📡 CBSH — Commerce Bancshares

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/06/2026

Last price (Close)
54.56 +1.26%
Next window · Gann 60 · in 3 days
15/06/2026
Last window · Short 21 · 05/06/2026
since +2.85%
Trend
Neutral

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 19/03/2026
46.99
Days: 57 trading / 83 calendar · return since: +16.11%
Last major high · 06/05/2026
53.09
Days: 24 trading / 35 calendar · return since: +2.77%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 06/05/2026 @ 53.09Short 21Trading05/06/2026-3 (±1)Passed
High 06/05/2026 @ 53.09Gann 30Calendar05/06/2026-5 (±2)Passed
Low 19/03/2026 @ 46.99Gann 60Trading15/06/2026+3 (±2)Upcoming
Low 19/03/2026 @ 46.99Gann 90Calendar17/06/2026+7 (±3)Upcoming
High 06/05/2026 @ 53.09Gann 30Trading18/06/2026+6 (±2)Upcoming
High 06/05/2026 @ 53.09Gann 45Calendar20/06/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
High 06/05/2026 @ 53.09Gann 60Calendar05/07/2026+25 (±2)Upcoming
High 06/05/2026 @ 53.09Gann 45Trading09/07/2026+21 (±2)Upcoming
Low 19/03/2026 @ 46.99Gann 120Calendar17/07/2026+37 (±3)Upcoming
Low 19/03/2026 @ 46.99Gann 90Trading27/07/2026+33 (±3)Upcoming
High 06/05/2026 @ 53.09Gann 60Trading30/07/2026+36 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 05/06/2026 · High Short 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.32% · Win 33% · DD -3.87%20 days: Avg -0.69% · Win 56% · DD -5.32%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/06/202559.59neutral-0.41%-2.50%+4.23%-3.23%+4.23%
202405/06/202449.19neutral-0.52%-1.44%+1.46%-2.36%+3.02%
202305/06/202341.77near 52w low+3.97%+0.14%+1.41%-5.50%+7.63%
202206/06/202259.37neutral-5.38%-5.81%-3.04%-8.00%+1.12%
202104/06/202163.18neutral-2.06%-7.92%-2.27%-7.92%+0.00%
202005/06/202053.48far above SMA50-10.71%-9.41%-15.53%-16.16%+0.69%
201905/06/201946.28neutral+0.17%-0.87%+1.72%-2.77%+2.11%
201805/06/201849.25near 52w high-0.58%+0.69%-1.38%-1.61%+1.81%
201705/06/201740.44neutral+5.77%+6.20%+7.18%-0.28%+7.18%
Upcoming 15/06/2026 · Low Gann 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.05% · Win 50% · DD -3.82%20 days: Avg +1.51% · Win 60% · DD -4.33%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/06/202557.92volume x1.9+1.07%+4.74%+4.09%-0.89%+8.70%
202414/06/202448.03neutral+2.17%+4.29%+15.68%+0.00%+15.68%
202315/06/202343.42neutral-9.09%-3.10%-1.43%-9.09%+0.00%
202215/06/202255.80near 52w low-0.11%+1.63%+2.71%-2.12%+3.99%
202115/06/202162.16neutral-2.33%-1.42%-4.04%-6.39%+0.40%
202015/06/202048.41neutral-1.51%-5.33%-10.23%-12.45%+2.35%
201914/06/201946.47neutral-2.43%+0.59%-1.92%-3.61%+2.26%
201815/06/201849.09near 52w high · volume x2.6+0.46%-1.64%+4.09%-1.64%+4.09%
201715/06/201742.56neutral-1.46%+0.51%+2.05%-2.44%+2.07%
201615/06/201635.10near 52w high+0.74%-0.72%+4.12%-4.68%+4.12%
Upcoming 17/06/2026 · Low Gann 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.44% · Win 60% · DD -2.73%20 days: Avg +3.33% · Win 80% · DD -3.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/06/202557.41neutral+1.28%+6.14%+6.62%+0.00%+9.67%
202417/06/202448.48neutral+0.92%+4.53%+15.42%+0.00%+15.42%
202316/06/202342.88volume x2.5-6.06%-0.77%+2.66%-7.96%+2.66%
202217/06/202255.18near 52w low · volume x2.0+4.10%+4.04%+5.73%+0.00%+5.73%
202117/06/202160.07neutral+1.70%+2.86%-0.44%-3.15%+3.83%
202017/06/202047.95neutral-5.57%-5.41%-5.49%-11.62%+1.03%
201917/06/201945.64neutral-1.56%+3.07%+0.50%-1.85%+4.12%
201818/06/201849.17near 52w high-0.38%-0.97%+3.64%-1.79%+3.93%
201716/06/201742.53volume x4.0-2.35%-0.28%+1.19%-2.35%+2.16%
201617/06/201634.75near 52w high-0.41%+1.22%+3.44%-3.71%+5.17%
Upcoming 18/06/2026 · High Gann 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.64% · Win 70% · DD -2.58%20 days: Avg +3.17% · Win 80% · DD -3.09%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/06/202557.55neutral+2.98%+6.83%+6.95%+0.00%+9.40%
202418/06/202448.59neutral+1.42%+3.55%+18.56%-0.22%+18.56%
202316/06/202342.88volume x2.5-6.06%-0.77%+2.66%-7.96%+2.66%
202217/06/202255.18near 52w low · volume x2.0+4.10%+4.04%+5.73%+0.00%+5.73%
202118/06/202158.18volume x2.1+7.21%+6.14%+0.38%+0.00%+7.21%
202018/06/202048.05neutral-3.10%-5.27%-7.93%-11.79%+0.83%
201918/06/201945.96neutral-2.54%+0.68%-2.13%-2.54%+3.39%
201818/06/201849.17near 52w high-0.38%-0.97%+3.64%-1.79%+3.93%
201719/06/201742.77neutral-2.48%+0.92%+0.40%-2.91%+1.57%
201617/06/201634.75near 52w high-0.41%+1.22%+3.44%-3.71%+5.17%
Upcoming 20/06/2026 · High Gann 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.75% · Win 60% · DD -2.57%20 days: Avg +3.54% · Win 80% · DD -3.35%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/06/202557.85volume x1.7+2.21%+6.90%+5.86%+0.00%+8.84%
202420/06/202448.48neutral+2.36%+2.94%+18.30%+0.00%+18.82%
202320/06/202341.83near 52w low-2.71%+1.26%+10.78%-5.64%+10.78%
202221/06/202255.92near 52w low+2.19%+2.93%+4.83%-0.32%+4.83%
202121/06/202160.38neutral+1.27%-0.56%-1.43%-3.27%+3.31%
202019/06/202048.45volume x2.5-7.46%-6.76%-9.45%-12.52%+0.00%
201920/06/201945.58neutral+1.13%+4.26%+0.29%-1.72%+4.26%
201820/06/201849.70near 52w high-2.69%-2.70%+2.85%-2.84%+3.06%
201720/06/201742.53neutral-1.63%+1.23%+1.32%-2.35%+2.16%
201620/06/201635.17near 52w high-4.86%-1.95%+2.04%-4.86%+3.93%
Upcoming 05/07/2026 · High Gann 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.84% · Win 70% · DD -2.28%20 days: Avg +1.56% · Win 60% · DD -3.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/07/202561.49neutral+1.38%+0.11%-7.19%-7.19%+2.40%
202405/07/202449.90near 52w high · volume x1.7+5.65%+14.92%+10.87%+0.00%+18.28%
202305/07/202342.35neutral+0.96%+9.40%+8.87%-1.96%+9.48%
202205/07/202257.41neutral-0.36%+1.63%+5.22%-2.12%+5.76%
202106/07/202160.04neutral-0.49%-0.88%-6.14%-6.14%+1.21%
202006/07/202045.17neutral-2.67%-2.88%-0.24%-6.18%+2.08%
201905/07/201947.52neutral-2.26%-3.81%-3.73%-5.34%+0.30%
201805/07/201848.35near 52w high+4.91%+5.71%+6.02%+0.00%+7.42%
201705/07/201743.05near 52w high-2.51%+0.09%+1.20%-2.51%+2.46%
201605/07/201634.48near 52w low+4.98%+4.07%+0.74%+0.00%+5.99%
Upcoming 09/07/2026 · High Gann 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.18% · Win 70% · DD -1.78%20 days: Avg +2.15% · Win 70% · DD -2.80%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/07/202562.17neutral-3.02%-4.01%-7.67%-8.21%+1.27%
202409/07/202451.07near 52w high+8.79%+13.68%+6.66%+0.00%+15.60%
202310/07/202342.52neutral+0.65%+8.41%+9.31%-0.61%+9.31%
202208/07/202258.00neutral-1.18%+0.43%+6.12%-3.11%+6.12%
202109/07/202160.76neutral-1.57%-2.75%-4.12%-7.46%+0.00%
202009/07/202042.38far below SMA50+6.93%+8.80%+7.99%+0.00%+8.82%
201909/07/201946.75neutral-1.89%-0.96%-4.61%-5.36%+1.94%
201809/07/201849.89near 52w high+2.42%+4.11%+2.95%-0.87%+4.11%
201710/07/201742.44neutral+1.39%+2.30%+1.56%-1.13%+3.92%
201608/07/201635.19near 52w high+2.50%+1.78%+3.31%-1.29%+3.86%
Upcoming 17/07/2026 · Low Gann 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.46% · Win 60% · DD -1.32%20 days: Avg +1.41% · Win 50% · DD -2.97%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/07/202561.21volume x2.5-3.89%-4.78%-3.66%-6.86%+0.56%
202417/07/202455.95near 52w high · far above SMA50+3.24%+4.90%-2.42%-3.91%+5.50%
202317/07/202342.79neutral+7.71%+7.35%+5.29%+0.00%+8.60%
202218/07/202257.12neutral+4.60%+6.31%+10.78%+0.00%+10.78%
202116/07/202159.81neutral-1.20%-2.71%-3.33%-5.98%+0.12%
202017/07/202044.24neutral+3.37%+1.42%+7.99%-0.83%+8.24%
201917/07/201944.98volume x2.1+4.39%+5.96%-2.37%-2.37%+5.96%
201817/07/201850.96near 52w high+1.07%-2.18%+2.59%-2.18%+2.59%
201717/07/201743.03near 52w high+0.90%+0.64%-1.82%-4.25%+2.50%
201618/07/201635.95near 52w high-1.37%-2.33%+1.06%-3.36%+1.14%
Upcoming 27/07/2026 · Low Gann 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.59% · Win 50% · DD -3.35%20 days: Avg -0.90% · Win 50% · DD -4.40%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/07/202559.01neutral-1.86%-2.70%+0.32%-3.39%+1.48%
202426/07/202459.03near 52w high · far above SMA50-6.27%-7.11%-2.46%-8.91%+0.00%
202327/07/202345.04neutral+2.78%+0.86%-5.87%-6.71%+3.18%
202227/07/202259.82neutral+1.62%+4.43%+1.81%-0.13%+6.60%
202127/07/202159.61neutral-5.47%-1.73%-2.76%-5.67%+0.00%
202027/07/202044.57volume x1.5+1.09%+5.48%+5.59%-0.33%+7.42%
201926/07/201947.47neutral-3.63%-4.24%-8.47%-8.47%+0.40%
201827/07/201850.79near 52w high+0.48%+2.00%+4.39%-1.85%+5.77%
201727/07/201743.15near 52w high+0.14%-4.25%-5.36%-6.47%+1.45%
201627/07/201635.45near 52w high-0.15%+1.35%+3.77%-2.02%+3.77%
Upcoming 30/07/2026 · High Gann 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.08% · Win 50% · DD -3.05%20 days: Avg -0.46% · Win 60% · DD -4.16%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/07/202558.31neutral-1.57%+1.32%+2.58%-2.24%+2.69%
202430/07/202458.88near 52w high · far above SMA50-7.49%-6.78%-3.05%-8.67%+0.00%
202331/07/202345.94volume x2.2+1.17%-1.92%-6.22%-8.54%+1.17%
202229/07/202260.03volume x1.8+2.53%+4.55%+1.65%+0.00%+6.23%
202130/07/202158.19volume x2.0+0.13%-0.64%+0.27%-3.36%+1.63%
202030/07/202044.92neutral+1.88%+5.79%+4.99%-0.12%+6.59%
201930/07/201947.62neutral-6.35%-5.61%-9.71%-9.71%+0.08%
201830/07/201850.15near 52w high+2.43%+2.89%+5.49%-0.60%+7.13%
201731/07/201743.31near 52w high-0.47%-2.45%-5.70%-6.81%+1.09%
201629/07/201635.29near 52w high+3.02%+2.07%+5.10%-1.56%+5.10%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+6.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -13.7% · from 52w low: +16.1%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+6.79% · +5.58% · +7.25% · +14.38%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+4.56% · +5.98% · +3.60%
Distance from 52w high / low-13.66% · +16.11%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg1.10 · 1.39x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+9.17%
vs SPY (20d)+8.98%
vs SMH (20d)+5.53%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20052.18 · 51.48 · 52.66
52w high / low63.19 · 46.99