🕰️ Time Machine

ETC-USD — Ethereum Classic

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 15/06/2026

Last price (Close)
7.40 +2.60%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in 10 days
25/06/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 10/06/2026
since +6.36%
Trend
Strong downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 02/04/2026
7.81
Days: 74 trading / 74 calendar · return since: -5.31%
Last major high · 11/05/2026
10.05
Days: 35 trading / 35 calendar · return since: -26.38%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 11/05/2026 @ 10.05Cycle 30Trading📅 10/06/2026-5 (±2)Passed
High 11/05/2026 @ 10.05Cycle 30Calendar📅 10/06/2026-5 (±2)Passed
High 11/05/2026 @ 10.05Cycle 45Trading📅 25/06/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
High 11/05/2026 @ 10.05Cycle 45Calendar📅 25/06/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
Low 02/04/2026 @ 7.81Cycle 90Trading📅 01/07/2026+16 (±3)Upcoming
Low 02/04/2026 @ 7.81Cycle 90Calendar📅 01/07/2026+16 (±3)Upcoming
High 11/05/2026 @ 10.05Cycle 60Trading📅 10/07/2026+25 (±2)Upcoming
High 11/05/2026 @ 10.05Cycle 60Calendar📅 10/07/2026+25 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Doji After Run 14/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/06/2026
NR7 Compression 13/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/06/2026
Bullish Engulfing 11/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/06/2026
Bearish Engulfing 09/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/06/2026
NR7 Compression 08/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/06/2026
Hammer Reversal 06/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/06/2026
Doji After Run 06/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/06/2026
Failed Breakdown 06/06/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/06/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 10/06/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.12% · Win 38% · DD -10.07%20 days: Avg -0.42% · Win 25% · DD -16.10%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/06/202518.51neutral-9.86%-12.90%-10.35%-18.00%+0.00%
202410/06/202426.61neutral-3.73%-9.63%-11.06%-14.94%+0.00%
202310/06/202315.07far below SMA50 · volume x3.5-0.09%+4.86%+39.17%-2.17%+39.17%
202210/06/202219.98far below SMA50-20.79%-18.48%-25.34%-31.41%+0.00%
202110/06/202157.94far below SMA50+2.48%-11.79%-0.54%-36.96%+2.48%
202010/06/20206.81neutral-8.15%-8.14%-15.76%-17.56%+0.00%
201910/06/20198.30far above SMA50+3.70%+2.43%-6.86%-7.74%+11.83%
201810/06/201812.64near 52w low · far below SMA50+10.01%+36.69%+27.39%+0.00%+39.13%
Upcoming 25/06/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.58% · Win 50% · DD -8.31%20 days: Avg -0.97% · Win 75% · DD -11.79%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/06/202516.23neutral+2.22%+0.86%+17.26%-1.75%+17.26%
202425/06/202423.48far below SMA50+0.78%-13.75%+1.85%-15.90%+2.37%
202325/06/202318.36neutral+14.17%+5.65%+4.84%-4.66%+14.17%
202225/06/202216.55far below SMA50-9.87%-9.69%-8.97%-16.23%+0.81%
202125/06/202139.63far below SMA50+45.43%+35.47%+8.93%+0.00%+45.43%
202025/06/20206.16neutral-6.87%-8.17%+0.95%-8.85%+8.31%
201925/06/20199.25far above SMA50-16.50%-15.23%-37.42%-38.71%+0.00%
201825/06/201815.84neutral+1.64%+9.48%+4.81%-8.19%+20.20%
Upcoming 01/07/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.60% · Win 38% · DD -6.45%20 days: Avg +11.86% · Win 62% · DD -11.10%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/07/202515.95neutral+4.35%+14.57%+50.70%+0.00%+55.11%
202401/07/202423.22far below SMA50-8.65%-10.99%+4.10%-14.93%+4.10%
202301/07/202320.89far above SMA50 · volume x3.4-10.14%-9.56%-10.29%-10.85%+0.00%
202201/07/202214.56far below SMA50+4.38%-2.51%+78.85%-4.78%+78.85%
202101/07/202153.24far below SMA50+2.77%-6.66%-19.50%-26.00%+6.75%
202001/07/20205.72far below SMA50+6.71%+13.82%+7.95%-1.11%+16.63%
201901/07/20197.76neutral+0.65%-14.55%-19.33%-31.13%+3.25%
201801/07/201815.97neutral+15.67%+3.08%+2.41%+0.00%+19.23%
Upcoming 10/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +7.51% · Win 50% · DD -8.17%20 days: Avg +23.30% · Win 75% · DD -8.58%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/07/202518.50volume x1.6+2.86%+33.69%+15.62%-1.95%+33.69%
202410/07/202421.00far below SMA50+13.89%+13.96%+5.91%-1.61%+15.07%
202310/07/202318.93neutral+1.68%-1.31%-0.34%-4.51%+6.73%
202210/07/202215.14far below SMA50-0.46%+53.81%+158.41%-8.40%+168.86%
202110/07/202149.17far below SMA50-12.22%-19.88%+3.90%-19.88%+3.90%
202010/07/20206.38neutral-2.54%-5.34%+15.28%-5.53%+15.28%
201910/07/20197.29far below SMA50-20.61%-15.30%-18.51%-26.68%+0.00%
201810/07/201816.13neutral+2.91%+0.50%+6.12%-0.06%+11.24%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-11.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -64.0% · from 52w low: +14.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+6.36% · +9.18% · -14.19% · -15.42%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-1.20% · -11.78% · -24.18%
Distance from 52w high / low-63.97% · +14.56%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.35 · 0.78x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-14.41%
vs SPY (20d)-13.33%
vs SMH (20d)-21.39%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 2007.49 · 8.39 · 9.76
52w high / low20.54 · 6.46