🕰️ Time Machine

AR — Antero Resources

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
39.17 +0.13%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 2 days
14/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 08/09/2026
since +0.23%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 10/07/2026
32.58
Days: 43 trading / 62 calendar · return since: +20.23%
Last major high · 30/03/2026
45.75
Days: 113 trading / 164 calendar · return since: -14.38%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 10/07/2026 @ 32.58Cycle 60Calendar📅 08/09/2026-2 (±2)In window
Low 10/07/2026 @ 32.58Cycle 45Trading📅 14/09/2026+2 (±2)In window
High 30/03/2026 @ 45.75Cycle 120Trading📅 21/09/2026+7 (±3)Upcoming
High 30/03/2026 @ 45.75Cycle 180Calendar📅 26/09/2026+16 (±3)Upcoming
Low 10/07/2026 @ 32.58Cycle 60Trading📅 05/10/2026+17 (±2)Upcoming
Low 10/07/2026 @ 32.58Cycle 90Calendar📅 08/10/2026+28 (±3)Upcoming
High 30/03/2026 @ 45.75Cycle 144Trading📅 23/10/2026+31 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Bearish Engulfing 08/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 08/09/2026
Shooting Star 02/09/2026
Failed Breakout 31/08/2026
Failed Breakout 20/08/2026
Bearish Engulfing 17/08/2026
Failed Breakout 12/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

In window 08/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.77% · Win 60% · DD -4.46%20 days: Avg +2.26% · Win 70% · DD -7.93%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/09/202532.11neutral+1.12%+1.46%+5.61%-1.28%+8.94%
202409/09/202425.17far below SMA50+6.00%+14.74%+18.75%+0.00%+20.22%
202308/09/202326.80neutral-1.12%-11.12%-4.29%-11.12%+2.01%
202208/09/202239.28neutral+1.22%-14.49%-17.67%-25.41%+6.59%
202108/09/202116.00far above SMA50+10.87%+4.12%+23.44%-0.44%+29.75%
202008/09/20202.72far below SMA50+4.04%+11.03%+14.34%-2.57%+14.34%
201909/09/20193.87neutral+11.11%-8.01%-31.01%-31.01%+11.11%
201807/09/201817.18far below SMA50+8.32%+11.06%+8.15%+0.00%+16.07%
201708/09/201719.24neutral+6.44%+3.17%+5.20%+0.00%+7.54%
201612/09/201627.76near 52w high-4.39%-4.29%+0.07%-7.49%+0.07%
In window 14/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.84% · Win 50% · DD -7.27%20 days: Avg +2.33% · Win 50% · DD -9.58%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/09/202532.47neutral+0.34%+3.33%-0.15%-2.68%+7.73%
202413/09/202426.49neutral+3.59%+8.38%+10.42%-0.15%+14.23%
202314/09/202327.34neutral-12.03%-6.91%+0.00%-12.87%+0.15%
202214/09/202241.87far above SMA50-14.43%-26.51%-18.03%-30.02%+0.00%
202114/09/202116.08far above SMA50+2.18%+14.86%+21.21%+0.00%+29.10%
202014/09/20202.89far below SMA50+4.50%+2.42%+29.41%-6.57%+29.41%
201913/09/20193.61far below SMA50+5.82%-9.14%-24.38%-31.86%+19.11%
201814/09/201818.61neutral+2.53%-4.84%+0.38%-6.50%+7.15%
201714/09/201720.45neutral-3.42%-2.74%-0.05%-3.42%+1.17%
201614/09/201626.13near 52w low+4.98%+2.79%+4.48%-1.72%+6.31%
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.34% · Win 60% · DD -7.19%20 days: Avg +2.11% · Win 40% · DD -8.92%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/09/202532.58neutral+2.98%+4.08%-2.24%-5.52%+7.37%
202420/09/202427.44neutral+4.63%+9.29%-2.19%-2.19%+10.28%
202321/09/202324.05neutral+5.82%+2.12%+17.92%-0.96%+19.42%
202221/09/202235.83neutral-14.12%-6.11%+2.71%-18.22%+2.71%
202121/09/202116.43far above SMA50+12.42%+26.35%+23.55%+0.00%+26.35%
202021/09/20203.02neutral-1.99%+0.66%+21.19%-10.60%+23.84%
201920/09/20193.82neutral-14.14%-24.08%-33.25%-35.60%+0.00%
201821/09/201819.08volume x2.8-7.18%-2.62%-4.56%-8.81%+2.10%
201721/09/201719.75volume x1.6+0.71%+4.05%-0.81%-0.96%+4.76%
201621/09/201627.43near 52w high-2.08%-0.33%-1.28%-6.38%+1.42%
Upcoming 26/09/2026 · High Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.40% · Win 70% · DD -4.82%20 days: Avg +3.29% · Win 40% · DD -6.74%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/09/202534.11neutral-2.32%-7.36%-4.16%-9.76%+2.55%
202426/09/202427.71volume x1.8+9.20%+4.11%-0.07%-4.15%+9.20%
202326/09/202324.27neutral+0.00%+11.78%+15.49%-1.52%+18.34%
202226/09/202229.30far below SMA50+6.11%+13.11%+12.94%+0.00%+25.60%
202127/09/202119.11near 52w high · far above SMA50+6.86%+3.72%+12.14%-3.35%+12.14%
202025/09/20202.97neutral-6.06%+24.92%+34.34%-9.09%+35.69%
201926/09/20193.12far below SMA50-8.65%-20.83%-20.83%-21.15%+5.13%
201826/09/201817.40neutral+6.15%+10.17%-8.05%-8.05%+11.95%
201726/09/201720.38neutral+0.64%-0.20%-6.97%-6.97%+1.52%
201626/09/201626.57near 52w low+2.45%+4.55%-1.96%-3.35%+4.70%
Upcoming 05/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.68% · Win 30% · DD -5.40%20 days: Avg -0.58% · Win 40% · DD -8.81%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/10/202533.91neutral-4.39%-6.07%-2.27%-11.44%+0.71%
202404/10/202429.99neutral-2.47%-10.50%-14.84%-14.84%+0.00%
202305/10/202324.56volume x1.6+11.32%+15.47%+23.90%+0.00%+23.90%
202205/10/202233.64far below SMA50+2.02%+9.39%+5.35%-3.92%+9.39%
202105/10/202120.76near 52w high · far above SMA50-6.12%-2.22%+0.87%-7.08%+3.23%
202005/10/20203.04neutral+23.03%+20.39%+19.74%+0.00%+32.57%
201904/10/20192.90far below SMA50-5.86%-12.07%-7.93%-15.17%+0.00%
201805/10/201818.58neutral+0.54%-1.99%-14.91%-16.25%+4.84%
201705/10/201720.55neutral-0.54%-4.67%-8.03%-11.73%+0.00%
201605/10/201627.34near 52w high-0.15%-0.95%-7.68%-7.68%+1.76%
Upcoming 08/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.57% · Win 40% · DD -4.84%20 days: Avg -0.85% · Win 40% · DD -8.07%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/10/202534.15neutral-5.89%-6.06%-3.87%-12.06%+0.00%
202408/10/202429.37neutral-6.88%-9.57%-9.12%-13.04%+0.00%
202309/10/202327.38neutral+1.50%+1.75%+5.77%-0.91%+11.36%
202207/10/202232.32far below SMA50+5.23%+3.56%+15.16%+0.00%+15.16%
202108/10/202120.53near 52w high · far above SMA50-4.58%-1.27%+2.24%-6.04%+4.38%
202008/10/20203.65far above SMA50-0.82%+10.41%-9.04%-9.04%+10.41%
201908/10/20192.46near 52w low · far below SMA50+7.72%+3.66%+12.20%+0.00%+19.51%
201808/10/201818.88neutral-0.11%-7.36%-9.37%-17.58%+3.18%
201709/10/201720.34neutral-3.83%-6.19%-1.23%-10.82%+0.49%
201607/10/201627.76near 52w high-0.90%-4.61%-11.20%-11.20%+0.22%
Upcoming 23/10/2026 · High Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.27% · Win 60% · DD -5.48%20 days: Avg -4.06% · Win 30% · DD -10.76%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/10/202532.77neutral-8.36%-0.43%+1.68%-8.36%+7.42%
202423/10/202426.94neutral+4.75%+6.35%+23.16%-5.20%+23.16%
202323/10/202327.86neutral+2.40%+3.95%-9.48%-9.48%+9.44%
202224/10/202233.09far below SMA50+10.79%+18.86%+3.81%+0.00%+18.86%
202122/10/202120.27near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.97%+3.55%-10.31%-10.31%+5.72%
202023/10/20203.99far above SMA50-14.79%-17.79%-0.50%-17.79%+2.26%
201923/10/20192.56far below SMA50+5.47%+7.81%-24.22%-24.22%+14.84%
201823/10/201816.85near 52w low-7.66%-0.18%-20.83%-20.83%+1.54%
201723/10/201719.08near 52w low-0.63%+5.29%-1.36%-4.93%+6.18%
201624/10/201626.05near 52w low+1.61%-4.68%-2.57%-6.53%+2.84%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+8.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -14.4% · from 52w low: +34.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-1.06% · +1.66% · +4.51% · +15.10%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+2.27% · +8.04% · +7.77%
Distance from 52w high / low-14.38% · +34.60%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg1.00 · 0.80x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+6.58%
vs SPY (20d)+6.40%
vs SMH (20d)+8.71%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20038.30 · 36.26 · 36.35
52w high / low45.75 · 29.10