🕰️ Time Machine
BTC-USD — Bitcoin (USD)
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
76,898.64 -1.74%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 9 days
19/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 04/09/2026
since -3.48%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 01/07/2026
57,747.77
Days: 71 trading / 71 calendar · return since: +33.16%
Last major high · 21/07/2026
66,910.06
Days: 51 trading / 51 calendar · return since: +14.93%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 21/07/2026 @ 66,910.06 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 04/09/2026 | -6 (±2) | Passed |
| High 21/07/2026 @ 66,910.06 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 04/09/2026 | -6 (±2) | Passed |
| High 21/07/2026 @ 66,910.06 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 19/09/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 21/07/2026 @ 66,910.06 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 19/09/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 01/07/2026 @ 57,747.77 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 29/09/2026 | +19 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 01/07/2026 @ 57,747.77 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 29/09/2026 | +19 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 21/07/2026 @ 66,910.06 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 19/10/2026 | +39 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 21/07/2026 @ 66,910.06 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 19/10/2026 | +39 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 05/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 04/09/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 03/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 04/09/2026
● Failed Breakout 03/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 04/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 28/08/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 26/08/2026
● Shooting Star 25/08/2026
● Failed Breakout 24/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 04/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.51% · Win 56% · DD -8.32%20 days: Avg -4.91% · Win 44% · DD -10.98%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/09/2025 | 110,723.60 | neutral | +0.73% | +4.23% | +2.35% | -0.45% | +5.79% |
| 2024 | 04/09/2024 | 57,971.54 | neutral | -1.64% | +3.51% | +10.92% | -6.94% | +10.92% |
| 2023 | 04/09/2023 | 25,812.42 | neutral | +0.32% | +2.82% | +1.72% | -2.52% | +5.42% |
| 2022 | 04/09/2022 | 19,986.71 | far below SMA50 | +6.98% | +1.27% | -5.25% | -7.20% | +11.93% |
| 2021 | 04/09/2021 | 49,944.62 | far above SMA50 | -7.11% | -5.71% | -14.23% | -18.52% | +5.38% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 10,511.81 | neutral | -2.56% | +1.61% | +2.36% | -3.62% | +5.54% |
| 2019 | 04/09/2019 | 10,594.49 | neutral | -2.45% | -2.23% | -18.63% | -18.63% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 7,361.66 | neutral | -14.41% | -11.53% | -10.41% | -15.43% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 04/09/2017 | 4,236.31 | far above SMA50 | -0.24% | -25.53% | -13.06% | -25.53% | +8.58% |
Upcoming 19/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.45% · Win 40% · DD -6.67%20 days: Avg +2.87% · Win 60% · DD -7.16%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/09/2025 | 115,688.86 | neutral | -2.04% | -1.11% | +5.20% | -5.74% | +7.83% |
| 2024 | 19/09/2024 | 62,940.46 | neutral | +2.16% | +4.28% | -3.75% | -3.75% | +4.68% |
| 2023 | 19/09/2023 | 27,211.12 | neutral | -3.51% | -1.10% | +1.37% | -3.65% | +2.84% |
| 2022 | 19/09/2022 | 19,544.13 | neutral | -3.11% | +0.15% | -0.50% | -5.10% | +4.06% |
| 2021 | 19/09/2021 | 47,260.22 | neutral | -9.35% | -12.05% | +16.31% | -13.89% | +17.14% |
| 2020 | 19/09/2020 | 11,094.35 | neutral | -3.01% | -2.25% | -0.27% | -7.64% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 19/09/2019 | 10,266.42 | neutral | -16.03% | -21.06% | -16.27% | -22.19% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 19/09/2018 | 6,398.54 | neutral | +3.08% | +3.18% | +3.81% | +0.00% | +5.26% |
| 2017 | 19/09/2017 | 3,924.97 | neutral | -6.17% | +6.07% | +21.58% | -7.50% | +21.58% |
| 2016 | 19/09/2016 | 609.23 | near 52w high | -1.08% | -0.58% | +1.24% | -2.12% | +1.62% |
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.79% · Win 80% · DD -1.64%20 days: Avg +10.43% · Win 60% · DD -2.80%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/09/2025 | 114,400.38 | neutral | +7.01% | +6.39% | -5.01% | -6.93% | +9.05% |
| 2024 | 29/09/2024 | 65,635.30 | neutral | -5.44% | -7.70% | +4.16% | -8.17% | +4.24% |
| 2023 | 29/09/2023 | 26,911.72 | neutral | +3.30% | +2.50% | +6.72% | -0.58% | +6.72% |
| 2022 | 29/09/2022 | 19,573.05 | neutral | +3.90% | -0.65% | -2.21% | -2.70% | +3.90% |
| 2021 | 29/09/2021 | 41,564.36 | far below SMA50 | +18.16% | +32.25% | +54.61% | +0.00% | +54.61% |
| 2020 | 29/09/2020 | 10,844.64 | neutral | -1.61% | +2.03% | +8.28% | -2.72% | +8.28% |
| 2019 | 29/09/2019 | 8,104.19 | far below SMA50 | +1.26% | +6.07% | -1.43% | -1.62% | +6.07% |
| 2018 | 29/09/2018 | 6,601.96 | neutral | -0.38% | +0.62% | -2.07% | -5.24% | +0.76% |
| 2017 | 29/09/2017 | 4,163.07 | neutral | +1.59% | +14.63% | +37.12% | +0.00% | +40.08% |
| 2016 | 29/09/2016 | 605.69 | near 52w high | +0.74% | +1.83% | +4.10% | +0.00% | +5.93% |
Upcoming 19/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +8.50% · Win 80% · DD -2.46%20 days: Avg +11.74% · Win 70% · DD -3.34%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/10/2025 | 108,666.71 | neutral | +2.18% | +1.28% | -5.88% | -6.78% | +5.34% |
| 2024 | 19/10/2024 | 68,362.73 | far above SMA50 | -0.30% | +6.37% | +11.97% | -2.82% | +11.97% |
| 2023 | 19/10/2023 | 28,719.81 | neutral | +18.04% | +20.26% | +24.15% | +0.00% | +24.15% |
| 2022 | 19/10/2022 | 19,139.54 | neutral | +1.08% | +8.77% | -3.13% | -3.13% | +11.20% |
| 2021 | 19/10/2021 | 64,261.99 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -5.18% | -3.17% | +5.14% | -8.99% | +5.14% |
| 2020 | 19/10/2020 | 11,742.04 | near 52w high | +11.63% | +14.44% | +31.83% | +0.00% | +32.68% |
| 2019 | 19/10/2019 | 7,988.56 | far below SMA50 | -6.20% | +18.01% | +10.22% | -6.20% | +19.57% |
| 2018 | 19/10/2018 | 6,465.41 | neutral | +0.47% | -2.05% | -0.18% | -2.29% | +1.00% |
| 2017 | 19/10/2017 | 5,708.52 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -3.19% | +7.80% | +30.68% | -3.19% | +30.68% |
| 2016 | 19/10/2016 | 630.52 | near 52w high | +3.69% | +13.32% | +12.58% | +0.00% | +17.49% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+9.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -21.4% · from 52w low: +33.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -3.66% · -2.10% · -1.83% · +20.61% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -2.19% · +9.22% · +9.91% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -21.42% · +33.16% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 2,229.40 · 0.96x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +0.14% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +0.05% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +2.10% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 78,623.99 · 70,409.54 · 69,964.05 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 97,860.60 · 57,747.77 |
|---|
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