🕰️ Time Machine
AMSF — Amerisafe, Inc.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
26.31 -1.02%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in window · in 2 days
27/10/2026
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 06/05/2026
29.42
Days: 118 trading / 170 calendar · return since: -10.57%
Last major high · 08/07/2026
35.74
Days: 76 trading / 107 calendar · return since: -26.39%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 06/05/2026 @ 29.42 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 27/10/2026 | +2 (±3) | In window |
| Low 06/05/2026 @ 29.42 | Cycle 180 | Calendar | 📅 02/11/2026 | +10 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 08/07/2026 @ 35.74 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 05/11/2026 | +13 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 08/07/2026 @ 35.74 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 12/11/2026 | +14 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 08/07/2026 @ 35.74 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 29/11/2026 | +37 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 06/05/2026 @ 29.42 | Cycle 144 | Trading | 📅 01/12/2026 | +26 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 08/07/2026 @ 35.74 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 28/12/2026 | +44 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Doji After Run 23/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 27/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 21/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 20/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 15/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 06/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 30/09/2026
● Failed Breakdown 28/09/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
In window 27/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.69% · Win 60% · DD -2.13%20 days: Avg +4.28% · Win 70% · DD -2.51%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 41.19 | near 52w low | -3.35% | -0.68% | -1.68% | -3.54% | +0.92% |
| 2024 | 28/10/2024 | 54.89 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.97% | +8.44% | +6.76% | -2.02% | +8.69% |
| 2023 | 27/10/2023 | 50.22 | neutral | +2.71% | +0.32% | +4.20% | -1.47% | +4.20% |
| 2022 | 27/10/2022 | 57.76 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.9 | -2.98% | -2.37% | -0.36% | -4.26% | +1.58% |
| 2021 | 27/10/2021 | 56.91 | neutral | +8.54% | +8.55% | +4.82% | +0.00% | +11.97% |
| 2020 | 27/10/2020 | 57.21 | neutral | +4.88% | +11.34% | +6.50% | +0.00% | +11.34% |
| 2019 | 28/10/2019 | 62.91 | neutral | +11.29% | +12.22% | +11.96% | +0.00% | +13.26% |
| 2018 | 26/10/2018 | 66.92 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | -3.77% | -3.53% | -3.38% | -5.41% | +0.12% |
| 2017 | 27/10/2017 | 64.15 | far above SMA50 | +2.88% | -0.31% | +0.86% | -1.79% | +4.75% |
| 2016 | 27/10/2016 | 57.40 | neutral | -6.62% | +2.96% | +13.15% | -6.62% | +13.15% |
Upcoming 02/11/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.61% · Win 50% · DD -1.45%20 days: Avg +2.40% · Win 70% · DD -2.31%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/11/2025 | 39.81 | near 52w low | +2.76% | +3.92% | +0.63% | +0.00% | +4.42% |
| 2024 | 01/11/2024 | 53.78 | near 52w high | +9.72% | +8.37% | +8.93% | +0.00% | +10.93% |
| 2023 | 02/11/2023 | 51.04 | neutral | -1.37% | -2.61% | +1.59% | -3.06% | +2.53% |
| 2022 | 02/11/2022 | 56.27 | far above SMA50 | -1.12% | -0.16% | +2.06% | -1.72% | +5.51% |
| 2021 | 02/11/2021 | 60.90 | volume x1.7 | +0.71% | -2.22% | -7.46% | -7.46% | +4.63% |
| 2020 | 02/11/2020 | 59.85 | neutral | +3.31% | +4.75% | -1.79% | -3.00% | +6.43% |
| 2019 | 01/11/2019 | 68.77 | near 52w high · volume x3.3 | +1.96% | +0.15% | +0.47% | +0.00% | +3.61% |
| 2018 | 02/11/2018 | 64.40 | neutral | +0.25% | -0.78% | +0.76% | -2.14% | +1.86% |
| 2017 | 02/11/2017 | 65.95 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -1.59% | -2.96% | +0.00% | -4.47% | +1.90% |
| 2016 | 02/11/2016 | 54.30 | near 52w low | +5.89% | +17.68% | +18.78% | -1.29% | +20.44% |
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.83% · Win 50% · DD -2.31%20 days: Avg +0.90% · Win 40% · DD -3.39%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/11/2025 | 40.11 | near 52w low | +2.69% | +0.60% | -2.44% | -2.44% | +3.64% |
| 2024 | 05/11/2024 | 54.95 | near 52w high | +8.57% | +5.57% | +6.44% | +0.00% | +8.57% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 51.29 | neutral | -3.53% | -2.16% | +1.12% | -3.53% | +2.11% |
| 2022 | 04/11/2022 | 56.18 | far above SMA50 | -1.21% | -0.71% | +0.73% | -1.57% | +5.68% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 62.92 | neutral | -3.92% | -7.99% | -8.16% | -11.30% | +1.27% |
| 2020 | 05/11/2020 | 60.29 | neutral | +1.71% | +0.76% | -0.41% | -4.16% | +5.65% |
| 2019 | 05/11/2019 | 70.33 | near 52w high · volume x2.0 | +1.06% | +0.17% | -2.20% | -2.26% | +1.31% |
| 2018 | 05/11/2018 | 64.28 | neutral | +0.39% | -0.22% | -2.43% | -2.43% | +2.05% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 67.20 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -6.25% | -4.24% | -1.34% | -6.25% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 54.85 | near 52w low | +13.76% | +16.50% | +17.68% | +0.00% | +19.23% |
Upcoming 12/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.42% · Win 40% · DD -1.92%20 days: Avg -0.07% · Win 30% · DD -3.48%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/11/2025 | 41.19 | neutral | -2.04% | -0.68% | -1.12% | -8.00% | +0.92% |
| 2024 | 12/11/2024 | 59.66 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.77% | -1.49% | -3.51% | -5.13% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 13/11/2023 | 49.48 | near 52w low | +1.41% | +5.21% | +4.16% | +0.00% | +5.85% |
| 2022 | 11/11/2022 | 55.50 | far above SMA50 | +0.50% | +2.41% | -1.81% | -2.06% | +6.97% |
| 2021 | 12/11/2021 | 56.66 | neutral | -4.24% | -5.49% | -7.58% | -7.68% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 12/11/2020 | 57.81 | neutral | -0.93% | -3.13% | -0.84% | -5.78% | +2.23% |
| 2019 | 12/11/2019 | 67.55 | neutral | -0.87% | -1.01% | -0.78% | -3.29% | +0.07% |
| 2018 | 12/11/2018 | 64.53 | neutral | -0.60% | -0.65% | -1.43% | -2.80% | +0.56% |
| 2017 | 13/11/2017 | 63.00 | volume x1.5 | +2.14% | +5.24% | +6.11% | +0.00% | +6.35% |
| 2016 | 11/11/2016 | 62.40 | near 52w high | +2.40% | +3.77% | +6.09% | -0.08% | +6.09% |
Upcoming 29/11/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.73% · Win 40% · DD -3.05%20 days: Avg -1.70% · Win 20% · DD -5.17%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/11/2025 | 40.80 | near 52w low | -5.62% | -0.43% | -2.49% | -7.12% | +0.46% |
| 2024 | 29/11/2024 | 59.02 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.0 | -1.08% | -3.49% | -7.71% | -7.71% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 29/11/2023 | 51.80 | volume x1.9 | -0.63% | +0.06% | -1.81% | -5.25% | +1.11% |
| 2022 | 29/11/2022 | 57.69 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.86% | -5.82% | -2.45% | -8.00% | +2.91% |
| 2021 | 29/11/2021 | 53.55 | near 52w low | +1.13% | -2.21% | -0.26% | -3.92% | +1.13% |
| 2020 | 30/11/2020 | 54.73 | neutral | +3.11% | +5.35% | +5.31% | -0.48% | +10.71% |
| 2019 | 29/11/2019 | 67.60 | neutral | -0.44% | -0.47% | -1.60% | -3.36% | +0.12% |
| 2018 | 29/11/2018 | 63.02 | neutral | -0.06% | +1.58% | -4.46% | -7.14% | +2.97% |
| 2017 | 29/11/2017 | 67.00 | near 52w high | -1.04% | -2.51% | -3.07% | -5.20% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 29/11/2016 | 65.40 | near 52w high | -0.15% | +0.63% | +1.51% | -3.52% | +2.08% |
Upcoming 01/12/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.70% · Win 50% · DD -3.26%20 days: Avg -1.73% · Win 40% · DD -4.67%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/12/2025 | 40.36 | near 52w low | -6.10% | +0.60% | -1.15% | -6.10% | +1.55% |
| 2024 | 02/12/2024 | 58.58 | near 52w high | -3.38% | -3.07% | -6.67% | -7.02% | +0.44% |
| 2023 | 01/12/2023 | 48.01 | near 52w low | -0.31% | -5.35% | -2.10% | -5.35% | +1.00% |
| 2022 | 01/12/2022 | 53.26 | neutral | -4.06% | -6.25% | -2.42% | -7.59% | +1.67% |
| 2021 | 01/12/2021 | 52.82 | near 52w low | +1.56% | +0.82% | +2.27% | -2.59% | +2.53% |
| 2020 | 01/12/2020 | 55.41 | neutral | +2.95% | +6.74% | +3.51% | -1.70% | +9.35% |
| 2019 | 02/12/2019 | 65.67 | neutral | +2.45% | +2.39% | +0.92% | -0.52% | +3.06% |
| 2018 | 30/11/2018 | 64.59 | near 52w high | -2.45% | -3.70% | -9.61% | -9.61% | +0.46% |
| 2017 | 01/12/2017 | 65.95 | near 52w high | +1.36% | -1.04% | -4.01% | -4.01% | +1.36% |
| 2016 | 01/12/2016 | 64.50 | near 52w high | +1.40% | +1.87% | +1.95% | -2.17% | +3.67% |
Upcoming 28/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.06% · Win 40% · DD -2.36%20 days: Avg +0.59% · Win 50% · DD -2.93%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/12/2025 | 38.37 | neutral | -1.67% | -2.16% | -5.21% | -5.21% | +0.29% |
| 2024 | 27/12/2024 | 51.63 | neutral | -3.43% | -0.99% | -2.19% | -5.31% | +0.27% |
| 2023 | 28/12/2023 | 47.09 | near 52w low | -0.89% | -1.44% | +3.50% | -1.78% | +4.06% |
| 2022 | 28/12/2022 | 52.19 | neutral | -2.40% | +0.34% | +3.56% | -2.40% | +3.72% |
| 2021 | 28/12/2021 | 53.12 | neutral | +1.36% | +4.24% | -1.22% | -1.22% | +5.69% |
| 2020 | 28/12/2020 | 57.91 | neutral | -0.57% | +4.11% | -2.37% | -3.51% | +7.74% |
| 2019 | 27/12/2019 | 65.66 | neutral | +0.73% | -0.82% | +3.17% | -1.40% | +4.48% |
| 2018 | 28/12/2018 | 56.31 | far below SMA50 | -1.83% | -4.01% | +4.35% | -4.01% | +4.35% |
| 2017 | 28/12/2017 | 61.35 | neutral | +0.08% | -1.22% | +0.00% | -2.85% | +2.53% |
| 2016 | 28/12/2016 | 62.95 | neutral | -0.24% | +2.54% | +2.30% | -1.59% | +3.18% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+4.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -37.5% · from 52w low: +13.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +4.20% · +7.78% · +11.91% · -8.84% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +6.84% · +4.69% · -15.79% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -37.54% · +13.41% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.68 · 0.65x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +17.30% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +13.39% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +24.99% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 24.62 · 25.13 · 31.24 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 42.12 · 23.20 |
|---|
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