🕰️ Time Machine

ETC-USD — Ethereum Classic

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 30/07/2026

Last price (Close)
6.77 +1.45%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 6 days
05/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 21/07/2026
since -3.11%
Trend
Strong downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 06/06/2026
6.46
Days: 54 trading / 54 calendar · return since: +4.81%
Last major high · 11/05/2026
10.05
Days: 80 trading / 80 calendar · return since: -32.65%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 06/06/2026 @ 6.46Cycle 45Trading📅 21/07/2026-9 (±2)Passed
Low 06/06/2026 @ 6.46Cycle 45Calendar📅 21/07/2026-9 (±2)Passed
Low 06/06/2026 @ 6.46Cycle 60Trading📅 05/08/2026+6 (±2)Upcoming
Low 06/06/2026 @ 6.46Cycle 60Calendar📅 05/08/2026+6 (±2)Upcoming
High 11/05/2026 @ 10.05Cycle 90Trading📅 09/08/2026+10 (±3)Upcoming
High 11/05/2026 @ 10.05Cycle 90Calendar📅 09/08/2026+10 (±3)Upcoming
Low 06/06/2026 @ 6.46Cycle 90Trading📅 04/09/2026+36 (±3)Upcoming
Low 06/06/2026 @ 6.46Cycle 90Calendar📅 04/09/2026+36 (±3)Upcoming
High 11/05/2026 @ 10.05Cycle 120Trading📅 08/09/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming
High 11/05/2026 @ 10.05Cycle 120Calendar📅 08/09/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Failed Breakdown 20/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 21/07/2026
NR7 Compression 18/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 21/07/2026
Bearish Engulfing 11/07/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 21/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.32% · Win 38% · DD -5.62%20 days: Avg +6.19% · Win 38% · DD -10.63%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/07/202524.03far above SMA50 · volume x1.6-5.08%-14.27%-3.47%-20.17%+0.95%
202421/07/202424.17neutral-5.10%-9.87%-19.89%-26.82%+0.00%
202321/07/202318.74neutral-2.35%-1.32%-5.54%-5.70%+0.68%
202221/07/202226.04far above SMA50 · volume x2.0-3.86%+39.98%+48.71%-10.18%+56.27%
202121/07/202142.86far below SMA50+13.22%+19.97%+37.36%+0.00%+41.25%
202021/07/20206.17neutral+7.26%+20.03%+14.50%+0.00%+26.61%
201921/07/20196.26far below SMA50-0.63%-3.29%-9.59%-9.59%+1.51%
201821/07/201816.35neutral+2.26%-0.67%-12.58%-12.58%+14.13%
Upcoming 05/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.16% · Win 50% · DD -7.68%20 days: Avg +0.29% · Win 50% · DD -10.76%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/08/202520.17neutral+15.00%+10.07%+4.57%+0.00%+21.37%
202405/08/202417.69far below SMA50 · volume x2.5+9.47%+4.88%+13.78%+0.00%+16.68%
202305/08/202317.92neutral-1.18%-6.75%-10.70%-16.42%+0.19%
202205/08/202238.26far above SMA50+1.22%+9.74%-2.94%-14.13%+13.77%
202105/08/202152.46neutral+12.21%+42.76%+21.31%+0.00%+42.76%
202005/08/20207.23far above SMA50-2.29%-0.50%-10.16%-10.16%+1.95%
201905/08/20196.19far below SMA50-8.51%-8.57%+15.54%-11.69%+17.37%
201805/08/201817.69neutral-19.20%-26.37%-29.05%-33.67%+5.49%
Upcoming 09/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -5.26% · Win 12% · DD -9.34%20 days: Avg -4.88% · Win 25% · DD -10.87%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/08/202523.66far above SMA50-6.16%-13.36%-11.51%-13.36%+3.46%
202409/08/202419.43far below SMA50-3.00%-2.42%-4.94%-5.78%+6.19%
202309/08/202317.84neutral-1.92%-12.86%-5.37%-16.07%+0.00%
202209/08/202236.42far above SMA50+14.18%-9.56%-7.80%-15.24%+19.51%
202109/08/202159.16far above SMA50+13.40%+13.25%+7.24%-0.48%+26.61%
202009/08/20206.89neutral-0.13%-1.15%-5.26%-7.79%+6.98%
201909/08/20195.81far below SMA50-3.84%-4.30%+2.46%-5.92%+26.51%
201809/08/201815.11neutral-22.31%-11.69%-13.85%-22.31%+0.00%
Upcoming 04/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.67% · Win 38% · DD -8.27%20 days: Avg -12.93% · Win 12% · DD -16.34%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/09/202520.21neutral+1.35%+4.70%-7.89%-7.89%+9.22%
202404/09/202418.07far below SMA50+1.54%+2.97%+7.52%-4.31%+7.52%
202304/09/202315.36far below SMA50+0.26%-0.72%-1.81%-4.32%+2.59%
202204/09/202232.45neutral+20.90%+21.18%-11.48%-13.99%+21.73%
202104/09/202168.86far above SMA50-14.42%-17.06%-30.72%-33.53%+6.88%
202004/09/20205.36far below SMA50 · volume x1.6-5.41%-3.27%-6.58%-9.15%+0.00%
201904/09/20196.78far above SMA50-2.45%-7.85%-31.55%-31.55%+4.05%
201804/09/201813.98neutral-19.59%-21.31%-20.91%-26.00%+0.00%
Upcoming 08/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.87% · Win 50% · DD -5.87%20 days: Avg -7.89% · Win 50% · DD -13.64%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/09/202520.76neutral+6.34%+1.16%-10.71%-13.89%+6.34%
202408/09/202417.94neutral+5.17%+1.97%+14.72%-1.08%+16.24%
202308/09/202315.41neutral-1.62%+1.82%+2.52%-4.62%+2.52%
202208/09/202237.11neutral-2.71%-20.40%-25.44%-25.44%+6.04%
202108/09/202158.62volume x1.5-4.83%-2.27%-23.17%-23.17%+0.97%
202008/09/20205.10far below SMA50-0.53%+2.55%+6.39%-4.50%+6.77%
201908/09/20196.66neutral-7.52%-3.97%-29.65%-30.30%+0.00%
201808/09/201811.02far below SMA50+1.04%-3.82%+2.18%-6.13%+5.88%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-4.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -52.7% · from 52w low: +4.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+1.04% · -2.06% · -4.18% · -17.15%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-1.72% · -4.03% · -20.14%
Distance from 52w high / low-52.73% · +4.81%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.22 · 0.90x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+1.88%
vs SPY (20d)-3.13%
vs SMH (20d)+8.94%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 2006.89 · 7.05 · 8.48
52w high / low14.32 · 6.46