🕰️ Time Machine
ELF — e.l.f. Beauty
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
114.24 -0.65%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window
23/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 20/10/2026
since -0.44%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 17/09/2026
91.40
Days: 26 trading / 36 calendar · return since: +24.99%
Last major high · 08/09/2026
110.04
Days: 33 trading / 45 calendar · return since: +3.82%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 17/09/2026 @ 91.40 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 16/10/2026 | -5 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 17/09/2026 @ 91.40 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 17/10/2026 | -6 (±2) | Passed |
| High 08/09/2026 @ 110.04 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 20/10/2026 | -3 (±2) | Passed |
| High 08/09/2026 @ 110.04 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 23/10/2026 | +0 (±2) | In window |
| Low 17/09/2026 @ 91.40 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 29/10/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 17/09/2026 @ 91.40 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 01/11/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 08/09/2026 @ 110.04 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 07/11/2026 | +15 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 08/09/2026 @ 110.04 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 10/11/2026 | +12 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 17/09/2026 @ 91.40 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 16/11/2026 | +24 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 17/09/2026 @ 91.40 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 19/11/2026 | +19 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 08/09/2026 @ 110.04 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 02/12/2026 | +27 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 08/09/2026 @ 110.04 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 07/12/2026 | +45 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 17/09/2026 @ 91.40 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 11/12/2026 | +34 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bullish Engulfing 20/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 20/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 19/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 20/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 16/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 16/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 14/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 16/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 05/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 28/09/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 16/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.17% · Win 44% · DD -4.12%20 days: Avg +0.20% · Win 56% · DD -10.65%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/10/2025 | 135.85 | neutral | -7.97% | -9.38% | -45.24% | -45.72% | +0.79% |
| 2024 | 16/10/2024 | 107.08 | far below SMA50 | -1.41% | +2.00% | +14.83% | -3.70% | +25.28% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 103.70 | far below SMA50 | +1.76% | -0.53% | -6.19% | -10.68% | +6.30% |
| 2022 | 17/10/2022 | 41.50 | near 52w high | +0.39% | +4.24% | +20.89% | -3.42% | +24.27% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 29.12 | neutral | +5.01% | +10.95% | +7.69% | +0.00% | +13.94% |
| 2020 | 16/10/2020 | 21.02 | neutral | +2.85% | -3.57% | +1.57% | -9.18% | +2.85% |
| 2019 | 16/10/2019 | 17.70 | neutral | -5.76% | -0.90% | -3.45% | -6.33% | +4.18% |
| 2018 | 16/10/2018 | 10.85 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.3 | -1.66% | -3.41% | +19.63% | -5.62% | +23.87% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 21.30 | neutral | -0.47% | +2.11% | -7.93% | -11.22% | +6.43% |
Passed 17/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.91% · Win 22% · DD -6.12%20 days: Avg -0.65% · Win 56% · DD -11.68%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/10/2025 | 136.92 | neutral | -10.31% | -10.79% | -46.31% | -46.31% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 17/10/2024 | 107.94 | far below SMA50 | -0.69% | -2.49% | +14.05% | -4.47% | +24.28% |
| 2023 | 17/10/2023 | 108.72 | neutral | +1.39% | -14.80% | -2.31% | -14.80% | +1.39% |
| 2022 | 17/10/2022 | 41.50 | near 52w high | +0.39% | +4.24% | +20.89% | -3.42% | +24.27% |
| 2021 | 18/10/2021 | 29.45 | neutral | +5.50% | +11.27% | +7.40% | -0.44% | +12.67% |
| 2020 | 16/10/2020 | 21.02 | neutral | +2.85% | -3.57% | +1.57% | -9.18% | +2.85% |
| 2019 | 17/10/2019 | 18.03 | neutral | -8.04% | -6.82% | -9.10% | -9.10% | +2.27% |
| 2018 | 17/10/2018 | 10.94 | far below SMA50 | -4.94% | -3.02% | +17.82% | -6.40% | +22.85% |
| 2017 | 17/10/2017 | 21.24 | neutral | +3.95% | -0.24% | -9.89% | -10.97% | +6.73% |
Passed 20/10/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.08% · Win 60% · DD -3.51%20 days: Avg +5.70% · Win 70% · DD -8.75%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/10/2025 | 127.42 | volume x1.9 | -0.97% | -5.09% | -42.87% | -42.87% | +3.36% |
| 2024 | 21/10/2024 | 112.51 | far below SMA50 | -2.18% | -7.66% | +9.02% | -8.35% | +19.23% |
| 2023 | 20/10/2023 | 101.88 | far below SMA50 | +0.35% | -5.62% | +10.77% | -9.08% | +11.12% |
| 2022 | 20/10/2022 | 40.08 | neutral | +7.16% | +19.99% | +31.51% | +0.00% | +32.04% |
| 2021 | 20/10/2021 | 29.48 | neutral | +7.26% | +12.55% | +10.92% | +0.00% | +12.55% |
| 2020 | 20/10/2020 | 20.64 | neutral | +1.55% | +0.68% | +4.94% | -7.51% | +6.25% |
| 2019 | 21/10/2019 | 17.37 | neutral | -0.06% | +2.71% | -3.34% | -5.70% | +6.16% |
| 2018 | 19/10/2018 | 10.40 | far below SMA50 | -1.35% | +4.52% | +25.00% | -1.54% | +29.23% |
| 2017 | 20/10/2017 | 20.51 | neutral | +10.53% | +0.54% | -2.10% | -7.80% | +10.53% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 26.79 | near 52w high | -3.47% | -1.79% | +13.18% | -4.67% | +13.18% |
In window 23/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.79% · Win 40% · DD -8.01%20 days: Avg +3.53% · Win 70% · DD -9.40%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/10/2025 | 125.02 | neutral | -1.53% | -38.78% | -45.27% | -45.27% | +5.34% |
| 2024 | 23/10/2024 | 105.57 | far below SMA50 | +3.46% | -1.34% | +12.72% | -2.32% | +27.07% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 105.52 | neutral | -2.25% | -3.64% | +5.32% | -12.22% | +7.29% |
| 2022 | 24/10/2022 | 41.66 | near 52w high | +3.84% | +20.31% | +30.63% | +0.00% | +31.81% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 30.58 | near 52w high | +5.66% | +2.45% | +6.08% | -1.21% | +8.50% |
| 2020 | 23/10/2020 | 21.62 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -6.24% | -11.70% | -0.32% | -11.70% | +1.71% |
| 2019 | 23/10/2019 | 16.68 | neutral | +5.16% | +7.25% | +2.76% | -1.80% | +10.55% |
| 2018 | 23/10/2018 | 10.67 | far below SMA50 | -1.78% | +23.99% | +14.25% | -4.03% | +25.96% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 21.20 | neutral | +2.59% | -4.62% | -4.06% | -10.80% | +6.93% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 26.79 | near 52w high | -3.47% | -1.79% | +13.18% | -4.67% | +13.18% |
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.62% · Win 60% · DD -10.05%20 days: Avg +3.97% · Win 60% · DD -10.71%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/10/2025 | 126.99 | neutral | -7.21% | -38.78% | -40.76% | -46.12% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 29/10/2024 | 113.27 | neutral | -5.42% | +15.94% | +9.73% | -8.96% | +18.43% |
| 2023 | 30/10/2023 | 103.15 | far below SMA50 | -1.43% | -5.69% | +14.58% | -10.20% | +14.58% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 43.82 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +11.00% | +13.17% | +26.61% | -4.93% | +26.68% |
| 2021 | 29/10/2021 | 32.31 | near 52w high | -3.03% | -2.94% | -4.30% | -6.50% | +2.69% |
| 2020 | 29/10/2020 | 20.34 | neutral | -4.47% | +3.74% | +6.29% | -6.15% | +9.49% |
| 2019 | 29/10/2019 | 17.77 | volume x1.8 | -2.25% | +3.77% | -7.60% | -7.82% | +3.77% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 10.24 | far below SMA50 | +8.40% | +24.61% | +18.55% | +0.00% | +31.25% |
| 2017 | 30/10/2017 | 21.75 | neutral | -7.03% | -9.84% | -1.15% | -13.06% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 28/10/2016 | 26.42 | near 52w high | -0.53% | +2.20% | +17.71% | -3.33% | +18.66% |
Upcoming 01/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.05% · Win 60% · DD -7.52%20 days: Avg +7.97% · Win 70% · DD -7.97%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 31/10/2025 | 122.14 | neutral | -39.63% | -39.81% | -37.24% | -43.98% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 01/11/2024 | 103.12 | far below SMA50 | +16.56% | +17.66% | +26.76% | +0.00% | +30.09% |
| 2023 | 01/11/2023 | 94.54 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.0 | +3.81% | +19.75% | +24.91% | +0.00% | +25.76% |
| 2022 | 01/11/2022 | 43.70 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +15.54% | +18.42% | +25.77% | -4.67% | +27.03% |
| 2021 | 01/11/2021 | 32.77 | near 52w high · volume x2.2 | -5.52% | -3.48% | -8.09% | -8.09% | +1.25% |
| 2020 | 02/11/2020 | 20.72 | volume x1.5 | +0.10% | +5.84% | +5.84% | -7.87% | +7.48% |
| 2019 | 01/11/2019 | 17.40 | neutral | -1.61% | -5.86% | -5.86% | -5.86% | +5.98% |
| 2018 | 01/11/2018 | 10.81 | far below SMA50 | +22.29% | +22.11% | +18.04% | +0.00% | +24.33% |
| 2017 | 01/11/2017 | 20.83 | neutral | -7.83% | -7.68% | +6.39% | -9.22% | +6.39% |
| 2016 | 01/11/2016 | 25.54 | near 52w low | +4.03% | +13.55% | +23.22% | +0.00% | +24.28% |
Upcoming 07/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.88% · Win 60% · DD -4.08%20 days: Avg +7.15% · Win 80% · DD -6.11%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/11/2025 | 73.74 | far below SMA50 · volume x3.0 | -0.31% | -5.00% | +4.80% | -7.21% | +10.69% |
| 2024 | 07/11/2024 | 116.07 | volume x3.4 | +6.07% | +5.51% | +20.27% | +0.00% | +20.27% |
| 2023 | 07/11/2023 | 102.01 | neutral | +4.12% | +9.51% | +23.02% | -6.78% | +24.10% |
| 2022 | 07/11/2022 | 50.12 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.10% | +8.58% | +9.36% | -1.06% | +10.75% |
| 2021 | 08/11/2021 | 30.96 | neutral | +2.16% | +3.49% | +0.29% | -4.43% | +5.62% |
| 2020 | 06/11/2020 | 19.09 | neutral | +11.84% | +12.89% | +16.61% | +0.00% | +17.81% |
| 2019 | 07/11/2019 | 17.29 | volume x4.5 | -5.21% | -2.54% | -11.74% | -13.77% | +6.65% |
| 2018 | 07/11/2018 | 13.44 | volume x2.2 | -4.09% | -7.37% | -17.26% | -17.26% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 07/11/2017 | 20.63 | neutral | -7.22% | -1.50% | +8.73% | -8.34% | +14.06% |
| 2016 | 07/11/2016 | 26.31 | neutral | +11.63% | +15.24% | +17.45% | -2.28% | +20.64% |
Upcoming 10/11/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.81% · Win 60% · DD -3.96%20 days: Avg +5.18% · Win 70% · DD -6.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/11/2025 | 79.85 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.2 | -8.84% | -10.77% | -3.04% | -14.31% | +2.22% |
| 2024 | 11/11/2024 | 134.15 | far above SMA50 | -8.57% | -3.15% | +2.57% | -11.29% | +4.70% |
| 2023 | 10/11/2023 | 95.09 | far below SMA50 | +18.68% | +23.50% | +35.25% | +0.00% | +35.25% |
| 2022 | 10/11/2022 | 51.57 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.21% | +7.64% | +4.36% | -3.84% | +7.64% |
| 2021 | 10/11/2021 | 30.78 | neutral | +6.24% | +3.25% | +1.62% | -3.87% | +6.24% |
| 2020 | 10/11/2020 | 20.81 | neutral | +4.08% | +7.02% | +5.72% | +0.00% | +8.55% |
| 2019 | 11/11/2019 | 16.80 | neutral | -0.06% | -1.96% | -11.67% | -11.67% | +9.76% |
| 2018 | 09/11/2018 | 13.01 | neutral | -0.08% | -5.61% | -16.45% | -16.45% | +1.46% |
| 2017 | 10/11/2017 | 19.05 | near 52w low | +5.41% | +9.08% | +14.12% | +0.00% | +23.52% |
| 2016 | 10/11/2016 | 25.92 | near 52w low | +13.27% | +19.06% | +19.29% | +0.00% | +22.45% |
Upcoming 16/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.47% · Win 60% · DD -2.72%20 days: Avg +3.16% · Win 50% · DD -6.03%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/11/2025 | 72.79 | far below SMA50 | -2.12% | +1.94% | +8.22% | -6.00% | +12.13% |
| 2024 | 15/11/2024 | 121.33 | neutral | +4.20% | +7.73% | +15.61% | -1.92% | +15.91% |
| 2023 | 16/11/2023 | 111.88 | neutral | +2.23% | +9.44% | +29.04% | -0.67% | +29.04% |
| 2022 | 16/11/2022 | 52.92 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.78% | +4.69% | +4.88% | -0.40% | +6.41% |
| 2021 | 16/11/2021 | 32.37 | near 52w high | -1.11% | -8.59% | -3.49% | -8.59% | +1.02% |
| 2020 | 16/11/2020 | 21.93 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.59% | +0.00% | -3.19% | -3.47% | +3.01% |
| 2019 | 15/11/2019 | 16.38 | neutral | +2.20% | +0.00% | -5.37% | -10.32% | +5.37% |
| 2018 | 16/11/2018 | 13.00 | neutral | -5.54% | -4.00% | -26.54% | -26.54% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 16/11/2017 | 19.57 | neutral | +5.01% | +11.09% | +14.82% | +0.00% | +20.24% |
| 2016 | 16/11/2016 | 29.45 | neutral | +6.45% | +2.38% | -2.38% | -2.38% | +7.78% |
Upcoming 19/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.93% · Win 60% · DD -3.41%20 days: Avg +2.12% · Win 50% · DD -6.26%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/11/2025 | 71.24 | far below SMA50 | +5.60% | +14.57% | +8.45% | -3.96% | +14.57% |
| 2024 | 19/11/2024 | 121.71 | neutral | +2.12% | +12.07% | +4.51% | -2.23% | +15.55% |
| 2023 | 20/11/2023 | 111.13 | neutral | +6.35% | +13.25% | +37.25% | +0.00% | +37.25% |
| 2022 | 18/11/2022 | 54.91 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.04% | -1.78% | -3.53% | -3.53% | +2.55% |
| 2021 | 19/11/2021 | 32.44 | near 52w high | -4.69% | -6.32% | -7.27% | -8.79% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 19/11/2020 | 21.99 | near 52w high | -1.68% | +1.68% | +2.77% | -3.73% | +2.77% |
| 2019 | 19/11/2019 | 17.26 | neutral | -4.87% | -9.73% | -10.54% | -14.89% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 19/11/2018 | 12.24 | neutral | -0.82% | -4.98% | -23.20% | -23.20% | +4.25% |
| 2017 | 20/11/2017 | 20.34 | neutral | +5.70% | +15.68% | +12.83% | -0.10% | +15.68% |
| 2016 | 18/11/2016 | 29.39 | neutral | +5.82% | +4.87% | -0.03% | -2.18% | +8.00% |
Upcoming 02/12/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.07% · Win 40% · DD -5.39%20 days: Avg +0.40% · Win 60% · DD -7.06%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/12/2025 | 74.20 | far below SMA50 | +4.34% | +6.16% | +2.48% | +0.00% | +10.00% |
| 2024 | 02/12/2024 | 130.71 | far above SMA50 | +7.46% | +7.31% | -3.95% | -3.95% | +7.59% |
| 2023 | 01/12/2023 | 122.44 | far above SMA50 | +3.94% | +17.91% | +14.06% | +0.00% | +24.58% |
| 2022 | 02/12/2022 | 55.26 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.61% | -0.56% | +0.14% | -4.14% | +1.90% |
| 2021 | 02/12/2021 | 30.85 | neutral | +1.39% | -1.33% | +7.65% | -2.50% | +7.65% |
| 2020 | 02/12/2020 | 22.49 | near 52w high | -2.18% | -3.96% | +12.01% | -5.87% | +12.01% |
| 2019 | 02/12/2019 | 16.38 | neutral | -7.45% | -5.37% | -1.53% | -10.32% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 03/12/2018 | 12.48 | neutral | -12.90% | -23.48% | -27.80% | -37.10% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 01/12/2017 | 21.74 | neutral | +0.41% | +3.36% | +3.13% | -3.82% | +8.23% |
| 2016 | 02/12/2016 | 29.60 | neutral | +4.46% | -0.78% | -2.23% | -2.87% | +4.46% |
Upcoming 07/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.81% · Win 60% · DD -5.79%20 days: Avg +2.06% · Win 60% · DD -6.55%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/12/2025 | 77.28 | far below SMA50 | +1.71% | +2.41% | +6.24% | -1.60% | +6.24% |
| 2024 | 06/12/2024 | 139.60 | far above SMA50 | +0.74% | -7.84% | -8.50% | -11.90% | +0.74% |
| 2023 | 07/12/2023 | 126.90 | far above SMA50 | +12.85% | +14.42% | +18.72% | +0.00% | +20.20% |
| 2022 | 07/12/2022 | 54.50 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.32% | +0.26% | +6.51% | -2.81% | +6.51% |
| 2021 | 07/12/2021 | 31.05 | volume x1.5 | -0.87% | -0.93% | +1.67% | -3.12% | +6.96% |
| 2020 | 07/12/2020 | 22.26 | near 52w high | -4.90% | +2.02% | +8.76% | -4.90% | +13.25% |
| 2019 | 06/12/2019 | 15.26 | far below SMA50 | -2.75% | +3.34% | -2.62% | -3.74% | +5.70% |
| 2018 | 07/12/2018 | 11.12 | neutral | -10.97% | -25.27% | -10.34% | -29.41% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 07/12/2017 | 21.14 | neutral | +4.68% | +7.62% | +4.16% | -1.09% | +8.94% |
| 2016 | 07/12/2016 | 30.88 | neutral | -5.57% | -4.15% | -4.02% | -6.90% | +0.13% |
Upcoming 11/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.77% · Win 70% · DD -5.70%20 days: Avg -1.54% · Win 40% · DD -7.54%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/12/2025 | 77.99 | far below SMA50 | -0.94% | +3.12% | +11.01% | -2.50% | +11.58% |
| 2024 | 11/12/2024 | 138.47 | far above SMA50 | -8.14% | -5.47% | -4.59% | -11.18% | +1.56% |
| 2023 | 11/12/2023 | 128.61 | far above SMA50 | +14.91% | +11.76% | +21.01% | +0.00% | +21.01% |
| 2022 | 12/12/2022 | 54.59 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.97% | +1.63% | -9.87% | -9.87% | +6.34% |
| 2021 | 10/12/2021 | 31.40 | neutral | -3.54% | +2.36% | -3.34% | -4.20% | +5.76% |
| 2020 | 11/12/2020 | 21.54 | neutral | +4.92% | +8.91% | +6.96% | -1.72% | +17.04% |
| 2019 | 11/12/2019 | 14.69 | far below SMA50 | +5.11% | +7.15% | +4.36% | +0.00% | +9.80% |
| 2018 | 11/12/2018 | 10.87 | neutral | -12.14% | -23.00% | -24.56% | -27.78% | +0.92% |
| 2017 | 11/12/2017 | 21.74 | neutral | +5.70% | +5.57% | -11.82% | -11.82% | +5.93% |
| 2016 | 12/12/2016 | 30.69 | neutral | -4.27% | -4.33% | -4.59% | -6.32% | +0.00% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+10.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -13.7% · from 52w low: +134.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +0.62% · +4.59% · +14.80% · +38.88% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +5.43% · +10.14% · +41.67% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -13.69% · +134.00% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 3.81 · 0.84x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +20.19% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +16.28% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +27.89% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 108.36 · 103.72 · 80.64 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 132.37 · 48.82 |
|---|
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