🕰️ Time Machine
ARW — Arrow Electronics
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
214.27 -0.21%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 5 days
17/09/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 08/09/2026
since -1.44%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 07/08/2026
194.45
Days: 23 trading / 34 calendar · return since: +10.19%
Last major high · 05/08/2026
230.45
Days: 25 trading / 36 calendar · return since: -7.02%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 07/08/2026 @ 194.45 | Fib 13 | Trading | 📅 26/08/2026 | -10 (±1) | Passed |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 230.45 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 03/09/2026 | -4 (±1) | Passed |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 230.45 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 04/09/2026 | -6 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 07/08/2026 @ 194.45 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 06/09/2026 | -4 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 07/08/2026 @ 194.45 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 08/09/2026 | -2 (±1) | Passed |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 230.45 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 17/09/2026 | +5 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 230.45 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 19/09/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 07/08/2026 @ 194.45 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 21/09/2026 | +7 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 07/08/2026 @ 194.45 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 21/09/2026 | +11 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 230.45 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 04/10/2026 | +24 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 07/08/2026 @ 194.45 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 06/10/2026 | +26 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 230.45 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 08/10/2026 | +20 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 07/08/2026 @ 194.45 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 12/10/2026 | +22 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 230.45 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 29/10/2026 | +35 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 07/08/2026 @ 194.45 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 02/11/2026 | +37 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 08/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 08/09/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 01/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 03/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 28/08/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 26/08/2026
● NR7 Compression 27/08/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 26/08/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 14/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 26/08/2026 · Low Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.89% · Win 44% · DD -3.53%20 days: Avg -2.29% · Win 33% · DD -5.55%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/08/2025 | 127.01 | neutral | -2.11% | +0.04% | -4.79% | -6.24% | +1.77% |
| 2024 | 26/08/2024 | 133.48 | near 52w high | -3.45% | -6.38% | -0.64% | -7.96% | +1.21% |
| 2023 | 25/08/2023 | 130.41 | neutral | +2.66% | -2.89% | -2.09% | -3.75% | +2.66% |
| 2022 | 26/08/2022 | 107.19 | near 52w low | -4.19% | -1.79% | -13.96% | -13.96% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 26/08/2021 | 120.77 | near 52w high | -1.57% | -5.02% | -5.90% | -9.08% | +1.74% |
| 2020 | 26/08/2020 | 76.66 | neutral | +6.25% | +1.37% | +1.04% | -1.21% | +6.25% |
| 2019 | 26/08/2019 | 68.07 | neutral | +0.03% | +11.06% | +7.89% | -1.06% | +13.65% |
| 2018 | 27/08/2018 | 79.92 | neutral | -3.68% | -5.72% | -6.43% | -6.43% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 25/08/2017 | 76.93 | neutral | +2.87% | +1.34% | +4.30% | -0.25% | +4.30% |
Passed 03/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.77% · Win 44% · DD -4.04%20 days: Avg -0.95% · Win 44% · DD -4.93%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/09/2025 | 124.33 | neutral | +2.20% | -4.22% | -2.12% | -4.42% | +3.97% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 128.87 | neutral | -3.03% | +0.57% | +2.26% | -4.66% | +4.35% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 133.88 | neutral | -5.41% | -4.94% | -6.43% | -7.04% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 102.70 | near 52w low | +2.50% | -5.16% | -7.37% | -10.23% | +2.50% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 117.43 | neutral | -2.43% | -5.88% | -2.19% | -6.49% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 03/09/2020 | 78.63 | neutral | +0.39% | +1.55% | +0.90% | -3.69% | +2.38% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 68.09 | neutral | +11.03% | +10.59% | +7.20% | +0.00% | +13.61% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 76.98 | neutral | -2.12% | -0.30% | -4.38% | -4.78% | +1.52% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 79.14 | neutral | -1.49% | +0.83% | +3.58% | -3.03% | +3.58% |
Passed 04/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.60% · Win 33% · DD -3.58%20 days: Avg -0.63% · Win 44% · DD -4.61%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/09/2025 | 126.70 | neutral | +2.02% | -3.05% | -3.35% | -6.20% | +2.02% |
| 2024 | 04/09/2024 | 128.99 | neutral | -3.60% | +0.45% | +1.54% | -4.75% | +4.26% |
| 2023 | 05/09/2023 | 129.87 | neutral | -2.88% | -1.79% | -5.47% | -5.47% | +0.02% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 102.70 | near 52w low | +2.50% | -5.16% | -7.37% | -10.23% | +2.50% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 117.43 | neutral | -2.43% | -5.88% | -2.19% | -6.49% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 77.95 | neutral | +2.62% | -1.13% | +4.80% | -2.85% | +4.80% |
| 2019 | 04/09/2019 | 69.73 | neutral | +9.79% | +8.25% | +4.29% | +0.00% | +10.94% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 76.98 | neutral | -2.12% | -0.30% | -4.38% | -4.78% | +1.52% |
| 2017 | 05/09/2017 | 77.32 | neutral | +1.78% | +3.21% | +6.44% | -0.75% | +6.44% |
Passed 06/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.58% · Win 44% · DD -2.98%20 days: Avg +0.18% · Win 56% · DD -3.99%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/09/2025 | 127.64 | neutral | +0.55% | -4.64% | -4.74% | -6.89% | +1.27% |
| 2024 | 06/09/2024 | 126.47 | neutral | -1.68% | +4.09% | +3.54% | -2.85% | +6.33% |
| 2023 | 06/09/2023 | 129.89 | neutral | -3.36% | -1.53% | -5.49% | -5.49% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 06/09/2022 | 100.54 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +0.16% | -4.04% | -1.99% | -8.31% | +4.70% |
| 2021 | 07/09/2021 | 115.93 | neutral | -3.19% | -5.28% | +0.04% | -5.28% | +0.04% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 77.95 | neutral | +2.62% | -1.13% | +4.80% | -2.85% | +4.80% |
| 2019 | 06/09/2019 | 72.80 | neutral | +5.25% | +1.33% | +2.10% | -0.11% | +6.26% |
| 2018 | 06/09/2018 | 75.83 | near 52w low | +0.61% | +3.06% | -3.47% | -3.47% | +3.06% |
| 2017 | 06/09/2017 | 77.23 | neutral | +1.94% | +2.90% | +6.86% | -0.63% | +6.86% |
Passed 08/09/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.10% · Win 60% · DD -2.47%20 days: Avg +0.25% · Win 40% · DD -3.62%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/09/2025 | 126.10 | neutral | +1.13% | -3.30% | -2.55% | -5.76% | +2.51% |
| 2024 | 09/09/2024 | 125.94 | neutral | +1.26% | +4.88% | +4.11% | -2.45% | +6.78% |
| 2023 | 08/09/2023 | 126.36 | neutral | +0.66% | +0.38% | -5.00% | -5.00% | +2.07% |
| 2022 | 08/09/2022 | 102.52 | near 52w low | -2.64% | -7.88% | -4.87% | -10.08% | +2.68% |
| 2021 | 08/09/2021 | 115.03 | neutral | -0.80% | -3.26% | -0.12% | -4.54% | +0.83% |
| 2020 | 08/09/2020 | 75.73 | neutral | +6.30% | +3.10% | +8.29% | +0.00% | +8.29% |
| 2019 | 09/09/2019 | 74.22 | neutral | +2.52% | +0.54% | -2.02% | -2.02% | +4.23% |
| 2018 | 07/09/2018 | 75.28 | near 52w low | +2.34% | +2.46% | -3.39% | -3.39% | +3.81% |
| 2017 | 08/09/2017 | 76.74 | neutral | +3.62% | +4.56% | +7.06% | +0.00% | +7.54% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 63.04 | near 52w high | +1.48% | -0.52% | +1.00% | -2.97% | +2.68% |
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.13% · Win 50% · DD -2.08%20 days: Avg -0.55% · Win 50% · DD -4.35%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/09/2025 | 119.08 | volume x2.9 | +1.55% | +2.19% | -1.34% | -4.69% | +3.20% |
| 2024 | 17/09/2024 | 129.61 | neutral | +2.32% | +1.67% | +3.62% | -0.21% | +4.03% |
| 2023 | 18/09/2023 | 127.26 | neutral | +0.34% | -1.56% | -8.68% | -9.93% | +1.34% |
| 2022 | 16/09/2022 | 96.11 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x3.3 | -2.94% | -4.08% | -2.98% | -4.66% | +2.53% |
| 2021 | 17/09/2021 | 113.23 | volume x3.7 | +0.37% | +1.56% | +4.15% | -3.02% | +4.95% |
| 2020 | 17/09/2020 | 79.81 | neutral | -2.94% | -0.99% | +5.53% | -3.46% | +5.79% |
| 2019 | 17/09/2019 | 75.30 | neutral | -2.47% | -3.07% | -0.53% | -5.29% | +0.24% |
| 2018 | 17/09/2018 | 76.58 | neutral | -0.43% | -4.28% | -10.92% | -11.86% | +2.05% |
| 2017 | 18/09/2017 | 79.80 | neutral | +0.55% | +2.72% | +4.09% | -0.41% | +4.45% |
| 2016 | 16/09/2016 | 61.17 | near 52w high | +4.09% | +4.58% | +1.59% | +0.00% | +5.82% |
Upcoming 19/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.16% · Win 20% · DD -3.16%20 days: Avg -0.41% · Win 50% · DD -5.23%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/09/2025 | 121.72 | volume x3.3 | -0.66% | -0.11% | -2.11% | -6.75% | +0.96% |
| 2024 | 19/09/2024 | 133.90 | near 52w high | +0.43% | -3.41% | +2.42% | -3.41% | +2.42% |
| 2023 | 19/09/2023 | 127.54 | neutral | -2.41% | -3.75% | -8.38% | -10.13% | +1.12% |
| 2022 | 19/09/2022 | 97.40 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -5.31% | -2.33% | -1.97% | -5.92% | +1.17% |
| 2021 | 20/09/2021 | 110.52 | neutral | +4.48% | +3.93% | +7.08% | -0.64% | +7.53% |
| 2020 | 18/09/2020 | 79.85 | volume x1.8 | -2.34% | -0.64% | +5.42% | -3.51% | +5.74% |
| 2019 | 19/09/2019 | 74.80 | neutral | -0.47% | -2.62% | +1.67% | -4.65% | +1.67% |
| 2018 | 19/09/2018 | 77.45 | neutral | -4.85% | -4.44% | -9.43% | -12.85% | +0.90% |
| 2017 | 19/09/2017 | 79.80 | neutral | +0.96% | +3.13% | +4.11% | -0.41% | +4.45% |
| 2016 | 19/09/2016 | 63.97 | near 52w high | -1.97% | -1.36% | -2.91% | -4.02% | +1.19% |
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.00% · Win 70% · DD -2.10%20 days: Avg +0.45% · Win 60% · DD -4.15%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/09/2025 | 121.94 | neutral | -1.12% | +0.78% | +2.30% | -6.92% | +2.30% |
| 2024 | 20/09/2024 | 131.64 | near 52w high · volume x4.1 | +1.73% | -0.52% | +2.97% | -1.75% | +4.18% |
| 2023 | 21/09/2023 | 126.84 | neutral | +1.68% | -5.30% | -11.20% | -11.20% | +1.68% |
| 2022 | 21/09/2022 | 95.93 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -1.75% | +2.37% | -0.14% | -4.48% | +2.72% |
| 2021 | 21/09/2021 | 109.81 | neutral | +4.71% | +5.62% | +8.08% | +0.00% | +8.22% |
| 2020 | 21/09/2020 | 77.07 | neutral | +3.28% | +5.99% | +8.60% | -0.03% | +9.55% |
| 2019 | 20/09/2019 | 73.77 | volume x2.6 | +0.41% | +0.76% | +2.53% | -3.32% | +3.09% |
| 2018 | 21/09/2018 | 77.13 | volume x1.8 | -4.42% | -5.70% | -11.55% | -12.49% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 21/09/2017 | 79.52 | neutral | +1.23% | +3.61% | +3.97% | +0.00% | +4.97% |
| 2016 | 21/09/2016 | 62.91 | near 52w high | +1.49% | +2.38% | -1.11% | -1.27% | +2.89% |
Upcoming 04/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.68% · Win 50% · DD -3.53%20 days: Avg -1.73% · Win 30% · DD -6.36%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/10/2025 | 121.59 | neutral | -6.65% | -2.01% | -8.26% | -8.26% | +3.08% |
| 2024 | 04/10/2024 | 130.95 | near 52w high | +2.00% | +3.51% | -7.58% | -9.38% | +4.73% |
| 2023 | 04/10/2023 | 122.76 | neutral | -3.05% | -6.76% | -7.38% | -10.51% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 04/10/2022 | 98.54 | neutral | -6.22% | -2.15% | +4.29% | -7.01% | +4.29% |
| 2021 | 04/10/2021 | 114.86 | neutral | +1.98% | +3.03% | +3.04% | -1.81% | +4.82% |
| 2020 | 05/10/2020 | 81.69 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | +2.74% | +2.46% | -2.31% | -6.29% | +3.35% |
| 2019 | 04/10/2019 | 74.33 | neutral | -0.15% | +1.76% | +9.08% | -4.05% | +9.08% |
| 2018 | 04/10/2018 | 73.20 | near 52w low | -7.79% | -6.07% | -3.48% | -11.39% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 04/10/2017 | 82.53 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | +0.41% | +1.14% | -0.46% | -0.64% | +1.73% |
| 2016 | 04/10/2016 | 63.31 | near 52w high | -0.90% | -1.75% | -4.22% | -4.22% | +2.07% |
Upcoming 06/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.25% · Win 60% · DD -3.46%20 days: Avg -0.90% · Win 50% · DD -6.77%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/10/2025 | 122.89 | neutral | -7.52% | +1.51% | -9.31% | -9.31% | +1.99% |
| 2024 | 07/10/2024 | 131.11 | near 52w high | +2.84% | +2.27% | -9.14% | -9.49% | +4.60% |
| 2023 | 06/10/2023 | 120.04 | neutral | -4.52% | -5.49% | +0.76% | -8.48% | +0.76% |
| 2022 | 06/10/2022 | 97.53 | neutral | -1.77% | -2.05% | +3.76% | -6.05% | +5.37% |
| 2021 | 06/10/2021 | 114.89 | neutral | -0.57% | +3.76% | +3.43% | -1.84% | +4.80% |
| 2020 | 06/10/2020 | 82.01 | near 52w high | +1.82% | +2.12% | -1.01% | -6.66% | +2.95% |
| 2019 | 07/10/2019 | 72.72 | neutral | +1.61% | +4.68% | +12.61% | -1.93% | +12.61% |
| 2018 | 05/10/2018 | 72.73 | near 52w low | -5.84% | -6.20% | +3.09% | -10.82% | +3.09% |
| 2017 | 06/10/2017 | 82.16 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | +0.99% | +1.73% | -4.86% | -4.86% | +2.19% |
| 2016 | 06/10/2016 | 64.62 | near 52w high | -3.42% | -4.86% | -8.31% | -8.31% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 08/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.02% · Win 60% · DD -3.04%20 days: Avg +0.47% · Win 60% · DD -6.51%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/10/2025 | 120.48 | neutral | -2.49% | -0.34% | -6.35% | -7.50% | +4.03% |
| 2024 | 08/10/2024 | 132.94 | near 52w high | +1.02% | +0.43% | -10.61% | -10.73% | +3.16% |
| 2023 | 09/10/2023 | 119.91 | neutral | -3.08% | -6.30% | +0.29% | -8.38% | +0.87% |
| 2022 | 07/10/2022 | 95.54 | near 52w low | -2.40% | +3.36% | +9.06% | -4.09% | +9.06% |
| 2021 | 08/10/2021 | 117.34 | neutral | +0.50% | +2.38% | +4.13% | -3.89% | +4.13% |
| 2020 | 08/10/2020 | 83.65 | near 52w high | +0.68% | +0.48% | +0.44% | -8.49% | +0.68% |
| 2019 | 08/10/2019 | 71.32 | neutral | +5.02% | +7.05% | +15.79% | +0.00% | +15.79% |
| 2018 | 08/10/2018 | 71.85 | near 52w low | -5.05% | -4.58% | +2.98% | -9.73% | +4.36% |
| 2017 | 09/10/2017 | 82.00 | near 52w high | +1.29% | +1.45% | -4.72% | -4.72% | +2.39% |
| 2016 | 07/10/2016 | 64.08 | near 52w high | -3.03% | -4.15% | -6.35% | -7.54% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 12/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.60% · Win 50% · DD -1.99%20 days: Avg +2.06% · Win 60% · DD -4.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/10/2025 | 113.65 | neutral | +9.77% | +5.01% | -1.19% | -2.16% | +10.29% |
| 2024 | 11/10/2024 | 133.57 | near 52w high | +1.48% | -0.88% | -10.01% | -11.16% | +2.67% |
| 2023 | 12/10/2023 | 115.54 | neutral | -2.51% | -2.80% | +1.25% | -4.92% | +4.68% |
| 2022 | 12/10/2022 | 91.63 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +4.55% | +8.47% | +12.69% | +0.00% | +15.96% |
| 2021 | 12/10/2021 | 115.69 | neutral | +2.58% | +1.12% | +3.71% | -2.52% | +5.62% |
| 2020 | 12/10/2020 | 83.93 | near 52w high | -0.27% | -4.25% | +2.16% | -8.79% | +2.16% |
| 2019 | 11/10/2019 | 74.22 | neutral | +1.91% | +3.97% | +10.12% | -0.44% | +11.26% |
| 2018 | 12/10/2018 | 68.48 | near 52w low | -0.38% | -4.64% | +8.54% | -5.29% | +9.84% |
| 2017 | 12/10/2017 | 83.35 | near 52w high | -0.80% | +0.73% | -5.71% | -6.26% | +0.73% |
| 2016 | 12/10/2016 | 62.84 | near 52w high | -1.00% | -0.72% | -0.97% | -5.71% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.74% · Win 70% · DD -2.96%20 days: Avg +4.41% · Win 70% · DD -3.97%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/10/2025 | 116.10 | volume x1.6 | -2.82% | -4.16% | -7.06% | -12.26% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 29/10/2024 | 134.55 | near 52w high | -11.68% | -13.62% | -10.17% | -15.48% | +0.93% |
| 2023 | 30/10/2023 | 112.52 | neutral | +6.88% | +5.92% | +5.89% | +0.00% | +11.08% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 102.31 | neutral | +1.85% | +8.20% | +3.50% | -1.97% | +8.80% |
| 2021 | 29/10/2021 | 115.75 | neutral | +5.56% | +7.90% | +7.49% | +0.00% | +11.97% |
| 2020 | 29/10/2020 | 77.50 | neutral | +8.41% | +9.41% | +20.01% | +0.00% | +21.05% |
| 2019 | 29/10/2019 | 78.29 | neutral | +5.48% | +2.95% | +2.38% | -0.11% | +5.48% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 64.86 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +14.08% | +12.37% | +13.01% | +0.00% | +15.97% |
| 2017 | 30/10/2017 | 83.21 | near 52w high | -6.11% | -6.18% | -2.93% | -7.09% | +0.46% |
| 2016 | 28/10/2016 | 60.95 | near 52w low | -1.54% | +4.63% | +11.94% | -2.79% | +12.11% |
Upcoming 02/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.67% · Win 60% · DD -2.36%20 days: Avg +4.06% · Win 70% · DD -2.93%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/11/2025 | 111.45 | volume x1.9 | +0.76% | -5.91% | -2.29% | -8.60% | +1.24% |
| 2024 | 01/11/2024 | 121.03 | volume x1.8 | -0.69% | -4.83% | +1.30% | -6.04% | +1.55% |
| 2023 | 02/11/2023 | 119.96 | volume x1.6 | -2.48% | +3.34% | -0.27% | -2.48% | +4.19% |
| 2022 | 02/11/2022 | 100.29 | neutral | +2.96% | +9.06% | +8.29% | +0.00% | +10.99% |
| 2021 | 02/11/2021 | 117.32 | neutral | +2.27% | +8.57% | +2.66% | +0.00% | +10.47% |
| 2020 | 02/11/2020 | 79.80 | neutral | +7.44% | +10.40% | +16.14% | +0.00% | +17.56% |
| 2019 | 01/11/2019 | 81.08 | neutral | +0.80% | -1.25% | -1.52% | -2.76% | +1.85% |
| 2018 | 02/11/2018 | 74.98 | volume x2.2 | -0.87% | +0.09% | +4.56% | -4.29% | +4.56% |
| 2017 | 02/11/2017 | 79.10 | volume x2.1 | -0.64% | -0.80% | +0.13% | -2.26% | +2.11% |
| 2016 | 02/11/2016 | 60.98 | near 52w low · volume x1.7 | +2.05% | +7.99% | +11.58% | -2.84% | +12.17% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+2.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -9.7% · from 52w low: +110.5%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +2.95% · +3.46% · +1.89% · -6.54% |
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +2.12% · +2.29% · +25.23% |
| Distance from 52w high / low | -9.72% · +110.50% |
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 5.80 · 0.02x |
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +3.64% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +3.62% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +5.49% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 209.81 · 209.48 · 171.10 |
| 52w high / low | 237.33 · 101.79 |