🕰️ Time Machine

DLTR — Dollar Tree

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
119.37 +0.83%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in window
10/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 28/08/2026
since -6.93%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 13/05/2026
85.88
Days: 82 trading / 120 calendar · return since: +39.00%
Last major high · 17/07/2026
133.26
Days: 38 trading / 55 calendar · return since: -10.42%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 17/07/2026 @ 133.26Cycle 30Trading📅 28/08/2026-8 (±2)Passed
High 17/07/2026 @ 133.26Cycle 45Calendar📅 31/08/2026-10 (±2)Passed
Low 13/05/2026 @ 85.88Cycle 120Calendar📅 10/09/2026+0 (±3)In window
High 17/07/2026 @ 133.26Cycle 60Calendar📅 15/09/2026+5 (±2)Upcoming
High 17/07/2026 @ 133.26Cycle 45Trading📅 21/09/2026+7 (±2)Upcoming
Low 13/05/2026 @ 85.88Cycle 90Trading📅 22/09/2026+8 (±3)Upcoming
Low 13/05/2026 @ 85.88Cycle 144Calendar📅 04/10/2026+24 (±3)Upcoming
High 17/07/2026 @ 133.26Cycle 60Trading📅 12/10/2026+22 (±2)Upcoming
High 17/07/2026 @ 133.26Cycle 90Calendar📅 15/10/2026+35 (±3)Upcoming
Low 13/05/2026 @ 85.88Cycle 120Trading📅 03/11/2026+38 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 10/09/2026
Failed Breakdown 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 10/09/2026
Shooting Star 04/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 31/08/2026
NR7 Compression 04/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 31/08/2026
Doji After Run 02/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 31/08/2026
Bearish Engulfing 31/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 31/08/2026
Hammer Reversal 28/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 28/08/2026
Failed Breakdown 27/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 28/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 28/08/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -5.46% · Win 33% · DD -9.12%20 days: Avg -5.95% · Win 22% · DD -11.14%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/08/2025112.50near 52w high-10.12%-13.38%-15.50%-16.42%+0.00%
202428/08/202494.46near 52w low-27.51%-28.13%-22.85%-32.71%+0.00%
202328/08/2023124.56near 52w low · far below SMA50-6.66%-8.38%-14.62%-16.18%+0.00%
202229/08/2022137.40far below SMA50 · volume x1.8+0.66%+0.80%-0.99%-1.25%+6.08%
202127/08/202190.89volume x2.0+2.11%-1.79%-4.42%-6.99%+2.42%
202028/08/202094.73volume x2.1-3.69%-6.13%-4.00%-9.25%+1.63%
201928/08/201999.60neutral+8.06%+12.39%+12.91%-1.94%+13.88%
201828/08/201893.38neutral-11.50%-9.01%-9.66%-14.56%+1.16%
201728/08/201780.38far above SMA50+2.63%+4.48%+5.61%-0.92%+5.74%
Passed 31/08/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.62% · Win 44% · DD -6.18%20 days: Avg -1.63% · Win 56% · DD -7.92%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/08/2025109.17neutral-8.95%-10.91%-13.70%-13.87%+2.00%
202430/08/202484.49near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.9-20.20%-14.89%-16.77%-24.77%+0.00%
202331/08/2023122.36near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.6-5.18%-8.18%-13.00%-14.68%+0.00%
202231/08/2022135.68far below SMA50+4.33%+1.67%+0.85%+0.00%+7.42%
202131/08/202190.54neutral+2.82%-2.32%+11.01%-6.63%+11.01%
202031/08/202096.27neutral-6.69%-7.92%-6.65%-10.70%+0.00%
201930/08/2019101.53volume x1.5+7.26%+7.91%+12.44%+0.00%+12.58%
201831/08/201880.51near 52w low · volume x1.8+4.21%+6.20%+2.12%-0.66%+7.09%
201731/08/201779.64far above SMA50+4.01%+4.82%+9.02%+0.00%+9.02%
In window 10/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.02% · Win 40% · DD -3.39%20 days: Avg -0.44% · Win 50% · DD -5.48%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/09/202598.85far below SMA50-1.08%-2.98%-11.15%-13.97%+0.55%
202410/09/202465.39far below SMA50+12.40%+9.02%+6.25%+0.00%+15.72%
202311/09/2023115.95near 52w low · far below SMA50-4.46%-9.96%-9.69%-10.62%+0.00%
202209/09/2022144.45neutral-1.75%-2.19%-1.73%-5.82%+0.90%
202110/09/202190.21neutral-1.00%-6.29%+9.58%-6.29%+11.42%
202010/09/202090.25neutral-1.89%-2.02%+1.42%-4.74%+1.80%
201910/09/2019109.93near 52w high+1.01%+3.13%+2.32%-0.34%+5.28%
201810/09/201883.90neutral+1.91%+2.06%-1.93%-3.89%+2.77%
201711/09/201783.40far above SMA50-0.25%+1.91%+5.96%-0.31%+7.22%
201612/09/201682.38near 52w high-2.62%-2.89%-5.41%-8.81%+0.00%
Upcoming 15/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.26% · Win 40% · DD -3.10%20 days: Avg +1.11% · Win 50% · DD -5.10%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/09/202597.26far below SMA50-2.86%-3.14%-4.80%-12.56%+1.03%
202416/09/202471.91far below SMA50-0.21%-2.21%-7.11%-7.11%+5.23%
202315/09/2023112.35near 52w low · far below SMA50-6.99%-5.25%-3.93%-7.75%+0.00%
202215/09/2022137.94far below SMA50+1.01%-0.80%+1.87%-1.38%+3.60%
202115/09/202188.44near 52w low-3.61%+13.65%+10.10%-4.41%+13.65%
202015/09/202088.65neutral-2.09%+1.38%+9.00%-3.02%+9.00%
201916/09/2019109.56near 52w high+3.52%+4.20%+4.98%+0.00%+5.63%
201814/09/201884.57neutral+0.59%-3.57%-4.06%-5.98%+1.95%
201715/09/201783.48far above SMA50+1.37%+4.00%+9.61%-0.41%+9.61%
201615/09/201681.99near 52w high-2.34%-5.65%-4.59%-8.38%+0.00%
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.07% · Win 60% · DD -2.99%20 days: Avg +4.32% · Win 60% · DD -3.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/09/202594.48far below SMA50-0.29%-7.20%+4.81%-9.99%+4.81%
202420/09/202471.73far below SMA50+1.94%-1.16%-4.92%-6.87%+1.94%
202321/09/2023105.50near 52w low · far below SMA50+1.27%+0.86%+7.21%-1.76%+9.36%
202221/09/2022141.87neutral-2.75%+0.63%-1.34%-4.11%+0.63%
202121/09/202186.26near 52w low · far below SMA50+0.02%+12.65%+16.25%-1.99%+17.03%
202021/09/202085.97neutral+5.78%+4.66%+10.50%+0.00%+12.40%
201920/09/2019111.07near 52w high+2.91%+4.20%+5.32%+0.00%+5.67%
201821/09/201885.07neutral-4.14%-5.21%-0.66%-6.54%+1.68%
201721/09/201783.14neutral+3.06%+7.23%+9.95%+0.00%+10.60%
201621/09/201679.89near 52w high-0.61%-5.97%-3.92%-5.97%+0.71%
Upcoming 22/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.54% · Win 50% · DD -2.75%20 days: Avg +3.91% · Win 60% · DD -3.48%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/09/202594.48far below SMA50-0.29%-7.20%+4.81%-9.99%+4.81%
202423/09/202471.76far below SMA50-2.01%-3.21%-6.20%-6.91%+1.90%
202322/09/2023104.50near 52w low · far below SMA50+1.87%+0.81%+5.77%-0.82%+10.40%
202222/09/2022139.33far below SMA50-1.79%+2.01%-0.22%-2.36%+2.46%
202122/09/202185.25near 52w low · far below SMA50+17.90%+13.91%+18.87%-0.83%+18.87%
202022/09/202086.80neutral+3.54%+2.17%+9.92%-0.09%+11.32%
201923/09/2019113.42near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.65%-1.11%+2.88%-1.11%+3.48%
201821/09/201885.07neutral-4.14%-5.21%-0.66%-6.54%+1.68%
201722/09/201784.62far above SMA50+2.60%+5.67%+9.16%+0.00%+9.16%
201622/09/201680.07near 52w high-3.38%-2.47%-5.25%-6.18%+0.49%
Upcoming 04/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.66% · Win 70% · DD -2.59%20 days: Avg +3.71% · Win 70% · DD -3.32%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/10/202589.98far below SMA50-2.63%+7.18%+10.16%-5.49%+14.14%
202404/10/202470.90far below SMA50-2.76%-3.81%-6.06%-10.71%+0.00%
202304/10/2023104.77near 52w low · far below SMA50+2.16%+8.57%+6.41%-0.06%+10.12%
202204/10/2022142.15neutral-0.32%-1.67%+11.23%-4.27%+11.54%
202104/10/202198.37neutral+0.08%+2.62%+12.60%-1.28%+12.60%
202005/10/202089.98neutral+6.20%+5.58%+1.27%-1.44%+7.39%
201904/10/2019115.73near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.47%+1.08%-3.45%-4.61%+2.34%
201804/10/201881.11near 52w low-1.97%+4.55%+4.67%-1.97%+6.65%
201704/10/201789.05near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.9+2.45%+2.72%+2.32%-0.76%+4.69%
201604/10/201676.43near 52w low+1.06%-0.24%-2.03%-2.59%+2.36%
Upcoming 12/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.63% · Win 60% · DD -1.29%20 days: Avg +3.86% · Win 70% · DD -2.87%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202513/10/202592.59neutral+6.94%+10.80%+14.80%+0.00%+14.80%
202411/10/202468.94far below SMA50-1.07%-3.61%-10.92%-10.92%+0.00%
202312/10/2023107.47near 52w low · far below SMA50+5.25%+1.26%+5.71%+0.00%+8.26%
202212/10/2022138.71neutral+0.91%+10.80%+11.66%-1.90%+16.13%
202112/10/202198.10neutral+2.22%+6.99%+13.30%-0.74%+15.46%
202012/10/202095.56neutral-0.59%-3.17%+0.32%-5.48%+1.12%
201911/10/2019115.19near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.55%-0.56%-4.20%-4.20%+2.82%
201812/10/201881.14near 52w low+4.15%+2.64%+6.46%-0.21%+8.27%
201712/10/201791.37near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.04%+2.04%+3.29%-0.27%+3.29%
201612/10/201677.47near 52w low-0.92%-0.86%-1.85%-4.97%+0.98%
Upcoming 15/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.80% · Win 40% · DD -2.22%20 days: Avg +3.81% · Win 70% · DD -3.29%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/10/202595.97volume x1.6+4.69%+5.59%+10.64%-2.02%+10.75%
202415/10/202467.73far below SMA50-1.17%-4.77%-8.06%-9.63%+0.69%
202316/10/2023110.10neutral-1.03%-0.23%+1.96%-1.88%+5.68%
202214/10/2022136.08neutral+5.53%+16.51%+21.70%+0.00%+21.70%
202115/10/202199.27neutral+3.91%+8.55%+13.91%+0.00%+14.42%
202015/10/202096.54neutral-2.80%-4.80%-3.47%-6.44%+0.00%
201915/10/2019116.51near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.66%-3.37%-7.57%-7.57%+1.66%
201815/10/201880.97near 52w low+3.15%+3.48%+6.20%+0.00%+8.50%
201716/10/201791.95near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.25%-0.55%+1.89%-0.90%+3.38%
201614/10/201677.09near 52w low-1.79%-2.44%+0.93%-4.50%+0.93%
Upcoming 03/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.97% · Win 60% · DD -2.42%20 days: Avg +7.46% · Win 80% · DD -5.19%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/11/2025100.85neutral+5.39%+2.80%+8.07%-2.27%+9.88%
202404/11/202466.81volume x2.0-8.38%-0.42%+8.49%-8.38%+8.98%
202303/11/2023116.35neutral-1.95%-1.16%+10.20%-3.52%+10.20%
202203/11/2022156.00neutral+4.56%+4.94%-3.08%-6.09%+8.23%
202103/11/2021113.27far above SMA50 · volume x2.2-1.46%+16.16%+19.03%-4.59%+29.43%
202003/11/202093.65neutral+1.41%+0.18%+19.20%-0.49%+20.01%
201904/11/2019112.21neutral-2.92%-2.81%-21.00%-21.00%+0.95%
201802/11/201885.15neutral+1.44%-1.12%+1.79%-4.26%+3.85%
201703/11/201793.75near 52w high+1.40%+0.92%+13.46%-0.70%+13.46%
201603/11/201674.07near 52w low+4.23%+10.23%+18.48%-0.61%+21.06%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-6.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -16.2% · from 52w low: +40.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-9.51% · -9.69% · -7.18% · +5.75%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-7.60% · -6.15% · +1.66%
Distance from 52w high / low-16.17% · +40.92%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg5.33 · 0.05x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-5.21%
vs SPY (20d)-5.30%
vs SMH (20d)-3.25%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200129.19 · 127.20 · 117.42
52w high / low142.40 · 84.71