🕰️ Time Machine

CG — Carlyle Group (The)

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
38.59 -1.56%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in 4 days
27/10/2026
Last window
—
Trend
Downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 29/06/2026
39.60
Days: 82 trading / 116 calendar · return since: -2.55%
Last major high · 05/08/2026
52.16
Days: 56 trading / 79 calendar · return since: -26.02%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 29/06/2026 @ 39.60Cycle 120Calendar📅 27/10/2026+4 (±3)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 52.16Cycle 60Trading📅 29/10/2026+4 (±2)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 52.16Cycle 90Calendar📅 03/11/2026+11 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/06/2026 @ 39.60Cycle 90Trading📅 04/11/2026+8 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/06/2026 @ 39.60Cycle 144Calendar📅 20/11/2026+28 (±3)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 52.16Cycle 120Calendar📅 03/12/2026+41 (±3)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 52.16Cycle 90Trading📅 11/12/2026+34 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/06/2026 @ 39.60Cycle 120Trading📅 17/12/2026+38 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Bullish Engulfing 22/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 27/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 15/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 13/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 08/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 08/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 01/10/2026
● Hammer Reversal 28/09/2026
● Failed Breakdown 28/09/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Upcoming 27/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.74% · Win 70% · DD -4.05%20 days: Avg +4.60% · Win 80% · DD -4.98%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/202558.22neutral-11.01%-9.22%-10.17%-12.19%+0.00%
202428/10/202450.92near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.65%+4.67%+7.56%-3.65%+7.56%
202327/10/202327.60neutral+6.45%+9.28%+20.23%-0.22%+20.23%
202227/10/202228.38neutral-4.23%+3.52%+4.69%-8.67%+6.34%
202127/10/202155.12near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.57%+5.63%+4.21%+0.00%+9.57%
202027/10/202025.77neutral-1.67%+9.62%+12.40%-3.30%+12.40%
201928/10/201927.50near 52w high · volume x1.8+1.75%+1.25%+6.29%-0.80%+6.29%
201826/10/201819.08near 52w low · far below SMA50+6.18%+6.68%+2.67%-7.70%+10.59%
201727/10/201722.40neutral+0.67%-2.60%-4.66%-6.72%+0.67%
201627/10/201616.00near 52w high-6.56%-1.39%+2.81%-6.56%+4.75%
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.29% · Win 80% · DD -4.07%20 days: Avg +4.51% · Win 70% · DD -5.09%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/10/202557.59neutral-9.62%-3.73%-6.48%-11.23%+0.00%
202429/10/202451.12near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.25%+2.25%+5.43%-4.03%+7.14%
202330/10/202327.81neutral+3.99%+7.91%+25.18%-0.97%+25.18%
202228/10/202228.78neutral-2.92%+4.86%+3.06%-9.94%+4.86%
202129/10/202156.15near 52w high · far above SMA50+6.55%+7.56%+1.58%-2.08%+7.56%
202029/10/202025.56neutral+7.16%+8.35%+13.05%-2.50%+13.60%
201929/10/201927.50near 52w high+1.75%+2.76%+8.68%-0.80%+8.68%
201829/10/201818.85near 52w low · far below SMA50+6.79%+5.12%-0.13%-6.58%+11.94%
201730/10/201722.50neutral-1.11%-3.35%-7.36%-7.36%+0.22%
201628/10/201615.80near 52w high-2.43%+1.17%+2.15%-5.38%+6.08%
Upcoming 03/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.52% · Win 70% · DD -2.60%20 days: Avg +6.09% · Win 70% · DD -3.75%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/11/202551.81far below SMA50 · volume x2.4+2.01%-0.16%+5.01%-1.33%+7.01%
202404/11/202449.06neutral+8.64%+4.39%+7.72%+0.00%+11.64%
202303/11/202329.38volume x1.6+2.65%+8.41%+22.62%-1.57%+22.62%
202203/11/202227.18neutral+8.09%+6.41%+17.42%-4.64%+18.16%
202103/11/202157.64near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.7+1.01%+3.22%-3.81%-6.48%+4.78%
202003/11/202025.34neutral+11.48%+14.03%+14.94%+0.00%+14.94%
201904/11/201927.98near 52w high-0.49%+2.26%+3.42%-1.72%+8.01%
201802/11/201820.26neutral+0.47%-9.50%-5.88%-13.08%+4.15%
201703/11/201722.55neutral-3.24%-3.93%-6.43%-8.71%+0.00%
201603/11/201614.95near 52w low+5.54%+10.03%+5.88%+0.00%+12.11%
Upcoming 04/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.00% · Win 80% · DD -3.00%20 days: Avg +3.89% · Win 70% · DD -4.12%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/11/202551.16far below SMA50+6.06%+1.68%+9.78%-0.08%+9.78%
202404/11/202449.06neutral+8.64%+4.39%+7.72%+0.00%+11.64%
202303/11/202329.38volume x1.6+2.65%+8.41%+22.62%-1.57%+22.62%
202204/11/202227.94neutral+8.02%+2.39%+10.97%-7.23%+14.95%
202104/11/202158.95near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.40%+1.02%-9.43%-9.43%+2.45%
202004/11/202026.47volume x1.9+5.65%+6.60%+9.85%+0.00%+10.04%
201904/11/201927.98near 52w high-0.49%+2.26%+3.42%-1.72%+8.01%
201805/11/201820.13neutral-1.57%-10.89%-10.94%-12.52%+4.82%
201703/11/201722.55neutral-3.24%-3.93%-6.43%-8.71%+0.00%
201604/11/201614.90near 52w low+3.69%+8.05%+1.34%+0.00%+8.72%
Upcoming 20/11/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.34% · Win 70% · DD -2.25%20 days: Avg +3.98% · Win 50% · DD -4.41%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/11/202550.78far below SMA50 · volume x1.9+7.38%+12.47%+17.25%+0.00%+18.51%
202420/11/202451.23neutral+2.87%+2.99%-4.29%-4.41%+6.99%
202320/11/202331.88neutral+8.00%+11.04%+30.08%+0.00%+31.71%
202221/11/202228.97neutral+3.14%+4.07%-1.14%-1.59%+9.63%
202119/11/202159.00near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.73%-8.80%-14.24%-14.24%+0.00%
202020/11/202027.94neutral+1.68%+5.01%+10.38%-0.64%+11.49%
201920/11/201928.56near 52w high+4.62%+3.15%+9.52%+0.00%+9.52%
201820/11/201817.26near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.8+8.00%+3.07%-7.30%-11.24%+11.24%
201720/11/201721.20neutral-4.25%-3.07%+1.42%-5.42%+6.13%
201621/11/201616.00near 52w high-3.44%-6.56%-1.88%-6.56%+1.25%
Upcoming 03/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.99% · Win 60% · DD -3.03%20 days: Avg +3.38% · Win 70% · DD -4.22%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/12/202555.79neutral+7.06%+4.00%+9.09%+0.00%+10.56%
202403/12/202452.48near 52w high-0.17%-1.33%-3.33%-6.69%+4.44%
202304/12/202335.63far above SMA50+3.23%+17.29%+9.65%-0.65%+17.85%
202202/12/202231.56far above SMA50-6.37%-6.56%-4.97%-9.66%+0.00%
202103/12/202153.17neutral+1.79%-2.20%+1.96%-4.83%+5.60%
202003/12/202028.81neutral+3.16%+8.12%+7.98%+0.00%+9.13%
201903/12/201928.61volume x1.6+2.87%+6.89%+11.92%+0.00%+12.13%
201803/12/201818.69neutral-9.36%-14.87%-16.75%-18.03%+0.00%
201704/12/201720.55volume x1.9+8.27%+5.60%+16.30%+0.00%+16.30%
201602/12/201615.30volume x2.3+5.88%+2.94%+1.96%-2.29%+5.88%
Upcoming 11/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.01% · Win 60% · DD -4.71%20 days: Avg +4.38% · Win 80% · DD -4.86%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/12/202560.18neutral-2.21%+1.51%+9.36%-3.99%+9.36%
202411/12/202454.81near 52w high-10.65%-5.16%-7.79%-10.65%+0.00%
202311/12/202336.78near 52w high · far above SMA50+13.62%+11.15%+7.40%+0.00%+14.17%
202212/12/202230.21neutral-5.63%-2.35%+9.47%-5.63%+9.47%
202110/12/202154.12neutral-3.92%+3.75%-7.35%-7.35%+3.75%
202011/12/202029.64neutral+4.08%+6.07%+12.72%-0.81%+12.72%
201911/12/201930.18near 52w high+2.15%+3.55%+4.51%-1.62%+6.30%
201811/12/201816.94near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.6-6.08%-5.90%+1.83%-9.56%+3.31%
201711/12/201722.25neutral-2.47%+2.47%+8.99%-3.37%+8.99%
201612/12/201616.00near 52w high-1.56%-5.00%+4.69%-5.62%+4.69%
Upcoming 17/12/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.69% · Win 60% · DD -2.76%20 days: Avg +7.58% · Win 80% · DD -3.00%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/12/202558.02neutral+5.12%+4.89%+13.10%+0.00%+13.96%
202417/12/202451.78neutral-1.16%-2.03%+6.68%-5.43%+6.68%
202318/12/202341.79near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.18%-6.51%-7.13%-7.99%+0.00%
202216/12/202229.49neutral+1.25%+1.70%+13.77%-3.32%+13.77%
202117/12/202152.00neutral+7.98%+4.25%-1.67%-3.58%+7.98%
202017/12/202031.15far above SMA50+0.67%-0.13%+10.05%-1.00%+10.05%
201917/12/201930.58near 52w high+1.86%+4.71%+7.72%+0.00%+7.72%
201817/12/201815.89near 52w low · far below SMA50-1.01%+0.82%+13.53%-3.59%+13.53%
201718/12/201721.70neutral+5.07%+10.14%+12.44%-0.92%+16.59%
201616/12/201615.75near 52w high-2.22%-0.95%+7.30%-4.13%+8.25%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-9.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -42.7% · from 52w low: +9.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+6.07% · +0.44% · -3.60% · -14.32%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+0.85% · -8.98% · -19.35%
Distance from 52w high / low-42.66% · +8.98%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg1.30 · 0.73x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+1.79%
vs SPY (20d)-2.12%
vs SMH (20d)+9.49%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20038.26 · 42.40 · 47.85
52w high / low67.30 · 35.41