🕰️ Time Machine

DECK — Deckers Brands

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
79.64 -0.74%
Next window · Cycle 90 · in window
10/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 09/09/2026
since -0.74%
Trend
Strong downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 20/05/2026
92.31
Days: 77 trading / 113 calendar · return since: -13.73%
Last major high · 12/06/2026
116.50
Days: 61 trading / 90 calendar · return since: -31.64%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 12/06/2026 @ 116.50Cycle 60Trading📅 09/09/2026-1 (±2)In window
High 12/06/2026 @ 116.50Cycle 90Calendar📅 10/09/2026+0 (±3)In window
Low 20/05/2026 @ 92.31Cycle 120Calendar📅 17/09/2026+7 (±3)Upcoming
Low 20/05/2026 @ 92.31Cycle 90Trading📅 29/09/2026+13 (±3)Upcoming
High 12/06/2026 @ 116.50Cycle 120Calendar📅 10/10/2026+30 (±3)Upcoming
Low 20/05/2026 @ 92.31Cycle 144Calendar📅 11/10/2026+31 (±3)Upcoming
High 12/06/2026 @ 116.50Cycle 90Trading📅 21/10/2026+29 (±3)Upcoming
Low 20/05/2026 @ 92.31Cycle 120Trading📅 10/11/2026+43 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 10/09/2026
Failed Breakdown 03/09/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

In window 09/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.80% · Win 40% · DD -4.27%20 days: Avg -0.75% · Win 40% · DD -7.57%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/09/2025115.41neutral+2.84%-2.93%-15.10%-15.10%+2.84%
202409/09/2024149.01neutral+4.88%+3.49%+6.59%-0.38%+11.94%
202308/09/202387.87neutral-0.83%-3.16%-6.10%-6.10%+2.56%
202209/09/202258.12far above SMA50-3.30%-8.24%-3.96%-10.35%+2.57%
202109/09/202167.79neutral+8.15%+4.97%-7.53%-11.45%+8.15%
202009/09/202033.83neutral+8.09%+5.69%+18.41%-2.31%+18.41%
201909/09/201925.85neutral-6.49%-12.39%-7.21%-14.24%+0.00%
201810/09/201819.79near 52w high-5.31%-5.98%-7.93%-9.90%+0.00%
201708/09/201710.77neutral-1.27%-1.67%+10.26%-3.34%+10.26%
201612/09/20169.90near 52w high+2.98%+2.22%+5.05%-2.56%+6.54%
In window 10/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.37% · Win 40% · DD -4.71%20 days: Avg -0.09% · Win 40% · DD -7.31%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/09/2025114.13neutral+3.99%-2.54%-11.00%-14.15%+4.00%
202410/09/2024148.45neutral+4.48%+4.01%+9.09%+0.00%+12.37%
202311/09/202389.54neutral-2.05%-4.77%-7.02%-7.85%+0.65%
202209/09/202258.12far above SMA50-3.30%-8.24%-3.96%-10.35%+2.57%
202110/09/202169.32neutral+4.59%-6.53%-13.48%-13.48%+5.78%
202010/09/202033.05neutral+7.58%+9.76%+23.69%+0.00%+23.69%
201910/09/201925.23neutral-5.53%-12.13%-5.89%-12.13%+0.00%
201810/09/201819.79near 52w high-5.31%-5.98%-7.93%-9.90%+0.00%
201711/09/201710.70neutral-2.12%+0.47%+10.59%-2.71%+10.98%
201612/09/20169.90near 52w high+2.98%+2.22%+5.05%-2.56%+6.54%
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.49% · Win 50% · DD -6.00%20 days: Avg -1.51% · Win 50% · DD -8.60%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/09/2025118.68neutral-6.28%-14.75%-18.74%-19.89%+0.00%
202417/09/2024155.10neutral-0.45%+0.34%+4.35%-2.82%+7.55%
202318/09/202387.71neutral-2.79%-1.66%-4.75%-6.43%+0.99%
202216/09/202256.20volume x2.2-5.11%-7.29%+1.14%-7.29%+1.78%
202117/09/202172.50near 52w high · volume x2.2-10.63%-15.98%-17.64%-23.98%+0.00%
202017/09/202035.56neutral+2.03%+10.44%+22.86%-2.94%+22.86%
201917/09/201923.83neutral-6.99%+2.39%+7.38%-6.99%+7.74%
201817/09/201818.74neutral-0.71%+3.56%-5.79%-8.85%+5.46%
201718/09/201710.47neutral+2.64%+9.80%+2.88%+0.00%+13.97%
201616/09/201610.11near 52w high+2.66%-1.80%-6.83%-6.83%+4.30%
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.80% · Win 40% · DD -5.37%20 days: Avg +2.83% · Win 70% · DD -7.81%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/09/2025103.28neutral-1.20%-4.81%-12.40%-15.82%+0.50%
202430/09/2024159.45neutral-0.39%+0.80%+6.17%-5.32%+6.17%
202329/09/202385.68neutral-3.70%-4.21%+12.11%-5.74%+12.11%
202229/09/202253.85neutral+5.36%+6.22%+11.40%-3.25%+14.26%
202129/09/202162.05far below SMA50-2.27%-6.70%+1.08%-11.18%+3.62%
202029/09/202036.32near 52w high+7.83%+16.39%+20.25%+0.00%+20.38%
201930/09/201924.56volume x1.8-2.34%+4.09%+0.52%-3.33%+7.44%
201828/09/201819.76near 52w high-7.59%-11.97%-2.44%-13.57%+0.00%
201729/09/201711.40volume x1.5+4.15%-3.77%+5.96%-5.50%+5.96%
201629/09/20169.88near 52w low+3.27%-4.01%-14.40%-14.40%+5.18%
Upcoming 10/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.47% · Win 50% · DD -4.17%20 days: Avg +7.54% · Win 70% · DD -5.55%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/10/202595.07near 52w low · far below SMA50+5.00%-8.55%-13.99%-16.34%+8.30%
202410/10/2024158.26neutral+1.30%-3.93%+8.26%-4.61%+8.26%
202310/10/202384.76neutral+2.04%-2.45%+23.71%-4.71%+23.71%
202210/10/202255.20neutral+6.68%+9.18%+3.31%+0.00%+11.47%
202111/10/202155.12far below SMA50 · volume x2.4+11.15%+16.66%+26.30%+0.00%+28.03%
202009/10/202041.87near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.42%+1.59%+7.60%-1.42%+10.89%
201910/10/201923.95neutral+9.99%+8.55%+12.75%+0.00%+13.40%
201810/10/201817.08far below SMA50+7.72%+4.06%+31.98%+0.00%+31.98%
201710/10/201711.94near 52w high · far above SMA50-8.81%-6.20%-9.84%-9.84%+1.21%
201610/10/201610.40near 52w high-10.33%-14.24%-14.64%-18.61%+0.00%
Upcoming 11/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.03% · Win 50% · DD -4.28%20 days: Avg +6.41% · Win 60% · DD -5.84%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/10/202595.07near 52w low · far below SMA50+5.00%-8.55%-13.99%-16.34%+8.30%
202411/10/2024161.25neutral+0.37%+4.25%+8.91%-6.38%+8.91%
202311/10/202384.85neutral+0.57%-3.27%+23.21%-4.81%+23.59%
202211/10/202256.25neutral+6.98%+9.38%-1.24%-1.24%+9.38%
202111/10/202155.12far below SMA50 · volume x2.4+11.15%+16.66%+26.30%+0.00%+28.03%
202012/10/202042.22near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.13%+3.34%+0.56%-2.25%+9.96%
201911/10/201925.68neutral+1.84%-2.08%+6.06%-3.86%+6.06%
201811/10/201817.30far below SMA50+5.85%+4.97%+31.30%+0.00%+31.30%
201711/10/201711.54near 52w high · volume x1.6-4.77%-0.79%-4.81%-6.73%+4.71%
201611/10/201610.16near 52w high-7.76%-13.63%-12.24%-16.75%+0.02%
Upcoming 21/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.07% · Win 70% · DD -5.28%20 days: Avg +7.60% · Win 90% · DD -5.99%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/10/2025102.96neutral-14.91%-22.75%-18.64%-22.75%+0.00%
202421/10/2024160.01neutral+5.80%+1.41%+10.27%-5.66%+11.46%
202320/10/202382.93neutral+15.83%+20.00%+24.70%-2.61%+27.16%
202221/10/202260.55neutral-4.94%-2.65%+3.34%-10.20%+3.34%
202121/10/202163.28neutral+0.17%+9.59%+15.44%-0.89%+15.44%
202021/10/202041.27far above SMA50+1.04%+5.42%+1.73%+0.00%+12.49%
201921/10/201926.39neutral-6.44%+1.09%+5.43%-6.44%+5.73%
201822/10/201818.28neutral+10.99%+22.10%+12.47%-2.78%+24.23%
201720/10/201711.02neutral+9.68%+0.03%+7.91%-2.30%+9.68%
201621/10/20169.02near 52w low · volume x2.0+0.41%-3.51%+13.33%-6.26%+15.48%
Upcoming 10/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.42% · Win 90% · DD -2.62%20 days: Avg +8.25% · Win 70% · DD -3.56%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/11/202579.84near 52w low · far below SMA50+1.10%+4.12%+26.27%+0.00%+26.77%
202411/11/2024177.08near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.36%+10.96%+14.14%-0.80%+15.29%
202310/11/2023105.46near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.93%+3.77%+10.29%-2.73%+10.29%
202210/11/202258.46neutral+0.63%+8.68%+6.37%-6.99%+13.73%
202110/11/202170.44neutral+3.36%+0.80%-6.58%-8.75%+3.70%
202010/11/202041.92neutral+1.11%+3.16%+18.18%-1.72%+18.18%
201911/11/201927.41neutral+1.49%+0.03%-1.68%-4.37%+2.68%
201809/11/201822.35near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.14%-4.50%-5.10%-10.22%+2.09%
201710/11/201711.41neutral+4.19%+5.80%+12.55%+0.00%+13.54%
201610/11/20169.56neutral+9.03%+11.33%+8.04%+0.00%+12.99%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-17.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -34.9% · from 52w low: +0.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-4.92% · -10.99% · -12.68% · -29.21%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-9.02% · -16.99% · -22.32%
Distance from 52w high / low-34.88% · +0.93%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg2.41 · 0.08x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-10.66%
vs SPY (20d)-10.76%
vs SMH (20d)-8.81%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20087.54 · 95.93 · 102.52
52w high / low122.29 · 78.91