🕰️ Time Machine

CTRE — CareTrust REIT

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 11/09/2026

Last price (Close)
38.96 +0.36%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window
11/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 09/09/2026
since -0.20%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 18/06/2026
36.05
Days: 58 trading / 85 calendar · return since: +8.07%
Last major high · 28/07/2026
43.62
Days: 32 trading / 45 calendar · return since: -10.68%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 28/07/2026 @ 43.62Cycle 30Trading📅 09/09/2026-2 (±2)In window
High 28/07/2026 @ 43.62Cycle 45Calendar📅 11/09/2026+0 (±2)In window
Low 18/06/2026 @ 36.05Cycle 60Trading📅 15/09/2026+2 (±2)In window
Low 18/06/2026 @ 36.05Cycle 90Calendar📅 16/09/2026+5 (±3)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 43.62Cycle 60Calendar📅 26/09/2026+15 (±2)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 43.62Cycle 45Trading📅 30/09/2026+13 (±2)Upcoming
Low 18/06/2026 @ 36.05Cycle 120Calendar📅 16/10/2026+35 (±3)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 43.62Cycle 60Trading📅 21/10/2026+28 (±2)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 43.62Cycle 90Calendar📅 26/10/2026+45 (±3)Upcoming
Low 18/06/2026 @ 36.05Cycle 90Trading📅 27/10/2026+32 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 11/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 11/09/2026
Shooting Star 20/08/2026
Failed Breakdown 14/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

In window 09/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.56% · Win 40% · DD -4.09%20 days: Avg -2.93% · Win 30% · DD -6.11%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/09/202533.90near 52w high+0.68%+2.48%+3.04%-0.15%+5.72%
202409/09/202429.92near 52w high+4.28%+3.41%+2.87%+0.00%+4.28%
202308/09/202320.06neutral+1.10%+0.40%+4.59%-0.65%+4.59%
202209/09/202221.11neutral-4.74%-11.13%-19.00%-19.00%+1.28%
202109/09/202122.04neutral-1.41%-2.68%-6.88%-8.35%+0.09%
202009/09/202019.30volume x3.9-1.66%-9.53%-2.13%-11.87%+0.00%
201909/09/201924.10neutral-4.69%-3.51%-0.71%-5.19%+0.00%
201810/09/201817.98neutral+1.72%-2.95%-2.16%-4.89%+2.11%
201708/09/201719.46near 52w high+0.67%-3.19%-2.80%-3.31%+1.20%
201612/09/201614.96near 52w high-2.94%+1.07%-6.15%-7.64%+1.83%
In window 11/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.77% · Win 40% · DD -4.53%20 days: Avg -2.51% · Win 40% · DD -5.81%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/09/202534.20near 52w high+1.49%+0.70%-0.17%-0.53%+4.79%
202411/09/202430.18near 52w high+2.52%+2.62%+1.05%+0.00%+3.38%
202311/09/202320.11neutral-0.90%+2.73%+6.80%-0.90%+6.80%
202212/09/202221.38neutral-5.14%-17.31%-21.31%-21.31%+0.00%
202110/09/202121.71neutral+1.61%-2.72%-4.67%-6.96%+1.61%
202011/09/202018.70neutral-0.59%-7.62%+0.63%-9.04%+3.05%
201911/09/201923.40neutral+0.04%-0.17%+2.82%-2.35%+2.95%
201811/09/201818.00neutral+0.83%-3.22%-1.04%-5.00%+2.00%
201711/09/201719.68near 52w high-0.86%-3.81%-3.06%-4.40%+0.07%
201612/09/201614.96near 52w high-2.94%+1.07%-6.15%-7.64%+1.83%
In window 15/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.32% · Win 40% · DD -4.32%20 days: Avg -2.37% · Win 20% · DD -5.66%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/09/202534.25near 52w high-0.67%+0.20%-2.99%-2.99%+4.64%
202416/09/202431.20near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.83%-0.15%-2.28%-3.29%+0.00%
202315/09/202320.28volume x1.6-0.69%+2.50%+7.71%-1.73%+8.41%
202215/09/202220.04neutral-4.04%-10.22%-14.88%-16.05%+1.20%
202115/09/202121.58volume x1.8-1.07%-3.06%-2.69%-6.40%+2.22%
202015/09/202019.27neutral-3.79%-7.14%-3.56%-11.73%+0.00%
201916/09/201922.97neutral+1.24%+3.32%+3.60%+0.00%+4.88%
201814/09/201818.22neutral-1.59%-1.62%-6.67%-6.67%+0.38%
201715/09/201719.59near 52w high · volume x2.6-3.83%-1.85%-1.85%-3.96%+0.53%
201615/09/201614.22near 52w low+5.49%+4.78%-0.06%-3.76%+7.12%
Upcoming 16/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.32% · Win 40% · DD -4.33%20 days: Avg -2.40% · Win 20% · DD -5.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/09/202534.13near 52w high+1.79%+2.61%-1.74%-2.65%+5.01%
202416/09/202431.20near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.83%-0.15%-2.28%-3.29%+0.00%
202315/09/202320.28volume x1.6-0.69%+2.50%+7.71%-1.73%+8.41%
202216/09/202220.11volume x2.4-6.71%-8.56%-15.99%-16.34%+0.85%
202116/09/202121.73neutral-1.29%-5.27%-1.96%-7.04%+1.52%
202016/09/202018.98neutral-8.01%-4.94%-3.16%-10.38%+1.22%
201916/09/201922.97neutral+1.24%+3.32%+3.60%+0.00%+4.88%
201817/09/201818.29volume x1.7-4.59%-3.71%-5.98%-7.03%+0.00%
201715/09/201719.59near 52w high · volume x2.6-3.83%-1.85%-1.85%-3.96%+0.53%
201616/09/201614.54near 52w high+3.99%+2.82%-2.33%-5.88%+4.77%
Upcoming 26/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.38% · Win 50% · DD -2.38%20 days: Avg +2.45% · Win 90% · DD -2.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/09/202534.80near 52w high+2.99%-3.69%+2.06%-4.53%+2.99%
202426/09/202430.60near 52w high+1.05%-1.39%+2.07%-1.39%+2.30%
202326/09/202320.35near 52w high-0.39%+6.64%+7.14%-0.69%+9.88%
202226/09/202217.68far below SMA50+4.46%-4.84%+0.16%-4.84%+5.55%
202127/09/202120.77neutral-0.11%-1.09%+2.67%-2.75%+4.71%
202025/09/202017.27volume x2.7+11.22%+8.93%+5.58%+0.00%+11.22%
201926/09/201923.57neutral-0.41%+1.35%+4.86%-1.86%+5.16%
201826/09/201817.10neutral+1.33%+3.76%+3.88%-0.56%+4.82%
201726/09/201718.82neutral+4.67%+1.28%+0.85%+0.00%+4.67%
201626/09/201615.12near 52w high-1.73%-7.15%-4.74%-9.49%+0.75%
Upcoming 30/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.11% · Win 40% · DD -3.72%20 days: Avg +0.94% · Win 70% · DD -4.23%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/09/202534.68near 52w high-0.26%-4.24%+1.82%-5.13%+3.06%
202430/09/202430.86near 52w high-1.20%-2.14%+1.46%-3.14%+1.46%
202329/09/202320.50near 52w high+0.93%+5.07%+4.29%-2.49%+7.56%
202230/09/202218.11far below SMA50-7.01%-8.12%+3.42%-8.50%+3.42%
202130/09/202120.32neutral-0.30%+3.49%+5.81%-1.87%+5.81%
202030/09/202017.80neutral+4.69%+1.88%-5.09%-5.09%+6.49%
201930/09/201923.50neutral+0.83%+0.28%-0.02%-2.53%+4.45%
201801/10/201817.40neutral-0.11%-2.36%+2.87%-3.45%+2.87%
201729/09/201719.04near 52w high-1.63%+0.00%+1.42%-1.63%+2.42%
201630/09/201614.78near 52w high-7.58%-5.01%-6.63%-8.46%+0.00%
Upcoming 16/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.27% · Win 60% · DD -1.84%20 days: Avg +1.56% · Win 50% · DD -4.57%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/10/202533.77neutral+3.43%+1.72%+5.83%+0.00%+8.53%
202416/10/202431.01near 52w high-0.52%+5.80%-2.06%-4.90%+5.80%
202316/10/202321.89near 52w high-2.60%-2.19%+1.55%-2.60%+1.55%
202217/10/202217.17far below SMA50 · volume x1.7+1.57%+8.79%+12.11%+0.00%+16.07%
202115/10/202121.30neutral+0.14%-2.58%-2.54%-5.35%+0.94%
202016/10/202017.97neutral+0.11%-4.84%+10.18%-6.01%+10.18%
201916/10/201923.41neutral+4.87%+2.48%-16.70%-16.70%+4.87%
201816/10/201817.45neutral-1.38%+3.61%+9.97%-1.38%+12.66%
201716/10/201719.05near 52w high+0.34%+0.29%-1.81%-2.07%+3.07%
201617/10/201614.13near 52w low+0.78%-0.35%-0.99%-6.72%+2.26%
Upcoming 21/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.54% · Win 60% · DD -2.61%20 days: Avg +1.44% · Win 50% · DD -4.63%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/10/202534.30near 52w high+2.94%+3.18%+7.61%-0.90%+7.61%
202421/10/202430.34near 52w high+3.20%+2.37%-0.23%-2.80%+8.14%
202320/10/202321.63near 52w high-1.16%+0.23%+6.10%-1.43%+6.29%
202221/10/202217.31far below SMA50+8.20%+9.94%+7.05%+0.00%+15.14%
202121/10/202121.45neutral+0.23%-6.01%-3.40%-6.01%+0.23%
202021/10/202017.63neutral-4.20%+0.00%+7.03%-4.20%+12.31%
201921/10/201924.10neutral-2.51%-3.22%-15.00%-19.10%+1.85%
201822/10/201817.22neutral+3.95%+4.76%+12.14%-0.06%+14.17%
201720/10/201719.29near 52w high+0.10%+0.36%-3.37%-4.20%+1.76%
201621/10/201614.27neutral-3.29%-6.17%-3.57%-7.64%+0.00%
Upcoming 26/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.19% · Win 50% · DD -4.30%20 days: Avg +1.17% · Win 60% · DD -4.88%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/202535.74near 52w high-1.20%+2.55%+2.21%-4.90%+3.27%
202425/10/202430.93near 52w high+4.66%+0.03%-2.04%-4.66%+6.08%
202326/10/202321.61near 52w high+2.87%-0.56%+6.85%-1.06%+6.89%
202226/10/202218.03neutral+1.83%+4.33%+5.99%+0.00%+10.54%
202126/10/202121.14neutral-2.65%-0.05%-2.46%-4.64%+1.70%
202026/10/202017.86neutral-1.85%+5.88%+8.73%-5.43%+10.86%
201925/10/201923.74neutral+0.59%-13.61%-15.50%-17.86%+2.11%
201826/10/201817.74volume x2.8-1.13%+9.24%+8.57%-1.13%+10.82%
201726/10/201718.95near 52w high+1.37%-0.95%-1.32%-2.48%+3.59%
201626/10/201614.12near 52w low-4.75%-4.96%+0.64%-6.66%+1.35%
Upcoming 27/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.38% · Win 60% · DD -4.13%20 days: Avg +1.71% · Win 60% · DD -4.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/202535.74near 52w high-1.20%+2.55%+2.21%-4.90%+3.27%
202428/10/202431.31near 52w high-0.80%-1.72%-4.09%-5.81%+4.79%
202327/10/202321.38near 52w high+1.40%+3.93%+7.34%+0.00%+8.04%
202227/10/202218.34neutral-0.11%+8.67%+3.44%-0.11%+8.67%
202127/10/202121.09neutral-1.71%+1.14%-1.80%-4.41%+1.94%
202027/10/202017.49neutral+1.83%+10.01%+14.64%-3.43%+14.64%
201928/10/201923.50neutral-0.72%-13.11%-12.94%-17.02%+3.15%
201826/10/201817.74volume x2.8-1.13%+9.24%+8.57%-1.13%+10.82%
201727/10/201719.31near 52w high+0.26%-3.42%-3.47%-4.30%+1.66%
201627/10/201613.87near 52w low-4.97%-3.53%+3.24%-4.97%+3.24%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-4.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -10.7% · from 52w low: +18.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-1.64% · -1.02% · +0.33% · +6.24%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-1.06% · -3.98% · -0.20%
Distance from 52w high / low-10.68% · +18.82%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.74 · 0.01x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+2.47%
vs SPY (20d)+1.95%
vs SMH (20d)+3.30%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20039.38 · 40.58 · 39.04
52w high / low43.62 · 32.79