🕰️ Time Machine

ARB11841-USD — Arbitrum

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 28/10/2026

Last price (Close)
0.17 +1.89%
Next window · Fib 21 · in window · in 1 days
29/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 23/10/2026
since -0.59%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 08/10/2026
0.16
Days: 20 trading / 20 calendar · return since: +4.58%
Last major high · 23/09/2026
0.25
Days: 35 trading / 35 calendar · return since: -33.01%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 08/10/2026 @ 0.16Fib 13Trading📅 21/10/2026-7 (±1)Passed
Low 08/10/2026 @ 0.16Fib 13Calendar📅 21/10/2026-7 (±1)Passed
High 23/09/2026 @ 0.25Cycle 30Trading📅 23/10/2026-5 (±2)Passed
High 23/09/2026 @ 0.25Cycle 30Calendar📅 23/10/2026-5 (±2)Passed
Low 08/10/2026 @ 0.16Fib 21Trading📅 29/10/2026+1 (±1)In window
Low 08/10/2026 @ 0.16Fib 21Calendar📅 29/10/2026+1 (±1)In window
Low 08/10/2026 @ 0.16Cycle 30Trading📅 07/11/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
Low 08/10/2026 @ 0.16Cycle 30Calendar📅 07/11/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
High 23/09/2026 @ 0.25Cycle 45Trading📅 07/11/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
High 23/09/2026 @ 0.25Cycle 45Calendar📅 07/11/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
Low 08/10/2026 @ 0.16Cycle 45Trading📅 22/11/2026+25 (±2)Upcoming
Low 08/10/2026 @ 0.16Cycle 45Calendar📅 22/11/2026+25 (±2)Upcoming
High 23/09/2026 @ 0.25Cycle 60Trading📅 22/11/2026+25 (±2)Upcoming
High 23/09/2026 @ 0.25Cycle 60Calendar📅 22/11/2026+25 (±2)Upcoming
Low 08/10/2026 @ 0.16Cycle 60Trading📅 07/12/2026+40 (±2)Upcoming
Low 08/10/2026 @ 0.16Cycle 60Calendar📅 07/12/2026+40 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Doji After Run 26/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 23/10/2026
● Hammer Reversal 24/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 23/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 24/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 23/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 22/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 21/10/2026
● Doji After Run 21/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 21/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 18/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 21/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 15/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 12/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 21/10/2026 · Low Fib 13/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -0.73% · Win 33% · DD -6.90%20 days: Avg +15.59% · Win 67% · DD -12.49%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/10/20250.31far below SMA50+7.58%-5.15%-1.57%-17.87%+7.58%
202421/10/20240.59neutral-12.65%-10.48%+7.12%-19.58%+7.12%
202321/10/20230.83neutral+12.58%+13.43%+41.20%+0.00%+44.86%
Passed 23/10/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +0.35% · Win 33% · DD -5.74%20 days: Avg +9.04% · Win 67% · DD -11.24%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/10/20250.31far below SMA50+0.46%-1.88%-17.50%-18.61%+6.61%
202423/10/20240.56neutral-6.23%-9.57%+13.56%-15.11%+20.48%
202323/10/20230.88volume x2.3+4.39%+12.50%+31.07%+0.00%+36.99%
In window 29/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +6.04% · Win 67% · DD -11.05%20 days: Avg +6.22% · Win 67% · DD -14.10%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/10/20250.32far below SMA50-17.71%-6.06%-25.27%-28.61%+0.00%
202429/10/20240.55neutral-11.80%+8.52%+34.94%-13.48%+34.94%
202329/10/20230.95far above SMA50+12.24%+15.67%+9.01%-0.21%+27.44%
Upcoming 07/11/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -3.94% · Win 33% · DD -9.39%20 days: Avg +11.69% · Win 33% · DD -14.88%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/11/20250.30far below SMA50 · volume x1.6-13.33%-24.20%-26.17%-33.02%+2.48%
202407/11/20240.58volume x2.1+9.25%+16.35%+67.49%+0.00%+67.49%
202307/11/20231.08far above SMA50+6.44%-3.96%-6.25%-11.63%+11.24%
Upcoming 22/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +13.91% · Win 100% · DD -1.48%20 days: Avg +17.42% · Win 100% · DD -1.48%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/11/20250.20far below SMA50+10.22%+6.19%+2.67%-3.15%+11.48%
202422/11/20240.81far above SMA50 · volume x1.7+19.76%+26.69%+26.83%+0.00%+45.17%
202322/11/20231.02neutral-0.31%+8.85%+22.75%-1.29%+22.75%
Upcoming 07/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -11.31% · Win 0% · DD -11.81%20 days: Avg -3.32% · Win 33% · DD -19.37%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/12/20250.20far below SMA50+0.71%-9.65%-3.50%-13.84%+9.07%
202407/12/20241.17far above SMA50-11.91%-18.88%-34.92%-36.10%+0.00%
202307/12/20231.17far above SMA50 · volume x2.6+7.03%-5.40%+28.47%-8.16%+28.47%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-9.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -33.0% · from 52w low: +141.3%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-0.59% · -8.77% · -1.13% · +94.69%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-6.44% · -8.98% · +40.06%
Distance from 52w high / low-33.01% · +141.30%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.01 · 0.82x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+1.08%
vs SPY (20d)-2.24%
vs SMH (20d)+5.69%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 2000.18 · 0.19 · 0.12
52w high / low0.25 · 0.07