🕰️ Time Machine

CAT — Caterpillar Inc.

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026

Last price (Close)
873.28 -2.38%
Next window · Cycle 144 · in 4 days
31/07/2026
Last window · Cycle 90 · 17/07/2026
since -0.80%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 09/03/2026
662.85
Days: 95 trading / 140 calendar · return since: +31.75%
Last major high · 12/02/2026
789.81
Days: 111 trading / 165 calendar · return since: +10.57%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 09/03/2026 @ 662.85Cycle 90Trading📅 17/07/2026-5 (±3)Passed
Low 09/03/2026 @ 662.85Cycle 144Calendar📅 31/07/2026+4 (±3)Upcoming
High 12/02/2026 @ 789.81Cycle 120Trading📅 07/08/2026+9 (±3)Upcoming
High 12/02/2026 @ 789.81Cycle 180Calendar📅 11/08/2026+15 (±3)Upcoming
Low 09/03/2026 @ 662.85Cycle 120Trading📅 31/08/2026+25 (±3)Upcoming
Low 09/03/2026 @ 662.85Cycle 180Calendar📅 05/09/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming
High 12/02/2026 @ 789.81Cycle 144Trading📅 11/09/2026+33 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Doji After Run 21/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 17/07/2026
NR7 Compression 21/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 17/07/2026
Gap Day 21/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 17/07/2026
Failed Breakdown 15/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 17/07/2026
Gap Day 14/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 17/07/2026
NR7 Compression 13/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 17/07/2026
Bullish Engulfing 08/07/2026
Hammer Reversal 07/07/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 17/07/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.58% · Win 56% · DD -1.88%20 days: Avg +1.79% · Win 67% · DD -4.10%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/07/2025418.07near 52w high · far above SMA50+3.12%+5.16%+0.23%-1.92%+5.16%
202417/07/2024357.80neutral-5.70%-2.85%-5.26%-11.10%+0.00%
202317/07/2023257.46near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.24%+3.50%+11.07%+0.00%+12.67%
202218/07/2022173.49near 52w low · far below SMA50+5.53%+13.10%+13.73%+0.00%+15.07%
202116/07/2021207.95neutral+1.30%-0.04%+5.67%-1.82%+7.17%
202017/07/2020136.90far above SMA50+0.50%-2.94%+2.24%-3.93%+4.14%
201917/07/2019135.73neutral-2.07%-2.24%-14.47%-14.47%+2.53%
201817/07/2018138.95neutral-0.10%+4.13%-2.30%-2.30%+4.13%
201717/07/2017108.84near 52w high+0.11%+5.45%+5.23%-1.36%+6.15%
Upcoming 31/07/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.45% · Win 50% · DD -4.40%20 days: Avg +0.13% · Win 60% · DD -4.76%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202531/07/2025438.02near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6-4.77%-4.68%-0.71%-6.90%+0.00%
202431/07/2024346.20neutral-5.89%-2.49%+0.58%-8.49%+1.43%
202331/07/2023265.17near 52w high · far above SMA50+6.21%+7.30%+3.63%+0.00%+8.85%
202201/08/2022194.86neutral-4.64%+0.56%-1.58%-6.15%+2.06%
202130/07/2021206.75volume x1.8+0.77%+5.72%+2.94%-1.11%+7.21%
202031/07/2020132.88volume x2.2+1.54%+5.33%+8.09%-1.02%+8.09%
201931/07/2019131.67neutral-8.27%-12.50%-12.77%-13.89%+0.00%
201831/07/2018143.80volume x1.6-0.99%-6.18%-1.25%-8.19%+0.00%
201731/07/2017113.95near 52w high+0.67%-0.21%+0.98%-0.97%+1.64%
201601/08/201681.95near 52w high+1.82%+2.68%+1.40%-0.87%+3.00%
Upcoming 07/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.14% · Win 50% · DD -2.17%20 days: Avg +1.39% · Win 60% · DD -2.87%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/08/2025417.12neutral+0.09%+0.18%+1.43%-2.24%+4.45%
202407/08/2024325.80neutral+3.62%+5.27%+2.38%+0.00%+9.30%
202307/08/2023281.65near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.03%-3.16%-0.01%-4.38%+1.63%
202208/08/2022185.81neutral+5.46%+3.20%-2.77%-2.77%+7.03%
202106/08/2021208.35neutral+4.91%-1.64%+0.97%-1.87%+6.39%
202007/08/2020134.92neutral+3.74%+2.60%+9.83%+0.00%+10.64%
201907/08/2019120.78neutral-4.61%-2.57%+1.83%-6.13%+1.83%
201807/08/2018142.38neutral-5.24%-1.68%-1.26%-7.28%+0.00%
201707/08/2017114.71near 52w high-0.87%-0.97%+3.13%-1.62%+3.13%
201608/08/201683.44near 52w high+0.85%+0.18%-1.63%-2.38%+1.16%
Upcoming 11/08/2026 · High Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.58% · Win 50% · DD -2.39%20 days: Avg +1.67% · Win 50% · DD -3.46%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/08/2025408.54neutral+1.00%+5.82%+2.34%-0.18%+6.64%
202412/08/2024336.03neutral+2.57%+4.50%-0.56%-1.98%+5.97%
202311/08/2023285.22near 52w high · far above SMA50-4.00%-4.44%-1.11%-5.58%+0.36%
202211/08/2022194.00neutral+1.73%+2.52%-2.32%-6.88%+2.52%
202111/08/2021221.66volume x2.2-5.35%-3.11%-7.33%-7.76%+0.00%
202011/08/2020142.53neutral-2.92%-0.97%+7.13%-3.54%+7.13%
201912/08/2019116.72near 52w low · far below SMA50+0.55%-1.97%+11.63%-2.86%+11.63%
201810/08/2018135.92neutral+2.52%+1.68%+4.51%-2.87%+4.51%
201711/08/2017112.85near 52w high+0.95%+2.22%+5.33%+0.00%+5.33%
201611/08/201683.24near 52w high+0.17%-0.48%-2.94%-2.94%+1.41%
Upcoming 31/08/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.24% · Win 60% · DD -2.12%20 days: Avg +3.54% · Win 70% · DD -3.92%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/08/2025419.04neutral+0.89%+4.03%+12.55%-0.94%+12.66%
202430/08/2024356.10neutral-6.19%-2.29%+9.83%-7.51%+9.83%
202331/08/2023281.13near 52w high+0.41%-0.70%-2.89%-4.13%+1.82%
202231/08/2022184.71neutral-0.84%-1.20%-10.18%-12.06%+4.16%
202131/08/2021210.87neutral-1.94%-2.44%-6.16%-9.97%+0.43%
202031/08/2020142.31neutral+4.36%+4.42%+3.58%+0.00%+8.12%
201930/08/2019119.00neutral+6.93%+11.89%+6.14%-1.66%+12.42%
201831/08/2018138.85neutral+2.30%+5.31%+9.67%-0.44%+12.63%
201731/08/2017117.49near 52w high+0.28%+3.30%+6.15%-0.43%+6.59%
201631/08/201681.95near 52w high+1.94%+0.10%+6.74%-2.10%+6.74%
Upcoming 05/09/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.82% · Win 50% · DD -2.08%20 days: Avg +4.81% · Win 60% · DD -3.52%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/09/2025423.08near 52w high+1.99%+10.27%+17.67%-1.18%+17.67%
202405/09/2024333.56neutral+1.80%+11.92%+17.25%-1.26%+18.13%
202305/09/2023281.63near 52w high+0.06%-0.70%-4.50%-4.50%+0.45%
202206/09/2022180.66neutral+2.02%-1.48%-0.57%-10.09%+6.50%
202103/09/2021210.37neutral-1.98%-9.29%-8.20%-9.76%+0.00%
202004/09/2020148.18near 52w high · volume x1.7+3.60%-1.92%+3.58%-2.56%+3.84%
201905/09/2019122.99neutral+7.12%+5.80%-2.40%-2.46%+8.77%
201805/09/2018140.59neutral+2.62%+8.66%+12.54%+0.00%+12.54%
201705/09/2017118.30near 52w high+2.23%+5.44%+6.09%-1.12%+6.09%
201606/09/201682.08near 52w high-2.25%-0.46%+6.62%-2.25%+8.15%
Upcoming 11/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.18% · Win 50% · DD -4.00%20 days: Avg +3.12% · Win 60% · DD -5.01%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/09/2025431.38near 52w high+8.25%+7.50%+15.99%+0.00%+16.40%
202411/09/2024335.00neutral+6.01%+12.91%+18.27%+0.00%+18.88%
202311/09/2023282.05near 52w high-0.39%-2.76%-3.81%-7.53%+0.18%
202212/09/2022192.40neutral-5.35%-15.48%-7.14%-15.57%+0.00%
202110/09/2021205.01neutral-2.57%-3.99%-4.80%-7.40%+0.58%
202011/09/2020153.83near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.94%-5.15%+3.32%-6.14%+3.32%
201911/09/2019133.09volume x1.8-1.52%-4.87%-10.26%-11.36%+0.52%
201811/09/2018142.03neutral+4.96%+8.49%+5.23%+0.00%+11.40%
201711/09/2017118.87near 52w high+4.17%+4.58%+6.74%+0.00%+6.78%
201612/09/201681.92near 52w high-0.05%+0.55%+7.69%-2.06%+9.16%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-5.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -18.6% · from 52w low: +115.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-0.61% · -8.14% · -17.23% · +6.97%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-6.84% · -5.70% · +19.65%
Distance from 52w high / low-18.65% · +115.38%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg40.22 · 0.83x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-12.45%
vs SPY (20d)-17.89%
vs SMH (20d)-3.36%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200937.37 · 926.05 · 729.86
52w high / low1,073.46 · 405.46