🕰️ Time Machine

CAT — Caterpillar Inc.

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
687.00 -2.42%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in 5 days
28/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 15/10/2026
since -6.61%
Trend
Strong downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 02/09/2026
771.39
Days: 36 trading / 51 calendar · return since: -10.94%
Last major high · 30/06/2026
1,073.46
Days: 81 trading / 115 calendar · return since: -36.00%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 02/09/2026 @ 771.39Cycle 30Trading📅 15/10/2026-6 (±2)Passed
Low 02/09/2026 @ 771.39Cycle 45Calendar📅 17/10/2026-6 (±2)Passed
High 30/06/2026 @ 1,073.46Cycle 120Calendar📅 28/10/2026+5 (±3)Upcoming
Low 02/09/2026 @ 771.39Cycle 60Calendar📅 01/11/2026+9 (±2)Upcoming
Low 02/09/2026 @ 771.39Cycle 45Trading📅 05/11/2026+9 (±2)Upcoming
High 30/06/2026 @ 1,073.46Cycle 90Trading📅 05/11/2026+9 (±3)Upcoming
High 30/06/2026 @ 1,073.46Cycle 144Calendar📅 21/11/2026+29 (±3)Upcoming
Low 02/09/2026 @ 771.39Cycle 60Trading📅 27/11/2026+24 (±2)Upcoming
Low 02/09/2026 @ 771.39Cycle 90Calendar📅 01/12/2026+39 (±3)Upcoming
High 30/06/2026 @ 1,073.46Cycle 120Trading📅 18/12/2026+39 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Failed Breakdown 22/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 17/10/2026
● Hammer Reversal 21/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 17/10/2026
● Gap Day 20/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 17/10/2026
● Hammer Reversal 15/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 15/10/2026
● Gap Day 15/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 15/10/2026
● Doji After Run 12/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 15/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 30/09/2026
● Failed Breakout 30/09/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 15/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.71% · Win 67% · DD -5.06%20 days: Avg +5.24% · Win 78% · DD -5.85%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/10/2025534.05near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.49%+9.95%+7.61%-3.49%+9.95%
202415/10/2024387.99near 52w high+0.48%+0.24%+1.66%-2.69%+7.83%
202316/10/2023270.79neutral-8.20%-10.11%-10.29%-16.09%+0.69%
202214/10/2022178.19neutral+7.47%+23.92%+33.61%+0.00%+33.61%
202115/10/2021199.02neutral+1.38%+3.07%+5.73%-0.91%+8.25%
202015/10/2020165.04near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.80%-5.71%+3.10%-7.85%+5.04%
201915/10/2019131.03neutral+2.83%+8.71%+12.56%-0.64%+13.96%
201815/10/2018141.80neutral-8.65%-19.11%-11.29%-20.27%+1.35%
201716/10/2017131.47near 52w high+0.76%+4.44%+4.47%-0.71%+6.21%
Passed 17/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.38% · Win 56% · DD -5.99%20 days: Avg +4.37% · Win 67% · DD -5.99%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/10/2025527.08near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.54%+9.84%+5.42%-2.22%+11.40%
202417/10/2024394.49near 52w high-1.53%-4.29%-1.45%-4.29%+6.06%
202317/10/2023272.65neutral-8.00%-16.66%-8.62%-16.66%+0.00%
202217/10/2022180.80neutral+6.52%+20.52%+31.68%-0.14%+31.68%
202118/10/2021198.18neutral+2.60%+4.21%+5.39%-0.49%+8.71%
202016/10/2020168.75near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.9+0.52%-6.36%+2.38%-9.88%+2.73%
201917/10/2019132.07neutral+2.14%+5.16%+9.46%-0.25%+13.06%
201817/10/2018141.34neutral-20.01%-13.62%-10.93%-20.01%+0.00%
201717/10/2017130.54near 52w high+6.53%+4.65%+5.99%+0.00%+6.97%
Upcoming 28/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.76% · Win 90% · DD -1.81%20 days: Avg +6.09% · Win 80% · DD -2.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/10/2025524.47near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.41%+8.29%+8.03%+0.00%+11.63%
202428/10/2024390.61near 52w high · volume x1.6-3.61%+1.52%+3.85%-3.69%+6.73%
202327/10/2023238.56far below SMA50+0.92%+0.47%+3.70%-5.24%+6.08%
202228/10/2022219.34far above SMA50 · volume x1.6+3.88%+7.82%+5.91%-2.19%+8.17%
202128/10/2021204.09neutral-0.24%+2.18%-2.63%-2.63%+4.98%
202028/10/2020151.16volume x1.7+2.69%+12.11%+15.53%+0.00%+17.03%
201928/10/2019140.06near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.90%+5.67%+4.54%-1.61%+5.78%
201829/10/2018113.98near 52w low · far below SMA50+10.91%+9.67%+9.32%+0.00%+18.53%
201727/10/2017137.81near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.86%-0.97%-0.45%-2.69%+0.73%
201628/10/201683.88near 52w high-1.87%+10.88%+13.14%-3.30%+14.66%
Upcoming 01/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.76% · Win 80% · DD -1.73%20 days: Avg +4.85% · Win 70% · DD -2.58%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202531/10/2025577.26near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.45%-4.02%-1.59%-5.39%+0.00%
202401/11/2024379.63neutral+3.62%+1.17%+6.03%-0.82%+9.81%
202301/11/2023231.83far below SMA50 · volume x1.5+1.29%+8.31%+8.15%+0.00%+9.16%
202201/11/2022218.50far above SMA50+5.18%+7.36%+8.20%-1.81%+8.59%
202101/11/2021205.38neutral+4.32%+1.13%-5.86%-5.86%+4.32%
202002/11/2020163.27near 52w high+4.62%+6.08%+6.12%-4.92%+8.35%
201901/11/2019144.49near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.54%+0.57%-1.06%-2.06%+2.54%
201801/11/2018124.70far below SMA50+5.36%+3.79%+8.80%-1.95%+8.80%
201701/11/2017136.29near 52w high+0.73%-1.61%+3.57%-1.61%+3.57%
201601/11/201682.24near 52w low+2.97%+14.83%+16.20%-1.37%+16.95%
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.60% · Win 40% · DD -1.66%20 days: Avg +4.27% · Win 80% · DD -2.56%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/11/2025569.15near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.68%-2.82%+5.27%-4.04%+5.27%
202405/11/2024383.37neutral+2.51%-0.27%+4.21%-0.49%+8.74%
202306/11/2023238.28far below SMA50+1.42%+5.11%+7.10%-1.73%+7.76%
202204/11/2022227.85near 52w high · far above SMA50+3.79%+1.57%+2.07%-1.01%+4.13%
202105/11/2021205.88neutral+1.65%-2.64%-2.23%-7.00%+4.07%
202005/11/2020163.09near 52w high+3.70%+6.02%+11.72%-1.10%+11.72%
201905/11/2019146.37near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.02%-2.18%-4.27%-4.31%+1.22%
201805/11/2018126.41far below SMA50-1.12%-0.34%+2.30%-3.28%+9.92%
201706/11/2017137.71near 52w high-0.86%-0.58%+1.76%-2.62%+2.77%
201604/11/201682.31near 52w low+13.00%+12.19%+14.75%+0.00%+16.92%
Upcoming 21/11/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.93% · Win 70% · DD -1.23%20 days: Avg +3.21% · Win 70% · DD -2.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/11/2025550.43neutral+3.20%+8.37%+5.81%+0.00%+13.66%
202421/11/2024389.59neutral+4.24%+1.40%-6.04%-7.50%+4.68%
202321/11/2023249.41neutral+0.02%+2.63%+16.16%-1.36%+17.46%
202221/11/2022232.17near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.27%-1.67%+1.28%-2.10%+2.19%
202122/11/2021202.38neutral-4.46%+1.04%-2.01%-5.39%+2.32%
202020/11/2020172.23near 52w high+0.79%+3.76%+4.60%+0.00%+5.79%
201921/11/2019143.36near 52w high+0.96%-0.45%+2.94%-2.30%+2.94%
201821/11/2018123.87neutral+5.13%-0.26%-3.07%-3.07%+12.17%
201721/11/2017137.60near 52w high+0.33%+1.99%+10.84%-0.30%+10.84%
201621/11/201692.90near 52w high+1.23%+2.50%+1.55%-0.34%+4.77%
Upcoming 27/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.03% · Win 90% · DD -1.94%20 days: Avg +3.90% · Win 80% · DD -3.21%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/11/2025573.73near 52w high+4.43%+9.04%+1.62%-2.06%+9.04%
202427/11/2024403.70near 52w high-2.16%-5.68%-9.62%-10.73%+0.60%
202327/11/2023247.39neutral+2.98%+5.47%+19.50%+0.00%+19.50%
202228/11/2022232.30near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.12%+0.33%+4.67%-2.16%+4.67%
202126/11/2021198.73neutral-0.47%+2.38%+3.85%-3.65%+3.85%
202027/11/2020175.08near 52w high+4.07%+2.40%+1.88%-1.04%+4.07%
201927/11/2019145.69near 52w high-3.18%+0.75%+1.78%-3.86%+1.93%
201827/11/2018124.60neutral+3.79%+0.62%+1.66%-6.14%+11.52%
201727/11/2017137.19near 52w high+3.14%+4.80%+14.03%+0.00%+14.03%
201628/11/201694.90near 52w high-0.47%+0.19%-0.37%-2.44%+2.56%
Upcoming 01/12/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.31% · Win 60% · DD -2.50%20 days: Avg +2.27% · Win 70% · DD -3.65%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/12/2025568.06near 52w high+5.01%+3.82%+1.64%-1.09%+10.13%
202402/12/2024402.51near 52w high-0.81%-5.86%-9.88%-10.47%+0.00%
202301/12/2023256.76neutral+1.07%+11.29%+14.00%-0.78%+16.11%
202201/12/2022235.69near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.02%-2.13%+1.64%-3.56%+3.16%
202101/12/2021191.47neutral+6.64%+5.79%+7.63%+0.00%+8.28%
202001/12/2020173.26near 52w high+3.22%+4.89%+3.91%+0.00%+5.17%
201902/12/2019142.96near 52w high-0.09%+1.68%+3.30%-2.03%+3.88%
201830/11/2018135.67neutral-9.05%-8.26%-6.85%-13.80%+2.42%
201701/12/2017141.52near 52w high · volume x1.8+1.65%+3.65%+10.97%-0.98%+11.94%
201601/12/201696.24near 52w high · volume x1.6+0.03%-1.78%-3.64%-3.80%+1.13%
Upcoming 18/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.12% · Win 70% · DD -1.43%20 days: Avg +7.10% · Win 90% · DD -1.91%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/12/2025565.83neutral+3.03%+8.88%+11.42%+0.00%+14.38%
202418/12/2024363.89neutral+0.89%-0.03%+9.87%-3.54%+9.87%
202318/12/2023285.71near 52w high · far above SMA50+3.47%-0.49%-1.33%-2.48%+4.34%
202219/12/2022232.29near 52w high+4.67%+3.90%+6.30%+0.00%+11.27%
202117/12/2021201.37volume x1.9+2.49%+2.80%+14.15%-2.93%+14.15%
202018/12/2020180.96near 52w high · volume x1.8-1.43%+1.48%+6.85%-2.42%+9.16%
201918/12/2019147.12near 52w high+0.75%+0.90%+1.15%-1.43%+2.32%
201818/12/2018124.27neutral+0.39%-2.22%+8.26%-5.89%+8.26%
201718/12/2017149.77near 52w high+4.45%+5.01%+12.73%+0.00%+13.71%
201619/12/201692.71near 52w high+1.98%+0.93%+1.56%-0.37%+2.09%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-14.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -36.0% · from 52w low: +33.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-5.99% · -14.18% · -16.38% · -15.10%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-12.04% · -14.10% · -15.04%
Distance from 52w high / low-36.00% · +33.92%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg29.79 · 1.14x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-10.99%
vs SPY (20d)-14.91%
vs SMH (20d)-3.30%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200781.05 · 799.74 · 808.62
52w high / low1,073.46 · 513.01