📡 ERIE — Erie Indemnity
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/06/2026
Last price (Close)
231.98 +1.47%
Next window · Gann 60 · active
12/06/2026
Last window · Gann 45 · 29/05/2026
since +8.88%
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 25/03/2026
233.82
Days: 53 trading / 77 calendar · return since: -0.79%
Last major high · 13/04/2026
262.25
Days: 41 trading / 58 calendar · return since: -11.54%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 25/03/2026 @ 233.82 | Gann 45 | Trading | 29/05/2026 | -8 (±2) | Passed |
| High 13/04/2026 @ 262.25 | Gann 60 | Calendar | 12/06/2026 | +2 (±2) | Active now |
| High 13/04/2026 @ 262.25 | Gann 45 | Trading | 16/06/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/03/2026 @ 233.82 | Gann 60 | Trading | 19/06/2026 | +7 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/03/2026 @ 233.82 | Gann 90 | Calendar | 23/06/2026 | +13 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 13/04/2026 @ 262.25 | Gann 60 | Trading | 07/07/2026 | +19 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 13/04/2026 @ 262.25 | Gann 90 | Calendar | 12/07/2026 | +32 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/03/2026 @ 233.82 | Gann 120 | Calendar | 23/07/2026 | +43 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/03/2026 @ 233.82 | Gann 90 | Trading | 31/07/2026 | +37 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 29/05/2026 · Low Gann 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.55% · Win 56% · DD -1.83%20 days: Avg +3.77% · Win 56% · DD -2.85%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/05/2025 | 356.04 | near 52w low | +3.17% | +0.76% | -4.38% | -4.38% | +4.40% |
| 2024 | 29/05/2024 | 368.03 | neutral | -2.02% | -3.98% | -1.58% | -4.95% | +1.61% |
| 2023 | 30/05/2023 | 220.66 | neutral | -2.55% | -1.92% | -6.52% | -6.52% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 27/05/2022 | 167.20 | neutral | +3.58% | +2.70% | +13.94% | -1.16% | +14.21% |
| 2021 | 28/05/2021 | 201.13 | neutral | -3.63% | -4.83% | -4.39% | -5.95% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 29/05/2020 | 180.24 | volume x2.9 | +2.83% | -1.39% | +3.23% | -2.71% | +5.39% |
| 2019 | 29/05/2019 | 204.64 | near 52w high | +11.08% | +21.56% | +22.17% | +0.00% | +25.41% |
| 2018 | 29/05/2018 | 111.63 | near 52w low · volume x1.6 | +1.56% | +5.30% | +5.80% | +0.00% | +8.24% |
| 2017 | 30/05/2017 | 116.43 | neutral | +1.74% | +4.75% | +5.69% | +0.00% | +8.00% |
Active now 12/06/2026 · High Gann 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.30% · Win 70% · DD -1.55%20 days: Avg +2.71% · Win 70% · DD -2.09%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/06/2025 | 358.76 | near 52w low | -1.87% | -5.10% | -2.93% | -5.10% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 12/06/2024 | 353.37 | neutral | +0.01% | +2.50% | +4.86% | -1.00% | +4.86% |
| 2023 | 12/06/2023 | 217.54 | neutral | -2.95% | -4.02% | -7.02% | -7.02% | +0.08% |
| 2022 | 13/06/2022 | 171.72 | neutral | +3.46% | +10.94% | +13.48% | -0.84% | +16.40% |
| 2021 | 11/06/2021 | 189.70 | neutral | -0.28% | +2.14% | -1.11% | -1.11% | +2.35% |
| 2020 | 12/06/2020 | 177.74 | neutral | +4.95% | +4.68% | +8.57% | +0.00% | +9.61% |
| 2019 | 12/06/2019 | 248.76 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.61% | +0.50% | +6.70% | -1.64% | +7.02% |
| 2018 | 12/06/2018 | 117.55 | volume x1.7 | +1.68% | +0.47% | +1.05% | -1.62% | +2.79% |
| 2017 | 12/06/2017 | 121.78 | near 52w high | +3.18% | +1.58% | +0.52% | +0.00% | +5.00% |
| 2016 | 13/06/2016 | 96.13 | near 52w high | +0.38% | -0.69% | +2.97% | -2.52% | +3.58% |
Upcoming 16/06/2026 · High Gann 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.78% · Win 60% · DD -1.73%20 days: Avg +3.04% · Win 60% · DD -2.35%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/06/2025 | 357.81 | near 52w low | -1.17% | -1.61% | -2.28% | -4.85% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 17/06/2024 | 355.44 | neutral | +2.92% | +3.12% | +7.89% | -0.57% | +7.89% |
| 2023 | 16/06/2023 | 216.99 | neutral | -3.14% | -3.48% | -4.66% | -6.78% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 16/06/2022 | 170.28 | neutral | +12.14% | +14.62% | +12.08% | +0.00% | +17.39% |
| 2021 | 16/06/2021 | 190.50 | neutral | -0.19% | +1.50% | -3.37% | -3.37% | +1.92% |
| 2020 | 16/06/2020 | 179.46 | neutral | +3.71% | +6.93% | +12.33% | +0.00% | +12.33% |
| 2019 | 17/06/2019 | 246.19 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.98% | +4.10% | +7.65% | +0.00% | +8.77% |
| 2018 | 15/06/2018 | 118.39 | volume x4.5 | +2.06% | -0.95% | +0.84% | -2.32% | +2.06% |
| 2017 | 16/06/2017 | 125.74 | near 52w high · volume x3.3 | -1.21% | -0.53% | -3.25% | -3.87% | +1.69% |
| 2016 | 16/06/2016 | 95.40 | near 52w high | +3.23% | +4.13% | +3.16% | -1.77% | +4.37% |
Upcoming 19/06/2026 · Low Gann 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.37% · Win 70% · DD -1.48%20 days: Avg +3.43% · Win 80% · DD -2.15%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/06/2025 | 348.57 | near 52w low | -2.25% | -0.47% | +1.77% | -2.33% | +2.38% |
| 2024 | 18/06/2024 | 356.90 | neutral | +0.59% | +2.46% | +7.19% | -0.98% | +7.45% |
| 2023 | 20/06/2023 | 211.12 | volume x1.5 | -1.10% | -1.91% | -1.76% | -4.19% | +0.83% |
| 2022 | 17/06/2022 | 172.92 | neutral | +10.01% | +12.68% | +11.30% | +0.00% | +15.59% |
| 2021 | 18/06/2021 | 189.16 | near 52w low | +2.43% | +2.10% | -3.04% | -3.04% | +2.64% |
| 2020 | 19/06/2020 | 186.53 | volume x1.5 | -0.25% | +2.72% | +10.38% | -1.67% | +10.38% |
| 2019 | 19/06/2019 | 252.77 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.10% | +4.35% | +5.72% | -1.14% | +5.93% |
| 2018 | 19/06/2018 | 119.53 | neutral | -1.20% | -2.23% | +0.91% | -3.25% | +1.09% |
| 2017 | 19/06/2017 | 125.65 | near 52w high | -1.55% | +1.77% | +0.67% | -3.80% | +1.77% |
| 2016 | 20/06/2016 | 96.50 | near 52w high | -1.07% | +2.19% | +1.13% | -1.07% | +3.18% |
Upcoming 23/06/2026 · Low Gann 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.53% · Win 40% · DD -2.10%20 days: Avg +3.03% · Win 70% · DD -2.65%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/06/2025 | 356.87 | near 52w low | -2.82% | -4.09% | +2.44% | -4.60% | +2.44% |
| 2024 | 24/06/2024 | 362.33 | neutral | +0.54% | -1.25% | +7.51% | -1.25% | +7.51% |
| 2023 | 23/06/2023 | 211.10 | volume x8.0 | -0.52% | -2.36% | -0.68% | -4.18% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 23/06/2022 | 183.33 | neutral | +4.83% | +7.39% | +5.22% | +0.00% | +9.03% |
| 2021 | 23/06/2021 | 190.14 | near 52w low | +1.69% | -0.90% | -3.55% | -3.55% | +2.11% |
| 2020 | 23/06/2020 | 186.11 | neutral | +3.11% | +3.63% | +12.34% | -1.45% | +12.34% |
| 2019 | 24/06/2019 | 253.53 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.08% | +4.98% | +5.28% | -1.44% | +5.62% |
| 2018 | 22/06/2018 | 120.83 | volume x1.7 | -2.95% | -1.22% | +0.17% | -4.30% | +0.17% |
| 2017 | 23/06/2017 | 124.22 | near 52w high · volume x3.2 | +0.68% | -1.61% | +1.64% | -2.69% | +2.94% |
| 2016 | 23/06/2016 | 98.48 | near 52w high | +0.87% | +0.74% | -0.07% | -3.06% | +1.11% |
Upcoming 07/07/2026 · High Gann 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.42% · Win 60% · DD -1.99%20 days: Avg +6.39% · Win 80% · DD -3.88%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/07/2025 | 341.31 | near 52w low | +2.04% | +3.63% | +4.78% | +0.00% | +7.94% |
| 2024 | 08/07/2024 | 369.09 | neutral | +1.84% | +4.47% | +18.72% | -3.06% | +20.34% |
| 2023 | 07/07/2023 | 205.44 | neutral | +0.63% | +2.09% | +33.46% | -2.10% | +33.46% |
| 2022 | 07/07/2022 | 198.75 | far above SMA50 | -3.92% | -2.77% | +6.41% | -4.52% | +6.98% |
| 2021 | 07/07/2021 | 193.12 | neutral | -4.29% | -3.79% | -4.59% | -5.55% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 07/07/2020 | 189.48 | neutral | +4.05% | +8.76% | +12.72% | -0.45% | +13.35% |
| 2019 | 08/07/2019 | 265.32 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.04% | -0.40% | -19.72% | -19.72% | +1.27% |
| 2018 | 06/07/2018 | 117.99 | neutral | +0.11% | +1.77% | +7.36% | -0.05% | +7.55% |
| 2017 | 07/07/2017 | 123.65 | near 52w high | -2.85% | +0.93% | +2.67% | -2.85% | +4.08% |
| 2016 | 07/07/2016 | 97.21 | near 52w high | +0.69% | -0.47% | +2.06% | -0.55% | +2.41% |
Upcoming 12/07/2026 · High Gann 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.15% · Win 60% · DD -1.89%20 days: Avg +8.32% · Win 80% · DD -2.82%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/07/2025 | 344.11 | near 52w low | +2.68% | +3.37% | +3.84% | -0.64% | +6.63% |
| 2024 | 12/07/2024 | 369.25 | neutral | +2.19% | +14.12% | +21.86% | +0.00% | +21.86% |
| 2023 | 12/07/2023 | 201.12 | neutral | +2.54% | +4.42% | +42.00% | +0.00% | +42.00% |
| 2022 | 12/07/2022 | 191.95 | neutral | -0.31% | -0.35% | +12.63% | -1.14% | +13.34% |
| 2021 | 12/07/2021 | 186.59 | near 52w low | -2.22% | -1.36% | -3.12% | -3.12% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 13/07/2020 | 192.00 | neutral | +6.69% | +9.59% | +12.93% | +0.00% | +13.13% |
| 2019 | 12/07/2019 | 266.86 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.18% | -11.77% | -16.68% | -20.18% | +0.69% |
| 2018 | 12/07/2018 | 118.09 | neutral | +0.91% | +2.63% | +6.44% | +0.00% | +7.46% |
| 2017 | 12/07/2017 | 122.01 | neutral | +1.83% | +1.57% | +2.22% | -1.55% | +5.48% |
| 2016 | 12/07/2016 | 98.26 | near 52w high | -1.41% | -0.67% | +1.08% | -1.61% | +1.37% |
Upcoming 23/07/2026 · Low Gann 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.85% · Win 70% · DD -2.94%20 days: Avg +5.91% · Win 60% · DD -3.73%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/07/2025 | 365.37 | neutral | -3.30% | -1.78% | -0.30% | -4.00% | +0.98% |
| 2024 | 23/07/2024 | 388.20 | neutral | +14.02% | +13.21% | +20.33% | -1.20% | +23.27% |
| 2023 | 24/07/2023 | 208.48 | neutral | +6.47% | +31.90% | +34.64% | +0.00% | +39.57% |
| 2022 | 22/07/2022 | 191.81 | neutral | +6.02% | +11.93% | +15.25% | -0.28% | +15.61% |
| 2021 | 23/07/2021 | 183.68 | near 52w low | +0.66% | -0.97% | -3.71% | -7.51% | +0.93% |
| 2020 | 23/07/2020 | 207.82 | far above SMA50 | +0.68% | +4.44% | +6.45% | -0.76% | +7.16% |
| 2019 | 23/07/2019 | 266.00 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -15.36% | -17.58% | -17.43% | -19.92% | +1.02% |
| 2018 | 23/07/2018 | 120.17 | neutral | +3.27% | +5.21% | +4.93% | -0.47% | +5.60% |
| 2017 | 24/07/2017 | 125.47 | near 52w high | +1.59% | +0.47% | -2.18% | -2.80% | +2.57% |
| 2016 | 22/07/2016 | 97.69 | near 52w high | +0.00% | +1.65% | +1.10% | -0.37% | +1.97% |
Upcoming 31/07/2026 · Low Gann 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.98% · Win 70% · DD -1.79%20 days: Avg +2.94% · Win 50% · DD -2.55%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 31/07/2025 | 356.24 | volume x2.3 | -1.02% | +3.32% | -1.37% | -1.72% | +3.57% |
| 2024 | 31/07/2024 | 441.15 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.9 | -0.64% | +5.50% | +12.32% | -1.02% | +12.32% |
| 2023 | 31/07/2023 | 221.96 | neutral | +23.89% | +30.10% | +25.65% | -0.72% | +31.10% |
| 2022 | 01/08/2022 | 204.17 | far above SMA50 | +6.56% | +7.46% | +4.61% | +0.00% | +8.61% |
| 2021 | 30/07/2021 | 184.89 | near 52w low | -1.62% | -6.46% | -5.41% | -8.12% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 31/07/2020 | 210.12 | far above SMA50 | +3.37% | +3.43% | -1.24% | -2.20% | +5.99% |
| 2019 | 31/07/2019 | 222.77 | neutral | -1.55% | -3.71% | -5.54% | -5.54% | +1.08% |
| 2018 | 31/07/2018 | 124.24 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | +1.29% | +0.90% | +1.76% | +0.00% | +2.34% |
| 2017 | 31/07/2017 | 127.46 | near 52w high | -1.10% | -1.09% | -4.50% | -5.55% | +0.75% |
| 2016 | 01/08/2016 | 98.60 | near 52w high | +1.02% | +0.39% | +3.16% | -0.62% | +3.16% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+0.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -39.1% · from 52w low: +13.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +11.94% · +5.11% · +6.17% · -5.63% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +5.75% · +0.76% · -16.15% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -39.06% · +13.37% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 6.75 · 0.85x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +8.09% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +7.90% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +4.45% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 219.36 · 230.24 · 276.67 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 380.67 · 204.63 |
|---|