📡 ARES — Ares Management
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/06/2026
Last price (Close)
128.31 -1.76%
Next window · Gann 90 · active
10/06/2026
Last window · Gann 60 · 08/06/2026
since +1.14%
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 12/03/2026
95.80
Days: 62 trading / 90 calendar · return since: +33.94%
Last major high · 10/12/2025
181.19
Days: 124 trading / 182 calendar · return since: -29.18%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 10/12/2025 @ 181.19 | Gann 120 | Trading | 04/06/2026 | -4 (±3) | Passed |
| Low 12/03/2026 @ 95.80 | Gann 60 | Trading | 08/06/2026 | -2 (±2) | Active now |
| High 10/12/2025 @ 181.19 | Gann 180 | Calendar | 08/06/2026 | -2 (±3) | Active now |
| Low 12/03/2026 @ 95.80 | Gann 90 | Calendar | 10/06/2026 | +0 (±3) | Active now |
| High 10/12/2025 @ 181.19 | Gann 144 | Trading | 08/07/2026 | +20 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 12/03/2026 @ 95.80 | Gann 120 | Calendar | 10/07/2026 | +30 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 12/03/2026 @ 95.80 | Gann 90 | Trading | 20/07/2026 | +28 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 04/06/2026 · High Gann 120/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.94% · Win 56% · DD -4.89%20 days: Avg +2.09% · Win 78% · DD -5.09%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/06/2025 | 169.01 | far above SMA50 | -0.14% | -0.32% | +6.01% | -1.60% | +6.02% |
| 2024 | 04/06/2024 | 135.19 | neutral | +0.44% | +0.56% | +3.05% | -1.83% | +3.23% |
| 2023 | 05/06/2023 | 89.14 | near 52w high | +4.24% | +5.62% | +8.22% | +0.00% | +9.16% |
| 2022 | 03/06/2022 | 73.32 | neutral | -10.32% | -24.87% | -17.27% | -25.98% | +0.07% |
| 2021 | 04/06/2021 | 56.57 | near 52w high | +4.81% | +1.91% | +15.81% | +0.00% | +15.81% |
| 2020 | 04/06/2020 | 39.50 | far above SMA50 | -5.49% | +0.54% | +0.70% | -5.49% | +2.62% |
| 2019 | 04/06/2019 | 26.34 | near 52w high · volume x2.0 | -1.71% | +4.91% | +3.60% | -2.35% | +7.44% |
| 2018 | 04/06/2018 | 22.00 | neutral | -1.59% | -5.55% | -3.25% | -6.01% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 05/06/2017 | 17.95 | neutral | +0.28% | -0.28% | +1.95% | -2.51% | +1.95% |
Active now 08/06/2026 · Low Gann 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.03% · Win 44% · DD -5.42%20 days: Avg +0.37% · Win 67% · DD -5.42%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 09/06/2025 | 172.30 | far above SMA50 | -2.40% | -0.77% | +3.41% | -3.48% | +4.00% |
| 2024 | 07/06/2024 | 132.93 | neutral | +0.47% | +1.40% | +2.10% | -0.16% | +4.81% |
| 2023 | 08/06/2023 | 91.96 | near 52w high | +4.45% | -0.87% | +2.75% | -0.87% | +5.81% |
| 2022 | 08/06/2022 | 72.51 | neutral | -18.26% | -19.71% | -15.21% | -25.15% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 08/06/2021 | 59.12 | near 52w high | -1.10% | +0.33% | +10.53% | -2.48% | +10.85% |
| 2020 | 08/06/2020 | 40.50 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -4.86% | +0.08% | -5.43% | -7.83% | +0.08% |
| 2019 | 07/06/2019 | 25.80 | near 52w high | +6.08% | +7.26% | +6.12% | +0.00% | +9.69% |
| 2018 | 08/06/2018 | 21.70 | neutral | -3.31% | -1.91% | +0.19% | -4.71% | +0.19% |
| 2017 | 08/06/2017 | 18.25 | neutral | -3.01% | -4.11% | -1.10% | -4.11% | +0.27% |
Active now 10/06/2026 · Low Gann 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.11% · Win 40% · DD -4.65%20 days: Avg +3.58% · Win 70% · DD -4.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/06/2025 | 168.58 | neutral | -1.35% | +0.81% | +7.57% | -1.35% | +7.57% |
| 2024 | 10/06/2024 | 136.84 | neutral | -1.37% | -0.40% | +2.10% | -3.02% | +2.10% |
| 2023 | 09/06/2023 | 92.22 | near 52w high | +3.24% | +0.27% | +4.41% | -1.15% | +5.51% |
| 2022 | 10/06/2022 | 65.75 | volume x1.6 | -16.21% | -7.15% | -7.27% | -17.46% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 10/06/2021 | 58.53 | near 52w high | -0.10% | +4.29% | +11.38% | -1.50% | +11.97% |
| 2020 | 10/06/2020 | 38.75 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +1.73% | -0.59% | +1.11% | -3.66% | +4.60% |
| 2019 | 10/06/2019 | 25.95 | near 52w high | +7.15% | +5.55% | +7.11% | -0.39% | +9.06% |
| 2018 | 11/06/2018 | 21.65 | volume x1.7 | -4.03% | -2.39% | -0.98% | -4.49% | +0.42% |
| 2017 | 09/06/2017 | 18.20 | neutral | -1.65% | -1.92% | -0.82% | -3.85% | +0.55% |
| 2016 | 13/06/2016 | 13.66 | near 52w high | -2.71% | -9.59% | +11.20% | -10.32% | +12.88% |
Upcoming 08/07/2026 · High Gann 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.36% · Win 100% · DD -1.70%20 days: Avg +6.17% · Win 70% · DD -1.91%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/07/2025 | 175.10 | neutral | -0.35% | +1.80% | +7.36% | -0.35% | +7.68% |
| 2024 | 08/07/2024 | 135.77 | neutral | +7.52% | +11.06% | -1.50% | -1.50% | +12.84% |
| 2023 | 07/07/2023 | 94.88 | near 52w high | +6.49% | +7.02% | +5.65% | -1.22% | +7.79% |
| 2022 | 08/07/2022 | 60.85 | neutral | -0.26% | +7.05% | +20.51% | -3.68% | +21.51% |
| 2021 | 08/07/2021 | 63.96 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.58% | +1.78% | +15.10% | -3.91% | +15.10% |
| 2020 | 08/07/2020 | 38.78 | neutral | +4.18% | +5.16% | +4.59% | -0.03% | +5.65% |
| 2019 | 08/07/2019 | 27.04 | neutral | +4.47% | +4.47% | -1.33% | -1.33% | +9.06% |
| 2018 | 09/07/2018 | 21.45 | volume x1.5 | +0.70% | +0.23% | -1.86% | -3.03% | +0.70% |
| 2017 | 07/07/2017 | 18.05 | volume x2.6 | +1.11% | +3.88% | +0.83% | +0.00% | +3.88% |
| 2016 | 08/07/2016 | 15.37 | near 52w high | -2.41% | +1.17% | +12.36% | -4.03% | +12.88% |
Upcoming 10/07/2026 · Low Gann 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.79% · Win 80% · DD -1.69%20 days: Avg +6.09% · Win 70% · DD -2.52%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/07/2025 | 180.13 | neutral | +1.69% | +1.23% | +3.79% | -3.13% | +5.09% |
| 2024 | 10/07/2024 | 138.74 | neutral | +3.59% | +4.16% | -2.49% | -3.61% | +10.42% |
| 2023 | 10/07/2023 | 93.72 | near 52w high | +7.71% | +7.20% | +9.04% | +0.00% | +9.12% |
| 2022 | 11/07/2022 | 59.75 | neutral | +1.29% | +9.17% | +22.73% | -1.91% | +23.75% |
| 2021 | 09/07/2021 | 64.67 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -3.87% | +2.85% | +14.13% | -4.96% | +14.13% |
| 2020 | 10/07/2020 | 39.41 | neutral | +2.99% | -0.94% | +3.55% | -0.94% | +3.96% |
| 2019 | 10/07/2019 | 27.98 | near 52w high | +0.57% | +3.79% | -1.32% | -4.65% | +5.40% |
| 2018 | 10/07/2018 | 21.15 | volume x2.0 | +0.24% | -0.24% | -0.47% | -1.65% | +2.13% |
| 2017 | 10/07/2017 | 18.05 | neutral | +1.66% | +3.05% | +0.83% | +0.00% | +3.88% |
| 2016 | 11/07/2016 | 15.42 | near 52w high | -2.79% | +7.65% | +11.09% | -4.35% | +12.52% |
Upcoming 20/07/2026 · Low Gann 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.91% · Win 50% · DD -1.94%20 days: Avg +4.66% · Win 50% · DD -3.17%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/07/2025 | 178.89 | neutral | +4.73% | +5.40% | +5.80% | -0.36% | +7.75% |
| 2024 | 19/07/2024 | 147.30 | near 52w high | -0.14% | -5.46% | -1.56% | -9.21% | +4.01% |
| 2023 | 20/07/2023 | 102.18 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -3.31% | -2.33% | -4.53% | -4.60% | +0.09% |
| 2022 | 20/07/2022 | 64.23 | neutral | +2.79% | +14.56% | +19.09% | -0.20% | +19.09% |
| 2021 | 20/07/2021 | 63.21 | near 52w high | +6.79% | +15.14% | +14.48% | +0.00% | +17.85% |
| 2020 | 20/07/2020 | 40.84 | near 52w high | -3.31% | -0.24% | -1.13% | -4.41% | +3.01% |
| 2019 | 19/07/2019 | 28.13 | near 52w high | +4.27% | +2.10% | +0.71% | -5.15% | +4.83% |
| 2018 | 20/07/2018 | 21.55 | neutral | -3.02% | -2.78% | -3.48% | -3.48% | +1.39% |
| 2017 | 20/07/2017 | 18.70 | neutral | -1.07% | -2.41% | -3.42% | -4.28% | +0.27% |
| 2016 | 20/07/2016 | 14.85 | near 52w high | +15.82% | +15.08% | +20.61% | +0.00% | +20.94% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+7.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -34.3% · from 52w low: +33.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +4.23% · +1.37% · +3.76% · +29.40% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +1.88% · +7.81% · -9.95% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -34.29% · +33.94% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 4.84 · 0.55x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +5.68% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +5.49% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +2.04% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 125.94 · 119.01 · 142.49 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 195.26 · 95.80 |
|---|