🕰️ Time Machine
DLTR — Dollar Tree
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026
Last price (Close)
124.64 +5.94%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 11 days
11/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 20/07/2026
since -1.38%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 13/05/2026
85.88
Days: 49 trading / 75 calendar · return since: +45.13%
Last major high · 20/02/2026
138.91
Days: 106 trading / 157 calendar · return since: -10.27%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 13/05/2026 @ 85.88 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 20/07/2026 | -4 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 13/05/2026 @ 85.88 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 11/08/2026 | +11 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 13/05/2026 @ 85.88 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 11/08/2026 | +15 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 20/02/2026 @ 138.91 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 14/08/2026 | +14 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 20/02/2026 @ 138.91 | Cycle 180 | Calendar | 📅 19/08/2026 | +23 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 13/05/2026 @ 85.88 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 10/09/2026 | +45 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 20/02/2026 @ 138.91 | Cycle 144 | Trading | 📅 18/09/2026 | +38 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 13/05/2026 @ 85.88 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 23/09/2026 | +41 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 21/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 20/07/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 14/07/2026
● Shooting Star 13/07/2026
● Failed Breakout 13/07/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 06/07/2026
● Failed Breakout 02/07/2026
● Failed Breakout 25/06/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 20/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.46% · Win 44% · DD -3.67%20 days: Avg -1.03% · Win 44% · DD -5.88%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/07/2025 | 112.31 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.78% | +3.04% | -0.22% | -0.22% | +4.32% |
| 2024 | 19/07/2024 | 106.56 | near 52w low | -2.47% | -6.60% | -7.30% | -13.32% | +0.61% |
| 2023 | 20/07/2023 | 151.90 | neutral | -0.43% | -0.88% | -6.40% | -6.40% | +1.60% |
| 2022 | 20/07/2022 | 173.32 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -7.03% | -4.75% | -2.97% | -8.94% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 20/07/2021 | 99.01 | neutral | -0.01% | +0.89% | +1.48% | -1.29% | +3.34% |
| 2020 | 20/07/2020 | 97.12 | neutral | -1.75% | -2.69% | +3.86% | -3.88% | +3.86% |
| 2019 | 19/07/2019 | 108.20 | near 52w high | -1.94% | -10.47% | -13.39% | -16.74% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 20/07/2018 | 86.44 | neutral | +1.79% | +4.44% | +10.61% | +0.00% | +10.61% |
| 2017 | 20/07/2017 | 70.77 | neutral | +2.08% | +3.90% | +5.04% | -2.11% | +7.04% |
Upcoming 11/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.16% · Win 60% · DD -4.40%20 days: Avg -8.69% · Win 20% · DD -13.62%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/08/2025 | 114.29 | near 52w high | -1.95% | -2.18% | -15.74% | -15.74% | +0.97% |
| 2024 | 12/08/2024 | 93.90 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +7.04% | +2.82% | -30.36% | -32.31% | +7.04% |
| 2023 | 11/08/2023 | 147.27 | neutral | -3.03% | -16.27% | -21.27% | -21.27% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 11/08/2022 | 165.37 | neutral | +1.62% | -9.89% | -12.65% | -17.95% | +1.72% |
| 2021 | 11/08/2021 | 102.32 | volume x1.6 | -0.87% | +3.91% | -10.87% | -12.05% | +3.91% |
| 2020 | 11/08/2020 | 96.49 | neutral | +2.85% | +6.37% | -4.85% | -6.90% | +8.03% |
| 2019 | 12/08/2019 | 91.00 | far below SMA50 | +5.71% | +5.35% | +20.80% | +0.00% | +20.80% |
| 2018 | 10/08/2018 | 92.43 | neutral | +3.44% | +1.11% | -9.23% | -13.69% | +3.44% |
| 2017 | 11/08/2017 | 73.50 | neutral | +1.02% | +9.37% | +13.47% | -0.08% | +13.47% |
| 2016 | 11/08/2016 | 97.37 | near 52w high | -1.55% | -12.19% | -16.17% | -16.17% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 14/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -4.38% · Win 30% · DD -6.42%20 days: Avg -9.61% · Win 20% · DD -14.33%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/08/2025 | 114.63 | near 52w high | -1.78% | -1.86% | -14.99% | -15.99% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 14/08/2024 | 92.37 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +8.24% | +2.26% | -26.50% | -31.19% | +8.81% |
| 2023 | 14/08/2023 | 145.62 | neutral | -2.64% | -14.46% | -21.63% | -21.63% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 15/08/2022 | 165.93 | neutral | +0.90% | -17.19% | -16.53% | -18.23% | +1.38% |
| 2021 | 13/08/2021 | 101.77 | neutral | +0.88% | -10.69% | -12.29% | -12.29% | +4.47% |
| 2020 | 14/08/2020 | 98.84 | neutral | +1.48% | -4.16% | -10.04% | -10.04% | +5.46% |
| 2019 | 14/08/2019 | 93.17 | far below SMA50 | +3.12% | +6.90% | +20.15% | -0.03% | +20.15% |
| 2018 | 14/08/2018 | 94.53 | neutral | +0.49% | -1.22% | -10.11% | -15.60% | +1.14% |
| 2017 | 14/08/2017 | 74.62 | neutral | -0.50% | +7.72% | +12.54% | -1.58% | +12.54% |
| 2016 | 15/08/2016 | 96.26 | near 52w high | -0.52% | -11.15% | -16.70% | -16.70% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 19/08/2026 · High Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -9.05% · Win 20% · DD -11.32%20 days: Avg -9.89% · Win 20% · DD -15.19%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/08/2025 | 112.48 | near 52w high | -0.44% | -9.29% | -13.07% | -15.11% | +0.77% |
| 2024 | 19/08/2024 | 100.51 | neutral | -3.94% | -18.76% | -26.87% | -36.76% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 18/08/2023 | 142.81 | neutral | -13.65% | -16.85% | -22.43% | -22.43% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 19/08/2022 | 167.68 | neutral | -17.28% | -18.55% | -14.77% | -19.08% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 19/08/2021 | 101.06 | neutral | -7.50% | -8.38% | -11.63% | -12.50% | +5.20% |
| 2020 | 19/08/2020 | 99.75 | neutral | +4.50% | -5.06% | -11.24% | -11.24% | +4.50% |
| 2019 | 19/08/2019 | 96.20 | neutral | -0.34% | +6.02% | +15.43% | -2.67% | +17.32% |
| 2018 | 20/08/2018 | 94.98 | neutral | -2.01% | -15.79% | -10.29% | -16.00% | +0.01% |
| 2017 | 18/08/2017 | 74.25 | neutral | +8.27% | +9.17% | +12.04% | +0.00% | +13.68% |
| 2016 | 19/08/2016 | 95.57 | near 52w high | -10.54% | -13.04% | -16.06% | -16.10% | +0.20% |
Upcoming 10/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.92% · Win 40% · DD -3.30%20 days: Avg -0.35% · Win 50% · DD -5.39%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/09/2025 | 98.85 | far below SMA50 | -1.08% | -2.98% | -11.15% | -13.97% | +0.55% |
| 2024 | 10/09/2024 | 65.39 | far below SMA50 | +12.40% | +9.02% | +6.25% | +0.00% | +15.72% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 115.95 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -4.46% | -9.96% | -9.69% | -10.62% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 09/09/2022 | 144.45 | neutral | -1.75% | -2.19% | -1.73% | -5.82% | +0.90% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 90.21 | neutral | -1.00% | -6.29% | +9.58% | -6.29% | +11.42% |
| 2020 | 10/09/2020 | 90.25 | neutral | -1.89% | -2.02% | +1.42% | -4.74% | +1.80% |
| 2019 | 10/09/2019 | 109.93 | near 52w high | +1.01% | +3.13% | +2.32% | -0.34% | +5.28% |
| 2018 | 10/09/2018 | 83.90 | neutral | +1.91% | +2.06% | -1.93% | -3.89% | +2.77% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 83.40 | far above SMA50 | -0.25% | +1.91% | +5.96% | -0.31% | +7.22% |
| 2016 | 09/09/2016 | 81.63 | near 52w low | -0.65% | -1.89% | -4.48% | -7.98% | +0.92% |
Upcoming 18/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.03% · Win 40% · DD -4.35%20 days: Avg +1.21% · Win 50% · DD -5.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/09/2025 | 98.26 | far below SMA50 | -4.30% | -8.16% | -4.30% | -13.45% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 18/09/2024 | 75.67 | far below SMA50 | -6.77% | -8.17% | -10.11% | -11.72% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 18/09/2023 | 110.78 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -5.76% | -5.52% | -0.61% | -6.45% | +0.55% |
| 2022 | 19/09/2022 | 142.91 | neutral | -3.27% | -0.88% | -4.02% | -4.81% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 17/09/2021 | 89.31 | neutral | -5.34% | +9.71% | +11.15% | -5.34% | +12.54% |
| 2020 | 18/09/2020 | 88.02 | neutral | +1.59% | +3.11% | +8.57% | -2.33% | +9.78% |
| 2019 | 18/09/2019 | 112.26 | near 52w high | +0.61% | +0.72% | +4.13% | -1.06% | +4.13% |
| 2018 | 18/09/2018 | 85.21 | neutral | +0.06% | -4.19% | +1.51% | -6.69% | +1.51% |
| 2017 | 18/09/2017 | 83.19 | far above SMA50 | +2.16% | +3.94% | +10.53% | -0.06% | +10.53% |
| 2016 | 19/09/2016 | 80.22 | near 52w low | -0.27% | -0.86% | -4.71% | -6.36% | +0.30% |
Upcoming 23/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.52% · Win 50% · DD -3.28%20 days: Avg +3.89% · Win 70% · DD -3.73%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/09/2025 | 94.65 | far below SMA50 | -0.30% | -10.15% | +4.54% | -10.15% | +4.62% |
| 2024 | 23/09/2024 | 71.76 | far below SMA50 | -2.01% | -3.21% | -6.20% | -6.91% | +1.90% |
| 2023 | 22/09/2023 | 104.50 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +1.87% | +0.81% | +5.77% | -0.82% | +10.40% |
| 2022 | 23/09/2022 | 141.29 | neutral | -3.67% | +0.47% | +1.64% | -3.72% | +1.64% |
| 2021 | 23/09/2021 | 85.60 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +11.82% | +14.81% | +19.68% | -1.24% | +19.68% |
| 2020 | 23/09/2020 | 86.72 | neutral | +5.33% | +4.42% | +9.36% | +0.00% | +11.43% |
| 2019 | 23/09/2019 | 113.42 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.65% | -1.11% | +2.88% | -1.11% | +3.48% |
| 2018 | 24/09/2018 | 85.63 | neutral | -3.98% | -3.91% | -2.46% | -7.15% | +1.02% |
| 2017 | 22/09/2017 | 84.62 | far above SMA50 | +2.60% | +5.67% | +9.16% | +0.00% | +9.16% |
| 2016 | 23/09/2016 | 80.09 | near 52w low | -1.45% | -2.65% | -5.47% | -6.21% | +0.46% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+10.4%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -12.5% · from 52w low: +47.1%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -1.03% · -0.22% · +5.44% · +26.90% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +0.71% · +10.43% · +10.77% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -12.47% · +47.14% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 4.47 · 0.05x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +10.04% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +4.54% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +19.35% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 123.76 · 112.87 · 112.52 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 142.40 · 84.71 |
|---|
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