🕰️ Time Machine

CRS — Carpenter Technology

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
284.66 -2.60%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in 11 days
03/11/2026
Last window
—
Trend
Strong downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 19/05/2026
390.00
Days: 109 trading / 157 calendar · return since: -27.01%
Last major high · 06/07/2026
625.99
Days: 78 trading / 109 calendar · return since: -54.53%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 06/07/2026 @ 625.99Cycle 120Calendar📅 03/11/2026+11 (±3)Upcoming
Low 19/05/2026 @ 390.00Cycle 120Trading📅 09/11/2026+11 (±3)Upcoming
High 06/07/2026 @ 625.99Cycle 90Trading📅 10/11/2026+12 (±3)Upcoming
Low 19/05/2026 @ 390.00Cycle 180Calendar📅 15/11/2026+23 (±3)Upcoming
High 06/07/2026 @ 625.99Cycle 144Calendar📅 27/11/2026+35 (±3)Upcoming
Low 19/05/2026 @ 390.00Cycle 144Trading📅 14/12/2026+35 (±3)Upcoming
High 06/07/2026 @ 625.99Cycle 120Trading📅 23/12/2026+42 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Failed Breakdown 23/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 21/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 13/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 07/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 30/09/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Upcoming 03/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +7.84% · Win 70% · DD -2.22%20 days: Avg +10.13% · Win 70% · DD -3.92%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/11/2025310.73far above SMA50+5.36%+6.89%+0.33%-1.72%+6.89%
202404/11/2024154.23neutral+15.94%+16.20%+24.94%+0.00%+27.17%
202303/11/202366.65neutral+0.09%+2.60%+10.95%-0.81%+10.95%
202203/11/202236.21neutral+12.73%+13.09%+18.34%+0.00%+18.34%
202103/11/202131.58neutral+4.15%-1.42%-8.87%-12.98%+7.82%
202003/11/202018.42volume x2.1+23.40%+36.43%+45.71%-2.28%+47.94%
201904/11/201952.34neutral+1.15%+1.24%-0.38%-1.09%+2.39%
201802/11/201845.90far below SMA50-4.51%-4.64%-2.44%-11.63%+1.48%
201703/11/201749.26neutral-5.40%-7.04%+2.46%-8.67%+2.46%
201603/11/201631.28near 52w low+15.70%+15.06%+10.23%+0.00%+22.44%
Upcoming 09/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.75% · Win 60% · DD -3.67%20 days: Avg +2.89% · Win 50% · DD -5.77%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/11/2025327.37near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.46%-3.63%-8.21%-8.21%+1.46%
202408/11/2024177.16near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.94%+7.80%+3.97%-2.92%+10.71%
202309/11/202366.18neutral+1.09%+3.60%-0.27%-2.60%+11.74%
202209/11/202238.99far above SMA50+5.90%+5.39%+6.26%+0.00%+9.90%
202109/11/202133.75neutral-3.85%-7.73%-13.01%-18.58%+0.89%
202009/11/202021.79far above SMA50+15.92%+21.98%+33.04%-1.88%+35.89%
201908/11/201953.46neutral-0.95%-3.16%-0.47%-3.16%+0.24%
201809/11/201843.83far below SMA50-0.14%-4.49%-10.08%-10.95%+2.17%
201709/11/201748.00neutral-5.17%+0.44%+7.42%-6.27%+7.42%
201609/11/201635.59neutral+2.81%+7.33%+10.28%-3.12%+10.28%
Upcoming 10/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.39% · Win 60% · DD -3.81%20 days: Avg +0.93% · Win 50% · DD -6.28%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/11/2025327.37near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.46%-3.63%-8.21%-8.21%+1.46%
202411/11/2024178.81near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.22%+9.10%+1.62%-3.81%+9.69%
202310/11/202366.71neutral+2.50%+9.88%-0.58%-3.37%+10.85%
202210/11/202240.82far above SMA50+0.32%+0.32%-3.67%-3.67%+4.97%
202110/11/202132.89neutral-5.35%-6.29%-13.10%-16.45%+3.53%
202010/11/202022.73far above SMA50+10.56%+19.89%+23.98%-5.94%+30.27%
201911/11/201952.94neutral+0.09%-0.06%+0.87%-2.21%+1.23%
201809/11/201843.83far below SMA50-0.14%-4.49%-10.08%-10.95%+2.17%
201710/11/201746.60neutral-1.74%+3.37%+8.69%-3.45%+10.64%
201610/11/201636.19neutral-0.55%+5.83%+9.75%-4.73%+9.75%
Upcoming 15/11/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.72% · Win 40% · DD -5.14%20 days: Avg -1.63% · Win 40% · DD -7.67%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/11/2025330.50near 52w high · far above SMA50-6.38%-4.22%-2.08%-9.08%+0.50%
202415/11/2024175.50near 52w high · far above SMA50+8.81%+10.98%-0.02%-0.80%+11.76%
202315/11/202367.99neutral-0.03%+4.15%+0.01%-5.19%+8.77%
202215/11/202241.55far above SMA50+0.05%-1.18%-4.26%-5.37%+3.13%
202115/11/202133.53neutral-6.77%-18.04%-12.65%-18.04%+0.00%
202016/11/202025.26far above SMA50+5.23%+0.55%+17.62%-3.25%+17.62%
201915/11/201952.95neutral-2.23%-1.08%-8.57%-8.57%+1.89%
201815/11/201844.60far below SMA50-6.48%-3.41%-18.14%-18.14%+0.40%
201715/11/201744.99neutral+7.25%+9.87%+10.47%+0.00%+14.60%
201615/11/201637.57neutral+0.91%-4.79%+1.28%-8.22%+5.72%
Upcoming 27/11/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.24% · Win 70% · DD -5.28%20 days: Avg -0.81% · Win 50% · DD -8.63%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/11/2025318.97far above SMA50-1.33%+0.93%+4.82%-5.80%+4.84%
202427/11/2024194.46near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.21%-8.89%-12.24%-15.01%+0.21%
202327/11/202373.30near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x3.0+0.89%-9.52%-2.03%-12.06%+0.89%
202228/11/202239.71neutral+4.43%+1.18%-4.61%-7.86%+7.91%
202126/11/202129.26neutral-3.66%+1.09%+3.59%-6.08%+4.37%
202027/11/202025.82far above SMA50+14.68%+9.26%+10.88%-5.34%+15.07%
201927/11/201953.59near 52w high-1.46%+0.67%-6.18%-9.67%+0.67%
201827/11/201840.56near 52w low · far below SMA50+3.53%-3.48%-12.60%-17.28%+10.40%
201727/11/201748.17neutral+4.77%+5.15%+8.76%+0.00%+9.69%
201628/11/201637.15neutral-5.95%+6.00%+1.45%-7.19%+6.92%
Upcoming 14/12/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.71% · Win 40% · DD -4.32%20 days: Avg +6.23% · Win 70% · DD -5.29%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/12/2025323.62volume x2.1+2.72%-1.55%-0.19%-2.71%+5.23%
202413/12/2024174.09neutral-2.37%-3.89%+13.95%-5.07%+13.95%
202314/12/202368.00neutral+3.75%+4.12%-3.38%-5.76%+5.97%
202214/12/202239.78neutral-2.41%-6.16%+12.12%-9.80%+12.12%
202114/12/202129.29volume x1.5+1.91%+1.67%+10.96%-2.19%+11.74%
202014/12/202027.76far above SMA50-1.26%+0.04%+21.54%-1.26%+21.72%
201913/12/201953.52near 52w high-7.83%-6.93%-10.11%-11.68%+0.00%
201814/12/201837.06near 52w low · far below SMA50-6.31%-3.91%+10.93%-9.47%+12.95%
201714/12/201749.70near 52w high+4.79%+2.60%+5.47%+0.00%+8.83%
201614/12/201638.05neutral+1.24%-3.13%+1.05%-4.94%+3.05%
Upcoming 23/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.23% · Win 70% · DD -3.47%20 days: Avg +8.74% · Win 80% · DD -4.45%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/12/2025333.40near 52w high-5.57%-3.64%+0.71%-5.57%+2.14%
202423/12/2024172.61neutral-1.68%+6.51%+21.99%-3.06%+23.13%
202322/12/202371.47near 52w high-2.95%-10.34%-7.63%-10.63%+0.83%
202223/12/202237.80neutral-5.08%+10.69%+16.24%-5.08%+17.99%
202123/12/202128.98neutral+0.72%+12.08%+5.21%-0.07%+14.22%
202023/12/202028.51far above SMA50+2.14%+16.63%+23.43%-2.60%+27.36%
201923/12/201950.47neutral-1.37%-3.41%-13.43%-13.43%+0.00%
201824/12/201833.55near 52w low · far below SMA50+11.62%+21.19%+27.33%+0.00%+29.90%
201722/12/201751.63near 52w high+2.79%+0.70%+3.83%-1.24%+4.76%
201623/12/201637.22neutral-1.80%+1.85%+9.70%-2.82%+9.70%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-32.9%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -54.5% · from 52w low: +8.5%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-24.47% · -26.18% · -28.23% · -43.43%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-23.90% · -32.94% · -35.95%
Distance from 52w high / low-54.53% · +8.55%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg17.85 · 2.52x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-22.84%
vs SPY (20d)-26.76%
vs SMH (20d)-15.15%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200374.06 · 424.50 · 444.46
52w high / low625.99 · 262.25