🕰️ Time Machine
ARR — Armour Residential REIT
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
15.83 -2.10%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 10 days
24/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 03/09/2026
since -1.86%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 23/07/2026
15.89
Days: 34 trading / 49 calendar · return since: -0.38%
Last major high · 30/06/2026
17.65
Days: 50 trading / 72 calendar · return since: -10.31%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 30/06/2026 @ 17.65 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 02/09/2026 | -5 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 15.89 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 03/09/2026 | -4 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 15.89 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 06/09/2026 | -4 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 15.89 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 21/09/2026 | +11 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 30/06/2026 @ 17.65 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 24/09/2026 | +10 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 15.89 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 25/09/2026 | +11 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 30/06/2026 @ 17.65 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 28/09/2026 | +18 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 15.89 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 16/10/2026 | +26 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 15.89 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 21/10/2026 | +41 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 30/06/2026 @ 17.65 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 05/11/2026 | +40 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bullish Engulfing 04/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 03/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 01/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 02/09/2026
● Failed Breakdown 31/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 02/09/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 02/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.40% · Win 44% · DD -1.80%20 days: Avg -4.95% · Win 44% · DD -7.38%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 15.15 | neutral | +3.17% | -0.29% | +0.18% | -5.78% | +4.42% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 20.27 | neutral | +1.63% | +3.07% | -0.38% | -0.38% | +4.41% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 24.65 | neutral | -0.61% | +0.42% | -15.66% | -15.66% | +1.04% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 35.25 | neutral | +0.43% | -5.59% | -29.62% | -30.77% | +2.13% |
| 2021 | 02/09/2021 | 54.65 | neutral | -0.37% | -0.28% | +0.92% | -1.19% | +0.92% |
| 2020 | 02/09/2020 | 48.80 | neutral | +0.20% | +3.10% | -1.15% | -5.08% | +3.10% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 81.40 | near 52w low | +4.18% | +5.65% | +2.67% | +0.00% | +6.45% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 117.60 | neutral | +0.85% | -1.71% | -4.41% | -4.41% | +1.79% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 133.20 | near 52w high | +2.18% | -0.73% | +2.86% | -3.12% | +2.86% |
Passed 03/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.20% · Win 44% · DD -1.88%20 days: Avg -4.47% · Win 56% · DD -7.40%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/09/2025 | 15.39 | neutral | +0.45% | -1.38% | +1.79% | -7.25% | +2.79% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 20.27 | neutral | +1.63% | +3.07% | -0.38% | -0.38% | +4.41% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 24.65 | neutral | -0.61% | +0.42% | -15.66% | -15.66% | +1.04% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 35.25 | neutral | +0.43% | -5.59% | -29.62% | -30.77% | +2.13% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 54.50 | neutral | +0.92% | -0.75% | +0.18% | -0.92% | +1.20% |
| 2020 | 03/09/2020 | 47.95 | neutral | +2.61% | +3.98% | +3.03% | -3.40% | +4.92% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 81.40 | near 52w low | +4.18% | +5.65% | +2.67% | +0.00% | +6.45% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 118.30 | neutral | +0.21% | -2.89% | -5.06% | -5.06% | +1.18% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 133.20 | near 52w high | +2.18% | -0.73% | +2.86% | -3.12% | +2.86% |
Passed 06/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.56% · Win 44% · DD -2.17%20 days: Avg -4.58% · Win 44% · DD -8.52%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/09/2025 | 15.82 | neutral | -3.16% | -6.31% | -0.53% | -9.77% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 06/09/2024 | 20.42 | neutral | +1.67% | +3.65% | -2.10% | -2.10% | +3.65% |
| 2023 | 06/09/2023 | 24.40 | neutral | +0.41% | -0.01% | -22.01% | -22.01% | +2.08% |
| 2022 | 06/09/2022 | 35.20 | neutral | -1.70% | -6.75% | -22.03% | -30.67% | +2.27% |
| 2021 | 07/09/2021 | 54.25 | neutral | +0.17% | +0.64% | +2.13% | -0.46% | +2.13% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 48.25 | neutral | +3.75% | -0.54% | +2.91% | -4.00% | +4.27% |
| 2019 | 06/09/2019 | 81.50 | near 52w low | +6.08% | +5.83% | +2.67% | +0.00% | +6.32% |
| 2018 | 06/09/2018 | 119.35 | neutral | -2.14% | -3.74% | -7.63% | -7.63% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 06/09/2017 | 129.05 | neutral | +4.84% | +2.23% | +5.39% | +0.00% | +6.17% |
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.44% · Win 40% · DD -6.40%20 days: Avg -4.57% · Win 30% · DD -8.70%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/09/2025 | 14.05 | far below SMA50 | +4.41% | +10.04% | +13.84% | +0.00% | +13.84% |
| 2024 | 20/09/2024 | 20.92 | volume x1.6 | -1.96% | -5.54% | -1.48% | -6.74% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 21/09/2023 | 23.05 | neutral | -8.68% | -18.18% | -31.14% | -31.14% | +0.43% |
| 2022 | 21/09/2022 | 32.10 | far below SMA50 | -16.82% | -19.78% | -23.85% | -29.75% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 21/09/2021 | 54.10 | neutral | +0.46% | +1.48% | -0.02% | -0.58% | +2.50% |
| 2020 | 21/09/2020 | 47.50 | volume x1.7 | +1.79% | +3.47% | -0.05% | -3.47% | +5.26% |
| 2019 | 20/09/2019 | 85.40 | volume x2.3 | -2.22% | -2.99% | -0.34% | -4.16% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 21/09/2018 | 114.25 | volume x1.9 | -1.75% | -5.30% | -8.69% | -8.69% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 21/09/2017 | 130.35 | neutral | +2.80% | +3.64% | +5.15% | +0.00% | +5.15% |
| 2016 | 21/09/2016 | 111.40 | near 52w high | +1.12% | -1.26% | +0.83% | -2.42% | +1.71% |
Upcoming 24/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.05% · Win 40% · DD -5.26%20 days: Avg -3.53% · Win 50% · DD -7.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/09/2025 | 14.13 | neutral | +9.13% | +12.46% | +13.34% | +0.00% | +13.34% |
| 2024 | 24/09/2024 | 20.46 | neutral | -2.44% | -3.91% | -2.58% | -4.64% | +0.73% |
| 2023 | 25/09/2023 | 22.50 | near 52w low | -9.11% | -13.69% | -31.18% | -31.18% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 23/09/2022 | 30.05 | far below SMA50 | -18.97% | -19.47% | -18.65% | -24.96% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 24/09/2021 | 54.10 | neutral | +1.02% | +1.20% | -0.30% | -0.58% | +2.50% |
| 2020 | 24/09/2020 | 46.05 | neutral | +3.69% | +8.58% | +6.94% | +0.00% | +8.58% |
| 2019 | 24/09/2019 | 84.05 | neutral | -1.55% | -0.77% | +2.52% | -2.62% | +2.52% |
| 2018 | 24/09/2018 | 113.65 | neutral | -1.89% | -4.18% | -8.65% | -8.65% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 25/09/2017 | 132.10 | near 52w high | +2.99% | +2.20% | +2.46% | +0.00% | +3.76% |
| 2016 | 23/09/2016 | 112.55 | near 52w high | +0.13% | -2.93% | +0.78% | -3.42% | +0.78% |
Upcoming 25/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.07% · Win 40% · DD -4.80%20 days: Avg -2.54% · Win 50% · DD -6.74%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/09/2025 | 14.34 | neutral | +8.23% | +9.90% | +12.89% | +0.00% | +12.89% |
| 2024 | 25/09/2024 | 20.23 | neutral | -1.38% | -2.77% | -2.03% | -3.56% | +1.88% |
| 2023 | 25/09/2023 | 22.50 | near 52w low | -9.11% | -13.69% | -31.18% | -31.18% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 26/09/2022 | 26.95 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.2 | -9.28% | -16.33% | -9.67% | -16.33% | +0.37% |
| 2021 | 24/09/2021 | 54.10 | neutral | +1.02% | +1.20% | -0.30% | -0.58% | +2.50% |
| 2020 | 25/09/2020 | 46.75 | neutral | +4.60% | +5.88% | +7.39% | +0.00% | +7.39% |
| 2019 | 25/09/2019 | 84.55 | neutral | -3.19% | -1.48% | +2.39% | -3.19% | +2.39% |
| 2018 | 25/09/2018 | 113.45 | neutral | -1.81% | -3.88% | -9.42% | -9.42% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 25/09/2017 | 132.10 | near 52w high | +2.99% | +2.20% | +2.46% | +0.00% | +3.76% |
| 2016 | 26/09/2016 | 112.25 | near 52w high | -0.36% | -1.78% | +2.09% | -3.16% | +2.09% |
Upcoming 28/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.66% · Win 50% · DD -4.72%20 days: Avg -3.14% · Win 40% · DD -7.45%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/09/2025 | 14.67 | neutral | +5.39% | +6.75% | +13.46% | +0.00% | +13.60% |
| 2024 | 27/09/2024 | 20.51 | neutral | -3.66% | -3.80% | -4.30% | -4.88% | +0.48% |
| 2023 | 28/09/2023 | 21.05 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -10.40% | -9.41% | -32.50% | -32.50% | +0.95% |
| 2022 | 28/09/2022 | 26.70 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -3.56% | -8.61% | -3.48% | -15.54% | +1.31% |
| 2021 | 28/09/2021 | 54.35 | neutral | +1.01% | +1.66% | -1.13% | -1.13% | +2.02% |
| 2020 | 28/09/2020 | 48.35 | neutral | +1.65% | +3.31% | +1.85% | -2.07% | +3.84% |
| 2019 | 27/09/2019 | 83.50 | near 52w low | -0.78% | +0.90% | +0.60% | -1.98% | +3.68% |
| 2018 | 28/09/2018 | 112.25 | near 52w low | -3.61% | -6.97% | -3.69% | -8.46% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 28/09/2017 | 134.00 | near 52w high | +0.82% | +0.75% | -4.40% | -4.40% | +2.29% |
| 2016 | 28/09/2016 | 112.65 | near 52w high | -2.35% | -1.19% | +2.17% | -3.51% | +2.85% |
Upcoming 16/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.10% · Win 40% · DD -4.69%20 days: Avg +2.09% · Win 60% · DD -5.34%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/10/2025 | 15.44 | neutral | +3.24% | +3.30% | +7.19% | +0.00% | +10.17% |
| 2024 | 16/10/2024 | 20.12 | neutral | -2.68% | -5.52% | -5.47% | -7.60% | +1.19% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 17.96 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -15.59% | -24.22% | -7.63% | -24.22% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 17/10/2022 | 24.00 | far below SMA50 | -0.62% | +10.83% | +20.10% | -0.83% | +26.88% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 53.75 | neutral | -0.56% | -2.14% | -1.58% | -2.14% | +1.12% |
| 2020 | 16/10/2020 | 47.90 | neutral | +3.76% | -0.42% | +7.21% | -1.88% | +8.04% |
| 2019 | 16/10/2019 | 84.45 | neutral | +1.48% | -1.89% | +1.36% | -1.89% | +1.48% |
| 2018 | 16/10/2018 | 105.80 | near 52w low | -3.73% | +2.41% | +6.66% | -3.73% | +6.81% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 135.65 | near 52w high | -0.92% | -6.71% | -9.47% | -11.13% | +0.33% |
| 2016 | 17/10/2016 | 109.70 | near 52w high | +3.42% | +3.33% | +2.52% | +0.00% | +5.83% |
Upcoming 21/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.93% · Win 60% · DD -3.34%20 days: Avg +4.58% · Win 60% · DD -3.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/10/2025 | 15.69 | neutral | +3.82% | +4.91% | +7.60% | +0.00% | +8.41% |
| 2024 | 21/10/2024 | 19.97 | neutral | -4.36% | -6.76% | -4.65% | -6.91% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 20/10/2023 | 15.26 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -10.35% | +5.64% | +15.56% | -10.81% | +15.56% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 23.95 | far below SMA50 | +11.48% | +12.73% | +18.44% | -0.42% | +27.14% |
| 2021 | 21/10/2021 | 53.70 | neutral | -1.77% | -0.19% | -2.43% | -3.18% | +1.21% |
| 2020 | 21/10/2020 | 47.15 | neutral | +0.32% | +4.24% | +11.38% | +0.00% | +12.99% |
| 2019 | 21/10/2019 | 84.85 | neutral | -2.06% | -0.77% | +0.88% | -2.36% | +1.00% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 102.90 | near 52w low | +4.86% | +7.77% | +8.10% | -1.02% | +9.82% |
| 2017 | 20/10/2017 | 135.65 | near 52w high | -6.30% | -9.88% | -8.77% | -11.13% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 21/10/2016 | 112.30 | near 52w high | +0.49% | +1.60% | -0.30% | -0.30% | +3.38% |
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.42% · Win 80% · DD -0.95%20 days: Avg +5.72% · Win 70% · DD -1.79%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/11/2025 | 16.67 | neutral | +0.90% | +0.12% | +6.15% | -0.73% | +6.63% |
| 2024 | 05/11/2024 | 18.74 | neutral | +1.44% | +1.66% | +3.12% | -0.39% | +3.63% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 16.18 | far below SMA50 | +2.53% | +10.26% | +19.57% | +0.00% | +19.57% |
| 2022 | 04/11/2022 | 27.00 | neutral | +12.78% | +5.06% | +9.77% | +0.00% | +12.78% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 54.35 | neutral | -2.67% | -4.43% | -5.73% | -10.84% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 05/11/2020 | 49.60 | neutral | +2.62% | +6.80% | +14.13% | -1.81% | +14.13% |
| 2019 | 05/11/2019 | 83.85 | near 52w low | +1.73% | +2.57% | +4.98% | +0.00% | +4.98% |
| 2018 | 05/11/2018 | 110.90 | neutral | +1.31% | +0.30% | -0.52% | -0.74% | +1.89% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 120.55 | volume x1.7 | +1.87% | +3.75% | +7.26% | +0.00% | +7.47% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 114.10 | near 52w high | +0.51% | -1.87% | -1.52% | -3.33% | +1.75% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-4.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -18.0% · from 52w low: +13.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -1.98% · -2.40% · -3.48% · -4.41% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -2.99% · -4.28% · -7.89% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -18.02% · +13.23% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.23 · 1.62x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -1.41% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -1.59% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +0.71% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 16.32 · 16.54 · 17.19 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 19.31 · 13.98 |
|---|
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