.00%+5.00%
201826/10/201838.88neutral+3.11%+6.89%+4.97%-0.03%+6.89%
201726/10/201736.75neutral+0.27%+0.54%-0.71%-1.61%+2.15%
201626/10/201630.08near 52w high-1.40%+9.14%+17.60%-2.19%+17.60%
Upcoming 23/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.61% · Win 40% · DD -3.36%20 days: Avg -1.40% · Win 50% · DD -5.03%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/11/202589.78neutral-0.48%-1.43%+1.26%-2.43%+2.67%
202422/11/202493.09near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.07%-3.66%-5.46%-7.86%+1.72%
202322/11/202367.12near 52w high+1.18%+1.70%+9.52%+0.00%+9.52%
202223/11/202261.67far above SMA50+7.04%+2.81%+1.57%-1.10%+7.95%
202123/11/202153.91neutral-10.74%-8.50%-10.46%-15.12%+0.00%
202023/11/202032.39far above SMA50-4.26%-7.29%-6.17%-7.29%+2.93%
201922/11/201948.68near 52w high+1.17%+1.44%+0.39%+0.00%+3.76%
201823/11/201840.15neutral+1.67%-3.84%-9.61%-9.61%+3.09%
201722/11/201736.27near 52w low+0.11%-4.49%-4.55%-6.87%+1.32%
201623/11/201635.24near 52w high+3.69%+7.12%+9.51%+0.00%+10.27%
Upcoming 25/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.41% · Win 40% · DD -3.93%20 days: Avg -0.84% · Win 40% · DD -5.63%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/11/202590.05neutral-1.35%-1.44%+0.90%-2.72%+2.37%
202425/11/202494.69near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.56%-6.68%-6.08%-9.42%+0.00%
202324/11/202368.03near 52w high-0.13%+4.07%+9.04%-1.00%+9.04%
202225/11/202262.63near 52w high · far above SMA50+5.86%+0.62%+0.94%-2.62%+6.29%
202124/11/202153.46neutral-7.65%-9.32%-8.57%-14.40%+0.00%
202025/11/202032.35far above SMA50-5.22%-0.06%-1.92%-7.17%+0.00%
201925/11/201949.22near 52w high-0.06%+0.67%-0.10%-0.71%+2.62%
201826/11/201840.65neutral+1.82%-5.31%-7.11%-10.73%+1.82%
201724/11/201736.35near 52w low-0.41%-3.38%-5.06%-7.07%+1.10%
201625/11/201635.43near 52w high+3.16%+6.77%+9.54%-0.48%+9.68%
Upcoming 30/11/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.99% · Win 50% · DD -3.56%20 days: Avg -0.27% · Win 50% · DD -4.66%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/12/202590.21neutral-2.89%+1.64%+0.51%-2.89%+2.18%
202429/11/202493.28near 52w high-2.76%-3.46%-4.19%-8.05%+0.00%
202330/11/202367.91near 52w high+0.52%+6.86%+10.19%-0.43%+10.19%
202230/11/202266.57near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.7-5.00%-8.11%-6.47%-8.38%+0.00%
202130/11/202148.97neutral+0.57%-2.31%+2.35%-6.56%+2.35%
202030/11/202030.13far above SMA50+0.07%+2.66%+2.42%-0.33%+7.30%
201929/11/201949.65near 52w high-0.36%+1.07%-1.01%-1.57%+1.73%
201830/11/201840.82neutral-5.41%-8.77%-5.90%-11.10%+1.40%
201730/11/201736.31near 52w low-4.60%-5.84%-6.72%-7.33%+0.00%
201630/11/201635.76near 52w high+5.51%+6.38%+6.10%+0.00%+8.67%
Upcoming 03/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.05% · Win 50% · DD -3.49%20 days: Avg -0.62% · Win 40% · DD -4.44%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/12/202588.83neutral-0.09%+3.64%-0.10%-1.38%+3.77%
202403/12/202492.27near 52w high-4.24%-3.64%-2.99%-7.04%+0.00%
202304/12/202368.60near 52w high · volume x1.6+4.29%+4.97%+8.16%-1.43%+9.08%
202202/12/202266.30near 52w high · far above SMA50-4.95%-8.01%-7.57%-8.01%+0.00%
202103/12/202147.50neutral+2.40%-1.39%+6.11%-3.66%+6.11%
202003/12/202030.66far above SMA50+5.45%+1.83%+0.23%-2.05%+5.45%
201903/12/201949.19near 52w high+0.73%+2.24%-0.22%-0.65%+2.68%
201803/12/201841.39near 52w high-7.01%-10.44%-8.48%-12.32%+0.00%
201704/12/201736.12near 52w low-2.02%-5.98%-7.89%-7.89%+0.00%
201602/12/201636.55near 52w high+3.50%+6.32%+6.57%+0.00%+6.57%
Upcoming 29/12/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.43% · Win 80% · DD -1.97%20 days: Avg +4.14% · Win 70% · DD -2.50%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/12/202590.59neutral-0.85%-5.74%-7.72%-8.36%+0.09%
202430/12/202489.37neutral+0.29%+1.37%+6.83%-3.68%+6.83%
202329/12/202374.83near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.52%+1.14%+10.68%-0.84%+10.68%
202229/12/202262.26neutral-0.11%+0.21%-1.35%-3.13%+1.43%
202129/12/202150.12neutral+3.47%+9.32%+1.70%-0.44%+11.11%
202029/12/202030.86neutral+12.38%+23.30%+21.19%-0.42%+27.03%
201930/12/201949.15near 52w high-1.14%-2.46%-4.68%-4.68%+0.28%
201828/12/201838.04neutral+1.66%+3.50%+5.21%-0.42%+6.47%
201729/12/201733.87near 52w low-1.56%+0.38%+5.96%-2.54%+8.50%
201629/12/201637.94near 52w high+2.08%+3.32%+3.58%-0.45%+6.01%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-3.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -24.8% · from 52w low: +3.3%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-1.96% · -0.81% · -0.04% · -17.04%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+0.01% · -3.28% · -12.57%
Distance from 52w high / low-24.83% · +3.30%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg1.34 · 0.88x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+5.34%
vs SPY (20d)+1.43%
vs SMH (20d)+13.04%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20069.45 · 71.82 · 79.44
52w high / low92.40 · 67.24