🕰️ Time Machine

ARB11841-USD — Arbitrum

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 13/09/2026

Last price (Close)
0.14 -0.45%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in window · in 2 days
15/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 10/09/2026
since +0.01%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 16/08/2026
0.07
Days: 28 trading / 28 calendar · return since: +93.47%
Last major high · 12/07/2026
0.10
Days: 63 trading / 63 calendar · return since: +38.39%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 16/08/2026 @ 0.07Fib 21Trading📅 06/09/2026-7 (±1)Passed
Low 16/08/2026 @ 0.07Fib 21Calendar📅 06/09/2026-7 (±1)Passed
High 12/07/2026 @ 0.10Cycle 60Trading📅 10/09/2026-3 (±2)Passed
High 12/07/2026 @ 0.10Cycle 60Calendar📅 10/09/2026-3 (±2)Passed
Low 16/08/2026 @ 0.07Cycle 30Trading📅 15/09/2026+2 (±2)In window
Low 16/08/2026 @ 0.07Cycle 30Calendar📅 15/09/2026+2 (±2)In window
Low 16/08/2026 @ 0.07Cycle 45Trading📅 30/09/2026+17 (±2)Upcoming
Low 16/08/2026 @ 0.07Cycle 45Calendar📅 30/09/2026+17 (±2)Upcoming
High 12/07/2026 @ 0.10Cycle 90Trading📅 10/10/2026+27 (±3)Upcoming
High 12/07/2026 @ 0.10Cycle 90Calendar📅 10/10/2026+27 (±3)Upcoming
Low 16/08/2026 @ 0.07Cycle 60Trading📅 15/10/2026+32 (±2)Upcoming
Low 16/08/2026 @ 0.07Cycle 60Calendar📅 15/10/2026+32 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Doji After Run 11/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 10/09/2026
NR7 Compression 08/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 06/09/2026
Bearish Engulfing 07/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 06/09/2026
Failed Breakout 04/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 06/09/2026
Volume Climax 02/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 06/09/2026
Doji After Run 01/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 06/09/2026
Bullish Engulfing 31/08/2026
Bearish Engulfing 27/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 06/09/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -0.21% · Win 67% · DD -5.18%20 days: Avg +2.51% · Win 33% · DD -10.75%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/09/20250.49neutral+8.51%+1.30%-12.98%-16.72%+12.06%
202406/09/20240.48far below SMA50 · volume x1.6+7.12%+6.24%+28.94%+0.00%+28.94%
202306/09/20230.90near 52w low · far below SMA50-15.54%-8.18%-8.44%-15.54%+1.20%
Passed 10/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +1.99% · Win 67% · DD -6.24%20 days: Avg +1.01% · Win 67% · DD -11.60%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/09/20250.51neutral-3.82%-3.70%-17.76%-20.58%+6.87%
202410/09/20240.53neutral-4.13%+7.89%+13.17%-4.37%+25.08%
202310/09/20230.84near 52w low · far below SMA50-4.23%+1.79%+7.64%-9.84%+7.64%
In window 15/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -0.24% · Win 33% · DD -6.46%20 days: Avg +0.46% · Win 67% · DD -6.46%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/09/20250.49neutral+0.13%-17.42%-12.28%-17.42%+6.49%
202415/09/20240.51neutral+12.54%+16.87%+7.52%-0.25%+30.47%
202315/09/20230.81far below SMA50+6.29%-0.16%+6.15%-1.71%+19.95%
Upcoming 30/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -17.44% · Win 0% · DD -17.81%20 days: Avg -11.30% · Win 33% · DD -19.66%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/09/20250.42far below SMA50+2.59%-29.81%-23.50%-29.81%+8.41%
202430/09/20240.60neutral-8.92%-13.14%+1.52%-13.80%+1.52%
202330/09/20230.91neutral-5.55%-9.36%-11.92%-15.38%+6.73%
Upcoming 10/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +7.68% · Win 67% · DD -2.21%20 days: Avg +7.18% · Win 67% · DD -4.04%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/10/20250.30far below SMA50 · volume x2.7+10.60%+8.98%-1.96%-1.96%+21.34%
202410/10/20240.52neutral+8.12%+16.88%+6.24%-3.50%+16.88%
202310/10/20230.82neutral-2.40%-2.82%+17.26%-6.64%+17.26%
Upcoming 15/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +0.60% · Win 33% · DD -7.64%20 days: Avg -0.71% · Win 33% · DD -14.29%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/10/20250.33far below SMA50-1.47%-2.11%-21.87%-21.87%+2.34%
202415/10/20240.57volume x1.5+8.10%-10.75%-16.65%-16.65%+8.10%
202315/10/20230.80neutral-0.43%+14.67%+36.39%-4.35%+36.39%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+39.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -38.4% · from 52w low: +97.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-15.23% · -0.76% · +44.49% · +58.30%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+9.12% · +39.51% · +38.78%
Distance from 52w high / low-38.36% · +97.87%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.02 · 0.40x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+46.84%
vs SPY (20d)+46.24%
vs SMH (20d)+47.98%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 2000.13 · 0.10 · 0.10
52w high / low0.23 · 0.07