🕰️ Time Machine

APAM — Artisan Partners Asset Management, Inc.

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
39.70 -1.27%
Next window · Cycle 144 · in 4 days
14/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 03/09/2026
since -3.52%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 01/07/2026
33.96
Days: 49 trading / 71 calendar · return since: +16.90%
Last major high · 23/04/2026
38.75
Days: 96 trading / 140 calendar · return since: +2.45%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 23/04/2026 @ 38.75Cycle 90Trading📅 01/09/2026-6 (±3)Passed
Low 01/07/2026 @ 33.96Cycle 45Trading📅 03/09/2026-4 (±2)Passed
High 23/04/2026 @ 38.75Cycle 144Calendar📅 14/09/2026+4 (±3)Upcoming
Low 01/07/2026 @ 33.96Cycle 60Trading📅 25/09/2026+11 (±2)Upcoming
Low 01/07/2026 @ 33.96Cycle 90Calendar📅 29/09/2026+19 (±3)Upcoming
High 23/04/2026 @ 38.75Cycle 120Trading📅 14/10/2026+24 (±3)Upcoming
High 23/04/2026 @ 38.75Cycle 180Calendar📅 20/10/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming
Low 01/07/2026 @ 33.96Cycle 90Trading📅 06/11/2026+41 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 08/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 03/09/2026
Failed Breakdown 03/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 03/09/2026
Shooting Star 28/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 01/09/2026
Doji After Run 27/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 01/09/2026
Failed Breakout 27/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 01/09/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 01/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.00% · Win 11% · DD -4.61%20 days: Avg -2.69% · Win 33% · DD -7.12%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/09/202546.31neutral+0.39%-2.81%-6.28%-6.28%+1.84%
202430/08/202441.59neutral-4.78%-0.19%+4.16%-5.51%+5.10%
202301/09/202338.99neutral-1.97%-5.21%-5.75%-6.82%+0.00%
202201/09/202233.47near 52w low+1.14%-4.87%-19.54%-19.54%+2.66%
202101/09/202151.86neutral-2.64%-0.98%-5.67%-6.00%+1.14%
202001/09/202039.57near 52w high · far above SMA50-7.88%-1.19%-1.47%-10.01%+0.91%
201930/08/201926.64neutral+6.04%+9.23%+6.01%-1.76%+9.31%
201831/08/201833.15neutral+0.15%-3.02%-3.74%-3.77%+0.60%
201701/09/201731.00neutral-3.06%+0.00%+8.06%-4.35%+8.06%
Passed 03/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.40% · Win 33% · DD -3.46%20 days: Avg -2.45% · Win 44% · DD -6.29%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/09/202546.03neutral+0.85%-1.96%-7.89%-7.89%+2.45%
202403/09/202440.57neutral-1.85%+3.85%+4.73%-3.13%+7.74%
202301/09/202338.99neutral-1.97%-5.21%-5.75%-6.82%+0.00%
202202/09/202232.61near 52w low · far below SMA50+5.37%-0.95%-16.56%-17.42%+5.37%
202103/09/202152.19neutral-1.61%-4.89%-7.80%-7.80%+0.00%
202003/09/202038.22near 52w high-3.56%+2.72%+1.13%-6.83%+2.72%
201903/09/201926.17neutral+8.67%+10.78%+4.43%+0.00%+11.27%
201804/09/201832.60neutral+0.31%-0.77%-2.39%-2.39%+2.30%
201701/09/201731.00neutral-3.06%+0.00%+8.06%-4.35%+8.06%
Upcoming 14/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.52% · Win 50% · DD -2.58%20 days: Avg -0.58% · Win 40% · DD -6.09%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/09/202545.13neutral+0.71%-3.30%-3.83%-6.07%+1.42%
202413/09/202440.81neutral+4.61%+5.76%+6.37%+0.00%+7.11%
202314/09/202337.19volume x1.5-0.51%+1.88%-4.17%-5.14%+1.88%
202214/09/202232.32near 52w low · far below SMA50-3.31%-10.33%-17.64%-17.79%+0.00%
202114/09/202150.58neutral-3.62%-0.12%-8.64%-8.64%+2.95%
202014/09/202037.34neutral+1.18%+3.37%+21.00%-1.82%+21.00%
201913/09/201928.73volume x1.7-0.70%-1.60%-7.45%-10.09%+1.36%
201814/09/201832.55neutral+2.46%-0.46%-11.34%-11.34%+2.46%
201714/09/201730.05neutral+3.99%+8.15%+14.81%+0.00%+15.31%
201614/09/201626.65near 52w high+2.18%+1.88%+5.07%+0.00%+5.63%
Upcoming 25/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.20% · Win 30% · DD -4.07%20 days: Avg -0.76% · Win 40% · DD -6.33%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/09/202543.80neutral-1.76%-0.46%-1.19%-3.22%+0.96%
202425/09/202442.99neutral-1.70%-0.70%+0.47%-2.91%+9.10%
202325/09/202337.08neutral-0.89%-2.62%-11.27%-11.27%+2.18%
202226/09/202229.27near 52w low · far below SMA50-7.04%-8.88%-6.05%-11.27%+0.00%
202124/09/202151.01neutral-2.71%-1.57%-1.25%-9.49%+2.08%
202025/09/202037.17neutral+3.98%+18.78%+16.36%+0.00%+23.76%
201925/09/201928.79neutral-6.63%-9.66%-6.70%-10.35%+0.00%
201825/09/201833.10neutral-3.87%-4.95%-14.83%-14.83%+0.00%
201725/09/201731.85neutral+5.18%+7.06%+12.40%+0.00%+12.72%
201626/09/201626.65near 52w high+3.86%+4.99%+4.50%+0.00%+5.63%
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.41% · Win 40% · DD -4.49%20 days: Avg -1.32% · Win 60% · DD -6.06%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/09/202543.64neutral-0.21%-0.55%+2.43%-2.86%+2.43%
202430/09/202443.32neutral-1.92%+2.38%+2.68%-3.65%+8.26%
202329/09/202337.42neutral-3.39%-5.13%-13.87%-13.87%+0.00%
202229/09/202227.87near 52w low · far below SMA50-0.57%-2.73%+1.72%-6.82%+1.72%
202129/09/202149.92neutral-1.30%-7.51%-4.37%-7.51%+2.62%
202029/09/202038.70near 52w high+1.19%+17.83%+7.67%-1.03%+18.86%
201930/09/201928.24neutral-6.66%-7.93%-3.26%-8.60%+0.00%
201828/09/201832.40neutral-1.14%-10.93%-14.26%-16.27%+0.00%
201729/09/201732.60near 52w high · volume x2.0+3.07%+7.21%+7.82%+0.00%+11.20%
201629/09/201626.65near 52w high+5.14%+3.26%+0.19%+0.00%+5.63%
Upcoming 14/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.28% · Win 60% · DD -4.30%20 days: Avg +5.97% · Win 70% · DD -5.29%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/10/202544.00neutral-0.77%+0.39%+2.70%-1.84%+2.70%
202414/10/202444.35neutral+2.39%+0.29%+10.87%-2.62%+10.87%
202313/10/202335.50neutral-6.08%-9.21%+2.62%-9.21%+2.62%
202214/10/202226.61near 52w low · far below SMA50+0.38%+9.51%+30.10%-2.41%+30.10%
202114/10/202147.75neutral+2.70%+1.57%+6.76%-2.07%+8.94%
202014/10/202045.86near 52w high · far above SMA50-5.28%-12.71%-0.94%-12.76%+1.98%
201914/10/201926.00neutral+2.19%+5.08%+13.38%-0.73%+14.00%
201815/10/201829.22near 52w low · far below SMA50-2.57%-4.62%-8.66%-8.66%+2.36%
201713/10/201734.95near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.72%+0.57%+4.72%-1.57%+4.72%
201614/10/201627.61near 52w high-0.04%-3.66%-1.85%-11.08%+1.77%
Upcoming 20/10/2026 · High Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.06% · Win 60% · DD -4.21%20 days: Avg +6.71% · Win 80% · DD -4.75%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/10/202543.66neutral+2.38%+0.21%-3.90%-3.90%+3.50%
202421/10/202445.41near 52w high-2.05%-2.05%+5.02%-4.89%+8.28%
202320/10/202333.34neutral-3.33%+8.82%+15.90%-3.33%+15.90%
202220/10/202225.97near 52w low · far below SMA50+9.16%+9.05%+32.05%+0.00%+33.31%
202120/10/202148.20neutral-0.95%+6.00%+5.08%-0.95%+7.93%
202020/10/202045.52near 52w high · far above SMA50-8.46%-5.82%+2.27%-12.10%+2.75%
201921/10/201926.57neutral+2.82%+8.58%+7.24%-0.53%+11.55%
201819/10/201828.31near 52w low · far below SMA50-1.87%-5.69%-5.82%-6.29%+0.78%
201720/10/201735.90near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.09%+1.11%+3.80%-4.18%+4.80%
201620/10/201627.70near 52w high-3.61%-9.57%+5.40%-11.37%+5.40%
Upcoming 06/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.68% · Win 60% · DD -2.77%20 days: Avg +5.39% · Win 70% · DD -4.29%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/11/202544.68neutral-2.71%-7.62%-2.59%-7.62%+1.14%
202406/11/202448.99near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.4-3.80%-2.68%+0.37%-4.31%+1.97%
202306/11/202335.86neutral+1.37%+6.22%+8.12%-1.98%+8.55%
202207/11/202230.44neutral+10.22%+12.89%+14.13%-1.35%+17.77%
202105/11/202150.37neutral+1.45%-0.50%-9.70%-12.52%+3.28%
202006/11/202042.56neutral+5.48%+7.30%+16.81%+0.00%+16.81%
201906/11/201929.47near 52w high-0.98%+0.86%+2.97%-3.31%+4.33%
201806/11/201827.17near 52w low · far below SMA50-2.28%-3.56%-6.72%-6.72%+3.48%
201706/11/201736.60near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.39%+4.74%+9.18%-1.39%+10.57%
201607/11/201625.50near 52w low+8.08%+19.11%+21.31%-3.73%+21.31%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-1.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -16.4% · from 52w low: +16.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-3.57% · -8.80% · -3.14% · +12.22%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-5.60% · -1.68% · +0.29%
Distance from 52w high / low-16.42% · +16.90%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg1.03 · 0.61x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-1.07%
vs SPY (20d)-1.25%
vs SMH (20d)+1.06%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20042.06 · 40.38 · 39.59
52w high / low47.50 · 33.96