🕰️ Time Machine

CMC — Commercial Metals

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
66.62 -3.42%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 1 days
11/09/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 04/09/2026
since -5.21%
Trend
Downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 09/07/2026
59.96
Days: 44 trading / 63 calendar · return since: +11.11%
Last major high · 06/08/2026
76.84
Days: 24 trading / 35 calendar · return since: -13.30%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 06/08/2026 @ 76.84Fib 21Trading📅 04/09/2026-3 (±1)Passed
High 06/08/2026 @ 76.84Cycle 30Calendar📅 05/09/2026-5 (±2)Passed
Low 09/07/2026 @ 59.96Cycle 60Calendar📅 07/09/2026-3 (±2)Passed
Low 09/07/2026 @ 59.96Cycle 45Trading📅 11/09/2026+1 (±2)In window
High 06/08/2026 @ 76.84Cycle 30Trading📅 18/09/2026+6 (±2)Upcoming
High 06/08/2026 @ 76.84Cycle 45Calendar📅 20/09/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
Low 09/07/2026 @ 59.96Cycle 60Trading📅 02/10/2026+16 (±2)Upcoming
High 06/08/2026 @ 76.84Cycle 60Calendar📅 05/10/2026+25 (±2)Upcoming
Low 09/07/2026 @ 59.96Cycle 90Calendar📅 07/10/2026+27 (±3)Upcoming
High 06/08/2026 @ 76.84Cycle 45Trading📅 09/10/2026+21 (±2)Upcoming
High 06/08/2026 @ 76.84Cycle 60Trading📅 30/10/2026+36 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Shooting Star 08/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 07/09/2026
Bearish Engulfing 28/08/2026
Failed Breakdown 19/08/2026
Bullish Engulfing 17/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 04/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.24% · Win 33% · DD -4.51%20 days: Avg -0.73% · Win 56% · DD -6.20%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/09/202558.19neutral+1.86%+2.54%+0.79%-2.03%+2.75%
202404/09/202450.72neutral-4.04%+2.31%+4.87%-4.04%+8.44%
202305/09/202356.30near 52w high-6.71%-8.28%-15.63%-15.63%+0.00%
202202/09/202239.13neutral+6.49%-1.64%-3.99%-9.33%+6.59%
202103/09/202131.94neutral-3.48%-7.01%-1.78%-7.01%+1.13%
202004/09/202020.75neutral-0.67%-4.72%+2.80%-5.59%+4.43%
201904/09/201915.54neutral+19.18%+20.27%+9.65%+0.00%+22.01%
201804/09/201821.29neutral-4.65%-1.17%-5.03%-5.03%+1.27%
201705/09/201718.92neutral-3.70%-4.49%+1.74%-7.14%+2.27%
Passed 05/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.74% · Win 33% · DD -4.82%20 days: Avg -0.32% · Win 44% · DD -6.46%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/09/202559.21neutral-2.31%-1.76%-1.01%-3.72%+0.98%
202405/09/202450.04neutral-0.78%+8.87%+5.22%-2.74%+9.91%
202305/09/202356.30near 52w high-6.71%-8.28%-15.63%-15.63%+0.00%
202206/09/202239.45neutral+1.24%-5.04%-0.63%-10.06%+5.73%
202103/09/202131.94neutral-3.48%-7.01%-1.78%-7.01%+1.13%
202004/09/202020.75neutral-0.67%-4.72%+2.80%-5.59%+4.43%
201905/09/201915.96neutral+16.48%+15.10%+9.46%-0.69%+18.80%
201805/09/201821.41neutral-3.32%+0.70%-2.99%-5.56%+0.70%
201705/09/201718.92neutral-3.70%-4.49%+1.74%-7.14%+2.27%
Passed 07/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.65% · Win 22% · DD -4.50%20 days: Avg +0.56% · Win 44% · DD -5.57%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/09/202559.79far above SMA50-2.24%-3.80%-2.04%-4.65%+0.00%
202406/09/202449.81neutral+2.77%+6.95%+7.11%-2.29%+10.42%
202307/09/202354.46neutral-2.17%-9.53%-12.54%-12.78%+0.00%
202207/09/202240.25neutral-5.81%-7.43%-2.73%-11.85%+3.63%
202107/09/202131.92neutral-6.80%-6.42%-0.50%-6.95%+1.19%
202008/09/202020.15neutral+2.93%-2.78%+4.52%-2.78%+7.54%
201906/09/201915.85neutral+18.36%+13.38%+11.29%+0.00%+19.62%
201807/09/201820.82volume x1.5+1.58%-1.73%-3.55%-3.55%+3.55%
201707/09/201718.54neutral-5.23%-3.45%+3.51%-5.23%+4.37%
In window 11/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.86% · Win 50% · DD -4.52%20 days: Avg +1.05% · Win 50% · DD -5.26%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/09/202559.27neutral+0.67%-2.77%-0.46%-3.81%+0.67%
202411/09/202448.67far below SMA50+6.62%+10.03%+8.05%+0.00%+13.01%
202311/09/202352.22volume x2.1-0.98%-2.97%-7.97%-9.04%+2.03%
202212/09/202241.67neutral-7.63%-14.83%-4.30%-14.85%+0.00%
202110/09/202130.95neutral-3.00%+0.06%+2.91%-4.04%+4.43%
202011/09/202020.09neutral+6.87%+0.55%+12.69%-2.49%+13.44%
201911/09/201918.52volume x2.2+0.92%-3.62%-5.78%-9.61%+2.38%
201811/09/201820.30neutral+3.65%+0.54%-0.84%-1.28%+6.21%
201711/09/201718.24neutral-0.16%-0.16%+2.03%-3.67%+6.09%
201612/09/201615.36near 52w high-0.78%+4.56%+4.17%-3.84%+7.10%
Upcoming 18/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.11% · Win 40% · DD -4.43%20 days: Avg +0.16% · Win 70% · DD -6.63%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/09/202559.67volume x1.6-3.42%-1.71%-7.24%-7.24%+1.27%
202418/09/202451.89neutral+3.20%+2.51%+3.43%+0.00%+5.99%
202318/09/202351.71neutral-2.01%-6.13%-17.19%-17.19%+0.00%
202219/09/202238.49neutral-7.79%-2.39%+10.47%-7.82%+10.47%
202117/09/202130.02volume x3.3+3.16%+3.43%+5.60%-1.07%+8.23%
202018/09/202021.47volume x2.5-5.92%-4.24%+0.70%-8.76%+8.15%
201918/09/201918.69far above SMA50-4.49%-8.83%+2.94%-10.43%+4.01%
201818/09/201821.04volume x1.7-2.99%-3.90%-12.12%-12.12%+2.47%
201718/09/201718.21neutral+0.00%+6.26%+12.58%-1.70%+14.11%
201619/09/201615.24near 52w high+5.38%+3.94%+2.43%+0.00%+7.94%
Upcoming 20/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.04% · Win 60% · DD -3.03%20 days: Avg +2.42% · Win 70% · DD -5.47%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202519/09/202558.17volume x2.8+0.88%+0.76%-1.36%-4.85%+3.89%
202420/09/202453.27volume x2.7+3.25%+0.15%+5.33%-1.28%+5.89%
202320/09/202350.36neutral-0.75%-5.04%-18.05%-18.05%+0.62%
202220/09/202237.46neutral-2.86%+4.64%+15.30%-5.29%+15.30%
202120/09/202129.70neutral+8.75%+5.62%+6.90%+0.00%+9.39%
202021/09/202019.77volume x1.7+4.30%+7.89%+6.78%-0.91%+17.45%
201920/09/201917.97volume x1.8-6.84%-1.84%+4.28%-6.84%+8.18%
201820/09/201821.08neutral-3.46%-4.60%-12.62%-12.62%+0.00%
201720/09/201718.59neutral+1.18%+2.90%+16.14%-3.71%+16.14%
201620/09/201615.46near 52w high+5.05%-0.06%+1.49%-1.16%+6.40%
Upcoming 02/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.28% · Win 60% · DD -3.47%20 days: Avg +2.24% · Win 70% · DD -5.28%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/10/202558.65neutral+0.60%-5.63%+2.43%-5.63%+5.80%
202402/10/202453.19neutral-1.13%+0.90%+2.26%-3.63%+6.05%
202302/10/202348.54far below SMA50-0.99%-11.78%-12.18%-17.49%+0.58%
202203/10/202237.57neutral+6.15%+13.18%+21.54%+0.00%+21.54%
202101/10/202131.05neutral+2.58%+2.09%+4.08%-0.26%+5.93%
202002/10/202020.56neutral+10.12%+5.16%+1.02%-3.82%+12.94%
201902/10/201917.04neutral+2.41%+12.91%+13.79%+0.00%+15.49%
201802/10/201820.22neutral-0.45%-8.56%-10.48%-14.59%+2.72%
201702/10/201719.35neutral-3.82%+5.94%+0.72%-3.82%+13.33%
201603/10/201615.84near 52w high+1.01%-1.45%-0.82%-3.54%+3.98%
Upcoming 05/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.06% · Win 60% · DD -4.49%20 days: Avg +2.15% · Win 60% · DD -5.99%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/10/202558.57neutral+0.90%+0.09%+0.02%-5.50%+5.94%
202404/10/202453.35neutral+0.32%+5.17%+2.36%-3.92%+5.74%
202305/10/202347.63far below SMA50-8.27%-13.31%-4.39%-15.91%+2.50%
202205/10/202239.15neutral+1.20%+8.56%+11.08%-1.69%+17.30%
202105/10/202131.76neutral+1.42%-0.41%-0.05%-2.49%+3.56%
202005/10/202021.33neutral+8.86%-1.03%-1.16%-7.29%+8.86%
201904/10/201917.64neutral+6.97%+6.24%+11.11%-1.98%+11.56%
201805/10/201820.08neutral-4.78%-10.06%+1.99%-13.99%+1.99%
201705/10/201719.19neutral+6.36%+13.76%+2.24%-3.02%+14.28%
201605/10/201615.94near 52w high-1.07%+1.57%-1.69%-4.14%+3.32%
Upcoming 07/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.68% · Win 60% · DD -4.78%20 days: Avg +2.53% · Win 70% · DD -6.30%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/10/202558.01neutral+4.17%+6.96%-2.28%-4.59%+6.96%
202407/10/202453.27neutral+1.39%+3.44%+1.63%-3.77%+5.89%
202306/10/202347.67far below SMA50-9.46%-15.38%-3.98%-15.98%+2.41%
202207/10/202238.49neutral+7.09%+13.93%+19.52%+0.00%+19.52%
202107/10/202132.32neutral-4.18%-1.58%+1.64%-4.18%+1.76%
202007/10/202022.12neutral+3.66%-5.88%-14.06%-14.06%+4.97%
201907/10/201917.62neutral+6.41%+4.82%+13.17%-1.87%+13.17%
201808/10/201820.04neutral-7.44%-9.43%+2.35%-13.82%+2.35%
201706/10/201718.88neutral+10.06%+16.15%+1.69%-1.43%+16.15%
201607/10/201615.80near 52w high-3.29%+3.80%+5.63%-3.29%+5.63%
Upcoming 09/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.64% · Win 50% · DD -5.16%20 days: Avg +4.63% · Win 70% · DD -6.35%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/10/202559.00neutral-6.19%+3.17%-2.36%-6.19%+5.17%
202409/10/202452.59neutral+2.05%-2.53%+19.83%-2.53%+19.83%
202309/10/202348.06neutral-10.90%-16.67%-4.41%-16.67%+1.58%
202210/10/202239.88neutral+6.62%+10.83%+15.01%-0.65%+15.36%
202108/10/202131.85neutral-0.47%-1.07%+6.51%-2.76%+6.51%
202009/10/202022.64neutral-4.51%-5.79%-14.30%-16.03%+2.56%
201909/10/201917.45neutral+10.26%+9.57%+15.36%+0.00%+15.36%
201809/10/201820.13neutral-8.15%-9.74%+2.09%-14.21%+2.09%
201709/10/201718.61neutral+10.16%+16.12%+1.45%+0.00%+17.84%
201610/10/201616.00near 52w high-2.44%+2.50%+7.15%-4.50%+7.15%
Upcoming 30/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +7.32% · Win 80% · DD -2.71%20 days: Avg +8.78% · Win 70% · DD -2.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/10/202559.90neutral-4.11%-0.62%+6.48%-5.64%+6.64%
202430/10/202454.39neutral+15.86%+11.84%+13.21%-0.76%+15.86%
202330/10/202342.46far below SMA50+7.77%+5.13%+4.50%-0.40%+8.76%
202231/10/202245.50near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.44%+3.27%+6.33%-4.77%+6.77%
202129/10/202132.18neutral+4.97%+6.43%-0.53%-1.77%+12.65%
202030/10/202020.65neutral-6.59%+1.07%-3.58%-8.47%+5.91%
201930/10/201919.39far above SMA50+3.82%+1.90%+12.90%-0.31%+12.90%
201830/10/201818.10near 52w low · far below SMA50+13.54%+9.26%+8.37%+0.00%+13.54%
201730/10/201719.49neutral-3.13%-4.27%-1.32%-6.64%+1.33%
201631/10/201615.71neutral+9.12%+39.19%+41.44%-0.70%+42.78%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-2.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -21.5% · from 52w low: +25.5%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-3.66% · -2.62% · -7.91% · -13.23%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-2.95% · -2.09% · -4.77%
Distance from 52w high / low-21.50% · +25.51%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg2.24 · 0.94x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-5.83%
vs SPY (20d)-6.02%
vs SMH (20d)-3.71%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20068.64 · 68.04 · 69.95
52w high / low84.87 · 53.08