🕰️ Time Machine
FCF — First Commonwealth Financial, Corp.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
21.25 +1.05%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in window
10/09/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 27/08/2026
since +2.16%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 15/05/2026
17.96
Days: 80 trading / 118 calendar · return since: +18.32%
Last major high · 29/07/2026
22.34
Days: 30 trading / 43 calendar · return since: -4.88%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 29/07/2026 @ 22.34 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 27/08/2026 | -9 (±1) | Passed |
| High 29/07/2026 @ 22.34 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 10/09/2026 | +0 (±2) | In window |
| Low 15/05/2026 @ 17.96 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 12/09/2026 | +2 (±3) | In window |
| High 29/07/2026 @ 22.34 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 12/09/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| Low 15/05/2026 @ 17.96 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 24/09/2026 | +10 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 29/07/2026 @ 22.34 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 27/09/2026 | +17 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 29/07/2026 @ 22.34 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 01/10/2026 | +15 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 15/05/2026 @ 17.96 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 06/10/2026 | +26 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 29/07/2026 @ 22.34 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 22/10/2026 | +30 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 15/05/2026 @ 17.96 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 05/11/2026 | +40 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakdown 01/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
● NR7 Compression 28/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
● Failed Breakdown 26/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 27/08/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.87% · Win 22% · DD -4.46%20 days: Avg -1.88% · Win 33% · DD -6.35%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/08/2025 | 17.82 | neutral | +1.12% | -0.84% | -2.69% | -3.20% | +1.12% |
| 2024 | 27/08/2024 | 16.94 | neutral | -0.65% | -3.72% | -1.83% | -3.72% | +3.31% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 13.09 | neutral | -2.90% | -4.28% | -8.71% | -8.79% | +1.60% |
| 2022 | 26/08/2022 | 14.45 | neutral | -7.40% | -5.26% | -9.07% | -9.07% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 13.72 | neutral | -2.92% | -6.20% | +0.44% | -9.26% | +0.44% |
| 2020 | 27/08/2020 | 8.40 | neutral | -1.79% | -7.74% | -11.31% | -14.76% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 27/08/2019 | 12.08 | neutral | +0.17% | +9.35% | +12.00% | +0.00% | +12.00% |
| 2018 | 27/08/2018 | 16.75 | neutral | +0.24% | -0.24% | -2.57% | -3.88% | +0.24% |
| 2017 | 28/08/2017 | 12.71 | neutral | -1.18% | +2.05% | +6.85% | -4.48% | +6.85% |
In window 10/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.04% · Win 40% · DD -2.57%20 days: Avg +2.22% · Win 30% · DD -3.75%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/09/2025 | 17.56 | neutral | -0.97% | -0.91% | -4.73% | -4.73% | +2.05% |
| 2024 | 10/09/2024 | 16.56 | neutral | +2.60% | +1.15% | -1.75% | -1.93% | +5.68% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 12.39 | neutral | -0.56% | -2.58% | -0.32% | -3.63% | +3.23% |
| 2022 | 09/09/2022 | 13.55 | neutral | +0.30% | -2.14% | -3.32% | -5.24% | +1.18% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 12.70 | neutral | +2.05% | +4.57% | +12.99% | -1.97% | +13.07% |
| 2020 | 10/09/2020 | 7.76 | neutral | -1.03% | -4.51% | +13.02% | -7.73% | +13.02% |
| 2019 | 10/09/2019 | 12.94 | neutral | +3.63% | +2.63% | -1.55% | -1.55% | +4.56% |
| 2018 | 10/09/2018 | 16.71 | neutral | -2.57% | -3.35% | -3.11% | -6.10% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 12.52 | volume x1.5 | +4.55% | +7.67% | +13.02% | +0.00% | +14.46% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 10.23 | near 52w high | -2.05% | -2.93% | -2.05% | -4.59% | +0.59% |
In window 12/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.56% · Win 40% · DD -2.74%20 days: Avg +1.08% · Win 40% · DD -4.48%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/09/2025 | 17.57 | neutral | -0.11% | -0.97% | -8.42% | -8.42% | +1.99% |
| 2024 | 12/09/2024 | 16.37 | neutral | +6.90% | +1.34% | +0.06% | -0.79% | +6.90% |
| 2023 | 12/09/2023 | 12.53 | neutral | -2.08% | -4.63% | -0.56% | -4.71% | +2.08% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 13.69 | neutral | +0.15% | -4.02% | -3.58% | -6.21% | +0.15% |
| 2021 | 13/09/2021 | 12.87 | neutral | -2.72% | +7.07% | +10.18% | -3.26% | +11.58% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 7.75 | neutral | -1.16% | -3.87% | +11.48% | -7.61% | +13.16% |
| 2019 | 12/09/2019 | 13.30 | neutral | +0.38% | +0.60% | -4.21% | -4.74% | +1.73% |
| 2018 | 12/09/2018 | 16.43 | neutral | -0.49% | -2.92% | -2.25% | -4.50% | +0.67% |
| 2017 | 12/09/2017 | 12.97 | neutral | +1.08% | +4.70% | +10.18% | +0.00% | +10.49% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 10.23 | near 52w high | -2.05% | -2.93% | -2.05% | -4.59% | +0.59% |
Upcoming 24/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.91% · Win 50% · DD -2.24%20 days: Avg +2.27% · Win 60% · DD -3.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/09/2025 | 17.40 | neutral | -3.16% | -3.85% | -6.38% | -10.80% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 24/09/2024 | 16.75 | neutral | -0.96% | -2.87% | +1.19% | -3.04% | +5.61% |
| 2023 | 25/09/2023 | 12.07 | neutral | +0.58% | +2.32% | -0.08% | -0.99% | +5.80% |
| 2022 | 23/09/2022 | 13.26 | near 52w low | -3.17% | -1.21% | +4.07% | -3.17% | +5.58% |
| 2021 | 24/09/2021 | 13.28 | neutral | +5.35% | +8.06% | +8.96% | +0.00% | +8.96% |
| 2020 | 24/09/2020 | 7.41 | neutral | +5.53% | +18.35% | +22.54% | +0.00% | +22.54% |
| 2019 | 24/09/2019 | 13.28 | neutral | -1.96% | -4.07% | +2.11% | -4.59% | +2.11% |
| 2018 | 24/09/2018 | 16.15 | neutral | -2.23% | +0.25% | -10.84% | -10.84% | +1.05% |
| 2017 | 25/09/2017 | 13.48 | neutral | +6.01% | +4.97% | +4.08% | +0.00% | +6.31% |
| 2016 | 23/09/2016 | 10.21 | near 52w high | -1.18% | -2.84% | -2.94% | -4.90% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 27/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.26% · Win 60% · DD -2.53%20 days: Avg +0.50% · Win 40% · DD -5.54%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/09/2025 | 17.40 | neutral | -3.39% | -7.53% | -5.34% | -10.80% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 27/09/2024 | 16.70 | neutral | -1.38% | +1.74% | -0.48% | -2.75% | +5.93% |
| 2023 | 27/09/2023 | 12.00 | neutral | +1.33% | +3.83% | -3.75% | -3.75% | +6.42% |
| 2022 | 27/09/2022 | 12.94 | near 52w low | +4.10% | +3.40% | +8.96% | -0.77% | +8.96% |
| 2021 | 27/09/2021 | 13.78 | neutral | +1.89% | +2.90% | +5.52% | -1.23% | +5.52% |
| 2020 | 28/09/2020 | 7.74 | neutral | +8.01% | +13.82% | +16.41% | -1.55% | +17.96% |
| 2019 | 27/09/2019 | 13.42 | neutral | -3.43% | -2.16% | +3.06% | -5.59% | +3.06% |
| 2018 | 27/09/2018 | 16.05 | neutral | +0.44% | -3.05% | -19.00% | -25.05% | +1.00% |
| 2017 | 27/09/2017 | 14.07 | near 52w high | -0.28% | +0.71% | -0.07% | -0.92% | +1.85% |
| 2016 | 27/09/2016 | 10.01 | near 52w high | -2.40% | -1.10% | -0.30% | -3.00% | +1.50% |
Upcoming 01/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.57% · Win 60% · DD -1.96%20 days: Avg +1.85% · Win 80% · DD -4.78%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/10/2025 | 16.85 | neutral | -0.71% | -2.55% | -8.07% | -8.07% | +0.89% |
| 2024 | 01/10/2024 | 16.59 | neutral | -1.93% | +4.16% | +2.11% | -2.11% | +6.63% |
| 2023 | 02/10/2023 | 12.14 | neutral | +1.73% | +3.13% | +0.41% | -4.86% | +5.19% |
| 2022 | 30/09/2022 | 12.84 | near 52w low | +2.02% | +7.09% | +11.92% | +0.00% | +11.92% |
| 2021 | 01/10/2021 | 13.99 | neutral | +2.57% | +0.71% | +9.36% | +0.00% | +9.36% |
| 2020 | 01/10/2020 | 7.82 | neutral | +12.15% | +9.08% | +9.34% | +0.00% | +16.75% |
| 2019 | 01/10/2019 | 13.02 | neutral | -2.15% | +1.69% | +9.06% | -2.69% | +9.06% |
| 2018 | 01/10/2018 | 15.79 | neutral | +2.53% | -3.93% | -16.40% | -23.81% | +2.66% |
| 2017 | 02/10/2017 | 14.29 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.98% | -0.63% | +0.63% | -2.45% | +2.45% |
| 2016 | 30/09/2016 | 10.09 | near 52w high | -1.68% | -3.07% | +0.10% | -3.77% | +0.99% |
Upcoming 06/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.37% · Win 50% · DD -2.99%20 days: Avg +2.29% · Win 70% · DD -5.33%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/10/2025 | 17.00 | neutral | -5.12% | -5.12% | -9.06% | -10.06% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 07/10/2024 | 16.34 | neutral | +4.41% | +2.45% | -0.43% | -0.43% | +8.26% |
| 2023 | 06/10/2023 | 12.41 | neutral | -1.85% | -2.10% | +7.79% | -6.93% | +7.79% |
| 2022 | 06/10/2022 | 13.40 | neutral | +3.13% | +0.75% | +5.14% | -2.24% | +7.24% |
| 2021 | 06/10/2021 | 14.14 | neutral | -0.92% | +1.84% | +12.09% | -0.92% | +12.09% |
| 2020 | 06/10/2020 | 8.41 | neutral | +0.71% | +2.73% | +7.37% | -1.07% | +8.56% |
| 2019 | 07/10/2019 | 13.00 | neutral | +1.23% | +4.31% | +11.54% | -2.54% | +11.92% |
| 2018 | 05/10/2018 | 16.04 | neutral | -5.61% | -7.86% | -15.58% | -25.00% | +1.06% |
| 2017 | 06/10/2017 | 14.19 | near 52w high | -0.63% | -0.42% | +2.46% | -1.76% | +3.17% |
| 2016 | 06/10/2016 | 9.94 | near 52w high | -2.31% | -0.30% | +1.62% | -2.31% | +2.52% |
Upcoming 22/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.09% · Win 60% · DD -4.12%20 days: Avg +7.54% · Win 80% · DD -4.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/10/2025 | 16.29 | neutral | -4.91% | -2.95% | -3.71% | -6.14% | +1.10% |
| 2024 | 22/10/2024 | 16.95 | neutral | -0.06% | -2.12% | +10.51% | -4.01% | +14.25% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 12.06 | volume x1.6 | +1.08% | +9.49% | +11.50% | -4.23% | +12.17% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 13.80 | neutral | +4.13% | +5.09% | +6.04% | -0.72% | +9.04% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 14.47 | neutral | +5.74% | +10.06% | +10.06% | -0.35% | +11.10% |
| 2020 | 22/10/2020 | 9.08 | far above SMA50 | -5.84% | -5.01% | +11.06% | -9.14% | +14.41% |
| 2019 | 22/10/2019 | 13.56 | neutral | +4.72% | +7.74% | +6.11% | -0.15% | +8.12% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 14.40 | far below SMA50 | -8.33% | -6.67% | -2.33% | -16.46% | +1.74% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 14.03 | near 52w high | +2.49% | +3.34% | +3.13% | -1.24% | +4.35% |
| 2016 | 21/10/2016 | 9.91 | near 52w high | +1.92% | +1.93% | +23.06% | +0.00% | +23.06% |
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.54% · Win 60% · DD -1.69%20 days: Avg +7.65% · Win 60% · DD -2.47%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/11/2025 | 15.81 | neutral | +1.45% | -0.79% | +5.91% | -1.74% | +5.91% |
| 2024 | 05/11/2024 | 16.59 | neutral | +15.15% | +12.91% | +14.49% | +0.00% | +17.82% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 13.07 | neutral | -3.75% | +1.84% | +7.65% | -5.05% | +8.72% |
| 2022 | 04/11/2022 | 14.38 | neutral | +2.57% | +0.90% | -0.83% | -0.83% | +3.76% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 15.81 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.32% | +0.00% | -1.90% | -5.19% | +2.21% |
| 2020 | 05/11/2020 | 8.51 | neutral | +12.10% | +16.92% | +23.03% | -1.41% | +24.56% |
| 2019 | 05/11/2019 | 14.61 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.41% | -1.51% | -2.96% | -3.44% | +0.35% |
| 2018 | 05/11/2018 | 13.35 | far below SMA50 | +4.27% | +4.64% | -2.55% | -2.55% | +4.94% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 14.42 | near 52w high | -1.80% | -0.21% | +3.95% | -4.44% | +6.24% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 10.03 | near 52w high | +11.86% | +20.74% | +29.71% | +0.00% | +29.71% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+0.9%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -4.9% · from 52w low: +41.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +1.24% · +2.07% · -1.71% · +8.96% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +0.77% · +0.94% · +13.21% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -4.88% · +41.67% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.37 · 1.10x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +0.36% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +0.18% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +2.49% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 21.09 · 21.05 · 18.77 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 22.34 · 15.00 |
|---|
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