🕰️ Time Machine

CRCL — Circle Internet Group

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
85.91 -0.82%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in window · in 2 days
27/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 16/10/2026
since +4.49%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 03/08/2026
57.84
Days: 58 trading / 81 calendar · return since: +48.53%
Last major high · 03/09/2026
103.28
Days: 35 trading / 50 calendar · return since: -16.82%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 03/09/2026 @ 103.28Cycle 30Trading📅 16/10/2026-5 (±2)Passed
High 03/09/2026 @ 103.28Cycle 45Calendar📅 18/10/2026-5 (±2)Passed
Low 03/08/2026 @ 57.84Cycle 60Trading📅 27/10/2026+2 (±2)In window
Low 03/08/2026 @ 57.84Cycle 90Calendar📅 01/11/2026+9 (±3)Upcoming
High 03/09/2026 @ 103.28Cycle 60Calendar📅 02/11/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
High 03/09/2026 @ 103.28Cycle 45Trading📅 06/11/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
High 03/09/2026 @ 103.28Cycle 60Trading📅 30/11/2026+25 (±2)Upcoming
Low 03/08/2026 @ 57.84Cycle 120Calendar📅 01/12/2026+39 (±3)Upcoming
High 03/09/2026 @ 103.28Cycle 90Calendar📅 02/12/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming
Low 03/08/2026 @ 57.84Cycle 90Trading📅 09/12/2026+32 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● NR7 Compression 22/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 18/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 20/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 18/10/2026
● Gap Day 19/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 18/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 15/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 16/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 15/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 16/10/2026
● Gap Day 13/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 16/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 02/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 16/10/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 1 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -4.48% · Win 0% · DD -4.48%20 days: Avg -35.90% · Win 0% · DD -35.90%
Open Date Echo · 1 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/10/2025128.46neutral+1.09%-4.48%-35.90%-35.90%+11.54%
Passed 18/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 1 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +0.39% · Win 100% · DD -2.99%20 days: Avg -35.26% · Win 0% · DD -35.26%
Open Date Echo · 1 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/10/2025126.49neutral+12.30%+0.39%-35.26%-35.26%+13.28%
In window 27/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 1 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -27.35% · Win 0% · DD -30.20%20 days: Avg -49.24% · Win 0% · DD -53.29%
Open Date Echo · 1 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/2025143.29neutral-17.75%-27.35%-49.24%-53.29%+0.00%
Upcoming 01/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 1 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -35.51% · Win 0% · DD -35.51%20 days: Avg -40.20% · Win 0% · DD -47.29%
Open Date Echo · 1 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202531/10/2025126.98neutral-18.77%-35.51%-40.20%-47.29%+0.00%
Upcoming 02/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 1 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -35.02% · Win 0% · DD -35.02%20 days: Avg -34.29% · Win 0% · DD -43.21%
Open Date Echo · 1 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/11/2025117.86far below SMA50-11.67%-35.02%-34.29%-43.21%+0.00%
Upcoming 06/11/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 1 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -33.08% · Win 0% · DD -33.08%20 days: Avg -14.39% · Win 0% · DD -33.08%
Open Date Echo · 1 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/11/2025100.01far below SMA50-17.67%-33.08%-14.39%-33.08%+4.09%
Upcoming 30/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 1 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -0.63% · Win 0% · DD -0.63%20 days: Avg +5.20% · Win 100% · DD -0.63%
Open Date Echo · 1 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/12/202575.94far below SMA50+10.56%-0.63%+5.20%-0.63%+17.04%
Upcoming 01/12/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 1 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -0.63% · Win 0% · DD -0.63%20 days: Avg +5.20% · Win 100% · DD -0.63%
Open Date Echo · 1 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/12/202575.94far below SMA50+10.56%-0.63%+5.20%-0.63%+17.04%
Upcoming 02/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 1 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +7.18% · Win 100% · DD -2.56%20 days: Avg +2.40% · Win 100% · DD -2.56%
Open Date Echo · 1 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/12/202577.44far below SMA50+14.77%+7.18%+2.40%-2.56%+14.77%
Upcoming 09/12/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 1 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -6.92% · Win 0% · DD -15.10%20 days: Avg -7.98% · Win 0% · DD -15.10%
Open Date Echo · 1 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/12/202588.88far below SMA50-6.62%-6.92%-7.98%-15.10%+0.00%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-1.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -41.7% · from 52w low: +72.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+4.49% · +1.66% · -3.47% · +33.73%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+2.53% · -1.20% · -0.29%
Distance from 52w high / low-41.73% · +72.16%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg5.39 · 0.86x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+1.91%
vs SPY (20d)-2.00%
vs SMH (20d)+9.61%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20083.79 · 86.96 · 86.16
52w high / low147.44 · 49.90