🕰️ Time Machine

DOT-USD — Polkadot

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 15/06/2026

Last price (Close)
1.02 +2.76%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in 12 days
27/06/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 14/06/2026
since +2.76%
Trend
Strong downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 15/04/2026
1.15
Days: 61 trading / 61 calendar · return since: -11.01%
Last major high · 13/05/2026
1.43
Days: 33 trading / 33 calendar · return since: -28.68%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 13/05/2026 @ 1.43Cycle 30Trading📅 12/06/2026-3 (±2)Passed
High 13/05/2026 @ 1.43Cycle 30Calendar📅 12/06/2026-3 (±2)Passed
Low 15/04/2026 @ 1.15Cycle 60Trading📅 14/06/2026-1 (±2)Active now
Low 15/04/2026 @ 1.15Cycle 60Calendar📅 14/06/2026-1 (±2)Active now
High 13/05/2026 @ 1.43Cycle 45Trading📅 27/06/2026+12 (±2)Upcoming
High 13/05/2026 @ 1.43Cycle 45Calendar📅 27/06/2026+12 (±2)Upcoming
High 13/05/2026 @ 1.43Cycle 60Trading📅 12/07/2026+27 (±2)Upcoming
High 13/05/2026 @ 1.43Cycle 60Calendar📅 12/07/2026+27 (±2)Upcoming
Low 15/04/2026 @ 1.15Cycle 90Trading📅 14/07/2026+29 (±3)Upcoming
Low 15/04/2026 @ 1.15Cycle 90Calendar📅 14/07/2026+29 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 12/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 12/06/2026
Bearish Engulfing 09/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 12/06/2026
Bullish Engulfing 07/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 12/06/2026
NR7 Compression 07/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 12/06/2026
Hammer Reversal 06/06/2026
Bearish Engulfing 04/06/2026
Failed Breakdown 03/06/2026
Hammer Reversal 28/05/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 12/06/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -11.59% · Win 20% · DD -15.07%20 days: Avg -5.27% · Win 20% · DD -16.00%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/06/20253.93far below SMA50-5.18%-19.75%-9.83%-19.75%+0.00%
202412/06/20246.74neutral-9.91%-14.74%-3.37%-16.77%+0.00%
202312/06/20234.53far below SMA50-0.14%+6.58%+21.39%-3.43%+21.39%
202212/06/20227.45near 52w low · far below SMA50-2.09%-0.56%-8.38%-9.67%+14.23%
202112/06/202120.78far below SMA50+8.35%-29.48%-26.16%-30.37%+19.17%
Active now 14/06/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -4.42% · Win 40% · DD -13.61%20 days: Avg -6.91% · Win 20% · DD -14.84%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/06/20253.79far below SMA50-6.27%-9.19%-11.29%-16.72%+1.75%
202414/06/20246.16far below SMA50-5.98%-7.11%-9.80%-9.80%+5.71%
202314/06/20234.57far below SMA50-1.04%+9.58%+17.01%-4.22%+20.40%
202214/06/20227.37far below SMA50+2.05%+11.41%-2.60%-8.63%+15.54%
202114/06/202122.21far below SMA50-8.33%-26.80%-27.88%-34.85%+11.51%
Upcoming 27/06/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +0.27% · Win 60% · DD -6.21%20 days: Avg +0.40% · Win 40% · DD -11.27%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/06/20253.36far below SMA50+5.41%+0.28%+26.97%-2.28%+26.97%
202427/06/20246.28neutral+3.72%-5.97%-0.34%-11.50%+3.72%
202327/06/20235.10neutral+7.97%+0.38%+4.08%-4.18%+8.82%
202227/06/20227.74far below SMA50-11.86%-5.60%-10.60%-18.67%+0.00%
202127/06/202115.02far below SMA50+2.17%+12.27%-18.14%-19.72%+12.27%
Upcoming 12/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +4.94% · Win 80% · DD -5.25%20 days: Avg +6.76% · Win 60% · DD -9.60%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/07/20253.89neutral+9.72%+16.93%-8.65%-8.65%+16.93%
202412/07/20246.10neutral+2.63%+0.13%-12.40%-12.40%+6.55%
202312/07/20235.15neutral+3.02%+3.12%+0.97%-0.77%+7.72%
202212/07/20226.30near 52w low · far below SMA50+9.92%+16.05%+30.09%+0.00%+37.26%
202112/07/202114.87far below SMA50-17.35%-11.51%+23.81%-26.17%+23.81%
Upcoming 14/07/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -0.37% · Win 60% · DD -6.92%20 days: Avg +1.41% · Win 40% · DD -12.13%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/07/20253.95volume x1.8+11.75%+1.25%-8.78%-11.24%+15.10%
202414/07/20246.33neutral+0.29%-9.16%-20.30%-20.30%+2.69%
202314/07/20235.45volume x1.7-4.69%-4.35%-8.69%-8.69%+0.68%
202214/07/20226.72far below SMA50+16.13%+10.35%+19.18%+0.00%+28.68%
202114/07/202113.80far below SMA50-17.21%+0.04%+25.63%-20.42%+33.44%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-13.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -76.9% · from 52w low: +14.5%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+11.58% · +8.30% · -18.14% · -23.22%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-2.60% · -13.79% · -33.15%
Distance from 52w high / low-76.92% · +14.50%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.06 · 0.58x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-18.35%
vs SPY (20d)-17.28%
vs SMH (20d)-25.33%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 2001.05 · 1.19 · 1.53
52w high / low4.43 · 0.89