🕰️ Time Machine

ARB11841-USD — Arbitrum

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 15/06/2026

Last price (Close)
0.09 +2.62%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in 8 days
23/06/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 08/06/2026
since +7.23%
Trend
Strong downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 29/03/2026
0.09
Days: 78 trading / 78 calendar · return since: +1.58%
Last major high · 09/05/2026
0.15
Days: 37 trading / 37 calendar · return since: -40.97%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 09/05/2026 @ 0.15Cycle 30Trading📅 08/06/2026-7 (±2)Passed
High 09/05/2026 @ 0.15Cycle 30Calendar📅 08/06/2026-7 (±2)Passed
High 09/05/2026 @ 0.15Cycle 45Trading📅 23/06/2026+8 (±2)Upcoming
High 09/05/2026 @ 0.15Cycle 45Calendar📅 23/06/2026+8 (±2)Upcoming
Low 29/03/2026 @ 0.09Cycle 90Trading📅 27/06/2026+12 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/03/2026 @ 0.09Cycle 90Calendar📅 27/06/2026+12 (±3)Upcoming
High 09/05/2026 @ 0.15Cycle 60Trading📅 08/07/2026+23 (±2)Upcoming
High 09/05/2026 @ 0.15Cycle 60Calendar📅 08/07/2026+23 (±2)Upcoming
Low 29/03/2026 @ 0.09Cycle 120Trading📅 27/07/2026+42 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/03/2026 @ 0.09Cycle 120Calendar📅 27/07/2026+42 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 13/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 08/06/2026
Bullish Engulfing 07/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 08/06/2026
NR7 Compression 07/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 08/06/2026
Hammer Reversal 06/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 08/06/2026
Doji After Run 06/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 08/06/2026
Failed Breakdown 03/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 08/06/2026
Hammer Reversal 01/06/2026
Bearish Engulfing 01/06/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 08/06/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -13.37% · Win 0% · DD -15.23%20 days: Avg -9.24% · Win 0% · DD -19.21%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/06/20250.34neutral+1.80%-10.26%-8.88%-21.86%+20.72%
202408/06/20240.97far below SMA50-3.21%-17.82%-18.34%-19.08%+1.20%
202308/06/20231.13neutral-12.33%-12.02%-0.51%-16.70%+6.72%
Upcoming 23/06/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +4.65% · Win 67% · DD -2.52%20 days: Avg +10.98% · Win 67% · DD -8.62%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/06/20250.30far below SMA50+2.91%+13.49%+35.56%-0.28%+35.56%
202423/06/20240.78near 52w low · far below SMA50+0.91%-2.41%-10.54%-20.50%+5.99%
202323/06/20231.13neutral-0.88%+2.87%+7.93%-5.08%+7.93%
Upcoming 27/06/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -6.51% · Win 33% · DD -11.66%20 days: Avg +15.48% · Win 67% · DD -11.66%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/06/20250.31far below SMA50+13.79%+7.57%+47.52%+0.00%+47.52%
202427/06/20240.82far below SMA50-4.87%-20.83%-9.03%-24.25%+0.00%
202327/06/20231.21volume x1.6-4.58%-6.28%+7.96%-10.73%+7.96%
Upcoming 08/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +18.71% · Win 100% · DD -0.12%20 days: Avg +12.96% · Win 100% · DD -0.12%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/07/20250.34neutral+21.39%+33.62%+27.72%+0.00%+43.71%
202408/07/20240.67far below SMA50 · volume x1.6+4.98%+12.05%+6.82%+0.00%+20.33%
202308/07/20231.13neutral+8.75%+10.48%+4.35%-0.37%+15.66%
Upcoming 27/07/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -16.33% · Win 0% · DD -18.93%20 days: Avg -9.90% · Win 33% · DD -21.26%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/07/20250.46far above SMA50-17.91%-15.54%+6.96%-19.90%+23.63%
202427/07/20240.72neutral-9.36%-30.39%-25.98%-33.20%+0.00%
202327/07/20231.17neutral-1.08%-3.07%-10.67%-10.67%+0.81%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-19.9%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -81.0% · from 52w low: +17.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+13.48% · +9.74% · -19.11% · -31.79%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-2.68% · -19.87% · -35.93%
Distance from 52w high / low-80.96% · +17.81%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.01 · 0.61x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-19.32%
vs SPY (20d)-18.25%
vs SMH (20d)-26.30%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 2000.09 · 0.11 · 0.14
52w high / low0.46 · 0.07