📡 AMSF — Amerisafe, Inc.

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/06/2026

Last price (Close)
32.05 +2.59%
Next window · Gann 45 · active
11/06/2026
Last window · Short 21 · 05/06/2026
since +1.10%
Trend
Neutral

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 06/05/2026
29.42
Days: 24 trading / 35 calendar · return since: +8.94%
Last major high · 08/04/2026
34.39
Days: 44 trading / 63 calendar · return since: -6.80%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 06/05/2026 @ 29.42Short 21Trading05/06/2026-3 (±1)Passed
Low 06/05/2026 @ 29.42Gann 30Calendar05/06/2026-5 (±2)Passed
High 08/04/2026 @ 34.39Gann 60Calendar07/06/2026-3 (±2)Passed
High 08/04/2026 @ 34.39Gann 45Trading11/06/2026+1 (±2)Active now
Low 06/05/2026 @ 29.42Gann 30Trading18/06/2026+6 (±2)Upcoming
Low 06/05/2026 @ 29.42Gann 45Calendar20/06/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
High 08/04/2026 @ 34.39Gann 60Trading02/07/2026+16 (±2)Upcoming
Low 06/05/2026 @ 29.42Gann 60Calendar05/07/2026+25 (±2)Upcoming
High 08/04/2026 @ 34.39Gann 90Calendar07/07/2026+27 (±3)Upcoming
Low 06/05/2026 @ 29.42Gann 45Trading09/07/2026+21 (±2)Upcoming
Low 06/05/2026 @ 29.42Gann 60Trading30/07/2026+36 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 05/06/2026 · Low Short 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.28% · Win 56% · DD -3.34%20 days: Avg -0.94% · Win 44% · DD -4.26%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/06/202545.54volume x2.0-0.64%-3.65%-3.58%-4.82%+0.66%
202405/06/202443.47near 52w low-2.30%+0.23%-0.10%-2.30%+1.85%
202305/06/202351.89neutral+1.18%+2.76%+2.63%+0.00%+4.53%
202206/06/202251.30neutral-2.18%-3.41%+1.27%-5.06%+3.88%
202104/06/202163.28neutral-1.39%-5.90%-5.09%-5.90%+0.70%
202005/06/202069.03far above SMA50-11.07%-11.52%-13.20%-13.98%+0.00%
201905/06/201960.57neutral-0.33%+1.16%+6.32%-0.33%+6.32%
201805/06/201860.70neutral-0.38%+0.36%-5.01%-5.01%+1.27%
201705/06/201753.25near 52w low+3.49%+8.49%+8.30%-0.94%+8.86%
Passed 07/06/2026 · High Gann 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.85% · Win 22% · DD -3.95%20 days: Avg -2.32% · Win 33% · DD -4.56%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/06/202545.84volume x2.1-2.19%-2.72%-4.13%-5.45%+0.00%
202407/06/202443.33near 52w low-1.47%-0.47%+0.76%-1.98%+2.18%
202307/06/202354.24volume x1.9-2.71%-1.69%-1.58%-3.21%+0.00%
202207/06/202251.14neutral-2.50%-2.72%-0.85%-4.77%+4.21%
202107/06/202163.10volume x1.6-0.97%-4.06%-6.92%-6.92%+0.98%
202008/06/202067.45neutral-8.48%-10.95%-11.89%-11.97%+0.00%
201907/06/201960.91neutral+0.71%+4.30%+4.65%-1.30%+5.70%
201807/06/201860.55neutral+0.17%-3.39%-5.04%-5.45%+1.16%
201707/06/201752.85near 52w low+5.58%+5.01%+4.16%+0.00%+9.27%
Active now 11/06/2026 · High Gann 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.83% · Win 50% · DD -2.86%20 days: Avg +0.28% · Win 50% · DD -3.26%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/06/202545.17volume x1.8-2.10%-2.88%-1.39%-4.04%+0.18%
202411/06/202442.79near 52w low+0.60%+1.68%+5.52%-0.75%+5.52%
202312/06/202352.50neutral+1.57%+0.96%+0.51%-0.16%+2.32%
202210/06/202250.47neutral-3.28%+1.82%-1.35%-3.50%+5.59%
202111/06/202162.40neutral-4.58%-3.03%-4.91%-6.25%+0.77%
202011/06/202062.00neutral-0.44%-3.26%+0.03%-4.63%+0.03%
201911/06/201960.15volume x2.0+1.71%+3.79%+7.36%-0.05%+7.36%
201811/06/201860.80neutral-0.74%-1.64%-2.47%-5.84%+0.74%
201712/06/201754.90neutral+4.83%+1.64%+0.27%-0.04%+5.19%
201613/06/201663.01near 52w high-2.32%-7.36%-0.76%-7.36%+0.00%
Upcoming 18/06/2026 · Low Gann 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.82% · Win 50% · DD -2.11%20 days: Avg +1.74% · Win 60% · DD -3.03%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/06/202543.84near 52w low-0.80%-0.11%+3.06%-1.98%+4.13%
202418/06/202442.67near 52w low+1.08%+1.73%+13.71%-0.40%+14.13%
202316/06/202353.25volume x2.9-1.22%-0.04%+0.56%-2.20%+0.56%
202217/06/202248.51neutral+5.28%+9.17%-2.68%-3.15%+9.17%
202118/06/202159.27volume x2.2+1.62%+0.86%-4.23%-4.23%+3.21%
202018/06/202061.73neutral-2.83%-2.87%+1.25%-4.21%+2.87%
201918/06/201961.18neutral+2.04%+3.43%+8.11%-0.93%+8.11%
201818/06/201860.35neutral-0.91%-3.98%-0.08%-5.14%+0.58%
201719/06/201757.55volume x1.6-3.04%-0.17%-3.48%-4.34%+0.00%
201617/06/201660.59near 52w low-2.13%+0.17%+1.17%-3.66%+3.20%
Upcoming 20/06/2026 · Low Gann 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.06% · Win 40% · DD -2.33%20 days: Avg +1.20% · Win 70% · DD -3.18%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/06/202543.50near 52w low · volume x2.1+0.85%+0.07%+1.36%-1.22%+4.94%
202420/06/202443.19near 52w low+1.09%-0.32%+10.03%-1.60%+12.76%
202320/06/202352.98neutral-0.60%-0.13%+1.64%-1.70%+1.64%
202221/06/202249.24neutral+3.27%+4.85%-3.47%-4.59%+7.55%
202121/06/202160.26neutral-1.11%-2.99%-5.71%-5.81%+1.51%
202019/06/202060.82neutral-2.78%-1.89%+0.95%-2.78%+4.41%
201920/06/201963.33volume x1.7-1.59%+1.66%+2.68%-4.29%+4.74%
201820/06/201859.40neutral-0.51%-3.62%+3.11%-3.62%+3.11%
201720/06/201755.60neutral+0.09%+2.70%+1.98%-0.99%+3.33%
201620/06/201661.55near 52w low-5.17%-0.89%-0.54%-5.17%+1.59%
Upcoming 02/07/2026 · High Gann 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.21% · Win 70% · DD -2.75%20 days: Avg +0.50% · Win 60% · DD -4.03%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/07/202543.11near 52w low+0.16%+5.89%+3.87%+0.00%+7.79%
202402/07/202443.87near 52w low-0.48%+11.01%+8.23%-1.87%+15.39%
202303/07/202353.23neutral-2.16%+0.60%-0.70%-2.16%+5.19%
202201/07/202252.72neutral-5.42%-10.81%-12.31%-13.58%+0.46%
202102/07/202159.78neutral-1.20%-5.05%-3.68%-7.56%+0.00%
202002/07/202059.96neutral+3.44%+4.24%+5.84%-1.30%+6.99%
201902/07/201963.28neutral+2.05%+4.52%+2.81%+0.00%+4.82%
201802/07/201857.95volume x1.7+2.33%+4.06%+8.37%-1.21%+11.13%
201703/07/201757.45neutral-4.18%-3.31%+1.04%-4.18%+2.70%
201601/07/201660.69neutral+1.96%+1.01%-8.45%-8.45%+3.03%
Upcoming 05/07/2026 · Low Gann 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.22% · Win 70% · DD -2.39%20 days: Avg +0.44% · Win 60% · DD -3.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/07/202543.79near 52w low+0.84%+3.17%-0.27%-1.39%+6.12%
202405/07/202443.05near 52w low+5.34%+10.38%+9.34%+0.00%+17.58%
202305/07/202352.91neutral-0.91%+1.78%+1.27%-1.57%+5.82%
202205/07/202252.96neutral-6.57%-10.86%-14.41%-14.41%+0.00%
202106/07/202158.46neutral-1.08%-2.81%-2.38%-5.47%+1.37%
202006/07/202059.67neutral+4.81%+2.90%+6.33%-0.82%+7.51%
201905/07/201964.38neutral+0.57%+1.01%+1.76%-0.99%+3.03%
201805/07/201857.25neutral+2.88%+6.99%+10.92%+0.00%+12.49%
201705/07/201757.10neutral-2.28%-0.70%+0.26%-3.59%+3.33%
201605/07/201661.00neutral+2.51%+0.36%-8.43%-8.92%+2.51%
Upcoming 07/07/2026 · High Gann 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.56% · Win 80% · DD -1.54%20 days: Avg +1.23% · Win 70% · DD -2.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/07/202543.53near 52w low+2.96%+1.29%+2.62%-0.80%+6.75%
202408/07/202443.12near 52w low+8.49%+10.95%+8.19%+0.00%+17.39%
202307/07/202353.04neutral-0.92%+2.39%+1.58%-1.81%+5.56%
202207/07/202250.39neutral-6.77%-6.09%-8.18%-10.04%+0.00%
202107/07/202159.26volume x1.5-2.77%-4.25%-4.96%-6.75%+0.00%
202007/07/202059.18neutral+5.76%+7.82%+6.88%+0.00%+8.40%
201908/07/201963.74neutral+2.17%+2.23%+0.85%+0.00%+4.06%
201806/07/201857.50neutral+2.78%+8.00%+8.78%+0.00%+12.00%
201707/07/201756.05neutral-1.34%+1.43%+2.85%-1.78%+5.26%
201607/07/201660.19near 52w low+2.18%+1.83%-6.30%-7.69%+3.89%
Upcoming 09/07/2026 · Low Gann 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.65% · Win 80% · DD -1.39%20 days: Avg +2.01% · Win 70% · DD -2.59%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/07/202543.48near 52w low+3.52%+1.20%+3.31%-0.69%+6.88%
202409/07/202443.28near 52w low+9.50%+11.78%+7.95%+0.00%+16.96%
202310/07/202352.33neutral+1.34%+4.91%+3.75%-0.48%+6.99%
202208/07/202249.78neutral-5.00%-5.34%-5.66%-8.94%+0.16%
202109/07/202158.84neutral-0.63%-5.39%-1.82%-6.08%+0.37%
202009/07/202059.42neutral+5.77%+7.96%+9.10%+0.00%+9.10%
201909/07/201963.79neutral+2.81%+1.16%+2.56%+0.00%+3.98%
201809/07/201859.00neutral+1.44%+5.42%+5.68%-0.17%+9.15%
201710/07/201755.50neutral+0.36%+2.07%+2.16%-0.81%+6.31%
201608/07/201660.89neutral+0.61%+2.69%-6.90%-8.75%+2.69%
Upcoming 30/07/2026 · Low Gann 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.33% · Win 60% · DD -2.15%20 days: Avg +1.57% · Win 80% · DD -2.94%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/07/202545.13neutral-0.47%+2.15%+2.73%-3.24%+3.90%
202430/07/202447.85volume x2.0-2.36%-3.57%+3.11%-4.05%+3.11%
202331/07/202352.12volume x2.1+4.16%+0.88%-1.09%-1.53%+4.16%
202229/07/202245.56near 52w low · volume x1.7+3.07%+8.67%+8.17%-0.50%+12.20%
202130/07/202157.20neutral+1.00%+1.33%+0.61%-2.41%+3.15%
202030/07/202063.98neutral+1.33%+3.45%+5.13%-1.14%+6.13%
201930/07/201965.61near 52w high-0.29%+1.97%+3.31%-2.03%+5.75%
201830/07/201863.25neutral-1.42%-0.24%+0.55%-1.82%+1.34%
201731/07/201757.75neutral-1.82%-1.04%-7.62%-7.62%+0.52%
201629/07/201658.53near 52w low · volume x3.5-3.14%-0.32%+0.80%-5.07%+1.11%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+1.6%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -33.0% · from 52w low: +8.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+6.30% · +3.89% · +5.74% · -3.49%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+3.49% · +1.62% · -14.42%
Distance from 52w high / low-33.03% · +8.94%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.76 · 1.02x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+7.66%
vs SPY (20d)+7.47%
vs SMH (20d)+4.02%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20030.97 · 31.54 · 37.45
52w high / low47.86 · 29.42