🕰️ Time Machine

APPF — AppFolio

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
205.76 +0.05%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 4 days
16/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 26/08/2026
since -7.81%
Trend
Uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 22/06/2026
142.56
Days: 56 trading / 80 calendar · return since: +44.33%
Last major high · 01/06/2026
179.52
Days: 70 trading / 101 calendar · return since: +14.62%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 01/06/2026 @ 179.52Cycle 60Trading📅 26/08/2026-10 (±2)Passed
Low 22/06/2026 @ 142.56Cycle 60Trading📅 16/09/2026+4 (±2)Upcoming
Low 22/06/2026 @ 142.56Cycle 90Calendar📅 20/09/2026+10 (±3)Upcoming
High 01/06/2026 @ 179.52Cycle 120Calendar📅 29/09/2026+19 (±3)Upcoming
High 01/06/2026 @ 179.52Cycle 90Trading📅 08/10/2026+20 (±3)Upcoming
Low 22/06/2026 @ 142.56Cycle 120Calendar📅 20/10/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming
High 01/06/2026 @ 179.52Cycle 144Calendar📅 23/10/2026+43 (±3)Upcoming
Low 22/06/2026 @ 142.56Cycle 90Trading📅 28/10/2026+34 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Hammer Reversal 09/09/2026
Failed Breakout 31/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 26/08/2026
Gap Day 26/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 26/08/2026
Doji After Run 25/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 26/08/2026
NR7 Compression 25/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 26/08/2026
Failed Breakout 18/08/2026
Failed Breakout 13/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 26/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.92% · Win 56% · DD -4.63%20 days: Avg -1.37% · Win 56% · DD -5.69%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/08/2025273.73neutral+0.94%+1.09%+2.17%-0.07%+4.65%
202426/08/2024234.05neutral-1.98%-5.67%+1.91%-5.67%+1.91%
202325/08/2023183.82neutral+5.44%+3.37%-1.96%-3.11%+7.08%
202226/08/2022105.00neutral-8.15%-3.34%-1.11%-10.45%+0.00%
202126/08/2021122.03far below SMA50-0.29%+0.16%+1.79%-3.22%+3.82%
202026/08/2020174.73near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.71%-16.54%-19.70%-19.87%+0.00%
201926/08/201998.22neutral+0.04%-4.19%-5.87%-5.87%+3.88%
201827/08/201882.20near 52w high · far above SMA50+7.36%+8.39%+0.18%-2.01%+10.52%
201725/08/201741.80near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.87%+8.49%+10.29%-0.96%+10.41%
Upcoming 16/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.36% · Win 50% · DD -3.36%20 days: Avg -1.63% · Win 50% · DD -7.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/09/2025276.26neutral+1.48%-0.22%-17.65%-18.60%+3.23%
202416/09/2024227.15neutral+3.98%+3.63%-0.27%-2.20%+5.00%
202315/09/2023179.98neutral-0.63%+1.47%+0.38%-3.74%+8.44%
202216/09/2022102.36volume x2.5-2.52%+2.31%+0.39%-3.55%+10.82%
202116/09/2021123.80neutral-0.98%-2.75%+5.13%-4.44%+5.13%
202016/09/2020144.74neutral-3.27%-2.02%+13.49%-3.27%+16.50%
201916/09/201998.17neutral-5.37%-3.09%-3.89%-5.83%+2.26%
201817/09/201885.90far above SMA50-5.41%-11.50%-26.38%-27.08%+0.93%
201715/09/201744.70near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.9+3.24%+7.27%+13.42%+0.00%+15.55%
201616/09/201619.19near 52w high+2.45%+1.30%-0.89%-2.66%+2.45%
Upcoming 20/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.34% · Win 50% · DD -4.30%20 days: Avg -2.89% · Win 40% · DD -8.12%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202519/09/2025281.57neutral-1.08%-11.26%-16.36%-20.69%+1.28%
202420/09/2024233.79volume x3.2+0.32%-2.85%-13.97%-13.97%+2.02%
202320/09/2023182.72neutral-2.19%+1.93%-0.88%-5.18%+6.81%
202220/09/2022100.23neutral+3.53%+8.75%+4.73%-1.50%+13.18%
202120/09/2021119.86neutral+2.61%+3.14%+9.92%-1.30%+9.92%
202021/09/2020140.14volume x1.5+2.80%+10.13%+13.46%-0.09%+20.32%
201920/09/201996.80volume x2.4-3.79%-0.89%-10.10%-10.10%+0.00%
201820/09/201882.75neutral-3.93%-12.45%-23.44%-24.30%+0.00%
201720/09/201745.40near 52w high · far above SMA50+5.73%+9.14%+10.13%+0.00%+13.77%
201620/09/201619.47near 52w high-0.41%-2.21%-2.36%-4.06%+0.98%
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.77% · Win 30% · DD -5.64%20 days: Avg -3.66% · Win 30% · DD -9.88%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/09/2025282.58neutral-13.84%-20.25%-13.20%-20.97%+0.00%
202430/09/2024235.40neutral-5.14%-3.77%-10.63%-18.41%+0.00%
202329/09/2023182.63neutral+5.89%-1.07%+2.91%-3.49%+6.87%
202229/09/2022109.40neutral+3.69%-3.03%-2.82%-12.72%+3.69%
202129/09/2021120.56neutral+5.22%+4.65%+7.63%-0.13%+10.80%
202029/09/2020140.11neutral+12.09%+20.35%+12.42%+0.00%+20.35%
201930/09/201995.14neutral+1.74%-0.83%-3.16%-9.12%+1.74%
201828/09/201878.40neutral-8.90%-17.18%-25.84%-27.10%+0.00%
201729/09/201747.95near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.90%+5.74%-3.34%-4.59%+7.72%
201629/09/201619.11near 52w high-0.37%-2.25%-0.58%-2.25%+1.73%
Upcoming 08/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -5.69% · Win 30% · DD -7.37%20 days: Avg -0.76% · Win 60% · DD -9.99%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/10/2025234.65far below SMA50-2.60%+1.43%+9.74%-4.83%+11.77%
202408/10/2024226.13neutral-10.68%-12.25%-4.44%-15.06%+0.18%
202309/10/2023195.17near 52w high-5.12%-7.90%+1.91%-9.69%+1.91%
202207/10/2022112.14volume x2.4-8.36%-12.81%+1.89%-14.86%+11.80%
202108/10/2021128.62neutral+0.70%+3.37%+4.97%-2.95%+6.25%
202008/10/2020161.84neutral+1.07%-7.20%+0.14%-12.04%+4.19%
201908/10/201993.05neutral+0.69%-7.08%+2.76%-7.08%+7.17%
201808/10/201867.93far below SMA50-6.90%-10.20%-14.90%-19.98%+0.00%
201709/10/201751.10near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.39%-4.60%-9.10%-11.74%+1.08%
201607/10/201619.00near 52w high+0.11%+0.37%-0.53%-1.68%+1.05%
Upcoming 20/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.25% · Win 60% · DD -4.49%20 days: Avg +4.60% · Win 50% · DD -5.56%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/10/2025240.38neutral+2.03%+9.10%-0.87%-1.94%+9.10%
202421/10/2024200.60far below SMA50+4.87%+5.69%+14.32%-4.25%+17.28%
202320/10/2023178.11neutral+5.52%+11.20%+12.60%-1.04%+18.45%
202220/10/2022100.79neutral+5.49%+21.04%+17.12%-5.27%+24.39%
202120/10/2021131.13neutral-1.04%+2.67%-4.51%-4.51%+4.22%
202020/10/2020158.85neutral-0.84%-4.39%-7.01%-10.39%+3.16%
201921/10/201988.19neutral+4.47%+8.72%+16.29%-1.96%+16.71%
201819/10/201860.07far below SMA50-3.21%-3.55%-3.70%-9.51%+1.55%
201720/10/201749.15neutral-5.70%-6.82%-11.19%-15.56%+0.00%
201620/10/201619.08near 52w high-0.42%-1.21%+12.95%-1.21%+15.30%
Upcoming 23/10/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.84% · Win 70% · DD -3.41%20 days: Avg +5.26% · Win 50% · DD -5.19%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/10/2025239.55neutral-1.60%+4.48%-7.61%-7.61%+9.48%
202423/10/2024195.52far below SMA50+11.31%+16.66%+17.97%-1.76%+20.33%
202323/10/2023179.75neutral+2.14%+10.65%+11.29%-1.95%+17.37%
202224/10/202295.48neutral+31.30%+17.20%+20.70%+0.00%+31.30%
202122/10/2021132.96neutral-0.96%+1.54%-6.74%-6.86%+2.78%
202023/10/2020153.00neutral-6.62%+7.10%-1.25%-6.96%+7.10%
201923/10/201987.13neutral+14.45%+9.66%+20.39%+0.00%+20.39%
201823/10/201860.47far below SMA50-10.10%-3.70%-7.71%-10.10%+0.00%
201723/10/201748.75neutral-6.36%-4.72%-8.00%-14.87%+0.00%
201624/10/201619.20near 52w high-0.78%-0.52%+13.54%-1.82%+14.58%
Upcoming 28/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.93% · Win 60% · DD -4.03%20 days: Avg +3.09% · Win 50% · DD -5.39%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/10/2025244.28neutral+6.69%+2.63%-5.89%-9.40%+7.36%
202428/10/2024210.37neutral+0.77%+10.98%+19.34%-1.19%+19.34%
202327/10/2023187.94volume x3.8+5.38%+5.81%+3.64%-2.31%+12.26%
202228/10/2022122.49far above SMA50 · volume x2.7-6.72%-2.10%-7.24%-8.65%+2.35%
202128/10/2021133.05neutral+2.71%-1.86%-9.50%-9.50%+2.71%
202028/10/2020145.83neutral+7.66%+2.76%+2.45%-2.39%+12.37%
201928/10/201992.13neutral+4.07%+8.04%+22.99%+0.00%+22.99%
201829/10/201859.81far below SMA50 · volume x2.3-3.34%-3.08%-4.70%-9.11%+0.82%
201727/10/201746.35neutral-1.19%-9.60%-6.15%-10.46%+0.22%
201628/10/201619.01near 52w high-0.58%+15.73%+15.99%-0.84%+15.99%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+5.4%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -28.0% · from 52w low: +44.3%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-8.25% · -7.81% · +4.57% · +30.05%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-5.26% · +5.43% · +9.77%
Distance from 52w high / low-27.96% · +44.33%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg8.13 · 0.46x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+6.64%
vs SPY (20d)+6.46%
vs SMH (20d)+8.77%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200217.17 · 195.15 · 187.45
52w high / low285.61 · 142.56