🕰️ Time Machine
ETC-USD — Ethereum Classic
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 30/07/2026
Last price (Close)
6.77 +1.45%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 6 days
05/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 21/07/2026
since -3.11%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 06/06/2026
6.46
Days: 54 trading / 54 calendar · return since: +4.81%
Last major high · 11/05/2026
10.05
Days: 80 trading / 80 calendar · return since: -32.65%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 06/06/2026 @ 6.46 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 21/07/2026 | -9 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 06/06/2026 @ 6.46 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 21/07/2026 | -9 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 06/06/2026 @ 6.46 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 05/08/2026 | +6 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 06/06/2026 @ 6.46 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 05/08/2026 | +6 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 11/05/2026 @ 10.05 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 09/08/2026 | +10 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 11/05/2026 @ 10.05 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 09/08/2026 | +10 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 06/06/2026 @ 6.46 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 04/09/2026 | +36 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 06/06/2026 @ 6.46 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 04/09/2026 | +36 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 11/05/2026 @ 10.05 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 08/09/2026 | +40 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 11/05/2026 @ 10.05 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 08/09/2026 | +40 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakdown 20/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 21/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 18/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 21/07/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 11/07/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 21/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.32% · Win 38% · DD -5.62%20 days: Avg +6.19% · Win 38% · DD -10.63%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/07/2025 | 24.03 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -5.08% | -14.27% | -3.47% | -20.17% | +0.95% |
| 2024 | 21/07/2024 | 24.17 | neutral | -5.10% | -9.87% | -19.89% | -26.82% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 21/07/2023 | 18.74 | neutral | -2.35% | -1.32% | -5.54% | -5.70% | +0.68% |
| 2022 | 21/07/2022 | 26.04 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.0 | -3.86% | +39.98% | +48.71% | -10.18% | +56.27% |
| 2021 | 21/07/2021 | 42.86 | far below SMA50 | +13.22% | +19.97% | +37.36% | +0.00% | +41.25% |
| 2020 | 21/07/2020 | 6.17 | neutral | +7.26% | +20.03% | +14.50% | +0.00% | +26.61% |
| 2019 | 21/07/2019 | 6.26 | far below SMA50 | -0.63% | -3.29% | -9.59% | -9.59% | +1.51% |
| 2018 | 21/07/2018 | 16.35 | neutral | +2.26% | -0.67% | -12.58% | -12.58% | +14.13% |
Upcoming 05/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.16% · Win 50% · DD -7.68%20 days: Avg +0.29% · Win 50% · DD -10.76%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/08/2025 | 20.17 | neutral | +15.00% | +10.07% | +4.57% | +0.00% | +21.37% |
| 2024 | 05/08/2024 | 17.69 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.5 | +9.47% | +4.88% | +13.78% | +0.00% | +16.68% |
| 2023 | 05/08/2023 | 17.92 | neutral | -1.18% | -6.75% | -10.70% | -16.42% | +0.19% |
| 2022 | 05/08/2022 | 38.26 | far above SMA50 | +1.22% | +9.74% | -2.94% | -14.13% | +13.77% |
| 2021 | 05/08/2021 | 52.46 | neutral | +12.21% | +42.76% | +21.31% | +0.00% | +42.76% |
| 2020 | 05/08/2020 | 7.23 | far above SMA50 | -2.29% | -0.50% | -10.16% | -10.16% | +1.95% |
| 2019 | 05/08/2019 | 6.19 | far below SMA50 | -8.51% | -8.57% | +15.54% | -11.69% | +17.37% |
| 2018 | 05/08/2018 | 17.69 | neutral | -19.20% | -26.37% | -29.05% | -33.67% | +5.49% |
Upcoming 09/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -5.26% · Win 12% · DD -9.34%20 days: Avg -4.88% · Win 25% · DD -10.87%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 09/08/2025 | 23.66 | far above SMA50 | -6.16% | -13.36% | -11.51% | -13.36% | +3.46% |
| 2024 | 09/08/2024 | 19.43 | far below SMA50 | -3.00% | -2.42% | -4.94% | -5.78% | +6.19% |
| 2023 | 09/08/2023 | 17.84 | neutral | -1.92% | -12.86% | -5.37% | -16.07% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 09/08/2022 | 36.42 | far above SMA50 | +14.18% | -9.56% | -7.80% | -15.24% | +19.51% |
| 2021 | 09/08/2021 | 59.16 | far above SMA50 | +13.40% | +13.25% | +7.24% | -0.48% | +26.61% |
| 2020 | 09/08/2020 | 6.89 | neutral | -0.13% | -1.15% | -5.26% | -7.79% | +6.98% |
| 2019 | 09/08/2019 | 5.81 | far below SMA50 | -3.84% | -4.30% | +2.46% | -5.92% | +26.51% |
| 2018 | 09/08/2018 | 15.11 | neutral | -22.31% | -11.69% | -13.85% | -22.31% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 04/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.67% · Win 38% · DD -8.27%20 days: Avg -12.93% · Win 12% · DD -16.34%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/09/2025 | 20.21 | neutral | +1.35% | +4.70% | -7.89% | -7.89% | +9.22% |
| 2024 | 04/09/2024 | 18.07 | far below SMA50 | +1.54% | +2.97% | +7.52% | -4.31% | +7.52% |
| 2023 | 04/09/2023 | 15.36 | far below SMA50 | +0.26% | -0.72% | -1.81% | -4.32% | +2.59% |
| 2022 | 04/09/2022 | 32.45 | neutral | +20.90% | +21.18% | -11.48% | -13.99% | +21.73% |
| 2021 | 04/09/2021 | 68.86 | far above SMA50 | -14.42% | -17.06% | -30.72% | -33.53% | +6.88% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 5.36 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -5.41% | -3.27% | -6.58% | -9.15% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 04/09/2019 | 6.78 | far above SMA50 | -2.45% | -7.85% | -31.55% | -31.55% | +4.05% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 13.98 | neutral | -19.59% | -21.31% | -20.91% | -26.00% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 08/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.87% · Win 50% · DD -5.87%20 days: Avg -7.89% · Win 50% · DD -13.64%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/09/2025 | 20.76 | neutral | +6.34% | +1.16% | -10.71% | -13.89% | +6.34% |
| 2024 | 08/09/2024 | 17.94 | neutral | +5.17% | +1.97% | +14.72% | -1.08% | +16.24% |
| 2023 | 08/09/2023 | 15.41 | neutral | -1.62% | +1.82% | +2.52% | -4.62% | +2.52% |
| 2022 | 08/09/2022 | 37.11 | neutral | -2.71% | -20.40% | -25.44% | -25.44% | +6.04% |
| 2021 | 08/09/2021 | 58.62 | volume x1.5 | -4.83% | -2.27% | -23.17% | -23.17% | +0.97% |
| 2020 | 08/09/2020 | 5.10 | far below SMA50 | -0.53% | +2.55% | +6.39% | -4.50% | +6.77% |
| 2019 | 08/09/2019 | 6.66 | neutral | -7.52% | -3.97% | -29.65% | -30.30% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 08/09/2018 | 11.02 | far below SMA50 | +1.04% | -3.82% | +2.18% | -6.13% | +5.88% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-4.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -52.7% · from 52w low: +4.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +1.04% · -2.06% · -4.18% · -17.15% |
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -1.72% · -4.03% · -20.14% |
| Distance from 52w high / low | -52.73% · +4.81% |
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.22 · 0.90x |
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +1.88% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -3.13% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +8.94% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 6.89 · 7.05 · 8.48 |
| 52w high / low | 14.32 · 6.46 |