🕰️ Time Machine
CTRE — CareTrust REIT
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 11/09/2026
Last price (Close)
38.96 +0.36%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window
11/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 09/09/2026
since -0.20%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 18/06/2026
36.05
Days: 58 trading / 85 calendar · return since: +8.07%
Last major high · 28/07/2026
43.62
Days: 32 trading / 45 calendar · return since: -10.68%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 28/07/2026 @ 43.62 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 09/09/2026 | -2 (±2) | In window |
| High 28/07/2026 @ 43.62 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 11/09/2026 | +0 (±2) | In window |
| Low 18/06/2026 @ 36.05 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 15/09/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| Low 18/06/2026 @ 36.05 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 16/09/2026 | +5 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 28/07/2026 @ 43.62 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 26/09/2026 | +15 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 28/07/2026 @ 43.62 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 30/09/2026 | +13 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 18/06/2026 @ 36.05 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 16/10/2026 | +35 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 28/07/2026 @ 43.62 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 21/10/2026 | +28 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 28/07/2026 @ 43.62 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 26/10/2026 | +45 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 18/06/2026 @ 36.05 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 27/10/2026 | +32 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 11/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 11/09/2026
● Shooting Star 20/08/2026
● Failed Breakdown 14/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
In window 09/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.56% · Win 40% · DD -4.09%20 days: Avg -2.93% · Win 30% · DD -6.11%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 09/09/2025 | 33.90 | near 52w high | +0.68% | +2.48% | +3.04% | -0.15% | +5.72% |
| 2024 | 09/09/2024 | 29.92 | near 52w high | +4.28% | +3.41% | +2.87% | +0.00% | +4.28% |
| 2023 | 08/09/2023 | 20.06 | neutral | +1.10% | +0.40% | +4.59% | -0.65% | +4.59% |
| 2022 | 09/09/2022 | 21.11 | neutral | -4.74% | -11.13% | -19.00% | -19.00% | +1.28% |
| 2021 | 09/09/2021 | 22.04 | neutral | -1.41% | -2.68% | -6.88% | -8.35% | +0.09% |
| 2020 | 09/09/2020 | 19.30 | volume x3.9 | -1.66% | -9.53% | -2.13% | -11.87% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 09/09/2019 | 24.10 | neutral | -4.69% | -3.51% | -0.71% | -5.19% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 10/09/2018 | 17.98 | neutral | +1.72% | -2.95% | -2.16% | -4.89% | +2.11% |
| 2017 | 08/09/2017 | 19.46 | near 52w high | +0.67% | -3.19% | -2.80% | -3.31% | +1.20% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 14.96 | near 52w high | -2.94% | +1.07% | -6.15% | -7.64% | +1.83% |
In window 11/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.77% · Win 40% · DD -4.53%20 days: Avg -2.51% · Win 40% · DD -5.81%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/09/2025 | 34.20 | near 52w high | +1.49% | +0.70% | -0.17% | -0.53% | +4.79% |
| 2024 | 11/09/2024 | 30.18 | near 52w high | +2.52% | +2.62% | +1.05% | +0.00% | +3.38% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 20.11 | neutral | -0.90% | +2.73% | +6.80% | -0.90% | +6.80% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 21.38 | neutral | -5.14% | -17.31% | -21.31% | -21.31% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 21.71 | neutral | +1.61% | -2.72% | -4.67% | -6.96% | +1.61% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 18.70 | neutral | -0.59% | -7.62% | +0.63% | -9.04% | +3.05% |
| 2019 | 11/09/2019 | 23.40 | neutral | +0.04% | -0.17% | +2.82% | -2.35% | +2.95% |
| 2018 | 11/09/2018 | 18.00 | neutral | +0.83% | -3.22% | -1.04% | -5.00% | +2.00% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 19.68 | near 52w high | -0.86% | -3.81% | -3.06% | -4.40% | +0.07% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 14.96 | near 52w high | -2.94% | +1.07% | -6.15% | -7.64% | +1.83% |
In window 15/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.32% · Win 40% · DD -4.32%20 days: Avg -2.37% · Win 20% · DD -5.66%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/09/2025 | 34.25 | near 52w high | -0.67% | +0.20% | -2.99% | -2.99% | +4.64% |
| 2024 | 16/09/2024 | 31.20 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.83% | -0.15% | -2.28% | -3.29% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 15/09/2023 | 20.28 | volume x1.6 | -0.69% | +2.50% | +7.71% | -1.73% | +8.41% |
| 2022 | 15/09/2022 | 20.04 | neutral | -4.04% | -10.22% | -14.88% | -16.05% | +1.20% |
| 2021 | 15/09/2021 | 21.58 | volume x1.8 | -1.07% | -3.06% | -2.69% | -6.40% | +2.22% |
| 2020 | 15/09/2020 | 19.27 | neutral | -3.79% | -7.14% | -3.56% | -11.73% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 16/09/2019 | 22.97 | neutral | +1.24% | +3.32% | +3.60% | +0.00% | +4.88% |
| 2018 | 14/09/2018 | 18.22 | neutral | -1.59% | -1.62% | -6.67% | -6.67% | +0.38% |
| 2017 | 15/09/2017 | 19.59 | near 52w high · volume x2.6 | -3.83% | -1.85% | -1.85% | -3.96% | +0.53% |
| 2016 | 15/09/2016 | 14.22 | near 52w low | +5.49% | +4.78% | -0.06% | -3.76% | +7.12% |
Upcoming 16/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.32% · Win 40% · DD -4.33%20 days: Avg -2.40% · Win 20% · DD -5.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/09/2025 | 34.13 | near 52w high | +1.79% | +2.61% | -1.74% | -2.65% | +5.01% |
| 2024 | 16/09/2024 | 31.20 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.83% | -0.15% | -2.28% | -3.29% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 15/09/2023 | 20.28 | volume x1.6 | -0.69% | +2.50% | +7.71% | -1.73% | +8.41% |
| 2022 | 16/09/2022 | 20.11 | volume x2.4 | -6.71% | -8.56% | -15.99% | -16.34% | +0.85% |
| 2021 | 16/09/2021 | 21.73 | neutral | -1.29% | -5.27% | -1.96% | -7.04% | +1.52% |
| 2020 | 16/09/2020 | 18.98 | neutral | -8.01% | -4.94% | -3.16% | -10.38% | +1.22% |
| 2019 | 16/09/2019 | 22.97 | neutral | +1.24% | +3.32% | +3.60% | +0.00% | +4.88% |
| 2018 | 17/09/2018 | 18.29 | volume x1.7 | -4.59% | -3.71% | -5.98% | -7.03% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 15/09/2017 | 19.59 | near 52w high · volume x2.6 | -3.83% | -1.85% | -1.85% | -3.96% | +0.53% |
| 2016 | 16/09/2016 | 14.54 | near 52w high | +3.99% | +2.82% | -2.33% | -5.88% | +4.77% |
Upcoming 26/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.38% · Win 50% · DD -2.38%20 days: Avg +2.45% · Win 90% · DD -2.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/09/2025 | 34.80 | near 52w high | +2.99% | -3.69% | +2.06% | -4.53% | +2.99% |
| 2024 | 26/09/2024 | 30.60 | near 52w high | +1.05% | -1.39% | +2.07% | -1.39% | +2.30% |
| 2023 | 26/09/2023 | 20.35 | near 52w high | -0.39% | +6.64% | +7.14% | -0.69% | +9.88% |
| 2022 | 26/09/2022 | 17.68 | far below SMA50 | +4.46% | -4.84% | +0.16% | -4.84% | +5.55% |
| 2021 | 27/09/2021 | 20.77 | neutral | -0.11% | -1.09% | +2.67% | -2.75% | +4.71% |
| 2020 | 25/09/2020 | 17.27 | volume x2.7 | +11.22% | +8.93% | +5.58% | +0.00% | +11.22% |
| 2019 | 26/09/2019 | 23.57 | neutral | -0.41% | +1.35% | +4.86% | -1.86% | +5.16% |
| 2018 | 26/09/2018 | 17.10 | neutral | +1.33% | +3.76% | +3.88% | -0.56% | +4.82% |
| 2017 | 26/09/2017 | 18.82 | neutral | +4.67% | +1.28% | +0.85% | +0.00% | +4.67% |
| 2016 | 26/09/2016 | 15.12 | near 52w high | -1.73% | -7.15% | -4.74% | -9.49% | +0.75% |
Upcoming 30/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.11% · Win 40% · DD -3.72%20 days: Avg +0.94% · Win 70% · DD -4.23%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/09/2025 | 34.68 | near 52w high | -0.26% | -4.24% | +1.82% | -5.13% | +3.06% |
| 2024 | 30/09/2024 | 30.86 | near 52w high | -1.20% | -2.14% | +1.46% | -3.14% | +1.46% |
| 2023 | 29/09/2023 | 20.50 | near 52w high | +0.93% | +5.07% | +4.29% | -2.49% | +7.56% |
| 2022 | 30/09/2022 | 18.11 | far below SMA50 | -7.01% | -8.12% | +3.42% | -8.50% | +3.42% |
| 2021 | 30/09/2021 | 20.32 | neutral | -0.30% | +3.49% | +5.81% | -1.87% | +5.81% |
| 2020 | 30/09/2020 | 17.80 | neutral | +4.69% | +1.88% | -5.09% | -5.09% | +6.49% |
| 2019 | 30/09/2019 | 23.50 | neutral | +0.83% | +0.28% | -0.02% | -2.53% | +4.45% |
| 2018 | 01/10/2018 | 17.40 | neutral | -0.11% | -2.36% | +2.87% | -3.45% | +2.87% |
| 2017 | 29/09/2017 | 19.04 | near 52w high | -1.63% | +0.00% | +1.42% | -1.63% | +2.42% |
| 2016 | 30/09/2016 | 14.78 | near 52w high | -7.58% | -5.01% | -6.63% | -8.46% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 16/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.27% · Win 60% · DD -1.84%20 days: Avg +1.56% · Win 50% · DD -4.57%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/10/2025 | 33.77 | neutral | +3.43% | +1.72% | +5.83% | +0.00% | +8.53% |
| 2024 | 16/10/2024 | 31.01 | near 52w high | -0.52% | +5.80% | -2.06% | -4.90% | +5.80% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 21.89 | near 52w high | -2.60% | -2.19% | +1.55% | -2.60% | +1.55% |
| 2022 | 17/10/2022 | 17.17 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +1.57% | +8.79% | +12.11% | +0.00% | +16.07% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 21.30 | neutral | +0.14% | -2.58% | -2.54% | -5.35% | +0.94% |
| 2020 | 16/10/2020 | 17.97 | neutral | +0.11% | -4.84% | +10.18% | -6.01% | +10.18% |
| 2019 | 16/10/2019 | 23.41 | neutral | +4.87% | +2.48% | -16.70% | -16.70% | +4.87% |
| 2018 | 16/10/2018 | 17.45 | neutral | -1.38% | +3.61% | +9.97% | -1.38% | +12.66% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 19.05 | near 52w high | +0.34% | +0.29% | -1.81% | -2.07% | +3.07% |
| 2016 | 17/10/2016 | 14.13 | near 52w low | +0.78% | -0.35% | -0.99% | -6.72% | +2.26% |
Upcoming 21/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.54% · Win 60% · DD -2.61%20 days: Avg +1.44% · Win 50% · DD -4.63%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/10/2025 | 34.30 | near 52w high | +2.94% | +3.18% | +7.61% | -0.90% | +7.61% |
| 2024 | 21/10/2024 | 30.34 | near 52w high | +3.20% | +2.37% | -0.23% | -2.80% | +8.14% |
| 2023 | 20/10/2023 | 21.63 | near 52w high | -1.16% | +0.23% | +6.10% | -1.43% | +6.29% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 17.31 | far below SMA50 | +8.20% | +9.94% | +7.05% | +0.00% | +15.14% |
| 2021 | 21/10/2021 | 21.45 | neutral | +0.23% | -6.01% | -3.40% | -6.01% | +0.23% |
| 2020 | 21/10/2020 | 17.63 | neutral | -4.20% | +0.00% | +7.03% | -4.20% | +12.31% |
| 2019 | 21/10/2019 | 24.10 | neutral | -2.51% | -3.22% | -15.00% | -19.10% | +1.85% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 17.22 | neutral | +3.95% | +4.76% | +12.14% | -0.06% | +14.17% |
| 2017 | 20/10/2017 | 19.29 | near 52w high | +0.10% | +0.36% | -3.37% | -4.20% | +1.76% |
| 2016 | 21/10/2016 | 14.27 | neutral | -3.29% | -6.17% | -3.57% | -7.64% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 26/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.19% · Win 50% · DD -4.30%20 days: Avg +1.17% · Win 60% · DD -4.88%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 35.74 | near 52w high | -1.20% | +2.55% | +2.21% | -4.90% | +3.27% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 30.93 | near 52w high | +4.66% | +0.03% | -2.04% | -4.66% | +6.08% |
| 2023 | 26/10/2023 | 21.61 | near 52w high | +2.87% | -0.56% | +6.85% | -1.06% | +6.89% |
| 2022 | 26/10/2022 | 18.03 | neutral | +1.83% | +4.33% | +5.99% | +0.00% | +10.54% |
| 2021 | 26/10/2021 | 21.14 | neutral | -2.65% | -0.05% | -2.46% | -4.64% | +1.70% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 17.86 | neutral | -1.85% | +5.88% | +8.73% | -5.43% | +10.86% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 23.74 | neutral | +0.59% | -13.61% | -15.50% | -17.86% | +2.11% |
| 2018 | 26/10/2018 | 17.74 | volume x2.8 | -1.13% | +9.24% | +8.57% | -1.13% | +10.82% |
| 2017 | 26/10/2017 | 18.95 | near 52w high | +1.37% | -0.95% | -1.32% | -2.48% | +3.59% |
| 2016 | 26/10/2016 | 14.12 | near 52w low | -4.75% | -4.96% | +0.64% | -6.66% | +1.35% |
Upcoming 27/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.38% · Win 60% · DD -4.13%20 days: Avg +1.71% · Win 60% · DD -4.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 35.74 | near 52w high | -1.20% | +2.55% | +2.21% | -4.90% | +3.27% |
| 2024 | 28/10/2024 | 31.31 | near 52w high | -0.80% | -1.72% | -4.09% | -5.81% | +4.79% |
| 2023 | 27/10/2023 | 21.38 | near 52w high | +1.40% | +3.93% | +7.34% | +0.00% | +8.04% |
| 2022 | 27/10/2022 | 18.34 | neutral | -0.11% | +8.67% | +3.44% | -0.11% | +8.67% |
| 2021 | 27/10/2021 | 21.09 | neutral | -1.71% | +1.14% | -1.80% | -4.41% | +1.94% |
| 2020 | 27/10/2020 | 17.49 | neutral | +1.83% | +10.01% | +14.64% | -3.43% | +14.64% |
| 2019 | 28/10/2019 | 23.50 | neutral | -0.72% | -13.11% | -12.94% | -17.02% | +3.15% |
| 2018 | 26/10/2018 | 17.74 | volume x2.8 | -1.13% | +9.24% | +8.57% | -1.13% | +10.82% |
| 2017 | 27/10/2017 | 19.31 | near 52w high | +0.26% | -3.42% | -3.47% | -4.30% | +1.66% |
| 2016 | 27/10/2016 | 13.87 | near 52w low | -4.97% | -3.53% | +3.24% | -4.97% | +3.24% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-4.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -10.7% · from 52w low: +18.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -1.64% · -1.02% · +0.33% · +6.24% |
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -1.06% · -3.98% · -0.20% |
| Distance from 52w high / low | -10.68% · +18.82% |
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.74 · 0.01x |
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +2.47% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +1.95% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +3.30% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 39.38 · 40.58 · 39.04 |
| 52w high / low | 43.62 · 32.79 |