🕰️ Time Machine
FCN — FTI Consulting
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 26/10/2026
Last price (Close)
161.40 +2.65%
Next window · Fib 21 · in window
26/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 25/10/2026
since +0.00%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 25/09/2026
129.12
Days: 21 trading / 31 calendar · return since: +25.00%
Last major high · 29/07/2026
175.00
Days: 62 trading / 89 calendar · return since: -7.77%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 129.12 | Fib 13 | Trading | 📅 14/10/2026 | -8 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 129.12 | Fib 21 | Calendar | 📅 16/10/2026 | -10 (±1) | Passed |
| High 29/07/2026 @ 175.00 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 22/10/2026 | -2 (±2) | In window |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 129.12 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 25/10/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 129.12 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 26/10/2026 | +0 (±1) | In window |
| High 29/07/2026 @ 175.00 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 27/10/2026 | +1 (±3) | In window |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 129.12 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 06/11/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 129.12 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 09/11/2026 | +14 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 129.12 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 24/11/2026 | +29 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 29/07/2026 @ 175.00 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 26/11/2026 | +31 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 129.12 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 30/11/2026 | +24 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 29/07/2026 @ 175.00 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 04/12/2026 | +28 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/09/2026 @ 129.12 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 21/12/2026 | +39 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakout 19/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 16/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 12/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 14/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 06/10/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 14/10/2026 · Low Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.14% · Win 56% · DD -5.19%20 days: Avg +0.68% · Win 44% · DD -6.69%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/10/2025 | 157.53 | near 52w low | -2.72% | +7.96% | +4.02% | -3.71% | +7.96% |
| 2024 | 14/10/2024 | 223.87 | neutral | +1.26% | -11.43% | -8.89% | -12.86% | +3.18% |
| 2023 | 13/10/2023 | 189.66 | neutral | -1.82% | +13.86% | +16.46% | -3.02% | +16.46% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 179.96 | neutral | +3.25% | -14.44% | -10.67% | -20.40% | +3.25% |
| 2021 | 14/10/2021 | 142.57 | near 52w high | -0.17% | +1.07% | +1.96% | -0.17% | +3.31% |
| 2020 | 14/10/2020 | 113.44 | neutral | -2.25% | -3.08% | -8.72% | -14.48% | +1.01% |
| 2019 | 14/10/2019 | 109.07 | near 52w high | +3.03% | -1.32% | -3.42% | -3.42% | +7.30% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 67.99 | neutral | +1.49% | +0.87% | -0.88% | -2.07% | +8.84% |
| 2017 | 13/10/2017 | 36.30 | neutral | +1.49% | +16.80% | +16.25% | -0.06% | +17.77% |
Passed 16/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.19% · Win 56% · DD -6.83%20 days: Avg +0.45% · Win 44% · DD -7.17%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/10/2025 | 151.68 | near 52w low | +1.33% | +10.86% | +8.76% | +0.00% | +12.12% |
| 2024 | 16/10/2024 | 231.00 | neutral | -0.65% | -13.10% | -13.46% | -15.55% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 189.00 | neutral | -2.62% | +13.57% | +17.22% | -2.68% | +17.22% |
| 2022 | 17/10/2022 | 179.08 | neutral | +3.46% | -13.09% | -7.10% | -20.01% | +3.76% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 143.67 | near 52w high | -0.81% | +0.17% | +1.98% | -0.93% | +2.52% |
| 2020 | 16/10/2020 | 114.59 | neutral | -5.25% | -14.08% | -7.71% | -15.34% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 16/10/2019 | 111.90 | near 52w high | -3.34% | -2.68% | -5.55% | -5.86% | +4.58% |
| 2018 | 16/10/2018 | 69.26 | neutral | +0.04% | +1.43% | -3.25% | -3.87% | +6.84% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 36.38 | neutral | +0.60% | +15.17% | +13.19% | -0.27% | +17.51% |
In window 22/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.03% · Win 44% · DD -6.26%20 days: Avg +2.02% · Win 44% · DD -6.55%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/10/2025 | 155.79 | near 52w low · volume x2.4 | +8.34% | +7.07% | +4.85% | -1.34% | +9.17% |
| 2024 | 22/10/2024 | 229.43 | volume x1.5 | -12.33% | -13.27% | -13.96% | -15.02% | +0.03% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 184.04 | neutral | +16.63% | +17.75% | +20.76% | -0.06% | +20.91% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 185.81 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -17.14% | -14.13% | -9.17% | -22.91% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 142.50 | near 52w high | +1.00% | +1.35% | +6.76% | -0.05% | +6.76% |
| 2020 | 22/10/2020 | 109.61 | neutral | -11.50% | -7.20% | -3.84% | -11.50% | +0.31% |
| 2019 | 22/10/2019 | 109.28 | near 52w high | -1.88% | -1.45% | -1.01% | -3.61% | +7.09% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 69.00 | neutral | -0.61% | -3.20% | -0.48% | -4.30% | +7.25% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 36.60 | neutral | +14.48% | +12.84% | +14.23% | -0.16% | +16.80% |
In window 25/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.05% · Win 50% · DD -4.69%20 days: Avg +3.94% · Win 60% · DD -4.84%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/10/2025 | 157.83 | volume x1.8 | +4.55% | +3.54% | +3.93% | +0.00% | +7.76% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 199.09 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.4 | -0.20% | +2.60% | +1.39% | -2.07% | +2.91% |
| 2023 | 25/10/2023 | 183.93 | neutral | +18.41% | +17.56% | +20.41% | +0.00% | +20.98% |
| 2022 | 25/10/2022 | 178.74 | neutral | -14.17% | -10.53% | -3.77% | -19.86% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 25/10/2021 | 144.47 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | +1.83% | -0.89% | +6.47% | -1.41% | +6.47% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 108.28 | neutral | -8.11% | -5.32% | -2.42% | -10.41% | +1.54% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 108.21 | volume x4.1 | +1.02% | -1.63% | -1.47% | -2.65% | +1.02% |
| 2018 | 25/10/2018 | 74.00 | volume x3.7 | -10.03% | -7.68% | -9.96% | -10.77% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 25/10/2017 | 36.54 | neutral | +15.24% | +14.89% | +14.34% | +0.00% | +17.00% |
| 2016 | 27/10/2016 | 39.43 | near 52w low | +3.32% | +7.91% | +10.47% | -1.19% | +10.47% |
In window 26/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.56% · Win 30% · DD -4.45%20 days: Avg +1.18% · Win 50% · DD -4.80%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 166.58 | neutral | -0.91% | -2.21% | -2.59% | -3.16% | +2.10% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 199.09 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.4 | -0.20% | +2.60% | +1.39% | -2.07% | +2.91% |
| 2023 | 26/10/2023 | 216.38 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x3.1 | -1.30% | -0.05% | +2.49% | -1.90% | +2.84% |
| 2022 | 26/10/2022 | 176.21 | volume x2.2 | -10.85% | -7.50% | -1.65% | -18.71% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 26/10/2021 | 145.98 | near 52w high | +0.50% | -2.19% | +5.56% | -2.43% | +5.56% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 108.28 | neutral | -8.11% | -5.32% | -2.42% | -10.41% | +1.54% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 108.21 | volume x4.1 | +1.02% | -1.63% | -1.47% | -2.65% | +1.02% |
| 2018 | 26/10/2018 | 69.12 | volume x1.6 | -2.63% | -0.25% | -1.90% | -4.47% | +1.63% |
| 2017 | 26/10/2017 | 41.00 | far above SMA50 · volume x3.7 | +3.12% | +2.98% | +1.90% | -0.98% | +4.27% |
| 2016 | 27/10/2016 | 39.43 | near 52w low | +3.32% | +7.91% | +10.47% | -1.19% | +10.47% |
In window 27/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.77% · Win 50% · DD -2.67%20 days: Avg +3.08% · Win 50% · DD -2.98%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 166.58 | neutral | -0.91% | -2.21% | -2.59% | -3.16% | +2.10% |
| 2024 | 28/10/2024 | 198.29 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.1 | +0.61% | +2.86% | +2.93% | -1.68% | +3.32% |
| 2023 | 27/10/2023 | 215.95 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.5 | -0.44% | +2.28% | +2.38% | -1.71% | +3.04% |
| 2022 | 27/10/2022 | 143.24 | far below SMA50 · volume x4.5 | +10.14% | +15.94% | +21.02% | +0.00% | +21.02% |
| 2021 | 27/10/2021 | 142.43 | near 52w high | +3.19% | +0.48% | +5.16% | +0.00% | +8.19% |
| 2020 | 27/10/2020 | 109.33 | neutral | -8.82% | -6.75% | -4.67% | -11.27% | +0.57% |
| 2019 | 28/10/2019 | 107.63 | volume x2.3 | +1.28% | -2.13% | -0.21% | -2.13% | +1.56% |
| 2018 | 26/10/2018 | 69.12 | volume x1.6 | -2.63% | -0.25% | -1.90% | -4.47% | +1.63% |
| 2017 | 27/10/2017 | 42.40 | far above SMA50 · volume x3.9 | -2.24% | -0.47% | -1.79% | -4.25% | +0.83% |
| 2016 | 27/10/2016 | 39.43 | near 52w low | +3.32% | +7.91% | +10.47% | -1.19% | +10.47% |
Upcoming 06/11/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.76% · Win 60% · DD -1.59%20 days: Avg +2.80% · Win 90% · DD -1.60%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/11/2025 | 163.98 | neutral | +0.60% | -1.20% | +4.15% | -1.62% | +4.15% |
| 2024 | 06/11/2024 | 200.89 | neutral | -0.49% | -0.95% | -0.48% | -2.95% | +2.04% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 216.71 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.23% | +2.56% | +3.60% | -0.23% | +6.59% |
| 2022 | 07/11/2022 | 164.75 | neutral | +0.98% | +3.41% | +0.26% | -2.94% | +5.48% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 144.43 | near 52w high | +1.44% | +5.34% | +1.03% | -1.30% | +6.69% |
| 2020 | 06/11/2020 | 100.86 | neutral | +4.85% | +4.22% | +6.05% | +0.00% | +8.81% |
| 2019 | 06/11/2019 | 108.90 | neutral | -2.95% | -0.19% | +2.35% | -3.27% | +2.35% |
| 2018 | 06/11/2018 | 67.11 | neutral | -0.15% | -0.82% | +0.34% | -1.61% | +5.22% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 41.30 | far above SMA50 | -0.29% | +1.23% | +7.51% | -1.69% | +7.51% |
| 2016 | 07/11/2016 | 41.71 | neutral | +3.57% | +3.98% | +3.16% | -0.43% | +4.44% |
Upcoming 09/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.79% · Win 60% · DD -1.66%20 days: Avg +1.77% · Win 80% · DD -2.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/11/2025 | 162.90 | neutral | -0.97% | -0.39% | +2.27% | -0.97% | +4.84% |
| 2024 | 08/11/2024 | 204.27 | neutral | -4.56% | -1.18% | -2.77% | -4.56% | +0.35% |
| 2023 | 09/11/2023 | 216.27 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.68% | +2.54% | +2.70% | +0.00% | +6.81% |
| 2022 | 09/11/2022 | 162.99 | neutral | +3.14% | +6.33% | +0.63% | -1.37% | +6.62% |
| 2021 | 09/11/2021 | 142.79 | near 52w high | +3.65% | +7.91% | +3.00% | -0.17% | +7.91% |
| 2020 | 09/11/2020 | 102.52 | neutral | +3.56% | +3.06% | +5.25% | -0.56% | +7.05% |
| 2019 | 08/11/2019 | 106.45 | neutral | -0.17% | +0.16% | +4.16% | -1.04% | +4.92% |
| 2018 | 09/11/2018 | 68.95 | neutral | -0.57% | -1.65% | -8.92% | -8.92% | +2.41% |
| 2017 | 09/11/2017 | 42.22 | far above SMA50 | -1.44% | -1.04% | +3.17% | -3.84% | +5.66% |
| 2016 | 09/11/2016 | 42.50 | neutral | +1.41% | +2.14% | +8.21% | +0.00% | +8.21% |
Upcoming 24/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.53% · Win 60% · DD -2.40%20 days: Avg -1.00% · Win 60% · DD -4.64%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/11/2025 | 162.27 | neutral | +1.33% | +2.67% | +8.66% | +0.00% | +10.09% |
| 2024 | 25/11/2024 | 204.10 | neutral | +0.27% | -1.01% | -4.90% | -5.58% | +0.44% |
| 2023 | 24/11/2023 | 221.76 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.18% | +0.16% | -9.63% | -10.69% | +4.17% |
| 2022 | 23/11/2022 | 173.30 | neutral | -2.79% | -5.35% | -10.31% | -10.90% | +0.28% |
| 2021 | 24/11/2021 | 149.78 | near 52w high | -2.66% | -2.42% | +0.68% | -4.83% | +0.68% |
| 2020 | 24/11/2020 | 104.22 | neutral | +0.24% | +3.95% | +5.52% | -1.12% | +6.75% |
| 2019 | 25/11/2019 | 107.40 | neutral | +1.26% | +2.66% | +3.59% | +0.00% | +5.30% |
| 2018 | 23/11/2018 | 66.63 | neutral | +5.43% | -5.55% | -10.99% | -10.99% | +5.97% |
| 2017 | 24/11/2017 | 41.78 | neutral | +2.11% | +4.26% | +3.85% | -0.34% | +6.77% |
| 2016 | 23/11/2016 | 43.41 | near 52w high | -1.89% | +5.94% | +3.50% | -1.91% | +7.35% |
Upcoming 26/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.07% · Win 60% · DD -2.65%20 days: Avg -0.66% · Win 60% · DD -4.75%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/11/2025 | 163.95 | neutral | +1.65% | +2.67% | +7.04% | -0.49% | +8.97% |
| 2024 | 26/11/2024 | 203.80 | neutral | +0.58% | -2.38% | -5.08% | -5.44% | +0.58% |
| 2023 | 27/11/2023 | 221.09 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +4.48% | +0.40% | -9.84% | -10.42% | +4.48% |
| 2022 | 25/11/2022 | 173.35 | neutral | -1.10% | -6.55% | -9.50% | -10.93% | +0.25% |
| 2021 | 26/11/2021 | 146.52 | neutral | -0.95% | -1.02% | +4.95% | -2.71% | +4.95% |
| 2020 | 25/11/2020 | 103.65 | neutral | -0.58% | +4.14% | +7.14% | -0.58% | +7.33% |
| 2019 | 26/11/2019 | 110.29 | neutral | -0.12% | +0.40% | +0.54% | -2.11% | +2.54% |
| 2018 | 26/11/2018 | 67.81 | neutral | +2.89% | -7.39% | -8.92% | -12.54% | +4.13% |
| 2017 | 27/11/2017 | 41.64 | neutral | +5.93% | +3.41% | +3.87% | +0.00% | +7.13% |
| 2016 | 25/11/2016 | 43.56 | near 52w high | -2.20% | +6.98% | +3.15% | -2.25% | +6.98% |
Upcoming 30/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.50% · Win 40% · DD -3.81%20 days: Avg -0.58% · Win 50% · DD -4.93%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/12/2025 | 164.20 | neutral | +0.74% | +3.89% | +5.16% | +0.00% | +8.80% |
| 2024 | 29/11/2024 | 202.52 | neutral | -2.23% | -1.90% | -5.99% | -5.99% | +1.22% |
| 2023 | 30/11/2023 | 220.46 | near 52w high | +0.70% | -6.33% | -9.67% | -10.17% | +4.78% |
| 2022 | 30/11/2022 | 172.82 | neutral | -2.46% | -7.63% | -7.81% | -10.65% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 30/11/2021 | 146.09 | neutral | +0.12% | -0.21% | +6.12% | -2.42% | +6.12% |
| 2020 | 30/11/2020 | 105.02 | neutral | +1.85% | +4.46% | +5.38% | -1.88% | +6.17% |
| 2019 | 29/11/2019 | 108.99 | neutral | +2.48% | +2.42% | +1.51% | -0.95% | +3.76% |
| 2018 | 30/11/2018 | 70.25 | neutral | -10.42% | -14.28% | -6.49% | -15.57% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 30/11/2017 | 43.01 | far above SMA50 | +1.19% | -1.37% | -0.12% | -1.37% | +3.72% |
| 2016 | 30/11/2016 | 42.70 | neutral | +4.43% | +5.97% | +6.14% | -0.26% | +9.13% |
Upcoming 04/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.21% · Win 50% · DD -4.73%20 days: Avg -0.77% · Win 50% · DD -5.25%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/12/2025 | 166.66 | neutral | +1.00% | +4.81% | +7.44% | -0.74% | +7.44% |
| 2024 | 04/12/2024 | 204.99 | neutral | -2.95% | -5.93% | -6.54% | -7.40% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 04/12/2023 | 231.00 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -3.90% | -11.84% | -15.91% | -15.91% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 05/12/2022 | 169.86 | volume x1.8 | -4.70% | -8.32% | -4.73% | -9.10% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 03/12/2021 | 145.13 | neutral | -0.08% | +1.03% | +6.11% | -1.20% | +6.82% |
| 2020 | 04/12/2020 | 109.75 | volume x1.7 | +0.20% | +1.37% | +1.66% | -2.54% | +1.79% |
| 2019 | 04/12/2019 | 110.16 | neutral | +0.52% | +1.40% | +3.88% | -0.40% | +3.88% |
| 2018 | 04/12/2018 | 66.96 | neutral | -5.78% | -9.51% | -2.60% | -11.42% | +0.57% |
| 2017 | 04/12/2017 | 44.11 | far above SMA50 | -2.38% | -0.57% | -2.63% | -3.83% | +1.13% |
| 2016 | 05/12/2016 | 42.82 | near 52w high | +8.27% | +5.44% | +5.60% | +0.00% | +8.83% |
Upcoming 21/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.04% · Win 60% · DD -2.29%20 days: Avg +1.84% · Win 70% · DD -2.42%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/12/2025 | 178.65 | neutral | -3.35% | -1.48% | +1.90% | -4.69% | +1.90% |
| 2024 | 20/12/2024 | 195.29 | volume x5.7 | -2.51% | -0.92% | -1.79% | -2.80% | +0.88% |
| 2023 | 21/12/2023 | 198.75 | neutral | +0.20% | -2.13% | +0.41% | -2.86% | +2.90% |
| 2022 | 21/12/2022 | 155.06 | volume x1.8 | +2.75% | +4.55% | +4.08% | +0.00% | +5.31% |
| 2021 | 21/12/2021 | 148.29 | near 52w high | +4.55% | +4.01% | +1.32% | +0.00% | +4.70% |
| 2020 | 21/12/2020 | 110.15 | neutral | +0.47% | +2.49% | +5.07% | -0.16% | +5.94% |
| 2019 | 20/12/2019 | 113.09 | near 52w high · volume x3.8 | -2.17% | +0.38% | +5.84% | -2.18% | +5.84% |
| 2018 | 21/12/2018 | 60.04 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.7 | +10.99% | +10.13% | +11.84% | -1.22% | +14.29% |
| 2017 | 21/12/2017 | 43.77 | near 52w high | -1.85% | +0.46% | -1.90% | -1.96% | +1.39% |
| 2016 | 21/12/2016 | 45.25 | near 52w high | +0.15% | -7.09% | -8.35% | -8.35% | +0.15% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+10.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -14.7% · from 52w low: +25.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +8.98% · +16.88% · +22.01% · +1.27% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +12.48% · +10.74% · +0.88% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -14.74% · +25.00% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 4.57 · 0.98x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +25.32% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +22.05% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +31.75% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 143.50 · 145.75 · 159.99 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 189.30 · 129.12 |
|---|
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