🕰️ Time Machine
ARR — Armour Residential REIT
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026
Last price (Close)
16.21 +0.50%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window
27/07/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 18/07/2026
since -2.41%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 19/05/2026
16.12
Days: 45 trading / 69 calendar · return since: +0.56%
Last major high · 01/05/2026
17.81
Days: 57 trading / 87 calendar · return since: -8.98%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 19/05/2026 @ 16.12 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 18/07/2026 | -9 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 19/05/2026 @ 16.12 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 27/07/2026 | +0 (±2) | In window |
| High 01/05/2026 @ 17.81 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 30/07/2026 | +3 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 01/05/2026 @ 17.81 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 30/07/2026 | +3 (±3) | In window |
| Low 19/05/2026 @ 16.12 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 17/08/2026 | +15 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 19/05/2026 @ 16.12 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 17/08/2026 | +21 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 01/05/2026 @ 17.81 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 29/08/2026 | +33 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 01/05/2026 @ 17.81 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 11/09/2026 | +33 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 19/05/2026 @ 16.12 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 29/09/2026 | +45 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakdown 22/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 18/07/2026
● Doji After Run 21/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 18/07/2026
● Failed Breakout 26/06/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 18/07/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.02% · Win 44% · DD -1.92%20 days: Avg +0.03% · Win 44% · DD -4.14%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/07/2025 | 16.48 | neutral | +2.31% | -0.61% | -7.16% | -9.71% | +2.49% |
| 2024 | 18/07/2024 | 21.36 | neutral | -5.52% | -5.15% | -5.70% | -8.15% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 18/07/2023 | 25.30 | neutral | +2.37% | +1.38% | -3.21% | -3.21% | +2.57% |
| 2022 | 18/07/2022 | 33.70 | neutral | +5.34% | +17.51% | +12.73% | +0.00% | +17.51% |
| 2021 | 19/07/2021 | 53.55 | volume x1.9 | -1.21% | -3.27% | -0.76% | -4.20% | +2.52% |
| 2020 | 17/07/2020 | 47.20 | neutral | -0.74% | -1.06% | +4.56% | -1.80% | +5.61% |
| 2019 | 18/07/2019 | 93.00 | neutral | -3.33% | -4.46% | -9.05% | -9.75% | +0.59% |
| 2018 | 18/07/2018 | 115.10 | neutral | -0.26% | +2.26% | +2.87% | -0.39% | +3.26% |
| 2017 | 18/07/2017 | 124.25 | neutral | +0.64% | +2.62% | +6.01% | +0.00% | +6.01% |
In window 27/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.42% · Win 50% · DD -2.55%20 days: Avg +0.28% · Win 50% · DD -3.73%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/07/2025 | 16.63 | neutral | +1.02% | -10.52% | -8.18% | -10.52% | +1.02% |
| 2024 | 26/07/2024 | 20.47 | neutral | -0.24% | -1.17% | -0.66% | -4.15% | +0.44% |
| 2023 | 27/07/2023 | 25.95 | neutral | -3.28% | -2.50% | -5.64% | -9.36% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 27/07/2022 | 36.90 | neutral | +4.34% | +4.88% | -0.75% | -3.08% | +7.32% |
| 2021 | 27/07/2021 | 52.15 | neutral | -0.38% | +1.63% | +4.23% | -1.44% | +4.23% |
| 2020 | 27/07/2020 | 46.40 | neutral | +1.40% | +6.68% | +6.69% | -0.11% | +6.69% |
| 2019 | 26/07/2019 | 90.20 | neutral | -1.66% | -2.99% | -6.28% | -6.95% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 27/07/2018 | 117.60 | neutral | +0.60% | -0.26% | +1.16% | -0.81% | +2.10% |
| 2017 | 27/07/2017 | 126.20 | neutral | +1.58% | +2.61% | +6.13% | -0.55% | +6.13% |
| 2016 | 28/07/2016 | 106.70 | near 52w high | +5.34% | +5.84% | +6.13% | -0.28% | +8.25% |
Upcoming 30/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.28% · Win 40% · DD -2.92%20 days: Avg +0.21% · Win 60% · DD -4.28%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/07/2025 | 16.43 | neutral | -3.23% | -6.15% | -6.75% | -9.43% | +2.25% |
| 2024 | 30/07/2024 | 20.52 | neutral | -2.10% | -2.68% | +0.72% | -4.39% | +0.72% |
| 2023 | 31/07/2023 | 25.55 | neutral | -0.39% | -2.97% | -0.18% | -7.94% | +0.39% |
| 2022 | 29/07/2022 | 39.35 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -4.07% | -2.29% | -5.77% | -9.12% | +0.64% |
| 2021 | 30/07/2021 | 52.00 | neutral | +0.96% | +2.69% | +6.08% | -1.15% | +6.08% |
| 2020 | 30/07/2020 | 46.90 | neutral | +0.43% | +4.26% | +5.13% | -1.17% | +5.77% |
| 2019 | 30/07/2019 | 90.20 | volume x1.5 | -3.66% | -4.49% | -8.07% | -8.07% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 30/07/2018 | 118.50 | volume x1.7 | -0.59% | -0.72% | +0.26% | -1.56% | +1.32% |
| 2017 | 31/07/2017 | 126.30 | neutral | +2.10% | +3.45% | +5.84% | +0.00% | +6.16% |
| 2016 | 29/07/2016 | 106.40 | near 52w high | +7.85% | +6.05% | +4.81% | +0.00% | +8.55% |
Upcoming 17/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.44% · Win 70% · DD -1.65%20 days: Avg +0.70% · Win 80% · DD -2.53%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/08/2025 | 14.88 | neutral | +1.01% | +1.81% | +1.52% | -1.14% | +6.32% |
| 2024 | 16/08/2024 | 20.07 | neutral | +0.10% | +1.89% | +4.24% | -0.30% | +4.24% |
| 2023 | 17/08/2023 | 23.45 | neutral | +2.77% | +4.69% | +6.21% | -1.28% | +8.10% |
| 2022 | 17/08/2022 | 37.25 | neutral | -2.95% | -4.70% | -10.11% | -10.11% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 17/08/2021 | 52.75 | neutral | +2.09% | +2.94% | +2.64% | -2.27% | +4.27% |
| 2020 | 17/08/2020 | 48.05 | neutral | +1.98% | +0.83% | +2.18% | -0.94% | +4.18% |
| 2019 | 16/08/2019 | 84.80 | near 52w low | -1.30% | -3.18% | +1.11% | -4.01% | +2.18% |
| 2018 | 17/08/2018 | 119.10 | neutral | -0.92% | -1.26% | -2.95% | -2.95% | +0.50% |
| 2017 | 17/08/2017 | 131.70 | near 52w high | +0.95% | +0.27% | +0.94% | -2.01% | +3.34% |
| 2016 | 17/08/2016 | 110.00 | near 52w low | +1.45% | +1.09% | +1.23% | -0.32% | +4.50% |
Upcoming 29/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.32% · Win 50% · DD -1.84%20 days: Avg -3.79% · Win 50% · DD -6.25%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/08/2025 | 15.31 | neutral | +2.61% | -0.00% | -2.66% | -6.77% | +3.33% |
| 2024 | 29/08/2024 | 20.32 | neutral | +0.49% | +2.17% | +2.12% | -0.44% | +4.16% |
| 2023 | 29/08/2023 | 25.35 | neutral | -3.75% | -3.35% | -15.38% | -15.38% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 29/08/2022 | 36.05 | neutral | -2.36% | -4.02% | -25.55% | -25.55% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 30/08/2021 | 54.00 | neutral | +0.46% | +0.64% | +1.57% | +0.00% | +2.04% |
| 2020 | 28/08/2020 | 49.35 | neutral | -2.23% | +1.44% | -1.02% | -6.14% | +1.95% |
| 2019 | 29/08/2019 | 81.70 | near 52w low | -0.24% | +5.82% | +3.22% | -0.37% | +6.06% |
| 2018 | 29/08/2018 | 118.85 | neutral | +0.42% | -1.72% | -4.82% | -4.82% | +0.72% |
| 2017 | 29/08/2017 | 131.85 | near 52w high | -2.12% | +2.62% | +2.12% | -2.12% | +3.22% |
| 2016 | 29/08/2016 | 110.70 | near 52w high | +2.39% | -0.37% | +2.50% | -0.95% | +3.84% |
Upcoming 11/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -4.35% · Win 20% · DD -5.36%20 days: Avg -6.02% · Win 30% · DD -9.22%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/09/2025 | 15.24 | neutral | -1.67% | -4.41% | +5.06% | -6.34% | +5.92% |
| 2024 | 11/09/2024 | 20.59 | neutral | +1.71% | -0.60% | -3.35% | -4.14% | +2.79% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 24.50 | neutral | +1.04% | -6.64% | -19.42% | -22.32% | +1.66% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 35.40 | neutral | -5.99% | -22.75% | -35.37% | -35.37% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 54.45 | neutral | +0.08% | +0.27% | +1.47% | -0.66% | +1.75% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 49.20 | neutral | +1.33% | -4.00% | +1.64% | -5.85% | +2.67% |
| 2019 | 11/09/2019 | 86.65 | neutral | -0.81% | -1.45% | -2.91% | -4.60% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 11/09/2018 | 118.55 | neutral | -3.09% | -3.52% | -7.26% | -7.98% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 136.10 | near 52w high · volume x5.0 | -2.84% | -2.25% | -0.11% | -3.55% | +0.67% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 111.35 | near 52w high · volume x1.8 | +0.00% | +1.81% | +0.00% | -1.41% | +2.77% |
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.44% · Win 60% · DD -3.72%20 days: Avg -1.99% · Win 50% · DD -6.56%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/09/2025 | 14.67 | neutral | +5.39% | +6.75% | +13.46% | +0.00% | +13.60% |
| 2024 | 30/09/2024 | 20.40 | neutral | -4.36% | -2.79% | -5.23% | -5.23% | +1.03% |
| 2023 | 29/09/2023 | 21.25 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -11.67% | -12.57% | -34.24% | -34.24% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 29/09/2022 | 24.05 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +2.49% | +2.70% | +10.98% | -6.24% | +12.47% |
| 2021 | 29/09/2021 | 54.20 | neutral | +1.01% | +2.31% | -0.39% | -0.86% | +2.31% |
| 2020 | 29/09/2020 | 47.35 | neutral | +2.96% | +4.96% | +3.04% | +0.00% | +6.03% |
| 2019 | 30/09/2019 | 83.75 | near 52w low | -0.42% | +0.90% | +0.24% | -2.27% | +3.37% |
| 2018 | 28/09/2018 | 112.25 | near 52w low | -3.61% | -6.97% | -3.69% | -8.46% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 29/09/2017 | 134.50 | near 52w high | -0.74% | +0.97% | -4.83% | -4.83% | +1.91% |
| 2016 | 29/09/2016 | 112.65 | near 52w high | -3.51% | -0.69% | +0.74% | -3.51% | +2.85% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-4.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -16.1% · from 52w low: +16.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -2.41% · -3.57% · -4.08% · -3.98% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -4.13% · -4.24% · -5.49% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -16.05% · +15.95% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.35 · 0.75x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +0.70% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -4.74% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +9.79% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 16.91 · 16.93 · 17.15 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 19.31 · 13.98 |
|---|
עבריתSign in with Google