🕰️ Time Machine
CHDN — Churchill Downs Inc.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026
Last price (Close)
88.17 +5.28%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in 4 days
31/07/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 25/07/2026
since +5.28%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 26/05/2026
81.45
Days: 41 trading / 62 calendar · return since: +8.25%
Last major high · 16/06/2026
94.00
Days: 26 trading / 41 calendar · return since: -6.20%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 16/06/2026 @ 94.00 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 17/07/2026 | -5 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 26/05/2026 @ 81.45 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 25/07/2026 | -2 (±2) | In window |
| Low 26/05/2026 @ 81.45 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 31/07/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 16/06/2026 @ 94.00 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 31/07/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 16/06/2026 @ 94.00 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 31/07/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 16/06/2026 @ 94.00 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 15/08/2026 | +19 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 26/05/2026 @ 81.45 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 21/08/2026 | +19 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 16/06/2026 @ 94.00 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 21/08/2026 | +19 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 26/05/2026 @ 81.45 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 24/08/2026 | +28 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 16/06/2026 @ 94.00 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 14/09/2026 | +34 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Gap Day 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 25/07/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 23/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 25/07/2026
● Failed Breakdown 21/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 17/07/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 17/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 17/07/2026
● Failed Breakdown 14/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 17/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 14/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 17/07/2026
● Failed Breakdown 09/07/2026
● Shooting Star 01/07/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 17/07/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.63% · Win 78% · DD -3.99%20 days: Avg +2.79% · Win 44% · DD -5.28%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/07/2025 | 106.27 | neutral | +7.04% | +0.72% | -2.53% | -5.51% | +7.04% |
| 2024 | 17/07/2024 | 143.04 | near 52w high | -4.05% | +0.36% | -5.21% | -8.87% | +1.37% |
| 2023 | 17/07/2023 | 132.74 | neutral | -1.73% | -12.72% | -6.58% | -12.72% | +1.08% |
| 2022 | 18/07/2022 | 102.71 | neutral | +5.86% | +2.01% | +5.59% | -0.13% | +7.09% |
| 2021 | 16/07/2021 | 90.53 | neutral | +4.39% | +2.62% | +5.98% | -2.08% | +8.33% |
| 2020 | 17/07/2020 | 67.99 | neutral | -2.21% | +1.88% | +27.93% | -7.48% | +27.93% |
| 2019 | 17/07/2019 | 58.58 | near 52w high | +3.25% | +2.12% | -0.11% | -1.95% | +7.73% |
| 2018 | 17/07/2018 | 50.77 | near 52w high | -1.54% | -6.12% | -7.57% | -8.78% | +1.12% |
| 2017 | 17/07/2017 | 30.13 | near 52w high | +2.07% | +3.46% | +7.61% | +0.00% | +8.10% |
In window 25/07/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.94% · Win 50% · DD -5.43%20 days: Avg +2.82% · Win 50% · DD -5.87%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/07/2025 | 113.53 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -6.29% | -11.12% | -8.36% | -11.56% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 25/07/2024 | 137.96 | volume x2.2 | +1.45% | -2.25% | -0.79% | -5.52% | +5.10% |
| 2023 | 25/07/2023 | 130.45 | neutral | -9.54% | -6.85% | -4.97% | -11.19% | +0.87% |
| 2022 | 25/07/2022 | 108.74 | far above SMA50 | -3.64% | -3.49% | -5.41% | -5.66% | +1.16% |
| 2021 | 26/07/2021 | 95.39 | neutral | -2.86% | +1.15% | +2.05% | -5.11% | +2.81% |
| 2020 | 24/07/2020 | 66.48 | neutral | +4.18% | +22.38% | +31.04% | -5.39% | +31.96% |
| 2019 | 25/07/2019 | 59.50 | near 52w high | +6.08% | +2.00% | +4.20% | -3.45% | +6.08% |
| 2018 | 25/07/2018 | 50.10 | near 52w high | -7.55% | -5.76% | -6.15% | -9.58% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 25/07/2017 | 31.00 | near 52w high · volume x2.2 | +1.56% | +3.74% | +3.36% | -0.22% | +5.08% |
| 2016 | 28/07/2016 | 22.06 | near 52w high | +5.61% | +9.56% | +13.24% | -1.07% | +13.24% |
Upcoming 31/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.13% · Win 60% · DD -2.83%20 days: Avg +6.06% · Win 60% · DD -3.04%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 31/07/2025 | 107.04 | neutral | -4.55% | -3.23% | -3.91% | -6.19% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 31/07/2024 | 143.56 | near 52w high | -7.75% | -5.55% | -3.23% | -9.20% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 31/07/2023 | 115.85 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.0 | +5.09% | +7.03% | +8.51% | +0.00% | +8.51% |
| 2022 | 01/08/2022 | 104.78 | volume x1.8 | +0.15% | +3.52% | -2.07% | -2.09% | +4.08% |
| 2021 | 30/07/2021 | 92.90 | volume x2.0 | +5.30% | +3.27% | +12.81% | -2.57% | +12.81% |
| 2020 | 31/07/2020 | 69.26 | volume x1.7 | +17.47% | +25.57% | +28.47% | +0.00% | +28.54% |
| 2019 | 31/07/2019 | 59.83 | near 52w high · volume x2.3 | -1.98% | -2.18% | +4.23% | -3.98% | +5.50% |
| 2018 | 31/07/2018 | 47.66 | neutral | -2.62% | -1.54% | -0.66% | -4.95% | +0.16% |
| 2017 | 31/07/2017 | 31.17 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | +3.15% | +4.01% | +3.80% | +0.00% | +4.49% |
| 2016 | 01/08/2016 | 22.14 | near 52w high | +7.03% | +10.39% | +12.64% | -1.43% | +12.83% |
Upcoming 15/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.83% · Win 90% · DD -1.58%20 days: Avg +1.07% · Win 60% · DD -3.86%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/08/2025 | 102.58 | neutral | +1.42% | +1.12% | -6.43% | -6.43% | +3.52% |
| 2024 | 15/08/2024 | 137.84 | neutral | -0.70% | +0.54% | +1.89% | -1.35% | +1.89% |
| 2023 | 15/08/2023 | 123.39 | neutral | +0.47% | +3.49% | -4.26% | -4.34% | +3.49% |
| 2022 | 15/08/2022 | 108.46 | neutral | -5.17% | -5.39% | -7.18% | -10.31% | +0.54% |
| 2021 | 16/08/2021 | 94.19 | neutral | +3.34% | +11.32% | +16.58% | -2.38% | +17.95% |
| 2020 | 14/08/2020 | 86.97 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.17% | +2.31% | -4.21% | -6.11% | +3.65% |
| 2019 | 15/08/2019 | 58.37 | neutral | +6.22% | +7.14% | +6.64% | +0.00% | +7.14% |
| 2018 | 15/08/2018 | 45.30 | neutral | +3.79% | +5.72% | +0.83% | -5.02% | +5.72% |
| 2017 | 15/08/2017 | 32.03 | near 52w high | +0.05% | +0.05% | +5.02% | -2.13% | +5.02% |
| 2016 | 15/08/2016 | 24.44 | near 52w high | +1.62% | +2.04% | +1.79% | -0.54% | +2.50% |
Upcoming 21/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.78% · Win 50% · DD -1.78%20 days: Avg +0.27% · Win 40% · DD -4.13%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/08/2025 | 102.46 | neutral | +0.39% | -0.08% | -6.99% | -6.99% | +3.64% |
| 2024 | 21/08/2024 | 137.91 | neutral | +0.74% | +0.47% | +1.95% | -1.40% | +1.95% |
| 2023 | 21/08/2023 | 123.78 | neutral | +1.56% | -2.24% | -3.73% | -4.64% | +3.17% |
| 2022 | 22/08/2022 | 102.86 | neutral | -0.24% | -5.42% | -2.56% | -5.50% | +3.66% |
| 2021 | 20/08/2021 | 95.32 | neutral | +9.95% | +13.78% | +18.75% | +0.00% | +19.03% |
| 2020 | 21/08/2020 | 87.11 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.14% | -0.66% | -11.36% | -11.36% | +3.48% |
| 2019 | 21/08/2019 | 60.72 | neutral | +2.68% | +2.12% | +1.87% | -1.04% | +2.98% |
| 2018 | 21/08/2018 | 47.25 | neutral | +0.19% | -4.39% | -2.57% | -8.94% | +1.36% |
| 2017 | 21/08/2017 | 31.41 | near 52w high | +3.02% | +3.71% | +7.59% | +0.00% | +8.33% |
| 2016 | 22/08/2016 | 24.84 | near 52w high | +0.42% | +0.54% | -0.26% | -1.48% | +0.87% |
Upcoming 24/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.34% · Win 50% · DD -2.99%20 days: Avg -1.16% · Win 40% · DD -5.03%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/08/2025 | 103.23 | neutral | -1.12% | -5.37% | -6.25% | -7.68% | +2.87% |
| 2024 | 23/08/2024 | 138.24 | neutral | +0.53% | +1.40% | -0.77% | -1.63% | +1.71% |
| 2023 | 24/08/2023 | 123.71 | neutral | +1.27% | -4.11% | -6.68% | -6.68% | +3.23% |
| 2022 | 24/08/2022 | 105.13 | neutral | -6.26% | -4.12% | -12.44% | -12.44% | +1.42% |
| 2021 | 24/08/2021 | 100.39 | neutral | +4.84% | +10.08% | +16.25% | +0.00% | +16.25% |
| 2020 | 24/08/2020 | 86.27 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.29% | -0.31% | -5.41% | -10.49% | +4.49% |
| 2019 | 23/08/2019 | 60.65 | neutral | +1.62% | +2.79% | +1.64% | -0.91% | +3.12% |
| 2018 | 24/08/2018 | 47.12 | neutral | -0.04% | -7.68% | -3.11% | -8.68% | +1.64% |
| 2017 | 24/08/2017 | 32.06 | near 52w high | +1.59% | +3.28% | +4.89% | -0.05% | +6.13% |
| 2016 | 24/08/2016 | 24.90 | near 52w high | -0.01% | +0.62% | +0.25% | -1.72% | +0.62% |
Upcoming 14/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.19% · Win 40% · DD -4.02%20 days: Avg +0.23% · Win 50% · DD -5.26%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/09/2025 | 95.98 | neutral | -0.16% | +2.40% | -8.31% | -8.31% | +2.40% |
| 2024 | 13/09/2024 | 140.45 | near 52w high | -1.97% | -4.58% | -0.98% | -6.20% | +0.13% |
| 2023 | 14/09/2023 | 119.49 | neutral | -2.12% | -3.77% | -8.08% | -8.08% | +0.07% |
| 2022 | 14/09/2022 | 100.71 | neutral | -4.10% | -6.82% | -4.20% | -10.26% | +1.01% |
| 2021 | 14/09/2021 | 109.81 | far above SMA50 | +3.25% | +9.85% | +13.48% | +0.00% | +13.48% |
| 2020 | 14/09/2020 | 83.31 | neutral | -7.31% | +4.58% | +4.15% | -10.92% | +5.61% |
| 2019 | 13/09/2019 | 62.24 | neutral | -1.17% | -1.99% | +5.43% | -2.11% | +5.43% |
| 2018 | 14/09/2018 | 46.49 | volume x1.9 | -0.50% | -0.45% | +0.40% | -2.69% | +2.14% |
| 2017 | 14/09/2017 | 33.56 | near 52w high | +0.35% | +2.81% | +3.45% | -0.55% | +3.62% |
| 2016 | 14/09/2016 | 24.70 | near 52w high | +0.16% | -0.16% | -3.09% | -3.48% | +1.32% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+1.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -25.6% · from 52w low: +9.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +5.03% · +3.10% · +4.99% · -11.40% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +2.22% · +1.72% · -7.50% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -25.57% · +9.88% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 2.87 · 1.16x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +9.77% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +4.33% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +18.86% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 86.26 · 86.68 · 95.32 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 118.46 · 80.24 |
|---|
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