🕰️ Time Machine

CFR — Frost Bank

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
161.74 -0.09%
Next window · Cycle 144 · in 11 days
21/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 90 · 09/09/2026
since -0.09%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 02/06/2026
132.57
Days: 69 trading / 100 calendar · return since: +22.00%
Last major high · 30/04/2026
147.33
Days: 91 trading / 133 calendar · return since: +9.78%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 02/06/2026 @ 132.57Cycle 60Trading📅 27/08/2026-9 (±2)Passed
Low 02/06/2026 @ 132.57Cycle 90Calendar📅 31/08/2026-10 (±3)Passed
High 30/04/2026 @ 147.33Cycle 90Trading📅 09/09/2026-1 (±3)In window
High 30/04/2026 @ 147.33Cycle 144Calendar📅 21/09/2026+11 (±3)Upcoming
Low 02/06/2026 @ 132.57Cycle 120Calendar📅 30/09/2026+20 (±3)Upcoming
Low 02/06/2026 @ 132.57Cycle 90Trading📅 09/10/2026+21 (±3)Upcoming
High 30/04/2026 @ 147.33Cycle 120Trading📅 21/10/2026+29 (±3)Upcoming
Low 02/06/2026 @ 132.57Cycle 144Calendar📅 24/10/2026+44 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 09/09/2026
Gap Day 08/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 09/09/2026
Failed Breakdown 31/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 31/08/2026
NR7 Compression 24/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 27/08/2026
Bearish Engulfing 21/08/2026
Bullish Engulfing 14/08/2026
Failed Breakout 14/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 27/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.49% · Win 44% · DD -2.87%20 days: Avg +0.97% · Win 56% · DD -4.47%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/08/2025131.94neutral-0.55%-2.23%-2.11%-4.61%+0.00%
202427/08/2024110.72neutral+1.75%-3.67%+1.13%-3.67%+5.26%
202328/08/202395.92near 52w low-0.08%+0.68%-5.58%-5.58%+1.16%
202226/08/2022131.48neutral+0.49%+8.85%+3.72%-0.51%+8.85%
202127/08/2021116.13neutral-1.30%-2.91%+6.09%-5.81%+6.09%
202027/08/202071.82neutral-1.34%-5.06%-11.85%-12.50%+1.42%
201927/08/201980.32near 52w low · far below SMA50+2.19%+13.84%+12.28%+0.00%+14.35%
201827/08/2018112.23neutral-0.12%-1.12%-3.93%-3.93%+0.64%
201728/08/201785.23neutral-1.95%+5.04%+8.94%-3.63%+8.94%
Passed 31/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.82% · Win 44% · DD -2.90%20 days: Avg +0.86% · Win 44% · DD -4.72%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/08/2025129.03neutral+0.50%-1.22%-1.36%-3.21%+0.91%
202430/08/2024112.23neutral-3.24%-1.61%-0.33%-5.77%+2.97%
202331/08/202394.53near 52w low · far below SMA50-1.94%+1.58%-3.51%-6.25%+1.67%
202231/08/2022129.96neutral+8.27%+9.00%+2.89%+0.00%+9.39%
202131/08/2021114.22neutral-1.68%-1.15%+5.95%-4.85%+7.17%
202031/08/202069.46neutral-1.19%-2.88%-8.94%-10.42%+3.83%
201930/08/201983.01near 52w low+3.30%+9.69%+6.67%-2.54%+9.69%
201831/08/2018110.89neutral-0.96%-2.87%-6.36%-6.36%+1.11%
201731/08/201784.20neutral-0.62%+5.82%+12.73%-3.10%+12.73%
In window 09/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.31% · Win 40% · DD -2.87%20 days: Avg +2.25% · Win 50% · DD -3.98%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/09/2025128.52neutral-2.27%-2.36%-0.85%-2.82%+0.28%
202409/09/2024108.59neutral+1.69%+3.64%+4.41%-2.62%+6.42%
202308/09/202392.70near 52w low · far below SMA50+3.58%-2.88%-2.52%-5.19%+3.68%
202209/09/2022141.22near 52w high-2.10%-3.55%-1.95%-6.37%+0.67%
202109/09/2021112.10neutral-0.19%+3.66%+8.82%-3.05%+9.20%
202009/09/202068.37neutral-0.10%-8.67%+1.62%-9.00%+1.62%
201909/09/201985.75neutral+6.18%+3.42%-1.20%-2.53%+6.18%
201810/09/2018109.82neutral-1.92%-2.29%-2.90%-5.45%+0.45%
201708/09/201783.68neutral+6.48%+8.74%+13.40%+0.00%+15.01%
201612/09/201670.47near 52w high-0.53%-2.74%+3.70%-2.74%+3.70%
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.69% · Win 60% · DD -3.09%20 days: Avg +3.73% · Win 90% · DD -4.25%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/09/2025124.89neutral+1.91%+2.47%+0.17%-3.33%+3.27%
202420/09/2024114.24volume x3.1-2.67%-0.81%+8.19%-5.48%+8.60%
202321/09/202390.93near 52w low · far below SMA50-0.35%-0.79%+0.46%-3.34%+3.45%
202221/09/2022140.00neutral-3.71%+0.41%+3.62%-5.56%+6.06%
202121/09/2021108.68neutral+10.91%+11.92%+15.84%+0.00%+15.84%
202021/09/202064.18volume x1.7+0.95%+4.43%+4.38%-3.05%+9.13%
201920/09/201988.51volume x3.8-0.53%-4.61%+2.86%-7.08%+2.86%
201821/09/2018109.43volume x3.6-4.56%-3.76%-11.91%-11.91%+0.00%
201721/09/201791.69neutral+3.37%+3.49%+6.88%-0.76%+6.88%
201621/09/201669.93near 52w high+0.93%+4.18%+6.82%-1.99%+6.82%
Upcoming 30/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.15% · Win 70% · DD -2.41%20 days: Avg +5.65% · Win 70% · DD -3.77%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/09/2025126.77neutral+0.52%+1.74%-2.78%-4.76%+1.74%
202430/09/2024111.86neutral+1.36%+7.28%+18.32%-3.47%+18.32%
202329/09/202391.21near 52w low-0.93%-0.83%-1.69%-8.28%+3.14%
202230/09/2022132.22neutral+4.73%+9.26%+17.39%+0.00%+17.39%
202130/09/2021118.62neutral+2.84%+3.84%+10.87%+0.00%+10.99%
202030/09/202063.95neutral+8.65%+4.19%+4.11%-0.31%+12.81%
201930/09/201988.55neutral-4.33%-1.38%+5.86%-7.13%+6.43%
201801/10/2018103.84neutral+2.69%-4.15%-8.02%-11.64%+3.05%
201729/09/201794.92near 52w high-0.03%+1.26%+6.83%-0.85%+6.83%
201630/09/201671.94near 52w high+0.38%+0.24%+5.64%-1.25%+5.74%
Upcoming 09/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.89% · Win 70% · DD -3.24%20 days: Avg +6.59% · Win 80% · DD -3.65%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/10/2025127.87neutral-5.58%-3.39%-3.23%-5.58%+0.87%
202409/10/2024116.55neutral+5.75%+7.61%+23.26%-0.63%+23.26%
202309/10/202390.57near 52w low+2.50%-6.37%+5.37%-7.63%+6.66%
202210/10/2022138.62neutral+5.56%+1.97%+14.20%-0.40%+14.20%
202108/10/2021122.91near 52w high+0.61%+6.83%+9.92%-1.37%+13.04%
202009/10/202069.59neutral-1.32%+3.66%+1.74%-4.44%+7.60%
201909/10/201984.03neutral+6.87%+12.15%+11.20%+0.00%+13.21%
201809/10/2018106.25neutral-5.86%-10.77%-4.20%-13.65%+0.00%
201709/10/201794.91near 52w high+2.33%+3.15%+3.05%+0.00%+6.84%
201610/10/201673.08near 52w high-2.01%+4.09%+4.60%-2.79%+4.60%
Upcoming 21/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.33% · Win 70% · DD -1.80%20 days: Avg +7.05% · Win 80% · DD -2.40%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/10/2025124.90neutral-1.33%-1.28%-3.53%-4.00%+0.66%
202421/10/2024120.46near 52w high+9.87%+3.69%+14.96%+0.00%+19.26%
202320/10/202386.10near 52w low+4.15%+12.20%+15.23%-2.83%+15.23%
202221/10/2022142.08neutral+9.24%+10.23%+2.13%-0.51%+11.63%
202121/10/2021129.01near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.94%+3.16%+3.95%-0.99%+7.70%
202021/10/202068.17neutral-2.33%+0.65%+22.31%-2.45%+24.20%
201921/10/201992.30neutral+1.56%+0.72%+1.27%-2.41%+3.07%
201822/10/201894.54near 52w low · far below SMA50+1.03%+6.15%+6.88%-2.95%+9.08%
201720/10/201799.17near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.25%-1.32%-3.82%-6.14%+2.25%
201621/10/201674.88near 52w high+1.50%-0.92%+11.08%-1.75%+12.62%
Upcoming 24/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.41% · Win 80% · DD -2.65%20 days: Avg +5.84% · Win 80% · DD -2.99%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/10/2025124.86neutral-1.38%+0.70%-0.98%-4.01%+0.70%
202424/10/2024127.49near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.11%+8.28%+9.44%-2.02%+12.68%
202324/10/202384.81near 52w low+7.29%+11.50%+15.14%-1.36%+17.17%
202224/10/2022141.35neutral+9.69%+11.99%+3.11%+0.00%+12.20%
202125/10/2021131.66near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.78%+2.97%+1.22%-2.98%+5.53%
202023/10/202072.14volume x1.7-2.59%-1.86%+15.28%-7.82%+17.37%
201924/10/201992.41neutral-2.52%+2.10%+0.80%-2.52%+2.94%
201824/10/201891.75near 52w low · far below SMA50+6.72%+11.71%+7.30%+0.00%+12.39%
201724/10/201798.90near 52w high-0.40%-3.78%-2.45%-5.88%+2.53%
201624/10/201676.07near 52w high-0.11%+0.49%+9.54%-3.29%+10.86%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-0.6%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -5.3% · from 52w low: +35.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+0.05% · -0.31% · -3.12% · +12.23%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-1.24% · -0.61% · +12.32%
Distance from 52w high / low-5.31% · +35.91%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg2.91 · 0.02x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-1.14%
vs SPY (20d)-1.23%
vs SMH (20d)+0.81%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200163.77 · 162.73 · 143.99
52w high / low170.80 · 119.00