🕰️ Time Machine

AMAT — Applied Materials

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
377.24 +0.44%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 3 days
28/10/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 15/10/2026
since -12.27%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 16/09/2026
411.51
Days: 27 trading / 37 calendar · return since: -8.33%
Last major high · 30/06/2026
739.67
Days: 81 trading / 115 calendar · return since: -49.00%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 16/09/2026 @ 411.51Fib 21Trading📅 15/10/2026-6 (±1)Passed
Low 16/09/2026 @ 411.51Cycle 30Calendar📅 16/10/2026-7 (±2)Passed
Low 16/09/2026 @ 411.51Cycle 30Trading📅 28/10/2026+3 (±2)Upcoming
High 30/06/2026 @ 739.67Cycle 120Calendar📅 28/10/2026+5 (±3)Upcoming
Low 16/09/2026 @ 411.51Cycle 45Calendar📅 31/10/2026+8 (±2)Upcoming
High 30/06/2026 @ 739.67Cycle 90Trading📅 05/11/2026+9 (±3)Upcoming
Low 16/09/2026 @ 411.51Cycle 60Calendar📅 15/11/2026+23 (±2)Upcoming
Low 16/09/2026 @ 411.51Cycle 45Trading📅 18/11/2026+18 (±2)Upcoming
High 30/06/2026 @ 739.67Cycle 144Calendar📅 21/11/2026+29 (±3)Upcoming
Low 16/09/2026 @ 411.51Cycle 60Trading📅 10/12/2026+33 (±2)Upcoming
High 30/06/2026 @ 739.67Cycle 120Trading📅 18/12/2026+39 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Failed Breakdown 23/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 28/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 21/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 16/10/2026
● Doji After Run 20/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 16/10/2026
● Gap Day 19/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 16/10/2026
● Hammer Reversal 15/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 15/10/2026
● Doji After Run 15/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 15/10/2026
● Gap Day 13/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 15/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 12/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 15/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 15/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.45% · Win 56% · DD -4.10%20 days: Avg +9.99% · Win 78% · DD -4.16%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/10/2025227.58near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.08%+3.59%+1.38%-3.08%+5.85%
202415/10/2024191.02volume x2.8-4.20%-0.47%-2.31%-4.94%+1.61%
202316/10/2023141.00neutral-4.80%-7.07%+6.20%-7.72%+6.87%
202214/10/202274.82far below SMA50+10.16%+19.91%+47.73%-0.55%+47.73%
202115/10/2021131.59neutral+3.30%+3.85%+19.17%+0.00%+19.17%
202015/10/202063.51neutral-2.85%-6.31%+9.90%-9.75%+12.27%
201915/10/201952.91near 52w high-1.76%+4.93%+6.63%-4.50%+7.64%
201815/10/201833.43near 52w low · far below SMA50+0.30%-6.91%-2.42%-6.91%+5.74%
201716/10/201755.04near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.42%+1.56%+3.62%+0.00%+3.62%
Passed 16/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.54% · Win 67% · DD -3.71%20 days: Avg +10.37% · Win 67% · DD -3.78%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/10/2025227.72near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.33%+2.12%-1.97%-3.14%+5.78%
202416/10/2024184.59volume x1.8-1.02%+0.38%-0.98%-1.63%+5.15%
202316/10/2023141.00neutral-4.80%-7.07%+6.20%-7.72%+6.87%
202217/10/202274.41near 52w low · far below SMA50+14.15%+18.65%+44.62%+0.00%+48.54%
202115/10/2021131.59neutral+3.30%+3.85%+19.17%+0.00%+19.17%
202016/10/202063.00neutral-3.25%-5.98%+15.57%-9.02%+15.57%
201916/10/201951.56near 52w high-2.00%+7.08%+10.78%-2.00%+10.78%
201816/10/201834.76far below SMA50-3.57%-6.73%-3.65%-10.47%+1.70%
201716/10/201755.04near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.42%+1.56%+3.62%+0.00%+3.62%
Upcoming 28/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +8.16% · Win 80% · DD -1.46%20 days: Avg +11.04% · Win 90% · DD -2.45%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/10/2025227.64near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.12%+0.45%+6.72%-3.07%+6.72%
202428/10/2024185.34neutral-1.90%+1.74%-5.60%-8.88%+4.72%
202327/10/2023131.30neutral+6.44%+14.76%+15.11%-0.21%+18.33%
202228/10/202289.72neutral+2.21%+23.19%+15.61%-3.81%+23.19%
202128/10/2021136.02neutral+10.37%+13.15%+5.51%+0.00%+16.70%
202028/10/202057.32neutral+13.15%+24.15%+41.98%+0.00%+45.14%
201928/10/201956.95near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.12%-0.63%+2.69%-4.72%+9.48%
201829/10/201831.12near 52w low · far below SMA50+10.28%+4.82%+16.33%+0.00%+16.36%
201727/10/201756.69near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.25%-0.58%+0.61%-2.13%+3.72%
201628/10/201628.66near 52w high-1.54%+0.56%+11.45%-1.67%+11.59%
Upcoming 31/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +7.94% · Win 70% · DD -1.21%20 days: Avg +10.53% · Win 80% · DD -2.45%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202531/10/2025233.10near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.30%-3.04%+9.50%-5.34%+9.50%
202431/10/2024181.58neutral+6.89%+2.43%-3.56%-6.99%+6.89%
202331/10/2023132.35neutral+7.09%+16.42%+13.09%+0.00%+17.39%
202231/10/202288.29neutral+7.65%+21.88%+17.23%-2.25%+25.19%
202101/11/2021139.51near 52w high+9.64%+12.01%+5.68%+0.00%+13.78%
202030/10/202059.23neutral+19.08%+22.93%+39.67%+0.00%+40.46%
201931/10/201954.26neutral+3.10%+4.98%+7.08%+0.00%+14.91%
201831/10/201832.88far below SMA50+7.21%+2.13%+11.76%-0.79%+13.50%
201731/10/201756.43near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.07%-0.02%-6.08%-6.08%+4.20%
201631/10/201629.08near 52w high+0.86%-0.31%+10.95%-3.09%+10.95%
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.05% · Win 70% · DD -2.64%20 days: Avg +5.95% · Win 70% · DD -4.22%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/11/2025240.89near 52w high · far above SMA50-4.22%-2.39%+12.07%-8.40%+12.07%
202405/11/2024186.48neutral+0.07%-9.21%-2.62%-9.44%+4.08%
202306/11/2023140.36neutral+6.68%+8.70%+4.35%+0.00%+10.69%
202204/11/202291.70neutral+20.53%+14.18%+16.35%+0.00%+20.53%
202105/11/2021153.29near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.30%-2.13%-3.70%-6.37%+3.56%
202005/11/202069.95near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.8-0.21%+10.76%+27.38%-0.80%+27.38%
201905/11/201955.88near 52w high+0.97%+9.06%+0.72%-0.62%+11.58%
201805/11/201834.32neutral-4.95%+0.29%+3.81%-4.95%+12.34%
201706/11/201756.33near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.24%+2.29%-10.94%-11.50%+4.38%
201604/11/201628.22near 52w high+2.13%+8.93%+12.09%-0.14%+14.47%
Upcoming 15/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.82% · Win 50% · DD -3.80%20 days: Avg +2.58% · Win 50% · DD -5.12%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/11/2025226.01volume x2.0-0.69%+12.94%+15.83%-2.37%+21.98%
202415/11/2024168.88far below SMA50 · volume x2.5+3.80%+8.78%+0.55%-0.19%+8.78%
202315/11/2023155.37near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.58%-3.39%+4.32%-6.67%+4.32%
202215/11/2022110.46far above SMA50-3.10%-0.54%-0.50%-6.30%+1.52%
202115/11/2021156.27near 52w high · far above SMA50-5.58%-5.66%-5.31%-8.16%+1.58%
202016/11/202074.48near 52w high · far above SMA50+8.40%+13.48%+19.14%-0.15%+20.86%
201915/11/201962.06near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x3.8-9.55%-8.32%-3.05%-10.52%+0.47%
201815/11/201835.02neutral+0.65%+7.05%-6.19%-6.24%+10.10%
201715/11/201755.77near 52w high+3.60%-5.22%-7.84%-10.61%+5.43%
201615/11/201629.61near 52w high+7.30%+9.10%+8.89%+0.00%+10.82%
Upcoming 18/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.85% · Win 60% · DD -3.81%20 days: Avg +1.65% · Win 50% · DD -4.87%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/11/2025225.12volume x1.5+7.91%+19.56%+10.50%-1.98%+22.46%
202418/11/2024170.73far below SMA50+2.48%+7.53%+0.01%-1.27%+7.60%
202317/11/2023148.59volume x3.1+1.71%-0.00%+8.15%-2.41%+9.23%
202218/11/2022104.70far above SMA50-0.93%+1.90%-0.44%-1.14%+7.11%
202118/11/2021158.74near 52w high · far above SMA50-9.59%-7.98%-7.78%-9.59%+0.00%
202018/11/202075.71near 52w high · far above SMA50+7.17%+13.72%+15.57%+0.00%+18.54%
201918/11/201962.35near 52w high · far above SMA50-6.20%-10.94%-2.16%-10.94%+0.00%
201819/11/201834.42neutral+5.18%+3.51%-7.88%-7.88%+12.02%
201717/11/201756.49volume x2.7+0.97%-11.75%-5.31%-11.75%+4.09%
201618/11/201630.74near 52w high · volume x1.9+3.91%+2.90%+5.87%-1.77%+7.89%
Upcoming 21/11/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.18% · Win 50% · DD -3.49%20 days: Avg +1.90% · Win 60% · DD -5.00%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/11/2025224.01neutral+13.72%+19.71%+15.62%+0.00%+22.83%
202421/11/2024175.75neutral-0.59%-1.55%-6.92%-8.14%+4.28%
202321/11/2023149.25neutral+0.29%-2.84%+5.36%-2.84%+9.00%
202221/11/2022105.14far above SMA50-1.56%-0.17%-1.32%-1.56%+6.66%
202122/11/2021147.55neutral-0.08%+6.50%+2.79%-2.73%+6.77%
202020/11/202076.72near 52w high · far above SMA50+7.51%+16.19%+12.63%+0.00%+16.98%
201921/11/201956.44volume x1.7+2.59%+0.28%+9.51%-1.95%+9.51%
201821/11/201835.19neutral+3.84%-4.40%-13.87%-13.87%+8.95%
201721/11/201758.80near 52w high · far above SMA50-9.86%-13.10%-9.22%-15.21%+0.00%
201621/11/201631.35near 52w high+2.91%+1.15%+4.35%-3.68%+5.79%
Upcoming 10/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.10% · Win 50% · DD -5.11%20 days: Avg +3.36% · Win 80% · DD -5.80%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/12/2025275.15near 52w high · far above SMA50-9.77%-5.22%+9.46%-9.77%+9.46%
202410/12/2024168.17neutral+1.29%+0.12%+2.07%-4.00%+5.74%
202311/12/2023155.14near 52w high+3.36%+5.89%-3.44%-3.96%+5.89%
202209/12/2022107.34far above SMA50-2.43%-9.43%+0.65%-12.21%+4.22%
202110/12/2021152.73near 52w high-4.31%+6.54%-2.06%-5.05%+6.54%
202010/12/202087.89near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.44%-2.91%+11.46%-4.39%+11.46%
201910/12/201956.62neutral+7.36%+8.62%+9.45%+0.00%+9.86%
201810/12/201834.17neutral-4.39%-15.16%+0.38%-15.16%+0.38%
201711/12/201751.62neutral+3.45%-1.10%+3.25%-2.23%+8.33%
201609/12/201632.35near 52w high+0.49%+1.70%+2.41%-1.27%+3.03%
Upcoming 18/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.50% · Win 60% · DD -3.94%20 days: Avg +9.31% · Win 90% · DD -4.17%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/12/2025253.50neutral+3.31%+12.16%+25.53%+0.00%+29.00%
202418/12/2024165.45neutral+1.27%+2.79%+16.57%-2.42%+16.57%
202318/12/2023160.36near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.44%-5.56%-0.01%-7.08%+2.44%
202219/12/2022103.99neutral-8.32%-4.50%+2.09%-9.39%+5.97%
202117/12/2021146.15neutral+11.34%+9.43%+4.25%-0.78%+14.27%
202018/12/202086.09near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.2-1.42%+4.08%+25.26%-2.39%+26.87%
201918/12/201960.38near 52w high+1.54%+1.37%+4.09%-0.81%+4.69%
201818/12/201833.28neutral-7.93%-5.23%+3.79%-12.89%+4.51%
201718/12/201753.40neutral-4.40%+1.09%+7.49%-4.40%+7.49%
201619/12/201632.44near 52w high+2.74%-0.62%+4.04%-1.54%+4.16%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-19.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -49.0% · from 52w low: +85.5%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-7.83% · -25.60% · -22.22% · -24.74%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-19.88% · -19.47% · -14.64%
Distance from 52w high / low-49.00% · +85.47%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg20.56 · 0.99x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-16.83%
vs SPY (20d)-20.74%
vs SMH (20d)-9.13%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200470.84 · 468.42 · 441.94
52w high / low739.67 · 203.40