🕰️ Time Machine

ARB11841-USD — Arbitrum

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 30/07/2026

Last price (Close)
0.08 -1.23%
Next window · Cycle 90 · in 8 days
07/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 26/07/2026
since -6.01%
Trend
Downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 26/06/2026
0.07
Days: 34 trading / 34 calendar · return since: +10.52%
Last major high · 09/05/2026
0.15
Days: 82 trading / 82 calendar · return since: -47.55%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 26/06/2026 @ 0.07Cycle 30Trading📅 26/07/2026-4 (±2)Passed
Low 26/06/2026 @ 0.07Cycle 30Calendar📅 26/07/2026-4 (±2)Passed
High 09/05/2026 @ 0.15Cycle 90Trading📅 07/08/2026+8 (±3)Upcoming
High 09/05/2026 @ 0.15Cycle 90Calendar📅 07/08/2026+8 (±3)Upcoming
Low 26/06/2026 @ 0.07Cycle 45Trading📅 10/08/2026+11 (±2)Upcoming
Low 26/06/2026 @ 0.07Cycle 45Calendar📅 10/08/2026+11 (±2)Upcoming
Low 26/06/2026 @ 0.07Cycle 60Trading📅 25/08/2026+26 (±2)Upcoming
Low 26/06/2026 @ 0.07Cycle 60Calendar📅 25/08/2026+26 (±2)Upcoming
High 09/05/2026 @ 0.15Cycle 120Trading📅 06/09/2026+38 (±3)Upcoming
High 09/05/2026 @ 0.15Cycle 120Calendar📅 06/09/2026+38 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Hammer Reversal 29/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 26/07/2026
Doji After Run 29/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 26/07/2026
Bearish Engulfing 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 26/07/2026
Bullish Engulfing 26/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 26/07/2026
NR7 Compression 25/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 26/07/2026
Bearish Engulfing 21/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 26/07/2026
Bearish Engulfing 15/07/2026
Shooting Star 12/07/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 26/07/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -17.74% · Win 0% · DD -19.04%20 days: Avg -8.14% · Win 33% · DD -19.04%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/07/20250.45far above SMA50-11.21%-14.51%+7.38%-17.74%+26.96%
202426/07/20240.73neutral-9.57%-33.72%-26.22%-33.72%+0.00%
202326/07/20231.20neutral-2.36%-4.99%-5.58%-5.65%+0.00%
Upcoming 07/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +9.12% · Win 67% · DD -4.36%20 days: Avg +4.79% · Win 67% · DD -5.46%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/08/20250.42neutral+14.43%+28.83%+21.27%+0.00%+46.57%
202407/08/20240.48far below SMA50+21.87%+11.62%+8.60%+0.00%+28.41%
202307/08/20231.13neutral+2.60%-13.09%-15.51%-16.37%+3.72%
Upcoming 10/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -2.78% · Win 33% · DD -9.66%20 days: Avg -7.57% · Win 33% · DD -12.10%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/08/20250.47far above SMA50+3.13%+9.58%+6.89%-6.53%+30.74%
202410/08/20240.58far below SMA50-7.02%-6.81%-10.96%-11.12%+7.68%
202310/08/20231.16neutral-2.53%-11.11%-18.65%-18.65%+0.31%
Upcoming 25/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -9.73% · Win 0% · DD -10.93%20 days: Avg -9.04% · Win 0% · DD -15.80%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/08/20250.52far above SMA50-3.63%-6.85%-0.80%-8.08%+5.67%
202425/08/20240.60neutral-14.04%-16.86%-11.17%-19.59%+0.00%
202325/08/20230.95near 52w low · far below SMA50-0.51%-5.48%-15.15%-19.72%+2.43%
Upcoming 06/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 3 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -0.21% · Win 67% · DD -5.18%20 days: Avg +2.51% · Win 33% · DD -10.75%
Open Date Echo · 3 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/09/20250.49neutral+8.51%+1.30%-12.98%-16.72%+12.06%
202406/09/20240.48far below SMA50 · volume x1.6+7.12%+6.24%+28.94%+0.00%+28.94%
202306/09/20230.90near 52w low · far below SMA50-15.54%-8.18%-8.44%-15.54%+1.20%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-6.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -66.0% · from 52w low: +10.5%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-5.27% · -13.61% · -15.80% · -24.40%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-9.82% · -6.08% · -29.12%
Distance from 52w high / low-66.03% · +10.52%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.00 · 0.65x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-9.74%
vs SPY (20d)-14.75%
vs SMH (20d)-2.68%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 2000.09 · 0.08 · 0.11
52w high / low0.23 · 0.07