🕰️ Time Machine

ETH-USD — Ethereum

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 13/09/2026

Last price (Close)
2,498.22 -1.10%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 12 days
25/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 10/09/2026
since +2.51%
Trend
Strong uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 06/06/2026
1,506.51
Days: 99 trading / 99 calendar · return since: +65.83%
Last major high · 27/07/2026
1,976.46
Days: 48 trading / 48 calendar · return since: +26.40%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 06/06/2026 @ 1,506.51Cycle 90Trading📅 04/09/2026-9 (±3)Passed
Low 06/06/2026 @ 1,506.51Cycle 90Calendar📅 04/09/2026-9 (±3)Passed
High 27/07/2026 @ 1,976.46Cycle 45Trading📅 10/09/2026-3 (±2)Passed
High 27/07/2026 @ 1,976.46Cycle 45Calendar📅 10/09/2026-3 (±2)Passed
High 27/07/2026 @ 1,976.46Cycle 60Trading📅 25/09/2026+12 (±2)Upcoming
High 27/07/2026 @ 1,976.46Cycle 60Calendar📅 25/09/2026+12 (±2)Upcoming
Low 06/06/2026 @ 1,506.51Cycle 120Trading📅 04/10/2026+21 (±3)Upcoming
Low 06/06/2026 @ 1,506.51Cycle 120Calendar📅 04/10/2026+21 (±3)Upcoming
High 27/07/2026 @ 1,976.46Cycle 90Trading📅 25/10/2026+42 (±3)Upcoming
High 27/07/2026 @ 1,976.46Cycle 90Calendar📅 25/10/2026+42 (±3)Upcoming
Low 06/06/2026 @ 1,506.51Cycle 144Trading📅 28/10/2026+45 (±3)Upcoming
Low 06/06/2026 @ 1,506.51Cycle 144Calendar📅 28/10/2026+45 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 12/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 10/09/2026
Failed Breakout 11/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 10/09/2026
NR7 Compression 05/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 04/09/2026
Bullish Engulfing 31/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 04/09/2026
Bearish Engulfing 28/08/2026
Failed Breakout 27/08/2026
Bullish Engulfing 26/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 04/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.02% · Win 38% · DD -10.73%20 days: Avg -9.19% · Win 12% · DD -15.56%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/09/20254,298.74neutral+0.24%+7.23%-3.38%-3.38%+9.69%
202404/09/20242,448.98far below SMA50-3.70%-1.24%+8.39%-9.19%+8.39%
202304/09/20231,629.66neutral+0.34%-0.16%-2.99%-4.79%+1.10%
202204/09/20221,577.64neutral+8.97%+3.62%-16.46%-20.60%+12.59%
202104/09/20213,887.83far above SMA50-11.84%-11.80%-24.59%-28.90%+1.65%
202004/09/2020388.24neutral-9.56%-2.83%-10.02%-17.29%+0.20%
201904/09/2019175.99far below SMA50+2.93%+6.88%-4.48%-4.48%+25.73%
201804/09/2018285.72far below SMA50-31.08%-25.89%-19.95%-35.84%+0.00%
Passed 10/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.67% · Win 75% · DD -6.22%20 days: Avg -1.02% · Win 50% · DD -11.18%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/09/20254,349.15neutral+4.09%+3.06%-4.67%-11.06%+8.42%
202410/09/20242,389.58far below SMA50-2.87%+7.18%+8.93%-3.95%+12.82%
202310/09/20231,616.83neutral+1.53%+0.37%+3.36%-4.03%+3.36%
202210/09/20221,776.20neutral-17.14%-25.44%-25.24%-29.48%+0.00%
202110/09/20213,211.51neutral+12.57%-7.86%-6.53%-13.92%+12.57%
202010/09/2020368.10volume x2.0-0.89%+0.80%-2.22%-12.76%+5.68%
201910/09/2019179.79neutral+5.56%+21.28%+0.05%-7.26%+23.08%
201810/09/2018197.08near 52w low · far below SMA50+13.19%+13.96%+18.15%-6.98%+25.12%
Upcoming 25/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.56% · Win 88% · DD -2.46%20 days: Avg +5.25% · Win 62% · DD -4.94%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/09/20253,868.33far below SMA50 · volume x2.0+7.18%+16.73%+3.08%-3.04%+21.18%
202425/09/20242,579.39neutral+0.92%-6.35%+1.03%-8.90%+4.52%
202325/09/20231,588.32neutral+5.22%+1.46%-1.90%-3.07%+9.16%
202225/09/20221,294.22far below SMA50+2.61%+4.53%-1.49%-1.49%+5.25%
202125/09/20212,925.57far below SMA50+2.60%+20.27%+32.03%-4.04%+32.03%
202025/09/2020352.18neutral+2.20%+0.50%+7.17%-3.23%+10.09%
201925/09/2019170.89far below SMA50+5.25%+3.19%+6.15%-2.44%+13.11%
201825/09/2018218.51far below SMA50+6.56%+4.16%-4.03%-13.27%+6.56%
Upcoming 04/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.47% · Win 50% · DD -6.41%20 days: Avg +2.62% · Win 50% · DD -7.22%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/10/20254,489.20neutral-2.67%-8.10%-12.35%-16.45%+4.42%
202404/10/20242,414.79neutral-1.93%+8.87%+4.96%-1.93%+13.73%
202304/10/20231,647.84neutral-4.13%-5.62%+8.29%-6.57%+8.29%
202204/10/20221,362.13far below SMA50-2.90%-4.75%-1.26%-6.41%+0.10%
202104/10/20213,380.09neutral+5.79%+12.01%+20.94%+0.00%+23.42%
202004/10/2020352.58neutral+3.69%+7.63%+16.98%-3.34%+17.36%
201904/10/2019176.99neutral+9.21%+5.64%-8.37%-8.37%+9.21%
201804/10/2018222.22neutral+2.59%-11.93%-8.26%-14.72%+3.17%
Upcoming 25/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.22% · Win 62% · DD -4.39%20 days: Avg +1.83% · Win 62% · DD -9.06%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/10/20253,953.47neutral-3.77%-16.72%-21.49%-21.49%+5.17%
202425/10/20242,435.93neutral+9.09%-1.60%+25.58%-1.60%+38.54%
202325/10/20231,787.40far above SMA50 · volume x1.5+1.27%+3.93%+10.72%-0.60%+18.64%
202225/10/20221,461.67volume x2.4+8.83%+12.55%-15.06%-24.73%+12.55%
202125/10/20214,217.88near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.56%+7.57%+9.68%-6.82%+14.09%
202025/10/2020406.22far above SMA50-5.76%-1.00%+13.28%-5.76%+16.84%
201925/10/2019181.52neutral+1.75%+2.66%+2.47%-0.93%+5.55%
201825/10/2018202.72neutral-2.55%+2.35%-10.52%-10.52%+7.76%
Upcoming 28/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.35% · Win 88% · DD -3.97%20 days: Avg -0.86% · Win 62% · DD -9.94%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/10/20253,982.26neutral-1.79%-13.73%-24.05%-24.05%+0.00%
202428/10/20242,565.35neutral-2.90%+12.87%+19.89%-6.56%+31.55%
202328/10/20231,776.62neutral+1.35%+6.28%+10.39%+0.00%+19.36%
202228/10/20221,555.48far above SMA50 · volume x1.6-2.30%+0.84%-22.80%-29.27%+5.76%
202128/10/20214,287.32near 52w high · far above SMA50+6.94%+7.77%+0.01%-1.65%+12.24%
202028/10/2020388.65neutral-1.41%+12.11%+23.60%-1.50%+23.60%
201928/10/2019182.66neutral+0.69%+2.91%+1.34%-1.17%+4.89%
201828/10/2018205.37neutral-2.30%+5.75%-15.27%-15.27%+6.37%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+14.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -26.5% · from 52w low: +65.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+0.53% · -0.39% · +0.66% · +30.32%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+1.08% · +14.26% · +21.40%
Distance from 52w high / low-26.48% · +65.83%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg88.92 · 0.62x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+3.01%
vs SPY (20d)+2.41%
vs SMH (20d)+4.16%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 2002,471.62 · 2,186.46 · 2,057.91
52w high / low3,397.90 · 1,506.51