🕰️ Time Machine

CMC — Commercial Metals

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
62.77 -1.60%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 5 days
30/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 09/10/2026
since -1.75%
Trend
Strong downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 09/07/2026
59.96
Days: 75 trading / 106 calendar · return since: +4.69%
Last major high · 06/08/2026
76.84
Days: 55 trading / 78 calendar · return since: -18.31%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 06/08/2026 @ 76.84Cycle 45Trading📅 09/10/2026-10 (±2)Passed
High 06/08/2026 @ 76.84Cycle 60Trading📅 30/10/2026+5 (±2)Upcoming
High 06/08/2026 @ 76.84Cycle 90Calendar📅 04/11/2026+12 (±3)Upcoming
Low 09/07/2026 @ 59.96Cycle 120Calendar📅 06/11/2026+14 (±3)Upcoming
Low 09/07/2026 @ 59.96Cycle 90Trading📅 13/11/2026+15 (±3)Upcoming
Low 09/07/2026 @ 59.96Cycle 144Calendar📅 30/11/2026+38 (±3)Upcoming
High 06/08/2026 @ 76.84Cycle 120Calendar📅 04/12/2026+42 (±3)Upcoming
High 06/08/2026 @ 76.84Cycle 90Trading📅 14/12/2026+35 (±3)Upcoming
Low 09/07/2026 @ 59.96Cycle 120Trading📅 29/12/2026+45 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Failed Breakout 15/10/2026
● Doji After Run 09/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 09/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 01/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 01/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 09/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.43% · Win 44% · DD -5.24%20 days: Avg +4.35% · Win 67% · DD -6.56%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/10/202559.00neutral-6.19%+3.17%-2.36%-6.19%+5.17%
202409/10/202452.59neutral+2.05%-2.53%+19.83%-2.53%+19.83%
202309/10/202348.06neutral-10.90%-16.67%-4.41%-16.67%+1.58%
202210/10/202239.88neutral+6.62%+10.83%+15.01%-0.65%+15.36%
202108/10/202131.85neutral-0.47%-1.07%+6.51%-2.76%+6.51%
202009/10/202022.64neutral-4.51%-5.79%-14.30%-16.03%+2.56%
201909/10/201917.45neutral+10.26%+9.57%+15.36%+0.00%+15.36%
201809/10/201820.13neutral-8.15%-9.74%+2.09%-14.21%+2.09%
201709/10/201718.61neutral+10.16%+16.12%+1.45%+0.00%+17.84%
Upcoming 30/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +7.32% · Win 80% · DD -2.71%20 days: Avg +8.78% · Win 70% · DD -2.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/10/202559.90neutral-4.11%-0.62%+6.48%-5.64%+6.64%
202430/10/202454.39neutral+15.86%+11.84%+13.21%-0.76%+15.86%
202330/10/202342.46far below SMA50+7.77%+5.13%+4.50%-0.40%+8.76%
202231/10/202245.50near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.44%+3.27%+6.33%-4.77%+6.77%
202129/10/202132.18neutral+4.97%+6.43%-0.53%-1.77%+12.65%
202030/10/202020.65neutral-6.59%+1.07%-3.58%-8.47%+5.91%
201930/10/201919.39far above SMA50+3.82%+1.90%+12.90%-0.31%+12.90%
201830/10/201818.10near 52w low · far below SMA50+13.54%+9.26%+8.37%+0.00%+13.54%
201730/10/201719.49neutral-3.13%-4.27%-1.32%-6.64%+1.33%
201631/10/201615.71near 52w low+9.12%+39.19%+41.44%-0.70%+42.78%
Upcoming 04/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.39% · Win 70% · DD -1.50%20 days: Avg +9.07% · Win 80% · DD -2.33%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/11/202556.52neutral+4.67%+2.37%+16.53%+0.00%+16.53%
202404/11/202453.96neutral+16.10%+10.53%+17.05%+0.00%+17.35%
202303/11/202345.59neutral-0.90%-0.53%+1.23%-3.58%+1.73%
202204/11/202245.84near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.48%+3.53%+7.35%-0.83%+8.18%
202104/11/202132.71neutral+6.02%+6.02%-2.75%-5.53%+10.82%
202004/11/202018.90volume x2.2+10.00%+10.11%+3.12%+0.00%+15.71%
201904/11/201919.94far above SMA50+2.37%+1.97%+7.52%-0.91%+9.79%
201805/11/201820.51volume x1.5-4.81%-3.29%-6.72%-7.26%+0.20%
201703/11/201719.20neutral-2.35%-3.87%+4.36%-5.23%+4.36%
201604/11/201616.69near 52w high+25.53%+27.10%+43.03%+0.00%+43.03%
Upcoming 06/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.60% · Win 50% · DD -2.18%20 days: Avg +6.49% · Win 60% · DD -3.40%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/11/202557.44neutral+3.64%-0.16%+16.40%-0.16%+16.40%
202406/11/202462.81near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.1-3.47%-4.92%-1.75%-5.51%+0.81%
202306/11/202345.76neutral-2.45%-2.58%-0.94%-3.93%+1.35%
202207/11/202245.70near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.82%+3.76%+8.84%-0.53%+8.84%
202105/11/202133.78neutral+1.39%+3.82%-6.10%-8.53%+7.31%
202006/11/202019.29neutral+8.19%+7.57%+4.61%+0.00%+13.37%
201906/11/201920.01near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.85%+0.60%+8.50%-1.85%+8.75%
201806/11/201820.43neutral-3.77%-6.46%-9.69%-9.69%+0.00%
201706/11/201718.88neutral-1.17%-0.21%+3.84%-3.62%+6.13%
201607/11/201617.02near 52w high+27.56%+24.62%+41.19%-0.18%+41.19%
Upcoming 13/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.42% · Win 60% · DD -2.77%20 days: Avg +3.52% · Win 60% · DD -4.09%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202513/11/202559.53neutral-3.66%+7.14%+18.53%-3.66%+19.87%
202413/11/202460.63near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.50%+1.22%-3.33%-3.33%+4.44%
202313/11/202344.64neutral-0.13%-0.60%+3.25%-1.52%+3.90%
202214/11/202246.99near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.92%+2.96%+3.85%+0.00%+5.96%
202112/11/202134.25neutral+2.39%-6.54%-4.53%-9.78%+5.84%
202013/11/202020.87neutral-0.58%-4.60%-5.32%-6.61%+4.79%
201913/11/201919.64near 52w high+2.49%+10.79%+15.07%+0.00%+15.07%
201813/11/201819.66neutral-2.80%-0.81%-10.22%-10.48%+1.63%
201713/11/201718.54neutral+0.97%+3.07%+11.49%-2.48%+13.16%
201614/11/201621.71near 52w high-2.30%+1.61%+6.45%-2.99%+12.11%
Upcoming 30/11/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.28% · Win 60% · DD -2.67%20 days: Avg +1.36% · Win 60% · DD -5.01%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/12/202564.08near 52w high+4.18%+11.22%+9.08%-0.81%+11.36%
202429/11/202461.69near 52w high-0.52%-7.26%-20.21%-20.21%+2.64%
202330/11/202345.33neutral+1.68%+4.61%+10.39%+0.00%+12.77%
202230/11/202249.22near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.10%-0.75%-0.93%-3.96%+1.20%
202130/11/202130.90neutral+5.02%+6.31%+17.83%+0.00%+17.83%
202030/11/202019.91neutral+1.36%-0.75%-0.15%-2.11%+4.87%
201929/11/201921.36near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.07%+3.70%+4.54%-0.23%+5.81%
201830/11/201819.27neutral-8.30%-11.94%-14.79%-20.86%+2.08%
201730/11/201719.84neutral+4.69%+2.97%+7.46%-1.81%+8.22%
201630/11/201622.01near 52w high+10.59%+4.68%+0.41%-0.09%+10.59%
Upcoming 04/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.41% · Win 60% · DD -4.41%20 days: Avg +2.68% · Win 60% · DD -5.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/12/202565.23near 52w high+9.40%+6.73%+11.44%+0.00%+11.44%
202404/12/202462.18near 52w high-0.93%-17.59%-21.37%-21.37%+0.13%
202304/12/202346.15neutral-0.56%+2.90%+6.02%-1.78%+10.77%
202205/12/202249.21near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.30%-3.94%-0.43%-3.94%+1.22%
202103/12/202131.81neutral+3.65%+9.21%+14.24%-0.28%+14.46%
202004/12/202019.93neutral-0.15%+0.75%+6.22%-0.85%+6.22%
201904/12/201921.61near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.58%+1.48%+2.64%+0.00%+4.58%
201804/12/201819.02neutral-5.68%-12.30%-10.41%-19.82%+0.00%
201704/12/201719.91neutral+3.97%+3.87%+22.05%-2.16%+22.05%
201605/12/201623.70near 52w high-0.80%-5.19%-3.63%-8.10%+2.70%
Upcoming 14/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.54% · Win 50% · DD -3.80%20 days: Avg +4.09% · Win 70% · DD -4.93%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/12/202571.27near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.12%-1.92%+4.20%-2.88%+4.69%
202413/12/202457.21volume x1.9-12.13%-13.97%-9.79%-18.04%+0.00%
202314/12/202347.42volume x1.5+5.15%+5.53%+4.93%+0.00%+9.30%
202214/12/202248.85near 52w high · volume x1.6+1.97%-0.18%+14.76%-3.23%+14.98%
202114/12/202132.85volume x1.6+3.38%+10.84%+12.54%+0.00%+14.46%
202014/12/202019.76neutral+2.33%+0.61%+11.59%+0.00%+18.88%
201913/12/201922.15near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.94%+0.81%+0.85%-1.94%+4.60%
201814/12/201817.29near 52w low-8.73%-7.35%-8.04%-11.80%+0.00%
201714/12/201720.43neutral+2.94%+4.36%+20.92%+0.00%+26.38%
201614/12/201623.04neutral-1.13%-4.08%-11.04%-11.43%+0.95%
Upcoming 29/12/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.60% · Win 80% · DD -2.36%20 days: Avg +2.88% · Win 60% · DD -3.54%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/12/202570.55near 52w high · far above SMA50+5.75%+5.26%+6.63%-1.89%+10.62%
202430/12/202449.22near 52w low · far below SMA50-0.67%+4.86%-0.12%-4.73%+5.37%
202329/12/202350.04far above SMA50+3.58%-0.56%+6.10%-3.64%+6.10%
202229/12/202248.76near 52w high+3.79%+14.97%+10.82%-1.91%+15.20%
202129/12/202136.41near 52w high+2.42%+1.54%-8.08%-8.13%+4.15%
202029/12/202019.88neutral+18.16%+10.92%+0.31%+0.00%+18.16%
201930/12/201922.33near 52w high+1.43%+0.04%-4.87%-5.63%+3.76%
201828/12/201815.91near 52w low · far below SMA50+1.19%+0.38%+8.24%-0.63%+8.93%
201729/12/201721.32neutral+18.57%+15.88%+15.69%+0.00%+21.11%
201629/12/201622.10neutral+2.26%-7.25%-5.89%-8.84%+3.80%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-4.9%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -26.0% · from 52w low: +12.1%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-3.40% · -1.75% · -4.50% · -8.24%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-1.93% · -4.87% · -9.51%
Distance from 52w high / low-26.04% · +12.15%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg2.21 · 0.81x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+0.88%
vs SPY (20d)-3.03%
vs SMH (20d)+8.58%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20064.00 · 65.98 · 69.37
52w high / low84.87 · 55.97