🕰️ Time Machine

AVAX-USD — Avalanche

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 15/06/2026

Last price (Close)
6.90 +1.83%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in 9 days
24/06/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 09/06/2026
since +3.92%
Trend
Strong downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 29/03/2026
8.43
Days: 78 trading / 78 calendar · return since: -18.16%
Last major high · 10/05/2026
10.47
Days: 36 trading / 36 calendar · return since: -34.13%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 10/05/2026 @ 10.47Cycle 30Trading📅 09/06/2026-6 (±2)Passed
High 10/05/2026 @ 10.47Cycle 30Calendar📅 09/06/2026-6 (±2)Passed
High 10/05/2026 @ 10.47Cycle 45Trading📅 24/06/2026+9 (±2)Upcoming
High 10/05/2026 @ 10.47Cycle 45Calendar📅 24/06/2026+9 (±2)Upcoming
Low 29/03/2026 @ 8.43Cycle 90Trading📅 27/06/2026+12 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/03/2026 @ 8.43Cycle 90Calendar📅 27/06/2026+12 (±3)Upcoming
High 10/05/2026 @ 10.47Cycle 60Trading📅 09/07/2026+24 (±2)Upcoming
High 10/05/2026 @ 10.47Cycle 60Calendar📅 09/07/2026+24 (±2)Upcoming
Low 29/03/2026 @ 8.43Cycle 120Trading📅 27/07/2026+42 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/03/2026 @ 8.43Cycle 120Calendar📅 27/07/2026+42 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Bullish Engulfing 13/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 09/06/2026
Hammer Reversal 08/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 09/06/2026
NR7 Compression 08/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 09/06/2026
Bullish Engulfing 07/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 09/06/2026
Doji After Run 06/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 09/06/2026
Failed Breakdown 03/06/2026
Bullish Engulfing 30/05/2026
Failed Breakdown 28/05/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 09/06/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -19.83% · Win 0% · DD -21.31%20 days: Avg -17.87% · Win 0% · DD -27.92%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/06/202521.95neutral-13.63%-17.71%-14.62%-24.84%+2.69%
202409/06/202432.97neutral-8.12%-18.43%-15.90%-24.68%+0.93%
202309/06/202313.77far below SMA50-17.44%-16.80%-7.92%-17.62%+0.00%
202209/06/202224.41far below SMA50-32.24%-33.68%-27.91%-39.20%+0.00%
202109/06/202115.39far below SMA50-2.74%-12.54%-22.98%-33.25%+0.00%
Upcoming 24/06/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -1.79% · Win 40% · DD -9.02%20 days: Avg +6.82% · Win 80% · DD -9.02%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/06/202518.23far below SMA50+2.83%-2.37%+16.76%-6.15%+16.76%
202424/06/202424.83far below SMA50+11.66%-1.55%+6.19%-1.55%+18.24%
202324/06/202313.02neutral-2.67%+0.13%+12.43%-5.14%+12.43%
202224/06/202220.55far below SMA50-14.36%-12.70%-3.99%-21.72%+3.98%
202124/06/202111.48far below SMA50+3.21%+7.55%+2.69%-10.56%+16.32%
Upcoming 27/06/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +3.13% · Win 60% · DD -7.64%20 days: Avg +9.88% · Win 80% · DD -7.75%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/06/202517.58far below SMA50+5.31%+2.43%+35.74%-2.69%+35.74%
202427/06/202427.90far below SMA50+2.68%-7.85%-2.30%-12.36%+5.25%
202327/06/202313.21neutral-0.65%-3.52%+9.22%-6.43%+12.34%
202227/06/202219.32far below SMA50-15.43%+4.74%+6.66%-16.73%+9.80%
202127/06/202110.92far below SMA50+1.96%+19.88%+0.08%-0.53%+22.33%
Upcoming 09/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.81% · Win 67% · DD -9.84%20 days: Avg +4.84% · Win 50% · DD -12.82%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/07/202519.51volume x1.6+9.09%+25.68%+24.84%+0.00%+33.22%
202409/07/202426.42far below SMA50-0.20%+6.69%+2.50%-4.53%+23.41%
202309/07/202313.61neutral+7.62%+2.93%-2.65%-4.28%+9.02%
202209/07/202219.92neutral-0.95%+24.19%+23.11%-15.43%+25.73%
202109/07/202112.54far below SMA50-6.00%-18.93%-1.00%-23.07%+0.00%
202013/07/20204.90near 52w high-3.76%-11.72%-17.76%-29.60%+6.91%
Upcoming 27/07/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -1.42% · Win 40% · DD -11.63%20 days: Avg +5.92% · Win 40% · DD -13.19%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/07/202525.99far above SMA50-17.05%-14.47%-6.45%-19.70%+0.00%
202427/07/202428.08neutral-8.41%-25.66%-27.38%-30.39%+0.00%
202327/07/202313.14neutral-2.02%-4.33%-13.49%-13.49%+0.80%
202227/07/202223.42far above SMA50+1.03%+13.84%+15.99%-2.38%+25.30%
202127/07/202111.92neutral+8.03%+23.54%+60.93%+0.00%+60.93%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-20.4%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -77.5% · from 52w low: +10.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+8.03% · +2.87% · -24.43% · -29.07%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-8.63% · -20.44% · -33.21%
Distance from 52w high / low-77.53% · +10.37%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.44 · 0.81x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-24.64%
vs SPY (20d)-23.57%
vs SMH (20d)-31.62%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 2007.55 · 8.67 · 10.33
52w high / low30.71 · 6.25