🕰️ Time Machine
AVAX-USD — Avalanche
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 13/09/2026
Last price (Close)
7.37 -0.36%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 2 days
15/09/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 12/09/2026
since -0.36%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 01/08/2026
6.06
Days: 43 trading / 43 calendar · return since: +21.69%
Last major high · 22/08/2026
8.30
Days: 22 trading / 22 calendar · return since: -11.15%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 22/08/2026 @ 8.30 | Fib 13 | Trading | 📅 04/09/2026 | -9 (±1) | Passed |
| High 22/08/2026 @ 8.30 | Fib 13 | Calendar | 📅 04/09/2026 | -9 (±1) | Passed |
| High 22/08/2026 @ 8.30 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 12/09/2026 | -1 (±1) | In window |
| High 22/08/2026 @ 8.30 | Fib 21 | Calendar | 📅 12/09/2026 | -1 (±1) | In window |
| Low 01/08/2026 @ 6.06 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 15/09/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| Low 01/08/2026 @ 6.06 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 15/09/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| High 22/08/2026 @ 8.30 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 21/09/2026 | +8 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 22/08/2026 @ 8.30 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 21/09/2026 | +8 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 01/08/2026 @ 6.06 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 30/09/2026 | +17 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 01/08/2026 @ 6.06 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 30/09/2026 | +17 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 22/08/2026 @ 8.30 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 06/10/2026 | +23 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 22/08/2026 @ 8.30 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 06/10/2026 | +23 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 22/08/2026 @ 8.30 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 21/10/2026 | +38 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 22/08/2026 @ 8.30 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 21/10/2026 | +38 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bearish Engulfing 12/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 12/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 12/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 12/09/2026
● Doji After Run 11/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 12/09/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 05/09/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 04/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 30/08/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 04/09/2026
● Hammer Reversal 29/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 04/09/2026 · High Fib 13/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +8.64% · Win 80% · DD -6.99%20 days: Avg +19.90% · Win 60% · DD -9.55%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/09/2025 | 24.24 | neutral | +7.01% | +21.68% | +33.46% | +0.00% | +45.37% |
| 2024 | 04/09/2024 | 21.90 | neutral | +8.95% | +15.67% | +30.06% | -3.44% | +30.06% |
| 2023 | 04/09/2023 | 9.80 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +0.45% | -4.14% | -10.34% | -10.34% | +2.75% |
| 2022 | 04/09/2022 | 19.01 | far below SMA50 | +7.34% | +0.61% | -7.27% | -12.56% | +12.33% |
| 2021 | 04/09/2021 | 47.14 | far above SMA50 | -13.51% | +9.41% | +53.58% | -21.41% | +62.10% |
In window 12/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +6.88% · Win 60% · DD -8.29%20 days: Avg +1.63% · Win 80% · DD -8.68%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/09/2025 | 28.98 | far above SMA50 | +9.62% | +16.40% | +7.06% | -1.10% | +21.58% |
| 2024 | 12/09/2024 | 24.03 | neutral | -1.13% | +13.77% | +5.63% | -2.12% | +26.72% |
| 2023 | 12/09/2023 | 9.22 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -1.19% | -3.83% | +1.20% | -4.65% | +5.68% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 21.35 | volume x1.9 | -13.42% | -17.13% | -22.55% | -22.55% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 12/09/2021 | 59.26 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.9 | +18.01% | +25.19% | +16.81% | -12.96% | +28.96% |
In window 15/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +3.87% · Win 40% · DD -4.48%20 days: Avg +4.75% · Win 80% · DD -4.57%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/09/2025 | 29.84 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.5 | +11.20% | -3.97% | +0.81% | -3.97% | +18.05% |
| 2024 | 15/09/2024 | 23.84 | neutral | +15.78% | +14.48% | +7.77% | -1.34% | +27.74% |
| 2023 | 15/09/2023 | 9.43 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -4.05% | -5.15% | +7.45% | -6.81% | +7.45% |
| 2022 | 15/09/2022 | 18.19 | far below SMA50 | -8.35% | -4.70% | -4.47% | -9.09% | +1.63% |
| 2021 | 15/09/2021 | 57.63 | far above SMA50 | -1.64% | +18.67% | +12.19% | -1.64% | +32.61% |
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.04% · Win 50% · DD -7.64%20 days: Avg -9.52% · Win 17% · DD -15.61%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/09/2025 | 33.05 | far above SMA50 | -11.93% | -7.09% | -35.03% | -37.26% | +2.06% |
| 2024 | 21/09/2024 | 27.85 | far above SMA50 | +4.69% | -7.11% | -1.55% | -11.47% | +9.34% |
| 2023 | 21/09/2023 | 8.83 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +2.45% | +10.34% | +5.40% | -0.44% | +20.73% |
| 2022 | 21/09/2022 | 16.62 | far below SMA50 | +5.56% | +2.12% | -4.01% | -4.01% | +8.07% |
| 2021 | 21/09/2021 | 59.02 | far above SMA50 | +13.29% | +14.49% | -6.29% | -6.29% | +29.49% |
| 2020 | 22/09/2020 | 5.23 | neutral | -11.64% | -24.98% | -15.64% | -34.15% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 30/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -10.37% · Win 17% · DD -13.85%20 days: Avg -10.43% · Win 17% · DD -16.53%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/09/2025 | 30.00 | far above SMA50 | +0.27% | -30.90% | -32.15% | -33.49% | +4.52% |
| 2024 | 30/09/2024 | 27.74 | far above SMA50 | -7.38% | -6.79% | +4.31% | -11.12% | +5.16% |
| 2023 | 30/09/2023 | 9.24 | neutral | +9.61% | +3.13% | -0.24% | -3.55% | +15.29% |
| 2022 | 30/09/2022 | 17.20 | far below SMA50 | +1.03% | -5.57% | -11.68% | -12.15% | +1.42% |
| 2021 | 30/09/2021 | 66.77 | far above SMA50 | -3.17% | -15.24% | -10.79% | -18.58% | +3.68% |
| 2020 | 30/09/2020 | 4.32 | neutral | -7.97% | -6.84% | -12.04% | -20.26% | +3.83% |
Upcoming 06/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -6.15% · Win 33% · DD -12.13%20 days: Avg -0.35% · Win 50% · DD -14.24%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/10/2025 | 30.71 | far above SMA50 | -30.08% | -31.76% | -32.16% | -38.08% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 06/10/2024 | 26.93 | neutral | +1.81% | +4.14% | -5.73% | -7.56% | +8.33% |
| 2023 | 06/10/2023 | 10.66 | volume x1.6 | -12.69% | -11.58% | +3.71% | -16.34% | +3.71% |
| 2022 | 06/10/2022 | 17.04 | far below SMA50 | -6.37% | -7.53% | -0.13% | -11.33% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 06/10/2021 | 60.11 | neutral | -8.00% | -4.38% | +14.57% | -9.58% | +16.15% |
| 2020 | 06/10/2020 | 3.54 | near 52w low | +15.78% | +14.21% | +17.62% | -2.57% | +26.87% |
Upcoming 21/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.43% · Win 50% · DD -4.27%20 days: Avg +14.79% · Win 50% · DD -12.27%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/10/2025 | 19.56 | far below SMA50 | +6.54% | -6.98% | -7.11% | -18.07% | +6.54% |
| 2024 | 21/10/2024 | 27.75 | neutral | -8.52% | -9.85% | +15.25% | -18.18% | +15.25% |
| 2023 | 21/10/2023 | 9.64 | neutral | +14.67% | +17.48% | +53.01% | +0.00% | +53.01% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 15.69 | far below SMA50 | +8.44% | +23.08% | -1.94% | -17.67% | +24.94% |
| 2021 | 21/10/2021 | 61.31 | neutral | +12.33% | +4.86% | +39.12% | +0.00% | +48.73% |
| 2020 | 21/10/2020 | 3.97 | volume x1.8 | +4.92% | -8.01% | -9.58% | -19.70% | +8.79% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+5.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -50.5% · from 52w low: +29.5%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -7.88% · -1.92% · -2.16% · +10.12% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -1.44% · +5.70% · -7.99% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -50.54% · +29.51% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.29 · 0.76x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +0.18% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -0.42% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +1.33% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 7.48 · 6.98 · 8.01 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 14.91 · 5.69 |
|---|
עבריתSign in with Google