🕰️ Time Machine
FAST — Fastenal
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
48.37 -0.86%
Next window · Fib 21 · in window
10/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 01/09/2026
since -0.78%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 21/07/2026
44.06
Days: 36 trading / 51 calendar · return since: +9.78%
Last major high · 11/08/2026
52.92
Days: 21 trading / 30 calendar · return since: -8.60%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 11/08/2026 @ 52.92 | Fib 13 | Trading | 📅 28/08/2026 | -8 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 21/07/2026 @ 44.06 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 01/09/2026 | -6 (±2) | Passed |
| High 11/08/2026 @ 52.92 | Fib 21 | Calendar | 📅 01/09/2026 | -9 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 21/07/2026 @ 44.06 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 04/09/2026 | -6 (±2) | Passed |
| High 11/08/2026 @ 52.92 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 10/09/2026 | +0 (±1) | In window |
| High 11/08/2026 @ 52.92 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 10/09/2026 | +0 (±2) | In window |
| Low 21/07/2026 @ 44.06 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 19/09/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 21/07/2026 @ 44.06 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 23/09/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 11/08/2026 @ 52.92 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 23/09/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 11/08/2026 @ 52.92 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 25/09/2026 | +15 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 11/08/2026 @ 52.92 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 10/10/2026 | +30 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 21/07/2026 @ 44.06 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 14/10/2026 | +24 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 11/08/2026 @ 52.92 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 14/10/2026 | +24 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 21/07/2026 @ 44.06 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 19/10/2026 | +39 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 11/08/2026 @ 52.92 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 04/11/2026 | +39 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 08/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 10/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 28/08/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 28/08/2026
● NR7 Compression 27/08/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 28/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 28/08/2026 · High Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.96% · Win 44% · DD -4.21%20 days: Avg -0.53% · Win 33% · DD -4.72%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/08/2025 | 50.18 | near 52w high | -4.36% | -5.44% | -2.95% | -6.10% | +0.18% |
| 2024 | 28/08/2024 | 33.71 | neutral | -3.31% | +3.58% | +6.29% | -3.31% | +6.56% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 28.67 | near 52w high | -2.18% | -4.90% | -5.01% | -5.63% | +0.78% |
| 2022 | 29/08/2022 | 25.50 | neutral | -1.39% | -5.86% | -8.02% | -8.02% | +0.37% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 27.83 | near 52w high | +0.40% | -4.11% | -3.04% | -5.39% | +0.97% |
| 2020 | 28/08/2020 | 24.42 | near 52w high | -5.26% | -9.23% | -6.29% | -10.50% | +1.70% |
| 2019 | 28/08/2019 | 14.94 | neutral | +3.98% | +12.59% | +7.10% | -0.50% | +12.62% |
| 2018 | 28/08/2018 | 14.69 | near 52w high | +0.58% | +0.02% | -1.67% | -2.64% | +0.63% |
| 2017 | 28/08/2017 | 10.40 | neutral | +1.11% | +4.74% | +8.80% | -0.41% | +8.80% |
Passed 01/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.62% · Win 33% · DD -4.77%20 days: Avg -1.30% · Win 33% · DD -5.42%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 49.19 | near 52w high | -2.62% | -3.94% | -0.30% | -4.21% | +2.20% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 34.14 | neutral | -0.28% | +2.65% | +4.60% | -4.54% | +5.20% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 28.64 | near 52w high | -4.68% | -4.14% | -4.22% | -5.55% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 01/09/2022 | 25.48 | neutral | +0.49% | -7.05% | -9.64% | -9.64% | +0.49% |
| 2021 | 01/09/2021 | 27.73 | near 52w high | -3.70% | -3.52% | -6.94% | -6.94% | +1.35% |
| 2020 | 01/09/2020 | 24.75 | near 52w high | -8.61% | -10.57% | -8.89% | -11.68% | +0.36% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 15.31 | neutral | +4.74% | +9.27% | +6.69% | -2.94% | +9.86% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 14.59 | near 52w high | -0.33% | -1.11% | -0.70% | -1.99% | +1.30% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 10.62 | neutral | +1.13% | +3.81% | +7.72% | -1.29% | +7.72% |
Passed 04/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.28% · Win 33% · DD -3.36%20 days: Avg -0.40% · Win 33% · DD -4.03%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/09/2025 | 50.27 | near 52w high | -5.85% | -6.07% | -4.18% | -6.27% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 04/09/2024 | 32.76 | neutral | +5.62% | +7.54% | +8.93% | -0.53% | +9.61% |
| 2023 | 05/09/2023 | 28.04 | volume x1.5 | -2.78% | -2.28% | -3.37% | -3.53% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 25.24 | neutral | +0.59% | -4.04% | -6.10% | -8.78% | +1.45% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 27.94 | near 52w high | -4.49% | -5.35% | -8.21% | -8.21% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 23.14 | volume x1.8 | -4.19% | -5.51% | -0.95% | -5.53% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 04/09/2019 | 14.98 | neutral | +11.82% | +9.71% | +3.34% | +0.00% | +12.28% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 14.76 | near 52w high | +0.14% | -1.63% | -2.00% | -3.12% | +0.14% |
| 2017 | 05/09/2017 | 10.51 | neutral | +3.59% | +5.14% | +8.94% | -0.26% | +8.94% |
In window 10/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.28% · Win 50% · DD -1.88%20 days: Avg -0.18% · Win 50% · DD -2.94%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/09/2025 | 47.97 | neutral | -1.77% | -0.90% | -0.88% | -1.77% | +2.23% |
| 2024 | 10/09/2024 | 34.33 | neutral | +2.80% | +4.57% | +2.18% | +0.00% | +4.60% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 27.30 | neutral | +0.57% | +0.35% | +3.42% | -0.92% | +3.42% |
| 2022 | 09/09/2022 | 25.60 | neutral | -7.50% | -6.80% | -10.45% | -10.45% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 26.79 | near 52w high | -1.16% | +0.97% | -1.61% | -4.26% | +0.97% |
| 2020 | 10/09/2020 | 21.98 | neutral | +0.68% | +0.73% | +4.64% | -0.55% | +5.12% |
| 2019 | 10/09/2019 | 16.40 | neutral | +2.38% | -3.32% | -6.65% | -6.65% | +2.59% |
| 2018 | 10/09/2018 | 14.54 | near 52w high | -0.79% | -0.81% | -2.56% | -2.89% | +1.63% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 10.74 | neutral | +2.65% | +3.65% | +6.59% | +0.00% | +7.17% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 10.18 | near 52w high | -0.34% | -1.25% | +3.46% | -1.94% | +4.96% |
Upcoming 19/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.24% · Win 40% · DD -1.88%20 days: Avg +1.52% · Win 60% · DD -5.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/09/2025 | 47.58 | volume x2.2 | +2.35% | +0.63% | -10.76% | -11.81% | +3.07% |
| 2024 | 19/09/2024 | 35.69 | neutral | +0.38% | -0.94% | +8.77% | -1.95% | +8.95% |
| 2023 | 19/09/2023 | 27.40 | neutral | -0.62% | -1.11% | +9.60% | -1.28% | +9.89% |
| 2022 | 19/09/2022 | 24.22 | neutral | -2.33% | -2.15% | -4.81% | -9.42% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 20/09/2021 | 26.45 | neutral | +2.04% | -3.02% | +5.22% | -3.02% | +5.37% |
| 2020 | 18/09/2020 | 22.02 | neutral | +1.91% | +1.14% | +2.77% | -0.73% | +8.17% |
| 2019 | 19/09/2019 | 16.20 | neutral | -1.27% | -4.29% | +11.17% | -5.52% | +12.16% |
| 2018 | 19/09/2018 | 14.56 | near 52w high | -0.77% | -0.24% | -9.57% | -11.97% | +1.17% |
| 2017 | 19/09/2017 | 11.05 | neutral | +2.35% | +3.62% | +8.46% | +0.00% | +8.46% |
| 2016 | 19/09/2016 | 10.14 | near 52w high | -0.91% | +3.92% | -5.67% | -5.67% | +5.32% |
Upcoming 23/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.14% · Win 40% · DD -1.92%20 days: Avg +1.32% · Win 50% · DD -5.06%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/09/2025 | 47.99 | neutral | +2.19% | -1.13% | -9.73% | -12.57% | +2.19% |
| 2024 | 23/09/2024 | 35.92 | neutral | -0.57% | -2.55% | +8.27% | -2.56% | +8.45% |
| 2023 | 22/09/2023 | 27.10 | neutral | +0.79% | +3.52% | +6.27% | -0.04% | +11.09% |
| 2022 | 23/09/2022 | 23.86 | near 52w low | -3.52% | -3.92% | -3.42% | -8.07% | +1.40% |
| 2021 | 23/09/2021 | 26.93 | near 52w high | -4.20% | -2.13% | +4.14% | -4.77% | +4.44% |
| 2020 | 23/09/2020 | 22.09 | neutral | +2.04% | +4.57% | -0.57% | -0.57% | +7.81% |
| 2019 | 23/09/2019 | 16.14 | neutral | +1.21% | -3.87% | +13.97% | -5.17% | +13.97% |
| 2018 | 24/09/2018 | 14.43 | neutral | +0.43% | -1.77% | -10.68% | -11.18% | +0.66% |
| 2017 | 22/09/2017 | 11.06 | neutral | +3.01% | +4.02% | +9.36% | +0.00% | +9.49% |
| 2016 | 23/09/2016 | 10.11 | near 52w high | +3.31% | +4.60% | -4.38% | -5.64% | +5.66% |
Upcoming 25/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.15% · Win 40% · DD -2.22%20 days: Avg +1.71% · Win 60% · DD -5.11%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/09/2025 | 47.85 | neutral | +0.67% | -2.38% | -10.16% | -12.31% | +2.49% |
| 2024 | 25/09/2024 | 35.35 | neutral | +0.95% | -0.14% | +7.38% | -1.02% | +10.17% |
| 2023 | 25/09/2023 | 27.40 | neutral | +0.13% | +3.07% | +4.73% | -1.10% | +9.91% |
| 2022 | 26/09/2022 | 23.65 | near 52w low | +0.19% | -2.39% | -1.08% | -7.25% | +2.30% |
| 2021 | 24/09/2021 | 27.05 | near 52w high | -4.47% | -2.55% | +3.60% | -5.18% | +3.99% |
| 2020 | 25/09/2020 | 22.44 | neutral | -0.76% | +3.90% | +0.27% | -2.09% | +6.15% |
| 2019 | 25/09/2019 | 16.05 | neutral | -3.55% | -4.52% | +17.32% | -4.64% | +17.32% |
| 2018 | 25/09/2018 | 14.50 | neutral | -0.22% | -4.05% | -12.44% | -12.44% | +0.16% |
| 2017 | 25/09/2017 | 11.13 | neutral | +2.76% | +2.83% | +9.86% | -0.04% | +9.86% |
| 2016 | 26/09/2016 | 10.05 | near 52w high | +4.88% | +4.78% | -2.38% | -5.07% | +6.29% |
Upcoming 10/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.44% · Win 60% · DD -3.44%20 days: Avg +6.89% · Win 80% · DD -3.81%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/10/2025 | 45.78 | volume x1.6 | -7.25% | -6.36% | -10.31% | -10.48% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 10/10/2024 | 34.99 | volume x1.7 | +10.93% | +8.04% | +19.35% | +0.00% | +20.02% |
| 2023 | 10/10/2023 | 27.92 | neutral | +7.54% | +3.10% | +6.32% | +0.00% | +7.84% |
| 2022 | 10/10/2022 | 23.08 | near 52w low | -0.15% | +1.34% | +8.07% | -4.98% | +8.07% |
| 2021 | 11/10/2021 | 26.11 | neutral | +6.57% | +8.05% | +12.05% | +0.00% | +12.62% |
| 2020 | 09/10/2020 | 23.32 | neutral | -2.94% | -3.50% | +1.31% | -7.40% | +2.17% |
| 2019 | 10/10/2019 | 15.51 | neutral | +16.12% | +20.56% | +20.43% | +0.00% | +21.41% |
| 2018 | 10/10/2018 | 12.92 | far below SMA50 · volume x4.5 | +1.90% | -5.09% | +6.67% | -5.09% | +6.67% |
| 2017 | 10/10/2017 | 11.22 | volume x1.8 | +6.87% | +5.10% | +7.79% | -0.78% | +9.05% |
| 2016 | 10/10/2016 | 10.53 | near 52w high · volume x1.9 | -9.14% | -6.83% | -2.83% | -9.40% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 14/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.68% · Win 60% · DD -1.94%20 days: Avg +6.71% · Win 90% · DD -2.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/10/2025 | 42.75 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.2 | +1.33% | -2.11% | -2.98% | -4.14% | +1.33% |
| 2024 | 14/10/2024 | 38.35 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.8 | +1.41% | +0.49% | +10.56% | -1.40% | +10.56% |
| 2023 | 13/10/2023 | 30.06 | near 52w high · volume x1.8 | -4.17% | -3.59% | +0.43% | -4.56% | +0.43% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 21.93 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +5.06% | +11.72% | +18.86% | +0.00% | +19.02% |
| 2021 | 14/10/2021 | 27.81 | near 52w high | +0.86% | +1.51% | +7.15% | +0.00% | +7.15% |
| 2020 | 14/10/2020 | 22.48 | neutral | -2.25% | -3.94% | +5.68% | -3.94% | +5.68% |
| 2019 | 14/10/2019 | 17.71 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.0 | +3.87% | +4.59% | +4.59% | +0.00% | +6.32% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 13.17 | neutral | -2.15% | -5.78% | +3.56% | -6.89% | +5.49% |
| 2017 | 13/10/2017 | 11.65 | neutral | +3.89% | +1.98% | +2.84% | +0.00% | +5.02% |
| 2016 | 14/10/2016 | 9.59 | near 52w low | +0.86% | +1.88% | +16.39% | -0.47% | +18.07% |
Upcoming 19/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.28% · Win 70% · DD -2.34%20 days: Avg +6.68% · Win 90% · DD -2.66%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/10/2025 | 42.99 | neutral | -1.05% | -4.04% | -7.17% | -7.17% | +0.77% |
| 2024 | 18/10/2024 | 38.95 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.13% | +0.94% | +5.62% | -2.93% | +8.84% |
| 2023 | 19/10/2023 | 29.26 | near 52w high | -1.61% | +2.90% | +4.27% | -1.96% | +4.86% |
| 2022 | 19/10/2022 | 23.04 | neutral | +1.95% | +4.88% | +13.07% | -1.58% | +13.31% |
| 2021 | 19/10/2021 | 28.13 | near 52w high | +0.09% | +2.57% | +9.59% | -0.73% | +9.59% |
| 2020 | 19/10/2020 | 22.22 | neutral | +0.26% | +0.76% | +10.02% | -2.81% | +10.02% |
| 2019 | 18/10/2019 | 17.92 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +4.38% | +4.29% | +1.99% | +0.00% | +5.11% |
| 2018 | 19/10/2018 | 13.00 | neutral | -4.35% | +2.26% | +11.54% | -5.69% | +11.54% |
| 2017 | 19/10/2017 | 12.06 | neutral | -0.95% | -0.76% | +1.10% | -2.72% | +1.37% |
| 2016 | 19/10/2016 | 9.73 | near 52w low | +1.04% | -0.96% | +16.76% | -0.96% | +16.78% |
Upcoming 04/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.45% · Win 80% · DD -1.40%20 days: Avg +5.63% · Win 80% · DD -1.79%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/11/2025 | 41.30 | far below SMA50 | -0.10% | -3.24% | -0.19% | -5.21% | +0.92% |
| 2024 | 04/11/2024 | 38.91 | near 52w high | +8.39% | +5.11% | +6.41% | +0.00% | +8.39% |
| 2023 | 03/11/2023 | 29.90 | near 52w high | +0.35% | +1.59% | +1.96% | -1.81% | +2.01% |
| 2022 | 04/11/2022 | 24.75 | neutral | +4.67% | +4.38% | +2.83% | -1.23% | +5.90% |
| 2021 | 04/11/2021 | 29.26 | near 52w high | +1.32% | +4.39% | +2.73% | -0.51% | +4.82% |
| 2020 | 04/11/2020 | 23.30 | neutral | +1.37% | +2.17% | +2.48% | -1.31% | +6.12% |
| 2019 | 04/11/2019 | 18.65 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.26% | -3.86% | -6.41% | -6.41% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 05/11/2018 | 13.16 | neutral | +2.81% | +9.19% | +8.80% | +0.00% | +13.47% |
| 2017 | 03/11/2017 | 11.98 | neutral | -0.67% | +1.17% | +14.55% | -1.42% | +14.55% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 9.86 | near 52w low | +12.27% | +13.59% | +23.17% | +0.00% | +23.17% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-0.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -8.6% · from 52w low: +24.1%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +0.92% · -5.44% · -7.37% · +5.50% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -3.57% · -0.80% · +6.30% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -8.60% · +24.12% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 1.01 · 0.15x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -5.48% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -5.53% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -3.76% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 50.16 · 48.76 · 45.51 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 52.92 · 38.97 |
|---|
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