🕰️ Time Machine
AVAX-USD — Avalanche
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 30/07/2026
Last price (Close)
6.44 +0.30%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in 4 days
03/08/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 25/07/2026
since -4.81%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 19/06/2026
5.69
Days: 41 trading / 41 calendar · return since: +13.11%
Last major high · 04/07/2026
7.09
Days: 26 trading / 26 calendar · return since: -9.20%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 04/07/2026 @ 7.09 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 25/07/2026 | -5 (±1) | Passed |
| High 04/07/2026 @ 7.09 | Fib 21 | Calendar | 📅 25/07/2026 | -5 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 19/06/2026 @ 5.69 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 03/08/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 19/06/2026 @ 5.69 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 03/08/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 04/07/2026 @ 7.09 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 03/08/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 04/07/2026 @ 7.09 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 03/08/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 19/06/2026 @ 5.69 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 18/08/2026 | +19 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 19/06/2026 @ 5.69 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 18/08/2026 | +19 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 04/07/2026 @ 7.09 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 18/08/2026 | +19 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 04/07/2026 @ 7.09 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 18/08/2026 | +19 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 04/07/2026 @ 7.09 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 02/09/2026 | +34 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 04/07/2026 @ 7.09 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 02/09/2026 | +34 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 30/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 03/08/2026
● Hammer Reversal 24/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 25/07/2026
● Failed Breakdown 24/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 25/07/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 23/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 25/07/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 20/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 25/07/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 25/07/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +0.02% · Win 40% · DD -8.75%20 days: Avg +12.67% · Win 40% · DD -10.17%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/07/2025 | 24.00 | far above SMA50 | -2.92% | -3.81% | -1.39% | -13.06% | +8.27% |
| 2024 | 25/07/2024 | 27.26 | neutral | -3.37% | -22.12% | -23.06% | -28.28% | +5.33% |
| 2023 | 25/07/2023 | 13.35 | neutral | -1.63% | -7.10% | -7.43% | -8.03% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 25/07/2022 | 20.98 | neutral | +15.51% | +11.44% | +34.52% | -1.47% | +39.89% |
| 2021 | 25/07/2021 | 11.24 | neutral | +15.67% | +21.70% | +60.73% | +0.00% | +60.73% |
Upcoming 03/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +16.52% · Win 60% · DD -3.04%20 days: Avg +59.04% · Win 80% · DD -7.15%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/08/2025 | 21.38 | neutral | +11.31% | +19.42% | +22.64% | +0.00% | +22.64% |
| 2024 | 03/08/2024 | 22.68 | far below SMA50 | +0.24% | -5.64% | +16.91% | -13.82% | +16.91% |
| 2023 | 03/08/2023 | 12.45 | neutral | +1.97% | -1.38% | -16.95% | -18.60% | +1.97% |
| 2022 | 03/08/2022 | 23.07 | far above SMA50 | +21.14% | +26.16% | +1.96% | -3.33% | +27.18% |
| 2021 | 03/08/2021 | 12.53 | neutral | +18.20% | +44.01% | +270.62% | +0.00% | +270.62% |
Upcoming 18/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +11.53% · Win 60% · DD -7.34%20 days: Avg +1.28% · Win 60% · DD -7.98%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/08/2025 | 23.70 | neutral | +10.62% | +5.02% | +4.19% | -5.78% | +10.62% |
| 2024 | 18/08/2024 | 20.82 | far below SMA50 | +27.38% | +12.70% | +4.70% | +0.00% | +30.48% |
| 2023 | 18/08/2023 | 10.80 | far below SMA50 | -4.29% | -4.00% | -6.75% | -9.24% | +0.68% |
| 2022 | 18/08/2022 | 24.26 | neutral | -3.02% | -24.02% | -21.54% | -24.89% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 18/08/2021 | 29.89 | far above SMA50 · volume x6.2 | +55.40% | +67.93% | +25.79% | +0.00% | +85.16% |
Upcoming 02/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +11.24% · Win 80% · DD -7.83%20 days: Avg +19.74% · Win 60% · DD -10.32%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 24.45 | neutral | +0.98% | +18.51% | +37.94% | -0.88% | +44.08% |
| 2024 | 02/09/2024 | 22.37 | neutral | -2.55% | +7.42% | +22.21% | -5.46% | +24.49% |
| 2023 | 02/09/2023 | 9.91 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +1.60% | -7.02% | -10.58% | -10.95% | +1.60% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 18.86 | far below SMA50 | +0.91% | +13.19% | -6.20% | -11.89% | +13.19% |
| 2021 | 02/09/2021 | 47.76 | far above SMA50 | -21.27% | +24.09% | +55.35% | -22.42% | +55.35% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-1.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -57.8% · from 52w low: +13.1%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -4.81% · -2.07% · -4.41% · -28.12% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -1.33% · -1.84% · -27.02% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -57.75% · +13.11% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.25 · 0.94x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +1.64% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -3.37% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +8.70% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 6.53 · 6.56 · 8.82 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 15.24 · 5.69 |
|---|
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