🕰️ Time Machine
CAR — Avis Budget Group
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
126.74 -4.44%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 4 days
16/09/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 02/09/2026
since -8.05%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 04/08/2026
133.56
Days: 26 trading / 37 calendar · return since: -5.11%
Last major high · 23/06/2026
197.28
Days: 55 trading / 79 calendar · return since: -35.76%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 23/06/2026 @ 197.28 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 26/08/2026 | -10 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 04/08/2026 @ 133.56 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 02/09/2026 | -5 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 04/08/2026 @ 133.56 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 03/09/2026 | -7 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 04/08/2026 @ 133.56 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 16/09/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 23/06/2026 @ 197.28 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 17/09/2026 | +5 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 04/08/2026 @ 133.56 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 18/09/2026 | +8 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 23/06/2026 @ 197.28 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 21/09/2026 | +11 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 04/08/2026 @ 133.56 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 03/10/2026 | +23 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 04/08/2026 @ 133.56 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 07/10/2026 | +19 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 23/06/2026 @ 197.28 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 21/10/2026 | +41 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 04/08/2026 @ 133.56 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 28/10/2026 | +34 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 23/06/2026 @ 197.28 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 29/10/2026 | +35 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakdown 09/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 03/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 03/09/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 31/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 02/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 25/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 26/08/2026
● NR7 Compression 25/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 26/08/2026
● Shooting Star 24/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 26/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 26/08/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.04% · Win 44% · DD -6.54%20 days: Avg -0.43% · Win 44% · DD -10.54%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/08/2025 | 153.23 | far below SMA50 | +2.52% | +1.66% | +5.51% | -0.57% | +5.51% |
| 2024 | 26/08/2024 | 89.03 | neutral | -15.41% | -24.26% | -2.10% | -24.26% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 25/08/2023 | 216.85 | volume x2.1 | -2.14% | -6.71% | -16.61% | -16.61% | +3.68% |
| 2022 | 26/08/2022 | 176.60 | neutral | -8.42% | -0.58% | -21.36% | -21.72% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 26/08/2021 | 88.75 | neutral | +7.03% | -2.39% | +25.76% | -2.39% | +25.76% |
| 2020 | 26/08/2020 | 33.29 | far above SMA50 | +8.68% | +3.18% | -18.29% | -18.29% | +8.68% |
| 2019 | 26/08/2019 | 24.89 | far below SMA50 | -2.53% | +13.90% | +9.68% | -3.25% | +18.56% |
| 2018 | 27/08/2018 | 33.21 | neutral | -7.80% | -1.84% | -3.58% | -7.80% | +3.40% |
| 2017 | 25/08/2017 | 32.06 | neutral | +14.13% | +16.66% | +17.09% | +0.00% | +19.90% |
Passed 02/09/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.51% · Win 44% · DD -6.70%20 days: Avg +2.82% · Win 56% · DD -10.24%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 161.20 | neutral | -2.04% | -3.72% | -0.39% | -5.49% | +1.29% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 75.31 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -10.46% | +10.33% | +14.00% | -10.46% | +16.31% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 212.22 | neutral | -4.67% | -6.86% | -18.07% | -18.07% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 161.73 | neutral | +8.56% | -4.67% | -2.39% | -14.52% | +8.56% |
| 2021 | 02/09/2021 | 94.99 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -8.80% | +0.35% | +28.32% | -8.80% | +28.32% |
| 2020 | 02/09/2020 | 36.18 | far above SMA50 | -5.06% | -9.98% | -20.59% | -28.63% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 24.26 | far below SMA50 | +16.86% | +21.64% | +12.32% | +0.00% | +21.64% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 31.11 | near 52w low · volume x1.5 | +4.24% | +7.59% | +5.43% | -1.58% | +10.38% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 36.59 | far above SMA50 | +2.21% | -1.09% | +6.75% | -4.62% | +6.75% |
Passed 03/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.06% · Win 44% · DD -5.73%20 days: Avg +3.76% · Win 67% · DD -9.13%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/09/2025 | 157.09 | neutral | -0.83% | -2.51% | +1.22% | -3.02% | +3.94% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 75.31 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -10.46% | +10.33% | +14.00% | -10.46% | +16.31% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 212.22 | neutral | -4.67% | -6.86% | -18.07% | -18.07% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 161.73 | neutral | +8.56% | -4.67% | -2.39% | -14.52% | +8.56% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 92.34 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.21% | +2.80% | +30.97% | -6.18% | +32.00% |
| 2020 | 03/09/2020 | 34.58 | far above SMA50 | -3.56% | -10.53% | -18.05% | -25.33% | +0.84% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 24.26 | far below SMA50 | +16.86% | +21.64% | +12.32% | +0.00% | +21.64% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 30.62 | near 52w low | +6.47% | +9.47% | +7.12% | +0.00% | +12.15% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 36.59 | far above SMA50 | +2.21% | -1.09% | +6.75% | -4.62% | +6.75% |
Upcoming 16/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.04% · Win 50% · DD -6.32%20 days: Avg +4.04% · Win 50% · DD -8.86%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/09/2025 | 155.21 | neutral | +2.69% | +3.45% | +0.18% | -5.73% | +5.20% |
| 2024 | 16/09/2024 | 79.13 | far below SMA50 | +9.35% | +10.69% | +2.27% | +0.00% | +12.51% |
| 2023 | 15/09/2023 | 198.53 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.4 | -8.33% | -9.49% | -12.58% | -14.94% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 16/09/2022 | 147.30 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.1 | -6.14% | +0.79% | +13.33% | -6.14% | +24.11% |
| 2021 | 16/09/2021 | 98.79 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.4 | +9.45% | +17.94% | +48.99% | -4.74% | +55.27% |
| 2020 | 16/09/2020 | 31.61 | neutral | -12.50% | -16.74% | -5.57% | -18.32% | +3.04% |
| 2019 | 16/09/2019 | 29.50 | neutral | -1.76% | -4.20% | -3.53% | -13.02% | +0.03% |
| 2018 | 17/09/2018 | 33.47 | neutral | -3.65% | -2.00% | -3.05% | -8.69% | +2.60% |
| 2017 | 15/09/2017 | 35.13 | volume x2.0 | +9.42% | +8.34% | +17.45% | +0.00% | +17.45% |
| 2016 | 16/09/2016 | 37.68 | near 52w high | -0.50% | -9.21% | -17.06% | -17.06% | +3.32% |
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.10% · Win 50% · DD -6.35%20 days: Avg +4.01% · Win 30% · DD -9.27%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/09/2025 | 153.15 | neutral | +5.57% | +3.83% | -0.61% | -4.46% | +6.61% |
| 2024 | 17/09/2024 | 83.09 | neutral | +4.90% | +3.32% | -6.76% | -6.76% | +7.15% |
| 2023 | 18/09/2023 | 197.66 | far below SMA50 | -8.51% | -12.04% | -11.19% | -14.57% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 16/09/2022 | 147.30 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.1 | -6.14% | +0.79% | +13.33% | -6.14% | +24.11% |
| 2021 | 17/09/2021 | 95.32 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.3 | +17.09% | +27.87% | +58.38% | -1.27% | +60.92% |
| 2020 | 17/09/2020 | 32.57 | neutral | -16.49% | -11.79% | -6.05% | -20.72% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 17/09/2019 | 29.51 | neutral | -7.49% | -7.66% | -0.91% | -13.05% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 17/09/2018 | 33.47 | neutral | -3.65% | -2.00% | -3.05% | -8.69% | +2.60% |
| 2017 | 18/09/2017 | 36.19 | neutral | +3.73% | +7.93% | +13.98% | +0.00% | +14.01% |
| 2016 | 16/09/2016 | 37.68 | near 52w high | -0.50% | -9.21% | -17.06% | -17.06% | +3.32% |
Upcoming 18/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.23% · Win 50% · DD -7.02%20 days: Avg +5.62% · Win 40% · DD -9.64%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/09/2025 | 155.92 | neutral | +4.72% | +2.43% | -3.03% | -6.16% | +4.72% |
| 2024 | 18/09/2024 | 85.08 | volume x1.7 | -3.21% | +1.87% | -3.47% | -8.94% | +4.64% |
| 2023 | 18/09/2023 | 197.66 | far below SMA50 | -8.51% | -12.04% | -11.19% | -14.57% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 19/09/2022 | 154.17 | neutral | -9.92% | +2.40% | +17.64% | -10.33% | +18.58% |
| 2021 | 17/09/2021 | 95.32 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.3 | +17.09% | +27.87% | +58.38% | -1.27% | +60.92% |
| 2020 | 18/09/2020 | 30.94 | volume x1.8 | -12.06% | -8.40% | +3.26% | -16.55% | +3.26% |
| 2019 | 18/09/2019 | 29.50 | neutral | -5.12% | -12.24% | -2.81% | -13.02% | +0.03% |
| 2018 | 18/09/2018 | 33.52 | neutral | -4.47% | -2.15% | -0.60% | -8.83% | +2.45% |
| 2017 | 18/09/2017 | 36.19 | neutral | +3.73% | +7.93% | +13.98% | +0.00% | +14.01% |
| 2016 | 19/09/2016 | 37.54 | near 52w high | +3.70% | -10.02% | -16.01% | -16.76% | +3.70% |
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.05% · Win 50% · DD -7.07%20 days: Avg +6.51% · Win 40% · DD -8.79%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/09/2025 | 157.73 | neutral | +2.41% | -5.91% | -5.47% | -7.23% | +3.52% |
| 2024 | 20/09/2024 | 85.90 | neutral | +1.97% | +2.85% | -5.65% | -9.81% | +3.64% |
| 2023 | 21/09/2023 | 188.56 | far below SMA50 | -4.08% | -7.72% | -10.29% | -10.44% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 21/09/2022 | 150.31 | far below SMA50 | +3.75% | +15.63% | +19.89% | -8.02% | +23.05% |
| 2021 | 21/09/2021 | 94.11 | neutral | +27.73% | +36.84% | +68.84% | +0.00% | +68.84% |
| 2020 | 21/09/2020 | 28.81 | volume x2.1 | -4.48% | +0.90% | +14.89% | -10.38% | +14.89% |
| 2019 | 20/09/2019 | 29.34 | volume x2.1 | -6.31% | -10.22% | -2.08% | -12.54% | +0.55% |
| 2018 | 21/09/2018 | 33.92 | neutral | -5.25% | -2.48% | -7.31% | -9.91% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 21/09/2017 | 38.08 | far above SMA50 | +0.55% | +1.60% | +8.04% | -1.42% | +8.38% |
| 2016 | 21/09/2016 | 38.18 | near 52w high | -8.80% | -10.97% | -15.74% | -18.15% | +1.96% |
Upcoming 03/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +7.06% · Win 60% · DD -3.02%20 days: Avg +9.47% · Win 50% · DD -5.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/10/2025 | 154.56 | neutral | -4.90% | -2.70% | -11.96% | -12.22% | +1.59% |
| 2024 | 03/10/2024 | 83.86 | neutral | +0.64% | -4.29% | -1.03% | -7.62% | +6.17% |
| 2023 | 03/10/2023 | 168.87 | far below SMA50 | +7.26% | +6.76% | -3.59% | -5.16% | +9.15% |
| 2022 | 03/10/2022 | 157.87 | neutral | +12.34% | +14.88% | +49.78% | +0.00% | +54.14% |
| 2021 | 04/10/2021 | 120.94 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +17.77% | +30.91% | +41.77% | +0.00% | +46.06% |
| 2020 | 02/10/2020 | 28.34 | neutral | +11.40% | +12.74% | +18.81% | +0.00% | +42.48% |
| 2019 | 03/10/2019 | 25.89 | far below SMA50 | +3.17% | +13.94% | +14.75% | -0.89% | +20.24% |
| 2018 | 03/10/2018 | 33.33 | neutral | -8.31% | -0.81% | -15.63% | -17.43% | +1.77% |
| 2017 | 03/10/2017 | 38.92 | far above SMA50 | +3.39% | +5.88% | +5.99% | -0.59% | +6.47% |
| 2016 | 03/10/2016 | 33.78 | near 52w low | +0.36% | -6.66% | -4.20% | -7.49% | +0.62% |
Upcoming 07/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.71% · Win 60% · DD -4.56%20 days: Avg +16.67% · Win 70% · DD -7.26%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/10/2025 | 149.22 | neutral | +4.20% | +2.59% | -7.51% | -11.36% | +5.22% |
| 2024 | 07/10/2024 | 89.03 | neutral | -9.10% | -10.74% | +1.39% | -12.98% | +3.40% |
| 2023 | 06/10/2023 | 178.68 | far below SMA50 | -2.87% | -2.65% | +11.94% | -10.37% | +11.94% |
| 2022 | 07/10/2022 | 175.63 | neutral | -4.95% | +7.81% | +32.02% | -4.95% | +38.55% |
| 2021 | 07/10/2021 | 126.45 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +16.40% | +32.47% | +115.22% | +0.00% | +182.46% |
| 2020 | 07/10/2020 | 30.61 | neutral | -2.48% | +22.15% | -7.32% | -7.32% | +31.92% |
| 2019 | 07/10/2019 | 26.38 | neutral | +7.88% | +11.18% | +8.23% | -2.73% | +18.01% |
| 2018 | 08/10/2018 | 33.92 | neutral | -4.33% | -7.99% | -8.46% | -18.87% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 06/10/2017 | 38.89 | far above SMA50 | +6.09% | +5.94% | +5.35% | +0.00% | +6.56% |
| 2016 | 07/10/2016 | 32.56 | near 52w low | -4.02% | -3.62% | +15.88% | -4.02% | +15.88% |
Upcoming 21/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +9.60% · Win 50% · DD -6.55%20 days: Avg +10.36% · Win 60% · DD -8.78%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/10/2025 | 153.09 | neutral | -4.78% | -9.85% | -15.54% | -15.54% | +2.56% |
| 2024 | 21/10/2024 | 79.47 | neutral | +7.51% | +13.59% | +27.02% | -1.16% | +34.09% |
| 2023 | 20/10/2023 | 173.94 | far below SMA50 | -7.47% | +14.99% | +8.81% | -7.93% | +15.24% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 189.35 | far above SMA50 | +28.51% | +22.45% | +19.10% | +0.00% | +28.51% |
| 2021 | 21/10/2021 | 167.51 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.54% | +62.46% | +65.93% | -0.91% | +113.22% |
| 2020 | 21/10/2020 | 37.39 | far above SMA50 | -5.96% | -24.12% | -6.12% | -24.12% | +8.00% |
| 2019 | 21/10/2019 | 29.33 | neutral | +4.53% | -2.66% | +5.56% | -5.39% | +7.71% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 31.21 | near 52w low | -11.21% | -0.51% | -8.78% | -11.82% | +4.61% |
| 2017 | 20/10/2017 | 41.20 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.15% | -0.56% | -15.02% | -20.97% | +0.58% |
| 2016 | 21/10/2016 | 31.38 | near 52w low | +3.25% | +20.24% | +22.63% | +0.00% | +27.41% |
Upcoming 28/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +9.41% · Win 70% · DD -7.01%20 days: Avg +11.12% · Win 60% · DD -7.86%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/10/2025 | 145.77 | volume x2.1 | -5.32% | -1.33% | -8.03% | -13.12% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 28/10/2024 | 85.44 | neutral | +5.65% | +13.33% | +27.35% | -2.86% | +27.35% |
| 2023 | 27/10/2023 | 160.95 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +24.27% | +16.62% | +14.22% | +0.00% | +24.54% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 243.34 | far above SMA50 | -4.72% | -6.02% | -9.58% | -9.93% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 28/10/2021 | 171.76 | far above SMA50 | +58.44% | +57.31% | +68.23% | -0.17% | +107.95% |
| 2020 | 28/10/2020 | 35.16 | neutral | -19.31% | +1.45% | +6.85% | -19.31% | +8.73% |
| 2019 | 28/10/2019 | 30.66 | far above SMA50 | -6.88% | +0.95% | -0.62% | -9.49% | +3.03% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 27.71 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +12.05% | +13.32% | +6.78% | -2.45% | +17.83% |
| 2017 | 27/10/2017 | 41.26 | near 52w high | -0.70% | -18.90% | -13.96% | -21.09% | +0.44% |
| 2016 | 28/10/2016 | 32.40 | neutral | +16.45% | +17.41% | +19.94% | -0.15% | +23.40% |
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +8.84% · Win 70% · DD -7.20%20 days: Avg +11.06% · Win 60% · DD -8.03%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/10/2025 | 139.05 | volume x2.5 | +0.85% | +2.98% | -3.67% | -8.92% | +3.44% |
| 2024 | 29/10/2024 | 87.10 | neutral | +1.62% | +13.89% | +23.27% | -4.71% | +24.93% |
| 2023 | 30/10/2023 | 163.16 | far below SMA50 | +22.85% | +14.37% | +9.64% | -0.22% | +22.85% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 243.34 | far above SMA50 | -4.72% | -6.02% | -9.58% | -9.93% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 29/10/2021 | 173.31 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +71.63% | +54.08% | +76.08% | -1.07% | +106.09% |
| 2020 | 29/10/2020 | 36.70 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.5 | -11.96% | -3.98% | +0.90% | -22.70% | +4.17% |
| 2019 | 29/10/2019 | 30.40 | far above SMA50 | -1.91% | +1.97% | -0.49% | -8.72% | +3.91% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 27.71 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +12.05% | +13.32% | +6.78% | -2.45% | +17.83% |
| 2017 | 30/10/2017 | 41.44 | near 52w high | -0.05% | -19.59% | -12.31% | -21.43% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 28/10/2016 | 32.40 | neutral | +16.45% | +17.41% | +19.94% | -0.15% | +23.40% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-14.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -85.0% · from 52w low: +47.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -8.05% · -11.99% · -9.20% · -33.32% |
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| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -9.34% · -14.13% · -19.66% |
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| Distance from 52w high / low | -85.05% · +47.44% |
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| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 5.48 · 1.11x |
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Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -7.12% |
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| vs SPY (20d) | -7.31% |
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| vs SMH (20d) | -5.00% |
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Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 139.80 · 147.59 · 157.75 |
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| 52w high / low | 847.70 · 85.96 |
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