🕰️ Time Machine

BWXT — BWX Technologies

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 11/09/2026

Last price (Close)
153.35 +0.56%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 4 days
17/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 90 · 07/09/2026
since -4.40%
Trend
Strong downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 09/06/2026
179.46
Days: 65 trading / 94 calendar · return since: -14.55%
Last major high · 23/06/2026
215.38
Days: 56 trading / 80 calendar · return since: -28.80%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 09/06/2026 @ 179.46Cycle 60Trading📅 03/09/2026-5 (±2)Passed
Low 09/06/2026 @ 179.46Cycle 90Calendar📅 07/09/2026-4 (±3)Passed
High 23/06/2026 @ 215.38Cycle 60Trading📅 17/09/2026+4 (±2)Upcoming
High 23/06/2026 @ 215.38Cycle 90Calendar📅 21/09/2026+10 (±3)Upcoming
Low 09/06/2026 @ 179.46Cycle 120Calendar📅 07/10/2026+26 (±3)Upcoming
Low 09/06/2026 @ 179.46Cycle 90Trading📅 16/10/2026+25 (±3)Upcoming
High 23/06/2026 @ 215.38Cycle 120Calendar📅 21/10/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming
High 23/06/2026 @ 215.38Cycle 90Trading📅 29/10/2026+34 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 11/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 07/09/2026
Shooting Star 04/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 03/09/2026
NR7 Compression 31/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 03/09/2026
Failed Breakdown 25/08/2026
Bullish Engulfing 14/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 03/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.52% · Win 67% · DD -1.71%20 days: Avg +2.90% · Win 56% · DD -2.71%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/09/2025160.95neutral+3.22%+4.62%+16.30%+0.00%+16.30%
202403/09/202498.92neutral-3.19%-1.16%+12.87%-3.21%+12.87%
202301/09/202373.97near 52w high-1.26%+3.39%-1.69%-2.53%+3.39%
202202/09/202251.42neutral+6.18%+3.60%+0.54%-2.04%+6.18%
202103/09/202157.48neutral-0.92%-4.68%-2.84%-6.30%+0.00%
202003/09/202057.38volume x2.2-1.55%+3.26%-1.67%-1.86%+3.26%
201903/09/201959.44volume x1.6+0.93%+1.63%-5.94%-5.94%+1.63%
201804/09/201861.02neutral+0.34%+3.75%+3.54%-0.16%+3.75%
201701/09/201754.59near 52w high+0.07%-0.71%+4.95%-2.38%+4.95%
Passed 07/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.65% · Win 67% · DD -1.68%20 days: Avg +3.97% · Win 44% · DD -3.19%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/09/2025163.75neutral+6.44%+8.82%+16.87%-0.93%+16.87%
202406/09/202495.74neutral+2.80%+7.42%+22.95%+0.00%+22.95%
202307/09/202373.04near 52w high+1.78%+1.53%-0.38%-1.29%+4.71%
202207/09/202254.07neutral+0.39%-3.77%-3.14%-6.84%+0.98%
202107/09/202157.40neutral-4.86%-4.74%-0.84%-6.17%+0.00%
202008/09/202057.21neutral-0.03%+2.81%-3.86%-3.86%+3.57%
201906/09/201959.90neutral-0.17%-0.45%-7.05%-7.81%+0.85%
201807/09/201861.54neutral+1.67%+1.87%+1.84%-0.50%+2.88%
201707/09/201753.98near 52w high-1.28%+1.39%+9.36%-1.28%+9.36%
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.08% · Win 30% · DD -2.60%20 days: Avg +4.10% · Win 60% · DD -3.88%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/09/2025168.38volume x1.6+3.94%+11.17%+21.05%+0.00%+21.05%
202417/09/202497.77neutral+9.14%+14.20%+21.63%-0.70%+22.04%
202318/09/202376.48near 52w high · volume x1.7-2.18%-4.92%+1.95%-4.92%+1.95%
202216/09/202252.65volume x1.5-3.86%-4.33%-1.12%-4.33%+1.73%
202117/09/202155.20volume x1.8+0.20%-0.31%+2.23%-2.43%+5.47%
202017/09/202058.42neutral-2.84%-3.03%+0.84%-5.85%+1.42%
201917/09/201960.41volume x1.8-3.71%-7.45%-6.51%-9.58%+0.00%
201817/09/201863.14neutral-1.85%-0.13%-7.36%-9.33%+0.27%
201718/09/201754.20near 52w high+3.49%+5.70%+9.87%+0.00%+9.87%
201616/09/201638.42near 52w high+1.30%-0.13%-1.59%-1.64%+2.65%
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.10% · Win 50% · DD -2.27%20 days: Avg +4.73% · Win 60% · DD -3.35%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/09/2025178.19neutral+2.12%+7.40%+16.57%-1.78%+17.30%
202420/09/2024102.84near 52w high · volume x4.3+5.59%+14.46%+22.72%+0.00%+22.72%
202321/09/202374.16near 52w high+1.21%-1.89%+4.07%-1.94%+5.57%
202221/09/202252.03neutral-1.08%+0.65%+5.05%-3.19%+5.30%
202121/09/202154.68near 52w low+0.53%+4.10%+3.84%-1.50%+6.47%
202021/09/202057.96neutral-0.17%-3.07%-1.76%-5.11%+1.64%
201920/09/201959.63volume x1.8-3.00%-6.62%-5.53%-8.40%+0.00%
201821/09/201862.69volume x1.8-0.24%-0.03%-5.71%-8.68%+0.78%
201721/09/201754.73near 52w high · volume x1.7+2.43%+7.86%+8.13%+0.00%+8.81%
201621/09/201638.93near 52w high+0.21%-1.90%-0.08%-2.93%+1.31%
Upcoming 07/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.48% · Win 90% · DD -1.60%20 days: Avg +1.18% · Win 60% · DD -3.11%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/10/2025191.39near 52w high · far above SMA50+5.78%+7.24%+4.70%-0.68%+12.79%
202407/10/2024116.24near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.65%+9.04%+2.96%-0.35%+9.04%
202306/10/202374.08near 52w high+4.43%+3.28%+2.77%-1.26%+5.68%
202207/10/202252.16neutral-0.19%+6.31%+8.49%-0.65%+10.49%
202107/10/202158.02neutral-1.98%+0.24%-6.29%-8.26%+0.52%
202007/10/202055.44neutral+5.90%+0.61%-2.07%-3.10%+6.26%
201907/10/201955.38neutral+0.27%+0.87%+6.55%-1.37%+6.55%
201808/10/201861.93neutral-5.55%-4.63%-2.87%-9.54%+0.00%
201706/10/201759.41near 52w high · volume x1.8-0.37%+0.76%+2.73%-0.76%+4.04%
201607/10/201638.35near 52w high-1.41%+1.07%-5.16%-5.16%+2.27%
Upcoming 16/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.17% · Win 70% · DD -3.30%20 days: Avg -2.23% · Win 50% · DD -7.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/10/2025209.01near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.7-4.35%+2.29%-14.89%-14.89%+3.28%
202416/10/2024124.70near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.8-1.44%+0.12%+5.94%-6.21%+5.94%
202316/10/202377.97near 52w high-3.81%-6.18%-1.44%-6.18%+0.41%
202217/10/202252.64neutral+5.85%+8.24%+11.13%+0.00%+18.10%
202115/10/202156.43neutral+2.99%+0.55%-5.65%-7.73%+3.35%
202016/10/202057.93neutral-0.50%-5.04%-2.69%-7.27%+0.00%
201916/10/201956.17volume x1.7+0.41%+3.28%+8.37%-0.55%+8.65%
201816/10/201860.23neutral-0.70%-4.95%-29.70%-29.70%+0.73%
201716/10/201759.55near 52w high+0.96%+1.19%+1.73%-0.62%+3.80%
201617/10/201638.36near 52w high+1.80%+2.24%+4.87%-5.19%+4.87%
Upcoming 21/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.23% · Win 40% · DD -4.03%20 days: Avg -3.17% · Win 60% · DD -7.57%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/10/2025205.24near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.16%-2.36%-14.29%-14.29%+5.17%
202421/10/2024126.75near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.36%-5.58%-0.44%-7.73%+4.23%
202320/10/202376.51near 52w high-3.27%-0.50%+1.08%-4.39%+2.55%
202221/10/202255.45neutral+3.57%+2.06%+6.80%+0.00%+12.12%
202121/10/202158.16neutral-1.99%-6.52%-11.14%-11.14%+0.28%
202021/10/202055.78neutral-3.69%-2.67%+2.12%-3.69%+3.33%
201921/10/201955.86volume x1.6+3.26%+5.64%+8.72%+0.00%+10.10%
201822/10/201859.06near 52w low-5.15%+1.85%-26.41%-28.31%+2.73%
201720/10/201759.86near 52w high+0.28%+1.95%+0.28%+0.00%+3.26%
201621/10/201638.76near 52w high+0.34%-6.17%+1.57%-6.17%+4.39%
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.42% · Win 70% · DD -5.40%20 days: Avg -2.02% · Win 70% · DD -7.50%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/10/2025213.69near 52w high · far above SMA50-7.29%-7.92%-16.50%-20.42%+1.02%
202429/10/2024125.53near 52w high · far above SMA50-6.84%+1.12%+5.64%-6.84%+6.38%
202330/10/202373.15neutral+4.17%+5.06%+5.84%+0.00%+8.07%
202228/10/202257.43near 52w high · volume x1.5-1.46%+5.15%+4.92%-1.46%+8.25%
202129/10/202156.74neutral-2.93%-6.17%-14.05%-14.05%+1.53%
202029/10/202054.18neutral+1.11%+2.03%+6.59%+0.00%+8.59%
201929/10/201957.97neutral+3.98%+4.80%+5.26%+0.00%+6.65%
201829/10/201856.02near 52w low+7.37%-21.05%-22.47%-25.15%+8.30%
201730/10/201760.26near 52w high+1.28%+0.53%+1.96%-0.63%+1.96%
201628/10/201638.89near 52w high-6.48%+2.29%+2.62%-6.48%+4.42%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-8.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -36.6% · from 52w low: +3.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-4.31% · -1.60% · -9.84% · -22.01%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-2.84% · -8.79% · -20.29%
Distance from 52w high / low-36.59% · +3.80%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg5.49 · 0.02x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-7.70%
vs SPY (20d)-8.22%
vs SMH (20d)-6.88%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200157.83 · 168.12 · 192.38
52w high / low241.82 · 147.74