🕰️ Time Machine

CG — Carlyle Group (The)

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
43.07 -2.36%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 5 days
17/09/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 03/09/2026
since -9.80%
Trend
Downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 29/06/2026
39.60
Days: 51 trading / 73 calendar · return since: +8.76%
Last major high · 05/08/2026
52.16
Days: 25 trading / 36 calendar · return since: -17.43%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 29/06/2026 @ 39.60Cycle 45Trading📅 01/09/2026-6 (±2)Passed
High 05/08/2026 @ 52.16Fib 21Trading📅 03/09/2026-4 (±1)Passed
High 05/08/2026 @ 52.16Cycle 30Calendar📅 04/09/2026-6 (±2)Passed
High 05/08/2026 @ 52.16Cycle 30Trading📅 17/09/2026+5 (±2)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 52.16Cycle 45Calendar📅 19/09/2026+9 (±2)Upcoming
Low 29/06/2026 @ 39.60Cycle 60Trading📅 23/09/2026+9 (±2)Upcoming
Low 29/06/2026 @ 39.60Cycle 90Calendar📅 27/09/2026+17 (±3)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 52.16Cycle 60Calendar📅 04/10/2026+24 (±2)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 52.16Cycle 45Trading📅 08/10/2026+20 (±2)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 52.16Cycle 60Trading📅 29/10/2026+35 (±2)Upcoming
Low 29/06/2026 @ 39.60Cycle 90Trading📅 04/11/2026+39 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Doji After Run 03/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 03/09/2026
Gap Day 01/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 01/09/2026
NR7 Compression 31/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 01/09/2026
Shooting Star 27/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 01/09/2026
Bullish Engulfing 13/08/2026
Hammer Reversal 12/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 01/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.34% · Win 78% · DD -3.90%20 days: Avg -1.14% · Win 33% · DD -7.57%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/09/202564.43near 52w high-1.24%+3.96%-2.69%-2.69%+7.64%
202430/08/202440.13neutral-6.45%+2.37%+7.30%-7.23%+10.91%
202301/09/202332.67neutral-0.89%+0.95%-7.99%-9.15%+2.69%
202201/09/202232.66neutral+1.26%-5.42%-20.88%-20.88%+2.30%
202101/09/202149.87near 52w high-1.52%+1.84%-5.19%-6.04%+2.41%
202001/09/202026.61neutral-3.76%-3.04%-7.29%-11.42%+1.01%
201930/08/201922.78neutral+10.23%+14.40%+12.20%-2.68%+17.52%
201831/08/201823.20neutral-2.16%+0.22%-0.69%-3.97%+3.23%
201701/09/201721.00neutral+2.14%+14.76%+15.00%-4.05%+16.43%
Passed 03/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.14% · Win 67% · DD -3.04%20 days: Avg +0.11% · Win 33% · DD -6.65%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/09/202563.38near 52w high+3.52%+6.61%-4.10%-4.10%+9.42%
202403/09/202438.49neutral-1.77%+9.09%+12.24%-3.27%+15.64%
202301/09/202332.67neutral-0.89%+0.95%-7.99%-9.15%+2.69%
202202/09/202232.26neutral+3.56%-3.35%-16.52%-19.90%+3.56%
202103/09/202150.09near 52w high-1.58%-6.13%-7.07%-7.07%+1.96%
202003/09/202025.88neutral-2.74%-4.44%-2.24%-8.93%+0.00%
201903/09/201922.17neutral+10.24%+17.37%+12.58%+0.00%+20.75%
201804/09/201823.05neutral-1.52%+2.39%-0.95%-3.34%+3.90%
201701/09/201721.00neutral+2.14%+14.76%+15.00%-4.05%+16.43%
Passed 04/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.59% · Win 56% · DD -3.05%20 days: Avg -0.47% · Win 44% · DD -6.64%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/09/202564.93near 52w high+3.80%+6.81%-4.94%-6.39%+6.81%
202404/09/202438.12neutral-0.97%+11.02%+13.43%-2.33%+16.76%
202305/09/202332.70neutral+0.49%-0.70%-9.63%-9.63%+2.60%
202202/09/202232.26neutral+3.56%-3.35%-16.52%-19.90%+3.56%
202103/09/202150.09near 52w high-1.58%-6.13%-7.07%-7.07%+1.96%
202004/09/202025.82neutral-1.12%-5.00%+0.77%-8.71%+0.77%
201904/09/201923.07neutral+8.02%+13.22%+5.46%+0.00%+16.04%
201804/09/201823.05neutral-1.52%+2.39%-0.95%-3.34%+3.90%
201705/09/201720.65neutral+8.23%+14.04%+15.25%-2.42%+18.40%
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -4.41% · Win 20% · DD -6.44%20 days: Avg -2.91% · Win 40% · DD -9.00%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/09/202567.57near 52w high · volume x1.9-5.28%-10.05%-12.09%-16.93%+2.63%
202417/09/202441.99volume x2.5+3.22%+2.88%+15.74%+0.00%+15.79%
202318/09/202332.98neutral-7.16%-8.85%-9.55%-11.34%+0.00%
202216/09/202230.89near 52w low · volume x3.3-12.75%-16.35%-17.68%-17.68%+0.94%
202117/09/202151.07near 52w high · volume x2.3-5.40%-6.19%+0.74%-8.85%+0.74%
202017/09/202024.89neutral-5.30%-0.04%+9.56%-5.30%+9.56%
201917/09/201926.02near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.46%-4.07%+1.73%-6.50%+2.88%
201817/09/201823.25neutral+2.37%-0.90%-10.75%-13.68%+3.01%
201718/09/201724.10near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.00%+0.21%+0.00%-2.90%+1.66%
201616/09/201615.69near 52w high-1.27%-0.76%-6.82%-6.82%+0.06%
Upcoming 19/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.61% · Win 30% · DD -6.49%20 days: Avg -1.53% · Win 50% · DD -8.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202519/09/202568.17near 52w high · volume x3.7-6.13%-6.88%-16.18%-17.66%+0.00%
202419/09/202444.51neutral-3.86%+1.12%+15.34%-4.72%+15.34%
202319/09/202332.47neutral-8.59%-8.99%-7.36%-9.95%+0.00%
202219/09/202231.18near 52w low-15.07%-13.63%-15.33%-18.44%+0.00%
202120/09/202147.02volume x2.1+2.81%-1.00%+10.34%-1.00%+10.34%
202018/09/202024.73volume x1.5-4.21%+2.30%+11.93%-4.69%+11.93%
201919/09/201926.60near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.56%-6.80%+1.99%-8.53%+1.99%
201819/09/201823.45neutral-0.85%-1.92%-9.89%-14.41%+2.13%
201719/09/201723.55near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.64%+1.06%+2.12%-0.64%+4.03%
201619/09/201615.70near 52w high-4.52%-1.34%-8.28%-8.28%+0.00%
Upcoming 23/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.09% · Win 40% · DD -4.90%20 days: Avg +0.65% · Win 40% · DD -7.49%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/09/202567.20near 52w high-6.70%-8.32%-13.56%-16.47%+0.00%
202423/09/202443.12neutral-0.14%+8.44%+19.04%-1.65%+21.24%
202322/09/202330.44neutral-0.92%-2.79%-8.90%-9.53%+0.59%
202223/09/202226.95near 52w low · far below SMA50-4.12%-1.04%-2.04%-5.64%+5.16%
202123/09/202148.67neutral-2.86%+0.58%+11.75%-4.36%+11.75%
202023/09/202024.07far below SMA50+2.49%+7.69%+13.96%-2.08%+15.08%
201923/09/201926.50near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.55%-5.89%+3.85%-8.19%+3.85%
201824/09/201823.80neutral-3.19%-8.61%-14.08%-15.67%+0.00%
201722/09/201724.45near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.48%-1.23%-0.41%-4.29%+0.20%
201623/09/201615.49near 52w high+0.52%+0.26%-3.16%-7.04%+0.71%
Upcoming 27/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.05% · Win 70% · DD -3.95%20 days: Avg +1.82% · Win 60% · DD -5.92%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/09/202563.99neutral-0.80%-12.28%-8.61%-12.28%+1.41%
202427/09/202443.59neutral+7.55%+10.74%+15.21%-1.22%+19.94%
202327/09/202329.68neutral+0.94%+2.46%-7.14%-7.21%+2.46%
202227/09/202226.66near 52w low · far below SMA50+6.30%-2.93%+4.46%-4.61%+6.30%
202127/09/202148.34neutral-3.70%+1.16%+15.08%-3.70%+15.08%
202028/09/202024.74neutral+5.17%+8.69%+6.10%-0.53%+11.96%
201927/09/201925.69near 52w high · volume x2.8-3.46%+0.31%+6.38%-5.29%+7.12%
201827/09/201822.90neutral-2.40%-11.79%-15.28%-17.34%+0.61%
201727/09/201723.55near 52w high+3.40%+2.34%-2.55%-2.55%+4.03%
201627/09/201615.07near 52w low+2.92%+0.80%+4.51%-4.45%+4.51%
Upcoming 04/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.46% · Win 50% · DD -4.57%20 days: Avg -0.58% · Win 40% · DD -7.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/10/202563.48neutral-11.58%-9.99%-16.01%-16.01%+0.00%
202404/10/202446.88far above SMA50 · volume x1.6+2.97%+11.52%+6.48%-0.53%+11.52%
202304/10/202329.96neutral+1.50%-3.40%-8.01%-8.08%+1.50%
202204/10/202228.34far below SMA50-8.68%-5.15%+0.04%-10.27%+1.55%
202104/10/202146.55neutral+5.05%+11.45%+19.08%+0.00%+20.99%
202005/10/202026.02neutral+3.34%+6.46%-2.42%-4.23%+6.46%
201904/10/201924.80neutral+3.91%+8.79%+12.86%+0.00%+12.86%
201804/10/201822.35neutral-9.62%-9.26%-6.62%-15.66%+0.00%
201704/10/201724.35near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.03%+0.41%-9.24%-9.45%+0.62%
201604/10/201615.51near 52w high-2.06%-6.19%-2.00%-7.16%+3.48%
Upcoming 08/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.91% · Win 40% · DD -3.59%20 days: Avg +1.44% · Win 50% · DD -6.40%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/10/202560.55neutral-1.90%-4.10%-14.04%-15.51%+0.00%
202408/10/202446.67far above SMA50+4.14%+6.60%+5.98%-0.09%+12.02%
202309/10/202329.72neutral+0.37%-6.29%-2.69%-7.34%+2.32%
202207/10/202226.67near 52w low · far below SMA50-4.65%-1.01%+4.76%-4.65%+7.91%
202108/10/202149.42near 52w high+4.11%+11.61%+21.06%-1.05%+21.06%
202008/10/202026.70neutral+2.13%+3.60%+2.58%-6.67%+3.75%
201908/10/201924.93neutral+6.18%+8.62%+12.23%+0.00%+12.27%
201808/10/201821.75neutral-4.60%-5.98%-7.45%-13.33%+0.00%
201709/10/201724.00near 52w high+0.42%-0.50%-7.29%-8.13%+1.88%
201607/10/201615.53near 52w high-5.86%-3.41%-0.74%-7.28%+3.35%
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.29% · Win 80% · DD -4.07%20 days: Avg +4.51% · Win 70% · DD -5.09%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/10/202557.59neutral-9.62%-3.73%-6.48%-11.23%+0.00%
202429/10/202451.12near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.25%+2.25%+5.43%-4.03%+7.14%
202330/10/202327.81neutral+3.99%+7.91%+25.18%-0.97%+25.18%
202228/10/202228.78neutral-2.92%+4.86%+3.06%-9.94%+4.86%
202129/10/202156.15near 52w high · far above SMA50+6.55%+7.56%+1.58%-2.08%+7.56%
202029/10/202025.56neutral+7.16%+8.35%+13.05%-2.50%+13.60%
201929/10/201927.50near 52w high+1.75%+2.76%+8.68%-0.80%+8.68%
201829/10/201818.85near 52w low · far below SMA50+6.79%+5.12%-0.13%-6.58%+11.94%
201730/10/201722.50neutral-1.11%-3.35%-7.36%-7.36%+0.22%
201628/10/201615.80near 52w high · volume x1.8-2.43%+1.17%+2.15%-5.38%+6.08%
Upcoming 04/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.00% · Win 80% · DD -3.00%20 days: Avg +3.89% · Win 70% · DD -4.12%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/11/202551.16far below SMA50+6.06%+1.68%+9.78%-0.08%+9.78%
202404/11/202449.06neutral+8.64%+4.39%+7.72%+0.00%+11.64%
202303/11/202329.38volume x1.6+2.65%+8.41%+22.62%-1.57%+22.62%
202204/11/202227.94neutral+8.02%+2.39%+10.97%-7.23%+14.95%
202104/11/202158.95near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.40%+1.02%-9.43%-9.43%+2.45%
202004/11/202026.47volume x1.9+5.65%+6.60%+9.85%+0.00%+10.04%
201904/11/201927.98near 52w high-0.49%+2.26%+3.42%-1.72%+8.01%
201805/11/201820.13neutral-1.57%-10.89%-10.94%-12.52%+4.82%
201703/11/201722.55neutral-3.24%-3.93%-6.43%-8.71%+0.00%
201604/11/201614.90near 52w low+3.69%+8.05%+1.34%+0.00%+8.72%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-7.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -38.3% · from 52w low: +8.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-8.63% · -12.08% · -10.13% · -6.19%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-10.24% · -7.81% · -15.23%
Distance from 52w high / low-38.34% · +8.76%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg1.36 · 0.84x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-8.06%
vs SPY (20d)-8.24%
vs SMH (20d)-5.94%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20047.98 · 46.72 · 50.81
52w high / low69.85 · 39.60