🕰️ Time Machine

ETC-USD — Ethereum Classic

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 13/09/2026

Last price (Close)
7.64 +0.42%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 4 days
17/09/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 12/09/2026
since +0.42%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 18/08/2026
6.02
Days: 26 trading / 26 calendar · return since: +27.03%
Last major high · 22/08/2026
9.04
Days: 22 trading / 22 calendar · return since: -15.46%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 22/08/2026 @ 9.04Fib 13Trading📅 04/09/2026-9 (±1)Passed
High 22/08/2026 @ 9.04Fib 13Calendar📅 04/09/2026-9 (±1)Passed
Low 18/08/2026 @ 6.02Fib 21Trading📅 08/09/2026-5 (±1)Passed
Low 18/08/2026 @ 6.02Fib 21Calendar📅 08/09/2026-5 (±1)Passed
High 22/08/2026 @ 9.04Fib 21Trading📅 12/09/2026-1 (±1)In window
High 22/08/2026 @ 9.04Fib 21Calendar📅 12/09/2026-1 (±1)In window
Low 18/08/2026 @ 6.02Cycle 30Trading📅 17/09/2026+4 (±2)Upcoming
Low 18/08/2026 @ 6.02Cycle 30Calendar📅 17/09/2026+4 (±2)Upcoming
High 22/08/2026 @ 9.04Cycle 30Trading📅 21/09/2026+8 (±2)Upcoming
High 22/08/2026 @ 9.04Cycle 30Calendar📅 21/09/2026+8 (±2)Upcoming
Low 18/08/2026 @ 6.02Cycle 45Trading📅 02/10/2026+19 (±2)Upcoming
Low 18/08/2026 @ 6.02Cycle 45Calendar📅 02/10/2026+19 (±2)Upcoming
High 22/08/2026 @ 9.04Cycle 45Trading📅 06/10/2026+23 (±2)Upcoming
High 22/08/2026 @ 9.04Cycle 45Calendar📅 06/10/2026+23 (±2)Upcoming
Low 18/08/2026 @ 6.02Cycle 60Trading📅 17/10/2026+34 (±2)Upcoming
Low 18/08/2026 @ 6.02Cycle 60Calendar📅 17/10/2026+34 (±2)Upcoming
High 22/08/2026 @ 9.04Cycle 60Trading📅 21/10/2026+38 (±2)Upcoming
High 22/08/2026 @ 9.04Cycle 60Calendar📅 21/10/2026+38 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Hammer Reversal 13/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 12/09/2026
NR7 Compression 12/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 12/09/2026
Doji After Run 11/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 12/09/2026
Bullish Engulfing 05/09/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 04/09/2026
Bearish Engulfing 30/08/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 04/09/2026
Bullish Engulfing 26/08/2026
Shooting Star 25/08/2026
Bearish Engulfing 24/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 04/09/2026 · High Fib 13/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.67% · Win 38% · DD -8.27%20 days: Avg -12.93% · Win 12% · DD -16.34%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/09/202520.21neutral+1.35%+4.70%-7.89%-7.89%+9.22%
202404/09/202418.07far below SMA50+1.54%+2.97%+7.52%-4.31%+7.52%
202304/09/202315.36far below SMA50+0.26%-0.72%-1.81%-4.32%+2.59%
202204/09/202232.45neutral+20.90%+21.18%-11.48%-13.99%+21.73%
202104/09/202168.86far above SMA50-14.42%-17.06%-30.72%-33.53%+6.88%
202004/09/20205.36far below SMA50 · volume x1.6-5.41%-3.27%-6.58%-9.15%+0.00%
201904/09/20196.78far above SMA50-2.45%-7.85%-31.55%-31.55%+4.05%
201804/09/201813.98neutral-19.59%-21.31%-20.91%-26.00%+0.00%
Passed 08/09/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.87% · Win 50% · DD -5.87%20 days: Avg -7.89% · Win 50% · DD -13.64%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/09/202520.76neutral+6.34%+1.16%-10.71%-13.89%+6.34%
202408/09/202417.94neutral+5.17%+1.97%+14.72%-1.08%+16.24%
202308/09/202315.41neutral-1.62%+1.82%+2.52%-4.62%+2.52%
202208/09/202237.11neutral-2.71%-20.40%-25.44%-25.44%+6.04%
202108/09/202158.62volume x1.5-4.83%-2.27%-23.17%-23.17%+0.97%
202008/09/20205.10far below SMA50-0.53%+2.55%+6.39%-4.50%+6.77%
201908/09/20196.66neutral-7.52%-3.97%-29.65%-30.30%+0.00%
201808/09/201811.02far below SMA50+1.04%-3.82%+2.18%-6.13%+5.88%
In window 12/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -6.33% · Win 38% · DD -10.19%20 days: Avg -7.93% · Win 25% · DD -14.06%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/09/202522.00neutral-5.02%-14.96%-8.84%-18.75%+0.34%
202412/09/202418.55neutral-3.01%+1.94%-3.23%-4.35%+12.39%
202312/09/202314.98far below SMA50+2.83%+1.37%+7.96%+0.00%+11.36%
202212/09/202238.37neutral-10.26%-25.38%-29.82%-29.82%+2.48%
202112/09/202158.18neutral-2.61%-11.79%-8.23%-22.59%+1.74%
202012/09/20205.26far below SMA50-0.45%-5.48%-1.24%-7.33%+3.61%
201912/09/20196.22neutral+1.66%-3.04%-24.46%-26.36%+2.87%
201812/09/201810.69near 52w low · far below SMA50-3.28%+6.73%+4.44%-3.28%+9.09%
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -5.79% · Win 38% · DD -11.09%20 days: Avg -6.23% · Win 38% · DD -11.76%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/09/202520.89neutral-10.46%-12.61%-8.84%-14.46%+0.50%
202417/09/202417.99neutral+5.10%+15.88%+3.25%-0.23%+15.88%
202317/09/202315.40neutral-1.42%-0.44%+1.61%-2.09%+8.29%
202217/09/202234.44neutral-16.85%-18.27%-20.19%-21.79%+0.00%
202117/09/202156.66neutral-9.43%-19.76%-4.15%-20.52%+1.10%
202017/09/20205.23far below SMA50-5.05%+4.07%-1.13%-6.91%+4.07%
201917/09/20196.32neutral-4.62%-25.59%-25.72%-28.07%+1.19%
201817/09/201810.34near 52w low · far below SMA50+10.34%+10.38%+5.36%+0.00%+12.79%
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.52% · Win 38% · DD -6.28%20 days: Avg -7.63% · Win 25% · DD -12.64%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/09/202519.91neutral-7.56%-1.89%-24.42%-27.81%+0.70%
202421/09/202419.39neutral+4.72%-4.96%-4.25%-7.42%+7.53%
202321/09/202315.22neutral-0.81%+9.64%-1.89%-1.89%+9.64%
202221/09/202227.91far below SMA50+1.91%-1.31%-15.00%-15.00%+3.61%
202121/09/202145.77far below SMA50+3.11%+13.44%+18.02%-1.61%+21.46%
202021/09/20204.87far below SMA50+10.59%+9.29%+11.60%+0.00%+11.80%
201921/09/20196.14neutral-23.33%-24.45%-23.74%-25.97%+0.00%
201821/09/201811.67neutral-5.76%-3.90%-21.38%-21.38%+0.00%
Upcoming 02/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -5.34% · Win 38% · DD -9.15%20 days: Avg -4.68% · Win 38% · DD -10.43%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/10/202520.05neutral-5.02%-16.52%-22.99%-28.31%+0.00%
202402/10/202417.95neutral+3.48%+4.56%+6.09%+0.00%+12.31%
202302/10/202316.17volume x1.7-3.22%-8.65%-2.11%-8.65%+0.00%
202202/10/202226.93far below SMA50+2.06%-11.57%-13.72%-19.51%+3.76%
202102/10/202153.39far below SMA50+1.72%-1.14%+2.18%-1.69%+4.13%
202002/10/20205.19far below SMA50-0.34%+5.19%+8.23%-1.84%+8.23%
201902/10/20194.70far below SMA50-0.04%+0.65%-4.67%-5.55%+8.04%
201802/10/201811.17neutral-2.43%-15.27%-10.48%-17.88%+0.00%
Upcoming 06/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -6.66% · Win 12% · DD -9.86%20 days: Avg -3.88% · Win 38% · DD -11.15%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/10/202520.00neutral-24.75%-21.00%-16.80%-28.12%+0.00%
202406/10/202418.75neutral-1.00%+3.30%-2.90%-3.43%+7.52%
202306/10/202315.73neutral-5.09%-2.97%+5.37%-6.07%+5.61%
202206/10/202227.82far below SMA50-14.71%-16.86%-8.34%-22.07%+0.00%
202106/10/202154.90neutral-1.60%-1.47%-1.35%-4.39%+1.91%
202006/10/20205.24neutral+3.71%-1.24%+3.95%-2.79%+7.19%
201906/10/20194.55far below SMA50+3.02%-2.00%+0.72%-6.32%+11.62%
201806/10/201810.92neutral-15.99%-11.02%-11.72%-15.99%+0.34%
Upcoming 17/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.11% · Win 62% · DD -4.05%20 days: Avg +5.29% · Win 75% · DD -6.65%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/10/202515.36far below SMA50+0.54%+7.51%-5.33%-6.79%+8.34%
202417/10/202419.03neutral+0.05%-3.35%+3.56%-7.57%+5.92%
202317/10/202314.96neutral+5.81%+7.49%+23.68%-1.01%+23.68%
202217/10/202223.85far below SMA50-2.57%+4.00%+4.20%-9.11%+11.00%
202117/10/202153.07neutral+2.80%-8.14%-0.40%-8.14%+5.43%
202017/10/20205.19neutral+8.29%+5.08%+3.19%-6.48%+8.29%
201917/10/20194.51far below SMA50-0.81%+6.30%+12.67%-5.65%+12.67%
201817/10/20189.81far below SMA50+1.96%-2.05%+0.73%-8.42%+1.96%
Upcoming 21/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.52% · Win 50% · DD -4.61%20 days: Avg +7.63% · Win 62% · DD -8.88%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/10/202515.72far below SMA50+5.86%+0.85%+4.76%-8.93%+13.32%
202421/10/202419.42neutral-6.24%-4.25%+18.79%-9.40%+18.79%
202321/10/202315.74neutral+5.33%+11.01%+32.07%+0.00%+32.07%
202221/10/202222.05far below SMA50+15.65%+10.13%-0.39%-16.78%+20.09%
202121/10/202155.43volume x1.7-2.29%-1.99%+2.42%-12.05%+9.75%
202021/10/20205.37neutral+1.52%-1.90%-4.59%-9.60%+4.68%
201921/10/20194.60far below SMA50-0.51%+5.17%+9.80%-7.46%+14.31%
201821/10/20189.64far below SMA50-0.02%-6.84%-1.85%-6.84%+3.71%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+8.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -43.4% · from 52w low: +27.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-11.09% · +0.74% · -1.34% · +8.02%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-0.08% · +8.04% · -2.05%
Distance from 52w high / low-43.42% · +27.03%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.42 · 0.72x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+1.01%
vs SPY (20d)+0.41%
vs SMH (20d)+2.16%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 2007.65 · 7.08 · 7.80
52w high / low13.51 · 6.02