🕰️ Time Machine
FCF — First Commonwealth Financial, Corp.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026
Last price (Close)
20.87 +0.53%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 13 days
13/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 22/07/2026
since +0.19%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 15/05/2026
17.96
Days: 47 trading / 73 calendar · return since: +16.20%
Last major high · 17/04/2026
19.14
Days: 67 trading / 101 calendar · return since: +9.04%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 17/04/2026 @ 19.14 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 15/07/2026 | -7 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 15/05/2026 @ 17.96 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 22/07/2026 | -2 (±2) | In window |
| Low 15/05/2026 @ 17.96 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 13/08/2026 | +13 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 15/05/2026 @ 17.96 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 13/08/2026 | +17 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 17/04/2026 @ 19.14 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 15/08/2026 | +19 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 17/04/2026 @ 19.14 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 27/08/2026 | +23 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 17/04/2026 @ 19.14 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 08/09/2026 | +43 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 15/05/2026 @ 17.96 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 25/09/2026 | +43 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 22/07/2026
● Doji After Run 17/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 15/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 10/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 15/07/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 07/07/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 02/07/2026
● Failed Breakout 02/07/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 15/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.91% · Win 78% · DD -1.77%20 days: Avg +3.68% · Win 67% · DD -2.39%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/07/2025 | 16.60 | neutral | +1.14% | -3.19% | +2.17% | -3.19% | +2.17% |
| 2024 | 15/07/2024 | 15.56 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +6.81% | +15.23% | +1.79% | +0.00% | +19.54% |
| 2023 | 14/07/2023 | 13.15 | neutral | +5.48% | +10.34% | +6.87% | +0.00% | +10.57% |
| 2022 | 15/07/2022 | 13.49 | neutral | +4.45% | +9.86% | +13.38% | +0.00% | +13.38% |
| 2021 | 15/07/2021 | 13.92 | neutral | -5.39% | -4.17% | -0.92% | -6.68% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 15/07/2020 | 8.08 | neutral | -2.72% | +2.23% | +8.91% | -6.19% | +9.79% |
| 2019 | 15/07/2019 | 12.99 | neutral | +0.31% | +4.08% | -3.22% | -3.22% | +6.00% |
| 2018 | 16/07/2018 | 15.82 | near 52w high | +4.93% | +8.66% | +6.31% | +0.00% | +12.01% |
| 2017 | 14/07/2017 | 12.78 | neutral | +0.08% | +1.17% | -2.21% | -2.21% | +3.13% |
In window 22/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.87% · Win 67% · DD -1.69%20 days: Avg +1.50% · Win 56% · DD -2.98%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/07/2025 | 16.79 | neutral | -4.29% | -0.54% | +0.53% | -4.29% | +2.04% |
| 2024 | 22/07/2024 | 16.62 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +7.88% | -1.79% | -0.15% | -4.88% | +11.91% |
| 2023 | 21/07/2023 | 13.87 | neutral | +4.61% | +2.71% | -2.24% | -3.70% | +4.83% |
| 2022 | 22/07/2022 | 14.09 | neutral | +5.18% | +4.26% | +8.55% | +0.00% | +10.13% |
| 2021 | 22/07/2021 | 13.17 | neutral | +1.29% | +0.20% | +0.20% | -1.37% | +5.49% |
| 2020 | 22/07/2020 | 7.86 | neutral | +5.09% | +2.67% | +7.32% | -2.93% | +12.86% |
| 2019 | 22/07/2019 | 13.03 | neutral | +3.76% | -3.37% | -2.28% | -6.15% | +5.68% |
| 2018 | 23/07/2018 | 16.60 | near 52w high | +3.55% | +1.86% | +3.31% | -1.20% | +6.75% |
| 2017 | 21/07/2017 | 12.79 | neutral | +1.09% | +1.80% | -1.74% | -2.29% | +3.05% |
Upcoming 13/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.00% · Win 50% · DD -2.76%20 days: Avg -1.45% · Win 50% · DD -5.00%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/08/2025 | 16.99 | neutral | -1.18% | +4.89% | +4.00% | -1.88% | +6.06% |
| 2024 | 13/08/2024 | 15.93 | neutral | +2.01% | +6.34% | +2.39% | -1.51% | +8.10% |
| 2023 | 14/08/2023 | 13.74 | neutral | -3.86% | -4.73% | -8.81% | -9.83% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 12/08/2022 | 15.17 | neutral | +0.00% | -4.75% | -9.76% | -13.05% | +1.45% |
| 2021 | 13/08/2021 | 13.54 | neutral | -1.62% | +1.33% | -4.95% | -6.20% | +1.33% |
| 2020 | 13/08/2020 | 8.45 | neutral | -3.43% | -0.59% | -8.28% | -8.28% | +1.78% |
| 2019 | 13/08/2019 | 12.53 | neutral | -0.80% | -3.59% | +5.43% | -3.59% | +5.43% |
| 2018 | 13/08/2018 | 16.73 | neutral | +1.97% | +0.12% | -0.12% | -0.60% | +3.23% |
| 2017 | 14/08/2017 | 12.79 | neutral | -2.19% | -0.63% | +1.41% | -5.08% | +1.41% |
| 2016 | 12/08/2016 | 9.82 | near 52w high | +1.02% | +1.63% | +4.18% | +0.00% | +5.19% |
Upcoming 15/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.26% · Win 40% · DD -2.35%20 days: Avg -1.56% · Win 50% · DD -4.82%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/08/2025 | 16.67 | volume x1.6 | +6.36% | +6.48% | +4.62% | +0.00% | +8.10% |
| 2024 | 15/08/2024 | 15.90 | neutral | +2.77% | +7.86% | +5.16% | +0.00% | +8.30% |
| 2023 | 15/08/2023 | 13.27 | neutral | -2.26% | -0.38% | -6.48% | -6.63% | +1.28% |
| 2022 | 15/08/2022 | 15.33 | neutral | -3.52% | -7.83% | -13.83% | -13.96% | +0.39% |
| 2021 | 16/08/2021 | 13.52 | neutral | -1.33% | -1.18% | -7.62% | -7.62% | +1.48% |
| 2020 | 14/08/2020 | 8.60 | neutral | -5.58% | -3.49% | -8.49% | -9.88% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 15/08/2019 | 12.14 | neutral | +3.05% | +1.73% | +11.04% | -0.49% | +11.04% |
| 2018 | 15/08/2018 | 16.85 | neutral | +2.31% | -0.89% | -4.45% | -4.45% | +2.49% |
| 2017 | 15/08/2017 | 12.74 | neutral | -0.94% | -0.94% | +2.59% | -4.71% | +2.59% |
| 2016 | 15/08/2016 | 9.91 | near 52w high | +0.30% | +1.21% | +1.82% | -0.40% | +4.24% |
Upcoming 27/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.44% · Win 30% · DD -4.02%20 days: Avg -1.74% · Win 30% · DD -5.77%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/08/2025 | 17.82 | neutral | +1.12% | -0.84% | -2.69% | -3.20% | +1.12% |
| 2024 | 27/08/2024 | 16.94 | neutral | -0.65% | -3.72% | -1.83% | -3.72% | +3.31% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 13.09 | neutral | -2.90% | -4.28% | -8.71% | -8.79% | +1.60% |
| 2022 | 26/08/2022 | 14.45 | neutral | -7.40% | -5.26% | -9.07% | -9.07% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 13.72 | neutral | -2.92% | -6.20% | +0.44% | -9.26% | +0.44% |
| 2020 | 27/08/2020 | 8.40 | neutral | -1.79% | -7.74% | -11.31% | -14.76% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 27/08/2019 | 12.08 | neutral | +0.17% | +9.35% | +12.00% | +0.00% | +12.00% |
| 2018 | 27/08/2018 | 16.75 | neutral | +0.24% | -0.24% | -2.57% | -3.88% | +0.24% |
| 2017 | 28/08/2017 | 12.71 | neutral | -1.18% | +2.05% | +6.84% | -4.48% | +6.84% |
| 2016 | 26/08/2016 | 9.98 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | +3.51% | +2.50% | -0.50% | -0.50% | +3.51% |
Upcoming 08/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.24% · Win 30% · DD -3.02%20 days: Avg +1.81% · Win 40% · DD -4.20%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/09/2025 | 17.76 | neutral | -1.80% | -2.31% | -4.28% | -5.69% | +0.90% |
| 2024 | 09/09/2024 | 16.49 | neutral | +2.73% | +3.09% | -0.91% | -1.52% | +6.12% |
| 2023 | 08/09/2023 | 12.52 | neutral | +0.32% | -4.63% | -0.88% | -4.63% | +2.16% |
| 2022 | 08/09/2022 | 13.45 | neutral | +0.00% | -0.37% | -0.37% | -4.54% | +1.93% |
| 2021 | 08/09/2021 | 12.98 | neutral | -2.54% | -2.31% | +8.94% | -4.08% | +8.94% |
| 2020 | 08/09/2020 | 8.00 | neutral | -3.50% | -9.00% | +5.13% | -10.50% | +5.13% |
| 2019 | 09/09/2019 | 12.73 | neutral | +6.05% | +5.58% | +2.12% | +0.00% | +6.28% |
| 2018 | 07/09/2018 | 16.63 | neutral | -1.98% | -1.08% | -3.55% | -5.65% | +0.48% |
| 2017 | 08/09/2017 | 12.28 | neutral | +6.92% | +8.96% | +15.55% | +0.00% | +16.69% |
| 2016 | 08/09/2016 | 10.32 | near 52w high | -2.52% | -0.29% | -3.68% | -5.43% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 25/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.01% · Win 60% · DD -2.18%20 days: Avg +2.80% · Win 70% · DD -3.65%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/09/2025 | 17.34 | neutral | -3.40% | -4.27% | -6.52% | -10.50% | +0.35% |
| 2024 | 25/09/2024 | 16.63 | neutral | -2.35% | -1.32% | +1.80% | -2.35% | +6.37% |
| 2023 | 25/09/2023 | 12.07 | neutral | +0.58% | +2.32% | -0.08% | -0.99% | +5.80% |
| 2022 | 26/09/2022 | 13.14 | near 52w low | -1.14% | +0.46% | +6.09% | -2.28% | +6.54% |
| 2021 | 24/09/2021 | 13.28 | neutral | +5.35% | +8.06% | +8.96% | +0.00% | +8.96% |
| 2020 | 25/09/2020 | 7.45 | neutral | +8.05% | +15.97% | +22.55% | +0.00% | +22.55% |
| 2019 | 25/09/2019 | 13.53 | neutral | -4.66% | -6.36% | +0.67% | -6.36% | +0.67% |
| 2018 | 25/09/2018 | 16.32 | neutral | -3.86% | -0.67% | -10.23% | -11.76% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 25/09/2017 | 13.48 | neutral | +6.01% | +4.97% | +4.08% | +0.00% | +6.31% |
| 2016 | 26/09/2016 | 9.93 | near 52w high | -1.71% | +0.91% | +0.70% | -2.22% | +2.32% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+5.9%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -2.5% · from 52w low: +39.1%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -1.18% · +2.86% · +2.05% · +11.38% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +1.32% · +5.94% · +16.62% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -2.52% · +39.13% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.36 · 0.90x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +6.84% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +1.40% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +15.92% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 20.60 · 19.70 · 17.90 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 21.41 · 15.00 |
|---|
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