🕰️ Time Machine

EXEL — Exelixis

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
64.53 -1.19%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 10 days
06/11/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 16/10/2026
since +3.70%
Trend
Strong uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 13/08/2026
49.97
Days: 50 trading / 71 calendar · return since: +29.14%
Last major high · 07/07/2026
57.57
Days: 77 trading / 108 calendar · return since: +12.09%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 13/08/2026 @ 49.97Cycle 45Trading📅 16/10/2026-5 (±2)Passed
High 07/07/2026 @ 57.57Cycle 120Calendar📅 04/11/2026+12 (±3)Upcoming
Low 13/08/2026 @ 49.97Cycle 60Trading📅 06/11/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
Low 13/08/2026 @ 49.97Cycle 90Calendar📅 11/11/2026+19 (±3)Upcoming
High 07/07/2026 @ 57.57Cycle 90Trading📅 11/11/2026+13 (±3)Upcoming
High 07/07/2026 @ 57.57Cycle 144Calendar📅 28/11/2026+36 (±3)Upcoming
Low 13/08/2026 @ 49.97Cycle 90Trading📅 21/12/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming
High 07/07/2026 @ 57.57Cycle 120Trading📅 24/12/2026+43 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● NR7 Compression 19/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 16/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 12/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 16/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 08/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 06/10/2026
● Shooting Star 30/09/2026
● Failed Breakout 30/09/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 28/09/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 16/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.46% · Win 33% · DD -8.38%20 days: Avg -1.91% · Win 33% · DD -11.77%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/10/202539.21neutral-2.96%-0.69%+8.01%-11.91%+11.17%
202416/10/202429.35near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6-3.51%+10.53%+19.90%-5.04%+23.51%
202316/10/202321.57neutral-10.76%-6.17%-2.92%-10.76%+0.97%
202217/10/202216.33neutral-0.06%+1.53%+2.33%-1.22%+4.16%
202115/10/202121.82far above SMA50 · volume x2.0-1.92%-1.42%-17.05%-18.24%+0.27%
202016/10/202023.23neutral-4.05%-11.84%-13.22%-13.22%+0.00%
201916/10/201916.78far below SMA50-0.48%+3.58%-2.44%-9.71%+3.58%
201816/10/201816.92neutral-12.41%-16.49%-1.60%-19.33%+5.26%
201716/10/201729.02volume x6.5-7.03%-10.13%-10.23%-16.51%+0.00%
Upcoming 04/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.74% · Win 70% · DD -4.64%20 days: Avg +7.12% · Win 80% · DD -5.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/11/202537.90neutral+13.40%+12.53%+16.12%+0.00%+16.65%
202404/11/202434.29near 52w high · far above SMA50+5.54%+0.67%+2.83%+0.00%+6.33%
202303/11/202321.00neutral+0.00%+0.62%+6.81%-1.24%+6.81%
202204/11/202216.46neutral+2.07%+2.73%+4.62%-0.67%+5.65%
202104/11/202118.93volume x1.6-5.76%-7.61%-16.32%-16.32%+2.27%
202004/11/202022.59neutral-8.37%-14.74%-16.60%-18.59%+0.00%
201904/11/201916.09far below SMA50 · volume x1.6-3.36%+0.87%+3.60%-5.84%+4.29%
201805/11/201817.81neutral-10.56%-0.62%+15.44%-10.56%+20.72%
201703/11/201726.25neutral-1.52%+0.50%+5.03%-5.71%+7.12%
201604/11/201611.91near 52w high+37.70%+42.40%+49.71%+0.00%+49.71%
Upcoming 06/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.34% · Win 60% · DD -3.76%20 days: Avg +7.46% · Win 70% · DD -4.86%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/11/202540.80neutral+3.80%+2.40%+8.73%+0.00%+8.75%
202406/11/202435.51near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.90%-2.42%+1.49%-3.10%+2.68%
202306/11/202320.84neutral+0.48%+0.43%+4.94%-0.48%+7.63%
202207/11/202216.35neutral+2.20%+2.87%+1.96%+0.00%+6.36%
202105/11/202119.36neutral-6.51%-6.87%-16.43%-18.18%+0.00%
202006/11/202020.71volume x1.7-2.66%-8.69%-8.98%-11.20%+2.51%
201906/11/201915.15near 52w low · far below SMA50+8.05%+8.84%+13.20%+0.00%+16.63%
201806/11/201816.96neutral-1.83%+4.19%+24.41%-6.07%+26.77%
201706/11/201727.38neutral-4.86%-6.32%-2.37%-9.61%+2.70%
201607/11/201612.36near 52w high+35.60%+38.92%+47.65%+0.00%+47.65%
Upcoming 11/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.85% · Win 70% · DD -3.09%20 days: Avg +3.37% · Win 50% · DD -4.47%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/11/202542.98neutral-0.77%+0.35%-4.44%-4.44%+3.23%
202411/11/202436.19near 52w high · far above SMA50-4.61%+0.53%-2.65%-4.92%+0.75%
202310/11/202321.00neutral+0.62%+2.90%+5.00%-0.33%+6.81%
202211/11/202216.80neutral+0.65%-0.06%-4.29%-6.13%+3.51%
202111/11/202117.84far below SMA50-1.96%-4.37%-6.67%-11.21%+1.46%
202011/11/202020.70neutral-6.96%-9.52%-6.52%-11.16%+0.00%
201911/11/201915.55near 52w low · far below SMA50+4.37%+7.91%+13.95%-1.35%+13.95%
201812/11/201815.93neutral+11.11%+18.14%+36.85%+0.00%+36.85%
201710/11/201725.85neutral+2.05%+2.05%+2.21%-4.26%+8.78%
201611/11/201616.40near 52w high+3.41%+0.55%+0.24%-0.91%+11.28%
Upcoming 28/11/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.09% · Win 50% · DD -2.92%20 days: Avg +3.71% · Win 60% · DD -5.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/11/202544.17neutral+0.43%-7.45%+2.72%-7.45%+5.52%
202427/11/202435.93near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.31%-2.09%-5.90%-7.35%+1.48%
202328/11/202321.05neutral+3.90%+8.17%+14.25%+0.00%+14.25%
202228/11/202216.79neutral+2.56%-4.23%-7.80%-8.04%+3.57%
202129/11/202116.91near 52w low · far below SMA50-4.32%+0.53%+11.41%-6.33%+14.02%
202027/11/202019.41far below SMA50-2.22%+2.37%+5.15%-3.30%+7.26%
201927/11/201916.57neutral+3.50%+6.52%+9.41%+0.00%+14.00%
201828/11/201819.72far above SMA50+7.00%+7.96%-1.42%-11.41%+10.55%
201728/11/201727.01neutral-1.04%-0.63%+14.07%-3.92%+14.07%
201628/11/201616.49neutral+8.13%-0.30%-4.79%-9.40%+10.67%
Upcoming 21/12/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.40% · Win 60% · DD -3.87%20 days: Avg +5.21% · Win 70% · DD -4.73%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/12/202546.19far above SMA50-4.65%+0.00%-3.66%-8.21%+0.91%
202420/12/202433.29volume x3.6+1.23%+2.76%+2.52%-1.23%+11.96%
202321/12/202323.48near 52w high+2.17%-4.00%-3.71%-5.15%+2.77%
202221/12/202215.76neutral-0.63%+9.58%+7.99%-2.22%+9.58%
202121/12/202118.93neutral+0.32%-4.75%-10.04%-10.04%+1.85%
202021/12/202020.07neutral+0.20%+8.92%+6.23%+0.00%+25.66%
201920/12/201918.51far above SMA50 · volume x2.4-4.27%+0.92%+6.54%-8.10%+10.43%
201821/12/201817.72volume x2.1+11.00%+31.38%+24.83%-1.41%+35.84%
201721/12/201727.81neutral+9.31%+5.36%+9.31%-1.15%+14.67%
201621/12/201616.32neutral-8.82%-6.13%+12.07%-9.74%+15.87%
Upcoming 24/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +8.01% · Win 60% · DD -4.30%20 days: Avg +4.56% · Win 50% · DD -5.86%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/12/202546.51far above SMA50-6.30%-5.31%-6.24%-8.84%+0.00%
202424/12/202433.82neutral+0.35%+6.51%-3.22%-4.26%+10.20%
202322/12/202323.94near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.04%-2.80%-7.64%-7.64%+0.79%
202223/12/202215.83neutral+2.97%+8.46%+9.48%-2.65%+9.67%
202123/12/202119.28neutral-5.19%-2.80%-3.94%-11.67%+0.00%
202024/12/202020.71neutral-0.87%+16.61%+8.45%-3.09%+21.78%
201924/12/201918.75far above SMA50-5.81%-0.64%-3.89%-9.28%+9.01%
201824/12/201817.47neutral+14.08%+35.49%+29.59%+0.00%+37.78%
201722/12/201729.47far above SMA50+6.55%+1.83%+3.43%-6.72%+8.21%
201623/12/201615.41neutral-4.41%+22.71%+19.60%-4.41%+22.71%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+11.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -1.5% · from 52w low: +79.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+3.70% · +7.80% · +10.95% · +15.29%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+6.39% · +11.19% · +28.14%
Distance from 52w high / low-1.48% · +79.25%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg1.60 · 0.91x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+16.34%
vs SPY (20d)+12.43%
vs SMH (20d)+24.04%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20060.66 · 58.03 · 50.36
52w high / low65.50 · 36.00