🕰️ Time Machine
DOT-USD — Polkadot
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 13/09/2026
Last price (Close)
1.02 +0.50%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 4 days
17/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 120 · 10/09/2026
since -6.58%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 18/08/2026
0.73
Days: 26 trading / 26 calendar · return since: +40.68%
Last major high · 13/05/2026
1.43
Days: 123 trading / 123 calendar · return since: -28.55%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 18/08/2026 @ 0.73 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 08/09/2026 | -5 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 18/08/2026 @ 0.73 | Fib 21 | Calendar | 📅 08/09/2026 | -5 (±1) | Passed |
| High 13/05/2026 @ 1.43 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 10/09/2026 | -3 (±3) | In window |
| High 13/05/2026 @ 1.43 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 10/09/2026 | -3 (±3) | In window |
| Low 18/08/2026 @ 0.73 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 17/09/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 18/08/2026 @ 0.73 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 17/09/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 18/08/2026 @ 0.73 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 02/10/2026 | +19 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 18/08/2026 @ 0.73 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 02/10/2026 | +19 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 13/05/2026 @ 1.43 | Cycle 144 | Trading | 📅 04/10/2026 | +21 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 13/05/2026 @ 1.43 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 04/10/2026 | +21 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 18/08/2026 @ 0.73 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 17/10/2026 | +34 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 18/08/2026 @ 0.73 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 17/10/2026 | +34 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Hammer Reversal 13/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 10/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 12/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 10/09/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 03/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 08/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 24/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 08/09/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +7.47% · Win 67% · DD -3.19%20 days: Avg -0.91% · Win 33% · DD -6.64%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/09/2025 | 4.05 | neutral | +11.27% | +12.17% | -1.19% | -6.05% | +12.17% |
| 2024 | 08/09/2024 | 4.16 | far below SMA50 | +6.28% | +0.12% | +15.41% | -0.18% | +17.48% |
| 2023 | 08/09/2023 | 4.25 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -5.81% | -3.33% | -4.12% | -6.19% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 08/09/2022 | 7.39 | neutral | -3.47% | -12.79% | -13.48% | -16.71% | +5.35% |
| 2021 | 08/09/2021 | 27.71 | far above SMA50 | +25.48% | +25.95% | -4.96% | -5.02% | +34.89% |
| 2020 | 08/09/2020 | 4.27 | neutral | +23.95% | +22.73% | +2.89% | -5.68% | +25.14% |
In window 10/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.72% · Win 50% · DD -5.18%20 days: Avg -5.04% · Win 17% · DD -9.83%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/09/2025 | 4.21 | neutral | -1.44% | +3.43% | -7.26% | -9.80% | +7.69% |
| 2024 | 10/09/2024 | 4.26 | neutral | +3.42% | +1.91% | +4.25% | -2.35% | +14.94% |
| 2023 | 10/09/2023 | 4.15 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -0.24% | -0.29% | -1.12% | -3.97% | +0.81% |
| 2022 | 10/09/2022 | 7.79 | neutral | -11.04% | -19.34% | -18.89% | -20.94% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 29.22 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.5 | +24.81% | -3.98% | -2.17% | -9.92% | +27.93% |
| 2020 | 10/09/2020 | 4.58 | neutral | +11.22% | +1.98% | -5.06% | -12.01% | +16.74% |
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -6.77% · Win 17% · DD -12.22%20 days: Avg -6.98% · Win 17% · DD -13.29%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/09/2025 | 4.40 | far above SMA50 | -8.26% | -11.54% | -5.78% | -13.63% | +3.11% |
| 2024 | 17/09/2024 | 4.16 | neutral | +3.79% | +17.70% | -0.51% | -1.27% | +17.70% |
| 2023 | 17/09/2023 | 4.07 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -1.35% | -2.06% | -0.45% | -2.07% | +4.57% |
| 2022 | 17/09/2022 | 7.06 | neutral | -8.72% | -9.62% | -10.36% | -12.85% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 17/09/2021 | 33.02 | far above SMA50 | -4.27% | -15.90% | +2.89% | -20.30% | +5.69% |
| 2020 | 17/09/2020 | 5.34 | neutral | -21.77% | -19.23% | -27.69% | -29.61% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 02/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.10% · Win 67% · DD -9.40%20 days: Avg +0.49% · Win 50% · DD -10.66%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/10/2025 | 4.31 | neutral | -3.78% | -24.64% | -32.19% | -32.89% | +1.82% |
| 2024 | 02/10/2024 | 4.10 | neutral | +0.76% | +2.53% | +5.30% | -1.95% | +11.40% |
| 2023 | 02/10/2023 | 4.12 | neutral | -1.63% | -10.92% | -3.86% | -11.52% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 02/10/2022 | 6.16 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +2.73% | +0.21% | -5.11% | -5.33% | +5.38% |
| 2021 | 02/10/2021 | 32.12 | neutral | +5.77% | +9.46% | +35.26% | -3.36% | +38.06% |
| 2020 | 02/10/2020 | 4.12 | neutral | -6.41% | +4.77% | +3.54% | -8.90% | +4.77% |
Upcoming 04/10/2026 · High Cycle 144/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.18% · Win 50% · DD -9.95%20 days: Avg +1.49% · Win 67% · DD -10.87%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/10/2025 | 4.20 | neutral | -3.01% | -22.63% | -26.73% | -31.17% | +4.43% |
| 2024 | 04/10/2024 | 4.19 | neutral | -4.05% | +4.28% | +0.26% | -4.05% | +9.02% |
| 2023 | 04/10/2023 | 4.05 | near 52w low | -4.20% | -7.69% | +3.44% | -9.84% | +7.44% |
| 2022 | 04/10/2022 | 6.49 | neutral | -0.30% | -6.94% | -8.92% | -10.16% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 04/10/2021 | 31.04 | neutral | +17.03% | +31.29% | +36.54% | +0.00% | +42.87% |
| 2020 | 04/10/2020 | 4.17 | neutral | +2.12% | +0.60% | +4.35% | -10.01% | +4.35% |
Upcoming 17/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.86% · Win 67% · DD -2.93%20 days: Avg +12.29% · Win 67% · DD -6.07%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/10/2025 | 2.89 | far below SMA50 | +1.04% | +8.59% | -7.88% | -13.08% | +10.52% |
| 2024 | 17/10/2024 | 4.19 | neutral | +3.16% | -1.53% | -1.70% | -10.55% | +9.14% |
| 2023 | 17/10/2023 | 3.68 | near 52w low | +7.88% | +12.63% | +35.19% | -0.71% | +35.19% |
| 2022 | 17/10/2022 | 6.25 | neutral | -6.47% | +1.33% | +9.08% | -6.69% | +12.98% |
| 2021 | 17/10/2021 | 42.07 | far above SMA50 | +3.27% | -3.95% | +23.61% | -3.95% | +28.06% |
| 2020 | 17/10/2020 | 3.97 | far below SMA50 | +7.60% | +18.07% | +15.44% | -1.43% | +19.15% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+18.4%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -56.2% · from 52w low: +40.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -17.97% · +15.30% · +13.98% · +20.97% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +7.84% · +18.42% · -6.79% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -56.17% · +40.68% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.08 · 0.63x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +16.33% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +15.73% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +17.47% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 0.95 · 0.86 · 1.10 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 2.34 · 0.73 |
|---|
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