🕰️ Time Machine
EFC — Ellington Financial, Inc.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
11.73 +0.86%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 5 days
30/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 22/10/2026
since +0.86%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 06/08/2026
13.13
Days: 55 trading / 78 calendar · return since: -10.66%
Last major high · 19/08/2026
13.82
Days: 46 trading / 65 calendar · return since: -15.12%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 06/08/2026 @ 13.13 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 09/10/2026 | -10 (±2) | Passed |
| High 19/08/2026 @ 13.82 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 18/10/2026 | -5 (±2) | Passed |
| High 19/08/2026 @ 13.82 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 22/10/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| Low 06/08/2026 @ 13.13 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 30/10/2026 | +5 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 06/08/2026 @ 13.13 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 04/11/2026 | +12 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 19/08/2026 @ 13.82 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 12/11/2026 | +14 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 19/08/2026 @ 13.82 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 17/11/2026 | +25 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 06/08/2026 @ 13.13 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 04/12/2026 | +42 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 06/08/2026 @ 13.13 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 14/12/2026 | +35 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 19/08/2026 @ 13.82 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 28/12/2026 | +44 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bearish Engulfing 16/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 18/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 08/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 09/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 25/09/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 09/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.69% · Win 56% · DD -1.53%20 days: Avg +2.40% · Win 56% · DD -2.89%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 09/10/2025 | 13.47 | neutral | +1.26% | +0.07% | +3.30% | -1.19% | +3.30% |
| 2024 | 09/10/2024 | 12.42 | neutral | +3.14% | +1.45% | -2.04% | -3.01% | +3.14% |
| 2023 | 09/10/2023 | 12.63 | neutral | +1.50% | -4.35% | +1.83% | -6.73% | +2.63% |
| 2022 | 10/10/2022 | 11.11 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +7.65% | +10.98% | +22.00% | +0.00% | +22.00% |
| 2021 | 08/10/2021 | 18.73 | near 52w high | -2.67% | -1.66% | -0.79% | -3.15% | +0.80% |
| 2020 | 09/10/2020 | 12.95 | neutral | +0.00% | +1.47% | +0.81% | -4.79% | +1.59% |
| 2019 | 09/10/2019 | 17.97 | near 52w high | +1.22% | +2.56% | +3.12% | +0.00% | +3.57% |
| 2018 | 09/10/2018 | 16.07 | near 52w high | -2.61% | -3.98% | -3.98% | -4.48% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 09/10/2017 | 15.70 | near 52w low | -0.57% | -0.32% | -2.68% | -2.68% | +0.19% |
Passed 18/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.31% · Win 44% · DD -2.27%20 days: Avg +4.46% · Win 67% · DD -2.52%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/10/2025 | 13.60 | neutral | -2.06% | -1.10% | +2.02% | -2.13% | +3.50% |
| 2024 | 18/10/2024 | 12.81 | near 52w high | -1.87% | -5.73% | -3.76% | -5.97% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 18/10/2023 | 12.48 | neutral | -5.61% | -0.68% | +6.70% | -5.61% | +6.70% |
| 2022 | 18/10/2022 | 12.16 | far below SMA50 | +4.44% | +9.06% | +19.29% | +0.00% | +21.20% |
| 2021 | 18/10/2021 | 18.40 | neutral | +1.03% | +0.66% | -1.43% | -1.86% | +1.03% |
| 2020 | 19/10/2020 | 12.83 | neutral | +0.39% | +1.44% | +13.45% | -3.90% | +13.45% |
| 2019 | 18/10/2019 | 18.35 | near 52w high | +0.05% | +1.37% | +3.23% | -0.05% | +3.51% |
| 2018 | 18/10/2018 | 15.40 | volume x4.0 | +0.52% | -0.32% | +3.25% | -0.32% | +5.32% |
| 2017 | 18/10/2017 | 15.64 | near 52w low | -1.73% | -1.92% | -2.62% | -2.81% | +0.58% |
In window 22/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.07% · Win 50% · DD -2.08%20 days: Avg +3.75% · Win 60% · DD -2.36%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/10/2025 | 13.67 | neutral | -2.63% | +0.98% | +0.76% | -2.63% | +2.97% |
| 2024 | 22/10/2024 | 12.61 | neutral | -0.87% | -4.23% | -0.87% | -4.47% | +0.63% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 12.08 | volume x2.5 | -0.91% | +6.46% | +9.23% | -2.48% | +10.23% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 12.30 | neutral | +9.62% | +8.72% | +13.41% | +0.00% | +19.82% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 18.42 | neutral | -0.49% | +0.87% | -3.18% | -3.18% | +0.92% |
| 2020 | 22/10/2020 | 12.89 | neutral | -3.10% | +2.06% | +13.55% | -4.35% | +13.55% |
| 2019 | 22/10/2019 | 18.38 | near 52w high | +0.54% | -0.06% | -0.22% | -0.22% | +3.34% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 15.41 | neutral | -0.26% | -0.39% | +3.63% | -0.39% | +5.26% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 15.65 | near 52w low | -1.85% | -2.36% | -1.66% | -2.88% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 15.99 | near 52w high | -0.81% | -1.38% | +2.88% | -3.00% | +2.88% |
Upcoming 30/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.32% · Win 70% · DD -1.43%20 days: Avg +3.84% · Win 80% · DD -1.82%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/10/2025 | 13.39 | neutral | +3.92% | +2.87% | +4.29% | +0.00% | +5.13% |
| 2024 | 30/10/2024 | 12.45 | neutral | -2.27% | -0.89% | +1.22% | -3.25% | +1.62% |
| 2023 | 30/10/2023 | 11.82 | neutral | +7.44% | +6.26% | +10.49% | +0.00% | +11.25% |
| 2022 | 31/10/2022 | 13.38 | neutral | +0.15% | +7.10% | +2.39% | -5.01% | +8.89% |
| 2021 | 29/10/2021 | 18.18 | neutral | +1.38% | -1.49% | -4.79% | -4.79% | +1.38% |
| 2020 | 30/10/2020 | 12.24 | volume x2.3 | +5.88% | +13.24% | +18.43% | +0.00% | +24.75% |
| 2019 | 30/10/2019 | 18.36 | near 52w high | +0.16% | +1.25% | +0.01% | -1.25% | +2.67% |
| 2018 | 30/10/2018 | 15.45 | neutral | -0.13% | +4.53% | +2.33% | -0.65% | +4.98% |
| 2017 | 30/10/2017 | 15.36 | near 52w low | -0.52% | -0.20% | -0.07% | -1.04% | +0.91% |
| 2016 | 31/10/2016 | 15.86 | near 52w high | -0.57% | +0.50% | +4.07% | -2.21% | +5.17% |
Upcoming 04/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.95% · Win 70% · DD -1.22%20 days: Avg +2.63% · Win 70% · DD -1.86%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/11/2025 | 13.69 | near 52w high | +1.83% | -0.15% | +0.87% | -2.99% | +1.83% |
| 2024 | 04/11/2024 | 11.92 | neutral | +3.94% | +2.85% | +4.19% | +0.00% | +5.03% |
| 2023 | 03/11/2023 | 12.80 | neutral | -0.78% | +1.64% | +2.43% | -3.91% | +3.69% |
| 2022 | 04/11/2022 | 13.22 | neutral | +10.21% | +4.31% | +2.10% | +0.00% | +10.21% |
| 2021 | 04/11/2021 | 18.26 | neutral | -0.93% | -3.01% | -5.65% | -8.90% | +0.93% |
| 2020 | 04/11/2020 | 12.92 | neutral | +5.26% | +12.38% | +15.00% | +0.00% | +18.19% |
| 2019 | 04/11/2019 | 18.47 | near 52w high | +2.06% | +1.84% | -1.08% | -1.84% | +2.06% |
| 2018 | 05/11/2018 | 15.35 | neutral | +5.67% | +4.04% | +3.46% | +0.00% | +5.67% |
| 2017 | 03/11/2017 | 15.35 | near 52w low · volume x2.8 | -0.98% | -0.20% | -0.81% | -0.98% | +0.98% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 15.51 | near 52w high | +3.68% | +5.74% | +5.82% | +0.00% | +7.54% |
Upcoming 12/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.81% · Win 60% · DD -1.74%20 days: Avg +0.92% · Win 50% · DD -2.44%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/11/2025 | 13.76 | near 52w high | -0.87% | +1.31% | +0.43% | -1.19% | +1.31% |
| 2024 | 12/11/2024 | 12.27 | neutral | +0.81% | +0.81% | +1.55% | -0.73% | +2.04% |
| 2023 | 13/11/2023 | 12.56 | neutral | +3.74% | +3.98% | +5.61% | +0.00% | +5.67% |
| 2022 | 11/11/2022 | 14.57 | far above SMA50 | -5.35% | -5.56% | -6.05% | -8.54% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 12/11/2021 | 17.91 | volume x1.8 | -1.23% | -3.35% | -3.58% | -7.12% | +0.45% |
| 2020 | 12/11/2020 | 13.44 | neutral | +8.11% | +11.45% | +12.65% | +0.00% | +13.62% |
| 2019 | 12/11/2019 | 18.62 | near 52w high · volume x2.0 | -2.26% | -2.15% | -1.44% | -2.63% | +1.02% |
| 2018 | 12/11/2018 | 16.22 | near 52w high | -1.54% | -2.28% | -1.70% | -2.53% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 13/11/2017 | 15.33 | near 52w low | +0.39% | +0.13% | -0.81% | -0.81% | +1.11% |
| 2016 | 11/11/2016 | 16.08 | near 52w high | +1.99% | +3.73% | +2.52% | -0.87% | +4.69% |
Upcoming 17/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.10% · Win 60% · DD -1.36%20 days: Avg -0.93% · Win 40% · DD -2.21%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/11/2025 | 13.60 | neutral | +0.59% | +1.02% | +0.64% | -0.02% | +2.50% |
| 2024 | 18/11/2024 | 12.26 | neutral | +1.79% | +1.30% | +1.22% | +0.00% | +2.45% |
| 2023 | 17/11/2023 | 13.01 | neutral | +0.61% | +0.77% | +0.16% | -1.02% | +2.03% |
| 2022 | 17/11/2022 | 13.81 | neutral | +1.67% | +0.81% | -6.22% | -6.22% | +1.67% |
| 2021 | 17/11/2021 | 17.80 | neutral | -0.67% | -3.60% | -5.76% | -6.55% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 17/11/2020 | 14.49 | far above SMA50 | +5.38% | +2.19% | +6.08% | +0.00% | +6.36% |
| 2019 | 18/11/2019 | 18.81 | near 52w high | -3.56% | -2.87% | -2.49% | -3.62% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 16/11/2018 | 15.89 | neutral | +0.06% | +1.11% | -1.99% | -2.89% | +1.37% |
| 2017 | 17/11/2017 | 15.32 | near 52w low | +0.33% | -0.61% | -0.68% | -0.74% | +1.17% |
| 2016 | 17/11/2016 | 16.26 | near 52w high | +2.40% | -1.08% | -0.26% | -1.08% | +3.53% |
Upcoming 04/12/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.06% · Win 20% · DD -1.82%20 days: Avg -0.59% · Win 40% · DD -3.38%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/12/2025 | 13.63 | neutral | +0.44% | +1.25% | -0.30% | -0.51% | +2.27% |
| 2024 | 04/12/2024 | 12.20 | neutral | +1.07% | -1.97% | +2.25% | -1.97% | +2.25% |
| 2023 | 04/12/2023 | 12.96 | neutral | +0.24% | -0.61% | -4.99% | -4.99% | +1.25% |
| 2022 | 05/12/2022 | 13.35 | neutral | +1.42% | -1.50% | -1.88% | -7.34% | +2.85% |
| 2021 | 03/12/2021 | 17.08 | volume x1.9 | +1.99% | -3.63% | +3.00% | -6.97% | +3.00% |
| 2020 | 04/12/2020 | 15.00 | far above SMA50 | +0.27% | -0.20% | -2.55% | -2.55% | +2.07% |
| 2019 | 04/12/2019 | 18.14 | near 52w high | +0.39% | +0.50% | +1.71% | -0.50% | +1.88% |
| 2018 | 04/12/2018 | 15.47 | neutral | +0.39% | -2.97% | +0.06% | -3.88% | +1.42% |
| 2017 | 04/12/2017 | 14.82 | near 52w low | +0.40% | -0.07% | -2.29% | -2.29% | +0.81% |
| 2016 | 05/12/2016 | 15.97 | near 52w high | +0.44% | -1.44% | -0.88% | -2.82% | +2.57% |
Upcoming 14/12/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.94% · Win 40% · DD -2.86%20 days: Avg +1.52% · Win 80% · DD -3.51%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/12/2025 | 13.65 | neutral | +2.12% | +0.73% | +1.84% | -0.66% | +2.12% |
| 2024 | 13/12/2024 | 12.35 | neutral | -1.78% | -2.19% | +0.68% | -3.16% | +1.01% |
| 2023 | 14/12/2023 | 13.06 | volume x2.9 | -1.23% | -2.00% | -1.07% | -6.16% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 14/12/2022 | 13.53 | volume x1.8 | -4.14% | -6.10% | +2.05% | -8.57% | +2.05% |
| 2021 | 14/12/2021 | 16.75 | volume x1.6 | -0.06% | +3.16% | +6.42% | -5.13% | +6.42% |
| 2020 | 14/12/2020 | 15.04 | neutral | -0.33% | -0.20% | +1.88% | -2.81% | +2.01% |
| 2019 | 13/12/2019 | 18.20 | near 52w high | +0.49% | +1.54% | +3.09% | -0.82% | +3.09% |
| 2018 | 14/12/2018 | 15.29 | neutral | -1.50% | +0.26% | +0.85% | -2.75% | +2.75% |
| 2017 | 14/12/2017 | 14.83 | near 52w low · volume x2.4 | -1.62% | -2.16% | +1.15% | -2.36% | +1.21% |
| 2016 | 14/12/2016 | 15.94 | near 52w low | -1.63% | -2.45% | -1.69% | -2.63% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 28/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.26% · Win 90% · DD -1.36%20 days: Avg +2.81% · Win 80% · DD -1.46%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/12/2025 | 13.79 | near 52w high | -0.95% | +0.44% | -2.19% | -2.19% | +2.57% |
| 2024 | 27/12/2024 | 12.18 | neutral | +1.59% | +1.34% | +3.33% | -0.82% | +5.24% |
| 2023 | 28/12/2023 | 12.86 | neutral | -4.82% | -0.16% | +0.62% | -5.37% | +0.62% |
| 2022 | 28/12/2022 | 12.37 | neutral | +5.56% | +10.88% | +13.34% | +0.00% | +13.34% |
| 2021 | 28/12/2021 | 17.28 | neutral | +1.46% | +2.80% | +2.98% | -0.82% | +4.44% |
| 2020 | 28/12/2020 | 15.24 | neutral | -4.09% | +0.67% | -0.39% | -4.09% | +4.30% |
| 2019 | 27/12/2019 | 18.43 | near 52w high | +0.33% | +1.04% | +0.93% | -0.49% | +3.12% |
| 2018 | 28/12/2018 | 15.41 | neutral | +1.36% | +0.13% | +6.10% | -0.52% | +6.16% |
| 2017 | 28/12/2017 | 14.53 | near 52w low | -0.14% | +3.30% | +1.58% | -0.34% | +4.75% |
| 2016 | 28/12/2016 | 15.52 | near 52w low | +2.51% | +2.19% | +1.80% | +0.00% | +2.71% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-6.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -16.9% · from 52w low: +4.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +0.69% · +0.60% · -4.07% · -10.39% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +0.34% · -6.65% · -9.37% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -16.93% · +3.99% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.27 · 0.69x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +1.31% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -2.60% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +9.01% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 11.69 · 12.57 · 12.94 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 14.12 · 11.28 |
|---|
עבריתSign in with Google