📡 ARR — Armour Residential REIT
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/06/2026
Last price (Close)
16.83 -1.92%
Next window · Gann 30 · in 3 days
15/06/2026
Last window · Short 21 · 02/06/2026
since -2.49%
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 20/03/2026
15.32
Days: 56 trading / 82 calendar · return since: +9.86%
Last major high · 01/05/2026
17.81
Days: 27 trading / 40 calendar · return since: -5.50%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 01/05/2026 @ 17.81 | Gann 30 | Calendar | 31/05/2026 | -10 (±2) | Passed |
| High 01/05/2026 @ 17.81 | Short 21 | Trading | 02/06/2026 | -6 (±1) | Passed |
| High 01/05/2026 @ 17.81 | Gann 30 | Trading | 15/06/2026 | +3 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 01/05/2026 @ 17.81 | Gann 45 | Calendar | 15/06/2026 | +5 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/03/2026 @ 15.32 | Gann 60 | Trading | 16/06/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/03/2026 @ 15.32 | Gann 90 | Calendar | 18/06/2026 | +8 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 01/05/2026 @ 17.81 | Gann 60 | Calendar | 30/06/2026 | +20 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 01/05/2026 @ 17.81 | Gann 45 | Trading | 06/07/2026 | +18 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/03/2026 @ 15.32 | Gann 120 | Calendar | 18/07/2026 | +38 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 01/05/2026 @ 17.81 | Gann 60 | Trading | 27/07/2026 | +33 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/03/2026 @ 15.32 | Gann 90 | Trading | 28/07/2026 | +34 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 31/05/2026 · High Gann 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.41% · Win 67% · DD -2.72%20 days: Avg +2.73% · Win 56% · DD -4.20%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/05/2025 | 16.21 | neutral | +2.04% | +3.33% | +5.21% | -0.99% | +5.21% |
| 2024 | 31/05/2024 | 19.34 | neutral | +1.09% | +1.03% | +0.25% | -1.65% | +2.87% |
| 2023 | 31/05/2023 | 25.10 | neutral | +1.59% | +3.77% | +8.02% | +0.00% | +8.83% |
| 2022 | 31/05/2022 | 37.80 | neutral | +1.06% | -14.63% | -7.38% | -22.95% | +1.06% |
| 2021 | 01/06/2021 | 60.40 | near 52w high | +0.00% | -3.58% | -4.84% | -6.51% | +0.66% |
| 2020 | 01/06/2020 | 41.00 | neutral | +22.80% | +12.55% | +17.11% | -2.44% | +22.80% |
| 2019 | 31/05/2019 | 87.00 | near 52w low | +4.43% | +7.02% | +8.24% | +0.00% | +8.24% |
| 2018 | 31/05/2018 | 115.85 | neutral | -1.12% | -0.26% | -0.52% | -1.74% | +0.30% |
| 2017 | 31/05/2017 | 129.95 | near 52w high | +0.15% | +3.43% | -1.53% | -1.53% | +6.49% |
Passed 02/06/2026 · High Short 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.26% · Win 67% · DD -3.66%20 days: Avg +2.43% · Win 56% · DD -4.36%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/06/2025 | 16.05 | neutral | +3.30% | +4.17% | +5.88% | +0.00% | +6.26% |
| 2024 | 03/06/2024 | 19.55 | neutral | -1.13% | +0.16% | +0.73% | -2.71% | +1.76% |
| 2023 | 02/06/2023 | 25.75 | neutral | -0.39% | +2.53% | +4.70% | -1.75% | +6.08% |
| 2022 | 02/06/2022 | 38.05 | neutral | +0.00% | -23.46% | -3.59% | -23.46% | +0.39% |
| 2021 | 02/06/2021 | 60.30 | near 52w high | +0.83% | -3.67% | -4.51% | -6.35% | +0.83% |
| 2020 | 02/06/2020 | 40.00 | neutral | +19.75% | +15.61% | +18.64% | +0.00% | +25.87% |
| 2019 | 03/06/2019 | 90.00 | neutral | +1.28% | +1.60% | +4.01% | +0.00% | +4.63% |
| 2018 | 01/06/2018 | 115.50 | neutral | -0.09% | -0.13% | -0.44% | -1.44% | +0.61% |
| 2017 | 02/06/2017 | 130.55 | near 52w high | +0.65% | +5.50% | -3.56% | -3.56% | +6.00% |
Upcoming 15/06/2026 · High Gann 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.27% · Win 60% · DD -3.12%20 days: Avg +2.47% · Win 70% · DD -3.54%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/06/2025 | 16.48 | neutral | -0.06% | +1.64% | +1.58% | -1.70% | +2.73% |
| 2024 | 14/06/2024 | 19.54 | neutral | +1.14% | -0.78% | +13.41% | -1.04% | +13.41% |
| 2023 | 15/06/2023 | 26.05 | neutral | -2.30% | +2.30% | -2.93% | -3.07% | +3.26% |
| 2022 | 15/06/2022 | 31.60 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +2.85% | +11.39% | +11.37% | -9.18% | +14.56% |
| 2021 | 15/06/2021 | 57.75 | volume x2.0 | -0.95% | -1.30% | -4.78% | -4.78% | +0.61% |
| 2020 | 15/06/2020 | 45.65 | far above SMA50 | +0.00% | +4.05% | +1.89% | -2.63% | +4.05% |
| 2019 | 14/06/2019 | 92.15 | neutral | -0.92% | +1.14% | +1.73% | -1.79% | +2.50% |
| 2018 | 15/06/2018 | 114.40 | neutral | +0.44% | -0.31% | +1.75% | -1.31% | +3.32% |
| 2017 | 15/06/2017 | 134.80 | near 52w high | +1.00% | -6.90% | -5.16% | -7.46% | +1.93% |
| 2016 | 15/06/2016 | 96.70 | near 52w high | -1.45% | +1.45% | +5.84% | -2.43% | +7.51% |
Upcoming 16/06/2026 · Low Gann 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.83% · Win 70% · DD -2.25%20 days: Avg +3.80% · Win 70% · DD -2.63%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/06/2025 | 16.48 | neutral | -0.06% | +1.64% | +1.58% | -1.70% | +2.73% |
| 2024 | 17/06/2024 | 19.34 | neutral | +0.36% | +0.57% | +13.23% | -1.24% | +13.23% |
| 2023 | 16/06/2023 | 26.00 | volume x2.0 | +0.00% | +2.12% | -1.18% | -2.88% | +3.46% |
| 2022 | 16/06/2022 | 28.70 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.5 | +18.47% | +25.96% | +19.09% | +0.00% | +26.13% |
| 2021 | 16/06/2021 | 57.60 | neutral | -0.69% | -0.87% | -4.36% | -4.54% | +0.87% |
| 2020 | 16/06/2020 | 45.75 | far above SMA50 | +1.20% | +2.62% | +4.54% | -2.84% | +4.54% |
| 2019 | 17/06/2019 | 90.50 | volume x1.5 | +1.44% | +2.38% | +3.92% | +0.00% | +4.36% |
| 2018 | 15/06/2018 | 114.40 | neutral | +0.44% | -0.31% | +1.75% | -1.31% | +3.32% |
| 2017 | 16/06/2017 | 136.75 | near 52w high · volume x2.1 | -0.15% | -8.59% | -6.14% | -8.78% | +0.48% |
| 2016 | 16/06/2016 | 97.25 | near 52w high | -1.75% | +2.83% | +5.60% | -2.98% | +6.90% |
Upcoming 18/06/2026 · Low Gann 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.63% · Win 80% · DD -1.71%20 days: Avg +3.57% · Win 70% · DD -2.27%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/06/2025 | 16.57 | neutral | +0.72% | +1.75% | +0.90% | -0.91% | +2.17% |
| 2024 | 18/06/2024 | 19.10 | neutral | +1.57% | +1.99% | +13.12% | +0.00% | +14.65% |
| 2023 | 16/06/2023 | 26.00 | volume x2.0 | +0.00% | +2.12% | -1.18% | -2.88% | +3.46% |
| 2022 | 17/06/2022 | 29.75 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.4 | +14.96% | +21.68% | +18.30% | +0.00% | +21.68% |
| 2021 | 18/06/2021 | 56.00 | volume x2.2 | +3.30% | +2.14% | -3.52% | -3.52% | +3.75% |
| 2020 | 18/06/2020 | 45.50 | neutral | +4.29% | -1.21% | +4.89% | -2.31% | +5.67% |
| 2019 | 18/06/2019 | 90.90 | neutral | +1.49% | +1.49% | +3.74% | +0.00% | +3.91% |
| 2018 | 18/06/2018 | 114.80 | neutral | +0.26% | +0.35% | +1.08% | -1.66% | +2.96% |
| 2017 | 19/06/2017 | 137.10 | near 52w high | +0.22% | -7.48% | -8.69% | -9.01% | +0.22% |
| 2016 | 17/06/2016 | 96.65 | near 52w high | -1.71% | +3.52% | +7.04% | -2.38% | +7.56% |
Upcoming 30/06/2026 · High Gann 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.63% · Win 60% · DD -1.84%20 days: Avg +2.67% · Win 70% · DD -2.70%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/06/2025 | 16.81 | neutral | -0.89% | -0.18% | +0.73% | -1.56% | +1.94% |
| 2024 | 01/07/2024 | 19.15 | neutral | +2.87% | +14.30% | +8.38% | +0.00% | +14.35% |
| 2023 | 30/06/2023 | 26.65 | neutral | -3.00% | -5.12% | -2.64% | -5.25% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 30/06/2022 | 35.20 | neutral | +1.14% | -0.02% | +13.38% | -2.90% | +13.38% |
| 2021 | 30/06/2021 | 57.10 | neutral | -1.31% | -3.52% | -6.88% | -9.35% | +1.75% |
| 2020 | 30/06/2020 | 46.95 | far above SMA50 | -2.24% | +1.87% | +1.44% | -5.32% | +7.36% |
| 2019 | 01/07/2019 | 92.65 | neutral | +1.35% | +1.51% | -1.76% | -2.41% | +1.94% |
| 2018 | 29/06/2018 | 114.05 | neutral | +3.51% | +2.06% | +4.75% | +0.00% | +4.75% |
| 2017 | 30/06/2017 | 125.00 | neutral | +0.40% | +2.68% | +1.80% | -0.20% | +2.68% |
| 2016 | 30/06/2016 | 100.00 | near 52w high | +1.30% | +2.70% | +7.55% | +0.00% | +7.85% |
Upcoming 06/07/2026 · High Gann 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.13% · Win 60% · DD -1.90%20 days: Avg +2.34% · Win 80% · DD -2.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/07/2025 | 16.69 | neutral | +0.30% | -0.86% | +2.12% | -0.86% | +2.67% |
| 2024 | 05/07/2024 | 19.68 | neutral | +7.42% | +8.45% | +4.95% | +0.00% | +11.27% |
| 2023 | 06/07/2023 | 25.25 | neutral | +3.76% | +1.95% | +0.95% | +0.00% | +4.37% |
| 2022 | 06/07/2022 | 35.30 | neutral | +1.13% | +1.56% | +10.61% | -3.18% | +13.77% |
| 2021 | 06/07/2021 | 56.90 | neutral | -0.79% | -3.10% | -7.88% | -9.04% | +2.11% |
| 2020 | 06/07/2020 | 46.60 | neutral | -2.68% | +3.18% | +2.09% | -4.61% | +8.17% |
| 2019 | 05/07/2019 | 94.25 | neutral | -1.28% | -1.28% | -5.03% | -5.03% | +0.21% |
| 2018 | 06/07/2018 | 118.20 | neutral | -1.23% | -1.57% | +0.91% | -2.21% | +1.38% |
| 2017 | 06/07/2017 | 125.65 | neutral | +1.47% | +0.15% | +2.79% | -0.72% | +2.79% |
| 2016 | 06/07/2016 | 101.85 | near 52w high | +2.07% | +2.82% | +11.90% | -1.52% | +11.90% |
Upcoming 18/07/2026 · Low Gann 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.59% · Win 50% · DD -1.73%20 days: Avg +0.95% · Win 50% · DD -3.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/07/2025 | 16.48 | neutral | +2.31% | -0.61% | -7.16% | -9.71% | +2.49% |
| 2024 | 18/07/2024 | 21.36 | neutral | -5.52% | -5.15% | -5.70% | -8.15% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 18/07/2023 | 25.30 | neutral | +2.37% | +1.38% | -3.21% | -3.21% | +2.57% |
| 2022 | 18/07/2022 | 33.70 | neutral | +5.34% | +17.51% | +12.73% | +0.00% | +17.51% |
| 2021 | 19/07/2021 | 53.55 | volume x1.9 | -1.21% | -3.27% | -0.76% | -4.20% | +2.52% |
| 2020 | 17/07/2020 | 47.20 | neutral | -0.74% | -1.06% | +4.56% | -1.80% | +5.61% |
| 2019 | 18/07/2019 | 93.00 | neutral | -3.33% | -4.46% | -9.05% | -9.75% | +0.59% |
| 2018 | 18/07/2018 | 115.10 | neutral | -0.26% | +2.26% | +2.87% | -0.39% | +3.26% |
| 2017 | 18/07/2017 | 124.25 | neutral | +0.64% | +2.62% | +6.01% | +0.00% | +6.01% |
| 2016 | 18/07/2016 | 102.35 | near 52w high | +2.69% | +6.64% | +9.16% | +0.00% | +12.85% |
Upcoming 27/07/2026 · High Gann 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.63% · Win 50% · DD -2.52%20 days: Avg +0.30% · Win 50% · DD -3.70%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/07/2025 | 16.63 | neutral | +1.02% | -10.52% | -8.18% | -10.52% | +1.02% |
| 2024 | 26/07/2024 | 20.47 | neutral | -0.24% | -1.17% | -0.66% | -4.15% | +0.44% |
| 2023 | 27/07/2023 | 25.95 | neutral | -3.28% | -2.50% | -5.64% | -9.36% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 27/07/2022 | 36.90 | neutral | +4.34% | +4.88% | -0.75% | -3.08% | +7.32% |
| 2021 | 27/07/2021 | 52.15 | neutral | -0.38% | +1.63% | +4.23% | -1.44% | +4.23% |
| 2020 | 27/07/2020 | 46.40 | neutral | +1.40% | +6.68% | +6.69% | -0.11% | +6.69% |
| 2019 | 26/07/2019 | 90.20 | neutral | -1.66% | -2.99% | -6.28% | -6.95% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 27/07/2018 | 117.60 | neutral | +0.60% | -0.26% | +1.16% | -0.81% | +2.10% |
| 2017 | 27/07/2017 | 126.20 | neutral | +1.58% | +2.61% | +6.13% | -0.55% | +6.13% |
| 2016 | 27/07/2016 | 106.00 | near 52w high | +6.37% | +7.97% | +6.30% | +0.00% | +8.96% |
Upcoming 28/07/2026 · Low Gann 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.17% · Win 40% · DD -2.59%20 days: Avg +0.50% · Win 50% · DD -3.98%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/07/2025 | 16.63 | neutral | +1.02% | -10.52% | -8.18% | -10.52% | +1.02% |
| 2024 | 29/07/2024 | 20.56 | volume x1.7 | -4.57% | -2.29% | -0.21% | -4.57% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 28/07/2023 | 25.80 | neutral | -0.97% | -1.94% | -4.30% | -8.83% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 28/07/2022 | 39.00 | volume x2.5 | -2.56% | -0.90% | -4.40% | -8.30% | +1.54% |
| 2021 | 28/07/2021 | 51.40 | far below SMA50 | +0.00% | +3.89% | +6.34% | +0.00% | +6.34% |
| 2020 | 28/07/2020 | 46.40 | neutral | -0.11% | +4.31% | +6.91% | -0.11% | +6.91% |
| 2019 | 29/07/2019 | 89.60 | neutral | -2.79% | -3.35% | -5.32% | -6.33% | +0.67% |
| 2018 | 27/07/2018 | 117.60 | neutral | +0.60% | -0.26% | +1.16% | -0.81% | +2.10% |
| 2017 | 28/07/2017 | 125.50 | neutral | +2.31% | +3.55% | +6.84% | +0.00% | +6.84% |
| 2016 | 28/07/2016 | 106.70 | near 52w high | +5.34% | +5.84% | +6.13% | -0.28% | +8.25% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-2.4%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -12.8% · from 52w low: +20.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -1.41% · -1.12% · -2.81% · +1.58% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -0.71% · -2.39% · -0.27% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -12.84% · +20.39% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.31 · 1.06x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -0.90% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -1.09% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -4.54% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 16.95 · 17.24 · 16.88 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 19.31 · 13.98 |
|---|