🕰️ Time Machine
CCL — Carnival Corporation
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
26.11 -3.58%
Next window · Fib 21 · in window
23/10/2026
Last window · Fib 13 · 13/10/2026
since -2.32%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 24/09/2026
21.45
Days: 21 trading / 29 calendar · return since: +21.72%
Last major high · 05/08/2026
30.22
Days: 56 trading / 79 calendar · return since: -13.60%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 24/09/2026 @ 21.45 | Fib 13 | Trading | 📅 13/10/2026 | -8 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 24/09/2026 @ 21.45 | Fib 21 | Calendar | 📅 15/10/2026 | -8 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 24/09/2026 @ 21.45 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 23/10/2026 | +0 (±1) | In window |
| Low 24/09/2026 @ 21.45 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 24/10/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 30.22 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 29/10/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 30.22 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 03/11/2026 | +11 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 24/09/2026 @ 21.45 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 05/11/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 24/09/2026 @ 21.45 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 08/11/2026 | +16 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 24/09/2026 @ 21.45 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 23/11/2026 | +31 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 24/09/2026 @ 21.45 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 27/11/2026 | +24 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 30.22 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 03/12/2026 | +41 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 30.22 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 11/12/2026 | +34 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 24/09/2026 @ 21.45 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 18/12/2026 | +39 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 23/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 23/10/2026
● Gap Day 23/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 23/10/2026
● Shooting Star 22/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 23/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 16/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 15/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 13/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 13/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 12/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 13/10/2026
● Gap Day 08/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 13/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 05/10/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 13/10/2026 · Low Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.40% · Win 44% · DD -3.38%20 days: Avg +8.87% · Win 67% · DD -5.56%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/10/2025 | 28.09 | neutral | +2.74% | +4.73% | -4.27% | -7.05% | +6.80% |
| 2024 | 14/10/2024 | 20.21 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.29% | +8.46% | +21.72% | +0.00% | +21.72% |
| 2023 | 13/10/2023 | 12.26 | far below SMA50 | -10.03% | -9.22% | +4.08% | -10.03% | +4.32% |
| 2022 | 13/10/2022 | 7.10 | far below SMA50 | +12.68% | +21.83% | +37.75% | +0.00% | +37.75% |
| 2021 | 13/10/2021 | 23.65 | neutral | -5.12% | -8.50% | -0.68% | -8.50% | +4.82% |
| 2020 | 13/10/2020 | 14.03 | far below SMA50 | +4.13% | -1.92% | +19.24% | -12.33% | +37.21% |
| 2019 | 14/10/2019 | 42.04 | neutral | +2.57% | +5.09% | +6.28% | +0.00% | +7.16% |
| 2018 | 12/10/2018 | 58.24 | near 52w low | -1.73% | -6.82% | +0.52% | -7.16% | +1.46% |
| 2017 | 13/10/2017 | 67.94 | near 52w high | -3.03% | -1.07% | -4.83% | -4.96% | +0.44% |
Passed 15/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.29% · Win 33% · DD -5.35%20 days: Avg +6.57% · Win 67% · DD -6.22%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/10/2025 | 28.84 | neutral | +4.02% | -3.36% | -5.93% | -9.47% | +4.02% |
| 2024 | 15/10/2024 | 21.55 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.46% | +2.55% | +14.11% | -2.97% | +14.15% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 12.36 | far below SMA50 | -7.93% | -7.77% | +3.40% | -10.76% | +3.48% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 7.13 | far below SMA50 | +15.01% | +25.39% | +45.16% | +0.00% | +45.16% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 23.67 | neutral | -5.83% | -6.38% | -5.53% | -8.58% | +4.73% |
| 2020 | 15/10/2020 | 14.02 | far below SMA50 | +8.35% | -7.42% | +6.49% | -12.27% | +37.30% |
| 2019 | 15/10/2019 | 42.49 | neutral | +0.14% | +3.93% | +4.68% | -0.24% | +6.02% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 57.72 | near 52w low | -2.15% | -6.32% | +0.09% | -6.32% | +2.37% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 68.24 | near 52w high | -3.14% | -3.25% | -3.31% | -5.38% | +0.00% |
In window 23/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.49% · Win 70% · DD -4.81%20 days: Avg +6.48% · Win 70% · DD -5.60%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/10/2025 | 29.44 | neutral | -3.77% | -10.43% | -13.99% | -13.99% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 23/10/2024 | 21.00 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.52% | +15.38% | +19.43% | -0.43% | +19.67% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 11.38 | far below SMA50 | +0.18% | +7.73% | +28.03% | -2.20% | +30.14% |
| 2022 | 24/10/2022 | 8.22 | neutral | +10.22% | +6.57% | +13.38% | +0.00% | +35.77% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 22.29 | neutral | -0.58% | +11.22% | -8.08% | -8.08% | +11.22% |
| 2020 | 23/10/2020 | 15.36 | neutral | -10.74% | -10.03% | +13.09% | -19.92% | +25.33% |
| 2019 | 23/10/2019 | 44.00 | neutral | -1.80% | +0.84% | -0.75% | -2.52% | +2.39% |
| 2018 | 23/10/2018 | 57.23 | near 52w low | -5.40% | +0.03% | +4.63% | -5.52% | +4.77% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 66.10 | neutral | -0.12% | -0.65% | +0.05% | -2.31% | +1.68% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 47.00 | near 52w high | +4.47% | +4.23% | +9.06% | -1.00% | +9.57% |
In window 24/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.59% · Win 70% · DD -4.31%20 days: Avg +7.39% · Win 70% · DD -5.17%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/10/2025 | 29.40 | neutral | -1.94% | -9.08% | -9.66% | -13.88% | +0.07% |
| 2024 | 24/10/2024 | 20.91 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.21% | +13.25% | +21.23% | +0.00% | +21.23% |
| 2023 | 24/10/2023 | 11.45 | far below SMA50 | +0.09% | +9.69% | +24.02% | -2.79% | +29.34% |
| 2022 | 24/10/2022 | 8.22 | neutral | +10.22% | +6.57% | +13.38% | +0.00% | +35.77% |
| 2021 | 25/10/2021 | 22.05 | neutral | +4.63% | +11.52% | -7.80% | -7.80% | +12.43% |
| 2020 | 23/10/2020 | 15.36 | neutral | -10.74% | -10.03% | +13.09% | -19.92% | +25.33% |
| 2019 | 24/10/2019 | 43.90 | neutral | -2.30% | +2.62% | -0.87% | -2.30% | +2.62% |
| 2018 | 24/10/2018 | 54.75 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +2.36% | +7.16% | +10.59% | -1.24% | +10.59% |
| 2017 | 24/10/2017 | 66.42 | near 52w high | -0.05% | -0.06% | +0.87% | -2.79% | +1.19% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 47.00 | near 52w high | +4.47% | +4.23% | +9.06% | -1.00% | +9.57% |
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.27% · Win 80% · DD -1.83%20 days: Avg +11.16% · Win 80% · DD -4.21%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/10/2025 | 27.87 | volume x1.6 | -3.48% | -2.66% | -8.75% | -11.16% | +3.44% |
| 2024 | 29/10/2024 | 22.10 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.58% | +11.27% | +14.66% | -0.90% | +14.71% |
| 2023 | 30/10/2023 | 11.40 | far below SMA50 | +7.54% | +12.11% | +28.33% | -0.88% | +29.91% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 8.94 | neutral | +0.67% | +15.77% | +4.25% | -4.25% | +24.83% |
| 2021 | 29/10/2021 | 22.16 | neutral | +11.87% | +0.90% | -18.05% | -19.00% | +11.87% |
| 2020 | 29/10/2020 | 12.98 | far below SMA50 | +9.25% | +15.02% | +66.26% | +0.00% | +66.26% |
| 2019 | 29/10/2019 | 44.16 | neutral | +1.59% | +0.72% | +2.35% | -2.88% | +2.35% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 54.07 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +5.16% | +6.84% | +12.93% | +0.00% | +14.51% |
| 2017 | 30/10/2017 | 66.02 | neutral | -0.53% | -0.06% | +1.42% | -2.20% | +1.85% |
| 2016 | 28/10/2016 | 48.45 | near 52w high | -0.85% | +2.83% | +8.19% | -0.85% | +9.21% |
Upcoming 03/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.34% · Win 80% · DD -3.01%20 days: Avg +10.03% · Win 70% · DD -5.48%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/11/2025 | 28.71 | neutral | -6.34% | -11.67% | -10.00% | -13.76% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 04/11/2024 | 21.91 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +12.28% | +11.87% | +19.17% | +0.00% | +19.17% |
| 2023 | 03/11/2023 | 12.55 | neutral | +1.67% | +17.85% | +30.28% | -2.31% | +30.28% |
| 2022 | 03/11/2022 | 8.83 | neutral | +10.76% | +7.70% | +13.25% | -3.06% | +26.39% |
| 2021 | 03/11/2021 | 23.17 | neutral | +1.38% | -7.94% | -22.79% | -29.31% | +6.99% |
| 2020 | 03/11/2020 | 13.71 | far below SMA50 | +22.03% | +31.66% | +54.34% | -2.70% | +57.40% |
| 2019 | 04/11/2019 | 44.21 | neutral | +1.06% | +1.11% | -0.37% | -1.56% | +3.47% |
| 2018 | 02/11/2018 | 57.07 | neutral | +2.58% | +5.06% | +7.93% | -0.37% | +9.45% |
| 2017 | 03/11/2017 | 65.43 | neutral | -1.18% | +1.21% | +3.48% | -1.18% | +3.48% |
| 2016 | 03/11/2016 | 48.32 | near 52w high | +3.31% | +6.58% | +5.02% | -0.58% | +10.90% |
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.48% · Win 70% · DD -3.38%20 days: Avg +10.94% · Win 70% · DD -5.38%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/11/2025 | 26.90 | neutral | +0.86% | -3.05% | -4.01% | -7.96% | +0.86% |
| 2024 | 05/11/2024 | 22.45 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +9.53% | +11.94% | +19.29% | +0.00% | +19.29% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 12.26 | neutral | +4.24% | +18.84% | +34.58% | +0.00% | +34.58% |
| 2022 | 04/11/2022 | 9.00 | neutral | +15.00% | +5.22% | +7.56% | -4.89% | +24.00% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 24.79 | volume x2.3 | -9.80% | -17.35% | -25.01% | -33.92% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 05/11/2020 | 14.18 | neutral | +5.29% | +28.28% | +65.37% | -2.54% | +65.37% |
| 2019 | 05/11/2019 | 44.86 | neutral | -0.85% | -0.82% | -1.05% | -2.99% | +1.97% |
| 2018 | 05/11/2018 | 56.86 | neutral | +1.60% | +3.85% | +3.40% | +0.00% | +9.85% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 65.67 | neutral | +0.47% | +0.70% | +1.09% | -1.54% | +3.10% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 48.04 | near 52w high | +3.71% | +7.20% | +8.21% | +0.00% | +11.54% |
Upcoming 08/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.72% · Win 60% · DD -6.16%20 days: Avg +4.66% · Win 60% · DD -8.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/11/2025 | 26.73 | neutral | -2.66% | -0.64% | -2.69% | -7.37% | +1.50% |
| 2024 | 08/11/2024 | 24.07 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.00% | +3.45% | +5.48% | +0.00% | +11.26% |
| 2023 | 08/11/2023 | 12.79 | neutral | +13.92% | +13.14% | +40.19% | -3.75% | +40.19% |
| 2022 | 08/11/2022 | 9.10 | neutral | +22.64% | +4.07% | -2.31% | -5.93% | +22.64% |
| 2021 | 08/11/2021 | 24.59 | neutral | -9.31% | -17.32% | -24.77% | -33.39% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 09/11/2020 | 19.25 | far above SMA50 · volume x4.4 | -8.73% | -5.56% | +22.44% | -22.44% | +22.44% |
| 2019 | 08/11/2019 | 45.05 | neutral | -0.44% | -1.92% | +1.97% | -3.40% | +1.97% |
| 2018 | 08/11/2018 | 58.12 | neutral | +2.98% | +5.41% | -2.23% | -2.23% | +7.47% |
| 2017 | 08/11/2017 | 65.93 | neutral | -0.23% | +1.99% | +1.06% | -1.93% | +2.69% |
| 2016 | 08/11/2016 | 49.82 | near 52w high | +2.31% | +4.63% | +7.44% | -0.92% | +7.56% |
Upcoming 23/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.52% · Win 60% · DD -4.17%20 days: Avg +5.22% · Win 70% · DD -6.98%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/11/2025 | 24.76 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.8 | +4.36% | +3.03% | +27.87% | +0.00% | +30.05% |
| 2024 | 22/11/2024 | 24.90 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +4.38% | +1.97% | +3.33% | -0.32% | +7.63% |
| 2023 | 22/11/2023 | 14.47 | far above SMA50 | +4.08% | +23.91% | +32.62% | -0.41% | +32.62% |
| 2022 | 23/11/2022 | 9.73 | far above SMA50 | +2.47% | -7.19% | -19.01% | -19.01% | +2.77% |
| 2021 | 23/11/2021 | 20.15 | far below SMA50 | -18.71% | -3.13% | +5.46% | -18.71% | +5.46% |
| 2020 | 23/11/2020 | 18.18 | far above SMA50 | +10.84% | +29.65% | +8.97% | +0.00% | +29.65% |
| 2019 | 22/11/2019 | 43.68 | neutral | +1.85% | +3.96% | +17.35% | -0.32% | +17.35% |
| 2018 | 23/11/2018 | 60.75 | neutral | -0.76% | -7.24% | -23.93% | -23.93% | +1.96% |
| 2017 | 22/11/2017 | 66.79 | near 52w high | -1.72% | -0.91% | -0.67% | -2.41% | +2.01% |
| 2016 | 23/11/2016 | 52.30 | near 52w high | -4.63% | +1.19% | +0.21% | -4.63% | +1.99% |
Upcoming 27/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.56% · Win 70% · DD -3.71%20 days: Avg +4.08% · Win 60% · DD -6.90%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/11/2025 | 25.43 | neutral | +1.53% | +9.48% | +20.72% | +0.00% | +26.62% |
| 2024 | 27/11/2024 | 25.14 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.21% | +4.14% | -0.24% | -1.27% | +6.60% |
| 2023 | 27/11/2023 | 14.62 | far above SMA50 | +11.83% | +20.59% | +27.29% | +0.00% | +31.26% |
| 2022 | 28/11/2022 | 9.32 | neutral | +3.86% | -3.33% | -17.70% | -17.70% | +7.30% |
| 2021 | 26/11/2021 | 17.95 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.5 | -4.18% | +7.41% | +16.71% | -8.75% | +18.38% |
| 2020 | 27/11/2020 | 21.58 | far above SMA50 | +8.67% | -1.20% | +0.60% | -8.20% | +9.22% |
| 2019 | 27/11/2019 | 45.22 | neutral | -2.26% | +3.72% | +13.51% | -3.72% | +13.51% |
| 2018 | 27/11/2018 | 60.55 | neutral | -3.72% | -6.66% | -20.51% | -23.68% | +2.30% |
| 2017 | 27/11/2017 | 66.16 | neutral | +1.65% | +1.31% | -0.71% | -1.48% | +2.98% |
| 2016 | 28/11/2016 | 52.06 | near 52w high | -0.83% | +0.13% | +1.11% | -4.19% | +2.46% |
Upcoming 03/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.54% · Win 50% · DD -4.01%20 days: Avg +0.61% · Win 40% · DD -7.11%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/12/2025 | 26.04 | neutral | +0.92% | +7.64% | +18.74% | -2.04% | +23.66% |
| 2024 | 03/12/2024 | 26.11 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.07% | -1.49% | -4.21% | -4.94% | +2.64% |
| 2023 | 04/12/2023 | 16.35 | far above SMA50 | +7.83% | +12.29% | +0.00% | +0.00% | +17.37% |
| 2022 | 02/12/2022 | 10.00 | far above SMA50 | -11.30% | -15.50% | -20.30% | -23.30% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 03/12/2021 | 17.20 | far below SMA50 | +12.09% | +6.28% | +24.48% | +0.00% | +24.48% |
| 2020 | 03/12/2020 | 22.88 | far above SMA50 | -2.45% | -5.46% | -10.93% | -13.42% | +3.02% |
| 2019 | 03/12/2019 | 43.54 | neutral | +4.09% | +8.41% | +17.85% | +0.00% | +17.89% |
| 2018 | 03/12/2018 | 61.08 | neutral | -8.20% | -7.97% | -22.45% | -24.35% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 04/12/2017 | 67.25 | near 52w high | -0.33% | -0.97% | -0.52% | -3.08% | +1.31% |
| 2016 | 02/12/2016 | 50.40 | volume x1.5 | +5.83% | +2.18% | +3.45% | +0.00% | +5.83% |
Upcoming 11/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.37% · Win 60% · DD -6.02%20 days: Avg +2.50% · Win 70% · DD -7.12%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/12/2025 | 27.84 | neutral | +1.80% | +10.27% | +13.54% | -0.79% | +16.02% |
| 2024 | 11/12/2024 | 26.61 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -6.73% | -3.57% | -10.22% | -10.41% | +0.71% |
| 2023 | 11/12/2023 | 17.63 | far above SMA50 | +4.14% | +5.56% | +0.85% | -7.26% | +8.85% |
| 2022 | 12/12/2022 | 9.01 | neutral | -10.21% | -14.87% | +9.43% | -14.87% | +9.43% |
| 2021 | 10/12/2021 | 19.28 | far below SMA50 | -5.19% | +8.66% | +11.00% | -8.87% | +13.59% |
| 2020 | 11/12/2020 | 21.32 | far above SMA50 | +0.66% | +1.83% | -5.58% | -7.08% | +2.20% |
| 2019 | 11/12/2019 | 45.79 | neutral | +1.73% | +12.10% | +6.68% | +0.00% | +12.10% |
| 2018 | 11/12/2018 | 56.07 | near 52w low | +0.25% | -15.28% | -6.74% | -17.59% | +0.93% |
| 2017 | 11/12/2017 | 67.03 | near 52w high | -0.64% | -2.00% | +1.37% | -2.76% | +1.64% |
| 2016 | 12/12/2016 | 52.13 | near 52w high | -1.55% | +0.98% | +4.66% | -1.55% | +4.66% |
Upcoming 18/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.43% · Win 60% · DD -4.48%20 days: Avg +5.28% · Win 60% · DD -4.81%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/12/2025 | 28.34 | neutral | +8.33% | +11.12% | -1.13% | -1.13% | +13.97% |
| 2024 | 18/12/2024 | 24.82 | neutral | +3.38% | -1.77% | +3.14% | -3.95% | +7.98% |
| 2023 | 18/12/2023 | 18.36 | far above SMA50 | +1.36% | -10.95% | -5.88% | -10.95% | +4.52% |
| 2022 | 19/12/2022 | 8.09 | neutral | -5.19% | +8.03% | +25.09% | -5.19% | +34.49% |
| 2021 | 17/12/2021 | 18.28 | far below SMA50 | +14.61% | +17.12% | +20.24% | +0.00% | +25.55% |
| 2020 | 18/12/2020 | 21.46 | far above SMA50 | +1.16% | -4.01% | -3.17% | -7.69% | +1.54% |
| 2019 | 18/12/2019 | 46.58 | volume x1.7 | +10.20% | +7.11% | +11.42% | +0.00% | +11.42% |
| 2018 | 18/12/2018 | 56.21 | neutral | -15.50% | -15.73% | -4.75% | -17.79% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 18/12/2017 | 66.60 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | -1.37% | +0.45% | +3.63% | -1.37% | +4.64% |
| 2016 | 19/12/2016 | 51.32 | near 52w high | +2.57% | +2.92% | +4.15% | +0.00% | +6.31% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+5.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -23.3% · from 52w low: +21.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +0.81% · -0.91% · +17.35% · -5.49% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +0.63% · +5.50% · -3.86% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -23.27% · +21.72% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.91 · 0.73x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +22.73% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +18.82% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +30.43% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 25.95 · 24.75 · 27.16 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 34.03 · 21.45 |
|---|
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