🕰️ Time Machine
AVAX-USD — Avalanche
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 28/10/2026
Last price (Close)
8.97 +0.23%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in window · in 1 days
29/10/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 20/10/2026
since -7.90%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 01/08/2026
6.06
Days: 88 trading / 88 calendar · return since: +48.09%
Last major high · 29/09/2026
11.98
Days: 29 trading / 29 calendar · return since: -25.08%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 29/09/2026 @ 11.98 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 20/10/2026 | -8 (±1) | Passed |
| High 29/09/2026 @ 11.98 | Fib 21 | Calendar | 📅 20/10/2026 | -8 (±1) | Passed |
| High 29/09/2026 @ 11.98 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 29/10/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| High 29/09/2026 @ 11.98 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 29/10/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| Low 01/08/2026 @ 6.06 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 30/10/2026 | +2 (±3) | In window |
| Low 01/08/2026 @ 6.06 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 30/10/2026 | +2 (±3) | In window |
| High 29/09/2026 @ 11.98 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 13/11/2026 | +16 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 29/09/2026 @ 11.98 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 13/11/2026 | +16 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 29/09/2026 @ 11.98 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 28/11/2026 | +31 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 29/09/2026 @ 11.98 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 28/11/2026 | +31 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 01/08/2026 @ 6.06 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 29/11/2026 | +32 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 01/08/2026 @ 6.06 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 29/11/2026 | +32 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 25/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 29/10/2026
● Hammer Reversal 24/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 20/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 24/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 20/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 19/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 20/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 17/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 20/10/2026
● Hammer Reversal 15/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 20/10/2026
● Doji After Run 15/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 20/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 14/10/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 20/10/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.43% · Win 50% · DD -4.53%20 days: Avg +9.43% · Win 50% · DD -12.33%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/10/2025 | 20.36 | far below SMA50 | -3.10% | -10.93% | -12.67% | -21.28% | +2.35% |
| 2024 | 20/10/2024 | 28.94 | far above SMA50 | -13.97% | -9.46% | +5.12% | -21.53% | +5.12% |
| 2023 | 20/10/2023 | 9.22 | neutral | +13.97% | +24.19% | +40.67% | +0.00% | +41.85% |
| 2022 | 20/10/2022 | 15.19 | far below SMA50 | +9.75% | +20.27% | -14.94% | -14.94% | +29.08% |
| 2021 | 20/10/2021 | 59.56 | neutral | +17.23% | +4.79% | +48.51% | +0.00% | +53.10% |
| 2020 | 20/10/2020 | 3.80 | neutral | +9.23% | -2.30% | -10.13% | -16.24% | +13.47% |
In window 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.15% · Win 50% · DD -11.03%20 days: Avg +20.80% · Win 50% · DD -15.14%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/10/2025 | 19.66 | far below SMA50 | -15.28% | -11.09% | -25.86% | -26.23% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 29/10/2024 | 26.85 | neutral | -12.33% | +7.18% | +32.03% | -15.43% | +33.19% |
| 2023 | 29/10/2023 | 11.36 | far above SMA50 | +6.60% | +14.62% | +93.60% | -0.33% | +93.60% |
| 2022 | 29/10/2022 | 18.31 | neutral | -1.42% | -12.65% | -29.05% | -29.60% | +7.07% |
| 2021 | 29/10/2021 | 64.77 | neutral | +16.45% | +40.78% | +54.78% | -3.64% | +66.43% |
| 2020 | 29/10/2020 | 3.78 | neutral | -11.72% | -7.91% | -0.71% | -15.65% | +1.50% |
In window 30/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.31% · Win 50% · DD -11.60%20 days: Avg +26.12% · Win 50% · DD -13.25%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/10/2025 | 18.13 | far below SMA50 | -11.62% | -1.96% | -21.32% | -21.32% | +4.01% |
| 2024 | 30/10/2024 | 26.20 | neutral | -13.33% | +16.11% | +30.83% | -13.33% | +36.49% |
| 2023 | 30/10/2023 | 11.45 | far above SMA50 | +6.68% | +13.27% | +99.60% | -1.12% | +99.60% |
| 2022 | 30/10/2022 | 18.27 | neutral | +6.19% | -29.28% | -29.47% | -29.47% | +7.32% |
| 2021 | 30/10/2021 | 62.42 | neutral | +27.04% | +41.72% | +79.48% | +0.00% | +79.48% |
| 2020 | 30/10/2020 | 3.71 | volume x2.0 | -14.27% | -8.02% | -2.37% | -14.27% | +3.14% |
Upcoming 13/11/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +12.00% · Win 67% · DD -7.10%20 days: Avg +16.41% · Win 83% · DD -7.56%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/11/2025 | 16.16 | far below SMA50 | -9.83% | -17.84% | -8.34% | -20.94% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 13/11/2024 | 33.13 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.9 | +6.99% | +25.22% | +53.92% | -5.95% | +57.89% |
| 2023 | 13/11/2023 | 16.22 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.2 | +35.61% | +27.45% | +35.44% | +0.00% | +40.94% |
| 2022 | 13/11/2022 | 13.05 | far below SMA50 | -0.48% | -0.16% | +2.91% | -9.33% | +4.09% |
| 2021 | 13/11/2021 | 97.26 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.08% | +27.32% | +11.18% | -3.81% | +38.32% |
| 2020 | 13/11/2020 | 3.70 | neutral | +1.38% | +10.02% | +3.36% | -5.34% | +15.39% |
Upcoming 28/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +7.31% · Win 50% · DD -8.42%20 days: Avg +11.71% · Win 33% · DD -11.76%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/11/2025 | 14.85 | far below SMA50 | -0.26% | -8.16% | -23.01% | -23.01% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 28/11/2024 | 42.84 | far above SMA50 | +19.05% | +25.89% | -0.08% | -0.08% | +25.89% |
| 2023 | 28/11/2023 | 20.65 | far above SMA50 | +6.37% | +48.34% | +98.81% | +0.00% | +103.75% |
| 2022 | 28/11/2022 | 12.46 | far below SMA50 | +7.81% | +7.62% | -4.30% | -4.90% | +11.78% |
| 2021 | 28/11/2021 | 110.59 | far above SMA50 | -2.22% | -15.70% | +4.91% | -28.43% | +8.82% |
| 2020 | 28/11/2020 | 3.62 | neutral | +5.45% | -14.12% | -6.06% | -14.12% | +5.45% |
Upcoming 29/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.51% · Win 67% · DD -9.21%20 days: Avg +5.98% · Win 17% · DD -15.34%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/11/2025 | 14.24 | far below SMA50 | +1.08% | +2.53% | -14.01% | -19.73% | +3.99% |
| 2024 | 29/11/2024 | 44.92 | far above SMA50 | +17.57% | +0.68% | -13.39% | -13.39% | +20.05% |
| 2023 | 29/11/2023 | 21.09 | far above SMA50 | +7.33% | +50.89% | +88.85% | +0.00% | +99.57% |
| 2022 | 29/11/2022 | 12.47 | far below SMA50 | +11.65% | +7.85% | -8.74% | -8.74% | +11.65% |
| 2021 | 29/11/2021 | 120.26 | far above SMA50 | -22.77% | -28.93% | -10.46% | -34.18% | +0.07% |
| 2020 | 29/11/2020 | 3.70 | neutral | -4.14% | -11.94% | -6.34% | -15.97% | +3.17% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-7.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -25.1% · from 52w low: +57.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -0.81% · -8.12% · -10.94% · +22.39% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -7.22% · -7.81% · +9.81% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -25.08% · +57.62% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.43 · 0.91x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -8.86% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -12.13% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -4.06% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 9.67 · 9.73 · 8.17 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 11.98 · 5.69 |
|---|
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