🕰️ Time Machine
CIEN — Ciena
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 11/09/2026
Last price (Close)
351.68 +5.12%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 1 days
12/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 10/09/2026
since +5.12%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 29/07/2026
323.29
Days: 31 trading / 44 calendar · return since: +8.78%
Last major high · 13/08/2026
462.69
Days: 20 trading / 29 calendar · return since: -23.99%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 323.29 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 27/08/2026 | -10 (±1) | Passed |
| High 13/08/2026 @ 462.69 | Fib 13 | Trading | 📅 01/09/2026 | -7 (±1) | Passed |
| High 13/08/2026 @ 462.69 | Fib 21 | Calendar | 📅 03/09/2026 | -8 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 323.29 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 10/09/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 323.29 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 12/09/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| High 13/08/2026 @ 462.69 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 12/09/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| High 13/08/2026 @ 462.69 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 14/09/2026 | +1 (±1) | In window |
| High 13/08/2026 @ 462.69 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 25/09/2026 | +10 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 323.29 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 27/09/2026 | +16 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 13/08/2026 @ 462.69 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 27/09/2026 | +16 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 323.29 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 01/10/2026 | +14 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 13/08/2026 @ 462.69 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 12/10/2026 | +31 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 13/08/2026 @ 462.69 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 16/10/2026 | +25 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 323.29 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 22/10/2026 | +29 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 13/08/2026 @ 462.69 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 06/11/2026 | +40 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Doji After Run 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/09/2026
● Gap Day 08/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/09/2026
● Doji After Run 04/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 03/09/2026
● Volume Climax 03/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 03/09/2026
● Hammer Reversal 25/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
● NR7 Compression 25/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
● Gap Day 24/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
● Failed Breakout 13/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 27/08/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.36% · Win 44% · DD -8.54%20 days: Avg +0.57% · Win 56% · DD -10.34%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/08/2025 | 92.74 | neutral | +26.07% | +42.87% | +47.91% | +0.00% | +50.40% |
| 2024 | 27/08/2024 | 57.02 | far above SMA50 | -3.67% | -6.52% | +7.72% | -10.28% | +8.17% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 42.04 | neutral | +14.01% | +16.10% | +9.35% | +0.00% | +18.89% |
| 2022 | 26/08/2022 | 53.62 | neutral | -17.53% | -16.82% | -25.94% | -25.94% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 57.18 | neutral | -0.45% | -5.00% | -8.11% | -11.09% | +2.33% |
| 2020 | 27/08/2020 | 55.99 | volume x1.6 | -18.81% | -25.79% | -29.77% | -30.67% | +7.29% |
| 2019 | 27/08/2019 | 39.53 | neutral | +4.22% | +2.28% | +1.54% | -1.57% | +4.45% |
| 2018 | 27/08/2018 | 27.99 | near 52w high · volume x2.0 | +14.58% | +11.83% | +11.90% | -2.43% | +14.58% |
| 2017 | 28/08/2017 | 23.74 | neutral | -8.59% | -6.70% | -9.48% | -11.08% | +2.23% |
Passed 01/09/2026 · High Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.25% · Win 44% · DD -7.51%20 days: Avg -0.14% · Win 33% · DD -9.86%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 93.59 | volume x1.6 | +30.56% | +46.90% | +55.65% | +0.00% | +55.65% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 57.65 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.2 | -10.72% | -2.34% | +6.83% | -11.26% | +8.34% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 48.47 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +0.74% | +0.80% | -2.70% | -5.16% | +1.26% |
| 2022 | 01/09/2022 | 45.48 | volume x4.3 | -2.53% | -7.98% | -11.10% | -12.69% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 01/09/2021 | 56.88 | volume x1.6 | -2.44% | -5.45% | -9.72% | -10.62% | +2.87% |
| 2020 | 01/09/2020 | 58.60 | near 52w high · volume x1.8 | -28.38% | -29.30% | -32.27% | -33.75% | +2.51% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 40.93 | neutral | -4.94% | +0.88% | -4.15% | -4.94% | +0.88% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 31.58 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.6 | -0.06% | -2.50% | -6.05% | -6.05% | +1.55% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 22.06 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.8 | -1.90% | +1.27% | +2.27% | -4.31% | +2.27% |
Passed 03/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.91% · Win 44% · DD -5.15%20 days: Avg +2.83% · Win 33% · DD -7.82%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/09/2025 | 94.82 | volume x2.9 | +36.95% | +43.83% | +60.01% | +0.00% | +60.01% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 55.35 | volume x3.2 | -4.59% | +1.97% | +11.02% | -7.57% | +12.85% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 48.47 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +0.74% | +0.80% | -2.70% | -5.16% | +1.26% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 44.22 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.2 | +0.86% | -6.76% | -6.67% | -10.20% | +0.86% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 56.92 | volume x1.9 | -4.57% | -9.21% | -9.12% | -10.68% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 03/09/2020 | 45.46 | far below SMA50 · volume x8.7 | -8.60% | -9.74% | -11.75% | -14.61% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 40.73 | volume x1.9 | -2.65% | -0.71% | -10.41% | -10.41% | +1.37% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 32.07 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -2.40% | -4.30% | -7.20% | -7.48% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 22.06 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.8 | -1.90% | +1.27% | +2.27% | -4.31% | +2.27% |
In window 10/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.22% · Win 30% · DD -3.36%20 days: Avg +2.04% · Win 50% · DD -5.22%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/09/2025 | 129.86 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.02% | +6.59% | +22.95% | +0.00% | +22.95% |
| 2024 | 10/09/2024 | 52.81 | neutral | +6.87% | +14.62% | +23.56% | +0.00% | +26.28% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 48.83 | far above SMA50 | +0.06% | -3.50% | -8.54% | -10.40% | +0.51% |
| 2022 | 09/09/2022 | 44.33 | far below SMA50 | -5.59% | -8.41% | -8.44% | -10.42% | +0.61% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 53.91 | neutral | -1.43% | -3.51% | -2.43% | -5.69% | +0.76% |
| 2020 | 10/09/2020 | 40.58 | far below SMA50 | +1.36% | -4.34% | +4.44% | -4.34% | +4.90% |
| 2019 | 10/09/2019 | 39.65 | neutral | +1.99% | -1.41% | -7.72% | -7.97% | +4.14% |
| 2018 | 10/09/2018 | 31.56 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.44% | -0.70% | -7.41% | -7.41% | +0.25% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 21.64 | far below SMA50 | +3.23% | -2.45% | +1.85% | -2.45% | +4.25% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 21.84 | near 52w high | -0.32% | +0.87% | +2.20% | -3.48% | +3.80% |
In window 12/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.81% · Win 30% · DD -4.31%20 days: Avg +1.00% · Win 40% · DD -5.99%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/09/2025 | 131.28 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.40% | +8.11% | +18.78% | +0.00% | +24.63% |
| 2024 | 12/09/2024 | 54.53 | neutral | +6.33% | +14.54% | +25.62% | +0.00% | +25.62% |
| 2023 | 12/09/2023 | 48.81 | far above SMA50 | -1.72% | -5.82% | -8.44% | -10.37% | +0.55% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 44.60 | far below SMA50 | -7.56% | -10.96% | -10.74% | -10.96% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 13/09/2021 | 54.32 | neutral | -4.86% | -3.28% | -3.65% | -6.41% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 41.55 | far below SMA50 | -1.25% | -5.37% | +3.56% | -6.57% | +3.56% |
| 2019 | 12/09/2019 | 39.54 | neutral | +1.16% | -0.89% | -5.79% | -7.71% | +4.43% |
| 2018 | 12/09/2018 | 31.64 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -4.08% | -2.37% | -9.67% | -9.67% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 12/09/2017 | 22.15 | neutral | -0.32% | -2.98% | -1.85% | -4.70% | +1.85% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 21.84 | near 52w high | -0.32% | +0.87% | +2.20% | -3.48% | +3.80% |
In window 14/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.94% · Win 50% · DD -3.26%20 days: Avg +1.11% · Win 40% · DD -5.28%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/09/2025 | 135.90 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.51% | +6.05% | +21.25% | +0.00% | +21.25% |
| 2024 | 13/09/2024 | 56.17 | neutral | +4.56% | +10.04% | +21.90% | +0.00% | +21.95% |
| 2023 | 14/09/2023 | 49.08 | far above SMA50 | -4.46% | -3.57% | -11.31% | -11.31% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 14/09/2022 | 42.71 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -4.61% | -1.38% | -7.63% | -8.31% | +0.23% |
| 2021 | 14/09/2021 | 52.96 | neutral | -4.00% | -3.04% | -2.00% | -4.00% | +1.55% |
| 2020 | 14/09/2020 | 42.57 | far below SMA50 | -4.65% | -6.55% | +0.38% | -8.81% | +1.08% |
| 2019 | 13/09/2019 | 39.88 | neutral | -0.75% | -1.35% | -5.22% | -8.50% | +3.54% |
| 2018 | 14/09/2018 | 31.06 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.06% | +0.58% | -6.54% | -9.08% | +0.90% |
| 2017 | 14/09/2017 | 21.58 | far below SMA50 | -0.93% | +2.27% | +0.88% | -2.18% | +4.54% |
| 2016 | 14/09/2016 | 21.08 | near 52w high | +3.56% | +6.31% | -0.57% | -0.57% | +7.54% |
Upcoming 25/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.60% · Win 70% · DD -2.88%20 days: Avg +2.50% · Win 60% · DD -4.41%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/09/2025 | 137.17 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +11.29% | +19.28% | +25.81% | +0.00% | +26.21% |
| 2024 | 25/09/2024 | 61.42 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +7.49% | +9.87% | +7.86% | +0.00% | +11.53% |
| 2023 | 25/09/2023 | 47.12 | neutral | +0.08% | -5.22% | -12.88% | -12.88% | +0.45% |
| 2022 | 26/09/2022 | 39.71 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +3.93% | +0.25% | +10.02% | -1.39% | +10.02% |
| 2021 | 24/09/2021 | 52.02 | neutral | +0.40% | +1.11% | +1.25% | -1.35% | +2.77% |
| 2020 | 25/09/2020 | 39.32 | far below SMA50 | +2.03% | +9.44% | +4.88% | +0.00% | +9.44% |
| 2019 | 25/09/2019 | 40.14 | neutral | -8.32% | -7.08% | -6.00% | -9.09% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 25/09/2018 | 31.32 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -4.98% | -7.41% | -1.37% | -9.83% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 25/09/2017 | 21.11 | far below SMA50 | +6.87% | +4.41% | +4.45% | +0.00% | +6.87% |
| 2016 | 26/09/2016 | 22.03 | near 52w high | -3.31% | +1.32% | -8.99% | -9.53% | +2.91% |
Upcoming 27/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.04% · Win 30% · DD -3.62%20 days: Avg +0.93% · Win 40% · DD -4.98%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/09/2025 | 141.93 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +6.71% | +9.87% | +26.15% | +0.00% | +26.15% |
| 2024 | 27/09/2024 | 61.81 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +7.90% | +10.77% | +3.74% | -0.58% | +10.82% |
| 2023 | 27/09/2023 | 46.05 | neutral | -1.24% | -3.56% | -11.29% | -11.29% | +2.78% |
| 2022 | 27/09/2022 | 40.36 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +6.07% | -2.97% | +12.04% | -2.97% | +12.04% |
| 2021 | 27/09/2021 | 52.54 | neutral | -1.54% | -0.38% | -1.50% | -2.32% | +1.75% |
| 2020 | 28/09/2020 | 39.78 | far below SMA50 | +3.97% | +7.42% | +1.99% | -0.23% | +8.17% |
| 2019 | 27/09/2019 | 39.34 | neutral | -4.40% | -3.91% | -5.31% | -7.24% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 27/09/2018 | 31.01 | near 52w high | -3.48% | -8.93% | -3.03% | -8.93% | +0.74% |
| 2017 | 27/09/2017 | 22.14 | neutral | -0.18% | -2.44% | -1.31% | -4.02% | +1.90% |
| 2016 | 27/09/2016 | 22.65 | near 52w high | -6.45% | -5.43% | -12.19% | -12.19% | +0.09% |
Upcoming 01/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.65% · Win 50% · DD -3.03%20 days: Avg +1.92% · Win 50% · DD -4.63%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/10/2025 | 151.72 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.23% | +11.20% | +24.75% | -0.18% | +24.75% |
| 2024 | 01/10/2024 | 61.45 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +6.18% | +7.19% | +6.30% | +0.00% | +11.47% |
| 2023 | 02/10/2023 | 47.16 | neutral | -5.30% | -7.74% | -12.93% | -13.91% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 30/09/2022 | 40.43 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +0.40% | -2.08% | +19.34% | -3.14% | +19.34% |
| 2021 | 01/10/2021 | 52.23 | neutral | +0.71% | +0.04% | +3.94% | -0.96% | +4.04% |
| 2020 | 01/10/2020 | 39.74 | far below SMA50 | +6.64% | +5.96% | -2.34% | -3.27% | +8.28% |
| 2019 | 01/10/2019 | 36.49 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +0.27% | +3.12% | -1.75% | -1.75% | +5.37% |
| 2018 | 01/10/2018 | 29.67 | volume x2.0 | -1.52% | -0.94% | +0.17% | -4.82% | +4.42% |
| 2017 | 02/10/2017 | 22.56 | neutral | -2.30% | -5.63% | -7.76% | -7.76% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 30/09/2016 | 21.80 | near 52w high | +2.43% | -4.59% | -10.50% | -10.50% | +3.99% |
Upcoming 12/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.59% · Win 40% · DD -2.86%20 days: Avg +5.98% · Win 60% · DD -4.85%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/10/2025 | 164.78 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.06% | +10.78% | +26.68% | -0.18% | +26.68% |
| 2024 | 11/10/2024 | 68.47 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -4.59% | -6.35% | +5.02% | -7.64% | +5.02% |
| 2023 | 12/10/2023 | 43.53 | neutral | -3.24% | -6.73% | -0.62% | -6.73% | +0.85% |
| 2022 | 12/10/2022 | 39.45 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +4.01% | +16.70% | +4.33% | +0.00% | +22.31% |
| 2021 | 12/10/2021 | 51.90 | neutral | +1.58% | +1.10% | +16.82% | -0.29% | +17.19% |
| 2020 | 12/10/2020 | 42.73 | far below SMA50 | -3.42% | -5.05% | +0.33% | -10.04% | +0.33% |
| 2019 | 11/10/2019 | 37.80 | neutral | +1.72% | -1.46% | -0.93% | -5.16% | +1.72% |
| 2018 | 12/10/2018 | 29.03 | neutral | +5.89% | +2.10% | +18.60% | +0.00% | +19.63% |
| 2017 | 12/10/2017 | 21.77 | neutral | -1.65% | -2.48% | -10.11% | -10.11% | +1.79% |
| 2016 | 12/10/2016 | 20.96 | near 52w low · volume x2.1 | -1.48% | -2.72% | -0.29% | -8.35% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 16/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.97% · Win 30% · DD -3.70%20 days: Avg +6.74% · Win 90% · DD -4.50%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/10/2025 | 170.78 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.05% | +10.65% | +13.72% | -3.69% | +22.68% |
| 2024 | 16/10/2024 | 66.57 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.48% | -2.91% | +7.26% | -5.00% | +8.23% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 43.51 | neutral | -5.65% | -5.63% | +0.90% | -6.69% | +1.42% |
| 2022 | 17/10/2022 | 40.42 | far below SMA50 | +8.09% | +18.51% | +10.56% | +0.00% | +19.37% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 52.25 | neutral | +0.80% | +3.90% | +17.53% | -0.96% | +17.53% |
| 2020 | 16/10/2020 | 41.81 | far below SMA50 | -1.36% | -5.79% | +4.16% | -8.06% | +4.16% |
| 2019 | 16/10/2019 | 37.20 | neutral | +1.42% | -1.13% | +1.42% | -3.63% | +3.36% |
| 2018 | 16/10/2018 | 30.84 | near 52w high · volume x1.5 | +0.16% | -1.52% | +8.01% | -3.92% | +12.61% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 21.29 | neutral | +3.57% | -2.25% | -7.52% | -8.08% | +4.09% |
| 2016 | 17/10/2016 | 20.21 | near 52w low | -0.79% | -4.11% | +11.33% | -4.95% | +11.33% |
Upcoming 22/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.99% · Win 50% · DD -3.85%20 days: Avg +5.39% · Win 80% · DD -4.38%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/10/2025 | 164.48 | far above SMA50 | +15.07% | +19.05% | +14.77% | +0.00% | +27.38% |
| 2024 | 22/10/2024 | 66.15 | far above SMA50 | -1.25% | -0.44% | +1.44% | -4.40% | +8.92% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 41.05 | near 52w low | +0.02% | +5.29% | +9.55% | -1.10% | +13.01% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 43.08 | neutral | +12.00% | +6.66% | +3.99% | -4.46% | +12.00% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 52.67 | neutral | +3.08% | +14.87% | +15.38% | -1.75% | +17.77% |
| 2020 | 22/10/2020 | 41.49 | far below SMA50 | -6.46% | -0.46% | +2.51% | -7.35% | +6.36% |
| 2019 | 22/10/2019 | 37.99 | neutral | -5.63% | -2.79% | -1.53% | -5.63% | +0.16% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 30.96 | near 52w high | -4.01% | +8.66% | +4.88% | -4.30% | +12.18% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 22.05 | neutral | -5.62% | -7.48% | -7.07% | -11.25% | +0.50% |
| 2016 | 21/10/2016 | 19.93 | near 52w low | -2.11% | -3.41% | +10.04% | -3.61% | +13.60% |
Upcoming 06/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.42% · Win 50% · DD -4.09%20 days: Avg +2.59% · Win 70% · DD -4.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/11/2025 | 201.46 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -3.60% | -12.41% | +0.12% | -12.41% | +4.00% |
| 2024 | 06/11/2024 | 68.50 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +4.23% | -2.95% | +5.45% | -2.95% | +6.79% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 43.22 | neutral | +1.57% | +4.05% | +5.85% | -0.42% | +8.63% |
| 2022 | 07/11/2022 | 45.74 | neutral | -2.30% | -3.06% | -3.08% | -10.01% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 60.50 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.50% | +0.45% | +1.12% | -0.88% | +2.53% |
| 2020 | 06/11/2020 | 42.30 | neutral | +2.96% | -0.47% | +14.59% | -0.47% | +14.59% |
| 2019 | 06/11/2019 | 36.73 | neutral | +2.72% | +1.80% | -1.20% | -1.20% | +3.78% |
| 2018 | 06/11/2018 | 34.04 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.14% | -9.99% | -5.29% | -9.99% | +2.03% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 20.40 | near 52w low | -3.48% | +0.44% | +5.10% | -4.07% | +6.62% |
| 2016 | 07/11/2016 | 20.34 | neutral | +10.62% | +7.92% | +3.24% | +0.00% | +11.31% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-10.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -44.8% · from 52w low: +170.5%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +10.78% · -12.05% · -20.58% · -18.27% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -6.35% · -10.70% · -7.53% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -44.83% · +170.53% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 21.93 · 0.49x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -18.48% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -19.03% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -17.65% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 375.52 · 393.82 · 380.34 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 637.51 · 130.00 |
|---|
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