🕰️ Time Machine
ASML — ASML Holding
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
1,571.80 +0.72%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in window · in 1 days
26/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 20/10/2026
since -3.62%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 14/09/2026
1,572.84
Days: 29 trading / 39 calendar · return since: -0.07%
Last major high · 17/08/2026
1,896.35
Days: 48 trading / 67 calendar · return since: -17.11%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 14/09/2026 @ 1,572.84 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 13/10/2026 | -8 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 14/09/2026 @ 1,572.84 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 14/10/2026 | -9 (±2) | Passed |
| High 17/08/2026 @ 1,896.35 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 16/10/2026 | -7 (±2) | Passed |
| High 17/08/2026 @ 1,896.35 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 20/10/2026 | -3 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 14/09/2026 @ 1,572.84 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 26/10/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| Low 14/09/2026 @ 1,572.84 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 29/10/2026 | +6 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 17/08/2026 @ 1,896.35 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 10/11/2026 | +12 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 14/09/2026 @ 1,572.84 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 13/11/2026 | +21 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 17/08/2026 @ 1,896.35 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 15/11/2026 | +23 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 14/09/2026 @ 1,572.84 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 16/11/2026 | +16 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 14/09/2026 @ 1,572.84 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 08/12/2026 | +31 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 17/08/2026 @ 1,896.35 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 23/12/2026 | +42 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakdown 23/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 20/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 21/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 20/10/2026
● Gap Day 19/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 20/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 15/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 14/10/2026
● Hammer Reversal 13/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 13/10/2026
● Gap Day 13/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 13/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 06/10/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 13/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.12% · Win 56% · DD -6.22%20 days: Avg +5.13% · Win 78% · DD -6.62%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/10/2025 | 984.66 | far above SMA50 | +5.84% | +7.65% | +5.68% | -0.15% | +9.41% |
| 2024 | 14/10/2024 | 872.27 | volume x1.5 | -18.13% | -18.76% | -22.86% | -24.00% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 13/10/2023 | 599.75 | neutral | -3.28% | -1.63% | +10.54% | -3.28% | +10.54% |
| 2022 | 13/10/2022 | 405.40 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.2 | +7.86% | +17.02% | +38.75% | -6.48% | +38.75% |
| 2021 | 13/10/2021 | 744.42 | neutral | +3.13% | +7.60% | +10.15% | +0.00% | +14.54% |
| 2020 | 13/10/2020 | 405.15 | near 52w high | -4.98% | -9.57% | -1.06% | -10.85% | +0.68% |
| 2019 | 14/10/2019 | 261.64 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.46% | +1.86% | +2.38% | -3.01% | +4.86% |
| 2018 | 12/10/2018 | 174.28 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +0.85% | -4.63% | +0.70% | -9.25% | +6.16% |
| 2017 | 13/10/2017 | 176.30 | near 52w high | -0.61% | +1.49% | +1.87% | -2.59% | +4.89% |
Passed 14/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.99% · Win 56% · DD -5.50%20 days: Avg +6.54% · Win 78% · DD -5.81%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/10/2025 | 983.18 | far above SMA50 | +4.26% | +7.05% | +4.18% | +0.00% | +9.58% |
| 2024 | 14/10/2024 | 872.27 | volume x1.5 | -18.13% | -18.76% | -22.86% | -24.00% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 13/10/2023 | 599.75 | neutral | -3.28% | -1.63% | +10.54% | -3.28% | +10.54% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 379.13 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +21.92% | +29.03% | +52.50% | +0.00% | +52.50% |
| 2021 | 14/10/2021 | 778.29 | neutral | +1.19% | +4.48% | +7.36% | -1.36% | +9.56% |
| 2020 | 14/10/2020 | 398.03 | near 52w high | -3.78% | -8.84% | +5.44% | -9.25% | +5.44% |
| 2019 | 14/10/2019 | 261.64 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.46% | +1.86% | +2.38% | -3.01% | +4.86% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 173.35 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +1.72% | -5.76% | -2.51% | -8.76% | +6.73% |
| 2017 | 13/10/2017 | 176.30 | near 52w high | -0.61% | +1.49% | +1.87% | -2.59% | +4.89% |
Passed 16/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.03% · Win 67% · DD -3.34%20 days: Avg +8.25% · Win 78% · DD -3.68%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/10/2025 | 1,019.59 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.65% | +5.67% | +0.20% | -0.79% | +5.67% |
| 2024 | 16/10/2024 | 683.52 | far below SMA50 · volume x5.0 | +3.67% | +0.28% | -1.25% | -3.01% | +5.81% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 603.80 | neutral | -2.65% | -2.47% | +8.69% | -3.93% | +9.80% |
| 2022 | 17/10/2022 | 392.22 | far below SMA50 | +20.59% | +20.45% | +47.76% | +0.00% | +47.76% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 789.40 | neutral | +1.47% | +2.97% | +8.16% | -2.75% | +8.16% |
| 2020 | 16/10/2020 | 386.90 | neutral | -2.16% | -6.64% | +8.87% | -6.64% | +8.87% |
| 2019 | 16/10/2019 | 254.47 | volume x2.5 | +1.25% | +4.39% | +6.53% | -0.28% | +7.82% |
| 2018 | 16/10/2018 | 181.72 | neutral | -4.83% | -7.14% | -5.96% | -12.96% | +1.81% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 176.59 | near 52w high | +0.84% | +0.76% | +1.28% | -2.75% | +4.72% |
Passed 20/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.39% · Win 60% · DD -3.02%20 days: Avg +7.29% · Win 60% · DD -3.47%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/10/2025 | 1,042.15 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.71% | +2.55% | -1.95% | -3.20% | +3.38% |
| 2024 | 21/10/2024 | 714.10 | far below SMA50 | -0.76% | -5.80% | -6.63% | -7.55% | +0.95% |
| 2023 | 20/10/2023 | 580.10 | neutral | +1.71% | +11.02% | +18.57% | +0.00% | +18.57% |
| 2022 | 20/10/2022 | 437.27 | neutral | +8.49% | +0.91% | +35.11% | +0.00% | +37.05% |
| 2021 | 20/10/2021 | 767.70 | volume x1.6 | +4.34% | +8.40% | +12.24% | +0.00% | +12.38% |
| 2020 | 20/10/2020 | 384.96 | neutral | -4.83% | -2.98% | +11.22% | -6.17% | +11.22% |
| 2019 | 21/10/2019 | 260.43 | near 52w high | +2.33% | +5.35% | +5.46% | -1.97% | +6.04% |
| 2018 | 19/10/2018 | 175.76 | near 52w low | -5.43% | -0.44% | -3.85% | -10.01% | +0.95% |
| 2017 | 20/10/2017 | 175.22 | near 52w high | +2.12% | +5.34% | +2.92% | +0.00% | +5.54% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 105.28 | near 52w high | +0.32% | -0.50% | -0.18% | -5.78% | +0.32% |
In window 26/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.79% · Win 70% · DD -2.58%20 days: Avg +5.81% · Win 80% · DD -3.47%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 1,059.98 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.82% | -1.83% | -6.64% | -8.65% | +1.64% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 711.70 | far below SMA50 | -4.97% | -5.72% | -5.24% | -7.27% | +0.72% |
| 2023 | 26/10/2023 | 588.20 | neutral | +7.62% | +8.11% | +17.81% | +0.00% | +18.34% |
| 2022 | 26/10/2022 | 484.09 | neutral | -7.80% | +1.41% | +25.11% | -8.85% | +25.11% |
| 2021 | 26/10/2021 | 791.23 | neutral | +2.89% | +7.71% | +2.32% | +0.00% | +11.40% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 367.49 | neutral | -0.23% | +11.00% | +16.69% | -1.71% | +16.69% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 263.99 | near 52w high | +2.50% | +1.69% | +1.28% | -0.77% | +4.61% |
| 2018 | 26/10/2018 | 166.21 | far below SMA50 | +5.28% | +5.59% | +0.73% | -2.94% | +6.75% |
| 2017 | 26/10/2017 | 177.82 | near 52w high | +2.49% | +0.11% | +4.81% | +0.00% | +4.81% |
| 2016 | 26/10/2016 | 103.85 | near 52w high | +0.17% | -0.17% | +1.20% | -4.48% | +1.70% |
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.74% · Win 70% · DD -3.15%20 days: Avg +5.22% · Win 70% · DD -4.18%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/10/2025 | 1,070.84 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.53% | -3.13% | -2.79% | -9.74% | +0.43% |
| 2024 | 29/10/2024 | 715.14 | far below SMA50 | -5.41% | -6.43% | -6.04% | -7.93% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 30/10/2023 | 588.88 | neutral | +8.52% | +11.44% | +15.09% | +0.00% | +18.21% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 489.18 | neutral | -3.89% | +18.19% | +19.61% | -9.80% | +23.81% |
| 2021 | 29/10/2021 | 812.88 | neutral | +4.47% | +5.04% | +0.52% | -3.55% | +8.43% |
| 2020 | 29/10/2020 | 370.86 | neutral | +7.79% | +11.72% | +18.50% | -2.60% | +18.50% |
| 2019 | 29/10/2019 | 264.60 | near 52w high | +3.17% | +1.57% | +3.04% | -0.99% | +4.37% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 163.37 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +5.81% | +3.45% | +2.47% | -1.25% | +8.61% |
| 2017 | 30/10/2017 | 177.93 | near 52w high | +3.93% | +0.52% | +3.57% | -0.01% | +4.74% |
| 2016 | 28/10/2016 | 105.46 | near 52w high | -2.82% | -4.94% | -1.74% | -5.94% | +0.15% |
Upcoming 10/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.37% · Win 70% · DD -2.31%20 days: Avg +2.93% · Win 70% · DD -3.51%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/11/2025 | 1,038.79 | near 52w high | -1.81% | -4.91% | +6.99% | -6.95% | +9.83% |
| 2024 | 11/11/2024 | 671.31 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -0.91% | +1.96% | +5.06% | -1.92% | +7.24% |
| 2023 | 10/11/2023 | 661.28 | neutral | +3.75% | +4.10% | +7.40% | -1.01% | +7.40% |
| 2022 | 10/11/2022 | 560.79 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.0 | +5.04% | +5.54% | +6.58% | +0.00% | +9.00% |
| 2021 | 10/11/2021 | 817.85 | neutral | +5.09% | -1.89% | -5.53% | -7.51% | +7.49% |
| 2020 | 10/11/2020 | 399.30 | volume x1.5 | +6.81% | +6.25% | +13.42% | +0.00% | +17.64% |
| 2019 | 11/11/2019 | 266.72 | near 52w high | +2.53% | +1.66% | +4.65% | -0.70% | +5.01% |
| 2018 | 09/11/2018 | 175.50 | volume x1.6 | -3.71% | -4.60% | -7.99% | -9.10% | +1.23% |
| 2017 | 10/11/2017 | 179.60 | near 52w high | +0.41% | +2.85% | -2.49% | -5.72% | +3.77% |
| 2016 | 10/11/2016 | 101.40 | near 52w high | +1.14% | +2.70% | +1.24% | -2.17% | +3.87% |
Upcoming 13/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.72% · Win 80% · DD -2.33%20 days: Avg +3.26% · Win 70% · DD -3.27%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/11/2025 | 1,019.86 | neutral | -3.81% | +3.94% | +5.98% | -5.23% | +11.87% |
| 2024 | 13/11/2024 | 673.41 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -2.22% | -0.44% | +5.89% | -2.22% | +6.91% |
| 2023 | 13/11/2023 | 654.60 | neutral | +6.07% | +3.27% | +10.08% | +0.00% | +10.08% |
| 2022 | 14/11/2022 | 577.82 | far above SMA50 | +0.43% | +0.17% | +8.73% | -0.19% | +8.73% |
| 2021 | 12/11/2021 | 851.63 | near 52w high | +0.65% | -4.30% | -10.23% | -11.18% | +3.23% |
| 2020 | 13/11/2020 | 419.59 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.95% | +4.32% | +7.96% | +0.00% | +11.95% |
| 2019 | 13/11/2019 | 269.92 | near 52w high | -0.39% | +0.58% | +6.42% | -1.88% | +6.42% |
| 2018 | 13/11/2018 | 170.89 | neutral | -5.59% | +2.00% | -3.98% | -6.65% | +3.96% |
| 2017 | 13/11/2017 | 178.85 | near 52w high | +1.50% | +3.04% | -3.74% | -5.32% | +4.20% |
| 2016 | 14/11/2016 | 99.20 | near 52w low | +5.94% | +4.63% | +5.48% | +0.00% | +6.17% |
Upcoming 15/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.17% · Win 60% · DD -3.25%20 days: Avg +2.77% · Win 70% · DD -3.90%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/11/2025 | 1,006.98 | neutral | -4.01% | +8.04% | +8.03% | -4.01% | +13.30% |
| 2024 | 15/11/2024 | 658.63 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +2.16% | +8.02% | +9.68% | -0.03% | +9.68% |
| 2023 | 15/11/2023 | 678.00 | far above SMA50 | +1.00% | +0.85% | +11.17% | -0.30% | +11.17% |
| 2022 | 15/11/2022 | 597.47 | far above SMA50 | -0.21% | +1.78% | +3.08% | -3.48% | +5.16% |
| 2021 | 15/11/2021 | 856.72 | near 52w high | -3.61% | -7.61% | -11.94% | -11.94% | +2.61% |
| 2020 | 16/11/2020 | 426.51 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.15% | +5.33% | +10.03% | -0.74% | +10.13% |
| 2019 | 15/11/2019 | 274.97 | near 52w high | -3.18% | -3.41% | +6.55% | -3.68% | +6.55% |
| 2018 | 15/11/2018 | 176.79 | volume x1.6 | -7.43% | -3.08% | -9.16% | -9.76% | +0.49% |
| 2017 | 15/11/2017 | 177.91 | near 52w high | +2.86% | -1.34% | -3.37% | -4.82% | +4.76% |
| 2016 | 15/11/2016 | 100.02 | near 52w low | +5.30% | +3.11% | +3.61% | -0.24% | +5.30% |
Upcoming 16/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.90% · Win 60% · DD -2.96%20 days: Avg +3.22% · Win 70% · DD -3.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/11/2025 | 1,020.00 | neutral | -3.15% | +8.70% | +5.50% | -5.24% | +11.85% |
| 2024 | 15/11/2024 | 658.63 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +2.16% | +8.02% | +9.68% | -0.03% | +9.68% |
| 2023 | 16/11/2023 | 680.87 | far above SMA50 | +1.51% | +1.66% | +10.59% | -0.72% | +10.70% |
| 2022 | 16/11/2022 | 576.70 | far above SMA50 | +4.71% | +5.99% | +1.67% | +0.00% | +8.94% |
| 2021 | 16/11/2021 | 860.55 | near 52w high | -6.17% | -6.57% | -7.94% | -12.34% | +2.16% |
| 2020 | 16/11/2020 | 426.51 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.15% | +5.33% | +10.03% | -0.74% | +10.13% |
| 2019 | 15/11/2019 | 274.97 | near 52w high | -3.18% | -3.41% | +6.55% | -3.68% | +6.55% |
| 2018 | 16/11/2018 | 168.99 | volume x2.2 | -0.92% | +5.13% | -3.79% | -5.60% | +5.13% |
| 2017 | 16/11/2017 | 181.79 | near 52w high · volume x2.5 | +2.52% | -5.15% | -4.40% | -6.85% | +2.52% |
| 2016 | 16/11/2016 | 100.70 | near 52w low | +4.37% | -0.71% | +4.30% | -0.91% | +4.59% |
Upcoming 08/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.46% · Win 60% · DD -3.54%20 days: Avg +4.44% · Win 80% · DD -4.38%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/12/2025 | 1,119.69 | near 52w high | -2.85% | -5.60% | +9.72% | -9.31% | +10.94% |
| 2024 | 09/12/2024 | 706.52 | neutral | +2.24% | +2.06% | +5.30% | -1.90% | +8.77% |
| 2023 | 08/12/2023 | 696.43 | neutral | +8.12% | +8.06% | +2.80% | +0.00% | +9.71% |
| 2022 | 08/12/2022 | 606.89 | far above SMA50 | -3.39% | -8.39% | +2.38% | -12.40% | +3.52% |
| 2021 | 08/12/2021 | 803.92 | neutral | -1.46% | -1.47% | -5.08% | -7.25% | +0.93% |
| 2020 | 08/12/2020 | 468.57 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.16% | +1.62% | +7.01% | -3.40% | +7.85% |
| 2019 | 09/12/2019 | 277.52 | near 52w high | +5.57% | +6.71% | +8.78% | +0.00% | +9.12% |
| 2018 | 07/12/2018 | 159.53 | near 52w low | +0.94% | -6.95% | -1.94% | -9.10% | +3.57% |
| 2017 | 08/12/2017 | 171.98 | neutral | +1.06% | +1.88% | +6.31% | -0.04% | +6.89% |
| 2016 | 08/12/2016 | 103.11 | near 52w high | +1.86% | +6.66% | +9.10% | -0.44% | +9.10% |
Upcoming 23/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.76% · Win 80% · DD -2.37%20 days: Avg +11.61% · Win 80% · DD -3.12%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/12/2025 | 1,061.84 | neutral | +0.76% | +12.48% | +30.81% | +0.00% | +31.38% |
| 2024 | 23/12/2024 | 721.04 | neutral | -3.88% | +3.18% | +1.55% | -3.88% | +6.58% |
| 2023 | 22/12/2023 | 752.53 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -4.73% | -4.86% | +12.59% | -6.94% | +12.59% |
| 2022 | 23/12/2022 | 551.37 | neutral | -0.33% | +14.88% | +23.61% | -3.58% | +23.61% |
| 2021 | 23/12/2021 | 801.41 | neutral | -0.66% | -5.65% | -14.22% | -14.22% | +1.25% |
| 2020 | 23/12/2020 | 474.62 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.76% | +7.19% | +19.59% | +0.00% | +20.25% |
| 2019 | 23/12/2019 | 296.14 | near 52w high | -0.07% | +1.94% | -0.61% | -0.61% | +2.26% |
| 2018 | 24/12/2018 | 145.01 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +7.79% | +12.35% | +16.47% | +0.00% | +16.47% |
| 2017 | 22/12/2017 | 175.22 | neutral | +1.43% | +4.35% | +15.43% | -1.22% | +17.30% |
| 2016 | 23/12/2016 | 110.73 | near 52w high | -0.25% | +1.73% | +10.88% | -0.73% | +11.05% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-8.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -21.4% · from 52w low: +66.1%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -4.25% · -11.71% · -9.87% · -4.82% |
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| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -9.27% · -8.76% · -1.02% |
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| Distance from 52w high / low | -21.41% · +66.13% |
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| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 59.10 · 0.66x |
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Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -4.48% |
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| vs SPY (20d) | -8.40% |
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| vs SMH (20d) | +3.21% |
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Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 1,732.31 · 1,722.73 · 1,587.99 |
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| 52w high / low | 1,999.96 · 946.11 |
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