🕰️ Time Machine

BXMT — Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026

Last price (Close)
16.84 +2.12%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 2 days
29/07/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 20/07/2026
since +0.78%
Trend
Strong downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 21/05/2026
17.68
Days: 43 trading / 67 calendar · return since: -4.75%
Last major high · 16/04/2026
20.43
Days: 68 trading / 102 calendar · return since: -17.57%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 16/04/2026 @ 20.43Cycle 60Trading📅 14/07/2026-8 (±2)Passed
Low 21/05/2026 @ 17.68Cycle 60Calendar📅 20/07/2026-7 (±2)Passed
Low 21/05/2026 @ 17.68Cycle 45Trading📅 29/07/2026+2 (±2)In window
High 16/04/2026 @ 20.43Cycle 120Calendar📅 14/08/2026+18 (±3)Upcoming
Low 21/05/2026 @ 17.68Cycle 60Trading📅 19/08/2026+17 (±2)Upcoming
Low 21/05/2026 @ 17.68Cycle 90Calendar📅 19/08/2026+23 (±3)Upcoming
High 16/04/2026 @ 20.43Cycle 90Trading📅 26/08/2026+22 (±3)Upcoming
High 16/04/2026 @ 20.43Cycle 144Calendar📅 07/09/2026+42 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 29/07/2026
NR7 Compression 21/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 20/07/2026
Bullish Engulfing 14/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 14/07/2026
Hammer Reversal 29/06/2026
Failed Breakdown 29/06/2026
Bullish Engulfing 26/06/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 14/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.51% · Win 56% · DD -2.04%20 days: Avg +1.09% · Win 56% · DD -2.86%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/07/202519.92neutral-3.56%-3.16%-6.63%-7.23%+0.00%
202415/07/202419.01neutral+3.21%-5.21%-10.10%-10.10%+3.84%
202314/07/202322.10far above SMA50+2.40%+4.25%-1.31%-1.31%+6.52%
202214/07/202228.04neutral+5.14%+11.06%+8.27%+0.00%+11.06%
202114/07/202130.67neutral+1.96%+3.88%+5.93%-2.15%+6.29%
202014/07/202022.53neutral+2.88%+4.39%+13.00%+0.00%+13.00%
201915/07/201935.96near 52w high-0.64%-1.56%-1.70%-3.62%+0.17%
201813/07/201832.45near 52w high+0.96%+1.23%+1.97%+0.00%+2.62%
201714/07/201731.02near 52w high+1.16%-1.32%+0.39%-1.32%+1.16%
Passed 20/07/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.67% · Win 44% · DD -2.74%20 days: Avg -1.03% · Win 44% · DD -3.73%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/07/202519.21neutral+0.42%-1.61%-2.86%-3.80%+2.08%
202419/07/202419.70far above SMA50-10.71%-11.62%-10.61%-13.25%+0.00%
202320/07/202322.97far above SMA50-2.05%-2.66%-9.49%-9.49%+2.48%
202220/07/202229.42neutral+2.62%+2.69%+2.62%-0.85%+5.85%
202120/07/202131.05neutral+2.06%+4.67%+4.44%+0.00%+5.35%
202020/07/202023.00neutral-0.57%+2.96%+5.22%-1.57%+10.70%
201919/07/201935.60near 52w high-0.59%-0.67%-1.54%-2.64%+0.48%
201820/07/201832.76near 52w high+0.27%+1.47%+3.17%-0.37%+3.17%
201720/07/201731.11near 52w high-1.48%-1.22%-0.26%-1.61%+0.87%
In window 29/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.60% · Win 30% · DD -2.58%20 days: Avg -0.93% · Win 50% · DD -3.51%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/07/202519.37neutral-2.53%-1.91%+0.15%-4.59%+0.77%
202429/07/202418.02neutral-4.61%-5.16%+1.33%-5.16%+1.33%
202328/07/202323.04far above SMA50-1.52%-5.34%-8.38%-10.63%+0.00%
202229/07/202230.97neutral-2.29%-1.42%-3.84%-4.78%+0.06%
202129/07/202132.49near 52w high+0.34%-0.12%-0.46%-2.77%+0.68%
202029/07/202024.16neutral-0.54%+5.17%-2.69%-3.60%+5.38%
201929/07/201935.40near 52w high-2.09%-0.14%-1.16%-2.09%+0.65%
201830/07/201832.96near 52w high+0.49%-0.03%+3.37%-0.09%+3.37%
201728/07/201730.61neutral+0.10%+1.73%+1.99%+0.00%+2.48%
201629/07/201629.01near 52w high+1.41%+1.24%+0.38%-1.41%+1.41%
Upcoming 14/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.69% · Win 70% · DD -1.92%20 days: Avg +1.02% · Win 50% · DD -2.87%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/08/202519.05neutral-1.47%+1.94%+2.47%-2.05%+5.41%
202414/08/202417.43neutral+2.41%+3.84%+7.92%+0.00%+7.92%
202314/08/202321.53neutral-3.72%+0.46%+7.34%-4.37%+8.69%
202215/08/202230.42neutral-3.06%-2.14%-5.39%-6.90%+0.53%
202113/08/202132.57near 52w high-1.20%+0.92%-4.14%-5.25%+1.47%
202014/08/202024.45neutral-4.25%-1.47%-3.52%-6.38%+1.10%
201914/08/201934.67neutral+1.38%+0.03%+4.30%+0.00%+4.30%
201814/08/201833.09near 52w high+2.66%+2.66%+3.60%+0.00%+3.93%
201714/08/201731.26near 52w high-0.32%-0.13%-0.42%-1.79%+0.42%
201615/08/201629.16near 52w high-1.20%+0.82%-1.92%-1.92%+2.95%
Upcoming 19/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.99% · Win 80% · DD -1.28%20 days: Avg +2.35% · Win 70% · DD -1.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202519/08/202518.91neutral+2.59%+2.75%+2.27%-0.74%+6.19%
202419/08/202417.85neutral+2.30%+2.86%+8.96%-1.23%+8.96%
202318/08/202320.78neutral+1.59%+6.64%+11.69%-0.91%+12.75%
202219/08/202229.98neutral-0.67%-5.54%-2.84%-5.54%+0.97%
202119/08/202131.59neutral+2.37%+4.62%-2.66%-2.66%+4.62%
202019/08/202023.75neutral-1.01%+4.08%-0.42%-3.62%+4.08%
201919/08/201935.30near 52w high-0.88%-0.91%+2.55%-1.76%+2.55%
201820/08/201833.81near 52w high+0.77%+0.65%+1.12%+0.00%+1.72%
201718/08/201731.10near 52w high+0.39%+0.93%+0.35%-1.29%+0.93%
201619/08/201628.93near 52w high+0.66%+3.77%+2.45%-1.14%+3.77%
Upcoming 26/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.38% · Win 70% · DD -1.40%20 days: Avg -0.47% · Win 60% · DD -3.55%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/08/202519.40neutral+0.15%+2.58%-3.30%-3.30%+3.51%
202426/08/202418.26neutral+0.55%+0.88%+9.58%-1.37%+10.79%
202325/08/202321.11neutral+4.97%+10.85%+5.87%+0.00%+10.99%
202226/08/202229.78neutral-4.90%-0.34%-13.03%-13.03%+0.00%
202126/08/202132.34near 52w high+2.20%-4.58%-3.77%-5.04%+2.20%
202026/08/202023.51neutral+5.15%+1.66%-8.17%-8.17%+5.15%
201926/08/201934.99near 52w high-0.03%+2.09%+3.46%-0.89%+4.23%
201827/08/201834.07near 52w high-0.12%+0.94%+0.03%-0.29%+0.94%
201725/08/201731.22near 52w high+0.54%-0.58%+0.96%-1.67%+0.96%
201626/08/201629.12near 52w high+3.09%+0.34%+3.67%-1.79%+3.67%
Upcoming 07/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.76% · Win 40% · DD -2.72%20 days: Avg -2.66% · Win 30% · DD -5.58%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/09/202519.93neutral-2.06%-4.47%-4.63%-6.52%+0.00%
202406/09/202418.28neutral+5.09%+8.48%+1.51%-0.33%+10.67%
202307/09/202323.20volume x2.0-0.86%-4.09%-6.46%-9.25%+0.99%
202207/09/202228.76neutral+0.76%-1.08%-14.85%-16.84%+3.20%
202107/09/202132.43near 52w high-4.01%-4.22%-1.65%-5.30%+0.00%
202008/09/202023.89neutral-2.22%-5.61%-1.81%-9.63%+0.67%
201906/09/201935.36near 52w high+2.09%+3.14%+3.05%+0.00%+3.14%
201807/09/201834.29near 52w high+0.09%+0.23%-2.38%-2.38%+0.29%
201707/09/201730.94near 52w high+0.29%+0.71%+3.26%-0.78%+3.26%
201607/09/201630.02near 52w high-4.66%-0.73%-2.68%-4.73%+1.33%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-4.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -18.5% · from 52w low: +2.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-1.41% · -1.23% · -0.25% · -13.51%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-1.12% · -4.80% · -10.47%
Distance from 52w high / low-18.53% · +2.56%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.36 · 0.03x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+4.36%
vs SPY (20d)-0.98%
vs SMH (20d)+13.29%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20017.03 · 17.69 · 18.81
52w high / low20.67 · 16.42