🕰️ Time Machine
ESNT — Essent Group Ltd.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
68.44 -0.19%
Next window · Cycle 144 · in 9 days
19/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 90 · 04/09/2026
since -1.07%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 03/06/2026
55.34
Days: 68 trading / 99 calendar · return since: +23.67%
Last major high · 28/04/2026
65.20
Days: 93 trading / 135 calendar · return since: +4.97%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 55.34 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 28/08/2026 | -8 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 55.34 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 01/09/2026 | -9 (±3) | Passed |
| High 28/04/2026 @ 65.20 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 04/09/2026 | -3 (±3) | In window |
| High 28/04/2026 @ 65.20 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 19/09/2026 | +9 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 55.34 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 01/10/2026 | +21 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 55.34 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 12/10/2026 | +22 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 28/04/2026 @ 65.20 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 19/10/2026 | +27 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 03/06/2026 @ 55.34 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 25/10/2026 | +45 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 28/04/2026 @ 65.20 | Cycle 180 | Calendar | 📅 25/10/2026 | +45 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bearish Engulfing 28/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 28/08/2026
● NR7 Compression 28/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 28/08/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 21/08/2026
● Failed Breakout 18/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 28/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.03% · Win 56% · DD -2.21%20 days: Avg -0.70% · Win 67% · DD -4.09%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/08/2025 | 62.91 | near 52w high | +1.51% | +1.43% | +2.96% | -0.68% | +4.09% |
| 2024 | 28/08/2024 | 63.49 | near 52w high | +0.38% | -1.88% | +0.22% | -2.26% | +2.10% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 50.39 | neutral | -1.68% | -0.84% | -4.03% | -4.03% | +1.23% |
| 2022 | 29/08/2022 | 40.68 | neutral | -4.84% | -2.52% | -14.23% | -14.23% | +1.26% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 47.62 | neutral | -1.22% | -3.30% | -4.08% | -8.32% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 28/08/2020 | 35.90 | neutral | +4.23% | +6.66% | +3.48% | -2.12% | +7.41% |
| 2019 | 28/08/2019 | 47.64 | neutral | +2.98% | +1.93% | +4.08% | +0.00% | +8.16% |
| 2018 | 28/08/2018 | 42.60 | neutral | +3.90% | +5.45% | +1.01% | +0.00% | +6.24% |
| 2017 | 28/08/2017 | 38.13 | neutral | -2.18% | +2.31% | +4.33% | -5.14% | +4.33% |
Passed 01/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.14% · Win 56% · DD -2.53%20 days: Avg -2.04% · Win 44% · DD -4.76%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 62.63 | near 52w high | +0.67% | -0.24% | +1.48% | -0.24% | +4.55% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 64.29 | near 52w high | -2.64% | +0.05% | +0.00% | -3.90% | +0.39% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 50.76 | neutral | -2.38% | -1.36% | -7.62% | -7.62% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 01/09/2022 | 39.08 | neutral | +4.09% | -0.43% | -10.77% | -11.21% | +4.84% |
| 2021 | 01/09/2021 | 46.92 | neutral | -1.75% | -5.07% | -6.20% | -7.31% | +0.45% |
| 2020 | 01/09/2020 | 36.31 | neutral | +3.00% | +3.42% | +1.93% | -3.22% | +6.20% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 48.50 | near 52w high | +2.56% | +0.58% | -1.41% | -1.41% | +6.25% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 43.36 | far above SMA50 | +3.32% | +3.21% | +0.78% | -0.76% | +4.38% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 38.98 | neutral | -3.82% | +1.08% | +3.49% | -7.21% | +3.95% |
In window 04/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.42% · Win 78% · DD -2.36%20 days: Avg -0.79% · Win 22% · DD -4.97%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/09/2025 | 63.80 | near 52w high | +0.72% | +2.63% | -3.51% | -3.51% | +2.63% |
| 2024 | 04/09/2024 | 64.18 | near 52w high | -3.74% | +0.16% | -0.81% | -3.74% | +0.56% |
| 2023 | 05/09/2023 | 49.30 | volume x1.7 | +0.85% | +0.93% | -6.00% | -6.00% | +1.56% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 38.86 | neutral | +5.43% | +1.16% | -7.26% | -10.71% | +5.43% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 46.86 | neutral | -2.11% | -6.49% | -3.88% | -7.19% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 37.42 | neutral | +2.32% | -3.31% | +9.43% | -6.09% | +9.43% |
| 2019 | 04/09/2019 | 48.26 | near 52w high | +2.55% | +0.81% | -2.63% | -2.63% | +6.44% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 43.82 | far above SMA50 | +3.26% | +1.37% | -1.16% | -1.80% | +3.29% |
| 2017 | 05/09/2017 | 37.30 | neutral | +4.58% | +6.51% | +8.69% | -3.03% | +8.69% |
Upcoming 19/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.41% · Win 30% · DD -4.93%20 days: Avg +1.24% · Win 60% · DD -6.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/09/2025 | 65.28 | near 52w high · volume x3.7 | -0.78% | -6.07% | -8.85% | -9.93% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 19/09/2024 | 64.54 | near 52w high | -1.84% | -1.98% | +0.56% | -2.84% | +0.56% |
| 2023 | 19/09/2023 | 49.76 | neutral | -3.30% | -6.87% | -0.62% | -6.87% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 19/09/2022 | 39.31 | neutral | -10.81% | -8.32% | -6.51% | -11.73% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 20/09/2021 | 43.82 | neutral | +3.83% | +2.78% | +11.30% | -0.75% | +12.07% |
| 2020 | 18/09/2020 | 37.21 | volume x2.0 | -4.00% | +6.66% | +14.40% | -5.56% | +17.63% |
| 2019 | 19/09/2019 | 49.45 | near 52w high | -0.04% | -5.76% | +1.13% | -5.76% | +3.88% |
| 2018 | 19/09/2018 | 44.59 | neutral | -3.50% | -2.27% | -8.61% | -11.95% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 19/09/2017 | 39.73 | near 52w high | +0.13% | +2.04% | +9.29% | -1.86% | +9.29% |
| 2016 | 19/09/2016 | 27.88 | near 52w high | -4.59% | -4.30% | +0.29% | -5.13% | +0.39% |
Upcoming 01/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.77% · Win 70% · DD -2.48%20 days: Avg +1.61% · Win 50% · DD -3.49%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/10/2025 | 62.19 | volume x1.5 | -4.15% | -3.14% | -4.02% | -5.45% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 01/10/2024 | 63.82 | near 52w high | -1.05% | -0.16% | -4.58% | -5.26% | +1.69% |
| 2023 | 02/10/2023 | 46.89 | neutral | +1.68% | +4.71% | -1.26% | -1.83% | +5.46% |
| 2022 | 30/09/2022 | 34.87 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +3.27% | +1.92% | +12.70% | +0.00% | +12.70% |
| 2021 | 01/10/2021 | 45.50 | neutral | +0.90% | +7.93% | +5.49% | -1.76% | +9.25% |
| 2020 | 01/10/2020 | 37.80 | neutral | +12.96% | +13.31% | +4.60% | +0.00% | +15.79% |
| 2019 | 01/10/2019 | 47.87 | neutral | -2.19% | +3.30% | +9.55% | -2.65% | +10.53% |
| 2018 | 01/10/2018 | 43.70 | neutral | -4.00% | -10.09% | -13.16% | -15.35% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 02/10/2017 | 40.34 | near 52w high | -2.18% | +5.38% | +7.24% | -2.18% | +10.31% |
| 2016 | 30/09/2016 | 26.61 | near 52w low | +0.86% | +4.55% | -0.45% | -0.45% | +7.25% |
Upcoming 12/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.21% · Win 50% · DD -2.48%20 days: Avg +1.21% · Win 70% · DD -4.87%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/10/2025 | 59.25 | neutral | +0.73% | +1.94% | +4.29% | -0.76% | +4.42% |
| 2024 | 11/10/2024 | 63.38 | near 52w high | +0.90% | -4.61% | -12.80% | -15.35% | +2.40% |
| 2023 | 12/10/2023 | 48.55 | neutral | -2.45% | -4.37% | -1.52% | -5.19% | +1.85% |
| 2022 | 12/10/2022 | 35.19 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +3.32% | +8.13% | +6.05% | +0.00% | +12.48% |
| 2021 | 12/10/2021 | 47.23 | neutral | +3.39% | +4.21% | -1.57% | -1.57% | +5.25% |
| 2020 | 12/10/2020 | 43.77 | far above SMA50 | -4.04% | -4.27% | +0.82% | -11.35% | +0.82% |
| 2019 | 11/10/2019 | 48.84 | neutral | +3.48% | +8.33% | +9.89% | -1.04% | +9.89% |
| 2018 | 12/10/2018 | 39.42 | neutral | +0.99% | -4.87% | +1.07% | -6.16% | +4.82% |
| 2017 | 12/10/2017 | 40.52 | near 52w high | +9.77% | +7.92% | +4.20% | -0.12% | +9.82% |
| 2016 | 12/10/2016 | 27.99 | near 52w high | +1.43% | -0.32% | +1.68% | -7.11% | +1.97% |
Upcoming 19/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.80% · Win 50% · DD -5.02%20 days: Avg +0.41% · Win 80% · DD -5.82%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/10/2025 | 59.68 | neutral | +1.21% | +2.04% | +0.82% | +0.00% | +3.99% |
| 2024 | 18/10/2024 | 63.95 | near 52w high | -5.46% | -15.92% | -13.21% | -16.11% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 19/10/2023 | 47.36 | neutral | -1.96% | +1.50% | +0.78% | -2.81% | +4.54% |
| 2022 | 19/10/2022 | 36.36 | neutral | +4.65% | +6.52% | +3.55% | -1.51% | +9.16% |
| 2021 | 19/10/2021 | 48.83 | neutral | +0.80% | +0.45% | -5.61% | -5.61% | +1.80% |
| 2020 | 19/10/2020 | 42.00 | far above SMA50 | -0.24% | -3.00% | +9.12% | -7.62% | +9.12% |
| 2019 | 18/10/2019 | 50.54 | near 52w high | +4.69% | +3.03% | +6.31% | +0.00% | +7.54% |
| 2018 | 19/10/2018 | 39.81 | neutral | -5.80% | -0.23% | +1.13% | -7.08% | +3.79% |
| 2017 | 19/10/2017 | 44.48 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.69% | -4.43% | +0.88% | -9.02% | +0.88% |
| 2016 | 19/10/2016 | 28.39 | near 52w high | -1.73% | -7.96% | +0.35% | -8.42% | +4.37% |
Upcoming 25/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.03% · Win 50% · DD -4.52%20 days: Avg +0.96% · Win 80% · DD -5.08%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/10/2025 | 61.37 | neutral | -1.30% | -0.42% | +1.84% | -2.74% | +1.84% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 60.46 | neutral | -11.07% | -8.58% | -6.12% | -11.26% | +1.04% |
| 2023 | 25/10/2023 | 46.45 | neutral | +2.88% | +3.40% | +3.85% | -0.90% | +6.59% |
| 2022 | 25/10/2022 | 37.92 | neutral | +4.09% | +0.92% | +4.01% | -1.58% | +4.67% |
| 2021 | 25/10/2021 | 49.42 | neutral | -0.10% | -2.97% | -8.80% | -8.96% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 41.90 | neutral | -2.77% | +5.32% | +7.47% | -7.40% | +10.10% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 52.91 | near 52w high | -1.59% | +1.44% | +1.27% | -2.12% | +2.72% |
| 2018 | 25/10/2018 | 37.95 | far below SMA50 | +5.82% | +8.88% | +0.32% | -1.19% | +8.88% |
| 2017 | 25/10/2017 | 43.42 | near 52w high | -1.17% | -3.75% | +2.95% | -6.79% | +3.41% |
| 2016 | 25/10/2016 | 28.22 | near 52w high | -7.87% | -3.90% | +2.80% | -7.87% | +5.00% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+2.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -2.7% · from 52w low: +23.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -0.77% · -1.15% · +0.75% · +18.19% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -0.64% · +2.01% · +8.98% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -2.74% · +23.67% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 1.07 · 0.01x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +2.72% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +2.63% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +4.68% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 68.88 · 67.09 · 62.80 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 70.37 · 55.34 |
|---|
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