🕰️ Time Machine

BNY — BNY Mellon

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026

Last price (Close)
158.14 -1.23%
Next window · Cycle 144 · in 4 days
31/07/2026
Last window · Cycle 90 · 17/07/2026
since +0.64%
Trend
Strong uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 09/03/2026
111.71
Days: 95 trading / 140 calendar · return since: +41.56%
Last major high · 21/04/2026
139.15
Days: 65 trading / 97 calendar · return since: +13.65%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 09/03/2026 @ 111.71Cycle 90Trading📅 17/07/2026-5 (±3)Passed
High 21/04/2026 @ 139.15Cycle 60Trading📅 17/07/2026-5 (±2)Passed
High 21/04/2026 @ 139.15Cycle 90Calendar📅 20/07/2026-7 (±3)Passed
Low 09/03/2026 @ 111.71Cycle 144Calendar📅 31/07/2026+4 (±3)Upcoming
High 21/04/2026 @ 139.15Cycle 120Calendar📅 19/08/2026+23 (±3)Upcoming
Low 09/03/2026 @ 111.71Cycle 120Trading📅 31/08/2026+25 (±3)Upcoming
High 21/04/2026 @ 139.15Cycle 90Trading📅 31/08/2026+25 (±3)Upcoming
Low 09/03/2026 @ 111.71Cycle 180Calendar📅 05/09/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 23/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 20/07/2026
Bullish Engulfing 14/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 17/07/2026
Failed Breakout 14/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 17/07/2026
Failed Breakout 09/07/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 17/07/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.76% · Win 78% · DD -1.21%20 days: Avg +2.41% · Win 67% · DD -2.39%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/07/202597.92near 52w high+2.09%+4.16%+6.11%+0.00%+6.37%
202417/07/202464.09near 52w high · volume x1.6+0.46%+2.30%+0.79%-3.44%+2.74%
202317/07/202343.54volume x1.6+4.52%+5.15%+4.73%+0.00%+7.40%
202218/07/202242.77neutral+1.45%+2.08%+5.43%-0.70%+5.88%
202116/07/202149.38volume x1.8+1.19%+4.66%+9.84%-3.65%+11.92%
202017/07/202036.12neutral+1.16%+0.10%+4.79%-0.50%+6.50%
201917/07/201944.12near 52w low+6.75%+7.05%-4.27%-4.27%+8.60%
201817/07/201854.05neutral+0.26%-0.55%-5.20%-6.75%+2.94%
201717/07/201753.35near 52w high · volume x1.8+0.22%-0.15%-0.52%-2.18%+1.76%
Passed 20/07/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.07% · Win 100% · DD -0.59%20 days: Avg +1.65% · Win 56% · DD -2.22%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/07/202598.60near 52w high+2.60%+3.40%+3.73%+0.00%+5.64%
202419/07/202462.69near 52w high+5.03%+1.45%+5.45%-1.29%+5.45%
202320/07/202345.63neutral-0.15%+0.77%-2.46%-2.46%+2.48%
202220/07/202243.13neutral+0.27%+2.21%+4.79%-1.53%+5.30%
202120/07/202149.44neutral+2.21%+5.90%+9.56%+0.00%+11.78%
202020/07/202035.94neutral+0.32%+1.11%+4.08%+0.00%+7.03%
201919/07/201945.27volume x1.5+5.84%+2.35%-5.88%-7.34%+5.84%
201820/07/201852.46volume x2.6+1.81%+1.12%-0.95%-3.92%+3.30%
201720/07/201753.91near 52w high · volume x1.7-1.95%+0.29%-3.48%-3.48%+0.70%
Upcoming 31/07/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.03% · Win 50% · DD -2.84%20 days: Avg +0.65% · Win 50% · DD -3.91%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202531/07/2025101.45near 52w high+0.75%+1.87%+4.58%-1.62%+4.58%
202431/07/202465.07near 52w high-5.18%-1.48%+2.97%-5.61%+3.29%
202331/07/202345.36neutral+2.14%-0.40%-2.45%-5.62%+2.14%
202201/08/202243.29neutral-0.49%+3.28%-3.53%-3.53%+4.02%
202130/07/202151.33near 52w high+3.57%+4.95%+9.90%-0.10%+9.90%
202031/07/202035.85neutral+5.30%+4.69%+4.77%-0.33%+6.39%
201931/07/201946.92neutral-4.67%-10.57%-12.51%-12.72%+0.00%
201831/07/201853.47neutral-0.99%-4.68%-1.08%-6.23%+0.00%
201731/07/201753.03near 52w high+1.28%-0.38%-1.43%-2.32%+1.90%
201601/08/201639.20near 52w high+3.55%+2.45%+5.26%-1.02%+5.26%
Upcoming 19/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.05% · Win 80% · DD -1.76%20 days: Avg +1.55% · Win 50% · DD -2.81%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202519/08/2025101.08near 52w high+3.47%+3.56%+5.87%+0.00%+5.87%
202419/08/202465.74near 52w high+1.92%+3.27%+7.71%-0.76%+7.71%
202318/08/202344.02neutral-0.66%+3.18%+1.77%-2.75%+4.09%
202219/08/202243.89neutral-4.31%-6.31%+0.73%-6.31%+1.25%
202119/08/202152.77near 52w high+5.14%+2.92%-3.07%-3.09%+6.90%
202019/08/202036.99neutral-1.00%+1.84%-3.87%-5.73%+1.84%
201919/08/201942.72near 52w low-3.77%-2.79%+8.50%-4.14%+9.78%
201820/08/201851.94neutral+2.00%+0.89%-0.94%-1.39%+2.00%
201718/08/201752.10near 52w high+1.06%+0.44%-0.77%-3.49%+1.32%
201619/08/201640.25near 52w high+1.49%+3.48%-0.40%-0.47%+3.63%
Upcoming 31/08/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.65% · Win 50% · DD -2.85%20 days: Avg -1.30% · Win 40% · DD -5.15%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/08/2025105.60near 52w high-1.50%+0.78%+3.93%-1.81%+3.93%
202430/08/202468.22near 52w high-0.73%+3.39%+5.34%-2.65%+5.79%
202331/08/202344.87volume x1.5-0.20%+0.76%-4.95%-6.02%+2.12%
202231/08/202241.53near 52w low+5.51%+7.01%-6.38%-6.38%+7.01%
202131/08/202155.22near 52w high-4.06%-5.70%-4.69%-10.72%+0.00%
202031/08/202036.98neutral-2.54%-5.71%-8.41%-10.38%+1.87%
201930/08/201942.06near 52w low+8.13%+11.15%+7.49%-1.26%+11.75%
201831/08/201852.15neutral-0.23%-1.78%-0.48%-2.22%+2.38%
201731/08/201752.28near 52w high-3.54%-1.38%+1.42%-3.83%+1.42%
201631/08/201641.67near 52w high-0.55%-1.97%-6.26%-6.26%+0.00%
Upcoming 05/09/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.42% · Win 60% · DD -2.94%20 days: Avg -0.78% · Win 40% · DD -4.85%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/09/2025103.69near 52w high+2.69%+4.84%+2.81%+0.00%+5.84%
202405/09/202468.00near 52w high+1.50%+5.47%+4.15%-2.34%+6.13%
202305/09/202345.20neutral+0.40%-2.39%-8.58%-8.58%+1.37%
202206/09/202241.14near 52w low+7.22%+5.18%+0.56%-6.37%+8.02%
202103/09/202153.93near 52w high-3.13%-8.05%-2.00%-8.59%+0.00%
202004/09/202037.50volume x1.5-4.11%-9.41%-5.65%-11.63%+0.00%
201905/09/201942.82neutral+8.15%+9.72%-0.91%-0.91%+9.76%
201805/09/201852.25neutral-0.46%+0.34%-0.13%-2.41%+2.18%
201705/09/201751.20neutral+1.54%+1.64%+5.08%-1.80%+5.08%
201606/09/201641.48near 52w high-1.78%-3.13%-3.09%-5.83%+0.00%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+8.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -3.4% · from 52w low: +60.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+0.64% · +4.09% · +8.74% · +18.42%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+3.28% · +8.34% · +26.43%
Distance from 52w high / low-3.44% · +60.71%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg3.80 · 0.11x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+13.71%
vs SPY (20d)+8.08%
vs SMH (20d)+23.67%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200153.12 · 145.97 · 125.08
52w high / low163.77 · 98.40