🕰️ Time Machine
AMSF — Amerisafe, Inc.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
24.66 -0.56%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window
10/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 06/09/2026
since -5.12%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 06/05/2026
29.42
Days: 87 trading / 127 calendar · return since: -16.18%
Last major high · 08/07/2026
35.74
Days: 45 trading / 64 calendar · return since: -31.00%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 06/05/2026 @ 29.42 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 03/09/2026 | -7 (±3) | Passed |
| High 08/07/2026 @ 35.74 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 06/09/2026 | -4 (±2) | Passed |
| High 08/07/2026 @ 35.74 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 10/09/2026 | +0 (±2) | In window |
| Low 06/05/2026 @ 29.42 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 15/09/2026 | +3 (±3) | In window |
| Low 06/05/2026 @ 29.42 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 27/09/2026 | +17 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 08/07/2026 @ 35.74 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 01/10/2026 | +15 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 08/07/2026 @ 35.74 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 06/10/2026 | +26 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 06/05/2026 @ 29.42 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 27/10/2026 | +33 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 08/07/2026 @ 35.74 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 12/11/2026 | +45 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakdown 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 10/09/2026
● Doji After Run 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 10/09/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 02/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 03/09/2026
● Failed Breakdown 31/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 03/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 25/08/2026
● Failed Breakdown 21/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 03/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.11% · Win 33% · DD -4.31%20 days: Avg -2.46% · Win 22% · DD -5.38%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/09/2025 | 46.10 | neutral | -2.13% | -3.57% | -5.28% | -5.78% | +2.49% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 49.81 | neutral | -2.56% | -0.74% | +0.03% | -4.52% | +0.03% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 52.34 | neutral | -0.86% | -1.67% | -4.77% | -4.77% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 48.01 | neutral | +3.37% | +0.71% | -1.03% | -2.67% | +3.37% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 57.14 | neutral | -1.41% | -4.93% | -0.53% | -5.05% | +0.72% |
| 2020 | 03/09/2020 | 66.08 | neutral | -2.94% | -12.62% | -12.15% | -14.69% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 67.86 | near 52w high | -2.29% | -1.21% | -2.65% | -2.65% | +0.56% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 63.25 | neutral | +0.27% | +1.30% | -3.53% | -4.10% | +2.81% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 54.75 | neutral | +1.30% | +3.77% | +7.80% | -4.20% | +7.80% |
Passed 06/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.47% · Win 22% · DD -3.50%20 days: Avg -0.83% · Win 56% · DD -4.55%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/09/2025 | 45.87 | neutral | -2.65% | -3.49% | -5.16% | -5.44% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 06/09/2024 | 48.52 | neutral | +0.60% | -1.26% | +0.87% | -2.72% | +1.92% |
| 2023 | 06/09/2023 | 52.04 | neutral | -2.48% | -0.48% | -2.34% | -4.22% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 06/09/2022 | 47.45 | volume x1.7 | +1.28% | +2.21% | +0.28% | -1.52% | +4.59% |
| 2021 | 07/09/2021 | 56.13 | near 52w low | -0.62% | -3.02% | +2.53% | -3.34% | +2.53% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 65.66 | neutral | -2.70% | -13.13% | -10.72% | -14.14% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 06/09/2019 | 67.76 | near 52w high | -1.05% | -0.97% | +0.07% | -3.36% | +0.07% |
| 2018 | 06/09/2018 | 64.05 | neutral | -0.16% | -0.86% | -4.34% | -5.62% | +1.17% |
| 2017 | 06/09/2017 | 53.00 | near 52w low | +7.67% | +7.77% | +11.36% | -0.57% | +11.36% |
In window 10/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.87% · Win 30% · DD -3.49%20 days: Avg -1.23% · Win 50% · DD -4.46%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/09/2025 | 45.12 | neutral | -1.48% | -2.51% | -6.26% | -6.26% | +0.60% |
| 2024 | 10/09/2024 | 48.17 | volume x1.6 | +1.87% | -0.66% | +0.19% | -2.01% | +2.66% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 51.55 | neutral | -0.81% | +0.19% | +0.21% | -3.94% | +0.21% |
| 2022 | 09/09/2022 | 48.83 | neutral | -2.72% | -4.08% | -5.51% | -5.51% | +0.98% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 56.30 | near 52w low · volume x1.7 | -3.20% | -0.21% | +3.18% | -4.12% | +3.18% |
| 2020 | 10/09/2020 | 63.96 | neutral | -8.32% | -10.94% | -9.96% | -12.23% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 10/09/2019 | 66.06 | volume x2.0 | +1.11% | +1.26% | -0.11% | -0.88% | +2.65% |
| 2018 | 10/09/2018 | 63.90 | neutral | +0.39% | -2.11% | -2.21% | -5.40% | +1.41% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 55.25 | neutral | +2.44% | +2.35% | +7.15% | +0.00% | +7.96% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 59.71 | near 52w high | -3.92% | -2.03% | +0.99% | -4.29% | +0.99% |
In window 15/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.01% · Win 30% · DD -2.77%20 days: Avg -0.43% · Win 60% · DD -3.93%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/09/2025 | 43.06 | near 52w low · volume x2.0 | +2.02% | +0.86% | -4.09% | -5.02% | +3.83% |
| 2024 | 16/09/2024 | 48.98 | neutral | -1.61% | -1.33% | +0.76% | -2.57% | +0.96% |
| 2023 | 15/09/2023 | 50.93 | volume x5.7 | +1.10% | -1.69% | +1.90% | -2.77% | +1.90% |
| 2022 | 15/09/2022 | 47.23 | neutral | +0.04% | -0.55% | +4.68% | -2.31% | +4.68% |
| 2021 | 15/09/2021 | 54.83 | near 52w low | -0.36% | +3.26% | +4.16% | -1.55% | +5.95% |
| 2020 | 15/09/2020 | 61.61 | neutral | -8.88% | -7.13% | -6.17% | -8.88% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 16/09/2019 | 66.31 | volume x1.9 | +0.77% | -0.30% | -3.77% | -3.77% | +2.26% |
| 2018 | 14/09/2018 | 64.80 | near 52w high | -1.62% | -4.40% | -7.01% | -7.01% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 15/09/2017 | 58.35 | volume x2.3 | -1.71% | -0.26% | +1.97% | -4.11% | +2.74% |
| 2016 | 15/09/2016 | 57.92 | near 52w high | +2.78% | +1.40% | +3.23% | -1.33% | +4.18% |
Upcoming 27/09/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.46% · Win 70% · DD -1.80%20 days: Avg +3.45% · Win 70% · DD -2.75%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/09/2025 | 43.77 | near 52w low | -1.46% | -6.56% | -5.30% | -7.52% | +0.16% |
| 2024 | 27/09/2024 | 48.32 | neutral | +1.28% | +1.41% | +13.78% | -1.24% | +16.25% |
| 2023 | 27/09/2023 | 50.41 | neutral | +0.16% | +1.69% | +4.03% | -1.77% | +6.37% |
| 2022 | 27/09/2022 | 46.54 | neutral | +1.59% | +2.81% | +14.89% | -0.86% | +14.89% |
| 2021 | 27/09/2021 | 56.84 | neutral | -0.51% | +0.84% | +3.48% | -1.37% | +3.48% |
| 2020 | 28/09/2020 | 58.06 | neutral | +0.55% | +1.50% | +0.33% | -2.67% | +1.50% |
| 2019 | 27/09/2019 | 66.00 | neutral | +2.74% | -3.15% | -5.38% | -5.38% | +2.74% |
| 2018 | 27/09/2018 | 61.10 | neutral | +0.28% | -0.20% | +9.57% | -1.37% | +9.57% |
| 2017 | 27/09/2017 | 57.60 | volume x2.0 | +2.08% | +4.08% | +3.82% | +0.00% | +4.08% |
| 2016 | 27/09/2016 | 58.78 | near 52w high | -0.44% | +2.14% | -4.73% | -5.32% | +2.65% |
Upcoming 01/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.97% · Win 70% · DD -1.47%20 days: Avg +5.05% · Win 70% · DD -2.73%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/10/2025 | 43.29 | near 52w low | -3.14% | -4.62% | -8.22% | -8.22% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 01/10/2024 | 49.45 | neutral | -2.41% | +0.49% | +10.92% | -3.50% | +13.59% |
| 2023 | 02/10/2023 | 49.52 | neutral | +4.32% | +6.66% | +2.54% | +0.00% | +8.28% |
| 2022 | 30/09/2022 | 46.73 | neutral | -1.26% | +5.33% | +25.55% | -1.26% | +25.55% |
| 2021 | 01/10/2021 | 56.65 | neutral | +2.54% | +1.52% | +4.66% | -0.18% | +5.47% |
| 2020 | 01/10/2020 | 57.30 | neutral | +0.51% | -0.23% | +4.76% | -1.38% | +4.76% |
| 2019 | 01/10/2019 | 65.82 | neutral | +0.26% | -3.28% | -3.18% | -5.12% | +3.02% |
| 2018 | 01/10/2018 | 60.45 | neutral | +3.37% | +2.12% | +10.84% | -0.31% | +10.84% |
| 2017 | 02/10/2017 | 58.80 | neutral | +0.68% | +0.94% | +7.82% | +0.00% | +9.10% |
| 2016 | 30/09/2016 | 58.78 | near 52w high | +1.99% | +0.78% | -5.24% | -7.28% | +2.65% |
Upcoming 06/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.27% · Win 60% · DD -2.11%20 days: Avg +5.01% · Win 80% · DD -3.07%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/10/2025 | 42.14 | near 52w low | -1.99% | -0.85% | -5.53% | -5.72% | +0.02% |
| 2024 | 07/10/2024 | 47.72 | neutral | +3.42% | +6.96% | +12.76% | +0.00% | +17.71% |
| 2023 | 06/10/2023 | 51.25 | neutral | +1.27% | +2.73% | +0.64% | -2.01% | +4.62% |
| 2022 | 06/10/2022 | 46.81 | neutral | +5.62% | +7.73% | +19.72% | -1.43% | +25.34% |
| 2021 | 06/10/2021 | 57.11 | neutral | +0.00% | +1.77% | +8.16% | -0.35% | +8.16% |
| 2020 | 06/10/2020 | 58.05 | neutral | -0.41% | -1.64% | +3.36% | -2.65% | +3.41% |
| 2019 | 07/10/2019 | 67.59 | near 52w high | -5.59% | -3.12% | +3.58% | -7.60% | +3.58% |
| 2018 | 05/10/2018 | 61.03 | neutral | -1.26% | +3.38% | +5.52% | -1.26% | +9.78% |
| 2017 | 06/10/2017 | 59.65 | neutral | -0.25% | +0.17% | +10.65% | -0.92% | +10.65% |
| 2016 | 06/10/2016 | 58.73 | near 52w high | +1.80% | -4.39% | -8.73% | -8.73% | +2.74% |
Upcoming 27/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.69% · Win 60% · DD -2.13%20 days: Avg +4.28% · Win 70% · DD -2.51%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 41.19 | near 52w low | -3.35% | -0.68% | -1.68% | -3.54% | +0.92% |
| 2024 | 28/10/2024 | 54.89 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.97% | +8.44% | +6.76% | -2.02% | +8.69% |
| 2023 | 27/10/2023 | 50.22 | neutral | +2.71% | +0.32% | +4.20% | -1.47% | +4.20% |
| 2022 | 27/10/2022 | 57.76 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.9 | -2.98% | -2.37% | -0.36% | -4.26% | +1.58% |
| 2021 | 27/10/2021 | 56.91 | neutral | +8.54% | +8.55% | +4.82% | +0.00% | +11.97% |
| 2020 | 27/10/2020 | 57.21 | neutral | +4.88% | +11.34% | +6.50% | +0.00% | +11.34% |
| 2019 | 28/10/2019 | 62.91 | neutral | +11.29% | +12.22% | +11.96% | +0.00% | +13.26% |
| 2018 | 26/10/2018 | 66.92 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | -3.77% | -3.53% | -3.38% | -5.41% | +0.12% |
| 2017 | 27/10/2017 | 64.15 | far above SMA50 | +2.88% | -0.31% | +0.86% | -1.79% | +4.75% |
| 2016 | 27/10/2016 | 57.40 | volume x2.0 | -6.62% | +2.96% | +13.15% | -6.62% | +13.15% |
Upcoming 12/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.42% · Win 40% · DD -1.92%20 days: Avg -0.07% · Win 30% · DD -3.48%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/11/2025 | 41.19 | neutral | -2.04% | -0.68% | -1.12% | -8.00% | +0.92% |
| 2024 | 12/11/2024 | 59.66 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.77% | -1.49% | -3.51% | -5.13% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 13/11/2023 | 49.48 | near 52w low | +1.41% | +5.21% | +4.16% | +0.00% | +5.85% |
| 2022 | 11/11/2022 | 55.50 | far above SMA50 | +0.50% | +2.41% | -1.81% | -2.06% | +6.97% |
| 2021 | 12/11/2021 | 56.66 | neutral | -4.24% | -5.49% | -7.58% | -7.68% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 12/11/2020 | 57.81 | neutral | -0.93% | -3.13% | -0.84% | -5.78% | +2.23% |
| 2019 | 12/11/2019 | 67.55 | neutral | -0.87% | -1.01% | -0.78% | -3.29% | +0.07% |
| 2018 | 12/11/2018 | 64.53 | neutral | -0.60% | -0.65% | -1.43% | -2.80% | +0.56% |
| 2017 | 13/11/2017 | 63.00 | volume x1.5 | +2.14% | +5.24% | +6.11% | +0.00% | +6.35% |
| 2016 | 11/11/2016 | 62.40 | near 52w high | +2.40% | +3.77% | +6.09% | -0.08% | +6.09% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-16.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -46.1% · from 52w low: +2.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -5.66% · -6.20% · -11.52% · -20.45% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -5.47% · -16.51% · -26.32% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -46.05% · +2.03% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.59 · 1.38x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -9.44% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -9.63% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -7.32% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 26.09 · 29.54 · 33.47 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 45.71 · 24.17 |
|---|
עבריתSign in with Google