🕰️ Time Machine

CF — CF Industries

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
120.68 +1.79%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 2 days
25/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 22/10/2026
since +1.79%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 06/08/2026
109.43
Days: 55 trading / 78 calendar · return since: +10.28%
Last major high · 10/09/2026
141.66
Days: 31 trading / 43 calendar · return since: -14.81%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 06/08/2026 @ 109.43Cycle 45Trading📅 09/10/2026-10 (±2)Passed
High 10/09/2026 @ 141.66Fib 21Trading📅 09/10/2026-10 (±1)Passed
High 10/09/2026 @ 141.66Cycle 30Trading📅 22/10/2026-1 (±2)In window
High 10/09/2026 @ 141.66Cycle 45Calendar📅 25/10/2026+2 (±2)In window
Low 06/08/2026 @ 109.43Cycle 60Trading📅 30/10/2026+5 (±2)Upcoming
Low 06/08/2026 @ 109.43Cycle 90Calendar📅 04/11/2026+12 (±3)Upcoming
High 10/09/2026 @ 141.66Cycle 60Calendar📅 09/11/2026+17 (±2)Upcoming
High 10/09/2026 @ 141.66Cycle 45Trading📅 12/11/2026+14 (±2)Upcoming
Low 06/08/2026 @ 109.43Cycle 120Calendar📅 04/12/2026+42 (±3)Upcoming
High 10/09/2026 @ 141.66Cycle 60Trading📅 04/12/2026+29 (±2)Upcoming
Low 06/08/2026 @ 109.43Cycle 90Trading📅 14/12/2026+35 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Bearish Engulfing 07/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 09/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 06/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 09/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 29/09/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 09/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -4.83% · Win 11% · DD -6.84%20 days: Avg -3.99% · Win 11% · DD -9.21%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/10/202588.61neutral-6.31%-1.90%-8.08%-8.08%+0.00%
202409/10/202487.45near 52w high-3.28%-3.75%-5.00%-6.96%+0.94%
202309/10/202386.03neutral-1.99%-6.70%-7.95%-7.95%+0.60%
202210/10/2022106.53neutral-7.18%-2.25%-2.08%-7.97%+1.19%
202108/10/202161.06near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.37%-2.28%-3.05%-7.62%+1.77%
202009/10/202031.33neutral-6.54%-11.97%-12.77%-17.94%+0.00%
201909/10/201948.84neutral+0.14%-6.18%-5.02%-7.15%+3.64%
201809/10/201854.81near 52w high-4.58%-13.90%-5.78%-19.19%+0.00%
201709/10/201734.44neutral+7.11%+5.43%+13.85%+0.00%+13.85%
In window 22/10/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.03% · Win 40% · DD -4.81%20 days: Avg +2.54% · Win 40% · DD -5.79%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/10/202585.93neutral-2.07%-1.02%-7.84%-7.84%+1.16%
202422/10/202483.89neutral-3.02%+3.18%+4.96%-3.02%+4.96%
202323/10/202380.27neutral+1.20%-1.35%-3.62%-3.62%+1.59%
202221/10/2022107.37neutral-1.57%-1.85%-5.25%-5.25%+1.19%
202122/10/202159.67far above SMA50-4.81%-0.79%+9.77%-5.46%+13.77%
202022/10/202027.92far below SMA50-4.08%-2.08%+16.31%-7.92%+17.39%
201922/10/201946.41neutral+0.99%+2.84%-0.76%-2.28%+3.23%
201822/10/201849.06neutral-8.62%+0.88%-6.67%-9.72%+9.40%
201723/10/201736.31near 52w high+2.92%+7.99%-0.66%-1.94%+7.99%
201624/10/201625.35near 52w high-5.29%-8.13%+19.18%-10.85%+19.18%
In window 25/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.51% · Win 70% · DD -4.04%20 days: Avg +4.69% · Win 50% · DD -5.31%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/10/202586.47neutral-3.68%-5.13%-8.63%-9.50%+0.00%
202425/10/202483.19neutral+1.05%+0.63%+8.57%-2.20%+9.59%
202325/10/202380.88neutral-2.00%-1.17%-5.05%-5.05%+0.83%
202225/10/2022107.70neutral+0.09%+0.88%+2.24%-5.54%+2.24%
202125/10/202159.13far above SMA50-2.60%+5.77%+10.46%-4.60%+14.81%
202026/10/202026.83far below SMA50+4.62%+7.94%+34.85%-4.17%+34.85%
201925/10/201946.14neutral+0.28%+1.06%-1.95%-1.95%+3.84%
201825/10/201844.88far below SMA50+13.75%+19.59%-3.11%-3.11%+19.59%
201725/10/201737.68near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.96%+0.27%-2.86%-5.50%+4.06%
201625/10/201625.54near 52w high-2.55%-4.70%+12.43%-11.51%+18.29%
Upcoming 30/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.88% · Win 70% · DD -2.31%20 days: Avg +5.07% · Win 50% · DD -4.23%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/10/202582.81neutral-1.64%+1.84%-4.40%-5.66%+3.31%
202430/10/202481.78neutral+1.59%+4.19%+9.05%+0.00%+11.48%
202330/10/202381.23neutral-2.51%-1.70%-6.46%-6.46%+0.39%
202231/10/2022106.26neutral-1.84%+1.81%+0.52%-4.26%+3.62%
202129/10/202156.80neutral+4.23%+14.22%+11.37%-0.69%+19.52%
202030/10/202027.61far below SMA50-1.01%+13.00%+36.45%-3.44%+41.83%
201930/10/201947.04volume x1.9-1.38%-0.43%-2.33%-3.83%+1.85%
201830/10/201846.25neutral+11.65%+7.11%-7.40%-7.40%+16.04%
201730/10/201737.37near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.92%+0.00%-1.67%-4.72%+4.92%
201631/10/201624.01near 52w low-3.00%+18.80%+15.55%-5.87%+25.83%
Upcoming 04/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.66% · Win 40% · DD -3.67%20 days: Avg +4.26% · Win 40% · DD -5.25%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/11/202584.55neutral-1.03%-3.47%-5.66%-7.60%+1.18%
202404/11/202486.41near 52w high-1.54%+1.72%+9.58%-3.85%+9.58%
202303/11/202381.55neutral-2.48%-4.54%-8.97%-8.97%+0.00%
202204/11/2022105.38neutral-2.43%-3.46%-1.42%-3.46%+4.49%
202104/11/202158.50neutral+9.06%+16.05%+1.69%-1.61%+16.05%
202004/11/202026.66far below SMA50+14.59%+22.94%+44.46%+0.00%+46.89%
201904/11/201947.62neutral-2.46%-4.62%-5.00%-5.00%+0.61%
201805/11/201849.49neutral+3.60%-7.48%-13.50%-14.23%+8.45%
201703/11/201738.60near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.42%-7.34%-3.63%-7.76%+1.58%
201604/11/201623.11near 52w low+21.59%+26.75%+25.09%+0.00%+30.73%
Upcoming 09/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.87% · Win 50% · DD -3.71%20 days: Avg +2.11% · Win 40% · DD -5.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/11/202582.85neutral-2.03%-5.71%-6.87%-6.87%+3.26%
202408/11/202483.71neutral+4.62%+7.89%+6.01%+0.00%+13.12%
202309/11/202380.28neutral+0.29%-1.90%-4.15%-8.34%+0.68%
202209/11/2022104.66neutral-1.49%+1.97%-3.95%-3.95%+5.21%
202109/11/202163.22near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.06%+3.68%-4.49%-8.95%+7.39%
202009/11/202028.96volume x1.6+13.00%+24.93%+34.35%+0.00%+38.01%
201908/11/201946.63neutral-0.87%-2.98%-2.01%-4.06%+2.75%
201809/11/201852.22neutral-9.27%-15.11%-20.33%-20.95%+0.00%
201709/11/201737.14neutral-1.82%-2.45%+6.56%-4.13%+6.56%
201609/11/201626.48near 52w high+4.81%+8.40%+16.00%+0.00%+16.00%
Upcoming 12/11/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.35% · Win 40% · DD -4.45%20 days: Avg +0.70% · Win 40% · DD -6.66%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/11/202584.75neutral-6.56%-6.93%-6.63%-9.68%+0.94%
202412/11/202484.22neutral+4.55%+5.27%+7.27%+0.00%+12.43%
202313/11/202379.85neutral-3.11%-4.85%-6.65%-7.84%+1.22%
202211/11/2022102.82volume x1.8-1.05%+1.93%-3.62%-3.63%+7.09%
202112/11/202164.57near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.96%-2.49%-5.19%-11.27%+4.65%
202012/11/202030.14neutral+7.74%+29.93%+31.94%+0.00%+32.61%
201912/11/201947.91neutral-3.87%-3.96%-6.39%-7.53%+0.00%
201812/11/201851.27neutral-10.69%-15.25%-17.68%-19.49%+0.00%
201713/11/201737.37near 52w high-3.48%-1.67%+9.52%-4.72%+9.52%
201611/11/201627.78near 52w high+4.25%+1.48%+4.39%-2.48%+11.41%
Upcoming 04/12/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.09% · Win 40% · DD -3.83%20 days: Avg +4.76% · Win 80% · DD -5.49%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/12/202580.23neutral-1.96%-2.42%+0.04%-5.16%+0.04%
202404/12/202491.50near 52w high-1.84%-7.73%-3.27%-8.39%+0.00%
202304/12/202373.86neutral+2.19%+4.52%+11.97%-0.87%+11.97%
202205/12/2022103.48neutral-4.61%-10.40%-20.36%-20.81%+0.00%
202103/12/202159.21neutral+3.31%+9.46%+19.22%-1.17%+25.52%
202004/12/202039.57far above SMA50-0.51%-4.88%+1.26%-8.47%+1.26%
201904/12/201944.77neutral-0.47%+3.93%+2.93%-1.68%+8.24%
201804/12/201842.55far below SMA50-1.41%-1.48%+3.31%-5.73%+3.31%
201704/12/201736.90neutral+6.78%+10.92%+16.94%-0.95%+16.94%
201605/12/201628.58neutral+1.47%-1.01%+15.61%-1.64%+15.61%
Upcoming 14/12/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.62% · Win 60% · DD -2.92%20 days: Avg +5.77% · Win 70% · DD -3.44%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/12/202578.75neutral-1.68%-2.31%+8.00%-2.31%+8.00%
202413/12/202489.50neutral-5.05%-6.11%+7.68%-6.35%+7.68%
202314/12/202376.88neutral+3.84%+3.41%-0.92%-0.92%+7.57%
202214/12/202293.00far below SMA50+0.57%-8.05%-6.55%-11.88%+2.23%
202114/12/202162.24neutral+10.20%+18.51%+9.09%+0.00%+19.41%
202014/12/202038.82far above SMA50-3.30%-4.82%+16.67%-6.70%+17.83%
201913/12/201945.14neutral+6.96%+4.92%+0.62%-0.82%+7.35%
201814/12/201842.06far below SMA50-2.45%+3.45%+2.95%-4.64%+7.92%
201714/12/201741.02near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.56%+3.71%-0.76%-0.76%+6.58%
201614/12/201628.11neutral+2.81%+13.48%+20.88%+0.00%+22.77%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-2.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -15.0% · from 52w low: +60.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-0.14% · +8.19% · +5.24% · -3.55%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+3.52% · -2.20% · +4.57%
Distance from 52w high / low-14.99% · +60.01%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg4.05 · 0.83x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+10.63%
vs SPY (20d)+6.72%
vs SMH (20d)+18.32%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200116.57 · 123.40 · 115.40
52w high / low141.96 · 75.42