🕰️ Time Machine
CHDN — Churchill Downs Inc.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
83.73 -0.85%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in window
23/10/2026
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 30/07/2026
79.40
Days: 60 trading / 85 calendar · return since: +5.45%
Last major high · 24/08/2026
94.86
Days: 43 trading / 60 calendar · return since: -11.73%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 30/07/2026 @ 79.40 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 23/10/2026 | +0 (±2) | In window |
| High 24/08/2026 @ 94.86 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 23/10/2026 | +0 (±2) | In window |
| High 24/08/2026 @ 94.86 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 27/10/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| Low 30/07/2026 @ 79.40 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 28/10/2026 | +5 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 24/08/2026 @ 94.86 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 17/11/2026 | +17 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 24/08/2026 @ 94.86 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 22/11/2026 | +30 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/07/2026 @ 79.40 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 27/11/2026 | +35 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/07/2026 @ 79.40 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 07/12/2026 | +30 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 19/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 23/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 08/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 30/09/2026
● Failed Breakdown 30/09/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
In window 23/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.08% · Win 50% · DD -5.83%20 days: Avg +3.34% · Win 80% · DD -5.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/10/2025 | 103.68 | volume x2.4 | -3.16% | -6.86% | +0.68% | -6.86% | +0.85% |
| 2024 | 23/10/2024 | 134.13 | neutral | +7.34% | +9.93% | +4.35% | +0.00% | +9.93% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 110.86 | neutral | -1.70% | +7.20% | +9.52% | -2.53% | +10.57% |
| 2022 | 24/10/2022 | 102.85 | neutral | +1.07% | +1.13% | +6.74% | -3.99% | +8.73% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 127.45 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -9.77% | -5.06% | -6.90% | -9.96% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 23/10/2020 | 86.61 | neutral | -13.89% | -3.04% | +7.71% | -13.89% | +8.19% |
| 2019 | 23/10/2019 | 65.68 | near 52w high | +1.53% | -6.84% | -1.49% | -6.84% | +1.83% |
| 2018 | 23/10/2018 | 43.27 | volume x1.7 | -6.06% | +3.52% | +0.42% | -7.56% | +6.40% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 34.67 | near 52w high | -1.35% | +2.31% | +4.40% | -1.61% | +4.71% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 23.46 | near 52w high | -3.37% | -3.09% | +7.99% | -5.08% | +8.21% |
In window 27/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.64% · Win 70% · DD -4.35%20 days: Avg +5.90% · Win 80% · DD -4.35%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 103.11 | neutral | -4.36% | -3.14% | +2.99% | -6.34% | +2.99% |
| 2024 | 28/10/2024 | 141.17 | near 52w high | -2.77% | +0.50% | +0.47% | -2.84% | +4.45% |
| 2023 | 27/10/2023 | 108.50 | neutral | +9.37% | +9.62% | +9.66% | +0.00% | +12.98% |
| 2022 | 27/10/2022 | 98.97 | volume x2.1 | -0.23% | +11.25% | +12.99% | -0.23% | +12.99% |
| 2021 | 27/10/2021 | 125.21 | near 52w high | -6.64% | -6.95% | -5.66% | -8.35% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 27/10/2020 | 82.08 | neutral | -0.35% | +10.90% | +13.41% | -9.15% | +14.15% |
| 2019 | 28/10/2019 | 66.88 | near 52w high | -7.09% | -5.61% | -1.58% | -8.51% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 26/10/2018 | 41.62 | volume x1.6 | +10.51% | +6.11% | +8.42% | -3.90% | +10.61% |
| 2017 | 27/10/2017 | 34.72 | near 52w high · volume x2.3 | +2.33% | +1.94% | +4.39% | -1.51% | +5.14% |
| 2016 | 27/10/2016 | 22.88 | near 52w high | -2.48% | +1.74% | +13.91% | -2.67% | +13.91% |
Upcoming 28/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.77% · Win 70% · DD -3.04%20 days: Avg +6.98% · Win 80% · DD -3.04%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/10/2025 | 99.60 | neutral | -0.59% | -0.17% | +8.12% | -3.04% | +8.12% |
| 2024 | 28/10/2024 | 141.17 | near 52w high | -2.77% | +0.50% | +0.47% | -2.84% | +4.45% |
| 2023 | 27/10/2023 | 108.50 | neutral | +9.37% | +9.62% | +9.66% | +0.00% | +12.98% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 101.68 | neutral | -0.86% | +9.16% | +8.87% | -2.88% | +9.98% |
| 2021 | 28/10/2021 | 119.15 | volume x1.7 | -3.66% | -3.69% | -3.22% | -3.69% | +1.55% |
| 2020 | 28/10/2020 | 79.78 | neutral | +3.59% | +12.60% | +16.08% | -6.52% | +17.45% |
| 2019 | 28/10/2019 | 66.88 | near 52w high | -7.09% | -5.61% | -1.58% | -8.51% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 40.00 | far below SMA50 | +11.72% | +8.46% | +11.98% | +0.00% | +15.10% |
| 2017 | 27/10/2017 | 34.72 | near 52w high · volume x2.3 | +2.33% | +1.94% | +4.39% | -1.51% | +5.14% |
| 2016 | 28/10/2016 | 22.58 | near 52w high | -0.35% | +4.92% | +15.04% | -1.39% | +15.40% |
Upcoming 17/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.53% · Win 70% · DD -1.95%20 days: Avg +2.97% · Win 60% · DD -2.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/11/2025 | 99.84 | neutral | +6.36% | +11.17% | +17.53% | +0.00% | +18.24% |
| 2024 | 18/11/2024 | 138.85 | neutral | +2.15% | +1.02% | -4.84% | -4.84% | +2.83% |
| 2023 | 17/11/2023 | 120.75 | neutral | -1.47% | -0.64% | +7.99% | -4.45% | +8.13% |
| 2022 | 17/11/2022 | 111.71 | far above SMA50 | +0.10% | +0.01% | -3.08% | -3.08% | +1.67% |
| 2021 | 17/11/2021 | 118.75 | neutral | -0.53% | -2.85% | -9.81% | -9.81% | +0.76% |
| 2020 | 17/11/2020 | 91.36 | neutral | +1.90% | -1.44% | +11.73% | -1.53% | +11.73% |
| 2019 | 18/11/2019 | 64.12 | neutral | +2.64% | +0.90% | +5.42% | -0.44% | +6.09% |
| 2018 | 16/11/2018 | 44.17 | neutral | +2.18% | +5.88% | -3.45% | -3.47% | +5.88% |
| 2017 | 17/11/2017 | 36.30 | near 52w high | -0.14% | +8.83% | +4.94% | -1.33% | +8.83% |
| 2016 | 17/11/2016 | 24.85 | near 52w high | +4.86% | +2.48% | +3.26% | +0.00% | +5.52% |
Upcoming 22/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.62% · Win 60% · DD -2.08%20 days: Avg +1.49% · Win 60% · DD -4.49%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/11/2025 | 106.19 | neutral | +4.37% | +7.14% | +8.35% | +0.00% | +11.17% |
| 2024 | 22/11/2024 | 141.87 | neutral | +0.64% | -2.51% | -6.62% | -8.42% | +0.64% |
| 2023 | 22/11/2023 | 120.35 | neutral | -3.49% | -2.71% | +10.76% | -4.13% | +12.00% |
| 2022 | 22/11/2022 | 111.58 | far above SMA50 | -0.54% | -0.50% | -5.94% | -7.25% | +1.79% |
| 2021 | 22/11/2021 | 118.59 | neutral | -5.46% | -2.37% | -2.02% | -9.69% | +0.73% |
| 2020 | 23/11/2020 | 93.43 | neutral | -2.14% | +4.67% | +9.08% | -3.72% | +12.20% |
| 2019 | 22/11/2019 | 64.26 | volume x1.7 | +0.89% | +2.48% | +4.78% | +0.00% | +5.86% |
| 2018 | 21/11/2018 | 43.99 | neutral | +5.14% | +0.04% | -10.91% | -10.91% | +6.29% |
| 2017 | 22/11/2017 | 35.82 | near 52w high | +10.11% | +8.30% | +6.71% | +0.00% | +10.30% |
| 2016 | 22/11/2016 | 25.67 | near 52w high | +0.23% | +1.64% | +0.76% | -0.81% | +2.13% |
Upcoming 27/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.20% · Win 70% · DD -2.01%20 days: Avg +2.02% · Win 60% · DD -4.71%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/11/2025 | 108.33 | far above SMA50 | +4.56% | +7.24% | +6.12% | +0.00% | +8.97% |
| 2024 | 27/11/2024 | 140.22 | neutral | +0.53% | -1.68% | -5.15% | -7.34% | +1.83% |
| 2023 | 27/11/2023 | 118.98 | neutral | +0.84% | +4.14% | +13.59% | -3.02% | +13.59% |
| 2022 | 28/11/2022 | 110.69 | neutral | -0.37% | +0.09% | -4.77% | -6.50% | +2.61% |
| 2021 | 26/11/2021 | 115.31 | neutral | -2.40% | -0.82% | +3.17% | -7.12% | +3.60% |
| 2020 | 27/11/2020 | 92.50 | neutral | +2.67% | +4.86% | +12.56% | -2.75% | +13.33% |
| 2019 | 27/11/2019 | 66.19 | near 52w high | -1.57% | +1.98% | +3.33% | -2.26% | +3.33% |
| 2018 | 27/11/2018 | 44.79 | neutral | +0.36% | +1.57% | -11.44% | -15.94% | +4.40% |
| 2017 | 27/11/2017 | 36.25 | near 52w high | +8.98% | +5.20% | +5.00% | +0.00% | +8.98% |
| 2016 | 28/11/2016 | 25.98 | near 52w high | -1.44% | -0.57% | -2.19% | -2.19% | +0.95% |
Upcoming 07/12/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.12% · Win 50% · DD -3.73%20 days: Avg -0.06% · Win 40% · DD -5.00%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/12/2025 | 113.33 | far above SMA50 | +3.76% | +1.13% | -3.57% | -3.57% | +3.76% |
| 2024 | 06/12/2024 | 139.18 | neutral | -2.25% | -4.99% | -6.05% | -6.92% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 07/12/2023 | 116.70 | neutral | +11.52% | +13.85% | +9.55% | +0.00% | +16.20% |
| 2022 | 07/12/2022 | 110.67 | volume x1.6 | +2.30% | -5.46% | -1.76% | -6.78% | +2.30% |
| 2021 | 07/12/2021 | 115.43 | neutral | -4.43% | +0.36% | -2.50% | -7.50% | +4.35% |
| 2020 | 07/12/2020 | 95.96 | far above SMA50 | +2.30% | +5.05% | +7.08% | -1.84% | +8.86% |
| 2019 | 06/12/2019 | 65.71 | near 52w high | +3.07% | +2.11% | +2.11% | -0.21% | +4.45% |
| 2018 | 07/12/2018 | 43.74 | volume x2.8 | -1.66% | -10.95% | -3.87% | -14.44% | +3.37% |
| 2017 | 07/12/2017 | 38.53 | near 52w high | -3.29% | -1.47% | +3.85% | -3.29% | +3.85% |
| 2016 | 07/12/2016 | 25.88 | near 52w high | -1.51% | -0.87% | -5.48% | -5.48% | +0.48% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+0.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -29.3% · from 52w low: +14.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +2.48% · +4.71% · +4.96% · +1.26% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +5.61% · +0.49% · -5.59% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -29.25% · +14.56% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 2.53 · 0.66x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +10.35% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +6.44% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +18.05% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 79.28 · 83.32 · 88.69 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 118.35 · 73.09 |
|---|
עבריתSign in with Google