🕰️ Time Machine

COTY — Coty

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
2.63 -2.23%
Next window · Cycle 90 · in 4 days
16/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 01/09/2026
since -7.39%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 29/06/2026
1.82
Days: 51 trading / 73 calendar · return since: +44.51%
Last major high · 07/05/2026
2.71
Days: 86 trading / 126 calendar · return since: -2.95%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 29/06/2026 @ 1.82Cycle 45Trading📅 01/09/2026-6 (±2)Passed
High 07/05/2026 @ 2.71Cycle 120Calendar📅 04/09/2026-6 (±3)Passed
High 07/05/2026 @ 2.71Cycle 90Trading📅 16/09/2026+4 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/06/2026 @ 1.82Cycle 60Trading📅 23/09/2026+9 (±2)Upcoming
Low 29/06/2026 @ 1.82Cycle 90Calendar📅 27/09/2026+17 (±3)Upcoming
High 07/05/2026 @ 2.71Cycle 144Calendar📅 28/09/2026+18 (±3)Upcoming
High 07/05/2026 @ 2.71Cycle 120Trading📅 28/10/2026+34 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/06/2026 @ 1.82Cycle 90Trading📅 04/11/2026+39 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 01/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 01/09/2026
Gap Day 28/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 01/09/2026
NR7 Compression 27/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 01/09/2026
Hammer Reversal 21/08/2026
Bullish Engulfing 14/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 01/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.87% · Win 44% · DD -6.16%20 days: Avg -6.59% · Win 44% · DD -10.54%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/09/20254.34neutral-2.07%-3.00%-6.91%-9.45%+0.92%
202430/08/20249.38neutral-3.94%-0.85%+0.11%-5.86%+1.39%
202301/09/202311.57neutral+0.52%+0.17%-7.17%-7.17%+6.05%
202201/09/20227.47neutral+5.22%+2.95%-15.39%-15.39%+8.03%
202101/09/20219.73far above SMA50-13.05%-14.59%-19.22%-19.22%+0.00%
202001/09/20203.59far below SMA50+3.06%-9.47%-24.79%-26.18%+7.80%
201930/08/20199.55far below SMA50+8.91%+15.06%+11.46%-4.61%+15.06%
201831/08/201812.36neutral-2.10%-0.40%+2.02%-3.64%+5.74%
201701/09/201716.55near 52w low · far below SMA50+1.03%+2.30%+0.60%-3.32%+3.75%
Passed 04/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.72% · Win 56% · DD -6.16%20 days: Avg -6.01% · Win 33% · DD -10.18%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/09/20254.38neutral-5.71%-2.51%-10.05%-10.27%+0.00%
202404/09/20249.36neutral-5.24%-1.07%-2.88%-5.66%+1.60%
202305/09/202311.16neutral+2.24%+2.78%-7.71%-7.71%+9.95%
202202/09/20227.53neutral+7.17%+3.85%-13.41%-16.07%+7.17%
202103/09/20219.48neutral-10.44%-15.19%-14.14%-17.09%+0.00%
202004/09/20203.87volume x1.8-12.40%-21.96%-22.48%-31.52%+0.00%
201904/09/20199.39far below SMA50+15.84%+13.14%+8.40%+0.00%+17.02%
201804/09/201812.04neutral-0.33%+3.99%+6.06%-1.08%+8.55%
201705/09/201716.37near 52w low · far below SMA50+4.22%+1.53%+2.14%-2.26%+4.89%
Upcoming 16/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -5.78% · Win 20% · DD -7.63%20 days: Avg -5.17% · Win 30% · DD -10.70%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/09/20254.21neutral-4.99%-4.04%+2.38%-6.65%+5.70%
202416/09/20249.30neutral-0.11%+0.97%-1.40%-4.30%+2.26%
202315/09/202311.91volume x2.2-0.34%-7.89%-18.81%-20.82%+3.02%
202216/09/20227.69neutral-4.03%-17.82%-16.12%-18.21%+4.55%
202116/09/20218.31neutral-0.72%-5.42%-5.42%-9.27%+0.48%
202016/09/20203.25far below SMA50-10.15%-16.92%+2.77%-18.46%+15.08%
201916/09/201910.85neutral-4.61%-3.13%-1.84%-7.37%+0.00%
201817/09/201812.31neutral+5.85%+2.44%-9.83%-10.40%+6.17%
201715/09/201716.86neutral-4.21%-1.96%+1.19%-5.10%+1.19%
201616/09/201624.48near 52w high-4.45%-4.00%-4.66%-6.41%+2.53%
Upcoming 23/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.30% · Win 50% · DD -6.35%20 days: Avg -5.18% · Win 30% · DD -10.06%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/09/20254.00far below SMA50+1.00%+1.50%+3.50%-1.75%+11.25%
202423/09/20249.29neutral+1.08%+0.75%-18.30%-18.30%+2.37%
202322/09/202311.87neutral-7.58%-11.12%-20.05%-20.56%+0.00%
202223/09/20227.38volume x1.7-14.36%-14.23%-12.87%-14.77%+0.00%
202123/09/20218.25neutral-4.73%-0.85%-4.12%-9.45%+0.00%
202023/09/20202.92near 52w low · far below SMA50-7.53%+14.04%+11.64%-9.25%+28.08%
201923/09/201910.35neutral+1.55%-0.10%+10.92%-2.90%+10.92%
201824/09/201813.03volume x1.6-3.22%-8.44%-19.03%-19.19%+0.00%
201722/09/201716.15near 52w low · far below SMA50+2.35%+4.52%-1.86%-2.41%+5.63%
201623/09/201623.39near 52w low+0.47%+0.94%-1.67%-2.05%+7.31%
Upcoming 27/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.72% · Win 40% · DD -5.40%20 days: Avg -3.19% · Win 30% · DD -8.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/09/20254.01far below SMA50+0.00%+4.49%+3.24%-1.75%+10.97%
202427/09/20249.51neutral-5.47%-3.15%-20.40%-21.35%+0.00%
202327/09/202311.02volume x2.1-6.44%-10.07%-12.25%-14.43%+1.09%
202227/09/20226.86neutral+1.90%-7.29%-2.48%-8.45%+1.90%
202127/09/20218.10neutral+0.49%-4.69%-1.23%-7.78%+0.99%
202028/09/20202.75near 52w low · far below SMA50+9.09%+23.27%+14.91%-3.64%+36.00%
201927/09/201910.53neutral-1.90%+0.38%+11.68%-4.56%+13.11%
201827/09/201812.55neutral-8.76%-11.31%-17.37%-17.53%+1.75%
201727/09/201716.31near 52w low+2.02%+3.31%-6.50%-6.50%+4.60%
201627/09/201623.45near 52w low+2.26%-2.09%-1.45%-2.94%+7.04%
Upcoming 28/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.67% · Win 40% · DD -6.01%20 days: Avg -3.35% · Win 40% · DD -9.32%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/09/20254.01far below SMA50+0.50%+7.98%+2.24%-1.75%+10.97%
202427/09/20249.51neutral-5.47%-3.15%-20.40%-21.35%+0.00%
202328/09/202311.14volume x4.3-7.54%-15.35%-15.80%-15.80%+0.00%
202228/09/20226.85volume x1.6+0.15%-5.26%-2.92%-8.32%+2.04%
202128/09/20218.03neutral+1.49%-4.23%+6.85%-6.97%+6.85%
202028/09/20202.75near 52w low · far below SMA50+9.09%+23.27%+14.91%-3.64%+36.00%
201927/09/201910.53neutral-1.90%+0.38%+11.68%-4.56%+13.11%
201828/09/201812.56neutral-7.48%-12.18%-20.70%-20.70%+1.67%
201728/09/201716.15near 52w low · far below SMA50+4.64%+3.78%-5.63%-5.63%+5.63%
201628/09/201623.82near 52w high+5.37%-1.89%-3.74%-4.45%+5.37%
Upcoming 28/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +7.58% · Win 60% · DD -6.56%20 days: Avg +15.84% · Win 50% · DD -8.03%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/10/20254.02neutral-4.73%-11.19%-19.65%-22.39%+0.00%
202428/10/20247.67near 52w low · far below SMA50-2.61%-4.04%-1.83%-7.82%+1.04%
202327/10/20239.14far below SMA50+7.33%+7.11%+22.87%+0.00%+24.29%
202228/10/20226.73neutral+2.97%+15.30%+10.85%-4.61%+15.45%
202128/10/20218.48neutral+6.13%+27.24%+13.68%+0.00%+29.25%
202028/10/20202.95far below SMA50+2.37%+56.95%+146.10%-1.69%+155.93%
201928/10/201911.79far above SMA50-2.88%+5.34%-1.62%-2.88%+10.43%
201829/10/20189.81near 52w low · far below SMA50+12.74%-11.82%-12.23%-16.82%+13.97%
201727/10/201714.91near 52w low-3.69%+9.39%+14.02%-3.69%+14.69%
201628/10/201622.90near 52w low-4.41%-18.52%-13.76%-20.35%+0.39%
Upcoming 04/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +9.60% · Win 60% · DD -6.67%20 days: Avg +16.20% · Win 70% · DD -7.34%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/11/20253.83near 52w low-6.79%-13.58%-10.18%-18.54%+0.00%
202404/11/20247.47near 52w low · far below SMA50-1.47%-5.35%+0.54%-5.35%+2.41%
202303/11/20239.81neutral-0.20%+12.74%+20.90%-0.41%+20.90%
202204/11/20226.93volume x1.7+11.98%+12.12%+14.00%-4.47%+16.45%
202104/11/20219.00neutral+19.89%+19.67%+4.44%+0.00%+21.78%
202004/11/20203.02neutral+53.31%+75.50%+149.34%+0.00%+150.00%
201904/11/201911.45neutral+8.47%+7.83%+2.36%+0.00%+13.71%
201805/11/201811.06neutral-21.79%-17.27%-27.23%-27.23%+1.08%
201703/11/201714.36near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.7+13.58%+18.73%+23.18%+0.00%+23.18%
201604/11/201621.89near 52w low-14.76%-14.34%-15.35%-17.41%+1.46%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-1.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -42.3% · from 52w low: +44.5%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-9.31% · -4.01% · -4.71% · +28.29%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-5.85% · -1.13% · +1.48%
Distance from 52w high / low-42.32% · +44.51%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.13 · 0.82x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-2.64%
vs SPY (20d)-2.82%
vs SMH (20d)-0.51%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 2002.79 · 2.66 · 2.59
52w high / low4.56 · 1.82